ShareProphets

Wednesday 23 August 2017 The one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares


20 August 2017, 11:29 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Stuttard’s Septic Seven – August update and news from African Potash

It is August and Marcus Stuttard, the head of AIM, sees his portfolio of AIM stocks selected for him get to within 40 days of a full year. Out of the seven three have been booted off the market, one is suspended (no accounts) and the other was booted off AIM but got listed on the NEX lobster pot until it was suspended on that market as well. But Mr Stuttard is completely happy with the regulatory environment of the world’s most successful growth market.

20 August 2017, 11:25 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Goldman Sachs Portfolio Manager Says All Time Highs for Gold Coming Fast

Ali Zamani argues that gold has been in a bull market since the end of last year. The start of bull markets often go unnoticed; it’s a grind. However, we are making higher highs and higher lows. He looks at the most successful macro investors and many have come out recently with breakout calls. The ground is fertile, the charts look good, and the base is in, gold will rise quicker than most people think. Indeed he explains why gold will hit new record highs ssoner than most folks think.

20 August 2017, 11:24 | By Cynical Bear |

YOLO: Well, it worked so well for CloudTag I guess…..

I had to laugh this week when I witnessed the marketing genius of one of the key investments of YOLO Leisure and Technology (YOLO) which came straight out of the CloudTag playbook and would be well known to most readers here. How could it possibly go wrong?

20 August 2017, 11:23 | By Pizza Hardman & Hackney Marxist Darren Atwater |

Notes from Underground: Telit to the hand

I had an oniine conversation with an FT reporter about the Telit affair over how the FT would rather credit some Italian newspaper than your obd't one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares. They had to credit somebody given that the FT did not break the story themselves. How convenient for them. CityAM and other publications went with credititing nobody at all. The story broke itself!

19 August 2017, 11:07 | By Cynical Bear |

Red Leopard Holdings: Promising RTO announced – shareholders must be pleased (whoever they are!)

With ten days to go until enforced suspension, Red Leopard Holdings (RLH) announced a potential RTO on Friday relating to a coal project in Colombia. I thought I’d take a look at what it might mean for the shareholders which raised the question as to the bloody shareholders actually are – does no-one file a TR-1 anymore??

19 August 2017, 10:39 | By Tom Winnifrith |

250 Kent job losses as Southern Salads goes bust blaming Brexit but its all lies in the remoaning Independent

When the Brexit remoaners paper of choice, The Guardian, suffers an internet glitch there is always the lamentable Independent which serves up a daily diet of fake news on all matters European. Yesterday we learned that Southern Salads, a Kent firm, had gone bust and 250 ex workers could thank Brexit for it all. Well that is the Indy line, except that it is palpably false. It is just made up news. Fake news at every level.

19 August 2017, 09:26 | By Lucian Miers |

Purplebricks priced for perfection; Sell at 431p

I wrote about the red flags at Purplebricks (PURP) two weeks ago and promised to return to the subject but was distracted by the Telit (TCM) fiasco last week - on that matter I must urge anyone interested to listen to Tom Winnifrith's bearcast yesterday. I challenge anyone to listen and NOT to wnat to go short. But back to Purplebricks.

19 August 2017, 07:56 | By Steve Moore |

Table of shorted AIM shares - week to 18/08/2017

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...

19 August 2017, 07:32 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit Communications – how much of a cash guzzler is GainSpan?

In the piss poor results for the six months to 30 June 2017, Telit (TCM) highlighted that it had purchased GainSpan and provided the following rather limited commentary on its contribution to the interim results:

19 August 2017, 07:25 | By Steve Moore |

Management Consulting Group – half-year results, an ‘operational improvement implementer’ which needs some of its own medicine!

Management Consulting Group (MMC) Chairman & Chief Executive Nick Stagg, with the company’s results for the first half of 2017, is “pleased to report that Proudfoot, Management Consulting Group’s continuing business, has made progress in the execution of its strategy”. The market is not however pleased – the shares down 8.5%, to 7p…

19 August 2017, 07:25 | By Gary Newman |

Central Asia Metals is probably the most under-valued commodity play on the market!

There are times when a large background seller can present a good buying opportunity, and an institutional investor offloading shares isn’t always a sign that the company is failing to perform.

19 August 2017, 07:13 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Is IQE Another ASOS? It May Not Be, But Can We Risk Letting Our Shares Go?

Hello, Share Scramblers. Let’s just have a few more thoughts about one of the fastest rising shares of the year: IQE (IQE). First of all an admission. I was stupid not to have sold all my shares when the price rose above 140p. My most golden rule is to sell after a big leap and I bought many of these shares at 16p.

18 August 2017, 14:59 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Advanced Oncotherapy – how’s the cash position? Still a stonking SELL.

After a stack of RNSs earlier this year, it has all gone quiet at AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) since the announcement of the termination of the Bracknor death-spiral. How’s the cash position?

18 August 2017, 14:46 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Reader Comment of the day - Drunken Sailor unearths local issues for Bushveld

You may remember that ShareProphets poster Drunken Sailor and I were co-defendants in a libel case a couple of years ago ( which we won). Mr sailor is not a drunk and he is a great sleuth when he wants to be. My pressing concerns about uber ramped Bushveld Minerals (BMN) are its balance sheet, but DS has unearthed another major issue which, for some reason, Bushveld has not covered in an RNS. Perhaps it might do so now? Drunken's post merits a wider audience:

18 August 2017, 14:35 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Oozi Cats and the FBI & why Telit could well be tits up within weeks

The failure of the LSE to insist that hapless Nomad FinnCap forces Telit (TCM) to bring in a firm like KPMG to conduct a full forensic review will hurt it even more when this company goes tits up as I noted in a letter to Stock Exchange boss Donald Brydon earlier today HERE.  Two sources tell me that the FBI may have bad news for the Boston fraudster Oozi Cats and his Mrs as I explain in this podcast. But the meat of the podcast is explaining why Telit will go tits up and why that could be within six weeks. Enjoy.

18 August 2017, 14:05 | By Steve Moore |

SRT Marine Systems – order “for the world's biggest single deployment of AIS AtoN”. Wow… Or not…

Following the postponement of a significant contract announced at the end of last month, SRT Marine Systems (SRT) has now announced an “AIS Aids to Navigation Contract”, including that “the order is for the world's biggest single deployment of AIS AtoN”. The world's biggest hey, sounds impressive!…

18 August 2017, 11:24 | By Cynical Bear |

PCG Entertainment – Lots to like about this funding deal other than…….WHY??

Like Richard Poulden, CEO of PCG Entertainment (PCGE), I have a bit of time for Brian Kinane at Riverfort. As someone who believes in transparency and clear communication, my view is that Brian is trying to bring some of that to the world of small cap funding, particularly where the dreaded phrase “ death spiral” is concerned and there’s a few points here to be applauded. It still doesn’t prevent the obvious question being aimed at Mr Poulden though – WHY RAISE MORE FUNDS NOW?

18 August 2017, 09:24 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Does Neil Woodford really deserve a halo - is Circassia the biggest dog in his funds?

If you read the bent, freebie is our middle name, personal financie columnists in the deadwood press, fund manager Neil Woodford walks on water. I disagree and have noted before, that, maybe, after three dismal years, others are starting to see the light.  But, with assistance from a leading broker, how about we have a real look at the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) but also at the sort of dogs Neil ifalls in love with.

18 August 2017, 09:14 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Kennedy Ventures - Giving 3.98% of the company to the CEO does have a cost

Some folks think that handing out share options to senior staff is a cost free exercise and b) benefits all shareholders as it incentivizes the board and also aligns their interests with those of stockholders. Bollocks on all counts.

23 August 2017, 11:33 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service FiveFreeShareTips.com

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.

20 August 2017, 18:24 | By Pizza Hardman & Hackney Marxist Darren Atwater |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by some scooter courier shop in Vietnam, #1 distributer for Telit

As seen here, Telit's (TCM) distributers are a, um, diverse lot, including a distributer in Vietnam that appears to be a scooter courier firm. Which is nice, and thank you for sponsoring this week's Bulletin Board Moron search.

17 August 2017, 08:14 | By Malcolm Stacey |

A Super Sewer, A Swish Station and a Big Bridge. Balfour Beatty is on a Roll

Hello Share Scraggers. Infrastructure is a buzz word at the mo. Companies which supply it (if that’s the right word) are seeing their share prices rise. You’ll recall that Big Donald climbed into power by saying he would spend a lot more on roads and other public projects in the USA. Not to mention that laughable Mexican wall. And Blighty’s government has also said it will be spending more on infrastructure.

17 August 2017, 08:39 | By Tom Winnifrith |

I will make this simple enough that even Bushveld shareholders can understand it

I'd like to start a competition to find the AIM shareholder list with the lowest average IQ. I am beginning to think that it may well be that of Bushveld Minerals (BMN). Sure its shares are up by 400% since the pump and dump of last fall (exposed HERE) and they may rise again on the latest pump and dump of yesterday (HERE) but folks need to be aware that a placing is a slam dunk cert. Oh no, say some very stupid people.

17 August 2017, 08:21 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Andalas Energy: Open letter to FCA & AIM Regulation - Market Abuse & Breach of AIM Rules

I am deeply troubled by events at AIM uber dog Andalas Energy (ADL) on Monday afternoon. This is a company that has form when it comes to breaking AIM Casino Rules but on this occasion it is the advisers at Cantor Fitzgerald, whose actions have alreday cost some folks 50% of their money, who should be hung, drawn and quartered. Sadly we have gone soft on crime but at least they should be clobbered by the FCA for market abuse and AIM Regulation for breaching AIM rules. I have sent a letter.

17 August 2017, 09:50 | By HotStockRockets |

Optibiotix - we buy more shares for first time in two years, price is just wrong

Thanks for all the emails on Optibiotix (OPTI). We understand seeing the shares slide back to 53p odd is alarming. To one or two of you, there is no need for such language! To the rest of you here goes.

17 August 2017, 09:16 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

AIM Dog Servision: another warning and it is death spiral and dilution frenzy ahead

When serving up god-awful FY numbers on deadline day ( June 30th) it was shown that uber dog Servision (SEV) had serially misled investors and indeed told outright lies over the prior half year. Rover also served up its second profits warning in two weeks with the god-awful numbers and 'fessed up "Our working capital position is tighter than we anticipated" - I should cocoa. Today it got worse.

18 August 2017, 08:08 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Looking for a Possibly Safer Airline Venture? - Well, this Fleet's In

Hello Share Grafters. The congestion in most of our airports will give you the heads-up that air travel is booming. It will continue to do so, especially as more people from developing countries become middle class. But you may still be wary of big airlines.

18 August 2017, 08:40 | By Steve Moore |

EU Supply – does “Contract win” merit a 12% share price rise?

Having reached 18p last month, shares in e-procurement software provider EU Supply (EUSP) had slipped back slightly – but are currently further higher on the back of a “Contract win” announcement. This following a trading update earlier in the month…

17 August 2017, 14:03 | By Steve Moore |

Idox – acquisition aids a rating which is “highly attractive”… Or is it?

Having reached more than 75p in May, shares in information management technology and services company Idox (IDOX) declined below 60p early last month before recovering above 65p - then declining towards 60p again. The company is now “pleased to announce that it has acquired… Halarose, a supplier of electoral back office software and services to UK local authorities, for £5.0 million, comprising £3.5 million in cash and £1.5 million in shares” (at 61.5p)…

17 August 2017, 14:59 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Obtala - shares to more than double: broker VSA: we publish the note

VSA is house broker to Obtala (OBT) so is not impartial. Neither am I as we own a small number of shares following a Dragon's Den pitch as the 2017 UK Investor Show. But the price target suggests real upside and VSA's research team is well regarded and since we happily published an uber-negative piece from Evil Banksta the other day, this offers some balance. VSA has tweaked its forecasts

17 August 2017, 16:05 | By Steve Moore |

Capital Drilling – half-year results include “broadened” uplift in activity, so why are the shares lower still?

Drilling services company Capital Drilling (CAPD) has announced results for the first half of 2017, including that an initial uplift in activity has broadened with an improving outlook in industrial metals and capital markets activities support. Why then are the shares further lower, below 40p, having been above 60p earlier this year?...

18 August 2017, 08:11 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

A letter to the chairman of the London Stock Exchange - why no independent review of the Telit fraud?

You may remember that at the last AGM of the London Stock Exchange (LSE) its chairman,, Donald Brydon CBE, 'fessed up to being a ShareProphets reader and as we chatted afterwards he came over as a thoroughly decent man. But he has, yet again, been failed by his minions in their handling of the biggest AIM fraud of the year, so far, Telit (TCM). Lowly gofers such as the head of AIM Regulation, the fake Sheriff Mr Marcus Stuttad,  have allowed Telit to avoid any independent scrutiny of its accounts & business practices despite clear evidence of fraud. That has to change and maybe Brydon will push for that. I have sent him a letter.

18 August 2017, 09:14 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Kennedy Ventures - Giving 3.98% of the company to the CEO does have a cost

Some folks think that handing out share options to senior staff is a cost free exercise and b) benefits all shareholders as it incentivizes the board and also aligns their interests with those of stockholders. Bollocks on all counts.

18 August 2017, 09:24 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Does Neil Woodford really deserve a halo - is Circassia the biggest dog in his funds?

If you read the bent, freebie is our middle name, personal financie columnists in the deadwood press, fund manager Neil Woodford walks on water. I disagree and have noted before, that, maybe, after three dismal years, others are starting to see the light.  But, with assistance from a leading broker, how about we have a real look at the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) but also at the sort of dogs Neil ifalls in love with.

3 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service FiveFreeShareTips.com

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.

3 hours ago | By ShareProphets |

6 tips, the one gold share that all must own, and six reasons why the stock market may crash in 2017 - The August edition of the UK Investor Show magazine is now live

The August edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring six share tips, the one gold share that all must own, and six reasons why the stock market may crash in 2017 and much more.

1 day ago | By Steve Moore |

Provident Financial – calamitous “Trading Statement”, shares plunge, another nightmare for Neil Woodford

Earlier this month in Neil Woodford - how long before The Deadwood Press admits that he does not walk on water?, Tom noted a bad record – recently including Provident Financial (PFG). The Mail on Sunday had written “the FTSE 250 doorstep lender whose profits halved after it struggled to move to a new operating model” - the struggles have got considerably worse…

1 day ago | By Cynical Bear |

Sphere Medical – Yet another Woodford debacle: it’s all becoming a bit too common

When Neil Woodford launched his Patient Capital Trust (WCPT) to much fanfare in 2015, everyone waited expectantly to see how he would start spending the £800 million war chest and so one had high hopes in April 2015 with the announcement of the first investment for the fund, namely a £4 million investment in an exciting quoted biotech play, Sphere Medial Holdings (SPHR). As an announcement last night showed, it has been as successful (or not) as one of his other uber-dogs RM2 International (RM2).

24 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

A Broker warns you on Bushveld... they do it with mirrors

Once again I return to the subject of the company on AIM with the stupidest bunch of shareholders. The auditors of Bushveld Minerals (BMN) have stated explicitly that the company needs to raise fresh equity to avoid going tits up but shareholders respond by saying "how often have auditors got it wrong?" and a range of other excuses. They just do not get it at all, it is placing ahoy. Now the company has news today which the morons who own this stock seem to think is good. Ina private email this morning a top City broker put it thus:

2 days ago | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Ooh er MRS: CEO walks the plank, or was he pushed?

A surprise announcement from AIM-listed Management Resource Solutions (MRS) at 9.49am detailing board and management changes. At that time of day it hardly looks routine and it wasn’t.

1 day ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Why I'm Still Riding the Black Horse

Hello, Share Mixers. As you may have gathered, I favour investment in all four big British banks at the mo. My main reason is that each time one of them announces new figures, its balance sheet seems to have improved nicely and the share price usually shoots up.

1 day ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Winner of the Telit Leather Man Macho Insider Dealer Yosi Fait caption contest announced

We asked you for suitable captions for the picture below of the leather man who took over from the cowboy as CEO of the Telit (TCM) village people. I refer, of course, to insider dealer Yosi Fait. You offered numerous suggestions as you can see HERE but there can be only one winner and it is

3 hours ago | By Pizza Hardman & Hackney Marxist Darren Atwater |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by the AIM casino, the world's most successful growth market

This week's Bulletin Board Moron contest is sponsored by the AIM Markets, the world's most successful growth market, now only slightly smaller than it was last year.

1 day ago | By Cynical Bear |

Red Leopard Holdings: Shock TR-1’s – Spreadex has been selling out

wrote at the weekend about the surprising lack of TR-1’s at Red Leopard Holdings (RLH), particularly from the largest shareholder Spreadex, with the company having gone into suspension pending an RTO. Well, as if by magic, they arrived yesterday, after hours of course.

1 day ago | By Chris Bailey |

Billiton gets religion...with a little help from its activist hedge fund 'friend'

It was around a year ago that I wrote an article about one of my then tips of the year BHP Billiton (BLT) observing that the world's largest mining company had just made billions of dollars of losses...but correctly the share price was going up. Billiton was a nice solid pick for 2016 but so far this year the share has been more volatile than remunerative.

1 day ago | By ShareProphets |

First Sentinel offers exposure to rare, but valuable stock opportunities

NEX Exchange listed UK Investor Show sponsor First Sentinel (FSEN) announced its move into the public markets via IPO in May 2017 and is already pushing forward with investment opportunities often reserved for institutional groups and inaccessible to retail investors. Due to management’s extensive experience and involvement in the UK, and global financial markets, First Sentinel provides value to shareholders through its unique access to a wide variety of pre-IPO, IPO, mezzanine and senior financing opportunities. The company employs a proprietary risk-control investment strategy that seeks strong upside potential while ensuring maximum downside protection.

1 day ago | By ShareProphets |

ShareProphets China AIM 'Filthy Forty' update – Pembridge Resources no deal complete, so move to standard listing edition

Since our previous update, Pembridge Resources (PERE) has followed the likes of Geong International and co in 'Geong, Geong' and then Gone from the ShareProphets China AIM 'Filthy Forty'...

24 hours ago | By Steve Moore |

Norman Broadbent – “Corporate Update & Change of Adviser”. Hmmm, how’s the balance sheet?

Self-described ‘talent acquisition & advisory services’ company Norman Broadbent (NBB) “announces the appointment of Gary Browning as Strategic Adviser to the Board and CEO, the appointment of WH Ireland as Nominated Adviser and Broker, the issue of a £300,000 loan note and the commencement of CFO succession planning”. Hmmm…

4 hours ago | By Chris Bailey |

Does WPP stand for 'What Profit Progression'?

Too many years ago to remember as a fledgling analyst and junior portfolio manager, I was told by an old hand that 'WPP is the company with the greatest correlation to the FTSE-100'. I have no idea - nor the boring Excel skills - to say whether this is true but the notion that the world's largest advertising company should broadly share the same ups and downs as the very international main UK market index makes quite a bit of sense.

6 hours ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Lost Faith in some of Your Old Favourites? Then Take a Look at this 200-year-old Niche Company

Hello, Share Smugglers. The main staples of your portfolio, I should imagine, are in these popular sectors; oil, banks, pharmaceuticals, utilities and insurance. I could be wrong, but history shows that people who invested in these areas years ago still hold the stock.