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Tern – Big Crunch Looms as Market Reality Drives Coach and Horses Through Aggressive Valuations

By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM | Sunday 4 July 2021


Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from ShareProphets). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.


What is AIM-listed jam-tomorrow investment company Tern plc (TERN) really worth? At the close of play on Friday the shares were down 11% at 24.5p, valuing the company at £81 million. But its last-stated NAV per share was just 7.3p, which would value the company at a far more modest £24 million. The problem is that Tern’s stated NAV per share has been shown to be (if you’ll pardon the pun) Wyldly optimistic. I believe the last stated NAV should be more like £17.4 million – and that is being generous.

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