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In today's bearcast I bring you a hot rumour. The King of the spiv bucket shops Jon Bellis of Novum is apparently trying to raise £4 million at 10p for Anglo African Oil & Gas (AAOG). I look at Sound Energy (SOU), Andalas (ADL), delays in selling houses and in a similar vein what IFA's who have put clients into Woodford funds do next. I also look at Gear4Music (G4M) and director share buying which is a sell signal. I make a brief comment on Optibiotix (OPTI) and almost tie it in with a mother-in-law joke but resist the temptation.
Oops a daisy. It looks as if some folks in the City have finally been reading our exposes on First Derivatives (FDP) and are finally waking up to the issues of cash generation, or rather lack of it. Top broker Berenberg was a major bull but has slashed its target price, as you can see in the full note below, from £43 to just £21. Welcome to the party fellows but you are still way too generous – fair value is well under £10 a share.
It has taken a bit longer than I had hoped, but this morning we had the first sign that AIM-listed Bowleven (BLVN) might be set to come good. I tipped this stock at around 31p a year ago in the ShareProphets Christmas tip-fest, hoping that it would be all over by now, and top-sliced at above 37p. Since then the shares have drifted slowly back to the mid 20s but this morning the company announced plans to cough up 15p a share as a special dividend next month and the shares have responded higher to 32p. I hope a few managed to follow my upgrade to BUY during November, at just 25p.
Mobile Streams (MOS) is “delighted to be partnering with the world's fastest growing telecom company, Reliance Jio… India's largest 4G network”. However, it’s an RNS Reach announcement…
Now that it is double official that Woodford Investment Management did not file its annual report on time we should award a semi naked photo of Britain's top share blogger (mornings only) thirsty Paul Scott as we pick out a winner of The Neil Woodford late filing caption contest. As you can see here there were a good few entries but the best caption for the picture below came from:
Apple stock has dropped 38% in 3 months. Reinforcing the old axiom that a fancy new corporate HQ precedes a corporate decline...
Belatedly Woodford has just filed accounts at Companies House - they will b e available in 5 days. Last Week the old Companies House website stated that Woodford Investment Management had not filed its accounts for the year to March 31 2018 by the December 31 deadline as we showed HERE. This morning, as you can see below, the new website has showed the same thing. What was Britain's most conceited fund manager not so keen we see. The 2017 accounts may give a clue.
I feel a bit grubby talking about it, but I see the excitement levels may be rising amongst some long-suffering BT Group (BT.A) shareholders today following weekend headlines which included the part jingoistic (and part comic) 'Are the Germans coming for BT? FTSE giant rings in top takeover advisers to help fend off bid as key date looms for telecoms rival'…
With the share price of loss-making ‘Internet of Things’ play Telit Communications (TCM) flirting with a multi-year low, it is understandable that some may be tempted to go bottom fishing. As I see it, the bull case is as follows:
Hello Share Treaters. As a customer of Premier Inn hotels and not a coffee drinker in Costas, I was pleased Whitbread (WTB) has just sold its coffee places to Coca-Cola this month. Costa coffee shops always look a bit bland to me with few of the quirky attractions offered by independent purveyors. While Premier Inn hotel rooms are very reasonable and convenient in city centres. Plus, if you are a shareholder, you get two nights for the price of one at weekends.
I have already highlighted how London and Capital Finance Plc (“LCF”) is the principal lender to Independent Oil and Gas (“IOG”) via London Oil and Gas (“LOG”) and raised concern about those arrangements. Looking at the parent of LOG and its subsidiaries raises a whole series of red flags which is not only bad news for holders of LCF minibonds but also shareholders in IOG.
I noted two different hope cycles in the weekend press commentary. The first is a short term one based on the plethora of retail sector numbers that will be published over the next week or two. The headline that caught my attention was 'M&S’s (MKS) lifeline from last-minute spending spree' which seemed to be a straight extrapolation from the Next (NXT) numbers, which I wrote up last week.
I refer to a quite amazing scoop buried away deep in today's Sunday Telegraph. Well done Uncle Chris Booker. I then look at how everyone is still in complete denial about the mess that is the AIM Casino and also about the future direction of corporate earnings growth an d what that means for equity caluations.
Over the years I’ve been a fan of Ophir Energy (OPHR), but it is one that I have got completely wrong and during that time it has done nothing other than to disappoint investors, whilst its value has steadily been eroded.
It was announced on Friday that the former CEO and now former board member of AIM-listed Haydale (HAYD) has been selling shares. Back in December it was his two colleagues at Haydale Ceramic Technologies dumping shares (over £110,000 worth). In September, former boss Ray Gibbs sold about 38,000 bits of confetti and now he’s sold a further 80,000 shares. That’s a fair bit of selling by insiders!
Is there anything better than sitting back and reading a well-written article on a lazy Sunday? Every week ShareProphets features some long form journalism that you'll find of interest. Grab your cuppa and enjoy these five articles.
I can’t help but notice that the share price of AIM-listed Telit (TCM) hit a new end-of-week low last week, closing down at just 118.9p – a level not seen since August 2017. Of course, that still capitalises the company at £152 million, which seems extraordinary for a company looking to sell its crown jewels to leave it with, according to The Sheriff, perhaps only $10-20 million of cash at peak working capital usage. And loss making at the full year. But why the collapse now? Is that anything to do with the putative purchaser?
I was reading the Most Read ShareProphets Articles of The Year piece posted on New Year's Day and a throught stuck me: not one of the top 20 stories was a tip.
KEFI Minerals (KEFI) states it “is pleased to provide” an update on the Tulu Kapi gold project, but then includes that “whilst the Government has provided a number of formal consents, at the date of this update there are a number of others that whilst having been verbally agreed, are still subject to processing formalities and thus the agreed deadlines have been extended to end January 2019”. Hmmm...
I was re-watching the movie last night and ask the question. I discuss signs that the FCA really is getting stuck in, albeit too late. I look at too good to be true investments starting with London & Capital Finance. I look at house prices and why I think that bad data gives far too rosy a view. I look at US jobs data yesterday and what that means for base rates. And I look at the big short positions in AIM stocks. Don't bet against the bears! Now off to West Ham.
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