I revisit the seven stages of grief in relation to buying shares in frauds and other disasters. I look at which stage shareholders in the frauds African Potash (AFPO) and Cloudtag (CTAG) have got to and what the psychology of grief tells us about where share prices are heading.
The world's best known investor in precious metals, Sprott Asset Management has just published its review of 2016 and its predictions for 2017. It writes:
Cynical Bear has written a fascinating article today on Simian Global (SMG) - HERE. Cynical Bear you are a wuss. You are far too generous about this crock of Turkish. If one goes to the prospectus and then cross references with companies house you will find a story of true horrors, something that the prospectus fails to mention, indeed it deliberately gives you a completely different impression. This prospectus stains all involved with it ( directors Edward Ng and Ajay Rajpal, Peterhouse Corporate Finance, Edwin Coe and the UKLA) with complete shame. How on earth do these folks sleep at night? My target price for the shares is 0p.
A couple of interesting filings on Companies House leave me wondering whether former AIM-cesspit posterboy Daniel Stewart Securities plc (DAN) is being prepared for a quiet execution. It was clear from the (stunningly) late-filed 2015 Accounts that is was in serious trouble, and last year a debenture over the parent seemed to have morphed into a debenture over its subsidiary, Daniel Stewart & Co plc. Now the previously wholly-owned subsidiary, which contains the trading business, seems to have been raising money on its own account.
A dispiriting new entry to the Sub-Standard Shockers XI this week – well someone has to fill the impending gap created by the liquidation of Worthington (WRN) - so please everyone give a warm welcome to Simian Global (SMG), a reincarnation of a previously failed effort. Please allow me to explain.
In a mere five days, Donald Trump becomes president of the United States. In 90 days or so, Theresa May promises to pull the plug on the world's largest trade bloc.
Hats off to top broker CSFB for daring to publish a negative note on a blue chip company. The 33 page missive on Pennon (PNN) - formerly South West Water. The note flags up the huge losses being racked up by a 75% owned joint venture, Peninsular, which appears to be held off balance sheet. CSFB rates the shares underperform. I'd go one further and say sell. This reads very badly indeed. If this jv was consolidated, reported earnings would be 30% lower. Why is it not? Pennon needs to clear this matter up at once.
I have an awful cold so cannot speak properly and the Mrs is giving me grounds for divorce (again) with awful TV choices as I suffer from my ailments. In the podcast I cover insider dealing (ref Logica), buying after a profits warning (ref Red Rock & SpaceandPeople) and why the bulls are wrong even though the FTSE 100 is at a record high (ref Malcom Stacey)
UK value footwear retailer, Shoe Zone (SHOE) has announced results for its year ended 1st October 2016, that it has made a “solid start” to its current year and that “the board remains positive for the outlook of the group”.
Well that is the assertion of George Glasier the guest in this week's podcast with Palisade Capital. He spends much of the podcast talking his own book but on the bull case for uranium which seems to be getting stronger he is fairly persuasive.
Red Rock Resources (RRR) has seen its shares slide back to 0.5-0.55p ( we tipped this at a 0.5p offer in November and the shares were 0.7p+) after admittedly disappointing news from Shoats Creek, its US oil asset. But the market has over-reacted big time.
A “Pre-Close Trading Update” announcement from Secure Trust Bank (STB) sees the company note that “a year of excellent progress ended with a very busy and productive final quarter… anticipates the full year results will be in line with market expectations… (with) substantial capital resources”. However, of possibly greater interest are the wider points on its market and the economy that the UK bank makes…
From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...
Hello Share Ticklers. I’ve just bought a bit of the City of London Investment Group (CLIG). Those of you with long memories may remember I’ve previously a piece or two commending this holding company to your further researches.
We were not planning to serve up our next share tip until the end of the month. But shares can move fast on AIM and we have identified a stock where something really is bubbling. And so our next hot share tip is out TODAY (Friday 13th) at 2 PM. we are working hard on it now.
Following Foxtons earlier this week, Countrywide (CWD) has now updated for the 2016 calendar year with CEO Alison Platt claiming “it is pleasing to report modest full year revenue growth”. Hmmm…
I was watching an old video today in which the great bear Marc Cohodes was interviewed about Concordia a fraud he called as a fraud. The shares were just over $100. They were c$37 when this interview went live. They are now sub $3. Listen to what he says about how investors and fraud companies react to him. This sounds very familiar to me as I discuss in the bearcast below which compares Cloudtag (CTAG) and my life to that of Marc and Concordia.
Concepta (CPT) has announced that it has secured ISO13485 accreditation which is a key step in attaining its CE marking for its 'myLotus' product for unexplained infertility.
And so the guy delivering a package for next door said "Hello Tom". He is a keen reader and owns shares in UK Oil & Gas (UKOG), ScotGold (SGZ) and Xtract Resources (XTR). He must be a big fan of Big Dave Lenigas as well. It was a good chat. In this podcast I look at how quickly sentiment can change ref Nostra Terra (NTOG) and Optibiotix (OPTI). I cover Iofina (IOF) and Strat Aero (AERO) and reflect on how the curse of the Sheriff of AIM has fallen on Dolphin Capital (DCI). It took a while!
Sorry if my good friend Jim Mellon feels if I am picking on him today but moving on from Port Erin (PEBI), the old boy (60 in a few weeks) has also been active at Condor Gold (CNR), the dog where he sits as a NED. Hang on tight folks, this related party trail is getting confusing.
The December edition of the UK Investor Show magazine is live featuring 7 tips, plus 5 our writers hope that they will find in their stocking. Interviews with Conroy Gold and ECR Minerals, the bonfire of the charities lots on Cloudtag, Advanced Onco and much more.
Top stockbroker Andrew Monk of VSA has today served up his third share tip of the year (following from his win with Sula HERE) and it is a real "hell or glory play". it is right now TSX.V listed but there is an AIM listed way to play it. Over to the Monkey...
Weekend press reports (not in the UK natch as the British press is ignoring this £2 billion City scandal for reasons one can only imagine) suggest that the FBI is now investigating. Already in France there have been arrests including that of the CEO of Areva - Atomic Anne - which bought AIM & TSX listed Uramin for £2 billion and had written all of its assets off as worthless within three years. There is also a major new investigative book out on the scandal due out on Thursday. I am sure my good friend Jim Mellon will be ordering an advance copy. Elsewhere I look at Vislink (VLK), at the train wreck waiting to happen at Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO), at Fitbug (FITB) and Cloudtag (CTAG) and then finally at SalvarX (SALV) - placing ahoy on this related party express train to planet hype.
I have been alerted by various folk to the fact that a Fox Marble (FOX) customer Eboracum Marble has a First Gazette notice out against it which, according to the knockers, means it is going bust/is a fraud and that Fox will issue a profits warning. This has seen the shares drift to 7.75p. Sometimes before you hit the sell button it pays to make a few phone calls. Which is why you should buy the shares today.
We are delighted to announce that UK Investor will be running two new sessions covering two companies of massive investor interest. The show takes place on April 1 (no joke) in London and already boasts a top panel of keynote speakers including Britain's Buffett Nigel Wray, top fund manager Mark Slater, the Queen of Tech Vin Murria, the UK's top share blogger Paul Scott and the UK's oldest fund manager as well as top bears Lucian Miers, Matt Earl and from New York Gabriel Grego and the Sheriff of AIM, Tom Winnifrith.
Reforming the very nature of capitalism will be needed to combat the growing appeal of populist political movements around the world, the World Economic Forum said on Wednesday. Getting higher economic growth, it added, is necessary but insufficient to heal the fractures in society that were evident in the election of Donald Trump as U.S. president and Britain's vote to leave the European Union.
Hello Share Swipers. Though it horrifies me to think of it, I first watched independent television when I was cramming for my eleven plus. It was at my uncle’s house, as we couldn’t afford a new telly to take the second channel and it must have been sixty years ago. Robin Hood was on.
Dual-listed in Ireland and on the LSE Kenmare Resources (KMR) has released what reads like a very positive trading update. Two questions spring to mind here: is it generating cash, and what about the debt position? But the company seems to have chosen to ignore completely its refinancing last year in reporting its finances.
Purecircle (PURE), the purveyor of stevia products (plant based sugar substitutes) warned on January 5th that first half results for the six months to 31 Dec 2016 were likely to crash into a loss from last years $5 million profit.
Formerly AIM-listed Teathers Financial (TEA) has released numbers for the year to 31 October 2016. They are truly shocking. In its year to October 2015 the group balance sheet sported a net assets value of about £800,000 having raised just over £1 million in the year. That is pretty bad. But as at 31 October 2016 (having raised no further cash) net assets came in at about just under £70,000 with just £658 in the bank. Where did it all go?
This morning AIM-listed CloudTag (CTAG) has announced, predictably enough, another loan note conversion by L1. But in what looks to be a bit of a surprise move, L1 has also elected to start on the warrants too, despite there still being loan notes outstanding. But oh dear, what about the dates…..
Shares in ‘big data’ software company WANdisco (WAND) are currently continuing a recovery – this on the back of a concluding trading update for 2016...
Printing company Grafenia (GRA) is “delighted” to announce an acquisition of Liverpool-based Arthur Diamond Design (ADD Signs), seeing it as a first step of “ambitious plans”. Hmmm…
Having asked in September if recovery was well underway at Goals Soccer Centres (GOAL), I note a “Post Close Trading Update” announcement from the company…
Hello Share Movers. After a long and happy relationship, I’ve dumped all this family’s shares in the tool and plant hire company Ashtead (AHT). There are fair reasons, I feel. Though they are nothing to do with the company itself.
Chocolatier and retailer Hotel Chocolat (HOTC) has updated that it ‘performed well’ in a trading statement for the 13 weeks ended 25th December 2016, with adjusted revenue 14.6% ahead. What about like-for-like performance though?...
Shares in alcohol drinks brands owner Distil (DIS) are currently 26% higher, at 1.45p, on the back of a “Trading update” announcement emphasising “excellent progress” in the company’s most important trading period…
Together Robert Sutherland Smith and Tom Winnifrith have now been working in finance for 71 years - the last ten or so together. Tom wishes to stress that RSS accounts for most of that, the great value investor starting his City career at the Unilever Pension Fund the year before Tom was born. In this book they outline 71 tricks of the trade for making money from shares.
Get the first ShareProphets Pocket Guide ebook, EIS - Buying shares with numerous tax breaks. Want to cut your income tax bill, get loss relief if your AIM listed shares go down, pay no CGT, avoid IHT - EIS could be the way and this book explains how.
Most investment books seem to be large enough to keep the front door open and while some contain gems it is hard to find them amid the verbiage. The aim here is to produce a short guide which simply cuts to the chase. I hope that it will provide food for thought for everyone from beginner to expert but whoever you are it should be quick and easy to read and digest.
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