Share Prophets

Thursday 19 January 2017 | The one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares


Mast Capital the US hedge fund has been the biggest supporter of drowning in debt Avanti Communications (AVN), time and again doubling down on its disastrous investments. But have you noticed this?

2017-01-02 05:55:08

112 minutes after the stockmarket closed on the Friday before Christmas Avanti Communications (AVN) published a red flag strewn annual report. I have already raised one mighty red flag HERE and more will follow. But now just consider how the bombastic prick of a CEO David Williams was rewarded so handsomely for failure. Shares in Avanti are just 23p today. They were c£8 when Williams sold millions of quid worth of shares as he ramped away after the launch of Hylas 1 back in 2011.

2016-12-28 04:26:28

Avanti Communications (AVN) finally published its annual report for the year ended June 30 2016 at 2.22 PM on the last Friday before Christmas, 112 minutes after the stockmarket closed. It is packed full of red flags which perhaps explains the publication at no-one is watching O'Clock. So let's start with an admission of what a crap business this is - the metrics on HYLAS 1. 

2016-12-27 08:55:50

Shares in drowning in debt Avanti Communications slumped again on Wednesday to a new record low of 18p - the market cap is now just £27.6 million and death is imminent. As I pointed out at the weekend, its shares could be suspended on December 30th but its real worry is insolvency - it will be out of cash by January and it looks impossible to refinance. The cry is Timber! This once mighty AIM play is falling and will soon be lying as a rotting corpse on the forest floor. Where has all the money gone?

2016-12-15 02:29:07

Well here is an early Christmas present for all good bears, Avanti Communications (AVN) has sort of fessed up to the fact that its shares may be suspended from the AIM Casino on 30th December and that it may be facing a new bond default. Oh dear. If that is not a cue to sell as fast as you can, what is?

2016-12-09 01:12:47

Having seen Cloudtag (CTAG) demonstrate one of the golden rules of share trading here is another: run for the hills when a company starts messing with its creditors. Step forward Avanti Communications (AVN). 

2016-11-14 07:38:08

Surely it is only a matter of time before cash burning and downing in debt satellites group Avanti Communications (AVN) calls in the receivers? Keen to assist and bring forward that great ouzo o'clock day for we members of the global shorting conspiracy, I have some more bad news today. Oh dear. Oh dear.

2016-10-30 04:46:36

There is a philosophical game called the fishing village. And today we saw this played out in reality by Avanti Communications (AVN) as it struggles to avoid insolvency.

2016-10-17 04:45:16

Ceteris paribus Avanti Communications (AVN) will be trading whilst insolvent within weeks - its cash will not be sufficient to meet contracted capex and bills payable. That is why it is delaying publishing audited results for the year to June 30th 2016 - no auditor is going to sign off on anything from what is an insolvency waiting to happen. Avanti is trying to hide the awful truth but industry sources are revealing its desperate measures to stay afloat.

2016-09-21 04:11:09

The FRC is already looking at the grossly misleading way that Avanti Communications (AVN) bodged its June 2015 annual results. I reckon Avanti is trying to commit an even bigger crime against prudent accounting with its 2016 numbers and they key is a satellite which is now on the move. But Avanti and its ghastly and morally bankrupt Nomad Cenkos, of Quindell infamy, are trying not to reveal the truth. So have five critical questions for Avanti and the shamed Cenkos.

2016-09-20 05:34:18

Hat tip to reader G for fisking the horseshit RNS from Avanti Communications (AVN) on Friday which should be read as a tacit admission that the game is over. This remains a slam dunk sell and almost certain zero. Here's why.

2016-09-18 09:09:29

A few years ago when listed high street retailers were going down like ninepins they would invariably have the decency to inform shareholders that their equity was worthless shortly before implosion. “Little or no value” was the usual phrase.

2016-09-18 08:23:45

They don’t call this the silly season for nothing. Shortly after Inmarsat (ISAT)  announced on August 1st that it was not interested in Avanti (AVN), a story appeared in the FT saying that it had in fact been willing to pay “at least” 140p per share (subject to due diligence) right up until the end of July, around five times the price at the time.

2016-08-15 06:20:21

Shares in Avanti (AVN) peaked at c50p following the reports in the FT that Inmarsat (ISAT) might have considered a 140p bid, a claim that seems ludicrous given the fact that Avanti is drowning in debt and needs a refinancing within weeks or it is tits up time. The shares have now drifted back to 37.375p today. Folks are starting to panic...perhaps they have looked at the bonds.

2016-08-12 02:02:48

I have commented on Avanti Communications (AVN) twice in two days on the bearcasts HERE and HERE. Today with the shares zooming ahead to a peak of 50p (they are now 44p) the company commented but said nothing at all. Ronan Keating would be proud.

Uber Bombast David Williams stated:

2016-08-05 06:44:23

Avanti Communications (AVN) may try to con us into thinking that it is a bid target but the reality is that its best hope is that bondholders take a haircut in any takeover. that means shareholders face a wipeout. It is more likely that no-one bids and this is a zero. So when do you think Avanti is going bust. Vote now and before a midnight deadline in a reader poll. The shares are 22.5p today and falling. So vote early, vote often, vote below: 

2016-08-03 04:00:07

Three days ago Sky News reported that Inmarsat (ISAT) had approached Avanti Communications (AVN) with a view to making a bid. This was, as it happens, not true and today Inmarsat has exposed the lie in full. The story here is not only of the looming financial bankruptcy of Avanti but of its full blown moral bankruptcy too. This is shocking at every level, another milestone of shame for both Avanti and for the AIM Casino.

2016-08-01 00:45:40

Moody's was damning enough on Avanti Communications (AVN) as I noted earlier. The clear takeaway was that the shares were worth 0p given Moody's view that bondholders were in for a haircut. Now I bring you what the other credit rating agency S&P says. It is equally bearish.

2016-07-29 05:26:00

Moody's has downgraded its ratings on the junk bonds of Avanti Communications warning bond holders that they would probably get just 35-65% of their cash back. In that case the equity is worthless - note the explicit warning that Avanti will face a cash crisis potentially within weeks. Moody's states viz a viz the bonds " Moody's sees a default by Avanti over the next 6-12 months as almost inevitable." On that basis the target price for Avanti shares has to be ZERO. Sell while you can.

2016-07-29 03:46:03

Oh dear, this is the end for you my friend....Avanti Communications (AVN) has announced a "strategic review". In other words it has admitted that it s well and truly fecked. Shareholders should, whatever the weasel words of the RNS, prepare for wipeout. This is - as we pointed out in a 25 minute presentation at UK Investor Show, a zero. The statement is typical King of the Bombast David Williams horseshit.

2016-07-12 00:18:46

Shares in Avanti Communications (AVN), once the darling of AIM, collapsed by 60% yesterday amid all sorts of horrors emerging. It is a big story and most papers are covering it, at least with a mention. But in the Daily Telegraph there is nothing ....except

2016-07-08 05:16:32

Yesterday I served up pictures of four Welsh folks and asked for the odd one out and - to the suprise of some readers, as you can see HERE, it had nothing to do with sheep. The four pictured taffies were: Cerys Matthews the gorgeous lead singer with the uber-Welsh group Catatonia ( part of the cool Cymru scene of the 1990s), Welsh windbag Neil Kinnock, Welsh soccer star Gareth Bale and David Williams the uber Welsh CEO of Avanti Communications (AVN) who had a rather bad day at the office yesterday and is going to have another shocker today

2016-07-08 00:09:22

Yesterday Avanti Communications (AVN) issued a dire lack of profits warning. Having warned folks in a special 25 minute session at UK INvestor (HERE) that this one was heading for the knacker's yard, the bear community is vindicated. Our big call is looking good. But have you seen how the existing debt ( in which Avantis drowning) responded. It says the shares - down 60% to 24p yesterday - are near as damn it toast. The target here is 0p or very close to that.

2016-07-08 00:02:53

Look back at our coverage of satellite disaster story and serial issuer of fascistic lawyers letters Avanti Communications (AVN) you cannot say that we did not stand up to bambastic bully boy CEO David Williams and warn you. Today there has been a pre close trading statement, the shares have crashed by 60% to just 24p and the Fat Lady is starting to gargle. My father & I will crack open the ouzo early today.

2016-07-07 08:46:14

Having asked for readers tips for 2016 for the amazing prize of lunch or dinner with Tom Winnifrith (or the chance to fob it off on someone you don't like) HERE, the following is a monthly update on performance (to be eligible needed to have selected a buy & sell pick and those to be listed on the LSE or on the AIM Casino)...

2016-07-02 00:15:30

On 16 May 2016 Avanti Communications (AVN) published a third quarter trading statement in which the company's bombastic, pompous and no longer credible CEO David Williams declared "Avanti is making good progress." Shortly afterwards he proudly boasted that he had bought shares in the company at 91.25p. Today, less than four weeks later the shares have collapsed to just 53.25p to sell. On a daily basis they are being marked lower and lower. What is happening and what must Williams announce on Monday?

2016-06-11 00:18:05

Paid for researcher Edison is, of course most famous as being the employer of convicted felon Champagne Charlie Gibson but it is also there to take cash for helping ramp shares in piss poor companies. And few companies could be as piss poor as Avanti Communications (AVN) run by uber bombast David "not worth a million bucks a year" Williams.  But not only does Edison publish crap research on Avanti with a target price of 427p. It also does video interviews. Cripes, the bird quizzing Williams makes Zak Mir look like Jeremy Paxman on steroids.  As you enjoy this shite from Edison you will note the shares are now just 59.5p as Williams seeks emergency bailout funding. Oi, taffy its time for a statement!

2016-06-07 09:20:31

On May 16 Avanti Communications once again (AVN) lied to its investors. Since then it has been scrabbling around trying to complete an emergency refinancing. As the shares have tanked from 90p to 64p (and falling) since the lie is it unfair to ask the company and its bombastic CEO David Williams how things are going? First, however, lets look at the lie.

2016-06-06 01:47:03

It was just a few weeks ago that Avanti Communications (AVN) shares were in the decade of Blur and Oasis (the nineties) and bombastic CEO David Williams tried to spoof us all with a trivial share purchase costing him about all of two days of his obscene salary. Pretty quickly the shares slipped through the Maggie years and into the era of Abba and the Winter of Discontent. As I speak we are at Dana.

2016-06-01 08:06:41

Avanti Communications (AVN) started its AIM career not as a satellites business but as a provider of screens for pubs and shops, the loss making tin cans in space business came later. At that point uber bombast CEO David Williams decided to "lose" the original business via a demerger. Shareholders in Avanti were given stock in both entitites. Now track what happens next.

2016-05-27 00:00:19

At the UK Investor show last month, during a discussion of Avanti (AVN), I listed a random sample of the many instances where the company has made statements which later prove to be wildly optimistic, or are contradictory to earlier ones. Last week’s 3rd quarter update, 16 May, provides another gem: It states:

2016-05-22 02:29:48

Institutional investors continue to sell. But Avanti Communications (AVN) directors hope that piffling share purchases by themselves will persuade mug punters to follow suit. Do I care that David Williams (total package last year $1,154,445 after another year of mega cashburn) has bought 5,434 shares at 91.5p taking his holding to 1,709,144. Seriously? A guy who earns c$20,000 a week for trainwrecking this company has bought £5,000 of shares? And that is meant to show he has faith in the company? If anything it shows he has none. Now to the Q3 trading update.

2016-05-16 05:58:48

Perhaps that is why drowning in debt Avanti Communications (AVN) has been unable to hit any of its targets and perhaps it is why it is going to run out of cash his year. It seems that the price it can charge for satellite capacity has fallen by up to 80%. Who says so? er...

2016-05-13 00:52:13

As ever, when Avanti Communications (AVN) sees its share price slipping it announces a new contract win. There is a brief rally, and the rally gets smaller each time this trick is pulled, and then the shares start to fall again because - as we know - this company is hurtling towards insolvency. And so with the shares sub 90p to sell on Friday what do we have today?

2016-05-09 07:42:27

I note that Avanti’ Communicvations' (LSE:AVN) share price has fallen back since it was covered in detail by Tom, myself, Matt Earl and Evil at last week’s UK Investor Show.

2016-05-07 08:42:00

Oddly enough it seems as if the bombastic boss of Avanti Communications (AVN), uber Welsh David Williams is not keeping his poor, and getting poorer by the day, followers up to speed with all the bad news from his worthless company.

2016-05-04 02:17:10

You were probably wondering what deal Avanti Communications (AVN) was going to do this year to increase its sales after last year's creation of revenue when it was the only person paying money - the deal the FRC is looking at HERE. And you were also wondering how it was going to raise some cash. Natch it would not be by actually selling oodles more capacity on its satellites would it?

2016-04-21 00:16:21

Call this one of the unwritten Tom Winnifrith golden rules but a company that boasts of grant wins from the State is in general a sell. This may be a tad unfair but the fact is that Government's are invariably the worst investors - they make your average Bulletin Board Moron look like Warren Buffett when it comes to spunking cash on losers.

2016-03-26 02:27:25

Historically the pattern with Avanti Communications (AVN) has been it is asked an awkward question like how much business do you do with ISIS? Or why is it that your 2015 joke accounts are being looked at by the FRC? Or, if your bonds are junk rated when do you go bust? Its shares tumble. Then it announces a new ramptastic contract win either of an unspecified amount or for many years in the future. Its shares bounce but then fade and slump when the next question is fired over.

2016-03-12 05:37:55

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following details the shorted AIM shares at the end of February 2016 (by net short position %) - and if the positions have increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last month...

2016-03-04 03:10:35

On Friday Credit Ratings Agency Standard & Poor's stuck the knife into Avanti Communications (AVN) with an alert which should cause all shareholders to run to the hills. Avanti's sole response: to announce a meaningless Turkish contract. S&P is damning. It writes:

2016-02-29 07:46:48

You just cannot make this stuff up. The difference between Avanti Communications (AVN) PR hype and reality is chasmous. With a hat tip to reader BlueFrew, let us have a quick look at the £60 million programme announced in December by the Government in partnership with Avanti to roll out broadband access to 300,000 rural homes across the UK. You want the internet Mr Crofter on a remote Scottish Island so you can download some sheep porn? To hell with cutting the deficit, the ever grateful taxpayer & Avanti are here to help.

2016-02-29 04:14:59

Are you starting to see a pattern here? Avanti's (AVN) shares slide. Folks ask a couple of difficult questions and "hey presto" the company announces a totally meaningless contract win but will not answer the questions. There is a brief rally in the share price but each time uber Welsh bombast David Williams pulls this trick it has less and less effect. David you surely know that you can screw some of the sheep some of the time but you can't screw all of the shareholders all of the time.

2016-02-29 03:51:14

If a company organanises itself with complex subsidiaries with opaque accounts that simply contradict themselves you know to run a mile. Think Quindell. Now welcome to the world of Avanti Communications (AVN) - target price 0p - and its wholly owned subsidiary Avanti Communications Infrastructure Limited. The numbers just do not make sense.

2016-02-28 11:58:43

With a hat tip to a reader who is clearly as much of an anorak as I am, I trek over to Companies House and discover that on 9 February, shortly after its piss poor interims, folks behind Avanti Communications (AVN) established three new Companies. Hang on Henry, what on earth is David Williams, the most bombastic CEO on AIM up to?

2016-02-28 06:04:12

I am late to the shorting party with Avanti Communications (AVN) but given that the interim results yesterday almost drove my apoplectic with rage I have jumped in firmly with two feet. 

2016-02-05 05:36:43

Before Christmas shares in Avanti Communications (AVN) traded at c200p. This morning they touched 100p although they now trade at 117p. What on earth is going on? The only news from Avanti's CEO, the uber-Welsh king of the bombasts David Williams is that he will be presenting interims on 4 February. However it is not just the shares that are tanking, so too are its bonds, they are now officially uber junk and as such five massive questions need to be answered by the company with the numbers. For what it is worth my target price remains - as per Gold & Bears see HERE - 0p.

2016-01-21 04:01:00

I have long been a critic of Avanti Communications (AVN) and although the shares have performed badly lately they could and should be trading a lot lower. 

2016-01-04 05:57:14

On December 17 Avanti Communications (AVN) served up a quarterly update. From its bombastic CEO David Williams, a man who not only admits to, but boasts of, misleading erarly stage investors with a fake demonstration, there was the usual mix of bluster and misleading metrics. The only thing that commends Avanti is that it never fails to miss operating targets - it is, in this respect, the most consistent company on AIM.

2015-12-31 05:34:56

David "King of the City bombasts" Williams of Avanti Communications (AVN) always responds to weakness in his company's - grossly overhyped - share price in the same predictable fashion - he announces a contract win. But each time he announces a deal - no value disclosed natch - the market is less and less impressed. This morning what investors really want to know is whether Avanti is making money from evil terrorist murderers ISIS?

2015-12-07 05:47:10

If you want me to analyse a stock for you just drop me a line at sqmir@hotmail.com - Today I look at shares in Avanti Communications (AVN), Outsourcery (OUT) and Summit Therapeutics (SUMM)

2015-12-07 04:07:40

The suggestion from the German paper Der Spiegel is that may well be. The paper has run a full story despite strong suggestions from Avanti Communications (AVN) lawyers that it should not do so. Given Avanti's oft repeated claims that it wins major business from the UK military perhaps it might wish to issue a formal statement. The full article is below.

2015-12-05 02:26:31

Now that, post the fraud Quindell (QPP) I am such good friends with the only watchdog with teeth, the Financial Reporting Council (FRC) I have written to my pals asking them to investigate whether the 2015 accounts for Avanti Communications PLC (AVN) give a true impression of how the business is doing. I do not think they do. But Avanti also has other worries which is why the shares will crash.

2015-12-04 05:22:09

Of the many lessons to be learned from the Globo (GBO) fiasco, perhaps the most salient is the danger of deriving comfort from institutional purchases. In the final days, as an obscure  German fund named Forum was hoovering up stock (the founder’s stock, as it later transpired) a lot of impressionable punters were doubtless persuaded not to sell and maybe even “average down” on the basis that these guys are professionals and therefore “must have done due diligence” 

2015-11-14 02:29:02

King of the AIM bombasts the uber Welsh David Williams of drowning in debt Avanti Communications (AVN) has polished up another turd, that is to say his Q1 trading statement. Naturally Taffy Williams is delighted with all the progress being made. He always is as target after target is missed.

2015-11-12 07:30:28

If you want me to analyse a stock for you just drop me a line at sqmir@hotmail.com - Today I look at shares in Avanti Communications, Ithaca Energy, Optimal Payments setting share price targets for all three stocks.

2015-11-03 06:11:41

Oh dear. Last Autumn the big ramp from supporters of Avanti Communications (AVN) was that it would sign a major deal with Facebook to provide internet in Africa. It was even suggested that facebook might bid for the AIM listed company with the most bombastic CEO on this planet, Mr David Williams. Oh dear. It ain’t going to happen.

2015-10-05 05:56:34

You have to hand it to Avanti Communications (AVN): faced with its fourth annual earnings or revenue miss on the trot it has managed yet again to paper over the ever-widening cracks in its creaking edifice.

2015-09-30 03:01:40

I am not a great one for gloating, but as I head off for the summer holiday, it is with a certain satisfaction that I note that four of the stocks that I have covered extensively here over the last year are currently suspended.

2015-07-18 03:26:57

Avanti Communications (AVN) came out with a fourth quarter trading update on Monday and followed that up yesterday with news of a contract win in Spain. The shares have edged higher to 210p, valuing the company at £306 million representing a good shorting opportunity for those who can see through the usual Avanti bluster.

2015-07-11 03:09:41

If you want me to analyse a stock for you just drop me a line at sqmir@hotmail.com - Today I look at Avanti Communications (AVN), BAE Systems (BA.), Velocys (VLS)

2015-07-08 00:03:06

Shares of Avanti Communications (AVN) have had a rather difficult history over the recent past something which is said on both a technical and fundamental basis. 

2015-06-17 02:05:43

Both Avanti Communications (AVN) and Tungsten Corporation (TUNG) had trading updates last week. The knee jerk response to both was to mark the shares higher before slamming into reverse, in the case of Tungsten within minutes and with brutal consequences, whereas Avanti has experienced a gentle drift to just below the pre update level of 230p.

2015-05-19 01:04:33

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following details changes to net short positions in the last week (red if short increased, green if reduced)...

2015-03-05 05:30:22

Last week, Avanti Communications (AVN), the cash guzzling satellite operator accompanied its interim statement with news that it had raised $91.5 million in a placing, This was an equity cushion demanded by bondholders before they stumped up more money to fund the Hylas 4 satellite so the coast is now clear for another $115 million debt to be added to the $520 million it already has, giving the company an annual interest bill of $60 million plus. Not bad for a company that has an operating cash outflow.

2015-02-12 01:11:07

Both Lucian Miers and myself are pretty bearish on Avanti Communications (AVN) on fundamentals as explained HERE by me and HERE by the Bard of the Boleyn. I’m pretty sure that after results on the 5th February, analysts will again reach for their red pens as forecasts are once again missed or fudged. The company is drowning in debt. But reports in that must read publication Spacenews.com suggest there is perhaps a major "problemo" with Hylas 3 and an RNS is needed NOW.

2015-01-22 03:45:22

Lucian Miers had Avanti (AVN) down as one of his two top shorts for 2015 and so far it is looking a cracking short. Results are looming on February 5th.

2015-01-20 07:31:19

previous table showed a combination of AIM stocks covered bearishly on this website and disclosable to the FCA short positions had delivered outsized returns. The following updates, with links to initial pieces and a recent view of each stock (for the latter, click the 'end 2014 share price')...

2015-01-15 02:20:05

Shares in Avanti (AVN) have managed to head higher in recent months thanks to a rumour that Facebook was about to bid. Now Facebook might just co-operate with Avanti to bring the internet to Bongo Bongo land but that will not earn Avanti a fortune and there is no way that a bid is on the way. So I am very happily short on fundamentals.

2015-01-01 05:52:48

In a private note sent to clients yesterday but not published one of London’s sharper brokers asked the question, in share price terms is Avanti Communications (AVN) the new Quindell (QPP)? He writes:

2014-12-04 05:38:31

One of the big market mysteries of the last couple of months has now been solved. Why has the price of Avanti Communications (AVN) being going steadily upwards despite results that appear to confirm the worst fears of the bears? Why has the astute hedge fund Ennismore been reducing its short position?  Why has Avanti uber bear Mathew Earl – The Dark Destroyer -  gone strangely silent as the share price has ticked relentlessly North?

2014-11-29 03:09:09

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following details changes to net short positions in the last week (red if short increased, green if reduced)...

2014-11-20 00:51:54

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following details the 20 highest net short positions and the changes (red if short increased, green if reduced) since a previous analysis HERE.

2014-11-19 01:06:36

Avanti Communications (AVN) 2014 accounts were released yesterday and while the group's year end statement (from September 15th 2014) revealed that debt continues to pile up at an alarming rate (the debt rises), the accounts show that the quality of its revenues remains questionable as ever. 

2014-11-05 04:30:25

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following details changes to net short positions in the last week (green if short reduced, red if increased)...

2014-10-30 08:01:10

I finally got round to reading Avanti's year end results to 30th June 2014 (released on 15th September 2014). And then I shorted some more stock. 

2014-10-23 08:11:45

Avanti Communications (AVN) served up full year numbers today and it all looks great. Uber-bombast CEO David Williams, who admits to misleading investors in the past, has put a great spin on what is actually a dog’s dinner. Take the four bullet points financial highlights. Three of them are a half truth, misleading or an outright lie respectively. And there are good reasons not to believe the fourth at all!

2014-09-15 08:18:43

Avanti Communications (AVN) is a Bulletin Board darling which spews out more than its fair share of Red flag warnings. Its obsession with its share price is understandable given that it needs to get away yet another equity fundraising within 12 months. And hence I draw your attention to a release issued on Friday.

2014-09-14 08:48:15

I’ve just arranged contracts on that luxury yacht I like, a bit like Bill Gates’ one but bigger.  It will be delivered in 2017 and launched from Wigan Pier. Okay that is not true but I mention it apropos of the latest hogwash announcement from prize bombast and Uber-Welsh David Williams of Avanti Communications (AVN).

2014-08-11 10:25:00

Drowning in debt Avanti Communications (AVN) needs to get both another bond issue and an equity issue away in the next year to keep going. It has just issued a profits warning. Its accounts in recent years have raised almost as many red flags as Arthur Scargill and so what to do? Yes…announce another contract win.

2014-08-05 08:06:22

Naturally I am delighted to see bombastic uber-Welsh Avanti Communications (AVN) boss David Williams have to eat humble pie and serve up a profits warning on Friday. But what the statement says and what it does not say is just terribly confusing. I start on June 13th when Avanti stated:

2014-07-19 14:38:07

And so Avanti Communications (AVN) has served up a duff trading statement as we warned you 9 days ago in our top 10 stocks to short feature HERE.  Which tech dud will be next? Globo (GBO), Quindell (QPP) - ref Himex or perhaps blinkx (BLNX)? Again! To understand how to make money from tech stocks listen to the maestros in the video below from UK Investor Show, notably Vin Murria, the Queen of tech who is on top (outspoken) form.

2014-07-18 09:01:37

Avanti Communications (AVN) is now officially my Victor Meldrew stock: “I just do not believe it!” Last week it served up a “contract win” announcement that was utterly incredible. Now for this, drowning in debt, needs to raise equity Company we turn to the mystery of the full year trading statement.

2014-07-10 11:13:22

Another day and another “contract win” announced by Avanti Communications (AVN) – natch the value is undisclosed. Friday’s Victor Meldrew “contract win” was – as I explained HERE – very peculiar indeed. And the directors are all making small share purchases. Its ramp ramp ramp time because Avanti desperately needs to do a placing.

2014-07-07 10:33:15

When a company issues an RNS which is frankly incredible – that is to say unbelievable on the known facts – that should be a massive Red Flag moment. If that company has a long record of missing targets and burning cash and is also drowning in debt then it is a stinking sell. And that brings me to Avanti Communications (AVN) up at 253p after a contract win announced today. Hmmmmm.

2014-07-04 09:54:28

There is little doubt that the two most bombastic men in the City are Avanti Communications (AVN) CEO David Williams and bear raider Evil Knievil.  The battle continues as we can reveal exclusively.

2014-05-28 07:54:38

Bear raider Matt Earl, the “dark destroyer”, has added to his Avanti short this morning. He reckons that debt today is materially higher than that stated as at 31st March and that a rescue refinancing is “a strong possibility” this year. Earl says that “Gravity may be about to kick in.” 

2014-05-12 10:51:21

The initial market reaction to Avanti’s (LSE:AVN) interims to Dec 2013, released last week, was to mark the shares higher. This was no doubt a knee jerk reaction to a trumpeted 81% increase in sales and the bullish sounding flannel which preceded the numbers themselves. 

2014-02-23 17:22:44

Avanti Communications (AVN), the satellite group, probably has the distinction of being a company whose fundamental profile is almost as unfathomable as is its technical. I say, despite last year’s “predictable” bull flag breakdown, which heralded a halving of the share price.

2014-02-12 13:34:37

Matt Earl, the bear raider known as The Dark Destroyer remains short of Avanti Communications (AVN) and takes hear from this morning’s interims. He warns that “the chances of Avanti achieving its FY 2014 consensus forecasts are slim to none.”

2014-02-12 11:57:46

Even fans of the fundamentals of Avanti Communications (AVN) would agree that their company is an enigmatic one to say the least. What is interesting at the moment is the way that the charting position on the daily timeframe reflects such uncertainties in the way that we are almost equally divided between regarding the technical glass here as either half empty or half full.

2014-01-07 16:27:13

The share tips of the year for 2014 from HotStockRockets is delayed until tomorrow – instead, the Bard of the Boleyn, infamous short seller Lucian Miers has returned from Scotland and has revealed exclusively to his Nifty Fifty colleague Tom Winnifrith his FIVE tips of the year to short, to sell as he predicts disaster ahead. Number 2 is Avanti Communications (AVN) at 253p – a disaster waiting to happen.

2013-12-30 18:47:04

Shares in Avanti Communications (AVN) are volatile and unpredictable even at the best of times. But they have behaved themselves quite well in the recent past from a technical perspective.

2013-11-14 12:27:32

The dark Destroyer, Matt Earl is short of Avanti Communications (AVN) and so unlikely to be welcome at what will be a tightly controlled AGM tomorrow. Dissent will not be tolerated one suspect. But should anyone feel brave enough to tackle the King of the bombasts, uber-Welsh CEO David Williams...

2013-11-13 14:34:44

It has not been easy being a bear recently as the market rally has seen rises across the board, taking many “ jam tomorrow” stocks with it for no apparent reason. This is mostly a market for waiting rather than acting but occasionally an opportunity for action will arise. One such opportunity may well be Avanti Communications (AVN)

2013-10-18 15:39:54

It has not been easy being a bear recently as the market rally has seen rises across the board, taking many “ jam tomorrow” stocks with it for no apparent reason. This is mostly a market for waiting rather than acting but occasionally an opportunity for action will arise. One such opportunity may well be Avanti Communications (AVN)

2013-10-18 15:39:54

I once believed in Avanti Communications (AVN). I also used to believe in the tooth fairy, Santa Claus and the idea that West Ham might one day win something again. How naïve. A while back I became a mild sceptic. I am now convinced that this is a colossal accident waiting to happen and should be shorted aggressively. It is my top AIM short to pay for Christmas.

2013-10-11 08:39:53

I am amazed at the way that the fundamentalists are divided on this company. The bulls (lead naturally by the house broker) reckon that in the long run the shares are worth north of £10. The bears (led by Matthew Earl) seem to think that fair value is rather closer to 0p. That gives we sad chartists our opportunity.

2013-10-09 15:06:36

In a piece last week (see HERE) on AIM-listed satellite operator Avanti Communications (AVN) – in which I own some shares as a speculative investment – I noted that if the company is able to fill capacity on its satellites as planned discounted cash flow valuations suggested a multiple of the prevailing share price but that its trajectory as a still emerging company was unlikely to be smooth from here. This followed some commentary on the company which had strongly focused on the lack of an Interim Management Statement in May as there was one in May 2012 – though the company had since updated that a year-end trading statement would be forthcoming. This has now been published…

2013-07-10 10:10:17

Bear raider Evil Knievil ( Simon Cawkwell) has been short of Avanti Communications (AVN) a good while and after today’s profits warning he says that he remains short, telling me that “Avanti is simply not investment grade material.” Cawkwell says that Avanti may turn the corner but equally it could disappear altogether. He says that he has no intention of closing his short.

2013-07-10 04:53:10

Firstly a declaration that I own some shares in this AIM-listed satellite operator as a speculative investment. Shares in Avanti Communications (AVN) performed very strongly in 2009 and 2010 – reaching 735p in December of the latter year. However, they have since disappointed and currently trade at 250p, capitalising the company at just under £280 million.

2013-07-02 09:56:06



I welcome the damascene conversion of Tom Winnifrith to the bear case for Avanti Communications (AVN). It has never satisfied me as to its interesting accounting policies and I remain short. And I feel more encouraged by the lack of an Interim Management Statement.

2013-05-31 01:44:20

I first recommended shares in Avanti Communications (AVN) back at 116p years ago. I was still bullish all the way up to c800p when it launched its first HYLAS satellite since when the shares have headed only one way. They now trade at 279p .I apologise for not selling a long time ago.

2013-05-28 05:32:24

One of the better rules both in the market and as far as life in general is concerned, is that if something takes too long, you should smell a rat.

2013-05-15 07:54:17

Satellite operator Avanti Communications is one of those companies that clearly divides traders and investors right down the middle.

2013-04-30 01:09:58

To say the least there has been something of a two way pull on the fundamental side as far as Avanti Communication is concerned over the past year, with fans of the satellite broadband providing regarding it as go – go tech stock winner, while its all its detractors point to widened losses for the half year, lowered broker revenue forecasts and cash burn issues.

2013-04-11 00:50:23

Bear raiders Lucian Miers and Evil Knievil are meeting for lunch today. I know, as I was invited but my liver is not up to it. However the main course should be humble pie. The bears predicted that Avanti would miss its targets at the interim stage. Moreover the results demonstrate very clearly that it is already more than two thirds of the way to hitting 2014 (not a misprint) numbers and that it continues to win business. The shares are a buy at 265p and could move sharply as the bears are squeezed. I sense that margin calls could well be served up at Evil towers today in time for pudding.

2013-02-12 10:54:45

Shares in AIM listed satellite operator Avanti Communications (AVN) have slumped today by 62.75p to 286p after results for the year to June 30th 2012 were announced and were received poorly. Adding to Avanti’s misery bear raider Evil Knievil announced that he had gone short at 295p. He is wrong and this is a buying opportunity. I say this as someone who tipped the shares first at 116p in August 2004 and who has continually rated them as a buy at anything up to an all time high of almost £8. I still believe that the shares will in due course move sharply higher and my target price is £16.81. Here is why.

2012-10-10 11:33:53




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