ShareProphets

Sunday 30 April 2017 The one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares


30 January 2013, 15:03 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Highland Gold Full Year Trading Statement: Buy at 114.5p target 200p

AIM-listed, Russia producing miner Highland Gold (HGM) has published a calendar 2012 trading update which reads very well. There was an 18% increase in group wide production to a record 216,885 ounces of gold and gold equivalents, exceeding guidance estimates of 200,000-215,000 ounces. The shares have ticked up to 114.5p on the news capitalising the company at £372.5 million. I wrote positively on them, at 91p, shortly before Christmas so I am already partially vindicated. But this re-rating has a lot further to go.

29 January 2013, 14:04 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Aquarius Platinum Quarterlies: Reiterate buy at 62.5p with an 80p target

On Christmas Eve I noted that there looked to be value in shares in main market listed Aquarius Platinum (AQP) at 55p. Earlier this month the shares hit more than 75p but currently trade at 62.25p, capitalising the company at £296 million, following the announcement today of production results for the quarter ended 31st December 2012. So is it time to bank gains and sell?

28 January 2013, 13:56 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Falklands Oil & Gas – sell into latest hype

Shares in all of the Falklands oil plays are ahead today thanks to a presentation by Border’s & Southern (BOR) which seems to have excited a few folk although to me it seems to contain a lot of ifs and jam tomorrow. I remain bearish on that stock but even more so on Falklands Oil & Gas (FOGL) , shares in which are 3% ahead on the Borders hype at 32.5p. I have been a long time bear of this company and would regard this temporary spike as an ideal cue for shareholders to get out for reasons that I explain below.

28 January 2013, 13:54 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Ruspetro: Refinancing helps but debt and delivery (or lack of it) the issue

Russian Oil Producer Ruspetro (RPO) has announced a partial debt for equity swap and refinancing of its remaining debts. This is good news. However before those who ignored my advice to sell at 83.5p on 4th January after an almost comical well after hours profits warning start to celebrate this company still faces serious issues. The shares have bounced back to 49.5p but while they are no longer a short I would still regard them as one to avoid.

25 January 2013, 13:52 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Globo Trading Statement - Speculative Buy

AIM-listed provider of mobile, Software-as-a-Service and telecom software products and services Globo Plc (GBO) has today announced that it “has achieved a financial performance for 2012 ahead of market expectations” and that, having completed a “transformation into a truly international technology vendor in the hottest place in the technology market today”, it aims to continue doing so. With, on the back of the trading update, the shares currently more than 6% higher at 29.5p, capitalising the company at £100 million is it too late to get on board?

24 January 2013, 13:47 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Afren: Not Fundamentally cheap

Earlier this week Afren plc (AFR), a FTSE-250 oil and gas exploration and production company which despite its size remains a darling of the Bulletin Boards, updated investors on its performance in 2012 and its outlook. This review helped the shares up to 152.5p although they have subsequently slipped back to 147p which capitalises the company at £1.595 billion. Chartists will note that 152p proved a resistance level ten months ago and failure to breach that level ( which had been support a ten months prior to that) saw the shares fall back to 100p. But I’d rather burn my West Ham season tickets and start supporting Spurs than become a Technical analyst and so I review the fundamental case.

23 January 2013, 13:40 | By Tom Winnifrith |

OCADO - Outlook Challenging And Dangerously Overpriced?

Shares in UK online grocer and FTSE-250 constituent Ocado Group (OCDO) closed more than 6% higher, at 101p, yesterday on the back of news that the high-profile ex-Marks & Spencer boss Sir Stuart Rose is to take a Non-Executive Chairman role at the company. With this following a trading update from the company last week, the following is my take on the current investment proposition here…

22 January 2013, 13:42 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Cape – Dividend will be held: Buy at 228.5p for a 6.13% yield

Cape (CIU), the FTSE 250 constituent which provides essential, non-mechanical support services to the energy and mineral resources sectors had a pretty dreadful 2012. On 29th March its CEO Martin May stood down with immediate effect. Six months later we had a repeat announcement, this time it was the FD going. In between the company served up a dismal set of interim numbers, 

18 January 2013, 13:46 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Telecom Plus: I was wrong to bank gains: Buy

Telecom Plus (TEP), now a FTSE-250 constituent, is a very successful past share recommendation from myself. I recommended the shares at 187.25p in January 2008 on t1ps.com, the site I founded in 2000 and ran until September when I left and set up the Nifty Fifty website. Prematurely, I banked gains at 691p in July 2011. The shares dipped below 600p that August but have since risen again, to currently trade at 975.5p, capitalising the company at more than £687 million. The following details my current view…

18 January 2013, 13:38 | By Tom Winnifrith |

ASOS Trading Statement: Evil Knievil and the Bears will carry on getting burned

AIM-listed international online fashion retailer ASOS (ASC) has published a positive update on December trading – sending the shares up to £26.60, which capitalises it at more than £2.19 billion. The following reviews the trading announcement and current investment proposition from this company that great bear Evil Knievil has consistently shorted and consistently got wrong…

17 January 2013, 13:36 | By Tom Winnifrith |

JD Wetherspoon Trading Statement – Not My Cup of Tea

UK pub owner and operator and FTSE-250 constituent JD Wetherspoon (JDW) has today provided an update on current trading ahead of its results for the six months ending 27th January 2013, which are expected to be announced on 15th March. The share price has risen from a little over 370p in May to 518.5p at the close today but I am struggling to see why anyone should get that excited about the state of play.

16 January 2013, 13:35 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Medusa Mining: Is it time to buy again?

London and Australia listed Philippines gold producer, Medusa Mining (MML) is a top recommendation from my past. I recommended the shares on t1ps.com, the site I founded in 2000 and left in September 2012 to establish the Nifty Fifty, at 49p in August 2008 and recommended selling at 426.5p in December 2010. 

15 January 2013, 21:26 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

National Grid: Buy for Yield at 687p

The observation about things being in the price is usually a prelude to the conclusion that a share price is well up with events; more than discounting prospects and one where a profit should be taken. On this occasion, in respect to that dullest of shares, the National Grid, (NG.) it means the opposite.  Dull and boring, as my friend and former t1ps colleague Tom Winnifrith often says in relation to shares, is sexy. At my age I have long forgotten what he means by that but I think I get his general point and agree.

15 January 2013, 13:33 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Shanta Gold – Getting There: Buy at 23p

It was not a good Autumn for AIM listed Shanta Gold (SHG) but the last two RNS statements from the company demonstrate that it is both soundly financed and that, at last, it is delivering operationally. The shares have always had clear latent value it is just that investors have had a number of (utterly valid) reasons for not believing. But the times they are a changing.

15 January 2013, 13:32 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Mothercare: No Raison d’etre - sell

The Christmas trading reports from the retailers do not make for pretty reading. There are some who simply cite consumer confidence (or lack of it) in austerity Britain. But I would suggest that there are far wider structural changes afoot, ones that make me wonder if some companies really have a raison d’etre at all going forward. If it did not exist already would anyone bother to establish Mothercare (MTC)? Somehow I rather doubt it. Certainly when it publishes its Christmas trading statement on Thursday it will be grim.

11 January 2013, 21:28 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

GlaxoSmithKline: 5.3% historic yield sufficient to merit a buy

Medical matters are on my mind as I have the Norovirus. But it takes more than that to stop me writing about companies but naturally my mind turns to drugs. Well I was a young man in the sixties – the 1960s not the 1860s before you ask. Talking of ancient history, the market long ago abandoned the assumption that GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) would automatically build a pathway for shareholders to a starlight future of endless profits and earnings growth, by simply spending 15% of its sales revenue on R&D, and turning that into an approved blockbuster therapy every few years. In truth, costs rose and progress became more difficult – the return on R&D capital was not acceptable.

11 January 2013, 13:30 | By Tom Winnifrith |

IQE: Placing, Trading Statement and Aquisition all look very good

On January 10th IQE (IQE), the Wales based supplier of advanced semiconductor wafer products and services IQE announced a $75 million ($60 million on completion and $15 million payable on the third anniversary of completion) acquisition, a £16.5 million placing of new shares with institutional investors at 29p each and a 2012 trading statement.  Having tipped the stock at a 28.75p on this very website on November 19th -I am feeling rather smug 

11 January 2013, 01:24 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Pace Micro: Upbeat Trading statement but shares still cheap

FTSE-250 constituent Pace plc (PIC), a developer of technologies and products for PayTV and broadband, has today announced that, following a strong second half year performance, its “full year results are anticipated to be ahead of the board's previous guidance”. The shares have responded by trading approaching 5% higher at 202p, capitalising the company at £625 million. The following reviews the investment proposition here…

11 January 2013, 01:07 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Greggs: Poor Trading Update – Reiterate Sell at 444p

Yesterday Greggs (GRG), the leading bakery retailer in the UK with more than 1,670 retail outlets, released an update on trading for the Christmas and New Year period (5 weeks ended 5th January 2013) and for its 2012 financial year (52 weeks ended 29th December 2012). This included that the company anticipates that it “will report full year results broadly in line with expectations when we make our preliminary announcement on 13 March 2013”. However there were caveats and with concerns about the UK economy and consumer spending – particularly on the high street, the following is my take on the current outlook for this company…

10 January 2013, 01:21 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Centamin Publishes Record Q4 Results but that still leaves it as a sell

Centamin (CEY), the London and Canada listed gold miner operating in Egypt, has announced record quarterly gold production of 85,543 ounces for the period closing December 31st 2012 – taking full year production to 262,958 ounces, a 30% increase on 2011 and above guidance of 250,000 ounces. The shares have responded by currently trading just over 5.5p higher at 49.75p, capitalising the company at just under £550 million. The company emphasises the numbers as “particularly pleasing given the challenges faced during the year” but the announcement also makes clear that challenges remain. The following details my current view…

29 April 2017, 10:15 | By ShareProphets |

The April edition of the UK Investor Magazine is live - UK Investor Show edition

The April edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring Metal Tiger, BMR, Harley Investments, Action Hotels and much more.

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23 April 2017, 10:38 | By Pizza Hardman Darren Atwater |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week Contest - sponsored by MoneySwap

This week's contest is graciously sponsored by MoneySwap, the Filthy Forty constituent that has this week requested to be dropped from the AIM market.

23 April 2017, 10:15 | By Steve Moore |

Imaginatik – what’s with the radio silence?

I previously updated on Imaginatik (IMTK) following results for its half year ended 30th September 2016. Those showed further underlying cash burn seeing cash to a low level, though noted recent improvement. However, I noted the company also stating it was now further “investing in our sales and marketing resources and technology suite”. Having released trading updates on 9th March 2016, 11th February 2015 and 14th April 2014, what about this year?...

23 April 2017, 10:34 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

A look at the record of Advanced Oncotherapy's Exec Chairman

AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) Exec Chairman Dr Michael Jeffrey Sinclair has, according to the OpenCorporates.com website, served as an officer of 155 companies over his illustrious career. With Advanced Onco facing a few issues of cash as it tries to get its Harley Street facility installed and running, it is perhaps worth a gander through this record. Here are the first 29 listed on the OpenCorporates.com website (actually it is 30, but one appears to be a double entry so has been removed).

23 April 2017, 10:05 | By Pizza Hardman Darren Atwater |

Notes from Underground: Well, that was quick

After all the fussing and moaning about Tom leaving the site to pick olives or raise snakes or whatever it is he's doing, and following a spectacular week where the most popular story was written by yours truly, we have come to what we all expected in the first place. The number one story this week is General Election June 8th - Surely there is no doubt as to the outcome, there is no uncertainty now, written by one Tom Winnifrith.

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23 April 2017, 10:22 | By HotStockRockets |

Metal Tiger – slightly delayed fundraising completes, shares recovering - buy

On tipping shares in Metal Tiger (MTR) earlier this month, we noted an oversubscribed (initially £3 million, but then £4.29 million) fundraising through well-known North American natural resources name Sprott. Tiger has now announced the closing of the funding…

23 April 2017, 10:09 | By Lucian Miers |

More Red Flags at BNN Technology

BNN Technology (BNN) published its Annual Report last week along with an update on its current cash position and the appointment of a new Non-Exec Chairman. The share price has rallied 6% but is still shy of the 80p at which broker Mirabaud recently raised £25 million - and, looking through the bluster, there are some serious issues that holders might care to consider.

25 April 2017, 12:08 | By ShareProphets |

TODAY: Patience, patience, patience and yet more patience - that is the key to making money from shares

Making money from shares is simple. Well it should be. Buy cheap. Hold. Hold. Hold. Hold, and finally sell when the shares have delivered you big gains. Where so many folks go wrong is getting impatient and not being prepared to hold, hold, hold. Let us tell you about Symphony Environmental (SYM) which we tipped at a 6.75p offer just over three years ago. It did nothing for ages....

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23 April 2017, 10:12 | By Darren Atwater |

Video: Andrea Cattaneo, CEO of Zenith Energy, presents at UK Investor Show 2017

In this video from the storming success that was the 2017 UK Investor Show, Andrea Cattaneo, CEO of Zenith Energy (ZEN), is at the podium. And make sure that you keep April 21 2018 free for next year's UK Investor Show.

23 April 2017, 10:19 | By Darren Atwater |

Video: Fernando de la Fuente of W Resources presents at UK Investor Show 2017

In this video from the storming success that was the 2017 UK Investor Show, Fernando de la Fuente of W Resources (WRES) is at the podium. And make sure that you keep April 21 2018 free for next year's UK Investor Show.

23 April 2017, 10:36 | By Darren Atwater |

Video: Chris Bailey and Johnny Hon discuss: Is China a Fraud-ridden bubble at UK Investor Show 2017

In this video from the storming success that was the 2017 UK Investor Show, Chris Bailey of Financial Orbit and Johnny Hon of Global Group discuss: Is China a Fraud-ridden bubble? And make sure that you keep April 21 2018 free for next year's UK Investor Show.

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24 April 2017, 08:26 | By Darren Atwater |

Winner of the Bulletin Board moron of the Week, sponsored by MoneySwap

Truly, there are no winners from the pool of Bulletin Board morons, only those who succeed in making our eyes roll the furthest.

23 April 2017, 10:37 | By Darren Atwater |

And the winner of the Labour Benefits caption contest is:

Friday, we asked you to caption the photo inside in recognition of the snap election. The results seem to show that ShareProphets readers are neither Labour voters nor CloudTag fans. 

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24 April 2017, 08:12 | By Malcolm Stacey |

I'd Like to Be In Amerisur. Well, Actually I Already Am

Hello Share Snappers. It’s a bit disconcerting when you elect a share to bring to your notice and then find it appears on the list of most shorted shares on this stupendous website.

24 April 2017, 08:14 | By Darren Atwater |

Video: Nigel Wray and Tom Winnifrith invest £8000 in two AIM shares to benefit Woodlarks at UK Investor Show 2017

In this video from the storming success that was the 2017 UK Investor Show, Nigel Wray and Tom Winnifrith invest £8000 in two AIM shares to benefit Woodlarks. And make sure that you keep April 21 2018 free for next year's UK Investor Show.

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24 April 2017, 08:20 | By Darren Atwater |

Video: Paul Scott finds Nigel Wray's and Paul Mumford's investment strategies at UK Investor Show 2017

In this video from the storming success that was the 2017 UK Investor Show, Paul Scott finds Nigel Wray's and Paul Mumford's investment strategies. And make sure that you keep April 21 2018 free for next year's UK Investor Show.

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24 April 2017, 08:27 | By Tom Winnifrith |

African Potash - the legal case for victims of the fraud almost underway

Before I call it a day I want to see the victims of the African Potash (AFPO) fraud get some of their money back, even if some of those victims were fairly beastly to me as I exposed the fraud. Friday's bombshell from Potash shows the game is up but the big frauds happened before this worthless enterprise was booted off AIM. To that end I have been working to help put together a legal action. That action is now almost underway and Peter Petyt, the man running things, wrote to more than 50 victims who have come forward at the weekend. If you lost money and want to try to get it back it is not too late to contact Peter. His letter & contact details follow.

29 April 2017, 10:15 | By ShareProphets |

The April edition of the UK Investor Magazine is live - UK Investor Show edition

The April edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring Metal Tiger, BMR, Harley Investments, Action Hotels and much more.

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29 April 2017, 10:15 | By Darren Atwater |

28 April 2017, 09:07 | By Tom Winnifrith |

House Price crash on the way? New data from Nationwide

I told you so. Many times. Property is a global asset class. The price of top-end properties in London is linked to those in San Francisco, New York & Vancouver. And the Chelsea ripple means that where London leads the rest of the UK follows. Put simply, if smug bastards in Islington cannot cash in their flats they won't be buying townhouses in Clifton, Bristol. And if smug bastards there can't cash in they wont be buying small houses for their ghastly brats in poorer parts of Bristol. Etc. etc. etc.

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28 April 2017, 09:10 | By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore |

Petropavlovsk - Q1 2017 production results further boost shares

Petropavlovsk (POG) has announced first quarter of 2017 production results supporting a level of production towards the top end of the 2017 forecast of 420,000-460,000 ounces of gold…

28 April 2017, 16:04 | By ShareProphets |

Rick Rule: This Bull Market in Gold Is in its Infancy, A Lot Of Money Is About to Be Made!

Rick Rule of the world's biggest resource investors, Sprott, is bullish He sees a very interesting market, which flirted with an upside breakout, that failed. He feels the GDXJ took quite a hit, damaging momentum traders expectations, in the near term that damage will likely increase. The opportunity this summer is in capital that is increasingly supplied by the ETF’s, towards the GDXJ components. The non GDXJ components are left lagging and that could be an arbitrage opportunity. You should see mergers and acquisitions with the components acquiring the non-components.

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28 April 2017, 09:10 | By Steve Moore & Tom Winnifrith |

Reach4Entertainment - 2016 results show growth, but there’s a sting in the tail

Reach4Entertainment (R4E) has announced results for the 2016 calendar year and that “we are enthusiastic about the growth prospects that our new initiatives will bring”, although there is somewhat of a sting in the tail…

28 April 2017, 10:59 | By Steve Moore |

PhotonStar LED – shares 'roof it' on a “proposed roll out” announcement. Hmmm…

Shares in PhotonStar LED (PSL) are currently roofing it on the back of a “Proposed roll out of Halcyon IoT platform” announcement. Let’s review…

29 April 2017, 10:15 | By Cynical Bear |

Nektan – Why I despise the Daily Mail: Reason no. 423

I know I shouldn’t have too much sympathy for the retired bigots that read the Daily Mail but its recent tipping of Nektan (NKTN), which will no doubt cost its loyal readers a few quid, is yet another reason to boycott the rag.

29 April 2017, 10:15 | By Lucy Wray |

Lucy Wray: UK Investor 2017 the biggest & most exciting yet - Great reasons to book NOW for April 21 2018!

UK Investor Show 2017 was three weeks ago and was our biggest event yet. The 15th anniversary party got rave reviews from attendees. But fear not the 16th show , UK Investor 2018 on April 21 will be even bigger and better and there are compelling reasons to book your seats NOW.

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29 April 2017, 10:02 | By ShareProphets |

Table of shorted AIM shares - week to 28/04/2017

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...

29 April 2017, 10:03 | By HotStockRockets |

Kefi VAT Refund - Good news in two ways: Buy at up to 6.5p, target 13p+

KEFI Minerals (KEFI) has announced that it has finally received a VAT refund from the Ethiopian Government of $1.3 million - call that £800,000. This is good news for two reasons.

28 April 2017, 08:18 | By Darren Atwater |

New Caption Contest: UKIP's Paul Nutter confirms he is standing in General Election edition

Caption this polished politician in the comments below. The deadline is midnight tonight.

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29 April 2017, 09:53 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Why I Think You Might Care to Ride the Bull a Bit Longer

Hello Share Squinters. With another boring bank holiday on our plate, when the stock market can provide us with no daily thrills, it’s an opportunity to look at the macro world of share shifting. And despite the many voices who say that shares are overbought and cruising for a bruising, I add a word of caution about selling too soon.

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29 April 2017, 10:14 | By Lucian Miers |

Sell Restaurant Group, 353p does not reflect the risks

Restaurant Group (RTN), owner of the Frankie & Benny's and Chiquito brands, has been struggling to turn itself around for a while now as it attempts to combat falling sales and somewhat tired brands.

28 April 2017, 09:10 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Advanced Oncotherapy draws second tranche of Bracknor funds but who is paying for what at Harley Street?

AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) has announced this morning the drawdown of the second tranche of £1.3 million (nominal - £1.235 million after the 5% discount) on its convertible loan note (aka death spiral) package with Bracknor. Good news – the lights will stay on for a few weeks extra. But the second half of the statement is a bit of a puzzle, raising more questions than it seemingly tries to answer.

29 April 2017, 10:00 | By ShareProphets |

ShareProphets readers tips for 2017 competition - end April update

Having asked for readers tips for 2017 for the amazing prize of a meal with Tom Winnifrith (or the chance to fob it off on someone you don't like) HERE, the following is a monthly update on performance (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE or AIM Casino and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2017)...

28 April 2017, 07:51 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Whirling Merlin Adds a Magic Touch with Themed Hotels

Hello Share Swappers. I’m not sure whether I’ve ever commended Merlin Entertainments (MERL) to your further examination, so let me do so now.