By The Soccer Prophet | Sunday 7 September 2014
It’s early September and the international qualification campaigns begin again in earnest today. After a very profitable World Cup (despite Brazil’s collapse and my terrible picks in the knockout phases), I am back to my favourite international league format. The system I use, as I showed in the group phase in Brazil, works best when the variance is smoothed. The principle is simple. Over the course of a run of competitive games all the quirks of 90-minute games of footy average themselves out and the true quality of teams shines through. The scoring system I use is better than the FIFA Ranking system, because it better captures the relative strengths of opponents. Over the next few days, I will follow the same format as I did over the first fortnight of the World Cup, but this time I will also throw in at least one accumulator. And boy is it a fantastic bet.
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