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Hello Share Twitchers. Truth be told I was getting a bit worried about my Galliford Try (GFRD) shares. They initially did really well for me. So much so that I topped up rather generously a few months ago. That led to the usual falling away of share value.
The macro news today showed a glimmer of hope for retailers with the UK British Retail Consortium (BRC) data showing a 1.2% rise in June like-for-like retail sales compared to a year ago. All hail the hot weather and the Eid celebrations which apparently - according to the experts - helped out.
I am with my father and he enjoys being part of bearcast so here is another one off. We start on the use of language and its misuse something which Dad and I talk about a lot. Thus there was Theresa May referring to THE cricket. And a fellow Tory MP who used a word she really should not have used in a phrase with a clear meaning. many said the phrase was racist. It was not it is the word that is, rightly, just not acceptable. That brings me to Sound Energy (SOU), Amur Minerals (AMC), MySquar (MYSQ) and Bagir (BAGR). I leave Shipston tonight so no more father and son bearcasts, regular podcasts will be back in September.
iii, aka Interactive Investor, do not seem happy at being called total bastards for changing the terms for holding client money so that clients, that is mug punters like you and I, get more risk and iii gets more money. It says that this is not the objective of what is going on any anyhow other stockbrokers such as Hargreaves Lansdown and the Share Centre are doing the same thing. As such I am happy to clarify " I apologise for saying that iii are total bastards. I meant to say that iii like many other stockbrokers including Hargreaves Lansdown and the Share Centre are total bastards." The iii spokesman is keen that I put this all in context. iii's comments are in bold, my translation service is below.
Nu-Oil and Gas (NUOG) is all the rage at the moment amongst PIs, but I’m finding it hard to get quite so excited about its prospects and am getting a feeling of déjà vu when I look back at some of the old Enegi Oil announcements.
AIM-listed Frontera Resources (FRR) has announced that Steve C Nicandros is to relinquish his executive role as CEO but remains at non-executive chairman. After 21 years of service it is natural to look back and talk about the highlights, so the ShareProphets RNS Translation Team has been busy with today’s quote from Mr Nicandros. Original is in bold.
We are building a good base for a spectacular second half of this year; people are in a state of panic and sentiment is at the bottom. So says gold guru Florian Grummes.
Shares are valued on the basis of what is to come. that is to say future earnings ( or lack of them). Not historic losses, profits or performance. But shares in Columbus (CERP), the former LGO Energy have been marked a tad lower after an operational update as punters looked in the rear view mirror. Their error = your opportunity.
There are numerous reasons NOT to own shares in sub scale and underperforming Paternoster Resources (PRS) as I explained at the weekend HERE. But there is a different way of looking at this piece of investment crap.
San Leon (SLE) has updated on the suspension of its shares - something that has now lasted a week. We have been in constant communication with the company and are relaxed about the situation, not expecting it to last much longer.
Hello Share Peggers. The latest set of figures from Sainsbury (SBRY) show that sales in the last four months improved by 2.3%. Which is not too bad, considering the huge challenge from the competition these days.
Markets are starting to adjust to the idea that interest rates are going up and they are now questioning exactly what this means. This generally means less risk-taking, which means lower asset prices. We are at a point where small shifts in absolute terms have an outsize relative impact. If interest rates rise from 5% to 5.25%, that’s not a big move. But if they rise from 0.25% to 0.5%, they’ve doubled.
This morning AIM uber dog Milestone (MSG) announced that a new investor, Para & Co (UK) Ltd, was providing a cash advance of up to £400,000 of cash via a convertible loan note as part of a total capital raise of up to £1.5 million for a maximum interest of 29.9% at a price of 0.29 pence per share. Nigel covered this earlier here but let's dig further into the affairs of this new investor.
AIM-listed Chinese play Grand Group (GIPO) has had something of a chequered history even by the standards set by the Filthy Forty. It didn’t get in because it listed too late, but that hasn’t stopped the comparisons. It listed at 80p in January 2015 yet there appears to be a rush for the exit today, with the stock off by 32% at just 9.75p.
The ShareSoc blog it can, now and again, have some cracking material - today it exposes Interactive Investor Limited for putting its clients cash at risk to screw extra cash out of them. This is shocking. and anyone with a stockbroking account at iii or TD Waterhouse which it now owns should open an account elsewhere and start moving spare cash and the proceeds of share sales there. iii is clearly run by total bastards.
AIM-listed Milestone Group (MSG) has had a colourful history recently when it comes to raising money. There was the cash which didn’t arrive which the company ‘fessed up to rather late in the day. There was an RNS dated 3 August last year which announced a placing which was already announced in the company’s Interims in June 2016. Now we have a new investor ponying up £1.5 million at 0.29p against a share price of 0.14p when the company was surely running on fumes.
Here I am in Shipston with my father who enjoys bearcasts if they mention him so just for that reason I record again. His faux political correctness is exposed by the issue of coverage of women's cricket in The Guardian - the dreadful newspaper he has delivered to try to fool my family of public sector "working" lefties that he is one of them. In terms of the market I look at Carillion (CLLN) and 88 Energy (88E). Shares in both companies are collapsing today and I look at why and at what lessons folks should be learning. You could so easily have avoided losing money on both. Please note Malcolm Stacey and other Ocado (OCDO) bulls, lesson one on Carillion is for you. I also make it clear that while he may have some of the attributes of a Bulletin Board Moron as he showed HERE, Evil Knievil is not, in fact, a BBM, I was just joshing him when I suggested otherwise. En passant I look at MySquar (MYSQ) and explain why today's exposes HERE and HERE may refer to events a long time ago but are pertinent.
Our recent coverage of AIM Bulletin Board Moron darling MySQUAR (MYSQ) HERE and HERE should leave you in no doubt that this is a piece of crap heading for 0p. At the heart of the issues are the related party deals conducted with other Schaer companies which explain most of the "sales" MySQUAR reports. Earlier toady we ran a piece which exposed the dirty business practices of Schaer when he used to operate in the USA, as you can see HERE. Now for part two which shows what an A grade shyster the man is, another reason to exit this stock ASAP before it goes tits up.
Any company employing disgraced Nilesh Jagathia of Teathers infamy is a good bet either to go tits up or to get into a spot of bother for not filing documents properly at Companies House. And that brings us to Octagonal (OCT) PLC where clueless Nilesh does the books.
Our recent coverage of AIM Bulletin Board Moron darling MySQUAR (MYSQ) HERE and HERE should leave you in no doubt that this is a piece of crap heading for 0p. At the heart of the issues are the related party deals conducted with other Schaer companies which explain most of the "sales" MySQUAR reports. Does Schaer walk on water? Er...let's look at his CV.But before we start I notice that he surrendered his US passport in 2015. I wonder why?
It has now emerged that Brokerman Dan attacked what he thought I said about Angus Energy (ANGS) without actually listening to what I actually said despite us giving him a 24 hour pass for bearcast access. He spouts an awful lot of piffle in his latest article but declines to print corrections. Poor Dan. Oddly on one major point he is almost correct. Moving on, I also look at Cenkos (CNKS), Frontera (FRR), Rosenblatt (RBGP), i3 Energy (I3E), MySquar (FRAUD), Online Blockchain (OBC) and Kellan (KLN).
I have had one of those days which happen all too often when I think I want to retire. Blame Laurence Smith. All is explained in this podcast. I look at today's news from Premaitha (NIPT) which is certainly a bolt from the blue, comment on the nature of corporate lying, ref Frontera (FRR), cover RM2 (RM2), Optibiotix (OPTI), Sosandar (SOS) and Online Blockchain (DOG).
Having demanded we bring back this contest, once again, Juicin Drumroll failed to win last week but he came second and tried very hard as you can see HERE. So he is clearly desperate to win a semi naked photo of Britain's leading share blogger before lunchtime, Thirsty Paul Scott. So we will give him a fifth and final chance. Can anyone stop Juicin from winning this week? Okay here is the challenge for you all:
Yesterday Frontera Resources (FRR) received a second lawyers letter from convertible loan note provider Yorkville in regard to the $2.65 million outstanding debt on which it is now in default. The letter accused Frontera of lying to investors. Frontera has not disclosed that letter, or its contents nor has it repaid the sums due to Yorkville Instead it has issued another RNS which is simply misleading. It is doubling down on lying and apparently Nomad cairn is fine with that?
Mrs Stacey says that I have been spending too much time in the Punter’s Return reading dull articles about shares and that we need a break. She says that I need inspiration for my next novel and so has suggested that we head off on one of those holidays advertised during Midsomer Murders for a more mature and sophisticated audience.
One of my few vices in life is sugar. I have parlayed this into stock selection via a recommendation on Tate & Lyle (TATE), which I last wrote up HERE. The company held a capital markets day late last week and the one presentation slide that stood out was one which talked about 'sugar replacement is a key market opportunity globally'. Well of course it is. Gluttons like me want to both have our cake and eat it and one way to do this - without becoming significantly obese - is to focus on non conventional sugar options, a market which Tate & Lyle has been active in with its Sucralose product.
“Specialist full service supplier of technical fluid power products and services”, Flowtech Fluidpower (FLO) updated on trading in July – but the half-year results announcement today is currently accompanied by an approaching 30% share price fall, towards 120p. Hmmm…
I see that ShareSoc is praising Tern (TERN) for holding a conference call to which anyone can dial into and at which Al Sisto will answer pre-submitted questions. I wonder..
Shares in Neil Woodford uber dog RM2 (RM2) are up by 59% at 0.875p. That means that the market cap has jumped by £14.4 million to £38.8 million on the back of a contract win termed “significant” but which clearly is not and does not change the fact that this company is five minutes away from midnight, that is to say bankruptcy. It’s got to be placing ahoy.
On tipping shares in redT Energy (RED) at a 7.4p offer price in July we noted we looked for German project funding and other orders to drive a re-rate. The shares are currently higher, above 9p, on the back of an “Update on German Grid Project Funding”…
CyanConnode (CYAN) “is pleased to announce” both “the receipt of a $11.6 million purchase order relating to a smart metering deployment by an Indian state-owned utility” and “the consolidation of its European operations”. Hmmm…
Writing on results from MediaZest (MDZ) last month I concluded sell / bargepole, though note the shares currently ahead today on the back of a “Trading update”…
Shares in AIM-listed graphene play Haydale (HAYD) are off again to 44p (mid, last seen) following full year results to June this morning. Following a profit warning in June, when I said this was a bargepole stock at 78p and suggested that we were in for a £6 million loss before tax, cash would be down to around £5 million at year-end and another big cash-call was on the way, let’s see how my Mystic Meg powers are holding up……
“Drunken Sailor” commented to me a few days ago; “I would find it useful if you could do occasional reflective pieces on ones that go wrong and any lessons to learn from them.” OK Drunken. Here goes…
As you may have gathered yesterday, Malcolm’s long-suffering wife reckons that he has been spending too much time in The Punter’s Return and so has organised a holiday in Denmark, Sweden and Russia where Mr Stacey hopes to discover the magic money tree and a theme for his next novel. We left him at Heathrow, but our senior reporter has now updated us on his progress…
We all know UK retail is in a tough spot but problems for Kingfisher (KGF) are ironically not in the UK, where today's half-year numbers were correctly discussed as a 'solid performance' benefiting from continued growth at Screwfix and the self-inflicting wounds at peers that aided B&Q. The trouble is a 15% fall in underlying pre-tax profit mainly due to a 30% fall in profitability in the group's second-largest market France…
Previously writing on LightwaveRF (LWRF) in June it was from “real energy and excitement” to CEO ‘stepping down’ in less than two weeks!, with I concluding even if there is “real energy and excitement within the company”, it’s, as usual, the ability to generate cash which should prove key. On these bases, it’s currently bargepole ahoy / sell. The shares have though just risen on the back of an announcement; “Lightwave rated the best UK HomeKit solution”…
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