ShareProphets

Wednesday 23 August 2017 The one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares


29 July 2016, 08:07 | By Malcolm Stacey |

The Big Drinks Firm has a Top Up as Shares Hit New All-Time High.

My esteemed colleague Graham Neary, a bloke whose analytical powers are tremendous, opined the other day that drinks firms make investors lots of money. Most of them, anyway. He was writing about Fevertree (FEVR), a company which puts a superior kind of tonic water into gin and tonics. I’ve also commended this lot on this delicious website before  now. Since then the shares have risen about 40%.

28 July 2016, 12:45 | By Graham Neary |

Just Eat – Heavy price to be paid for spectacular potential

Earlier this week, I covered Fevertree and noted that despite the extraordinary earnings multiple attached (100x the most recent six-month result), I thought a portfolio of similar companies might do reasonably well over the long-term. Of course, this would require that we succeeded in finding at least a couple which did fulfill their organic growth potential – not easy – and held them for the long run. This morning brings interim results from Just Eat (JE), and the features are somewhat similar.

28 July 2016, 12:36 | By Cynical Bear |

Craven House Capital: the spoof investment company without a home to go to

Disappointing news emanating from Craven House Capital (CRV) at 11.20am today calling off the exciting move to the Specialist Fund Segment of the Main Market as it failed the eligibility criteria, so where does this leave the company now?

28 July 2016, 11:22 | By Steve Moore |

Elektron Technology – current trading lower, lashings of jam tomorrow…

Elektron Technology (EKT) CEO John Wilson emphasises that “the group continues to make progress in the delivery of new product development programmes in our growth brands, which the board believes will significantly enhance shareholder value”, though current revenues (six months ending 31st July 2016) “are expected to be lower than those for the same period last year”. Hmmm…

28 July 2016, 11:21 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Filthy 40 China Africa down 36% today: how long until it is bust?

Leading the losers board today currently is ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play China Africa Resources (CAF) with (last seen) a stonking drop of 36%. There is no news today, but yesterday’s interims, released at lunchtime, might provide the clue: it’s not pretty – the company needs to raise cash.

28 July 2016, 09:13 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - My father prepares to sink Fred Olsen

I start with the bad news for whoever owns Fred Olsen.  I think look at Octagonal (OCT), Blur (BLUR), much ramped Keras Resources (KRS), XCite Energy (XEL), Magnolia Petroleum (MAGP), 88 Energy (88E), Highlands Natural Resources (HNR), Sareum (SAR) and then a joke IPO called Widecells (WDC), which listed yesterday and is now the subject of a ramp. Feel the stem cells. No actually don't. Just sell.

28 July 2016, 09:02 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Purplebricks – now Old Mutual heading for the exit?

We spotted that that the Chief Marketing Officer of AIM-listed Purplebricks (PURP) had been beating a hasty retreat the other day, selling £341,000 worth of shares acquired from the exercise of options almost as soon as the certificate arrived. But it seems that Old Mutual had a similar idea.

28 July 2016, 08:47 | By Cynical Bear |

FastForward Innovations – Late night RNS: yet another poor connected investment from the Thompson Twins

FastForward Innovations (FFWD) issued an after-hours RNS yesterday at 4.59pm announcing its next investment. Surely it wasn’t embarrassed by it? Let’s take a look.

28 July 2016, 08:33 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Blur Trading Statement - Show Me The Lack of Money: Letts Must Go

The hapless Phil Letts, founder and CEO of disaster story Blur (BLUR) must surely know that his time - and that of his grossly overpaid Mrs - is almost up. After another dire trading statement today, There's No Other Way, as Blur used to say:

28 July 2016, 08:27 | By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore |

FDM Interims - Told y'all

Specialist provider of IT consultants, FDM Group (FDM) has announced results for the first half of 2016, noting a “strong” performance “is continuing into the second half… Notwithstanding the changing European political backdrop we remain confident that FDM is very well placed to meet the board's expectations for the full year”.

28 July 2016, 08:27 | By HotStockRockets |

Optibiotix - that is more like it: material revenues on the way very soon

Good news. This is the sort of thing investors have been wanting Optibiotix (OPTI) to announce and it is delivering. The company says that the trial launch of its Slimbiome® ingredients in a range of meal replacement shakes and natural snack bars went well. In independent tests the ingredients of bars and drinks including Slimbiome showed fatties cutting calorie intakes by 20% or more and suffering fewer cravings.

28 July 2016, 08:24 | By Malcolm Stacey |

The Share Price Keeps Building - But this Beauty Is Tooled Up for Even Bigger Profits.

Hello Share Screechers. It’s possibly time we looked at a share in the fabulous ‘slow, steady riser’ category. In some ways Ashtead Group (AHT) is a rather odd company to put our trust in.

27 July 2016, 16:14 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - Avanti won't be playing Germany in the invasion of France role play

I am challenged to comment on Cenkos (CNKS) as an investment in light of todays news on its role in the Quindell fraud (HERE). Okay, I do my best. Then it is on to Techfinancials (TECH), Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) and some friendly advice for Malcolm Stacey, Gulf Keystone (GKP), XCite Energy (XEL) and then I end with Avanti Communications (AVN) where I hope you understand the historical analogy.

27 July 2016, 15:46 | By Tom Winnifrith |

For Once Frank Field is wrong - Philip Green is NOT worse than Robert Maxwell

The saintly Labour MP Frank Field is almost always right. He was on the right side on Brexit and seems to be about the only MP serious about welfare reform. And he is right to castigate Phil Green for his greed and all round disgraceful behaviour at BHS - I agree the man is awful, see HERE. But Frank is wrong to say that Green's crimes are worse than those of another Labour MP and disgraced CEO, Bob Maxwell.

27 July 2016, 14:00 | By Graham Neary |

Boring investing produces generations of riches – the case of PZ Cussons

Yesterday saw the publication of annual results from one of the low-profile but high-quality companies on the market: PZ Cussons (PZC). Underlying results were unexciting but investors were treated to their 43rd consecutive year-on-year dividend increase from this 19th century business. It just goes to show that successful investing can be very, very boring.

27 July 2016, 11:50 | By Steve Moore |

Ebiquity – relying on some improved performance to achieve FY expectations, future profit warning?

Marketing analytics company Ebiquity (EBQ) has released a half year trading statement including that its “Marketing Performance Optimization practice has generated significant growth across all markets”, though that overall company performance is only “broadly in line with” (i.e. slightly behind) market expectations. The following reviews, with the shares currently 3% lower at 115p…

27 July 2016, 10:35 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Frontera Resources – Red Flags for breakfast, anyone? SELL!

DIRECTOR PURCHASES SHARES screams the headline – in capitals - of an RNS from AIM-listed Frontera Resources (FRR) - not to be confused with Frontier Resources - this morning. Ooooh quick, let’s all pile in – follow the money, as they say, because the insiders know what’s really going on. Er, hang on a moment….

27 July 2016, 09:37 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Vindication for Tom Winnifrith: Cenkos to be fined up to £700,000 over Quindell fraud - not enough

Sky News claims to have a source who says that Nomad and broker Cenkos (CNKS) is to be fined £700,000 by the FCA for its lamentable failings in the Quindell (QPP) fraud - Cenkos has now admiited that a probe is underway. Whilst I see this as another moment of vindication for my work in exposing that fraud it is simply not enough. The FCA is telling the City's banksters that turning a blind eye to white collar crime does pay. Its coke and hookers all round if this is the best that the FCA can do.

27 July 2016, 08:54 | By HotStockRockets |

Frontier Resources becomes Concepta as RTO completes - Buy

Frontier Resources (FRI) is no more. It is now Concepta (CPT), new shares for the RTO, open offer and placing have been issued and the shares have undergone a 250-1 consolidation.

27 July 2016, 08:20 | By Steve Moore |

KEFI Minerals – “pleased to announce” placing, is it right to be so?

KEFI Minerals (KEFI) “is pleased to announce that it has conditionally raised approximately £3.8 million (approximately US$5 million), before expenses, through the issue of 761,921,740 new ordinary shares… at a price of 0.5p per share”. Is it right to be so?

9 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service FiveFreeShareTips.com

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.

3 days ago | By Pizza Hardman & Hackney Marxist Darren Atwater |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by some scooter courier shop in Vietnam, #1 distributer for Telit

As seen here, Telit's (TCM) distributers are a, um, diverse lot, including a distributer in Vietnam that appears to be a scooter courier firm. Which is nice, and thank you for sponsoring this week's Bulletin Board Moron search.

7 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

A Super Sewer, A Swish Station and a Big Bridge. Balfour Beatty is on a Roll

Hello Share Scraggers. Infrastructure is a buzz word at the mo. Companies which supply it (if that’s the right word) are seeing their share prices rise. You’ll recall that Big Donald climbed into power by saying he would spend a lot more on roads and other public projects in the USA. Not to mention that laughable Mexican wall. And Blighty’s government has also said it will be spending more on infrastructure.

7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

I will make this simple enough that even Bushveld shareholders can understand it

I'd like to start a competition to find the AIM shareholder list with the lowest average IQ. I am beginning to think that it may well be that of Bushveld Minerals (BMN). Sure its shares are up by 400% since the pump and dump of last fall (exposed HERE) and they may rise again on the latest pump and dump of yesterday (HERE) but folks need to be aware that a placing is a slam dunk cert. Oh no, say some very stupid people.

7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Andalas Energy: Open letter to FCA & AIM Regulation - Market Abuse & Breach of AIM Rules

I am deeply troubled by events at AIM uber dog Andalas Energy (ADL) on Monday afternoon. This is a company that has form when it comes to breaking AIM Casino Rules but on this occasion it is the advisers at Cantor Fitzgerald, whose actions have alreday cost some folks 50% of their money, who should be hung, drawn and quartered. Sadly we have gone soft on crime but at least they should be clobbered by the FCA for market abuse and AIM Regulation for breaching AIM rules. I have sent a letter.

7 days ago | By HotStockRockets |

Optibiotix - we buy more shares for first time in two years, price is just wrong

Thanks for all the emails on Optibiotix (OPTI). We understand seeing the shares slide back to 53p odd is alarming. To one or two of you, there is no need for such language! To the rest of you here goes.

7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

AIM Dog Servision: another warning and it is death spiral and dilution frenzy ahead

When serving up god-awful FY numbers on deadline day ( June 30th) it was shown that uber dog Servision (SEV) had serially misled investors and indeed told outright lies over the prior half year. Rover also served up its second profits warning in two weeks with the god-awful numbers and 'fessed up "Our working capital position is tighter than we anticipated" - I should cocoa. Today it got worse.

6 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Looking for a Possibly Safer Airline Venture? - Well, this Fleet's In

Hello Share Grafters. The congestion in most of our airports will give you the heads-up that air travel is booming. It will continue to do so, especially as more people from developing countries become middle class. But you may still be wary of big airlines.

6 days ago | By Steve Moore |

EU Supply – does “Contract win” merit a 12% share price rise?

Having reached 18p last month, shares in e-procurement software provider EU Supply (EUSP) had slipped back slightly – but are currently further higher on the back of a “Contract win” announcement. This following a trading update earlier in the month…

6 days ago | By Steve Moore |

Idox – acquisition aids a rating which is “highly attractive”… Or is it?

Having reached more than 75p in May, shares in information management technology and services company Idox (IDOX) declined below 60p early last month before recovering above 65p - then declining towards 60p again. The company is now “pleased to announce that it has acquired… Halarose, a supplier of electoral back office software and services to UK local authorities, for £5.0 million, comprising £3.5 million in cash and £1.5 million in shares” (at 61.5p)…

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Obtala - shares to more than double: broker VSA: we publish the note

VSA is house broker to Obtala (OBT) so is not impartial. Neither am I as we own a small number of shares following a Dragon's Den pitch as the 2017 UK Investor Show. But the price target suggests real upside and VSA's research team is well regarded and since we happily published an uber-negative piece from Evil Banksta the other day, this offers some balance. VSA has tweaked its forecasts

6 days ago | By Steve Moore |

Capital Drilling – half-year results include “broadened” uplift in activity, so why are the shares lower still?

Drilling services company Capital Drilling (CAPD) has announced results for the first half of 2017, including that an initial uplift in activity has broadened with an improving outlook in industrial metals and capital markets activities support. Why then are the shares further lower, below 40p, having been above 60p earlier this year?...

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

A letter to the chairman of the London Stock Exchange - why no independent review of the Telit fraud?

You may remember that at the last AGM of the London Stock Exchange (LSE) its chairman,, Donald Brydon CBE, 'fessed up to being a ShareProphets reader and as we chatted afterwards he came over as a thoroughly decent man. But he has, yet again, been failed by his minions in their handling of the biggest AIM fraud of the year, so far, Telit (TCM). Lowly gofers such as the head of AIM Regulation, the fake Sheriff Mr Marcus Stuttad,  have allowed Telit to avoid any independent scrutiny of its accounts & business practices despite clear evidence of fraud. That has to change and maybe Brydon will push for that. I have sent him a letter.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Kennedy Ventures - Giving 3.98% of the company to the CEO does have a cost

Some folks think that handing out share options to senior staff is a cost free exercise and b) benefits all shareholders as it incentivizes the board and also aligns their interests with those of stockholders. Bollocks on all counts.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Does Neil Woodford really deserve a halo - is Circassia the biggest dog in his funds?

If you read the bent, freebie is our middle name, personal financie columnists in the deadwood press, fund manager Neil Woodford walks on water. I disagree and have noted before, that, maybe, after three dismal years, others are starting to see the light.  But, with assistance from a leading broker, how about we have a real look at the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) but also at the sort of dogs Neil ifalls in love with.

9 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service FiveFreeShareTips.com

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.

9 hours ago | By ShareProphets |

6 tips, the one gold share that all must own, and six reasons why the stock market may crash in 2017 - The August edition of the UK Investor Show magazine is now live

The August edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring six share tips, the one gold share that all must own, and six reasons why the stock market may crash in 2017 and much more.

2 days ago | By Steve Moore |

Provident Financial – calamitous “Trading Statement”, shares plunge, another nightmare for Neil Woodford

Earlier this month in Neil Woodford - how long before The Deadwood Press admits that he does not walk on water?, Tom noted a bad record – recently including Provident Financial (PFG). The Mail on Sunday had written “the FTSE 250 doorstep lender whose profits halved after it struggled to move to a new operating model” - the struggles have got considerably worse…

9 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Arrogant bastard Nomates Neil Woodford explains his latest disaster Provident Financial

Showing not an ounce of humility, the fund manager who seems to have at least three high profile disasters as week, Neil Woodford has posted a comment on his group's blog explaining why Provident Financial (PFG) shares are cheap after yesterday's disastrous warning. But before you rush out to buy it is worth noting that after the last warning (in June) Nomates Neil posted another blog. Nomates had chatted at length to management, he understood the score, the market was wrong and Nomnates had bought a stack more shares. There seems to be a pattern here.

2 days ago | By Cynical Bear |

Sphere Medical – Yet another Woodford debacle: it’s all becoming a bit too common

When Neil Woodford launched his Patient Capital Trust (WCPT) to much fanfare in 2015, everyone waited expectantly to see how he would start spending the £800 million war chest and so one had high hopes in April 2015 with the announcement of the first investment for the fund, namely a £4 million investment in an exciting quoted biotech play, Sphere Medial Holdings (SPHR). As an announcement last night showed, it has been as successful (or not) as one of his other uber-dogs RM2 International (RM2).

1 day ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

A Broker warns you on Bushveld... they do it with mirrors

Once again I return to the subject of the company on AIM with the stupidest bunch of shareholders. The auditors of Bushveld Minerals (BMN) have stated explicitly that the company needs to raise fresh equity to avoid going tits up but shareholders respond by saying "how often have auditors got it wrong?" and a range of other excuses. They just do not get it at all, it is placing ahoy. Now the company has news today which the morons who own this stock seem to think is good. Ina private email this morning a top City broker put it thus:

9 hours ago | By Pizza Hardman & Hackney Marxist Darren Atwater |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by the AIM casino, the world's most successful growth market

This week's Bulletin Board Moron contest is sponsored by the AIM Markets, the world's most successful growth market, now only slightly smaller than it was last year.

12 hours ago | By HotStockRockets |

Optibiotix extends Sacco deal - another piece in the jigsaw: KEEP BUYING!

Optibiotix (OPTI) has announced that it has extended the Europe wide supply agreement announced with Sacco in March to cover the USA and Rest of the World. The new deal grants Sacco an exclusive licence to manufacture and supply OptiBiotix's cholesterol and blood pressure reducing LPLDL® strain in the US and ROW, in return for 50% of the profit, with a guaranteed cost of manufacture and minimum sales price per kilogramme to secure against discounting.

2 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Why I'm Still Riding the Black Horse

Hello, Share Mixers. As you may have gathered, I favour investment in all four big British banks at the mo. My main reason is that each time one of them announces new figures, its balance sheet seems to have improved nicely and the share price usually shoots up.

1 day ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Winner of the Telit Leather Man Macho Insider Dealer Yosi Fait caption contest announced

We asked you for suitable captions for the picture below of the leather man who took over from the cowboy as CEO of the Telit (TCM) village people. I refer, of course, to insider dealer Yosi Fait. You offered numerous suggestions as you can see HERE but there can be only one winner and it is

2 days ago | By Cynical Bear |

Red Leopard Holdings: Shock TR-1’s – Spreadex has been selling out

wrote at the weekend about the surprising lack of TR-1’s at Red Leopard Holdings (RLH), particularly from the largest shareholder Spreadex, with the company having gone into suspension pending an RTO. Well, as if by magic, they arrived yesterday, after hours of course.

12 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Odd one out Contest: Martha Stewart, Lord Archer, Leather Man Yosi Fait and Jeff Skilling

Ok this really is easy. All you need to do is to say which of the four well regarded and utterly honest individuals below is the odd one out and why. Do your worst. The deadline is midnight tonight (Wednesday)

15 hours ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Lost Faith in some of Your Old Favourites? Then Take a Look at this 200-year-old Niche Company

Hello, Share Smugglers. The main staples of your portfolio, I should imagine, are in these popular sectors; oil, banks, pharmaceuticals, utilities and insurance. I could be wrong, but history shows that people who invested in these areas years ago still hold the stock.

2 days ago | By Chris Bailey |

Billiton gets religion...with a little help from its activist hedge fund 'friend'

It was around a year ago that I wrote an article about one of my then tips of the year BHP Billiton (BLT) observing that the world's largest mining company had just made billions of dollars of losses...but correctly the share price was going up. Billiton was a nice solid pick for 2016 but so far this year the share has been more volatile than remunerative.

13 hours ago | By Chris Bailey |

Does WPP stand for 'What Profit Progression'?

Too many years ago to remember as a fledgling analyst and junior portfolio manager, I was told by an old hand that 'WPP is the company with the greatest correlation to the FTSE-100'. I have no idea - nor the boring Excel skills - to say whether this is true but the notion that the world's largest advertising company should broadly share the same ups and downs as the very international main UK market index makes quite a bit of sense.

12 hours ago | By HotStockRockets |

Wishbone – Yorkville fund raise, at up to and including 0.8p BUY

Wishbone Gold (WSBN) has announced an £800,000 fund raise at 0.7p. Well we wish it was that simple. The mechanism is really very complicated but involves Yorkville so we imagine that there are people out there saying Death Spiral. They are wrong.