The main lesson to be learned from market history and particularly from yield-seeking bubbles is not that valuations are irrelevant, nor that central bank intervention is capable of sustaining bubbles permanently, but that Investors fall prey to the delusion that easy money can support stocks once risk-aversion sets in (recall 2000-2002 and 2007-2009). Investors must not make the same mistake of discarding the essential lessons that valuations have taught in complete market cycles across a century of history.
Offshore based Jim Mellon's uber-ramped FastForward Innovations (FFWD) has today announced that it is spunking $3.5 million on buying 29.5% of Frails LLC, the owner of Leap Gaming, it will soon go to 41.5% at a total cost of $3.5 million so valuing this strange enterprise at $8.4 million.
Hello Share Scoopers. It takes a bit of nerve these days to invest in a big miner. Many of us have lost a packet as the world commodity market hit the skids a couple of years ago and has yet to recover to a comfortable level.
The March edition of UK Investor Show magazine is now live featuring Tom's interview with Peter Hambro, chairman of Petropavlovsk, five tips, company profile on SafeStyle, how to make money from EIS shares, 5 share tips and more. You can download your free copy below.
Last week I asked if anyone could find a bigger bulletin board moron than Ascent Resources (AST) shareholder Carl Meiring. Poor Mr Meiring seems to have had rather a bad week but at least he gets another 15 minutes of fame. With Ascent shares now at 1.75p to sell Carl's tweet of last Monday is unbeatable although as you can see HERE there were many other strong entries.
There was some oustanding abuse handed out to disgraced journalist smearer and fat Aussie share ramper David Lenigas in our latest caption contest as you can see here. The winner?
FTSE 100 fat cats are in the news. They should be strung up with piano wire. I say this as a capitalist my father, a deluded lefty, nods in agreement in the background as I record. I should record that the old lefty was a managerial fat cat this morning as I dug his garden as an exploited worker. Referencing BP in particular I explain who is failing us and why it cannot go on like this.
On Friday at 5.36pm, no-one-is-watching o’clock, ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty member Origo Partners (OPP) updated on court proceedings in the Isle of Man with regard to the winding-up petition presented last month. The trial date is set for Friday 22 and Monday 25 July, which means that shares in Origo will remain suspended pending financial clarification until then. Unless, of course, Nomad Smith & Williamson decides enough is enough and resigns.
Once again Peter Schiff is on cracking form explaining why the bogus economic recovery is not real. The short video below is a classic
Last week I asked readers to explain the meaning of EBITDA as I was searching for enlightenment. The standard of entries was superb as you can see HERE.
Good God, what is it that really interests you, dear ShareProphets reader? Look at these topics: Homophobic phrasing, alleged David Lenigas smears, ShareSoc's Roger Lawson talking bollocks, and pewter-circle law firm Pinsent Masons partner urging Sefton to smear Tom and Brokerman Dan are all making the top ten. Why aren't you readin Don't Short The Big Short. This Film Is A Master Class in How Top Traders Work.? That's a good piece of financial commentary.
Malcolm Stacey wrote earlier about what he took from the Big Short - HERE. I took a rather different message as I explain in this podcast recorded with my father's help in Shipston.
As I have pointed out before, it is a very good discipline for investors, when looking at a company, to ask themselves what they would pay for the business before looking at what value the market ascribes to it.
A bloke in the City said that although results from Optibiotix's (OPTI) trials of its capsular supplement to reduce cholesterol looked great he was so fat that he was beyond redemption. Maybe. But for others results were startling. There is a caveat:
I had a few questions about the funding package which out-of-cash AIM-listed Cloudbuy announced on 31 March. The reward-for-failure options re-pricing already stuck in the throat (see HERE) but the GM circular really takes the biscuit.
In the midst of the takeover approach by Cadogan (CAD) which fell by the wayside, AIM-listed Ascent Resources (AST) was changing Nomad from finnCap to Stockdale (the former Westhouse). But a couple of RNSs slipped through which did not bear the name of either as Nomad. One wonders why.
Hello Share Swishers. Unlike most other share shifters I know, I’ve never seen Wall Street, the Michael Douglas film. Nor the Wolf of Wall Street. The reason is that I usually found films like this are dummed down and thus not as interesting for people who know a bit about investment.
AIM-listed Bushveld Minerals (BMN) this afternoon announced the appointment of Beaufort as joint Broker to the company. As fine fellows as they are at Beaufort, and I’m sure they’ll do a jolly good job for the company it does rather look to be a slam-dunk certainty that there is a placing on the way. Back in September 2015 Mirabaud was appointed as joint broker. One wonders how many brokers the company needs!
There are no prizes at all but the deadline to enter these two contests is no-one is watching O'Clock tonight (Friday), or as they say at the US Oil & Gas (USOP) press office, rush hour. The standard of entries so far as been incredibly high so to see those entries and post your one for EBITDA go HERE and for Jabba's yacht go HERE and e now also have a Call Me Dave tax dodging caption contest HERE
I stand accused by Was Shakoor, Doc Holiday and others of being a tad charitable towards Metal Tiger (MTR) in today's BearCast HERE. Folks if you listen carefully you will note that I said the shares were clearly overvalued in relation to NAV. I do however make one observation about a tweet below from Paul Johnson the CEO.
The March edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring 7 share tips, company profiles, interview with Richard Poulden of PCGE, why we fight fraud & fake news on Channel 4, Donald Trump, Marine Le Pen, a look at the banksters and much more.
Well this is a company that will sponsor any old crap and let's face it, 95% of Bulletin Board Morons post on the LSE Asylum. As the countdown to the fraud Cloudtag (CTAG) being booted off AIM next week accelerates you kind of sense which stock will be the focus of most entries. The competition rules are simple. Just nominate the daftest post on a BB or on twitter in the comments section below. Once again, our in-house semi-trained loon Wildes is allowed to nominate his own posts. The deadline for entries is midnight on Sunday 26th March. Post away!
Clearly this is the story of the day. I reflect on this from various angles. I then move onto Franchise Brands (FRAN) shares in which surged 16% forcing a suspension. No insider dealing here guv, walk on, walk on. Then it is onto Bowleven (BLVN), Yolo (YOLO), Starcom (STAR) which I may have called Starvest but I meant Starcom, Van Elle (VANL), Nyota (NYO) and finally the uber dog Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) which is in freefall. Hah! Death spiral shylocks Bracknor your spoof is not working is it! On the subject of terror I mention that evil bastard Martin McGuinness.You should not speak ill of the dead but for this unapologetic murderer and for those in the media who praise him as a good man I make an exception HERE. Mr McGuinness was a wicked man who sought no salvation in apology and repentance and, if there is a hell, his soul is right now burning at the heart of it.
I explained some time ago why I thought that the management of Bushveld Minerals (BMN) had treated retail investors with clear contempt and why that made the stock uninvestable. In the short term this can go anywhere, in the long run shares in companies run by scumbags usually head south. I wake up and find that the shares are now 7p and so - with a lot of "assistance" from a great broker we can note.
Well fraud fans, the first day of reckoning for the shabby fraud that is Cloudtag (CTAG) looms. If it has no Nomad in place by Monday night next week then its shares will be booted off AIM. Unable then to raise even death spiral funding and with no sales it will go bust pretty quickly. If it was not already close to going tits up it would not have attempted that last gasp discount placing with broker Novum. So, as no Nomad will sign up to act for an obvious fraud the Fat Lady is waiting in the wings. When this does go bust the video below, recorded with morally bankrupt rampers for hire Proactive, should be examined very closely by the Serious Fraud Office as it is damning..
Optibiotix (OPTI) has announced - not before time we might note- that the demerger of its 52% unit Skinbiotherapeutics and its own AIM listing is underway. I should cocoa. Book building is cracking ahead on the Skinbiotix IPO. Optibiotix currently has an adjusted 52% of Skinbiotherapeutics.
Hello Share Sappers. Occasionally armchair tycoons like us come across a little jewel. When it happens, and I’ve commended this share to you previously, it is very tempting to blow my own trumpet. Which is what I now do with Creightons (CRL).
Hello Share Smackers. After a long - and for me nervous - wait, the full results for IQE (IQE) are in. And as I predicted on this terrific website, the shares fell on the announcement.
I comment on the hopeless response of smug MPs and the established media to yesterday's terror attack on my own website in a podcast HERE. On the markets I look at expectations management at Next (NXT), at how we know or knew about the balance sheet at Toople (TOOP) covered HERE by Cynical Bear or Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) heading for 0p and covered in detail by me earlier HERE. I look at Public Services Properties (PSPI ) and what its AIM casino departure says about RTOs and contingent liabilities - which reminds me again of New World Oil & Gas (NEW). Finally I have a detailed look at the strange world of Paternoster Resources (PRS), not a stock you have to own in any way. PS Cynical Bear is not me. Can you see any typos in his articles?
There was exciting news out yesterday from Solo Oil (SOLO) with its venture into the specialty gas market, it is taking up to a 20% stake in Tanzania focused Helium One Limited .
It is just eight days to the GM of Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) where shareholders are being asked to approve the issue of gazillions of new shares for the Bracknor death spiral. Since the alternative is going bust within weeks if not days then the result is a gimme although I intend attending - as the owner of 1 share - to ask some searching questions. But the collapse in the share price - the stock is now 31.5p mid, 30p bid tells you there are even bigger issues and that Advanced is, quite possibly toast whatever.
Many AIM oil companies promise the earth, yet in most cases are still no nearer to actually producing anything despite a number of years having passed since their initial discoveries, so it is refreshing to see that there are exceptions to this trend.
Well that didn’t take long; 26th October 2016: “Van Elle (VANL), the geotechnical contractor offering a wide range of ground engineering techniques and services to customers in a variety of UK construction end markets, is pleased to announce the admission to trading on the AIM market”. 22nd March 2017: trading update including “delay and deferral of contracts”…
With planning despair following trading despair recently, there is now a boardroom change General Meeting requisition at DX Group (DX.)…
On Monday I started a series in which I gave clear reasons why JackpotJoy (JPJ) was an obvious short. Now let us mover on and have a look at the management and their history in commerce. I am sure that there is nothing to read into it but Andrew McIver sat on the Board of Daniel Stewart and seems to be pals with our dear friend the king of the fraudsters, Mr Rob Terry
Drowning in debt Avanti Communications (AVN) is 'avin' a giraffe once again with a new announcement of deal with no financials attached which is almost certainly utterly meaningless. Today we head to Kenya.
AIM-listed e-commerce play Cloudbuy (CBUY) released its full year numbers for calendar 2016 this morning. Having had a rescue refinancing last year and a change of strategy the question was always whether all the good news announced over the last few years would ever be converted into revenue. The bad news is that it hasn’t yet. By the way, as a general point to the company, if you are going to reference notes to the accounts in the RNS and don’t include those notes people will think you have something to hide. It looks poor.
Together Robert Sutherland Smith and Tom Winnifrith have now been working in finance for 71 years - the last ten or so together. Tom wishes to stress that RSS accounts for most of that, the great value investor starting his City career at the Unilever Pension Fund the year before Tom was born. In this book they outline 71 tricks of the trade for making money from shares.
Get the first ShareProphets Pocket Guide ebook, EIS - Buying shares with numerous tax breaks. Want to cut your income tax bill, get loss relief if your AIM listed shares go down, pay no CGT, avoid IHT - EIS could be the way and this book explains how.
Most investment books seem to be large enough to keep the front door open and while some contain gems it is hard to find them amid the verbiage. The aim here is to produce a short guide which simply cuts to the chase. I hope that it will provide food for thought for everyone from beginner to expert but whoever you are it should be quick and easy to read and digest.
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