Last week's meltdown in the share price at Afren (AFR) shows how devastatingly fast is the transfer of ownership from shareholders to debt holders when a company's loan covenants are breached.
Sometimes one is drawn away from the comparative safety- a term I used advisedly because a lack of safety is a characteristic of all equity investing - away from big blue chip shares to smaller much more speculative versions. Such was the situation last October when my wandering eye fell upon Imagination Technologies (IMG); a company with big prospects, low profits, a high price to earnings multiple and a name to conjure with; It has a touch of stardust about it. The sort of name that for some reason puts you in mind of a Steven Spielberg film starring a charming pint sized alien creature lost in space.
The Treasury and DECC have asked for comments on a new investment allowance intended to replace the existing plethora of allowances for small fields, heavy oil fields, deep water fields, brown fields, and the like. Now I have to declare an interest, our company has an undeveloped oilfield that would have had a heavy oil allowance, and that allowance was a really important part of making our proposed project profitable. So I am hoping that the new allowance will be as good as, if not better than, what went before. With the oil price less than half of what it was when we applied for the licence, everybody in the industry is looking for some relief from the tax burden on their projects.
Current opinions on the direction of the UK property market over the coming year certainly wouldn’t send me rushing to invest in any estate agents. That is even more the case when you look at London, and especially high-end properties, and is why I currently see Foxtons Group (FOXT) as a sell and would expect the share price to drift during 2015.
Hello Share Swingers.There was a ripple of scepticism when I wrote in my modest column that I thought Wetherspoon (JDW), Britain's biggest high street pub chain, was worth a little look.
We are enjoying a good run on ShareProphets. In January, we have “scalped” three AIM casino stocks which we have been targeting: Naibu, Pressfit and Beacon Hill Resources. Newt Seaman reckons he has TXO and Nigel Somerville is doing heroic work on Andrew "Piggy" Austin of IGAS. My work on the China frauds, Rangers FC and Quenron continues. You want more, we'd like your help and here is how.
Earlier this week I asked if the Board of AIM listed Rangers FC could justify why it had rejected two refinancings in favour of a third proposal put forward by a major shareholder in the club Mr. Michael Ashley. The Board of Rangers FC (RFC) is dominated by business associates of Mr. Ashley. Can Rangers show paperwork to justify its decisions and therefore show that it did not breach Section 994 of the 2006 Companies Act? Rangers has not responded. And so today I have written to AIM Regulation Team asking it to investigate
The Falklands drilling campaign is about to start for Rockhopper Exploration (RKH) and for Falklands Oil & Gas (FOGL). Location maps show that the Eirik Raude rig was travelling on Friday afternoon around the Ivory Coast.
I am a gold bull but I recognise that we remain in a bear market. But won't be forever. But bear markets can throw up innovation and opportunity. That is the claim made by Ed Kelly of Inca One in an interview out today with my colleagues at Palisade Capital.
The first Highlights since mid-January due to travel finds the global financial markets at a similar point to which we left it: troubled and hence volatile. Still opportunistic too of course but you need to be brave, skilled or lucky (or maybe all three…).
Hedge fund manager Crispin Odey grabbed all the headlines this week with his uber-bearish call. But is he correct? That is the sole topic in this podcast
I sense that a good number of shareholders in Quindell (QPP) also have stock in Afren (AFR) and Worthington (WRN). If the last of those three is ever unsuspended it is lining up to replace Quenron in my affections when Rob Terry’s creation goes bust. It truly is a POS built on sand. As such if you are hunting for a week 11 winner of Bulletin Board Moron of the week I suggest a good look at the Worthington threads might be in order. In terms of a week ten winner, the full list of rantings from the insane is here but the winners are:
We have had a recent trading statement from Dixons Carphone (DC.), the recently merged Dixon’s Retail and Car phone Warehouse companies, which I had reviewed positively in late May 2014. The pre- merged Dixon’s Retail share price was then 44p in its old form. The adjusted share price chart indicates that the new form share price was then around 300p. In the next seven months, the share price rose reaching a peak of 470p last month – a useful increase of an estimated 56%. Since then, the share has retreated 8% to 345p. So where does it go from here?
Brokerman Dan has called in from the Manchester Slums to say that he is not earning £1 a month as the saviour of Sefton Resources (SER) but will be the lowest paid executive on AIM earning just £1 a quarter. Even by the standards of the welfare safari park known as Moss Side that seems a trifle low but we at ShareProphets care and so our writers will tomorrow be gathering in Clerkenwell to record our latest Charity Single #FeedTheSlumBoy. All proceeds from the single will be sent direct to the deprived folks on the welfare safari. Once again with apologies to Bob Geldof & Midge Ure:
There is a hat tip to my friend the convicted felon turned fraudbuster Sam Antar for Red Flag 25 in my new book 49 Red Flags. To order a free copy of the book to be sent to you today fill in the form HERE
Prabhat Sakya writes for Motley Fool and thinks that Quindell (QPP) is a good yield play on a PE of 1.2 and thus has sold his Barclays shares to buy more Quenron – words fail me. Just to show that morons do not obnly post on the LSE.co.uk I bring you Prabhat’s latest pearls of wisdom as a treat. It is a hoot. Do you think you kind find anyone thicker than Prabhat posting sheer lunacy on a Bulletin Board? If so please post those gems in the comments section below – deadline midnight 1st February.
It has been a quiet week on the Quindell (QPP) front although none of the ludicrous bull calls have come good: S&G exclusivity ended Friday and we were told that a bid would happen last week and that Quenron had lined up a big bank to advise it. Well …it did not happen and it will not happen.
There was a spate of announcements at No-one is watching O'Clock yesterday. But I was watching and so this podcast covers Worthington, Speymill, Sefton & Brokerman Dan and Afren. Moving on I look at legal and other silliness by companies including TXO and the Big Dave Lenigas vs Doc Holiday Stellar Resources affair.
Premaitha (NIPT) has announced that it is almost there on getting the crucial CE-mark for its IONA test. It has passed two key milestones including ISO 13485:2003 certification which confirms that Premaitha's quality management system has been approved as applicable to the design, development and manufacture of in vitro diagnostic reagents and associated software for non-invasive assessment of genetic abnormalities.
Having already published an open letter to IGas’ (IGAS) Nomad, Jefferies International, asking it to look into a holding of 10.25m shares registered to Bank of New York Nominees on 25 November 2014 (HERE) which exceeds 3% of the issued shares I have been doing some number crunching. The results throw up either the most incredible coincidence, or a demonstration that IGas CEO Andrew Austin has handed over 2.75m more shares to EFH than the 7.5m shares disclosed the very next day after this 10.25m share holding was registered. Here is why.
Well it is a bad day on two counts. Fisrt it is the disaster that has hit our village in Greece and its olive harvest, as I explain in a photo article HERE. Then it is events at Premaitha (NIPT), a share we own. I explain why I am not selling. I look at Stanley Gibbons (SGI) and then at FastForward (FFWD) where things really don't stack up and where there are far more questions than answers.
As I noted earlier the fantasist Chris Oil has returned to twitter as a result of "exceptional demand". And as you can see he wants to take AIM back for the "good of honest investors". Great Chris. we wish you well and it is good to have someone as honest as you fighting the good fight. I see that I am not alone in holding that view. Last Thursday, according to twitter counter he had just 2,787 follower. Wind forward a few days...
The only suprise is that the market abuser Chris Oil has not rebranded as Chris BlockChain. But after an absence of well over a year from the public arena, the man who, modestly, compared himself to Warren Buffett is back! Hooray, his investment advice has always been a golden (counter) indicator.
A TR-1 released by AIM-listed Purplebricks (PURP) reveals that Woodford Investment Management - the stamping ground of former idol Neil Woodford - has been piling in to buy more shares in the light of recent weakness in the share price. Is it good news for Purplebricks? I fear not.
This is not the news we Premaitha (NIPT) shareholders wanted and it is clearly bad news. The question is how bad? The UK High Court has upheld three patent claims made by Illumina against Premaitha.
There were those, such as our own Drunken Sailor, who argued that UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) could manage to absorb the rolling short of a £10 million death spiral announced last week quite easily and it would not hit the share price. The evidence with just 5% of the spiral drawn suggests otherwise and this makes the stock a slam dunk short.
Yesterday I exposed how fantastist Chris Oil was buying bogus bot twitter followers on an industrial scale to make it look as if folks really cared about what he tweeted. He or someone close to him has responded in predictable fashion.
The recent history of Stanley Gibbons Group (SGI) together with a 12:15pm “Update” announcement don’t suggest good news… and the news is its Guernsey investment division has appointed administrators…
I note that yesterday AIM-listed Bowleven (BLVN) released a TR-1 RNS from Crown Ocean – the rebel shareholder which threw out the old board earlier this year. It has increased its holding (again).
Today's pre-placing ramp is for serial offender in this regard, Strat Aero (AERO). The totally insolvent AIM dog boasts that it has signed a "significant" Commercial Agreement with Alnahdi Aviation Technology , experts in aviation technology in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia to collaborate on establishing a UAV Training Centre in the KSA." Fab. So how much will this bring in? Er...
Shares in main market-listed Interserve (IRV) have been falling today, last seen down a thumping 8.2% - quite a drop for a £106 million company when there has been no news. One wonders why.
In the gold old days the fraud MySquar (MYSQ) used to report breathlessly on average daily sales volumes - that is to say cash coming in. But - as we subsequently discovered - that was largely related party non core income and it fell off a cliff on July 1. Not that MySquar bothered to let us know about that until it had got a bailout placing away. On any other market than the AIM Casino that would be securities fraud. Heck, even on the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange you'd get your collar felt for that. But on AIM fraud is okay as long as you pay your fees. Anyhow these days MySquar serves up different bollocks.
Hello Share Trundlers. Today’s commendation is one of those companies that you can take pride in supporting because it’s such a jolly humanity-serving idea. And in this case, the prognosis, in my humble opinion, looks rather good.
The Taxpayers Alliance has produced a fascinating 51 page report explaining why so many of us are "just about managing" to quote our useless Prime Minister. In short it's hard evidence that Ronald Reagan was right when he said that the scariest words in the English language are "I'm from the Government and I'm here to help." We feel poor not because of wicked Tory austerity (fauxsterity), but because of how a bloated state has distorted the economy.
Previously writing on recruitment group Empresaria (EMR) in the summer, I concluded it one of the more attractive plays in the sector but prevailing uncertainties meant wariness of the industry. A trading update today is headlined “reduced performance in Germany and the Middle East”. Uh oh…
Writing last week on Van Elle Holdings (VANL), I noted a boardroom shake-up General Meeting requisition from its founder seeking to return. Today brings a response from the company…
Self-described UK “specialist in data science led digital marketing”, Jaywing (JWNG) has announced results for its half-year ended 30th September 2017 including “since the election was called in the Spring we have seen consumer-led businesses in the UK grapple with difficult trading conditions… their first action has been to cut costs, including marketing costs”. That doesn’t bode well here…
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