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Latest News

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Kefi IS on track, please no more emails today!

In today's Bearcast I discuss Optibiotix (OPTI), Kefi Gold & Copper (KEFI), THG (THG) and Argo Blockchain (ARB).
THRU
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Thruvision – full-year results argue a “breakthrough year”. Er, what about the still forecast current year loss?

Describing itself as a “leading provider of walk-through security technology”, Thruvision Group (THRU) has announced results for its year ended 31st March 2023 emphasising a “breakthrough year, which saw revenues jump by 49%… to £12.4 million” and “a robust base from which we can profitably grow the group”. So what of a current over 6.5% lower share price response to 28.5p?
Beggar

Video: Gold and Silver Will be the Only Safe Harbour in Coming Crisis

I have not heard the word "capitulation" for a while. But trader David Brady discusses what capitulation will look like in this environment.
ARB
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Argo Blockchain – can anyone explain the price of its 2026 bonds?

These bonds were issued with an 8.75% coupon at $25 and are due to be redeemed in full in just three years. They are either extraordinarily cheap or the equity is extraordinarily overpriced even after its sub-scale fund raise this week. Let me explain.
THS
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Tharisa – Q3 update, still a cash-generating value Buy

PGMs and chrome producer from South Africa, Tharisa (THS) has issued an update on the third quarter to end-June of its year, with 'highlights' including “PGM output increased to 37.0 koz (Q2 FY2023: 34.3 koz) with yield maintained and recoveries improving” and “Karo Platinum Project remains on track with major milestones of first concrete pour and pilot mining commenced” currently helping the shares up by more than 7% to 75p. But we consider there is much further upside potential here.
PREM
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Premier African takes a related party loan from boss George CockRoach who will not risk a cent

Premier African Minerals (PREM) is running on vapours and facing legal action that could well blow it up and as such nobody will give it cash to pay the bills. And so it has no choice but to agree to an "unusual" loan from CEO George (Cock) Roach which will see him risk not a cent? Confused?
OPTI
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OptiBiotix Health – SweetBiotix update, product range potentially transformational. Strong Buy

OptiBiotix Health (OPTI) has issued a “SweetBiotix” update announcement, including significant progress in commercial scale production development with final product taste tested and accepted by its US partner. However, what about a more than 60% share price rise in response and now even more?
DVRG
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Deepverge - where are the shareholders' fleet of top of the range sports cars?

Deepverge (DVRG) has all the hallmarks of being a zero, a once £70 million company going bust. Its shares are suspended and mug punters have lost everything. But ...
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: the explicit case for sacking Alison Rose as NatWest CEO if she was the source of the BBC Coutts Farage leak

I start with Ms Rose and NatWest (NWG). then I look at Optibiotix (OPTI) and why I would not sell at 15p after interviewing Steve O'Hara today. I look at Cakebox (CBOX), AMT Energy (AMTE), Lansdowne Oil & Gas (LOGP) and at IOG (IOG).
VRCI

Verici Dx – compliance authorisation from an additional four US states, how “important” a step?

Clinical diagnostics for organ transplant-focused Verici Dx (VRCI) has announced what CEO Sara Barrington emphasises as “another important step in our strategy, expanding our commercial reach and making it easier for clinicians to order our tests helping to drive the adoption of both Tutivia and Clarava”. So what is this ‘step’ and what of a current share price response up to 12.25p?
PMP
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Portmeirion – “significantly below” expectations profit warning, is upcoming end-consumer demand really going to support strong customer restocking?

Previously writing on homewares group Portmeirion (PMP), last year with the shares at 350p I wrote interims, “encouraging year on year growth” but will it continue? – concluding still currently only on the watchlist. The shares most recently closed at 395p, but my caution now looks more justified with they currently falling below 300p on the back of a “trading update”.

PREM
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Premier African – George (Cock) Roach sounds like my pal the Euroloon Jonathan Price

As Jonathan reminds me frequently, we 17.4 million xenophobes ( including my wife of Indian origin) were too stupid to understand the question of Brexit and so the only solution is to make us all vote again. George Cockroach, the boss of Premier African Minerals (PREM) has a similar view of his shareholders: the dumb fucks need to vote again.
AET
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I'm very happy overall with the latest Afentra acquisition and it remains a long term investment for me

The news yesterday that Afentra (AET) had entered into another acquisition, and were suspending the shares until an admission document has been released, seemed to get a mixed reaction, but I for one was pleased with the news.
EZJ
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How hot will the summer be for easyJet?

When I look at my diary over the next few weeks, the busiest day is always a Thursday. Such has been my life over the last twenty-five plus years! The main excitement for me is elsewhere in the world today, but from a FTSE 350 perspective I have a few thoughts on easyJet (EZJ).
AMTE
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AMTE Power – now needs financial ‘solution’ “within the next few business days”. What’s that I can hear?…

Previously writing on company which describes itself as “a leading developer and manufacturer of lithium-ion and sodium-ion battery cells for specialist markets” AMTE Power (AMTE), last month as the shares jumped to 6p on ‘battery challenge’ and UN Certification announcements I concluded it’s good luck here particularly in the current financing environment – and thus more covid-era IPO misery. Hopefully our prior warnings were heeded and it remains bargepole/sell. The shares most recently closed at 8.25p but are currently down to 4.25p on the back of a “Financing update” announcement. Uh oh!

Gold

Video: Gold, The Beginning of the Journey to $2905

Writer Francis Hunt, the founder of The Market Sniper talks about why inflation has not been “cured” yet; it looks better only because it is being compared to previous numbers and basing effects. He says that year-on-year effects have decreased, but the consumer is still taking a hit. He argues that the declining dollar and prices is an indication that US inflation will likely surge soon.
TNT
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The Looming suspension of Tintra – three possible reasons and none of them good

I have warned you often enough that Tintra (TNT) would blow itself up and it has now issued a RNS stating it is faces delay in getting its audited accounts for the year to 31 January 2023 finalised after six months and might, as a result, get its shares suspended on August 1. This is a massive red flag but what is the problem?
NWG
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Must NatWest boss Alison Rose now resign over the Farage affair at Coutts

I discussed the scandal of the closing of Nigel Farage’s bank account by Coutts on political grounds in a podcast yesterday HERE. Like the heroic Peter Tatchell who has opined on this matter, I really disagree with Farage on many things, but I argue that what Coutts has done is scandalous. But this scandal now looks like it is ratchetting up and very well could cost Dame Alison Rose, the boss of NatWest (NWG) which owns Coutts, her job. Here’s why.
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