Thursday 19 October 2017 | ShareProphets: The one stop source for breaking news, expert analysis, and podcasts on fast-moving AIM and LSE listed shares
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The September 2017 edition of the UK Investor Magazine is now live: Adam Reynolds speaks, seven hot tips, gay penguins, and much more
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Another slam dunk lie in the MySquar trading statement - time for correction number 2
Yesterday I flagged up the crazy valuation of Doorsteps.co.uk and how, egged on by some misleading marketing, it had managed to raise large sums on crowd funding website Crowdcube. Thus it now has cash - which it will burn fast on its flawed business model - but which will put even more pressure on prices and volumes at Purplebricks. Sadly it is not an isolated case. Meet I Am The Agent Limited.
I apologise to another Anglo-Irishman for the misquote. The advertising watchdog the ASA has for the fourth time in 18 months slammed Purplebricks (PURP) for lying to potential customers. Let's bve clear: companies with a good product can afford to tell the truth. Natch Purplebricks says it has changed its adverts and there is nothing to worry about. But that is on just two days data....
Will Purplebricks (PURP) ever generate real profits from its UK Business? No. I have noted before that its business model is flawed and one reason is the race to the bottom on pricing. Meet the UK's 18th largest estate agent, Doorsteps.co.uk, and flog your house for just £99.
Leading independent estate agents review website AllAgents.co.uk is taking on Purplebricks (PURP) after it tried to stop it publishing genuine but negative reviews, as we revealed HERE. AllAgents has now launched a £50,000 crowdfunding appeal. I have donated - will you?
Yesterday we ran the gutsy response of Estate Agent Chris Wood to a fascist lawyers letter sent by Schillings on behalf of Purplebricks (PURP) in an attempt to gag him. We are not afraid of the wankers at Schillings having seen them off before when they tried to gag me on behalf of the fraudsters at Quindell (QPP). So let's hear more from heroic Chris. Below he explains why a LPE is certainly not always an E and the idea of portal juggling. Anyone owning these shares is bonkers or Neil Woodford or both. Over to Chris....
Having received a fascist lawyers letter from heavyweight lawyers Schillings myself I know that it can be quite intimidating. Mine (HERE) was on behalf of the fraudsters Quindell (QPP) and I told Schillings that I would "see you in Court bitchez." I knew Quenron would not dare go through a disclosure process. Estate Agent Chris Wood is armed with the same knowledge and has thus responded robustly to a missive on behalf of Purplebricks. I have chatted to Chris at length today and, as someone convinced, that Purplebricks is a zero I am happy to republish the missive from Schillings and the response of Chris which adds mountains of evidence to the fact that Purplebricks is a can of worms which is spending ever greater sums trying to gag critics with fascist missives from expensive lawyers. Over to Chris:
This website has never been a great supporter of Concha (CHA) but the Chris Akers vehicle has today announced an investment which shows you that Purplebricks (PURP) is heading for oblivion. Its "disruptive" business model is going to get disrupted and here is one reason why.
Purplebricks (PURP) trading statement released on Friday was characteristically short on detail and did little to justify its sky-high valuation.
An eagle eyed reader flags up another matter relating to Neil "nomates" Woodford's next disaster, that is to say Purplebricks (PURP) which, in light of the latest shocking revelations today, is a zero in waiting as I explained HERE.
These are the genuine reviews on AllAgents.co.uk that Purplebricks (PURP) has attempted to ensure that you do not see by sending threatening lawyers letters as we exposed yesterday. As you can see they are dynamite and show quite clearly a flawed business model which sees customer after customer ripped off. Word of that is spreading which is why this company will NEVER make a profit and will sooner or later run out of money and go bust. The shares are a sell at 380p - target price 0p. Now read on and wonder why folks like Neil "nomates" Woodford and Roger Lawson want to own these shares... PS If Purplebricks wants to threaten me to remove these posts I will take great pleasure in seeing the bitchez in Court.
Earlier I revealed how the UK's largest independent reviewer of Estate Agents had blocked Purplebricks (PURP) after it threatened legal action if Allagents.co.uk continued to carry reviews of its shoddy services which were anything other than flattering - 71 (half) of the reviews were bad and Purplebricks demanded they be removed. Now Allagents has upped the ante with a formal statement which reads:
This was written before TODAY's SHOCKING EXPOSE. Despite falling 25% from its August high Purplebricks (PURP) has been a spectacular investment for practically everybody involved in its brief four-year history.
With 300,000 reviews, AllAgents.co.uk is the UK's largest independent site for independent reviews of Estate Agents by Customers. It has just taken the unprecedented step of not allowing Purplebricks (PURP) reviews because the AIM listed company was trying to "game" the system by using fascist lawyers letters. That tactic has now backfired in a spectacular fashion.
A questionable business model,shocking revelations on Watchdog, very murky management CVs exposed HERE, a complete lack of profits, a sky high valuatione, endorsements from shareholders "nomates" Neil Woodford and Roger Lawson as well as being tipped in the Godawful Midas Column in today's MoS- what could possibly go wrong for Purplebricks (PURP)? To justify its most recent keep the lights on fund raise it had to promise a new expansion strategy. And so on Friday it announced a US Launch. Natch it starts off with patently bogus internet reviews as you can see below. The Yanks are so dumb they will not notice will they?
Neil Woodford, Paul Scott and the man who compares himself to Warren Buffett, Roger Lawson, have no doubt done full due diligence on the manangement at Purplebricks (PURP), notably its founders, the Bruce brothers. Or maybe not...
Nomates Woodford trainwreck in waiting Purplebricks (PURP) has not officially warned the market that it will not meet forecasts. However have a butchers at these two charts from Bloomberg...
We had a lot of great entries this week for the Bulletin Board Moron contest. Apparently, all you need to do is give a desirable prize and people enter. And the prize this week is...? Oh, dear.
Sometimes for routine incompetence but more normally for attempting to publish the sort of money tree worship inspired fake news that should be the preserve of the BBC and the Guardian, pizza hardman Darren Atwater gets fired at least once a week by ShareProphets. Naturally he is reinstated almost immediately. The winner of this week's BBM Contest gets to fire Darren next Monday by mail or in person. What a prize!
One RNS caught my eye amongst the plethora of after-hours announcements on Friday evening. At 6.05pm AIM-listed LSL Property (LSL) was pleased to announce (so why at 6.05pm on a Friday?) a strategic investment in an online hybrid estate agent.
It is all very well saying that tiddly little companies like Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) or Eden Research (EDEN) are worthless cash guzzling frauds heading for 0p but they are just very hard to short. That both stocks will hit zero is a given. In the end frauds always run out of other people's money. What you want are stocks you can short which look almost certain to collapse. And right now you need them badly as a hedge. A hedge against what?
It seems that Roger Lawson of Globo and blinkx fame is not impressed by my suggestion that he is a bull of Purplebricks (PURP) and that it might therefore somehow be jinxed. But in a couple of after the pubs opened O'clock comments here last night he focusses the mind on what a select group he himself belongs to.
It is quite amazing to see just how few friends fund manager Neil Woodford has in the City these days. It is almost as if I am starting to feel that he is a kindred spirit. Neil, how about we have a joint Square Mile Christmas party for all of our friends in a telephone kiosk somewhere? The vast fees Nomates has charged for delivering three years of dismal underperformance do not play well but it is the arrogant insistence that Mr Market is always wrong because Nomates knows better that has unleashed such waves of schadenfreude after his latest disasters. But he still has one or two defenders who say "aha remember 2001" - but this Maginot defence does not wash.
I wrote about the red flags at Purplebricks (PURP) two weeks ago and promised to return to the subject but was distracted by the Telit (TCM) fiasco last week - on that matter I must urge anyone interested to listen to Tom Winnifrith's bearcast yesterday. I challenge anyone to listen and NOT to wnat to go short. But back to Purplebricks.
I wrote recently that I wouldn’t want to be short Fevertree (FEVR) or Purplebricks (PURP) on the basis that clearly crazy valuations have a habit of getting crazier.
Infamous short seller Matt Earl, aka the Dark Destroyer, has gone to war with Purplebricks (PURP) questioning its absurd valuation and also its response to last night's hatchet job on the BBC Watchdog programme. Earl notes:
Purplebricks (PURP) is one of a raft of new-breed estate agency companies making some bold and questionable claims in the property market at present but how many of these claims stand close scrutiny and are they even trading within the law?
From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...
So far I have been wrong about Purplebricks (PURP), but despite that I still view it as over-valued at the moment.
From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following details the shorted AIM shares at the end of this week (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...
We spotted that that the Chief Marketing Officer of AIM-listed Purplebricks (PURP) had been beating a hasty retreat the other day, selling £341,000 worth of shares acquired from the exercise of options almost as soon as the certificate arrived. But it seems that Old Mutual had a similar idea.
AIM-listed Purplebricks (PURP) only joined the Casino in December and today it was announced that its Chief Marketing Officer dumped 243,618 shares at a price of 140p – worth a shade over £341,000 – last Friday.
Purplebricks (PURP), the hybrid online and 'local property expert'-based estate agent, has announced results for its year ended 30th April 2016, noting that “we continue to scale and anticipate that the UK business will move into profit in the current financial year” and that it is to launch in Australia. With the shares currently slightly lower, at 130p, in response, the following reviews…
December-listed on AIM ‘hybrid’ estate agency combining online with local property experts, Purplebricks Group (PURP) has announced a trading update headlined “Strong trading through H2”. The shares are though currently approaching 6% lower, at 164.75p, in response. Hmmm…
December addition to AIM, estate agent combining online with local property experts, Purplebricks Group (PURP) has announced results for the six months ended 31st October 2015…
Purplebricks (PURP) floated on AIM during the middle of last month, but its valuation looks on the high side to me.
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