As you know, ShareProphets reader 42 knows Quenron (QPP) better than most and as such his predictions on what PWC will say about the company are worth paying attention to. They make for terrifying reading if you are long. 42 posts:
All broker research should be 100% ignored said Tom Winnifrith earlier today HERE. But occasionally a broker produces a report indicating enough upside to make it worth a second read. VSA Resources last week published a speculative buy on Kalimantan Gold (KLG) at 1.53p with a target of 4.1p. Really?
As a hardline Austrian economist, who makes Tom Winnifrith seem like a Big State Keynsian, it will not surprise you to hear that I think that the Euro mess is far from played out and that the effects on oil, copper and other commodities will be profound. Of course the big winner will be gold.
Fox Marble (FOX) has updated that, with much of the 2014 order book having been pushed into H1 2015, 2014 reported sales are expected to be only around €150K, though that it is “encouraged by the strong finish to the year in terms of deferred income, signed offtakes and sales agency agreements” , with “confirmed orders to date for 2015 currently stand at €1.5m of block and slab marble”.
Drilling for oil is due to start again in the Falkland Islands in the next few months and is bound to create a lot of interest despite the current state of the oil industry. The Erik Raude deepwater rig has already been contracted by Premier Oil (PMO) and Noble Energy to drill a number of wells that they farmed into with Rockhopper (RKH) and Falklands Oil and Gas (FOGL), respectively.
Topical after the LSE.co.uk blowup, In this podcast I explain how the City really works, how analysts communicate real ideas to a select few investors and why broker notes are in reality simply marketing material and so should be completely ignored.
I’ve already scotched a few rumours and outright untruths about Tern plc (TERN) HERE, HERE HERE and HERE and Tom Winnifrith has added to the opprobium several times, in particular HERE. But in the wake of a ‘clarification’ RNS which appeared to seek to set the record straight, Tern’s company chairman, Mr Angus Forrest, is STILL misleading his investors by giving an overstated impression of Tern’s beneficial ownership of Cryptosoft. I would suggest that this amounts to Market Abuse. It is a disgrace. The FCA and AIM Regulation need to act now to stop this. It is an affront to all the regulatory systems in place to make sure that the market is told the full truth!
We start today with another excerpt from The 49 Golden Rules of Making Money from Oil, Gas & Mining sharesby myself, Tom Winnifrith, and the young apprentice Ben Turney. Rules 27 and 28 cover Bulletin Board and paid for research. Actually these rules apply to making money from all shares. To download a free copy of the whole book fill in the form here
It really is time that I took the mantle up and commented on some of the so-called “Bulletin Board Heroes” for exactly what they are. At best lifestyle companies run for the benefit of their Board at worst out and out frauds using the London Stock Exchange as a mechanism for Corporate self-aggrandisement. Of course not all are fakirs or frauds some are just badly run companies while others have failed through poor management decisions or been subject to the vagaries of the market in which they operate. I hear an awful lot about the “China frauds” but there’s another class of dodgy geezers operating out of Perth Western Australia. The “Aussie Lurkers. What’s a Lurk? Google it!
In this podcast I look at the issue of earnings visibility with special reference to quoted spreadbetting firms, at Quindell and its change of PR and what that telegraphs to you and then there is a detailed report back on Sefton Resources and its latest omnishambles announcement.
Yesterday I ran a piece saying that IGas (IGAS) was still not complying with DTR 3 of the Disclosure and Transparency Rules in the FCA rule book. It isn’t, but it turns out that DTR 3 does not apply to AIM companies, not that I managed to glean that from the DTR rules, although it can be inferred from the AIM Rules in the Guidance Notes. Mea Culpa, then and I apologise for the error. But AIM Rule 17 contains much the same requirements and so here is a corrected version of that piece. For the record, DTR 5 (rules governing disclosure of holdings greater that 3%) DOES apply to AIM Companies.
Quindell (QPP) has had a good few days after it emerged that Toscafund, a UK hedge fund, holds 5.4% and upon the appointment of some fairly ropey NEDS, one of whom has already been involved in a mini scandal since he joined Quenron. The shares have tripled from last month's lows to value the company at £393 million, not bad for a concern whose founder has very publicly been involved in all kinds of fraud and skulduggery.
Cineworld Group (CINE) has announced that “we anticipate that group profitability for the year ended 1 January 2015 will be towards the top end of market consensus”. This follows its UK & Ireland business having continued to outperform the wider market and stronger box office growth elsewhere.
Pressfit (PFIT) listed on the AIM Casino on August 1 2014. Its first profits warning came within three months. It was booted off the AIM Cesspit yesterday. It is Chinese. I name those responsible for this scandal - firms and individuals - and suggest that all concerned need steep fines and an immediate termination of their City careers and explain why.
From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following details changes to net short positions in the last week (red if short increased, green if reduced)...
Provider of rental equipment and services for broadcasting, Avesco Group (AVS) has announced results for its year ended 30th September 2014 which reflect both restructuring and even year events (Winter Olympics, FIFA World Cup, Commonwealth Games, Ryder Cup) benefits. The company though added that “the first quarter of the current financial year has continued the positive momentum from last year”.
Over the past 15 years Ross Norman of Sharps Pixley has been the forecaster with the best record in the LBMA for predicting gold price moves so you should take his gold price forecasts seriously. Ross writes, "We are going out on a limb this year." Indeed.
Hello Share Followers. Happily, the number of people in work is rising in the UK. Nearly every time the official figures are announced, it seems to take journos by surprise that there really are more work opportunities flying around.
Today is the one year anniversary of the first dodgyEquities First Holdings LLC share deal on AIM. It was a year ago that Andrew Piggy Austin of IGAS said he was buying shares when in fact he made £7 million with his EFH loan/sale agreement. Today we will be celebrating that day all day lest Piggy forget.
Okay none of you guessed, my first lawyer’s letter of the year came from Lse.co.uk. Apparently I have damaged its good name and caused it distress. Yes, that is the website which each day carries at least 50 posts smearing me with all sorts of abuse and lies. Next up, Prince Andrew is going to give me a lecture for inappropriate behaviour because my wife is six years younger than I am.
Sadly illness is still rife in this house so for this Thursday it is no coffee for me with the fit young mums. At least I shall be in Greece in five days time and that must be restorative to my health. In this podcast I start by looking back on UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) and its death spiral. I explain exactly how it works. Then a few further thoughts on Falanx (FLX) and why I am not selling our shares at this price. Then I look at Alexander Mining (AXM), another mega spoof from Clem Chambers, this time at ADVFN (AFN), at "Nomates" disaster RM2 (RM2)Fishing Republic (FISH) - a good zero bet - and at Regal Petroleum (RPT) which seems to be in a spot of bother in Ukraine.
In this bonus podcast prompted by recent events at African Potash (AFPO) and ADVFN (AFN) I look back on other bouts of market insanity. There was the radio boom of the 1920s and the dot com boom of 1999-2001 but is the blockchain bubble at 1999, 2000 or 2001? Among the companies also mentioned are On Line (ONL), Vela (VELA), Milestone Group (MSG) and Coinsilium (COIN), where we have a small holding. Madness, my friends, is in the air.
The video is self explanatory and the UKOG ramper in chief does not mince his words. Enjoy.
Shares in Angus Energy (ANGS) have plunged by 36% to 17.125p today after news from the Lidsey Field which cannot be described as anything other than disappointing. Hope meets reality. At some stage the same process will see shares in UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) crash. Let's start with Angus.
Last month the Jupiter Merlin group which, at one point, had £942 million invested in funds managed by Neil "nomates" Woodford announced that it was pulling out its last monies. Now another big investment group has given up on Britain's most self important fund manager. Aviva, one of the largest savings providers in Britain, has had enough.
You do not have to be active in the stock markets for long to realise that FTSE-100 companies have the propensity to deliver incompetence and intrigue just like their smaller cap brethren. Today's shocker is centred on automotive and aerospace sector giant GKN (GKN) which has made a bit of a habit over the last few months in bogging things up.
The RNS from Mkango Resources (MKA) reads well. It has done a deal which sees Noble Group farm in to earn a 49% stake in the company's rare earth's project at Songwe by spending £12 million on the ground. But there is a bit of a caveat that bulls opt to ignore.
Ramptastic - if not entirely transparent RNS releases, Bulletin Board and twitter ramping by all the usual suspects with ludicrous price targets, no cash. What on earth did you expect was going to happen next at perennial uber dog Mayan Energy (MYN)? As those who were paying up to 0.9p at peak ramp just a few days ago contemplate how they were used to get away a £2 million placing at 0.6p they should have very serious questions for London's worst Nomad Roland Fatty Cornish who has signed off in recent ramptastic releases. Enter the fray Zac "The Knife" Phillips of SP Angel, the City's top oil analyst who has 14 questions that a Nomad with a shred of integrity and competence would have asked before allowing the releases. Over to The Knife who writes:
Whilst many private investors go chasing rainbows and hoping for one of their oil and gas exploration plays to hit black gold, there are actually a number of AIM listed outfits which are already producing, yet don’t seem to be as popular as they are unlikely to generate large share price rises overnight.
I start this podcast with a look at Carillion (CLLN) where I wonder if Steve's damning verdict HERE is just a bit too generous. The boy is too much of a nice guy for his own good. Then it is onto the FRC which will be writing to 40 AIM and Small Cap companies ahead of them publishing FY numbers. I have a few ideas who and on what areas. The FRC are of course the UK's best regulator if only for recognising the work of the UK's top investigative financial journalist. Then I look at Angus Energy (ANGS) and finally there is a detailed discussion on MySquar (FRAUD)
This is the time of year when I ask you to consider making a small donation to ensure that folks far less fortunate than we all are enjoy some real joy this Christmas. Woodlarks is a charity with whom I have worked for years. It provides a one-off service: full holiday acccomodation for those so severely disabled that they would otherwise not get such a break.
Even supporters of BCA Marketplace (BCA) concede that it is massively operationally and financially geared to sales volumes in the second hand car market. And thus yesterday came the data that bulls such as Neil "Nomates" Woodford must have been dreading.
Carillion (CLLN) topped the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2017 (recent performance update HERE) and remained so in our Autumn update HERE. Having commenced the year above 235p, the shares had slid below 200p before a July profit warning, business review and Chief Executive “stepped down” announcement. They are currently down from above 40p to below 30p today on the back of an “Update” announcement…
Drowning in debt and red flags POS Green Dragon (GDG) admitted on 30 October that it was in talks with bondholders to push out repayment terms and it promised that those talks - which had been undserway for a while - would be concluded by 20 November. Well maybe not.
The ongoing farce at BOS Global (BOS) continued with an out-of-hours Company Update yesterday which may not be good news for shareholders but it is certainly providing a bit of light relief for the neutral as a high stakes game of chicken seems to be ongoing where the “winner” gets to run a loss-making, close to insolvent, horror show of a business.
I know sweet FA about GCM Resources (GCM) so you are on your own on this one. It has just announced an Underwritten Fundraise, to raise up to £2 million at a subscription price of 34.4p per Ordinary Share - via Primary Bid. This represents a discount of 20% to the closing mid price on Friday, 17 November, 2017. You can sign up and take part, if you wish, HERE
Nanoco Group (NANO) “is pleased to announce its preliminary results for the year ended 31 July 2017” and Chairman Dr Christopher Richards states “it is a pleasure to introduce Nanoco's results for the year to 31 July 2017”. Should be encouraging then…
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