UK 19:53 Friday, 23 October 2026
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Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from ShareProphets). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.


Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 21 January - Revenue Recognition and Visibility

In the regular podcast for today I look at revenue recognition and visibility. This is prompted by the comedy/tragedy of a statement from Gowin New Energy - an AIM casino China joke POS - and the profits warning from Intercede. I also look at Weatherly International, Afren, TXO and San Leon

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Comments

  1. Unrelated to the Bearcast (haven’t even listened to it), but what has happened with the Action Hotels share price? Tipped by ShareProphets and steadily in the 60p – 70p range these past three months (with very little movement), yet inexplicably dropping below 55p today.

    An update on this share would be appreciated!

  2. Tom,
    Off topic but the link to company news for the Totally PLC Issue of shares is desribed as the following

    “Totally (#TLY) following grim profits warning & shares tanking a shed load of options issued. Oink Oink”

    The details of the announcement are somewhat different – to qualify for the options the company must make pre-tax profits of £1million this year and £1.75million next year and the share price must be above 1.5p for 60 consecutive days – this is 5 times the mid price at time of award.

    Its probably the most shareholder aligned options package I have seen – if the directors are able to exercise the options, existing shareholders will have made substantial profits.

  3. Tom, you should speak to “ShadowZ” on LSE about Gowin. He comments……..

    RE: RNSToday 13:41 It’s not a bad RNS at all, rather positive

  4. I object to the editorial OINK OINK comment on the Totally RNS news of options :-

    “All Options granted are also subject to satisfaction of certain performance criteria, being: (i) the closing mid-market price of an ordinary share being 1.5 pence or above over a continuous 60 day trading period prior to exercise; and (ii) the Company reporting audited pre-tax profits in excess of £1.0 million for the year ended 31 December 2015 and £1.75 million for the year ended 31 December 2016. The Options only become exercisable when the performance criteria have been met and expire on the 3rd anniversary of the Grant Date.”

    That must be a tremendous incentive for management to do much better opposite the current share price and also shareholders will benefit greatly if they succeed.

    Tell me how that merits on OINK OINK

  5. Wildrides

    Why should directors get extra just for doing their jobs properly. They get a salary for the same purpose as anyone else. To do the job to the best of their ability. In accord with the overall job spec, which in the case of boardrooms is to grow it, extract as much from the assets as it is possible, to return value to investors.

    I’m not a communist nor a socialist, I’m a realist. That poor fucker on the ground working for a minimum wage, The boardrooms and the shareholders are the wealth creators. That guy on the ground floor when he goes to work, he’s pretty much wasting his time then.

    If it makes a director work harder to get a bonus then give the guy on the ground floor one as well, then everyone in the company becomes a wealth creator and us shareholders can clean up. When that happens I’ll agree with you. Till then it’s cronyism

  6. Phil

    What are you a fecking commy ? Just dont buy shares then . I want my shares to have managers of the business that are getting well rewarded for very stretching performance . From where Totally is now ( totally fecked ) that is very stretching performance in anyones book .


  7. drunken sailor

    Of course TXO trading statement was upbeat – they always are. But if you have followed them as I have then you know that it is just the same old delays dressed up as progress and promises of even more jam tomorrow. GBG have not missed by a few months, There were supposed to be cash generative in Q1 2013 they are still needing loans to keep going now and if / when they do finally get all the approvals to build the HRP they will need significant capital injection. They have significant retained loss – they are not going to have cash to spunk away in dividends to TXO “later in the year”. It would be surprising if they were in a position to pay something in 2016, but TXO do not want people to realise that as they have a huge amount of debt to repay between now and then.

    The purpose of the trading update is to ramp the shares ahead of the proposed placing – with the share price so close to nominal they need to do something to get it up before they discount back down to nominal. They need the placing otherwise they will not have the cash to pay the auditors and annual accounts are due 31 Mar 15 (last year they were published on 31 Mar 14)

  8. TXO …………. its a classic case of the shite coming back to the fan and saying “ you did not fling me out hard enough or spatter enough people “ then chucking itself back in the blades for another go .
    Always was a POS

Complete Coverage

That Was the Week that Was 7 Days of ShareProphets

Friday »

Greek Tear
NEW: Win an off peak week at the Greek Hovel and help me out contest
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 16:20
DEBS
Boohoo – emphasises “first time the group has delivered positive profit before tax since August 2021”, but has it really though?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 23 October 2026, 16:20
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Am I shitting bricks abut the FCA and market abuse, a law suit or my portfolio? er...No!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 16:17
RBN
Robinson plc – another “Trading Update” = another profit warning (natch!)
  • By Steve Moore
  • 23 October 2026, 15:07
PRD
Video: Crazy old coot knows why shares in his company tanked, nothing to do with a massively discounted placing of course!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 12:41
DGQ
Delta Gold – that share buying spoofing is really not going well at all, as EK could have told you
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 12:07
GEX
Letter to the FCA – suspend Georgina Energy shares now and launch a full enquiry
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 11:34
GBG
GB Group – half-year trading statement, now a value Buy?
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 23 October 2026, 11:16
CRTA
Letter to Stifel Europe, Nomad to Cirata – do you still have faith in Stephen Kelly? Nobody else does!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 10:35
GEX
EXPLOSIVE GOTCHA!: Georgina Energy has misled market 100% about its drilling permits ahead of 2 fundraises
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 09:55
VLRM
Valereum and the California $32 billon mining claim fraud Part 3, more red flags
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 09:35

Thursday »

IKA
Ilika – “Launches ORKA Brand for Marine Applications”, ramptastic?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 22 October 2026, 16:05
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: helping Wishbone gerbils with maths on its cash crisis & the AQSE paradox
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 14:27
Crime-Scene
A Message from Paul Mathieson
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 14:14
FAB
Fusion Antibodies – a “delighted to have secured” contract win, attempted ramptastic?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 22 October 2026, 13:19
VLRM
Chat GPT analyses the Valereum LIES ( 2026 only)
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 12:39
JR-Ewing
Video: ‘Ragingly Tight’ Diesel Markets, Skyrocketing Inflation & The Escalating Iran War
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 12:30
VLRM
BREAKING: Valereum – this is FRAUD Part 2 on the California Bezzle
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 12:21
WSBN
A letter to London’s worst Nomad – re Wishbone gold and the planned rescue placing, is it 10p or lower?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 11:27
ATG
Auction Technology – trading “slightly ahead of current market expectations”, but what’s already discounted in the share price?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 22 October 2026, 10:58
VLRM
BREAKING: Valereum – this is FRAUD Part 1 on the California Bezzle
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 10:27

Wednesday »

GELN
Gelion – full-year results, how “strong” ‘a platform to support the group’s next phase’?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 21 October 2026, 16:09
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Evil Banksta gets a Mobico financial kicking, thank heavens for Andrew Monk and his bodged placing
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 15:07
VINO
Virgin Wines UK – a full-year swing from more than £1m profit to more than £1m loss… so an argued “another excellent year of progress” (natch!)
  • By Steve Moore
  • 21 October 2026, 14:16
EDGE
BREAKING: Falconedge – statement needed, shares collapsing! Told y'all!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 12:24
PBX
ProBiotix Health – Q3 update, a dealing with the “global uncertainty” Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 21 October 2026, 11:17
DOM
Domino’s Pizza – Q3 update, is the emphasised “continued positive trading momentum” ‘tasty’ enough for the valuation?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 21 October 2026, 10:58
WSBN
BREAKING: Wishbone – looking to raise up to £2m at as low as 10p – City source
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 10:50
Fake_News
Camilla Tominey at the Telegraph claims BREAKING scoop on Liam Byrne MP -the shameless hussy is TWO YEARS too late!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 10:30
KEN
Colin Bird tell me I am wrong: Kendrick Resources has no cash left at all
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 09:34
ECOB
Photo : Eco Buildings, perhaps this explains the share spike?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 08:25

Tuesday »

TRI
Trifast – “confident in delivering further margin improvement”, but what about in overall profitability?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 20 October 2026, 16:29
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Probiotix and Invinity
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 16:23
G4M
Gear4music – I having last month noted caution on half-year performance, what about now a “Half Year Trading Update”?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 20 October 2026, 14:27
ECOB
Eco Buildings – no I do not have a scooby
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 13:58
TRUE
Truetide – SMTM ( or lack of it)
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 12:47
IES
After Invinity crashes, the truth about its botched placing & who is next: A Vindicated Evil Banksta spells it out
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 12:04
TIN
Cornish Metals: £135 million fund raise at just 60p, am I being suspicious?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 11:23
GEN
Genuit – I having written in May ‘a profit warning ahoy here?’, what about now a nine months trading update?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 20 October 2026, 10:46
BSFA
BSF Enterprise and the patent spoof: an expert writes
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 09:44
Collapsing-Reactor
BREAKING: Alessandro Zamboni’s Nuburu censured by NYSE American SE for late publication of material events, the trap door of delisting gets nearer
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 09:20

Monday »

VLX
Volex – “profit expected to be towards the upper end of current market expectations”, but how’s the outlook?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 19 October 2026, 16:19
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: 2 sets of red faces & a zero by Thursday?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 15:44
GELN
Gelion – “Strong Independent U.S. Validation of Gelion's NES”, timely ramptastic?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 19 October 2026, 13:34
DGQ
Artificial Intelligence is not as clever as bear raider Evil Knievil, a self styled natural genius, – Delta Gold
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 12:56
MNTL
Technology Minerals fesses to Recyclus Winding Up Order from HMRC but there’s a bigger issue
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 12:27
IES
GOTCHA Monkey you smug bastard: Invinity bailout at just 10p
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 11:07
BMV
THIS SMELLS: Bluebird Mining and a spoof share buyback, has Sath passed the BVI solvency test?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 10:39
MIND
Mind Gym – “the drive to advance cash receipts in the business model continues to prove successful”. Er, does it?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 19 October 2026, 10:38
Crash
The great impending stockmarket crash of 2026/27 - a podcast with Lucian Miers Part 2
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 08:16
Boom
When Cult Wines goes tits up here’s my prediction, just look at Trustpilot!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 08:15

Sunday »

Crash
The great impending stockmarket crash of 2026/27 - a podcast with Lucian Miers Part 1
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 18 October 2026, 16:54
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: the stockmarket crash of 2026 and Syrian questions
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 18 October 2026, 14:21
AET
Afentra shares have plenty of upside potential whilst oil prices remain high - buy
  • By Gary Newman
  • 18 October 2026, 10:28
Gold
The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Is Marooned And I Take A Brief Look At Golden Prospect’s Prospects
  • By Nigel Somerville
  • 18 October 2026, 09:18
Quiz
The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #368
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 18 October 2026, 08:15
Blackboard
Visual Aid: The World’s Most and Least Taxed Countries
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 18 October 2026, 08:15
Reading
Sunday Long Reads: Missing Sheep, Perishing Eels, Karl Bushby’s Walk, Failed Romance, Buying a Filipino Bride
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 18 October 2026, 08:14
Top-10
Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending October 17
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 18 October 2026, 08:13

Saturday »

Bobby-Moore
And the champagne from Lucian will go to……
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 17 October 2026, 14:51
FVA
An “ahead of expectations” and further growth potential Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 17 October 2026, 12:09
Newsboy
How low can one fall after working at Technology Minerals: a chance to hook up with the Playboy bird via the Aussie sinner?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 17 October 2026, 11:58
MEX
Tortilla Mexican Grill – discounted placing, states including “to accelerate value creation plan” but how much so really?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 17 October 2026, 08:00

Friday »

PR1
Pri0rity Intelligence – this statement cannot be true, is the FCA talking about you?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 15:49
Roulette
Pathos Communications – shares ‘only’ just over 23% down since December 2025 listing… so “Best Newcomer at the AIM Awards” (natch!)…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 16 October 2026, 15:30
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Why Amaroq will tell me to Foxtrot Oscar
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 15:22
Clown_Funeral
The FCA admits that it is utterly useless: Evil Banksta is left almost speechless as am I
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 13:59
Bear
Video: Fuel Rationing, ‘Hard To Go Wrong’ With Gold Miners & Platinum To Outperform
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 12:24
BMV
Bluebird Mining: Disgraced CEO Sath’s Skylake vehicle dumping shares what can it mean?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 11:46
Confetti
Nuburu finally buys Tekne but reveals more massive dilution of its shareholders ( quelle surprise!)
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 11:06
AMRQ
Letter to Eldur Olaffson – time to sack Charles Archer and cleanse the Amaroq stable
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 10:54
THX
Thor Explorations – “Q3 2026 Operating Update”, a further cashed-up Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 16 October 2026, 09:02
Collapsing-Reactor
The Morning after the AIM awards dinner – more bad data from the Casino emerges
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 08:58