Sunday Long Reads: Death of a Sherlock Holmes fanatic, Islamic State family, Monetising Nothing, Bad Electric Vehicles, Boat Accident
We are collectively exiting “lockdown” over the next few weeks. It will not come too soon for many of us. I see many comments about the investment opportunities as we all get out to spend money again. But I see it slightly differently. I think about how removal of tax payer support will negatively impact business and what opportunities that provides those with capital to deploy.
I previously wrote on Fairpoint Group (FRP) on a June update that it would not be in a position to publish its annual report and accounts in the six months from year-end it has under AIM rules as it was unable to sign-off the audit after having “been notified by its bank, AIB Group (UK) plc, that it is unwilling to provide the level of on-going support requested by the company”. This saw me note ‘a fair point towards disaster’… and now it’s all the way…
First up I must congratulate Paul Scott for sticking with and, I think averaging down, on Revolution Bars (RBG) which earlier this week received a tentative 200p share offer. Paul was right and I was wrong. It happens. I guess my, almost teetotal existence and his extensive field work gave him the edge. Only kidding - it was a great call by Paul and one orf the reasons why he is such a great share blogger. I am sure his session with Nigel Wray at UK Investor 2018 (as well as his live bearcast with me) will justify attendance on its own. But just as a reminder we do not get it all right, here is a classic Scott twitter outburst, regarding Fairpoint (FRP) which said that it would be calling in administrators today.
Updating towards the end of March, Fairpoint Group (FRP) stated “the audit of the 2016 results is expected to complete in April”. Towards the end of April, it then updated that results “will be announced mid-May”, then on 24th May that it then expected to announce in June. Now, the shares have been suspended as the company “will not be in a position” to publish its annual report and accounts in the six months from year-end it has under AIM rules – and it gets still worse…
Having last covered professional services group Fairpoint (FRP) in May, I gave the company a “tentative BUY” rating at 128p. With the shares now sitting at 96p after today’s interim results, investors are clearly unimpressed so far. Should I be sacked?
Shares in Fairpoint (FRP) are off by 10% today to 128p, giving a market cap of £58m, as the market digests a trading statement to accompany today’s AGM. While not entirely straightforward, an investment thesis can be made at this valuation.
It is quite obvious that as far as this Bull Call Of The Day is concerned we are coming relatively late to the party in terms of the extended rally there has been since the beginning of March for shares in Fairpoint Group (FRP). I now suggest a possible upside share price target.
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