Results

You are hereby on notice as retail bubbles start to pop

Published 31 days ago

Artificial political constructs never last. The EU is great for the “elites” in Brussels; not so much for the average citizen and the tragedy of monetary union is that Europe's political class has gone to extreme lengths to hold the euro together regardless of underlying economic logic. But this has only perpetuated and exacerbated the coming political crisis. "Monetary union has created a conflict between a centralised elite on the one hand, and the forces of democracy at the national level on the other. This is extraordinarily dangerous,” Mervyn King wrote in his recent book 'The End of Alchemy'. 

At a personal level decline is a choice, not a destiny

Published 45 days ago

A prolonged period of low interest rates will tempt banks to take greater risks and sound the death knell for final salary pensions, the International Monetary Fund has warned. A new study from the IMF said a continuation of the cheap borrowing environment seen since the global financial crisis a decade ago would pose a “significant challenge” to financial institutions and force them to make fundamental changes to their business models. Although interest rates have recently started to rise in the US, the IMF said Japan’s experience suggested an imminent and permanent end to the current low interest rate environment could not be guaranteed.

October UK Investor Show Magazine - Shares to beat ASOS, When the Bubbles Pop, Scotland can't afford to leave

Published 169 days ago

The October edition of the UK Investor Show magazine is live features 7 buy tips, including 5 our writers believe will  beat ASOS. Plus a feature on why the Bubbles are About to Pop, in Trump vs Clinton - who is the biggest loser from this contest, and why Scotland can't afford to leave the UK.

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: 4 bubbles that are a bursting

Published 193 days ago

The reference to Lego and the Daily Mail is HERE. In today's podcast I look at four bubbles that are bursting in a demonstrable way: bonds, residential property, crowdfunding - where the returns are shockingly bad - and health wristbands. 

Sell in May...not a question but the ONLY sensible option

Published 387 days ago

Economic bubbles are sustained only so long as sufficient monetary fuel is being laydaled out. Over time, such economies are characterised by deep structural maladjustment, the consequence of years of underlying monetary excess. Rampant issuance of money and Credit is always at the root of these distortions in investment and spending patterns. Asset inflation and price Bubbles invariably play central roles in fragility hidden just under the surface.

Unsustainability is a fundamental feature of “Bubble Economies.”

Published 402 days ago

Economic bubbles are sustained only so long as sufficient monetary fuel is being laydaled out. Over time, such economies are characterised by deep structural maladjustment, the consequence of years of underlying monetary excess. Rampant issuance of money and Credit is always at the root of these distortions in investment and spending patterns. Asset inflation and price Bubbles invariably play central roles in fragility hidden just under the surface.

People will ignore the facts until it is too late.

Published 409 days ago

The main lesson to be learned from market history and particularly from yield-seeking bubbles is not that valuations are irrelevant, nor that central bank intervention is capable of sustaining bubbles permanently, but that Investors fall prey to the delusion that easy money can support stocks once risk-aversion sets in (recall 2000-2002 and 2007-2009). Investors must not make the same mistake of discarding the essential lessons that valuations have taught in complete market cycles across a century of history.

Minoan - Told you so: shares double as bubbles come good

Published 439 days ago

We hope you took our advice to average down and FYB with Minoan (MIN) at a 6.5p offer a couple of weeks ago. The shares are now 12.75p to 13.25p because as we predicted here the bubbles have come good. Minoan on Friday announced:

The bill for all the excess is yet to be presented in full, but presented it will be.

Published 451 days ago

A new global financial crisis is certain to occur and without reform, it is likely to happen sooner rather than later, according to former Bank of England governor Mervyn King. He is right.

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 18 September - carry on Up The Sefton Resources

Published 615 days ago

In today's podcast I celebate Fiji - come on guys, the Celtic World expects. Then onto how Goldman Sachs got the FOMC to carry on blowing bubbles and the to the farce carry on up the Sefton (SER) - Raylene Whitford has quit. Then to New World Oil & Gas (NEW), Ferrexpro (FXPO), Arian Silver (AGQ), Monitise (MONI), Metals Exploration (MTL) and LGO Energy (LGO - The Sheriff of AIM vindicated once again

Tom Winnifrith BearCast 14 May - Part 1 Reasons to be uber bearish & bubbles

Published 742 days ago

The travel plans of pizza hardman Darren Atwater and my own travel & family plans for the day mean this is a double bearcast day. We start with an edition looking at the various bubbles` in the world today and why I am becoming really very bearish indeed about equities.

I’m Forever Bashing Bubbles, Pretty Bubbles in the Air.

Published 748 days ago

Hello Share Splashers. There’s been a lot talk – including on this dazzling website – about bubbles. Commentator after commentator keeps banging on about the dangers of economic bubbles bursting to embarrass happy share-shifters like us.

What a difference a week makes and a bubble of bubbles

Published 1026 days ago

It was just a week ago that I was reading in the pages of one of the world’s leading financial newspapers that 'Investors are switching out of cash and pouring money into passive equity funds, bonds and relatively new assets that combine shares and fixed income in a show of confidence in the global economic recovery'.  

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