I asked in my last article “What are the chances of TXO beating the hex of publishing results on the final day possible meaning you are bust before you get to publish the next set?” the answer that has been given over the past few days seems to be: two hopes and one of them is called Bob, the other is called No!
Having earlier in the day announced that a delegation from the regional authorities would be visiting the Rio Tinto mine site, EMED Mining (EMED) yesterday morning announced that during a meeting it has received formal communication of the granting of a mining permit – “the last significant regulatory approvals… before normal mining and processing operations can commence”.
Quindell (QPP) has always been a slow payer of its bills. But we already know that it survives only thanks to bank overdraft. In today's BearCast HERE, I reveal how it has raised emergency cash to keep going with hidden asset sales. The other way of postponing administration is just to delay paying suppliers. The graphic below says it all. It is paying later and later.
Undaunted by missing its targets for gold production in Zimbabwe during 2014, AIM-quoted Caledonia Mining Corporation (CMCL) is hoping a US$70 million (£46 million) six-year investment programme will hoist output from the central African country’s Blanket mine from a flat anticipated 42,000 oz. this year to between 60,000 and 65,000 oz. in 2017, with a 75,000 oz. aspiration for 2020. Many regard Zimbabwe under its current regime as still a pariah state, but Toronto-based Caledonia insists it now offers rich pickings and suggests it looks more stable than South Africa.
In this podcast I pose some regulatory questions for Quindell and the Ministry of Justice regarding the resigning compliance officer Mrs Helen Cutler, I explain how Quindell made money buying a POS business from a convicted Nigerian fraudster ( and other rubbish deals) and I expose what has gone on with Mobile Doctors and Speedy. This is all very shocking.
My investment in a little firm called Creightons (CRL) sometimes raises a smile among my friends.
International specialist staffing group, Empresaria (EMR) has updated investors that calendar 2014 “profitability will be slightly ahead of market expectations” and that “we see exciting growth opportunities ahead and are confident in our ability to continue to deliver profitable growth”.
In today's podcast I look at the PR/Financial Press corrupt deal. I then move into Quindell, Robinson, Cambria Africa, Frontier Mining, what timber prices tell us about general earnings visibility, Gowin New, a new China POS that had been flagged up to me called JQW (target price 0p), the Wandisco pump and dump and Jiasen International.
We told you on Wednesday that hot news was on the way. On Thursday OptiBiotix (OPTI) announced that it had agreed a 50/50 jv deal with Nizo – the Dutch company that tested its products in yoghurts and found them safe non taste altering.
And so a new twitter account has appeared in recent days @gothamresearch_ -you may have noticed it and thought this was real Gotham City Research. Boy have those bears changed tack. Er no…this is just Quindell shareholders breaking the law (again)
A near-doubling of high-grade gold production to 35,000 oz., combined with expense pruning to cut costs from more than $1,000 (£660) to between $900and $950 an ounce, is on the agenda for 2015 at AIM-quoted Serabi Gold (SNG), which is developing the Palito and Sao Chico gold projects in the remote Tapajos region of Para State in northern Brazil. Chief executive Mike Hodgson says Serabi, which is more than half-owned by Chile’s powerful Fratelli family, produced a disappointing 18,500 oz. last year from its Palito mine because of processing problems, but intends to lift that to 28,000 oz. in 2015, as well as obtaining first production of ‘6,000 to 7,000 oz.’ from Sao Chico, which is targeted to deliver its first commercial output from the middle of the year.
I exposed how Quindell is going to get rogered (at best) by Slater Gordon overnight HERE in this podcast I discuss how this accounting fiddle works, what it means for Quenron's (QPP) dire financial position, it really should be fessing up to that and has not and I also flag up that Gotham City Research is starting to wake up. For the avoidance of doubt the share price target remains 0p and the fact that the shares are up today shows nothing other than the insanity of man, the bear case has just got stronger still.
Again suggesting the potential value of short position data such as HERE, shares in Monitise plc (MONI) currently trade at 13.375p - having reached 80p less than a year ago. This is on the back of an announcement of revenue for the first half of its year to 30th June 2015 of £42.4 million (H1 2014: £46.5 million), that “FY 2015 revenue is expected to be between £90-100m (FY 2014: £95.1m) compared with previous guidance of at least 25% growth” and that the company is commencing a review of its options “in light of recent share-price weakness, shareholder feedback and industry developments”. The following reviews…
Oh dear, Oh dear if you are long of Quindell (QPP) you are going to take one hell of a beating tomorrow because Slater & Gordon has just issued a statement in Oz and it does not read well for the fraudsters and the morons. The shares should crater on this news. I do love the smell of napalm in the morning.
Hello Share Shiners. There's a lot of worry among UK share shifters about the way the Greek elections on Sunday will go.
I am a nice guy but don't tell anyone! And so a bloke on twitter asked me to look at Golden Saint Resources (GSR). as I drrank my first coffee this morning I got a call from Golden Saint who were apparently utterly terrified that they were about to get a good kicking on BearCast. We chatted away and so here is what I think.
Amara Mining (AMA) has announced a conditional-on-shareholder-approval 16p per share placing to raise gross proceeds of £14.6 million ($22 million) – ostensibly to enable further exploration of its Yaoure gold project in Côte d'Ivoire and to fund it to the point of making a construction decision for the project, including the delivery of a bankable feasibility study late this year. However, the company also faces some potential - albeit we think low risk - legal nasties…
In today's podcast I cover David Lenigas firing Hume capital, TXO (toast I suspect), Jiasen & Gowin New ( China toast to come), Monitise (vindication almost complete after latest profits warning), Quindell (loons, toast to come) and Oxford Instruments (shoot the PR, visibility nil, bargepole).
Having originally suggested that Core VCT 3 CR3 was an arbitrage buy with a decent margin of safety over the Christmas break as my second tip of the year, at 51p offer – where they now trade once again – the article drew some comment at the time that all was not quite as it had seemed. I am particularly grateful to Tim Grattan for raising concerns about the mechanism of how value in the VCT fund is attributed to B-shares.
I’ve been watching Afren (AFR) with great interest in recent weeks and am not convinced it is the basket case that some are saying it is, including TW as he explains HERE.
Sadly illness is still rife in this house so for this Thursday it is no coffee for me with the fit young mums. At least I shall be in Greece in five days time and that must be restorative to my health. In this podcast I start by looking back on UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) and its death spiral. I explain exactly how it works. Then a few further thoughts on Falanx (FLX) and why I am not selling our shares at this price. Then I look at Alexander Mining (AXM), another mega spoof from Clem Chambers, this time at ADVFN (AFN), at "Nomates" disaster RM2 (RM2)Fishing Republic (FISH) - a good zero bet - and at Regal Petroleum (RPT) which seems to be in a spot of bother in Ukraine.
In this bonus podcast prompted by recent events at African Potash (AFPO) and ADVFN (AFN) I look back on other bouts of market insanity. There was the radio boom of the 1920s and the dot com boom of 1999-2001 but is the blockchain bubble at 1999, 2000 or 2001? Among the companies also mentioned are On Line (ONL), Vela (VELA), Milestone Group (MSG) and Coinsilium (COIN), where we have a small holding. Madness, my friends, is in the air.
The video is self explanatory and the UKOG ramper in chief does not mince his words. Enjoy.
Shares in Angus Energy (ANGS) have plunged by 36% to 17.125p today after news from the Lidsey Field which cannot be described as anything other than disappointing. Hope meets reality. At some stage the same process will see shares in UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) crash. Let's start with Angus.
Last month the Jupiter Merlin group which, at one point, had £942 million invested in funds managed by Neil "nomates" Woodford announced that it was pulling out its last monies. Now another big investment group has given up on Britain's most self important fund manager. Aviva, one of the largest savings providers in Britain, has had enough.
You do not have to be active in the stock markets for long to realise that FTSE-100 companies have the propensity to deliver incompetence and intrigue just like their smaller cap brethren. Today's shocker is centred on automotive and aerospace sector giant GKN (GKN) which has made a bit of a habit over the last few months in bogging things up.
The RNS from Mkango Resources (MKA) reads well. It has done a deal which sees Noble Group farm in to earn a 49% stake in the company's rare earth's project at Songwe by spending £12 million on the ground. But there is a bit of a caveat that bulls opt to ignore.
Ramptastic - if not entirely transparent RNS releases, Bulletin Board and twitter ramping by all the usual suspects with ludicrous price targets, no cash. What on earth did you expect was going to happen next at perennial uber dog Mayan Energy (MYN)? As those who were paying up to 0.9p at peak ramp just a few days ago contemplate how they were used to get away a £2 million placing at 0.6p they should have very serious questions for London's worst Nomad Roland Fatty Cornish who has signed off in recent ramptastic releases. Enter the fray Zac "The Knife" Phillips of SP Angel, the City's top oil analyst who has 14 questions that a Nomad with a shred of integrity and competence would have asked before allowing the releases. Over to The Knife who writes:
Whilst many private investors go chasing rainbows and hoping for one of their oil and gas exploration plays to hit black gold, there are actually a number of AIM listed outfits which are already producing, yet don’t seem to be as popular as they are unlikely to generate large share price rises overnight.
I start this podcast with a look at Carillion (CLLN) where I wonder if Steve's damning verdict HERE is just a bit too generous. The boy is too much of a nice guy for his own good. Then it is onto the FRC which will be writing to 40 AIM and Small Cap companies ahead of them publishing FY numbers. I have a few ideas who and on what areas. The FRC are of course the UK's best regulator if only for recognising the work of the UK's top investigative financial journalist. Then I look at Angus Energy (ANGS) and finally there is a detailed discussion on MySquar (FRAUD)
This is the time of year when I ask you to consider making a small donation to ensure that folks far less fortunate than we all are enjoy some real joy this Christmas. Woodlarks is a charity with whom I have worked for years. It provides a one-off service: full holiday acccomodation for those so severely disabled that they would otherwise not get such a break.
Even supporters of BCA Marketplace (BCA) concede that it is massively operationally and financially geared to sales volumes in the second hand car market. And thus yesterday came the data that bulls such as Neil "Nomates" Woodford must have been dreading.
Carillion (CLLN) topped the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2017 (recent performance update HERE) and remained so in our Autumn update HERE. Having commenced the year above 235p, the shares had slid below 200p before a July profit warning, business review and Chief Executive “stepped down” announcement. They are currently down from above 40p to below 30p today on the back of an “Update” announcement…
Drowning in debt and red flags POS Green Dragon (GDG) admitted on 30 October that it was in talks with bondholders to push out repayment terms and it promised that those talks - which had been undserway for a while - would be concluded by 20 November. Well maybe not.
The ongoing farce at BOS Global (BOS) continued with an out-of-hours Company Update yesterday which may not be good news for shareholders but it is certainly providing a bit of light relief for the neutral as a high stakes game of chicken seems to be ongoing where the “winner” gets to run a loss-making, close to insolvent, horror show of a business.
I know sweet FA about GCM Resources (GCM) so you are on your own on this one. It has just announced an Underwritten Fundraise, to raise up to £2 million at a subscription price of 34.4p per Ordinary Share - via Primary Bid. This represents a discount of 20% to the closing mid price on Friday, 17 November, 2017. You can sign up and take part, if you wish, HERE
Nanoco Group (NANO) “is pleased to announce its preliminary results for the year ended 31 July 2017” and Chairman Dr Christopher Richards states “it is a pleasure to introduce Nanoco's results for the year to 31 July 2017”. Should be encouraging then…
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