The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Drifts Lower (For Now)

Gold finished the week at $1827 – down a little from $1840 a week ago as the divergence from the general stock market continues. Of course, I view stock market strength as…..ahem……transitory, to coin a phrase, so if Gold is diverging that is good news for Gold Bulls. If only this final roll-over would hurry up!


The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As The Fed Hikes Rates And Gold Goes All Over The Shop

Gold finished this week at $1840 – down from last week’s $1872, but a good recovery from the drop to test $1810 in the wake of the Fed’s rush of blood in raising interest rates this week by 0.75%, accompanied by the suggestion that we could be in for the same again at the next meeting. The Fed wants us all to know that it is taking inflation very seriously. Very seriously indeed.


The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Shows Signs Of Decoupling

Gold finished the week at $1872, nicely up from last week’s $1851, following a day of yet more bad US inflation numbers and a corresponding sell-off in both equities and bonds. Gold initially followed the market down, but then rallied. Is this a sign of a decoupling which would see the yellow metal head sharply north as equities head the other way?


Video: the dollar will collapse & gold will soar

Asset manager David Brady believes another massive rally is coming for gold and that the Fed will reverse course. Countries never chose to default they always inflate their debts away. Markets today are centrally managed. What we have is not free-market capitalism.


The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Stocks Show Some Signs Of Recovery

Gold ended the weeks at $1851 – almost unchanged on the previous $1854, but in between times headed down to $1830 and then up to $1870 before heading back to where it started the week. Pleasingly, Gold stocks did a little better by more-or-less continuing the recovery from a low ebb in May, but the underperformance against the yellow metal remains stark.


The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Tries To Rally

Gold closed the week at $1854 – a small improvement on last week’s $1847, but not yet enough to cure the sell-off in Gold stocks (although they did improve this week). So when are we going to see the great explosion I have been looking for since the start of the Covid crisis? I don’t think it will be long.


Video: The Most Bullish Precious Metals Setup in my 38-Year Career

Analyst Peter Grandich says his  clients tell him that it’s difficult to get goods and prices are rising quickly. Yet, the Fed’s ability to deal with inflation seems limited.  Peter says that the lockdown created secondary effects on supply chains, and now things are becoming compounded with China and Russia and the Fed’s tools are largely useless at correcting this situation.


The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Stocks Are Pulled Down

Gold has had a pretty terrible few weeks: back in late February it spiked to $2050 and then hung around in the mid-$1900s until the end of April. Now it has been challenging $1800 from above and closed the week at $1847. Of course, in the context of being just $1200 for years ago the yellow metal has done well, but given all that money-printing and rampant inflation one might have expected more of late.


Video: Stay in cash now, look to buy gold in H2

Analyst, Chris Puplava, argues that Fed rate hikes don’t always result in recessions. He believes there is no spare capacity to compensate for a slowdown and, therefore, the Fed is limited in its ability to control inflation. The November elections are always a factor, and he doesn't expect the Fed will tighten aggressively into the fall. Mortgage rate hikes, he argues, are already impacting the housing markets, as the interest rate pain threshold has been more pronounced with every debt cycle.


Video: You Can’t Print More Commodities

30-year mining veteran, "Andy", discusses how everything in markets comes down to supply and demand. Logistics, contracts, and shipping are all essential factors in trade. Markets are complex, and risk mitigation is important, especially with the fluctuating prices of commodities. Sometimes, margins are tight, and companies can easily lose money - particularly if they're not hedged accordingly.

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