Results

Echo Energy – Bizarre funding arrangement, share price must drop, mustn’t it?

Published 69 days ago

I’ve been scratching my head over the funding plans announced by the newly re-named Echo Energy (ECHO) earlier this week as there is an unusual aspect to it and can’t believe that the share price won’t drop in the short term as a result. Let me explain.

Igas – the dog that didn’t bark (yet). Something for the weekend, sir?

Published 140 days ago



And so yesterday shares in AIM-listed and overindebted Igas Energy (IGAS) fell off a cliff, dropping 20% with no news released by the company. Normally one would have expected a statement, but thus far all we’ve had from Igas Towers is silence.

Igas – shares in freefall: statement required, still a sell

Published 141 days ago

Shares in over-indebted AIM-listed Igas Energy (IGAS) have not been strong of late but this morning they are down by 13% to just 8.7p (last seen) on no news. The silence from the company is deafening, especially as it faces having to redeem some of its bonds after a FY16 underspend on its conventional assets as well as having to deal with a bit of an issue with its net leverage covenants. Then there is an interest payment due on its secured bonds which the company has already indicated will cause a liquidity covenant problem. A statement is needed.

Igas – mandatory bond buy-back after investment falls short

Published 150 days ago

AIM-listed and over-indebted Igas Energy (IGAS) this morning announced that it is to conduct a mandatory redemption of $2.3 million of its secured bonds after investment in its conventional hydrocarbon assets fell short of the required $15 million last year by the aforesaid $2.3 million. It may seem that this is good news in that the company is being prudent, but I suspect that this is bad news on two fronts.

Igas – high noon in Oslo

Published 246 days ago

At time of writing bondholders in AIM-listed over-indebted Igas Energy (IGAS) are meeting in Oslo, having been summoned by the company to consider proposals to waive certain bond covenants while a restructuring of the company’s capital is negotiated. Igas previously indicated that a bond covenant breach was anticipated to occur this very week. Will the bondholders play ball?

Igas – proposes bond covenant waivers as breach expected w/c 24 Oct. SELL!

Published 260 days ago

The denouement has started – you can’t say you were not warned over and over again here in ShareProphets. AIM-listed and over indebted Igas Energy (IGAS) has gone cap-in-hand to its bondholders to seek a series of waivers and a standstill agreement on its bond covenants while a capital restructuring is negotiated. Shareholders face a bloodbath this side of Christmas, but already the stock is down 11% on the day.

Igas – Sunday press PR puffery tells you all you need to know: sell

Published 353 days ago

Tom Winnifrith has already quite correctly berated the Sunday Telegraph for its piece yesterday on the ongoing travails of AIM-listed Igas Energy (IGAS) and its little debt problem. The sense of desperation which saw this piece of abject puffery in a national newspaper is apparent to anyone who looks at the balance sheet, or read the comments from the company about its expected bond covenant default in the second half of this year (ie any time now). But the article reads like a dodgy RNS aimed at getting the bulletin board morons to pile in while the crony capitalists get out.

Igas – bondholder Dutch Auction lights up neon warning signs for equity holders

Published 371 days ago

I’ve been a bear of Igas Energy (IGAS) ever since previous CEO Andrew “piggy” Austin’s shady dealings with Equities First Holdings LLC (EFH) when he walked away with millions in cash whilst still being able to claim that his interests in the shares were unchanged by the transaction. It ran rings around the disclosure rules. Ever since he walked (or, more likely, was pushed) it has been clear that he left the company drowning in debt and sitting on a ticking time-bomb. Yesterday came a surprise move, but one which could, perhaps, spell the end of the road for equity holders. Quite why the shares spiked (albeit temporarily) on the news is a mystery.

Igas – company update = shareholders set to take a bath. But just how bad is it?

Published 380 days ago

This morning AIM-listed and overindebted Igas Energy (IGAS) released a company update RNS. There was some positive waffle about good progress on its five year shale developments plans, pointing investors to the recent planning permission given to Third Energy for fracking to be employed at a site in Yorkshire. But it is the parlous state of Igas’ finances that this RNS addresses. It looks grim.

Igas – new Nomad and Broker appointed: bail-out imminent?

Published 394 days ago

Shares in AIM-listed and over-indebted Igas Energy (IGAS)  had a good week last week, rising by about a third in value before slipping back again. But its balance sheet problems (well documented on ShareProphets, see HERE) continue to mount and this morning it was announced that Investec has been appointed Nomad and joint Broker, replacing the previous incumbent Jefferies International. Whilst one might wonder if Jefferies jumped or was pushed, the bigger question is when the bail-out re-financing will come and how big the shafting for existing shareholders will be.

DQ Entertainment – they think it’s all over…well, I do

Published 462 days ago

It comes as no surprise that (now ex-) AIM-listed DQ Entertainment (DQE) had a spot of bother in finding a replacement Nomad after the previous incumbent Allenby walked the plank last month, having given notice and warning that if new directors proposed by EGM requisitioners were appointed then it would resign forthwith. But now we have what looks to be the final nail in the coffin as the company has admitted that it can’t find a Nomad which will represent it and it is to be booted off the Casino as from this morning - a nice early morning execution. I hope that any readers with a holding managed to get out, even if only with one of Tom Winnifrith’s bags of crisps: it is better than nothing.

IGAS – results to Dec 2015: company foresees non-compliance with bond covenants. Sell.

Published 470 days ago

AIM-listed Igas Energy (IGAS) is my share tip of the year – as a sell. This morning saw its results for the 9-month period to Dec 2015 which did nothing to make me change my stance. Indeed there was a clear warning that the company is on course to breach its bond covenants during H2. The shares remain a stonking sell.

DQ Entertainment – requisitioners rock boat but no Nomad news: suspension imminent?

Published 498 days ago

AIM-listed DQ Entertainment (DQE) looks set for imminent suspension on the resignation of Allenby as Nomad on 22 Feb (next Monday) as previously notified by the company on 4 Feb in controversial circumstances. Since then the company has issued three RNSs, none of which has given any update on progress on finding a replacement.

Is Igas Energy the new Afren?

Published 578 days ago

We noted the other day that AIM-listed Igas Energy (IGAS) had warned on its bond covenants in the dire Interims statement released last week. But it appears that we are not the only ones a tad concerned about Igas’ financial health.

Is civil war about to break out at Petroceltic?

Published 728 days ago

Just over a year ago, Worldview Capital Management, Petroceltic International’s (PCI) largest shareholder, launched a stinging public attack on the company’s board. Petroceltic responded, there were some closed door negotiations and by the middle of June 2014, a compromise was reached. Boardroom changes followed, which seemed to ameliorate Worldview. I tipped Petroceltic at 150p, as a contrarian play against the prevailing negativity this little drama caused. By the start of October, the company’s share price rose to 221p, only to fall back dramatically as the market for oil went into meltdown. Today Petroceltic trades at 101.5p, Worldview is back and this time it means business.

Globo plc – a further red flag ahoy?

Published 741 days ago

Having earlier this month announced that in the first quarter of 2015 its “net cash position increased to €41.2 million (31 December 2014: €40.4 million)”, Globo plc (GBO) has now announced that “it will be conducting a series of investor meetings in the US and UK commencing on 19 June 2015 in relation to a potential issue of senior secured high yield notes”. Hmmm…

Afren RNS explained; why this stock has to be avoided (for now at least)

Published 839 days ago

There is a slight chance that Afren (AFR) might prove to be a recovery gamble worth taking at some point. That time is most definitely not now. Careful reading of this morning’s complicated RNS from the company, concerning its proposed recapitalisation, confirms that whatever happens existing shareholders will be left with next to nothing. As unpalatable as some might find this, the numbers are categorical and at 5p (last seen) only widespread misinterpretation of today’s announcement sustains the current share price. Below I explain why.

Avanti – The Profits warning does not stack up

Published 1075 days ago

Naturally I am delighted to see bombastic uber-Welsh Avanti Communications (AVN) boss David Williams have to eat humble pie and serve up a profits warning on Friday. But what the statement says and what it does not say is just terribly confusing. I start on June 13th when Avanti stated:

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