Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: can anyone interpret my new nightmare, a Saint (Vin) and a sinner (Lucian) and his toxic 4
A bit of excitement for commodity stocks (again!) and even the pound this morning, but otherwise a quiet Monday morning start for the UK markets. A couple of share price winners I notice are Hotel Chocolat (HOTC) and Greggs (GRG), where if you have been holding either stock over the last year...then you have done rather well. Let’s start with Hotel Chocolat.
Back in early May, here, I loved up Hotel Chocolat (HOTC), observing that following its early/opportunistic money raising to improve its balance sheet, it 'struck me as a retail survivor five weeks ago and this is double underlined now...put it on your watchlists'. Since then, the stock has drifted down a little bit, but anyone who supported the money-raising at 225p has been rewarded.
Five weeks ago I wrote that premium chocolate retailer Hotel Chocolat (HOTC) made its own luck with the timing and magnitude of a money raising, observing that 'I have no idea how the numbers shorter-term for Hotel Chocolat will work out but I have to say on the basis that if you want to panic, it is best to panic early, it gets five stars from me'. You can see the impact. The company raised money at 225p and - admittedly aided by some recovery in the financial markets - today the shares are trading about a quid higher. Well done to all those who subscribed. Meanwhile, the company gave a trading update this morning...
Another round of coronavirus updates today...you know the playbook by now. The only one that really caused me to arch an eyebrow was from my old sparring partner Amigo Holdings (AMGO), which observed that it 'has taken the decision to temporarily pause all new lending activity, except for lending to key workers in exceptional circumstances' and later on talked about switching staff to look after customers who had 'a need for forbearance'. Certainly time for the company to make new friends. Now back to some news out late last week…
I have written a couple of times on Hotel Chocolat (HOTC), most recently back in September when I loved-up the strategy and style...but struggled to get excited at the prevailing share price valuation. Back then I hoped for a pullback to create a buying opportunity at or below 325p a share...but this morning the shares are a little over a quid above this level. Generally the tone of the update for the 13-week and 26-week periods to the end of December reads well…
Late last week I observed ahead of a capital markets day by the self-styled 'world's most exhilarating chocolate brand' Hotel Chocolat (HOTC) that 'I will enjoy pacing through the slide deck and comments. However, what may have helped nibble the shares slightly up today is the assertion that the (no doubt) very normal style presentation agenda will culminate in a tasting session of various products'. So what was said?...
From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2018 and thus far in 2019 (by net short position %, those in bold not on the list at the start of 2019) – and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...
Angus Thirlwell, co-founder and CEO of “premium British chocolatier and omni-channel retailer”, Hotel Chocolat (HOTC) is “pleased to report continued progress for the Hotel Chocolat brand during the 26 weeks to 30 December 2018” – and the shares have responded currently approaching 3% higher to 315p. How do the results and outlook compare to a present more than £355 million market cap?...
“Premium British chocolatier and omni-channel retailer”, Hotel Chocolat (HOTC) has updated on the 13 weeks ended 30th December including “this was another strong Christmas for Hotel Chocolat” and adding “trading since December continues to be in line with management's expectations”. What are expectations though?, and how do they compare to the valuation? – the shares currently circa 5% higher on the day, above 280p – capitalising the company at approaching £320 million…
Hotel Chocolat (HOTC) has announced the opening of the first Hotel Chocolat store in Japan, emphasising a “hugely encouraging” reaction – this following house broker Liberum having noted on September-announced results “management has developed Hotel Chocolat into the leading UK premium chocolate brand and is now expanding that strategy into new international markets. The combined market size of the USA, Japan and Scandinavia is some 4.6x that of the UK and with sensible plans in place, the next stage of Hotel Chocolat’s growth profile looks very interesting indeed”…
Shares in Hotel Chocolat (HOTC) are currently more than 5% higher, heading towards 350p, on the back of the announcement of a “Scandinavian Development Agreement”. Further gains to come?...
Previously writing on Hotel Chocolat (HOTC) it was interims emphasise “another period of strong progress”… but progress enough for the valuation?. Now a trading update for the company’s year ended 1st July 2018…
Chocolatier and retailer, Hotel Chocolat (HOTC) has announced results for its half year ended 31st December 2017, including emphasising “another period of strong progress… with growth in both sales and profits” and “a strong differentiated brand which offers great products and customer service and that is priced as an affordable luxury, gives the board confidence in the group's continued progress”. So why have the shares responded lower, towards 300p?...
Previously writing on Hotel Chocolat (HOTC) in September with the shares having recovered above 300p, my conclusion included that while there may be scope to beat the noted forecasts, it would need a quite heroic beat for the valuation to become palatable to me. There’s now a Trading Update…
In July, previously writing on Hotel Chocolat (HOTC) I noted trading update omissions and retained previous caution with the shares higher at circa 335p. They would fall towards 250p, but have recovered to a current 306.5p on the back of the results announcement for a 53 week period to 2nd July 2017…
A “Trading Update” announcement from chocolatier and retailer, Hotel Chocolat (HOTC), which near the start includes revenue “slightly ahead of market expectations”. The shares are though currently slightly lower, at circa 335p. Hmmm...
Hello Share Snatchers. What is it about the taste of chocolate? I never met anyone who didn’t love the stuff. And I reckon it’s pretty addictive. Otherwise, why should we eat nearly the whole box once we taste the first choccy?
Having to-date been sceptical on shares in chocolatier and retailer Hotel Chocolat (HOTC), I note they currently higher on the back of results for the company’s half-year ended 25th December 2016...
Chocolatier and retailer Hotel Chocolat (HOTC) has updated that it ‘performed well’ in a trading statement for the 13 weeks ended 25th December 2016, with adjusted revenue 14.6% ahead. What about like-for-like performance though?...
Hotel Chocolat (HOTC) co-founder and CEO, Angus Thirlwell emphasises “I am very pleased with our performance since we were admitted to trading on AIM in May this year. Our results are strong, the Hotel Chocolat brand has continued to strengthen and we have made good progress with our three strategic priorities of investing further in our British chocolate manufacturing operations, growing our store estate and developing our digital offering”. Let’s take a look…
Well this doesn't happen very often. In fact, I can't remember the last time I had a morning note drop into my inbox only to find that something was being rated as an outright sell. The usual guff is a series of "speculative buy" ratings (often on things I wouldn't go near). But this morning Beaufort Securities has broken the city's unwritten code of conduct, plunging the knife into recent AIM IPO candidate Hotel Chocolat (HOTC).
AIM-listed Hotel Chocolat (HOTC) only listed yesterday morning and already I've had an email from a reader pointing to a few problems in the Admission Document. Issues such as conflicting dates, whether a liability is current or not (for the same period, and signed off by the same auditor) and so on. Oh, and there there is the small matter of an aquisition just a couple of weeks ahead of the IPO - with directors noted as being substantial shareholders. I'm sure there are perfectly rational explanations for what follows, but for the avoidance of doubt and in the light of what follows I wouldn't touch this stock with a bargepole. Bearing in mind the cost of the admission paperwork, the sloppiness (if that is what it is) is shocking. Over to our reader....
Chocolatier and retailer Hotel Chocolat has announced it is to IPO on 10th May “by way of a conditional placing… based on the placing price (148p per share), the market capitalisation of the company on admission to trading on AIM will be £167 million”. A first part of analysis reviewed the company’s recent financial performance, this second part looks at its prospects…
Chocolatier and retailer Hotel Chocolat (HOTC) has announced it is to IPO on 10th May “by way of a conditional placing… based on the placing price (148p per share), the market capitalisation of the company on admission to trading on AIM will be £167 million”. A second part of analysis will look at the company’s prospects, this first part reviews its recent financial performance…
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