We quite like SP Angel when it comes to research as lead analyst John Meyer is an honest chappie, who produces detailed work and can be critical when needs be. Today's detailed note covers Centamin, Conroy and Thor as well as offering a detailed macro view on the news that is shaping global mining and the AIM mining pond. We have now agreed to carry the SP Angel note every working day going forward.
You are now enjoying a ShareProphets that is running on a much more powerful server. For those of you who are more visually oriented, this is what ShareProphets was running on last week and this is what it is running on now. This price difference is commensurate as well. (Let's hope the Global Shorting Conspiracy's cheque isn't late!)
Hello Share Mongers. While still on the ceiling at the marvellous news that the Footsie had finally sneaked through the all-time historic marker of 7,000, I listened to Tom's Saturday Bearcast HERE. He thinks the share world will soon meet its Waterloo.
My main podcast of the day starts with the fun and games at Quindell where it seems as if the quisling blogs are in retreat. I go over the maths again. I then look at Centamin as oer Gary Newman's piece earlier and how the Arab world has changed and how that must make us value stocks operating out there. Finally I look at how to deal with the microcaps on the AIM Casino.
Gold producers are well worth a look for anyone who is bullish on the metal itself, and offer some degree of leveraged play. One which would definitely be on my list to have a look at is Centamin Egypt (CEY) which is currently trading around 54p, and with a market cap of £620 million.
I have had a few battles with Foxy Bex and her colleagues at Redleaf Polhill over the past two years because of its willingness to represent absolute liars and criminals such as the Cupid gang and Rob Terry of Quindell. Redleaf (and indeed Foxy herself) has now taken on another client which they know full well is run by a liar and a charlatan and which is an investment disaster waiting to happen.
This is an anniversary week and so forgive the rather personal nature of this podcast. There is a bit of pride, triumphalism and vindication here as I set one record straight. Yes it relates to events at the Death Star. But there are also a few more general points about changing trends in the media and and about investing in people businesses.
As an Austrian economist my views on QE and the inherent corruption of perma-deficit funding by Western Governments should not be in any doubt. And that is one reason I remain a long term gold bull. My colleagues at Palisade Capital this week interviewed Bill Holter who is pretty hot on these themes but he also adds an added twist with the Chinese dimension.
TXO (TXO) has – after two months of searching – failed to find a Nomad to act for it after the resignation of Northland. Consequently it will be boosted off the AIM casino next week.
I bring you below an Afren (AFR) press release dated last Friday which it appears not to have released via RNS. Oversight perhaps?
Ineffectual investors follow the herd. The crowd may be right some of the time, as they're all following the same obvious pointers to success. But if everybody is correct about a situation, and puts their mouth where everybody else's is, profits won't be worth hollering about. It's a bit like everyone being guided by current form to pick draws on a football coupon. If the chosen teams all draw, everyone wins the pools, but the cash prizes are laughable. It's only by being right when most folk are up the creek that you can ever hope to win enough for a private island, a Rolls Royce and a small jet.
ZAI Corporate Finance & Big Ray Zimmerman are squarely in the frame regarding the fraud Naibu (NBU) but in my view it is former advisor Daniel Stewart and its then lead Qualifying Executive (QE) Mr Paul Shackleton who are most culpable and I have today written to the FCA and AIM Regulation asking that both be investigated and punished most severely for their role in allowing the continuation of a fraud that has cost investors millions of pounds.
Having updated in December of its seeking of partners to increase production capacity and expand marketing for its timber concessions, Obtala Resources (OBT) has announced an agreement with Kishugu International Holdings Ltd, which includes a Heads of Terms to form a joint venture for an impending timber-related project in Brazil.
In this podcast I look at the Gate Ventures farce and have some very very serious questions for its low-life Nomad Roland "fatty" Cornish about events last week and his warrant. I look at the fall out from the demise of Hume Capital and the questions that raises and then also talk about my chat with the FCA last week
News has reached various rebel alliance outposts of massive explosions at the Death Star with almost all of the storm-troopers working at the Evil Empire now formerly put on notice. Oh dear. And we hadn’t even launched a major assault yet!
Having yesterday updated on my first share tip of the year for 2015 HERE, the following updates on my other two selections – for which it is a case of so far, so good…
David Archer, boss of unloved Savannah Resources (SAV), says it could split off its heavy mineral sands operations in Mozambique after finding ‘encouraging’ gold and copper mineralisation in the Gulf sultanate of Oman. The AIM-quoted company, whose shares have tumbled from a 12-month high of 8.25p to 1.85p now, says reconnaissance mapping and rock chip sampling have identified gold and copper in Block 4 of Oman’s Semail ophiolitic (oceanic crust) belt, including one sample with 3.7 grammes of gold per tonne of ore and copper at a high grade of 5.7%.
Malcolm Stacey reckons today that I should apologise as the FTSE 100 breaks 7,000. I make no such apology. Some shares have gone up but a headline index can mislead and the reasons for the rally are not sustainable for reasons I explain here. Malcolm is wrong about how current PEs are justifiable and wrong not to be advising folks to bank gains. I look back to 2003 and to 1999 and look forward to 2016 and explain why Comrade Stacey is rash and unwise. A 1916 Wisden is a far better bet.
From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following details the most shorted shares (by net short position %) and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since a previous analysis HERE.
Hello Share Stabbers. We've all been waiting for so long that now it has happened I just can't believe it. The big Footsie index has finally broken through its very all-time record to reach above the fabled notch of 7000!
What will Father Christmas be putting in the stockings of the writers of ShareProphets, nine share tips, plus what sexism at the BBC
So Carillion (CLLN) has gone tits up. You do rather feel for its 19,500 employees but as folks work out what happens next there is an orgy of recriminations. What lessons do you learn?
It only took 15 days but I have just received my first lawyer's letter of the year, via email. So here is a little quiz. Who sent the letter:
So yesterday saw Joshua go to his first proper football match - Brislington Ladies vs West Ham Ladies. A full photo report will follow later but the language from the Essex Girls in claret and blue was not very lady like. Listeners, I was shocked. On the markets I look in detail at Versarien (VRS), Greatland Gold (GGP), Velocys (VEL), RM2 (RM2) and as well as Nomates Neil Woodford I also have some Julie Meyer news, I fear that "Praise Be the Lord" may be about to send me a letter.
Whenever a relatively small oil and gas company manages to raise a substantial amount of money it gets my attention, especially when you consider what the market has been like for this sector in recent times.
A hat tip to Waseem Shakoor for the graphic below. Carillion (CLLN) went bust today. Greatland Gold (GGP) has seen its shares halve as Newmont has pulled out of a jv. So what else do folks owning these two stocks own? See below.
Andrew Monk's VSA floated AIQ on the Standard List last week. Its shares soared 1000% and were suspended. As Andrew notes, through the passive investment vehicle RRR I own shares in AIQ (about £10 worth - CORRECTION I am told it is £1841 worth!). I will try to sell the lot as the valuation is insane. But Monk wants to defend his corner so before our writers really go to town - and I am on their side - here is Monkey in his private email to clients today...
To understand why 2018 will be a catastrophe, imagine a magnificent mansion built with the finest materials and craftsmanship and furnished with the most expensive furniture, carpets and decorated with finest art. Now imagine this mansion is built on quicksand. It will have a brief shining moment and then sink slowly before finally collapsing under its own weight.
Hello, Share Pilers. Even though you must be making dollops of money from shares, given the perky Footsie, some of you are still scrimping a few quid a month, by avoiding a life-saving subscription to this magnificent website. That makes no sense, as it will help you avoid making slips which could put you back to square one again.
Last week’s flotation of AIQ (AIQ) on the LSE’s standard list raised a lot of questions. For a start there was demand for the stock, but apparently no stock available to buy: it seems the registrar had yet to send out certificates and so the shares rocketed until they were suspended. But after much digging, there appears to be rather more to the story than the listing of a bare Cayman Islands shell. Where to start?
Clearly, the whole AIQ (AIQ) IPO was a farce the way it has been handled and having also been digging around, there is more to come but I will leave it in the excellent hands of Nigel to report further on the dodginess here. I will just turn my hand to a bit of poetry inspired by Monk’s defence this morning and by recent Twitter hilarity.
I previously wrote on Carclo (CAR) in late 2016 – noting the company stating some encouragement but that credibility needed to be regained. Today a trading update for its year ending 31st March 2018 and…
Despite the scepticism previously exhibited on this stunning website, I would not be in a rush to sell shares in Versarien (VRS). Even though yesterday’s leap was approaching 35%. That’s normally a signal for this old punter to trouser the profits. But this is one of those mystery shares which could go either way, and I don’t welcome the pain of maybe selling too quickly.
Investors who believed all the hype surrounding Greatland Gold (GGP) received a nasty shock this week when the share price collapsed, but for many of us who have been around the market for a while it didn’t really come as much of a surprise.
North of the Border, www.scottishhousemove.co.uk is going after Purplebricks (PURP) big time. Its homepage boasts thatr it will undercut Purplebricks by £750 and carries a stream of dismal reviews from allagents.co.uk for its larger rival. Then it really goes on the attack as you can see below.
Having taken a look at the prospectus for the flotation of AIQ (AIQ) on the Standard list in part 1 we now move on to Mama Captain, Barrel2U, Mama Harbour and iBuddee. These outfits have faced allegations of being ponzi/MLM (multi-level marketing)/pyramid/money game schemes.
There's been an accelerated bookbuild which has seen Adam Reynolds and a number of close allies place out all their stock in React PLC (REAT). The shares we own were not placed out. We will only sell after advising you to do so.
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