UK 17:14 Friday, 23 October 2026
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Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from ShareProphets). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.


Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Pre Budget Bearcast - Leave poor smokers alone, why not a todger tax on gay bath-houses?

In this pre budget podcast I look at likely tax breaks for the North Sea and who to short after the Chancellor pisses taxpayer cash away on that, I look at the budget in general and why Osborne is a failure and then I discuss smoking and taxes on smokers which are wrong at all levels - why not a todger tax on gay bathhouses instead? I warn you that this podcast uses some colourful language. Please if you listen on itunes give it a 5* rating in response.

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Comments

  1. Tom,

    Your inner eco-loon is getting the better of you again. Reducing a punitive tax isn’t subsidising the oil business. New projects pay 50% tax vs 20% for the rest of business.

    No matter your main point is spot on. EnQuest, Premier et al al have a shed load of tax losses (which they sometimes paid good cash to get) and are completely unaffected by a reduction in CT and SCT.

    For the likes of Xcite, their asset is probably worth less than their tax losses, so if CT & SCT are reduced you can argue that is bad for their value. Not the calculated NPV – but the market value of the company which is what people might pay for undeveloped barrels plus what someone might pay for their tax losses (c. £250m).

    Steve


  2. Drunken Sailor

    How long will it be before the BBMs start encouraging people to give you 1 star and a shit review on ITunes just like they did with the restaurant.


  3. Mad as hell.

    When you go to hospital with a smoking induced cancer it is nice to know that some of the care you receive has been paid for from the tobacco tax you have paid. It is all very well saying the NHS is free but some bugger has to pay for it! If you drive like a looney you pay higher insurance. Captain sensible like me who leads a healthy lifestyle is supporting and paying for your indulgences. Ps. Please sort out your copy, I’ll take you more seriously without all the trypos.

  4. Mad As Hell

    sadly – for you – your “facts” are er all wrong as I explain here. Irrespective of typos, your comments might be taken more seriously if you were not spouting such 100% bollocks

    http://tomwinnifrith.com/articles/8164/smokers-cost-the-nhs-money-so-need-to-be-taxed-even-more-wrong-lies

    T

  5. Tom ,

    This Bearcast is not up to your usual standard .

    You have proffered measures which neglect to solve the problems as solutions .

    Leaving the problems unsolved is one thing but it’s wrong to pretend they have gone away .

    1) You say in this Bearcast that Govt should not be bashing poor Britons but that is exactly what your dogmatic ideological policy of “open immigration” does .

    Less able Briton’s rely on a limited pool of jobs such as in hotels and catering and by allowing overqualified workers from overseas to take them you are consigning those Briton’s to the dole . Yes you are .

    2) Once your open immigration policy has consigned Briton’s to the dole , what are they and their families going to live on now that you say they need 5 years contributions before they get state assistance .

    You might have grown up in a middle class family which would have been able to support you through hard times but many working class families don’t have this luxury .

    You seem unable to escape the middle class attitudes you despise so much .

    Time to get off the fence and make your mind up Tom which side you are on .

Complete Coverage

That Was the Week that Was 7 Days of ShareProphets

Friday »

Greek Tear
NEW: Win an off peak week at the Greek Hovel and help me out contest
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 16:20
DEBS
Boohoo – emphasises “first time the group has delivered positive profit before tax since August 2021”, but has it really though?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 23 October 2026, 16:20
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Am I shitting bricks abut the FCA and market abuse, a law suit or my portfolio? er...No!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 16:17
RBN
Robinson plc – another “Trading Update” = another profit warning (natch!)
  • By Steve Moore
  • 23 October 2026, 15:07
PRD
Video: Crazy old coot knows why shares in his company tanked, nothing to do with a massively discounted placing of course!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 12:41
DGQ
Delta Gold – that share buying spoofing is really not going well at all, as EK could have told you
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 12:07
GEX
Letter to the FCA – suspend Georgina Energy shares now and launch a full enquiry
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 11:34
GBG
GB Group – half-year trading statement, now a value Buy?
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 23 October 2026, 11:16
CRTA
Letter to Stifel Europe, Nomad to Cirata – do you still have faith in Stephen Kelly? Nobody else does!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 10:35
GEX
EXPLOSIVE GOTCHA!: Georgina Energy has misled market 100% about its drilling permits ahead of 2 fundraises
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 09:55
VLRM
Valereum and the California $32 billon mining claim fraud Part 3, more red flags
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 09:35

Thursday »

IKA
Ilika – “Launches ORKA Brand for Marine Applications”, ramptastic?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 22 October 2026, 16:05
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: helping Wishbone gerbils with maths on its cash crisis & the AQSE paradox
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 14:27
Crime-Scene
A Message from Paul Mathieson
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 14:14
FAB
Fusion Antibodies – a “delighted to have secured” contract win, attempted ramptastic?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 22 October 2026, 13:19
VLRM
Chat GPT analyses the Valereum LIES ( 2026 only)
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 12:39
JR-Ewing
Video: ‘Ragingly Tight’ Diesel Markets, Skyrocketing Inflation & The Escalating Iran War
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 12:30
VLRM
BREAKING: Valereum – this is FRAUD Part 2 on the California Bezzle
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 12:21
WSBN
A letter to London’s worst Nomad – re Wishbone gold and the planned rescue placing, is it 10p or lower?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 11:27
ATG
Auction Technology – trading “slightly ahead of current market expectations”, but what’s already discounted in the share price?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 22 October 2026, 10:58
VLRM
BREAKING: Valereum – this is FRAUD Part 1 on the California Bezzle
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 10:27

Wednesday »

GELN
Gelion – full-year results, how “strong” ‘a platform to support the group’s next phase’?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 21 October 2026, 16:09
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Evil Banksta gets a Mobico financial kicking, thank heavens for Andrew Monk and his bodged placing
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 15:07
VINO
Virgin Wines UK – a full-year swing from more than £1m profit to more than £1m loss… so an argued “another excellent year of progress” (natch!)
  • By Steve Moore
  • 21 October 2026, 14:16
EDGE
BREAKING: Falconedge – statement needed, shares collapsing! Told y'all!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 12:24
PBX
ProBiotix Health – Q3 update, a dealing with the “global uncertainty” Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 21 October 2026, 11:17
DOM
Domino’s Pizza – Q3 update, is the emphasised “continued positive trading momentum” ‘tasty’ enough for the valuation?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 21 October 2026, 10:58
WSBN
BREAKING: Wishbone – looking to raise up to £2m at as low as 10p – City source
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 10:50
Fake_News
Camilla Tominey at the Telegraph claims BREAKING scoop on Liam Byrne MP -the shameless hussy is TWO YEARS too late!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 10:30
KEN
Colin Bird tell me I am wrong: Kendrick Resources has no cash left at all
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 09:34
ECOB
Photo : Eco Buildings, perhaps this explains the share spike?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 08:25

Tuesday »

TRI
Trifast – “confident in delivering further margin improvement”, but what about in overall profitability?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 20 October 2026, 16:29
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Probiotix and Invinity
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 16:23
G4M
Gear4music – I having last month noted caution on half-year performance, what about now a “Half Year Trading Update”?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 20 October 2026, 14:27
ECOB
Eco Buildings – no I do not have a scooby
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 13:58
TRUE
Truetide – SMTM ( or lack of it)
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 12:47
IES
After Invinity crashes, the truth about its botched placing & who is next: A Vindicated Evil Banksta spells it out
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 12:04
TIN
Cornish Metals: £135 million fund raise at just 60p, am I being suspicious?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 11:23
GEN
Genuit – I having written in May ‘a profit warning ahoy here?’, what about now a nine months trading update?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 20 October 2026, 10:46
BSFA
BSF Enterprise and the patent spoof: an expert writes
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 09:44
Collapsing-Reactor
BREAKING: Alessandro Zamboni’s Nuburu censured by NYSE American SE for late publication of material events, the trap door of delisting gets nearer
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 09:20

Monday »

VLX
Volex – “profit expected to be towards the upper end of current market expectations”, but how’s the outlook?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 19 October 2026, 16:19
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: 2 sets of red faces & a zero by Thursday?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 15:44
GELN
Gelion – “Strong Independent U.S. Validation of Gelion's NES”, timely ramptastic?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 19 October 2026, 13:34
DGQ
Artificial Intelligence is not as clever as bear raider Evil Knievil, a self styled natural genius, – Delta Gold
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 12:56
MNTL
Technology Minerals fesses to Recyclus Winding Up Order from HMRC but there’s a bigger issue
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 12:27
IES
GOTCHA Monkey you smug bastard: Invinity bailout at just 10p
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 11:07
BMV
THIS SMELLS: Bluebird Mining and a spoof share buyback, has Sath passed the BVI solvency test?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 10:39
MIND
Mind Gym – “the drive to advance cash receipts in the business model continues to prove successful”. Er, does it?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 19 October 2026, 10:38
Crash
The great impending stockmarket crash of 2026/27 - a podcast with Lucian Miers Part 2
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 08:16
Boom
When Cult Wines goes tits up here’s my prediction, just look at Trustpilot!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 08:15

Sunday »

Crash
The great impending stockmarket crash of 2026/27 - a podcast with Lucian Miers Part 1
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 18 October 2026, 16:54
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: the stockmarket crash of 2026 and Syrian questions
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 18 October 2026, 14:21
AET
Afentra shares have plenty of upside potential whilst oil prices remain high - buy
  • By Gary Newman
  • 18 October 2026, 10:28
Gold
The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Is Marooned And I Take A Brief Look At Golden Prospect’s Prospects
  • By Nigel Somerville
  • 18 October 2026, 09:18
Quiz
The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #368
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 18 October 2026, 08:15
Blackboard
Visual Aid: The World’s Most and Least Taxed Countries
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 18 October 2026, 08:15
Reading
Sunday Long Reads: Missing Sheep, Perishing Eels, Karl Bushby’s Walk, Failed Romance, Buying a Filipino Bride
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 18 October 2026, 08:14
Top-10
Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending October 17
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 18 October 2026, 08:13

Saturday »

Bobby-Moore
And the champagne from Lucian will go to……
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 17 October 2026, 14:51
FVA
An “ahead of expectations” and further growth potential Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 17 October 2026, 12:09
Newsboy
How low can one fall after working at Technology Minerals: a chance to hook up with the Playboy bird via the Aussie sinner?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 17 October 2026, 11:58
MEX
Tortilla Mexican Grill – discounted placing, states including “to accelerate value creation plan” but how much so really?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 17 October 2026, 08:00

Friday »

PR1
Pri0rity Intelligence – this statement cannot be true, is the FCA talking about you?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 15:49
Roulette
Pathos Communications – shares ‘only’ just over 23% down since December 2025 listing… so “Best Newcomer at the AIM Awards” (natch!)…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 16 October 2026, 15:30
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Why Amaroq will tell me to Foxtrot Oscar
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 15:22
Clown_Funeral
The FCA admits that it is utterly useless: Evil Banksta is left almost speechless as am I
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 13:59
Bear
Video: Fuel Rationing, ‘Hard To Go Wrong’ With Gold Miners & Platinum To Outperform
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 12:24
BMV
Bluebird Mining: Disgraced CEO Sath’s Skylake vehicle dumping shares what can it mean?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 11:46
Confetti
Nuburu finally buys Tekne but reveals more massive dilution of its shareholders ( quelle surprise!)
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 11:06
AMRQ
Letter to Eldur Olaffson – time to sack Charles Archer and cleanse the Amaroq stable
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 10:54
THX
Thor Explorations – “Q3 2026 Operating Update”, a further cashed-up Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 16 October 2026, 09:02
Collapsing-Reactor
The Morning after the AIM awards dinner – more bad data from the Casino emerges
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 08:58