ShareProphets

Tuesday 28 March 2017 The one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares


15 January 2013, 13:33 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Shanta Gold – Getting There: Buy at 23p

It was not a good Autumn for AIM listed Shanta Gold (SHG) but the last two RNS statements from the company demonstrate that it is both soundly financed and that, at last, it is delivering operationally. The shares have always had clear latent value it is just that investors have had a number of (utterly valid) reasons for not believing. But the times they are a changing.

15 January 2013, 13:32 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Mothercare: No Raison d’etre - sell

The Christmas trading reports from the retailers do not make for pretty reading. There are some who simply cite consumer confidence (or lack of it) in austerity Britain. But I would suggest that there are far wider structural changes afoot, ones that make me wonder if some companies really have a raison d’etre at all going forward. If it did not exist already would anyone bother to establish Mothercare (MTC)? Somehow I rather doubt it. Certainly when it publishes its Christmas trading statement on Thursday it will be grim.

11 January 2013, 21:28 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

GlaxoSmithKline: 5.3% historic yield sufficient to merit a buy

Medical matters are on my mind as I have the Norovirus. But it takes more than that to stop me writing about companies but naturally my mind turns to drugs. Well I was a young man in the sixties – the 1960s not the 1860s before you ask. Talking of ancient history, the market long ago abandoned the assumption that GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) would automatically build a pathway for shareholders to a starlight future of endless profits and earnings growth, by simply spending 15% of its sales revenue on R&D, and turning that into an approved blockbuster therapy every few years. In truth, costs rose and progress became more difficult – the return on R&D capital was not acceptable.

11 January 2013, 13:30 | By Tom Winnifrith |

IQE: Placing, Trading Statement and Aquisition all look very good

On January 10th IQE (IQE), the Wales based supplier of advanced semiconductor wafer products and services IQE announced a $75 million ($60 million on completion and $15 million payable on the third anniversary of completion) acquisition, a £16.5 million placing of new shares with institutional investors at 29p each and a 2012 trading statement.  Having tipped the stock at a 28.75p on this very website on November 19th -I am feeling rather smug 

11 January 2013, 01:24 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Pace Micro: Upbeat Trading statement but shares still cheap

FTSE-250 constituent Pace plc (PIC), a developer of technologies and products for PayTV and broadband, has today announced that, following a strong second half year performance, its “full year results are anticipated to be ahead of the board's previous guidance”. The shares have responded by trading approaching 5% higher at 202p, capitalising the company at £625 million. The following reviews the investment proposition here…

11 January 2013, 01:07 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Greggs: Poor Trading Update – Reiterate Sell at 444p

Yesterday Greggs (GRG), the leading bakery retailer in the UK with more than 1,670 retail outlets, released an update on trading for the Christmas and New Year period (5 weeks ended 5th January 2013) and for its 2012 financial year (52 weeks ended 29th December 2012). This included that the company anticipates that it “will report full year results broadly in line with expectations when we make our preliminary announcement on 13 March 2013”. However there were caveats and with concerns about the UK economy and consumer spending – particularly on the high street, the following is my take on the current outlook for this company…

10 January 2013, 01:21 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Centamin Publishes Record Q4 Results but that still leaves it as a sell

Centamin (CEY), the London and Canada listed gold miner operating in Egypt, has announced record quarterly gold production of 85,543 ounces for the period closing December 31st 2012 – taking full year production to 262,958 ounces, a 30% increase on 2011 and above guidance of 250,000 ounces. The shares have responded by currently trading just over 5.5p higher at 49.75p, capitalising the company at just under £550 million. The company emphasises the numbers as “particularly pleasing given the challenges faced during the year” but the announcement also makes clear that challenges remain. The following details my current view…

9 January 2013, 01:22 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Domino’s Pizza – Serving up a Tasty Trading Statement

Domino's Pizza (DOM), now a FTSE-250 constituent, has been a stellar recommendation from me historically during my 12 years at t1ps.com, but I am currently nervous about the UK economy and consumer spending outlook. Does that dim my faith?  

9 January 2013, 01:04 | By Steve Moore |

Blinx: KoldCast TV deal announced – Speculative Buy

AIM-listed blinkx plc (BLNX), which describes itself as “the world’s largest and most advanced video search engine” , has today announced a further partnership deal – this with KoldCast TV, an international television network of original entertainment programming.

9 January 2013, 01:02 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Dignity – Death is not a one way bet

AIM listed Funeral homes group Dignity (DTY) is one of those companies whose shares always look expensive, but then always seem to head higher. You always kick yourself for not buying the stock, after all we have an ageing population and so death ( like taxes) looks a sort of one way bet. As it happens, that is not the case. At a share price of £11.02 the company is now capitalised at £603 million. Is this justifiable?

7 January 2013, 01:00 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Wandisco – a 2014 PE of 103 but might still be cheap

Normally I would consider that a company that will be loss making unto, calendar 2014 but which at 493p trades on a 2014 PE of 103 would be a slam dunk sell. Wandisco (WAND) is just that company and it cannot be described as a tradition Benjamin Graham style value investment. But before Lucien Miers thinks about shorting the stock, I suggest that he reads on. This is not as simple as it sounds.

7 January 2013, 00:27 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Ruspetro: A shocking profits warning – what is fair value?

Ruspetro (RPO) has already served up a profits warning in 2013 and for its timing as much as its substance it is already in line to win an award for the biggest shock of the year.  The shares closed Friday at 83.5p, valuing the firm at £278.4 million but given that the release went live at 6.30 PM the stock will be hit hard on Monday. At what point should you buy if at all?

5 January 2013, 00:29 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Is Xcite Energy a speculative buy?

Shares in AIM and Canada-listed Xcite Energy (XEL) hit 395p in January 2011 as it reported on a successful “transformational well” drill on its flagship Bentley oil field in the UK Northern North Sea, 160 kilometres east of the Shetland Isles. However, market disappointment at a 10th May 2011 reserves report on Bentley saw the shares fall from 316.5p to close at 110p just seven weeks later. They hit a low of 67.5p in July 2012 and currently trade at 92.75p – capitalising the company at approaching £270 million. The stock is a darling of the Bulletin Boards. But is it good value?

4 January 2013, 22:16 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

Barclays – Time to bank gains: The yield is too low

Because the yield is too low for a bank (in historic terms), Barclays Bank (BARC)shares are clearly viewed by the market as a ‘momentum’ stock; the elementary investment principle being, that because the shares are going up, buy some more? 

4 January 2013, 00:58 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Centamin: Is it exporting gold or not?

On 20th December fully listed gold miner Centamin (CEY) announced that “following the recently-announced export of gold and resumption of fuel supply, operations have now resumed at Sukari.” The market read this as meaning that output and cashflow generation was now back on track. The shares have thus rallied to 39.3p. But this morning, top broker Fox Davies has published a research report stating “We also understand that gold exports have again been suspended.” Well have they? A RNS statement from Centamin is called for pretty urgently. This is a critical matter but the answer does not matter but the episode reminds us of why the shares are a sell.

3 January 2013, 00:24 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Bellzone Mining: Good News & Hot sector but are the shares ahead of themselves?

Suddenly the price of Iron ore has picked up, spurred by a recovery in Chinese Demand. Iron ore stocks have responded with a number showing sharp gains in the past month. Among the winners is Anglesey Mining (AYM) but also Bellzone (BZM) which has assisted its cause with news on both of its projects in the West African country of Guinea. The Bellzone share price has pushed ahead by 3p to 16p over the past month valuing the company at £117 million but some brokers reckon that it could still double from mere. There is a bear case as well as a bull case.

2 January 2013, 00:22 | By Tom Winnifrith |

My 6th (of 7) tips of the year 2013: Buy Archipelago Resources at 60p

I promised you something for everyone in my 7 tips of the year 2013 and so I now bring you a profitable, cash generative gold producer with exploration upside. As a relatively low cost producer it will keep throwing off cash if the gold price does noting or even falls. At the current gold price it looks very cheap but if, as I expect, gold moves ahead sharply it is very cheap indeed.  My sixth tip of the year 2013 is Archipelago Resources (AR.) which, at 60p, is capitalised at £345 million. This is a stock where at $2000 gold you will double your money within a year.

1 January 2013, 00:14 | By Tom Winnifrith |

My 5th (of 7) tips of the year 2013: Buy Advanced Computer Software at 75.75

I promised you something for everyone in my 7 tips of the year 2013 and so I now bring you a profitable, very cash generative growth stock with strong defensive qualities and great ( largely contracted) earnings visibility which is very much a growth play. It is run by a bird who is the smartest cookie in tech and has a great track record over many years and although the shares may look highly rated they, in my opinion offer 54% upside on a one year view.

29 December 2012, 00:12 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tip of the year 2 (of 7) – Buy Kryso Resources at 32p

In the vein of providing something for everybody, my second tip of the year is a gold company, AIM listed Kryso Resources (KYS) at 32p. Modestly, I should point out that I first recommended this stock at 13.25p on t1ps.com (my former website for 12 years before I started my new Nifty Fifty venture) in 2007 and so those who took that advice are already well ahead.  But the best is yet to come. Kryso is not yet a producer but by next Christmas it will be

28 December 2012, 00:11 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tip of the year 1 (of 7) – Buy S & U at 915.25p

Over the next seven days I shall serve up seven tips for 2013. There should be something for everyone. In assembling this magnificent seven I start with company fundamentals and price. But I also take into account my macro-economic assumptions for the next 12 months. And, I am sorry to say, that I am not terribly cheery. I do not see UK GDP growing rapidly. Credit will be hard to obtain and consumer spending will not be strong. As such there is some merit in starting with a solid defensive play and that brings me to fully listed S&U (SUS) at a share price of 915.25p.

10 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

The March edition of the UK Investor Magazine is live - with why we fight fraud

The March edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring 7 share tips, company profiles, interview with Richard Poulden of PCGE, why we fight fraud & fake news on Channel 4, Donald Trump, Marine Le Pen, a look at the banksters and much more.

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7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

A One Off: Meet and talk 1-2-1 with Nigel Wray, the man dubbed Britain's Buffett only at UK Investor on April 1

Normally Nigel Wray turns up at UK Investor, talks and leaves. This year - our 15th anniversary party - is different. He will be there from start to finish and when not on stage that opens up a unique opportunity for those attending on April 1. For more than 40 years, Nigel , the man dubbed Britain's Buffett, has been a stockmarket legend for his ability to generate stellar returns not by wild gambling on mining punts or biotech start ups but by rigid value investing. Like the Original Buffett, the Sage of Omaha, Wray is a bottom up value investor who buys and holds. Would you like to know what he thinks is the cheapest share in London? Would you like a one to one chat with Nigel?

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2 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Bulletin Board Moron of the Week Sponsored by London South East

Well this is a company that will sponsor any old crap and let's face it, 95% of Bulletin Board Morons post on the LSE Asylum. As the countdown to the fraud Cloudtag (CTAG) being booted off AIM next week accelerates you kind of sense which stock will be the focus of most entries. The competition rules are simple. Just nominate the daftest post on a BB or on twitter in the comments section below. Once again, our in-house semi-trained loon Wildes is allowed to nominate his own posts. The deadline for entries is midnight on Sunday 26th March. Post away!

7 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

AstraZeneca May Rise If New Drug Launches Come off

One of the big pharmaceuticals which I think will prosper on the misfortunes of millions of people is AstraZeneca (AZN). This is not to say that the company is exploitative. Quite the opposite - its scientists are only trying to help.

7 days ago | By Cynical Bear |

BOS Global – My biggest AIM bugbear: the share price spoof

I haven’t been following BOS Global (BOS) that closely since the comedy gold video I commented on HERE but note the share price has increased quite nicely in recent months, much to my surprise. I noted, however, an acquisition announced yesterday which included the one thing that annoys me more than any other on AIM, the spoof made-up share price for equity issued as consideration for acquisitions. Let me explain.

7 days ago | By Evil Banksta |

The Telit Sea of Red Flags

Telit Communications (TCM) is still the number one most shorted share on AIM, even after releasing final results last Monday that were welcomed by the market and saw the shares soar 14.6% to their peak of 360p on the day.  But with 10.5% of the stock out on loan to the alleged “smartest guys in the City” you have to ask yourself “What exactly am I missing?”  So began my thought process as I sat down to dissect the accounts.  Here are some quick thoughts:

7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Charlatan & Snake Oil Salesman Darren Winters slammed by Judge, another thrashing due April 3

Oh dear, the charlatan Darren Winters who has made millions over the past fifteen years conning poor folks into paying vast sums to attend his worthless courses is having a bad start to 2017. First there was a total slating by the ASA for telling lies to win custom, now we can publish the Judges's verdict in a case we backed where Winters tried to exact money with menaces. The Judge was damning.

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7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Bad News for WH Ireland - I am "in" on its AGM and so is Jim Bagot

Oh dear, oh dear, I am sorry to have to break the news to WH Ireland (WHI) but a shareholder in the esteemed firm of pensioner muggers has agreed to appoint both myself and Jim Bagot as its "corporate representative" ahead of the AGM on March 30th.

7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

And this another reason why folks just can't take ADVFN seriously...its joke awards are announced

The joke awards from ADVFN (AFN) are here again and yet again Brokerman Dan is honoured as the share blogger of the year. Two wins in three years. Nothing to do with him being on the board of delisted & shamed Sefton Resources together with his pals the ADVFN bosses, running an online tipsheet with the ADVFN Chairman this is all down to merit. Oh yes it is. Stop sniggering at the back! Actually it is not the most "interesting" award.

7 days ago | By Steve Moore |

Earthport – interims argue ‘confidence in continued growth & prospects’, but include a net cash generation warning

Cross-border payments network company Earthport (EPO) is “pleased to announce” results for its half year ended 31st December 2016. This is with stated “highlights” including 5 million transactions (prior year corresponding period: 2.7 million) and payment volume of $7.80 billion (prior year corresponding period: $3.95 billion) – and CEO Hank Uberoi emphasising “confidence in our continued growth and prospects”. Why then are the shares currently more than 8.5% lower, at 24p?...

2 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Jim Mellon stares out at empty seats Caption Contest - where are the 5,000

The asset strippers who own Master Investor tried to persuade companies exhibiting at Nigel Wray's UK Investor Show to jump ship, promising them that 5,000 attendees would cram into a hall holding less than 3,000 folks. Well here is a photo below of the asset stripper himself, Jim Mellon, staring out on rows of empty seats. In light of that I invite you to examine the photo and offer up a suitable caption. The deadline for entries to be posted in the comments section below, is midnight tonight, Sunday 26th, the day after Master Investor died. RIP.

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7 days ago | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Filthy Forty MoneySwap – another own-goal from Team Stuttard

ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play and yet another Lin brothers AIM disaster story MoneySwap (SWAP) has finally released its outstanding FY numbers to March of last year and interims to last September. The shares have been suspended pending results since 21 September last year and under AIM Rule 41 the company had until today to get the suspension lifted or get booted off the Casino. But today we learn that the shares are to remain suspended, yet there is no mention of an impending execution. This is a regulatory shambles – especially when we consider the apparent reasoning.

7 days ago | By Steve Moore |

Audioboom – BOOM! Discounted fundraising follows bullish ‘KPI’ update earlier this month

Noting the balance sheet position (and related-party transactions) suggested continued caution, I previously updated on spoken-word audio platform company Audioboom (BOOM) earlier this month as the shares were recovering above 3p on the back of a “First Quarter KPI Update” announcement. Now BOOM – it’s discounted placing ahoy!...

7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Wringing the Vicar's Neck, he is a mad Guardian reader

Dad and I got back from the hospital and were sitting down to lunch. water for me, wine for him. After a morning with a range of Shipmans he deserved it. Who should bound in but the vicar from our old village of Byfield. I told him that I had recently written an article about wringing his neck HERE. He then gushed out a stream of left wing views on Trump, Brexit and other matters that were so barking mad that even my Guardian reading father was a bit taken aback. A bitter attack on Uncle Chris Booker was the final straw. No wonder the CofE is going to the dogs.  On the podcast that followed I cover Orogen (ORE) where we are in and backing Adam Reynolds again, Nyota (NYO), Audioboom (BOOM), Andalas Energy (ADL) and Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO).

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6 days ago | By Steve Moore |

7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Eden Research: when will the auditors get some backbone and challenge the carrying value of the intangible assets and the accounting for TerpeneTech?

The principal “assets” of Eden (EDEN) are its intangible assets of £5,290,000 and its investment in joke company TerpeneTech of £923,000 which together represent almost 60% of net assets at 30 September 2016.

6 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

IQE Results May Be a Buying Opportunity as Shares Dip to Profit-Takers

Hello Share Smackers. After a long - and for me nervous - wait, the full results for IQE (IQE) are in. And as I predicted on this terrific website, the shares fell on the announcement.

10 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

The March edition of the UK Investor Magazine is live - with why we fight fraud

The March edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring 7 share tips, company profiles, interview with Richard Poulden of PCGE, why we fight fraud & fake news on Channel 4, Donald Trump, Marine Le Pen, a look at the banksters and much more.

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2 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Bulletin Board Moron of the Week Sponsored by London South East

Well this is a company that will sponsor any old crap and let's face it, 95% of Bulletin Board Morons post on the LSE Asylum. As the countdown to the fraud Cloudtag (CTAG) being booted off AIM next week accelerates you kind of sense which stock will be the focus of most entries. The competition rules are simple. Just nominate the daftest post on a BB or on twitter in the comments section below. Once again, our in-house semi-trained loon Wildes is allowed to nominate his own posts. The deadline for entries is midnight on Sunday 26th March. Post away!

2 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Jim Mellon stares out at empty seats Caption Contest - where are the 5,000

The asset strippers who own Master Investor tried to persuade companies exhibiting at Nigel Wray's UK Investor Show to jump ship, promising them that 5,000 attendees would cram into a hall holding less than 3,000 folks. Well here is a photo below of the asset stripper himself, Jim Mellon, staring out on rows of empty seats. In light of that I invite you to examine the photo and offer up a suitable caption. The deadline for entries to be posted in the comments section below, is midnight tonight, Sunday 26th, the day after Master Investor died. RIP.

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2 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: 10 crimes folks are getting away with in a top of the market blow-out but they will face a massive backlash

It is the top of the market so a range of City folks are getting away with behaviour which is, at best , utterly unethical. I name names as I list 10 such offences against basic decency and in some cases the law. And I warn those who are guilty that they will face a backlash and I explain why. 

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10 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

ONLY FIVE days to go to THE event for anyone interested in making money from shares - BOOK NOW

After Saturday's debacle in Islington, there is clearly just 1 major event to go to for those who want to make money from shares - UK Investor Show. To meet more than 120 growth companies and to hear the most amazing cast of speakers you have to be there on April 1 at the QE2 Centre in London. There is just one show to go to so BOOK NOW and join 3,000 other people who want to make money from shares.

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2 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

This weekend's discounted placing via Primary Bid is Premier African Minerals - deadline 5PM today

This is becoming almost routine. After hours on Friday PrimaryBid announces a material placing opportunity for its members. This weekend it is Premier African Minerals (PREM) which is raising £1.5 million at 0.5p. 

2 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Video Special with the PR genius Steffi & the Sith Lord Zak Mir - undeclared Commercial Interests Special

I really should not be giving the oxygen of publicity to the half witted duo that is PR Genius Steffi and Sith Lord Zak "Judas" Mir but just to point out how corrupt they are here goes - if you are made of stern stuff there is a video below..

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14 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

FRAUD Cloudtag...some morons are on the pitch, they think it's all over....IT IS NOW

Cloudtag (CTAG) has fessed up to dismal results and to the fact that it cannot get a Nomad to act for it and sign off on its lies and thus its shares will be booted off the AIM casino tonight. It talks of a relisting in the future but then it was telling us just the other day that it would get a new Nomad. But having had since January 10 it has failed. No one will act for this fraud. It is game over.

2 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

How to Profit in a Sideways Market for gold

Gold seems to be tracking sideways pro tem but that does not mean that gold shares will track sideways too. You can make big returns in such a climate claims Steve Todoruk a senior figure within Sprott, the world's leading investor in resource stocks. Steve opines:

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20 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - sitting in Shipston it is Cloudtag day! Where is the ouzo Dad?

It seems as if  my father has drunk all the ouzo. Who can blame him? But how will I celebrate if the fraud Cloudtag (CTAG) is booted off AIM today? Join in the fun with our Cloudtag termination clock HERE. Elsewhere I look at Bowleven (BLVN), gosh I loathe its management team, Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO), also run by tossers, and Strategic Equity Capital (SEC).

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22 hours ago | By Waseem Shakoor |

Frontera Resources - A Lesson From Masters In Spin

I owe a lot of my success in investing to Steve Nicandros, CEO of Frontera Resources (FRR), having spoken to him in great detail about his company and investing a lot of money in it as a result.

2 days ago | By Nigel Somerville |

Ariana – landmark first gold/silver pour at Kiziltepe

AIM-listed gold and silver in Turkey play Ariana Resources (AAU) has announced the first gold/silver pour at its new joint venture Kiziltepe plant in Turkey. It has been a long road but this marks the moment when Ariana completes the transition from explorer to producer – cracking news for head honcho Kerim Sener and his team. So what now?

22 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Advanced Oncotherapy - Spooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooof

Ho ho ho. Even as it faces insolvency those wags at Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) do so with a sense of humour as they try to spoof us all with news of an even more desperate financing which will keep the lights on until late June. Dr Michael Sinclair you should go on the stage. You really are a hoot.

10 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored (for the last time?) by Cloudtag

Tension is mounting for those of us who follow the AIM fraud of the year that is Cloudtag (CTAG). Will any Nomad be so desperate for money that it agrees to act for this company and sign off on its lies? We will find out very soon indeed. So, perhaps for the last time, this contest is in honour of the Onitor groupies. As ever the rules are simple: Just nominate the Bulletin Board post, tweet or video starring the Sith Lord Zak "Judas" Mir that displays complete insanity by posting it in the comments section below. The deadline for entries is midnight on Sunday 2nd April. Post away...

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20 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Bulletin Board Moron of Week winner - gosh I shall miss Cloudtag

The fraud Cloudtag (CTAG) is almost certain to be booted off the AIM casino tonight. I will also miss it such have been the deranged comments that it has prompted. Last week's contest was sposnored by the LSE Asylum and generated stacks of quality entries as you can see HERE. But the winner, spotted by Warun Boofit was in a class of its own as you can see below

2 days ago | By HotStockRockets |

Big Sofa: US expansion - things looking very good! More big share price gains to come

We are already well ahead on this share tip. But we can still see it doubling from here!

2 days ago | By Gary Newman |

Unfortunate timing for Premier African placing - following ramp podcast earlier that day!

Premier African Minerals (PREM) was a company that I had high hopes for a couple of years back, but since then it has largely failed to live up to expectations on the operational front – especially in terms of producing revenue.

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