Nomates Woodford trainwreck in waiting Purplebricks (PURP) has not officially warned the market that it will not meet forecasts. However have a butchers at these two charts from Bloomberg...
HaloSource (HALO) is “very pleased with the progress we have made with our newly executed all Drinking Water business strategy”. Good, good – this results statement for the first half of 2017 should be encouraging then…
An “Expanded UK Distribution Agreement” announcement from LightwaveRF (LWRF) – and the shares currently approaching 10% higher in response, to 28p. Let’s take a look…
I despair somewhat when I read the likes of Friday’s announcement from Polemos (PLMO) as I can’t really believe that companies on AIM can get away with the most over-used spoof in the market, namely the “shares being issued at a premium as consideration in an RTO” spoof, but I guess I may well point it out in the vain hope that, one day, CEO’s and Nomads will pen a more honest RNS.
Nobody rings a bell at the top or bottom of the notoriously cyclical UK housing market, but one operator who has shown impeccable timing over decades was busy selling stock last week. Famously near the top of the last cycle he sold out and left his company only to re-join when it was in the doldrums. This is why it is very important to take note of his actions. Last week Berkeley (BKG) founder Tony Pidgley, sold 750,000 shares to make £26.8m as bosses at Berkeley cashed in more than £40 million of shares as they reached record highs. As the stock hit 3575p, the luxury housing developer’s founder Tony Pidgley, who left school at 15, sold 750,000 to make £26.8 million, while chief executive Rob Perrins sold 500,000 to make £17.8 million.
Readers will know I’ve never been a fan of BOS Global (BOS) and the opaque nonsense emanating from its CEO, Michael Travia, especially as its suite of workplace analytics software is as cutting edge as Snake on the old Nokia. I last asked for transparency on a few key points last month (HERE) but today, instead of answers, I have more questions as Mr BOS Global himself, Michael Travia, has suddenly left the building!
No I am not talking about Sam Smith's beau, the CEO of Telit (TCM), white collar criminal Yosi Fait. Instead I am talking about betting on oil exploration calls. I cover Jersey Oil & Gas (JOG), formerly Crap Oil, Providence Resources (PVR) which has always been a crap company and I look at Stellar Diamonds (STEL). I then look at the ghastly profits warning at UP Global (UPGS) and the read across from that. There will be more on the Big Issue seller in the Silver Merc on my own website later.
There was some good intramural discussion this week. How Irish is Tom? How many times must one bet against their own horse before it is unseemly? Also, some morons ramping shares.
It seems that PR firm Bell Pottinger will go into administration today and 270 folks will lose their jobs. Fear not most have already had other offers or decided to set up on their own. They saw the ship was sinking and there is no rat like a morally bankrupt PR rat in such a situation.
Hello, Share Splurgers. This seems a good moment to review Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA), that huge Footsie company upon which so many pensions, insurance giants and hedge funds rely. It also happens to represent my biggest shareholding. And that, silly me, is far in excess of my usual 10% of my bag allowed to any company. Holding more than a tenth of your assets in one firm is not a safe thing to do.
This week's Bulletin Board Moron contest is sponsored by Darren Mercer, the CEO of BNN, suspended by his own board. In an unrelated incident, Mercer was suspended by the Jockey Club for betting against his own horse. We thank him for his support.
I have been thinking long and hard about this all summer but there is no alternative as the great Lady Thatcher used to say. Evil Google provides no content but sucks all of the ad revenue from online media. Our advertising revenue has collapsed so ShareProphets must either accept the custom of utter dirtbags like Darren Winters, continue to be subsidised by the UK Investor Show or fold. Or it must charge for access. I believe that asking you to pay £6 a month for 300 articles and for utterly unique content is something you will agree to and so on Thursday it is pay to play. I explain why evil Google is forcing our hand and what will happen and what the choices are in, perhaps the most important bearcast in our history..
At 4.18pm on Friday AIM-listed Rurelec (RUR) issued an Update – Energia del Sur, S.A. Judging by the timing of the announcement (more-or-less no-one-is-watching o’clock) it wasn’t going to be good news.
Early this year we showed the ten top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2017. Previously updating it was the Carillion crashing edition. How's the performance now?...
Old Lawson may still be pursuing a ridiculous claim against me for libel, he noted this week that he had another meeting with his lawyers, but credit where credit is due, the old fool has nailed the shambles last week at Barclays (BARC) stockbrokers perfectly. And in a posting on the ShareSoc blog he gives advice on what to do if you have been jerked around. This is an example of the good work he can do when he is not distracted by falling in love with companies such as Globo. Over to Lawson:
If you forgive me I start with long conversations with my father about World War Two and the early fifties, his father, his mother's godfather's son (hanged as a Nazi) and other matters all prompted by watching an episode of Foyle's war last night. You need to have these chats while you still can and I thought they were interesting. We move on to why my father thinks he is Shipston's Buffett - yes the UK residential property bubble and we see yet more signs of utter madness from the FCA on this score. Martin Fagan, all those years ago, you were bang on the money.
The BNN Technology (BNN) fiasco is rather a depressing reminder that it takes an event such as the resignation of a CFO, accompanied by some serious whistleblowing for NOMADs and AIM regulation to act, by which time it is invariably too late for the retail investor. This is largely because the system is inherently flawed in that NOMADs are paid by the very people that they are supposed to be vetting. This is why AIM is stuffed with BNNs ticking away like time bombs.
Neil Woodford's fund management group has spent vast sums advertising its products in the financial press and has received vast amounts of slavishly positive comment in the same publications. These two facts are, of course, in no way related. And so after Woodford said sorry, in a terribly unconvincing manner, for having done so badly over the past year how does the Mail on Sunday's Alex Sebastian, himself a unit holder, spin this? With fake news natch
Well here we are a few weeks short of the anniversary of the creation of out Septic Seven stocks which we had Red Flagged but were at the time still trading on AIM. Marcus Stuttard, the sham sheriff and head of AIM, obviously had complete faith in the regulatory setup of the Casino which is why this portfolio was set up. After all, if he is completely happy with the regulation of AIM (for which he is responsible), he should be happy to pony up his cash in out basket of diversified stocks. We might consider all members of the portfolio as littered with Red Flags, but obviously he doesn’t and therefore some of the joke PEs are highly attractive.
An evil PR spinner has had words with underperforming fund manager Neil "Nomates" Woodford, aka the most arrogant bastard in the City. Until now the line was "I am right the market is wrong, its business as normal." Now Nomates has recorded a video in which he says that he is sorry for the underperformance of his funds. Perhaps it is the fact that he has seen folks yank a net £350 million out of his £10 billion CF Woodford Equity Income fund in recent weeks that has caused the contrition. If redemptions continue on that scale, Woodford will be forced into some hurried share sales which will only compound his woes. The trouble it that Woodford patently does not feel sorry.
Taking readers suggestions for improvements, we've made it much easier to subscribe to your favourite one-stop source for breaking news and expert analysis on AIM and LSE listed shares. £5.99 pcm gets you access, that works out at sub 2p (inc VAT) per article. Think how much our big red flag calls on the AIM frauds have saved you and hot tips like IQE have made you. Its a nil brainer....it's madness not to sign up.
I have been having some good natured debate with Tom on the pros and cons of Big Sofa Technology (BST) recently and, as ever, he has allowed me to present my bearish version of events in advance of next week’s interims in contrast to his bullish thoughts the most recent of which is HERE.
It all started with a game of croquet. I start with my long term battle with scumbag ex Tory MP, the loathsome Sir Tony Baldry. He is now chairman of Westminster Group (WSG). I analyse its woes after Friday's interims. I look at the forthcoming IPO of the City Pubs Company and hoist some red flags. Then to 88 Energy (88E) and to those who have lost badly by ignoring my previous warnings I warn again. Big Time!
The following censure of Jason Drummond of Teathers (TEA) infamy is damning. It relates to his time at Media Corp (MDC) an AIM disaster story ending in bankruptcy. I think it is fair to say that Jason will not be sitting on any more AIM boards after this.
With its shares having reached 25.75p last week and closed at above 25p on Wednesday, Amryt Pharma (AMYT) announced on Thursday that it was “delighted with the support we have received” for an “oversubscribed placing”, raising a gross €15 million (£13.3 million)… at 20p per share! As a long standing shareholder I say "F**k you." I feel so utterly 100% shafted as will those who paid 26p+ last week after confident results which made it clear that Amryt was fully funded. So I asked Steve Moore to pen an analysis. As I explained in Thursday's bearcast HERE I am too angry to be objective. The fact is that at a 22.5p offer the shares are a BUY.
Hello, Share Collectors. Many of us, I know, are still awash in oil stocks, both the producers and riskier explorers. I’ve been advising that we cut down, as the competition from wind, sun, waves and biomass, threatens to grow. But I think I may have been too hard on ebony nectar and here are a few reasons why.
I’m continuing my look at forthcoming interims with the horror show that is the Woodford-backed RM2 International (RM2), first pointed out as an excellent bear tip by Graham Neary (HERE). One has to ask what the hell was Woodford thinking here?
From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...
This week's Bulletin Board Moron contest is sponsored by Nyota Minerals, a company that has more lives than all of our reader's cats.
Last week it was the Sunday Times' chat through on personal debt which induced my breakfast coffee to be consumed in an unorthodox fashion. Today it is pension deficits - that quiet corporate horror show.
I am prompted by a great Zero Hedge article HERE to look at the mounting evidence that thanks to what is now the greatest debt binge in history, surpassing that of 2008, we are at peak insanity. Whether it is boob jobs on tick, the latest funding round at Deliveroo at a ludicrous valuation, the downgrade of UK Government debt or the madness of some peer to peer lending there are timebombs aplenty waiting to explode.
A useful lesson has been handed out recently to bears by the price action in two stocks: Telit Communications (TCM), an Israeli fraud quoted in London, and Eros International, an Indian fraud quoted in New York.
Want to get the best sell ideas on AIM? Just ask Zak Mir for his hot buy ideas and the Sith Lord kiss of death will not take long to play out. The world's worst chartist will be serving up more duff calls next Wednesday evening at NEX Exchange in Broadgate. There is more.
Having in the last couple of weeks been slipping back from above 1.3p towards 1p, shares in August tip at a 1.25p offer price Powerhouse Energy (PHE) are now recovering on the back of a “MOU for waste-to-hydrogen facilities” announcement. But they have a lot further to go.
Joining in with Cynical Bear’s run of interims previews, I thought I’d take a look at our old favourite, AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO). The history here has been nothing short of a disaster in the last 12 months or so, and appears to be now culminating in a potential cash-crisis.
Having been sparked from well below 200p by a May update including that “in the first 19 weeks of 2017, overall revenues were ahead of the corresponding period last year. The immediate outlook is more positive than it has been for some time”, shares in video security systems group IndigoVision (IND) have now fallen back to around the 200p level on results for the first half of 2017. Hmmm…
Reach4Entertainment (R4E) has announced results from a stated “modest” first half of 2017, though emphasises “second half of current financial year expected to be satisfactory, but 2018 forecasts already looking like a return to form from the key companies with support from the new initiatives of Dewynters Germany and Jampot”…
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