Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: accusations of lying & deception fly - Peter Hargreaves of HL, Neil Woodford & Chris Frazer of Sirius
Mothercare (MTC) has announced results for its year ended 30th March 2019, emphasising they reflecting “a huge amount this year, refinancing, restructuring and reorganising Mothercare to ensure a sustainable future for the business”. Is there?...
Oh Mothercare (MTC). It has been eight months since I last wrote about the self-styled 'leading global specialist retailer for parents and young children'...and once again the shares are kicking around just a couple of pence away from (all-time I believe) lows…
And so in a surprise move Mothercare (MTC) fired its CEO Mark Newton-Jones last week and replaced him with David Wood who has a great CV and is, I am sure, a terribly good fellow. We were told the same about Newton-Jones four years ago. But as with the Titanic the iceberg has already struck and it is too late.
I have been a long term bear of Mothercare (MTC) on the simple basis that I do not see it as having a USP any more. It is a pointless dinosaur like Toys R' Us. The latter is already toast as of last week, the most recent trading statement from Mothercare indicates that it will go the same way.
Previously writing on Mothercare (MTC) it was with its shares having fallen to circa 70p in November, with I concluding “Profit warning ahoy! - this all suggesting prior forecasts of building slightly on last year’s full-year profit (£7.1 million, £19.7 million on an ‘adjusted’ basis) now in tatters and the balance sheet position potentially becoming precarious to boot. Sell”. Now a 12 noon Share price movement and media speculation announcement…
I was uber bearish on Mothercare (MTC) in yesterday's bearcast and could easily see it go to zero as I explained in full. My confidence in that assessment is reinforced by comments made by Matt Earl, the Dark Destroyer who is the Mothercare specialist in the global shorting conspiracy.
A half-year report from Mothercare (MTC) includes “we are on track with our transformation plans for our business, with like-for-like sales in the UK growing 2.5% and gross margins up by 34 bps year on year, in the first half. Across the business, we continue to invest and make progress, developing the Mothercare brand into a digitally led, global specialist”. So why are the shares currently a further more than 16% lower, at circa 70p?...
Mothercare (MTC) has been a potential turnaround story for the past several years, and has doubtless tried the patience of many long-suffering investors. Thursday saw the release of a Q1 trading update.
Mothercare (MTC) shares are down by 10% to 234p today as Destiny Maternity formally pulled out of a bid approach. Quelle frigging surprise! The only question is how low the stock will fall? Ask the experts.
Bear raider Evil Knievil has revealed to me that his biggest short position is now Mothercare (MTC). Evil opened his position at north of 170p ten days ago and the shares are now 157.25p, off another 2.5p today. Knievil warns that a big collapse is on the way.
Mothercare, the UK's iconic retailer in all things baby and toddlers, is having it's cradle rocked.
This is a train wreck. At 170p Mothercare (MTC) is capitalised at £150 million. But this company is essentially worthless – just look at its balance sheet. My target price is 0.01p and I am being generous because I am in a good mood.
Away from the flat fortified wine of the Marks & Spencer (MKS) trading statement to the bubbling champagne and apple pie of the Mothercare (MTI) statement. Having driven shareholders to despair in Q3, along with the departure of CEO Simon Calver (appointed in April 2012), the Q4 Mothercare results did the reverse. The shares rose 14.6% to 187p. Bears did not know if they were coming or going and former bulls found themselves lifted out of the gutter to smell fresh air and coffee again.
The Christmas trading reports from the retailers do not make for pretty reading. There are some who simply cite consumer confidence (or lack of it) in austerity Britain. But I would suggest that there are far wider structural changes afoot, ones that make me wonder if some companies really have a raison d’etre at all going forward. If it did not exist already would anyone bother to establish Mothercare (MTC)? Somehow I rather doubt it. Certainly when it publishes its Christmas trading statement on Thursday it will be grim.
Search ShareProphets |
Recent Comments |