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Latest News

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: daring to challenge the great PL

I start with non financial matters: a Woodlarks thank-you, the start of Advent and a discussion about how we really must talk about suicide and related issues. This last subject is prompted by the latest troll to harass me. Then I look at Tungsten (TUNG), Supply@ME Capital (SYME) and at BlueBird Merchant Ventures (BMV).

Bear
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Premier Oil – now a post debt restructuring deal announcement sell

In my experience there are often opportunities to be had in shorting a company’s shares in the period after a debt restructuring deal has been announced as shareholders are generally slow to grasp the effect of the dilution on their interests…

SYME
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The Mystery of the 2 Dogs that barked in the night: Supply@ME Capital “trading update”

Well actually there is no trading – as in generating real as opposed to accounting sales – to report on. Supply@ME Capital (SYME) again offers an update with not one single inventory monetization transaction processed. That is one mystery, the transaction cannot be heard barking at all. And there is another dog that could not be heard barking:

PHD

Proactis – contract win “Strategic” as it sounds better than ‘not currently financially significant’?

Organisational spend management software and services company Proactis (PHD) is “pleased to announce” not just a ‘Contract Win’, but a “Strategic Contract Win”. Hmmm, ramptastic?…

RRR
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Red Rock Resources – will I be eating my hat on video at Christmas?

If the Red Rock Resources (RRR) share price is not 1.26p by Christmas Day, I have said that I will eat my hat on video. The shares are now 0.675p. With Advent starting tomorrow, I admit that I have been considering the logistics of hat-eating. But is the game up? Is my goose, or rather my hat, cooked?

Black-Swan

How did your mum die? Said the troll on the phone

Since late last week, I have been getting repeated calls from a “Private Number”. The caller usually hung up before I could answer. Occasionally I heard silence and then he hung up. I say “he” because today he found his voice.

SMDS
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DS Smith – a Recovery buy...

An early this month “Pre-close statement” from DS Smith (SMDS) included “corrugated box volumes in and throughout Q2 have returned to growth… The step-change in use of e-commerce is clearly established across our territories with very high demand from customers for e-commerce packaging as we head into the festive season”. The shares responded higher… but the current share price compares to approaching 400p early this year and, with also a dividend expected for the company’s half-year which ended 31st October 2020, there looks further recovery value here…

ESC

Escape Hunt – updates on blundering Boris & co. impact; emphasises sites re-opening & digital progress, But...

Escape-the-room experiences company Escape Hunt (ESC“is pleased to confirm that the sites in England, other than those in areas designated ‘tier 3’ under the UK Government’s Coronavirus tiered classification system, will re-open on 2 December” and “digital and remote play games… strong progress” – and the shares have currently responded more than 6% higher to 17.5p. But…

RUTH
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Rutherford Health (ex-Proton Partners, Woodford fave) – Interim Results…..oh dear!

Aquis-listed Rutherford Health (RUTH), the former Proton Partners that Neil Woodford so merrily put his former fundholders on the hook to fund at a ludicrous price, has published its Interims to August 31 this morning. What a shambles!

TPX

Panoply's Share Price Could Beat a Recent Surge if A-list customers Continue to Sign Up

Hello, Share Takers. How’s this for a spiffing idea? You help organisations that need to make more money by building them internet platforms specially designed to attract the dough. If that body happens to be a charity, like Unicef, for example, then your business idea does the world a lot of good. And if your customer is the British government that wants to bring together hundreds of different companies to make and supply hospital ventilators, then how can you go wrong?

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: I must ask myself whether I have got it wrong on gold?

Firstly, we are just £121 short on our Woodlarks appeal target. Will twelve of you donate a tenner and I promise to shut up until February.  Please give HERE. Then I look at gold. Have I got it wrong again? Should I sell? If not, what am I buying? I flag up three stocks which I may nibble at.

UJO

Union Jack Oil – follows West Newton news with Wressle update and more to come… Buy

Union Jack Oil (UJO) has updated investors with news including that it is to provide a £1 million loan facility to Wressle oil field (Union Jack: 40% economic interest) operator Egdon Resources (EDR), which “as well as providing a commercial return on funds will also assist in the development of the Wressle oil field”, and Wressle “workover being completed and initial oil flows anticipated later in January 2021”

Beggar
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(Just £171 short now) 95% of way to target after 3 days: Tom Winnifrith’s Woodlarks Christmas Appeal – if you can be generous please be generous

I know that readers of this website have given so much to Woodlarks over the years. This summer the Rogue Bloggers walk saw us raise enough to ensure that this amazing charity will not go bust despite the lockdown which has been a disaster for it.  Activities are still massively constrained and the Christmas Grotto which brings unbelievable pleasure to 200 severely handicapped or very ill kids each year will have to be a virtual one this year. But it will still cost a few quid…

Gold

Video: Gold Price Signaling Imminent Stimulus, gold juniors cheaper than at any time for 20 years

Analyst David Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics argues that banks like JP Morgan leverage commodity market options via manipulating prices via massive amounts of paper contracts. This manipulation is a source of massive profits for these bullion banks and is permitted because it benefits Central Banks. These shock and awe hits to the market are designed to shake out weak participants.

Professor

Sunday Long Reads: Deformed Capitalism, Sex and Video Games, Job Pay or Job Fun?, Dark Scrabble

Here are five long reads that have nothing to do with shares. Put the kettle on, find a comfy chair. You have the time, don’t you? 

KIST
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I have high hopes for Andrew Austin's new venture but wouldn't be in any rush to invest at this price level

RockRose Energy (RRE) was one of the real success stories amongst AIM listed oil companies prior to being taken over for nearly £250 million, and now its executive chairman, Andrew Austin, has made a return to AIM with a new venture which listed last week.

Quiz

The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #65

Welcome to the Sunday ShareProphets Pub Quiz. Find your own beer, sit in the most comfortable seat, and, under no circumstances, can you Google the answer. Only I can do that. There are no prizes but post your scores in the comments for bouquets and brickbats.

GPM
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Golden Prospect – Once Bitten, Twice Shy? Absolutely Not - BUY!

I messed up on the subscription shares for fully listed Golden Prospect (GPM), as discussed here. It looked a great play, the maths made sense but unfortunately the timing of the expiry and the Gold correction caught me out. But it looks as though there is a silver lining and despite large quantities of egg on my face, I firmly believe the full shares are worth a jolly good look right now.

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - the big villains of the weekend financial press are....

The small villains are the uber-spiv directors of Remote Monitoring Systems (RMS), Trevor Brown and Paul Ryan who get a good slating. I, again, ask questions about the timeline of events. The big villain is Sir Phil Green of Arcadia and I ride to his defence and have a pop at one of his critics Sir Stuart Rose formerly of Marks & Sparks (MKS) Finally we are just £400 short on the Woodlarks appeal. Help us over the line and I promise not to mention the charity again until February. Thanks to those who have donated, if you have not you can donate HERE

AEXG
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AEX Gold – drilling results further demonstrate ‘very encouraging’ potential, Buy, shares will more than double

AEX Gold (AEXG) has updated we loyal investors that further drilling results mean it is “very encouraged” on the ‘Valley Block’ at Nalunaq, Greenland…

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Bearcast issue update: all should be well

 

ORCP

Oracle Power: Cynical Foul

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