Sunday 22 April 2018 | ShareProphets: The one stop source for breaking news, expert analysis, and podcasts on fast-moving AIM and LSE listed shares
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - in awe of Cynical Bear and all my colleagues and feeling like a prat ( or not) over the AIQ scandal
Hello, Share Snackers. The building sector is an interesting one. And previously I've sounded optimism for building firms. After which, we've seen some big increases in share prices.
Hello, Share Chuckers. As I bring you promising companies which may have escaped your notice on office days, there’s time to explain my general methods at the weekend. I can’t expect you to follow my various suggestions unless you know my lines of thought. So, for those of you wise enough to subscribe to this essential website, here goes.
Hello, Share Tanglers. The idea of living on a Barratt housing estate used to fill me with dread, but a lot of folk seem to like its houses nowadays, so I humbly suggest you look at the shares.
Hello Share Samplers. At the risk of annoying some of my gloomier detractors, I continue to argue that house builders are a good investment at the mo. A good friend of mine has just bought a large house in a very swish part of the Smoke. I admit this could be a mistake, as some London house prices are under threat because of Brexit. Fewer rich foreigners will buy here, it is argued, because the capital will no longer be seen as the centre of the financial universe.
Hello Share Freakies. There are those among us who feel that house prices in Britain have peeked. Uncle Tom is one. But I just can’t see it. If one thing drives demand more than anything else it is shortage of supply. And everyone knows that there are simply not enough houses and flats to go around.
I think it was six years ago that we all thought low interest rates would not last. They have, and there is no sign, as far as I can see, that they will rise any time soon. They may even continue to bump along at their present lowly level for another six years.
Hello Share Fans. I hate the expression 'no-brainer', so I won't use it in the context of buying shares in Barratt Developments (BDEV).
Hello Share Totters. When I said a month or two ago that British housebuilding firms were a good investment, I did not realise how right I was going to be.
In February I published a detailed comment on housebuilder and FTSE 250 constituent Barratt Developments (BDEV), stating that a recent upbeat trading statement meant that then upcoming results should contain no nasty surprises but that for a cyclical company seemingly approaching the top of the cycle, the valuation was simply too high. Now, post the results, the following updates my view…
FTSE 250 listed, Housebuilder Barratt Developments (BDEV) issued an upbeat trading statement on 16th January covering the six months to 31st December and there is little doubt that the results out next week will contain no nasty surprises. The company has a forward order book equivalent to around four months of sales and as such there is no reason to expect any great change in trading in the second half. Yet with house prices now on a multiple of average wages seem only once before in living memory ( 2007) and with the normal catalyst for a house price correction ( a rise in interest rates) surely only a matter of time the current rating looks untenable.
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