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ARB
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Argo’s Peter Wall caught with his trousers down again as insolvency looms

Peter Wall the CEO and interim ( for more than a year) chairman of Argo Blockchain (ARB) has been caught with his governance trousers down yet again. When will the regulators accept that Wall is a bad actor who should be ejected from the PLC stage?

Top-10

Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending 12 Nov 2022

The most-read non-quiz non Tom article this week is ‘UK house prices: Halifax only gives you half the story’ by Chris Bailey at No 3 or No 10 including bearcasts.

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Macolm Stacey vs Steve Moore

I weigh in on the debate on Biome (BIOM) looking at macro babble & bubble and bottom up analysis to decide which of my colleagues is, I suspect, right.

HLN
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How is Haleon - the spin-off from GSK plc - doing, punk?

As per analytical data from my personal pension fund account, I have made money from my choice to retain a holding in Haleon (HLN) - “a global leader 100% focused on consumer healthcare with a competitive advantage to combine deep human understanding with trusted science” - after its spin-off from GSK plc (GSK) in July.  I am not sure that is technically correct given the company’s c. 276.53p share price at the close of business on Friday.  Anyhow, the bigger question is what should I do now?  After all, other GSK shareholders - including Tom - decided to exit stage left kicking around a 300 pence share price immediately after the spin-off and invest elsewhere.

GPM

Golden Prospect Precious Metals – proposed annual subscription right, good news

Precious metals securities investment company Golden Prospect Precious Metals (GPM) has stated that it “is pleased to announce details of proposals to introduce an annual Subscription Right for Shareholders”. Is this good news?

Bear
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Beyond Meat is Beyond Redemption.

Before the market meltup, shares in Beyond Meat (BYND) closed at an all-time low of $11.90 on Wednesday night after releasing a disastrous Q3 earnings report. Is this a chance to buy into the BBC's favourite Nasdaq stock? No! Au contraire.

Gold
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The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Rushes Higher And The Fed’s Warning Light Flashes Brightly

Gold closed the week at $1771 – strongly up on last week’s $1683 and way better that the recent low around $1620 notched up at the beginning of the month. The US$ has slipped off its perch too: is it (at last) all change?

ITH
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Avoid Ithaca Energy following its IPO - it looks expensive compared to its peers and has high levels of debt and liabilities

It’s been a while since we’ve had a new IPO of a large oil and gas company in the UK, so Ithaca Energy (ITH) caught my attention, especially as it is a company that I had followed previously when it was listed.

BIOM

Steve and Co could Be Wrong about BIOME as the Green Bandwagon Gathers Speed.

Hello Share Movers. Despite detractors among some of my colleagues on this mind-blowing site, including the fiendishly analystic Steve Moore, I renew my support for a company that makes plastic substitutes. Biome Technologies (BIOM) had a torrid time of late, plunging 170p to 46p last month. However, the shares rocketed by as much as 100% this week, later dropping back to about 60%. There aren't many shares that put on even 10% these days.

  • 12 November 2022, 10:53 |
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith bearcast: Madness!

I start with the macro babble and surging equities explaining why, I think, rubbish stocks have done the best today. I look at Cineworld (CINE), Versarien (VRS), Boohoo (BOO), Pure Gold (PUR), Argo Blockchain (ARB) and Victoria (VCP) 

DRV

Driver Group – full-year trading update, now set for Middle East and APAC-driven improvement?

Previously writing on construction and engineering industries professional services consultancy group Driver (DRV), in May with the shares at 32.5p I reviewed Middle East deal, set for significantly improved profitability?. So what of a latest trading update and the shares at 27p?

PHE
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Powerhouse – after digging a hole in the road, its next ramp: placing ahoy?

Even Stevie Wonder can see the writing on this wall. PowerHouse Energy (PHE) is now having to fund the building of its own waste to hydrogen plants having previously said others would do so, it burns c£2 million every half year running the company and it is spunking £1.3 million on a global Technology and Innovation centre. By next Spring it will be out of cash

WRKS

TheWorks.co.uk – half-year trading update, how “resilient” is its performance?

Previously writing on arts and crafts, stationery, toys and books retailer TheWorks (WRKS), in September with the shares at 37.75p I reviewed emphasises “strong” full-year results, but is the company right to be ‘confident in its prospects’?. So what now with the shares most recently closing at 34.5p and currently further lower on the back of a “Half-Year Trading Update”?

DEV
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Dev Clever are you a £255m BUST yet? How about a year end trading statement?

Shares in Dev Clever (DEV) remain suspended as, after 11 months, the FCA is still refusing to sign off on a RTO prospectus. But that is the least of Dev’s worries, it must surely be bankrupt by now, how about its advisers, those fine fellows at Novum, cobble together an October 31 year end trading statement. Here is the maths:

BEN
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Hello Adam Wilson, it’s Adam Wilson here can we chat again? I wanna tell you I love what you are doing

After yesterday’s inadequate disclosure from Ben’s Creek  (BEN) - CEO Adam Wilson – about share dealings by its biggest shareholder MBU Capital - senior advisor Adam Wilson – Mr. Wilson of Daniel Stewart and Atlantic Carbon infamy – has sought to clarify matters with another comical RNS.

ARB
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BOOM: Argo Blockchain 2026 bond collapse screams at you the shares are worth 0p

The bond market is nearly always a better guide to the value of equity than the equity share price since the latter – in situations of distress – is largely driven by bulletin board morons in denial who are trading the stock while institutions  are unable to sell large positions so just sit there like rabbits in the headlights waiting for the end. So there are some folks who reckon that buying Argo Blockchain (ARB) shares  at 8.5p giving a market cap of £40 million is smart

GFRD
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Pre-AGM announcements today from Redrow and Galliford Try: knock me down with a feather!

Judging by the move of most equity and bond markets over the last day or so, yesterday’s slightly lower than anticipated CPI numbers in the US excited the average investor. However, as shown by today’s UK Q3 GDP numbers, economic life remains tricky even before we talk about geopolitics, debt or crypto madness. It remains clearly an active investment world that has plenty of opportunities and threats, which is great news for boring stock pickers like me and less good news for “buy a bit of everything” passive funds.

NGHT
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The greed, the revolting rewarding of failure of Dragons Den star Sarah Willingham exposed

I noted yesterday how the bars chain Nightcap (NGHT) has had to halt its planned rollout because of the cash crisis it faces. In the year to July 3 2022, on sales of c£35 million it reported a pre-tax profit of just £238,000 and the operating cashburn was a stonking £7 million. But boss Sarah Willingham described the year as “rewarding and fun”. Just how Rewarding and fun? You will be horrified…

AAU
premium content

Ariana – Work Programmes Progress Report: Still A Buy

AIM-listed Turkish Gold-producer Ariana (AAU) has released a progress report over drilling and exploration across its 23.5% part-owned Turkish assets. With the shares having drifted to 3.05p amid general market disinterest (although I fancy that is changing as we speak) the report is upbeat.

SMV

Smoove – interims, “to build on the successes of the first six months”? Er…

Describing itself as a “technology and services business aiming to revolutionise home moving and ownership”, Smoove (SMV) has announced results for its half-year ended 30th September 2022 with “Highlights” including “revenue increased by 4% to £10.6m… Cash balance of £17.0m… Proposed tender offer to return up to £5m to shareholders to be launched as soon as practicable… confident that we have the right strategy and plan in place to build on the successes of the first six months of this financial year”. So why currently a share price response down approaching 7% to 33.8p?

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