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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Scottish Power really are shysters and the 2 name changes that threw me at Advance Energy

I start with the dire customer service from Scottish Power which is scamming me here at the Welsh Hovel. What to do? Then I am disppointed that none of you could Sherlock ADM Energy (ADME) and its latest fake sheikh. Then, sorry Gary, back to Advance Energy (ADV) and its history with this fine website as Andalas and as CEB Resources, the pumpers (Zak Mir, flip flop Ben Turney, and Justin the Clown), the villains (Dave Whitby) and the lessons. Finally I explain why those predicting financial armageddon are, all of a sudden so plausible, but are wrong, or at least are over-egging the pudding.

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PREMIUM CONTENT

CMC Markets should be starting to benefit from increased volatility and is too cheap - recovery buy

I always find it hard to buy shares where I see fundamental good value and where I am intending to hold them as an actual investment rather than just a short term trade based on momentum.

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RRR
RRR

Red Rock Resources – further judgement in favour in DRC, but what next?

Red Rock Resources (RRR) has announced the Commercial Court of Lubumbashi has issued an executory judgment in its favour for joint venture partner VUP SA to pay it $2 million damages with costs, with there already another judgment for $2.505 million. What of a little changed share price of 0.625p though, albeit at least up from heading towards 0.40p before Christmas?

Bitcoin

Video: Gold Will Outperform Bitcoin and Stocks this Year

Another one to annoy our in-house bitcoin loon Jimbo although I sense that this particular sinner is somewhat repenting. 

HAT
HAT
PREMIUM CONTENT

H and T Group – 2021 update, scope for further progress

October share tip at a 279p offer price, UK pawnbroking group H&T (HAT) has announced that “trading performance during the second half remained consistently strong and the group expects to report profit before tax for the full year within the range of current market expectations”.

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ODX
ODX
PREMIUM CONTENT

Omega Diagnostics manifestly deceives investors as CEO walks the plank

If the share price of a company is in sharp decline and the CEO walks it is for one of two reasons and neither is good. It could be that the CEO knows that things can only get worse and wants to put as much clear blue water between him and a ship that is bound to sink. Or the rest of the board know that stakeholders will only do what is needed to try to keep the ship afloat if there is a change of captain, it is an admission that the ship is in deep trouble. Either way it is always a sign to sell or short or add to shorts and that brings me to Omega Diagnostics (ODX) where I have been a long term bear.

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Collapsing-Reactor

Video: an epic risk moment in history, shares to crash 90%

Asset manager, Egon von Greyerz does not mince his words. There is no fence sitting here. He argues that systemic risks are increasing but the general investor does not appear concerned. No one knows the size of the derivatives markets but it’s likely in the quadrillions. Egon points out that sovereign bonds make no sense for investors since the only way they can be paid back is with more money printing, hence they are extremely poor investments especially when you consider the dismal returns.

Roulette

Confessions of a Silly Lottery Player and a Warning to Others.

Hello Share Cravers. You may be one of those souls who try the handle several times before they’re happy they’ve locked the front door. My own obsessive behaviour is the unreasonable way I play the national lottery. This is a kind of investment (ha ha). So it’s appropriate to discuss it on this dazzling website.

Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast – a Fake Sheikh hunting competition for detectives among you

I start with a weather report from Chez Atwater, refer to this article, and ask any cultists to explain. Then there is a fake sheikh (or not)-hunting competition regarding ADM Energy (ADM). Finally I ask if we bears really will have a long promised tea party in 2022 as slimmer of the month Lucian Miers suggests. Heck, he is even thinking of shorting Tesla again.

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TheWorks.co.uk plc – interims, how will it trade with cost pressures in a more normalised consumer environment?

Arts, crafts, stationery, toys and books retailer TheWorks (WRKS) has announced results for its half-year ended 31st October 2021 and an update on subsequent trading which currently has helped the shares up by more than 14% to 64.6p, a £40.4 million market cap. So what’s the story?…

UHS
UHS

BREAKING EXPOSE: The FCA does not expose and prosecute proven fraudsters it asks them for money!

The document below is so utterly shocking that surely the FCA must now be held to account. In September of last year I demonstrated why Standard Listed Umuthi Healthcare was a fraud and exposed how it had been brought to market by a convicted fraudster Connie Van Nieuwkerk.  By October 21 2021, the company was forced to ‘feee up in an RNS to Connie and also that its CEO Gert Viljoen had also been arrested in South Africa and was also in the slammer. So how did the FCA respond?

Bulletin Board Moron of the week – yes it’s a shareholder in heading for insolvency Chill Brands

Ahead of what will be dismal interims and a catastrophically bad update on current trading due within 11 days and with a bailout placing needed PDQ, shares in Chill Brands (CHLL) are again lower today at 11.8p.  My target price is still 0p and still the idiots who have ignored my numerous warnings from 76p down as they know better still play the man, me, not the ball, my data and bear thesis. Meet kaka47 on the ADVFN Asylum who posts:

ARB
ARB
PREMIUM CONTENT

So our Polish cleaner’s 12 year old son wants her to buy Bitcoin – at least it is not Argo Blockchain he wants to punt

I am rather taken with the new cleaning lady the Mrs has hired. She scrubs up well, works hard and her views on a range of issues including masks, vaccines, inflation and the role of the state are thoroughly admirable. And hearing myself and Lucian discuss how mining companies claim to be ESG friendly by hiring loads of lesbians, she thought that a good joke and remarked that my work seemed interesting. That would not be how the Mrs would react, both to the joke and the description of my work.  I mention all of this only because Agnieszka has been arguing with her 12 year old son who wants her to invest her wages in bitcoin.

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Living by a death spiral, dying by a death spiral – liquidity drying up in a bear market: the Supply@ME Fraud

Each working day, Mercator, the provider of two death spirals to the fraud Supply@ME Capital (SYME) needs to offload c£20,000 worth of shares on to the muppets who think that they are going to get rich catching this particular falling knife. In a bull market when folks are prepared to overlook obvious lies and fraudulent results, that is not hard but we are not now in a bull market.

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CEY
CEY
PREMIUM CONTENT

Centamin – Q4 update, further recovery ahead

Centamin (CEY) has announced “the final quarter delivered what was a highly successful 2021” and that it is now looking forward to delivering on a clear roadmap to growing and unlocking further value from the Sukari gold mine in Egypt and its exploration portfolio. The shares have responded up to 93.425p and look to have much further to go.

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Why ESG lovers really should buy DS Smith shares

Interesting to see that for the first time in over 20 years, the technology-focused NASDAQ index was up 1%+ intraday and finished down more than 1% for the second consecutive day. It may or may not happen for a third consecutive day today, but you get the general point about being deeply thoughtful about your investment choices. Frankly you should be always like this, but the last 12 years or so has favoured too many deeply-excited technology investors. On a related point, I have talked quite a few times about ESG matters.

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PREMIUM CONTENT

OptiBiotix Health and SkinBioTherapeutics – further progress & triggers for dramatic 2022 re-rate

OptiBiotix Health (OPTI) was one of our tips of the year, with we anticipating financial progress as its deals for its compounds expand and further deals kick-in. It has now announced that a further human volunteer study on its cholesterol-reducing probiotic LPLDL - on a different population group of hypercholesterolemic adults – has shown “at six weeks, when volunteers taking placebo were compared to those taking LPLDL, there were statistically significant changes to clinically important cardiovascular risk”, including “34.2% reduction in total cholesterol (p=0.001)”.

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Try Running with the Outfit that Helps Countries Organise Super Sports Shindigs like the Olympic Games

Hello Share Mongers. The only sport I love to watch is ice skating as it’s more an art form than a sport, anyway. But that doesn’t make me any less aware that the world goes potty over watching others do all the work. So I would be surprised if the ‘sports enabling’ outfit 4Global (4GBL) didn’t do well for its shareholders.

Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Dissecting the accelerating share price collapse at the fraud Chill Brands as I report a crime against me to the Police

Okay the crime is not as exciting as it sounds and was not, as far as I know, perpetrated by some Bulletin Board loon. After discussing that I look at Chill Brands (CHLL), Brave Bison (BBSN) and Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX)

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Superdry – interims, are there “clear signs of brand and financial recovery”?

Clothing, accessories and footwear company Superdry (SDRY) has announced results for its half-year ended 23rd October 2021 and a trading update for the subsequent 11 weeks, emphasising “clear signs of brand and financial recovery”. So what’s the story with the shares currently at circa 230p in response, 8% lower!…

PensionBee – WTF is Adjusted EBITDAM? You are kidding me right? Sell.

Bodged bullshit earnings plus what? Historically EBITDAM is EBITDA but also subtracting from the “cost base” either management or management excess. But a spokesperson says that PensionBee views this as a key metric in today’s FY trading statement and predicts adjusted EBITDAM profitability by December 2022.  

KIE
KIE
PREMIUM CONTENT

Busy corporate update Thursday – Ibstock, Kier, Deliveroo & Wickes

A Thursday tends to be a busy day in the financial markets…and that is certainly true today. So whilst it is nice to see the FTSE 100 still being up year-to-date, the pound performing a bit better against the dollar and (sensibly) the world’s bond investors realising that developed market interest rates and yields should be going up, what about the corporate updates of interest to me?

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G4M
G4M

Gear4music – trading update, “confident” or follow the CEO?

Online musical instruments and music equipment retailer Gear4music (G4M) has made a trading update on its third quarter to 31st December 2021 emphasising “UK sales growth continued to be robust… a strong pipeline of new products, e-commerce system developments and new website features”. So why do the shares remain below 700p?…

PREMIUM CONTENT

BREAKING: Oxford Cannabinoid – Are directors lining their pockets ahead of an MBI?

The IPO of Oxford Cannabinoid (OCTP), pumped by the tawdry Mail on Sunday on the, false, supposition that Mr Snoop Doggy Dog was an active investor, was – as I predicted an overvalued POS and those backing it have, in eight months, already lost half their money.  This week it admitted to delays in work on its two lead compounds, not that, even before, either would – if they worked – hit markets till 2027. Its founder chairman will soon step down after a share dealing scandal but is already in Thailand “finding himself”. But it gets worse.

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URU
URU

Red Flags At Night: URU – 7am Pump, No-One-Is-Watching O’clock Dump by John Zorbas

Tom Winnifrith covered yesterday morning’s non-news of AIM-listed URU Metals’ (URU) proposed listing of majority-owned Toronto-listed subsidiary ZEB Nickel on the joke US OTCQB market. The shares rocketed from 170p to 210p on the news, a 23.5% gain. But the bald truth is that we are talking about a joke market with little liquidity and in any case, I would have thought your average US punter would manage to get access to the Toronto Venture exchange without having to deal with a tin-pot middle man.

PREMIUM CONTENT

Orcadian Energy - is the tide turning on UK offshore oil and gas? It is - BUY

The last 6 months has seen a push and pull between two opposing views – the “need” for green energy and the real need for cheap energy. The former does not result in the later – far from it. Despite what the BBC and many others, would claim these are two largely incompatible objectives, unless we change the society we live in. At some point progress has to be made to reconcile the two opposing views and face the reality – we need new oil and gas UK based production of scale. I see Orcadian Energy (ORCA) leading the way in illustrating how we can achieve this outcome.

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This Dividend King Keeps on Bringing in the Sheaves Despite the Plague

Hello Share Shufflers. There aren’t many investment outfits I entrust my dough to, but regular readers will know I’ve time for City of London Investment Group (CLIG). A big reason to support it is a very generous dividend policy, and now comes news of a special pay-out on top.

ITS
ITS

In The Style Group – states “pleased to provide” trading update, but it’s another lack of profits warning...

Womenswear online retailer In The Style (ITS) states it “is pleased to provide an update on Christmas trading for the eight weeks to 31 December 2021 as well as an update on its board of directors”. The shares though are currently down to 91p, so what’s the story?…

Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - if the FCA really cared about financial promotions Gollum would be doing porridge

In today’s bearcast I start with Cathie Wood of Ark Invest and another sign ( hat tip FP) that she is Neil Woodford on steroids and will see a mega blow up in 2022. The onto the FCA’s plan to crack down on financial promotions. My arse it will. If it was serious on this matter Gollum Gill would be in the slammer already. Then some consolation for Gary Newman with some words on Advance Energy (AVN). I comment on URU Metals (URU) and the there is Best of the Best (BOTB). Surely there must be a Steward’s intp the £60 million share dump by directors nine months ago.  But are the shares still cheap?  

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HUI
HUI
PREMIUM CONTENT

EXPOSE: Hydrogen Utopia – More red flags than in Jeremy Corbyn's wettest of dreams

Where do I start on a crock-o-shite? Do I start with the valuation? Do I start with connected parties? Do I start with the technology? Do I start with the Aquis (lobster pot) market? There are so many options I find myself spoilt for choice. Hydrogen Utopia (HUI) really has to be a standout investment case of red flag options.

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Best of the Best – interims, profit warning AGAIN!

Online prize competitions company Best of the Best (BOTB) has announced results for its half-year ended 31st October 2021 including “in line with market expectations as updated in August 2021”. However, I previously noted that “updated” was actually a massive profit warning, concluding with the shares around the mid 600p’s I want to see some evidence of the earnings “uptick” potential before reconsidering from the watchlist. The shares last closed at 606p but are currently below 450p, so what’s going on with the apparently “in line” results?…

URU
URU
PREMIUM CONTENT

Uru Metals – shares ramped up on US OTC Spoof, John Zorbas is 'avin' a Turkish

Luckily those attracted to owning shares in joke John Zorbas company URU Metals (URU) have the collective IQ of a cheese sandwich so they fell for the spoof. But spoof it is. As Nigel pointed out when Uru snuck out dire results on New Year’s Eve, Uru is almost certainly running on vapours with a death spiral to convert outstanding debt kicking in at 85p. Thus, a share price of 200p (up 17% on the spoof) is insane.

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ADV
ADV
PREMIUM CONTENT

Disastrous drilling result for Advance Energy, officially my worst share tip ever - but is it now game over?

Advance Energy (ADV) is proving to be probably my worst tip ever, given that I only covered it yesterday and the share price is currently down around 80% following an update on drilling which appears to be bad news, and I can only apologise to anyone who bought based on my piece yesterday. At least it has given my pea brained critics on twitter a day of onanismic delight.

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Not a global fashionista nor a chav...but still a Burberry shares fan

I see Emma Walmsley – the current (but surely not for much longer) CEO of GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) – is very excited this morning, after the company announced hiring a new Chief Scientific Officer designate who will take the full job in August. I do agree with Emma that the appointment is positive and important, but I do wonder whether there will be also be a newly announced Glaxo CEO come August, irrespective of the company’s big intellectual and R&D push over the next few years. Even if Glaxo shares are back below 17 quid, you know my continuing positive thoughts as mentioned a few days ago HERE. Meanwhile, let’s talk about Burberry (BRBY).

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Crime-Scene
PREMIUM CONTENT

FRC fines KPMG plus former head of Manchester Office (again) – the pretence is that it changes anything

This is a charade. A pretence. A farce. For the second time, Nicola Quayle, the former head of KPMG’s Manchester office has been fined for signing off on misleading accounts. KPMG has also been fined but the idea that this will change anything is just a farce.

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JDW
JDW

Wetherspoon’s Tim Martin lashes hypocrite Boris and hypocrite fund manager Blackrock as he serves up a lack of profits warning

Given the pointless Plan B lockdown it is no great shock that JD Wetherspoon (JDW) will make a first half loss. But in spelling out just how bad things are, L4L sales down by 11.7% and total sales by 13.3% in the first 25 weeks of the year,  heroic company founder Tim Martin has lashed out at the illogical policies of a hypocritical Government and at the hypocrisy and stupidity of fund manager Blackrock. The great man does not hold back and opines:

As Bing Crosby Used to Sing: We're Going Well, We're Going Shell...

Hello Share Swingers. This old punter has been of the opinion for many months now that Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA) is undervalued. This is based on oil and gas prices going through the roof. Brent Crude continues to rise with more big jumps this week and I agree with Tom when he says fuel prices will continue to soar this year.

PREMIUM CONTENT

Pressure Technologies if this is value creation rather than executive greed I am a monkey’s arse

AIM sewer-listed Pressure Technologies (PRES) says that it has established a new executive incentive arrangement, the Pressure Technologies plc Value Creation Scheme  which “provides a strong motivation to executive management to maximise the performance of the Group in a manner that is closely aligned with the interests of the Company’s shareholders.” Oh yeah.  If so I am a monkey’s arse

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AAU
AAU
PREMIUM CONTENT

Ariana – Production Results And General Update: Still A Buy

AIM-listed Gold and Silver producer in Turkey, Ariana Resources (AAU) released its full year production data for 2021 this morning – and the news is good. Alongside that came an expectation to double the original life of mine at Kiziltepe, and the company confirmed that the plant expansion there had indeed completed in early H2 increasing the capacity to 300% over the feasibility design. It is a cracking update.

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Backing Lord Lucan but ToryBoy Matt Moulding of THG fecks up big time

I start with Mr Moulding who must be a decent chap as he gives vast sums to that beacon of integrity that is the Conservative & Unionist party. I discuss today’s horrible statement from THG (THG).The incident should also see firings at the Mail on Sunday and Sunday Times but it will not.  I look at Omega Diagnostics (ODX) as it rushes towards a single figure share price and at Guild e-Sports (GILD), still a joke, notwithstanding today’s statement.  Finally i look at the Sound Energy (SOU) bids for Lord Lucan’s Angus Energy (ANGS) Will Lucan get any more lucky?

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Much as I like chocolate, I am still avoiding Hotel Chocolat shares

I am trying to remember when I last went to a Hotel Chocolat (HOTC) store. I certainly bought a few Christmas presents in late 2019…and a couple of bargains in early 2020. Anyhow, whilst historically liking the products, I did pass on its 355p money raising in July last year…and that was a mistake given the share price has been at/above 500p for the last four months. So how do I feel after today’s trading update for the ‘13-week period (“Q2”) and the 26-week period (“H1”) ended 26 December 2021’?

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ADV
ADV
PREMIUM CONTENT

Advance Energy has enjoyed a big rise since I tipped it, but I see more to come now that drilling is underway

Advance Energy (ADV) is a company which I covered last summer and suggested that although it has a very chequered history, new assets and a completely different management team made it well worth a speculative buy with a drill to come.

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UJO
UJO
PREMIUM CONTENT

Union Jack Oil – even its house broker admits to the cash issue

Bulls of Union Jack Oil (UJO), the company that uses shareholder cash to troll its own shareholders, advisers and journalists, have taken some comfort from the latest desktop study of West Newton. I did a desktop study of Cheryl Cole last night and that proves nothing either. It is all hot air. Only drilling proves anything and on that count Union Jack is a serial failure.  But there is another matter: the cashburn.

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Edge Performance VCT – Board Survives but big questions remain

The Edge Performance VCT reconvened AGM and General Meetings finally took place today, including the sack-the-board requisitioned meeting. The bottom line is that the Board survived and voting was heavy so it is hard to complain, even if the eventual votes went against the rebels. But…..

This Niche Outfit that Keeps Up with Changing Life at the Office Could Be a Winner

Hello Share Sharers. Due to Covid, the better sort of company is looking for new ways of doing things in its offices. An AIM-registered outfit that specialises in that sort of thing is SmartSpace Software (SMRT). It provides software which enables companies to make the most of their buildings and workspaces. That cuts office expenses and makes employees want to keep on working there.

ARS
ARS
PREMIUM CONTENT

Asiamet Resources – emphasises “stunning” BKZ drill results, Buy...

One of the three HotStockRockets tips of the year 2022, Asiamet Resources (ARS) now emphasises “Stunning High Grade Drill Results Expand BKZ and the shares have responded up to 2.785p, but there looks more to come.

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast – recording from my sick bed

I do not go into much detail but this has not been a pleasant last 24 hours so hence the lack of output from me. Fingers crossed I am on the mend. I discuss Covid plays and false Covid recovery plays and end of covid victims including Omega Diagnostics (ODX), a mega short as the cash crisis bites, Abingdon Diagnostics (ABDX), MyHealthChecked (MHC) and – especially for listener TB – Cineworld (CINE). Then I look at more murky Trevor Brown goings on at Braveheart (BRH) and the odd world of Free Association Books and the Brown family. Finally the madness at Tintra (TNT) now – for a company with no operations – and, perhaps, £2million cash – valued at c£40 million. Insane!

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DPP
DPP

DP Poland – trading update, was the placing for “further expansion and market penetration”?...

Pizza restaurants and stores in Poland and exclusive rights to Domino’s Pizza in the country company DP Poland (DPP) has announced a trading update including “like for like System Sales up 16% in Q4 2021 compared to Q4 2020… Cash at bank of £1.8m as at 31 December 2021 (2020: £1.2m)”. However, and already down from above 10p as recently as June, the shares have currently responded further lower, towards 6p. So what’s the story here?…

BPM
BPM
PREMIUM CONTENT

B.P. Marsh & Partners – another deal, again suggesting value

Following recently a shareholding transaction in an investee company further suggesting value, B.P. Marsh & Partners (BPM) has now announced another deal suggesting the same.

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ACC
ACC

Access Intelligence – lack of profit but still warning. Acquisition “transformative” currently not in a good way!

Marketing and communications data technology company Access Intelligence (ACC) has made a trading update headlined “Year to 30 November 2021: a transformative year”. That sounds positive… but the current share price response is to 116.5p, more than 23.5% lower! So what’s the story?…

TW
TW
PREMIUM CONTENT

More GlaxoSmithKline and Unilever excitement awaits…and then onto Taylor Wimpey

Of course I am excited to see GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) shares up nicely today. No surprise, akin to my comments here yesterday, that it has formally told Unilever (ULVR) where to go. Suffice to say there is going to a load of full year number updates from the two names on 9th February (GSK) and 10th February (Unilever), but today’s additional announcement by the former of ‘detailed financial information and future growth ambitions for the new Consumer Healthcare business at a virtual Capital Markets Day for investors and analysts on Monday 28th February 2022’, is really going to be worth a listen to. As noted in my update yesterday I am holding onto my GSK shares. Let’s talk about something else and I see Taylor Wimpey (TW.) is out with its ‘trading statement for the year ended 31 December 2021’ today.

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Collapsing-Reactor

Video - the decade of the Greater depression

Some folks talk of how this will be an inflation-fuelled roaring twenties as if inflation is a good thing. But, as I explained in Bearcast yesterday, history shows how it rips society apart. The poverty it causes for many is an evil.  Doug Casey, the libertarian author and speculator, follows this theme in the latest podcast from Palisade Capital. He may be more eloquent than I, certainly he delivers fewer “ers”.

DIS
DIS

Distil – trading slump for ‘longer-term more premium positioning’, Or is it?...

RedLeg Spiced Rum, Blackwoods Gin and Vodka, TRØVE Botanical Vodka and Blavod Black Vodka drinks company Distil (DIS) has announced “a longer-term beneficial move to more premium positioning for our key brands” and “we have also progressed our new Malt Scotch and anticipate formally launching the product in the coming months… we remain excited about the Ardgowan investment”. Why then a current share price response to 1.65p, approaching 11% lower?…

Edge Performance VCT – Final Shoot-Out At the OK Corall Today, 10.30am

Today Edge Performance VCT (EDGH) finally holds its reconvened AGM from last August, and a separate General Meeting to decide whether to sack the Board and replace it with a new one intent on liquidating the portfolio or not. In the rebel corner sits ShareSoc with the strong support of SHareProphets, a former director who stepped down on the announcement that the now defunct I-Class shares would be paid off from the sale of an asset owned by the H-class shareholders whilst the H-shares got nothing, a proposed new director and, of course, a stack of H- and former I-class shareholders who requisitioned the meeting.

GSK
GSK

Marmite King Versus the Panadol Prince. There Could Be Money to be Made here, Gang

Hello Share Shovers. You’ll either love this possible takeover – or hate it. The owner of Marmite is rumoured to very much want to snaffle the giant consumer arm of GlaxoSmithKline (GSK). And Unilever (ULVR) actually made a £50 billion approach. This was turned down as being too low. As an owner of GSK shares, I agree that it wasn’t an enticing proposition and I expect a bigger one to come.

Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Unilever's new Emperor's ESG Clothes and TW ramping gold and deramping bitcoin bollocks

I start with the suggestion that I am ramping gold and de-ramping Bitcoin. I discuss this nonsense although I am vaguely flattered that anybody thinks me so omnipotent. Then onto Unilever (ULVR). Finally a related discussion on the wretched Sunday Times coverage of the laughable Black Pound Report.  I refer to the LadBible piece HERE

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LBG
LBG
PREMIUM CONTENT

LBG Media (LadBible) - a recent IPO whose valuation is surely bonkers

LBG Media (LBG),the owner of LadBible, floated on the AIM Casino on 15 December last year. Its valuation just looks bonkers. With a hat tip to reader TB…

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Deltic Energy offers upside exposure to drilling without taking any crazy risks - speculative buy

A real buzz seems to have returned to the oil and gas sector in recent times and with commodity prices at their strongest for several years, and that even seems to be trickling down to the lower end of the market and the explorers now with some shares on a real rip.

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GSK
GSK
PREMIUM CONTENT

Still loving GlaxoSmithKline as Unilever bid emerges

I was already excited about the upcoming week, predominately because a bunch of interesting companies are giving us an update on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday.  So maybe an existing holding does well or maybe I get an opportunity to consider a new angle.  One stock I am going to be watching closely on Monday morning is GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) as I read that ‘Unilever(ULVR) makes £50 billion bid for GSK’s consumer business’. 

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Quiz
PREMIUM CONTENT

The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #124

Grab a cup of tea, sit back, and test your knowledge against the other ShareProphets members. Write your score in the comments, there are no prizes, and most important of all – no Googling!

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Pharos Energy has been terrible but I believe 2022 will be the year that changes - buy

Pharos Energy (PHAR) has been a terrible investment for anyone who has held longer term – including myself – and even more so from the days when it was called Soco International (SIA), but I still believe that it can turn things around.

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Professor
PREMIUM CONTENT

Sunday Long Reads: The Black Joke, Rum Island, Future of Food, Spanish galleons, Scientific Reality Exists

Here are five long reads that have nothing to do with shares. Put the kettle on, find a comfy chair. You have the time, don’t you? 
 

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Tern – The stalled US OTC Listing -over to the SEC

I asked on Friday whether AIM-listed jam-tomorrow internet of things investment company Tern plc (TERN) had run into some problems with its proposed listing on the US OTCQB market. A trip to the SEC website asks more questions than it answers.

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Top-10

Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending 15 January 2022

These are the most-read articles and most listened-to Bearcasts of the week. The most-read non-Tom, non tip-of-the-year is Is it time for me to sell my Barclays shares by Chris Bailey.

Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: what about World War 3 and the Ukraine & why Zak's cunning plan will not work

I start by considering events in the Ukraine where my sympathies are, naturally, with Mother Russia but what could it all lead to? Then I consider why shares in Zak Mir’s Lift Ventures might fly but why his plan is flawed.  Then onto THG (THG), Deepverge (DVRG) and Union Jack (UJO) and CEOs who say the shares are too cheap too often or who “fear” a takeover at this price. 

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Gold
PREMIUM CONTENT

The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Yet Again Recovers Above $1800

Gold ended the week at $1818, nicely up from last week’s drop to below $1790 and the close at $1797. The yellow metal is still not though $1830 resistance but the general direction of travel over the past month and a half has been upwards and the past four and a bit months has seen a steadily rising series of low points – even if of late there seems to be a ceiling at $1830. 

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GoldfishShark

Video: Energy Crisis will drive gold to new highs

I cannot help but think that unfolding events in the Ukraine are going to be positive for both gold and oil in the coming weeks. But that is not the thesis of analyst Steve St. Angelo of the SRSrocco Report. Steve seeks to show how energy can impact the price of gold and why it essentially sets a floor for the metal. He argues that the foundation of our global economy is the cost to produce goods and there has to be a profit margin: Everything has a margin but unfortunately, investors often forget this factor when evaluating charts.

AAZ
AAZ

Anglo Asian Mining – Q4 and full-year update, further potential: BUY

Anglo Asian Mining (AAZ) has published a fourth quarter update, including noting an underway technical study to determine the commercial viability of adding to its production from an existing underground mine, Vejnaly, in the second half of this year.

THS
THS

Tharisa – first quarter update and set for performance improvement ahead - BUY

PGMs and chrome producer in South Africa Tharisa (THS) has updated on its quarter ended 31st December 2021, including that “we remain firmly on track to deliver, and hopefully exceed, our stated guidance of 165 koz to 175 koz PGMs and 1.75 Mt to 1.85 Mt of chrome concentrates in the current financial year”.

Bitcoin

Video: Bitcoin to crash to $20,000 but gold set to puke too

I run this to annoy both our in-house crypto loon Jimbo but also gold loon Nigel Somerville. But Andrew Gilbert who makes the call is a chartist so, almost certainly, wrong.

SmartSpace Software – full year “in line with market expectations”. Er...

‘Smart’ buildings and commercial spaces software company SmartSpace (SMRT) states that it “is pleased to announce a trading update… the group has been progressing its objective to build a high growth SaaS business with strong recurring revenues and consequently, expects that results for the full year ending 31 January 2022 will be in line with market expectations”. At a current 75p share price, why though are the shares down from above 180p as recently as July?…

Bull

Hold onto your Hats. Like the Oil Price, Shares Could Be About to Take Off.

Hello, Share Wipers. Stock prices will rise strongly this year. I base this jolly prediction on this week’s unexpected announcement about a rise in Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Blighty’s economy surpassed pre-Covid levels for the first time in November the latest figure we have for economic growth.. The government said GDP increased by 0.9% between October and November. That meant the economy was 0.7% bigger than in February 2020 when the plague first hit. 

Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Commissioning Wardell Armstrong to do a report on me for Cheryl Cole on the size of my assets

I start by discussing Eurasia Mining (EUA), its CPR on its nickel assets and Range Resources (RRL) and a similar exercise undertaken by Pirate Pete Landau. Then I look at Omega Diagnostics (ODX), at the piece I penned earlier inspired by Luke Johnson, HERE, and finally at Sensyne (SENS) and what happens next.

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Oi Tern – How’s That US OTC Markets Float Going?

It is now just three days short of seven months since AIM-listed jam-tomorrow investment company (which is a tad short of cash) Tern plc (TERN) announced plans to join the OTCQB market on the other side of the pond. Of course, even by the standards of the world’s most successful growth market OTCQB is a demonstrably tin-pot exercise, but Tern was clearly very excited about it.

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Kefi Gold & Copper – quarterly update, potential catalysts ahead

Kefi Gold & Copper (KEFI) states it “is pleased to provide its latest quarterly operational update”. Should it be though with long-suffering shareholders faced with a still below 0.80p share price?

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Quiz plc – trading update, is it right to be ‘confident of demand supporting profitable revenue growth’?...

Omni-channel fashion company specialising in ‘occasion and dressy casual’ womenswear Quiz plc (QUIZ) states it “is pleased to announce an update on trading for the period between 1 December 2021 to 31 December 2021 and its current cash position” – and the shares have currently responded up to 16.65p, but are still down from the 17.7p when I previously wrote on them last month.

PREMIUM CONTENT

Cineworld – trading statement ignores the elephant in the room

Cineworld (CINE) reckons that as the world emerges from the scamdemic its trading is improving helped by some really great movie releases. I am not quite so sure about that and today’s trading update misses out the most critical number investors need to see, the movement in the vast debts in which this company is drowning. That omission tells you all you need to know.

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Sinking_Ship
PREMIUM CONTENT

Hat tip Luke Johnson - life in big tech and what it says about the sinking West

It was Luke who flagged this twitter thread up to me. It is a fascinating inight into life in big tech and how a combination of woke fascism and WFH scamdemicary is sinking productivity, morale and drive in such firms. It is a tale of the decline of the wretched West and as such, worrying but fascinating. Put it this way – this is not happening in India or China!

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POG
POG
PREMIUM CONTENT

Peter Hambro slams KPMG report into Petropavlovsk which slates him and associates for $302.4m of potential frauds

A “private & confidential” KPMG report commissioned by the new managers of Petropavlosk (POG) has, as you can see below, been published in full by the company and claims that its founders Peter Hambro and Dr Pavel Maslovskiy and associates may have taken out $302.4 million to which they were not entitled. But Hambro says that he and Maslovskiy (currently incarcerated in a Russian jail) were not given, as promised and as the company says they were, a chance to comment on the report which,he says, is riddled with innaccuracies.

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If you see Currys shares at or below 100p … then buy them!

About a month ago (here) I wrote about Currys (CURY), observing that ‘if I see the stock below a quid then I will probably buy some’.  Back then the stock was between 110-115p and today it is more like 107p.  So what did today’s ‘trading update for 10 weeks ended 8 January 2022’ say?

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The curse of sleazy Lord Drayson – Sensyne shares crash on cash crisis - worse to come!

He took an £850,000 bonus for staging the AIM IPO of Sensyne (SENS) even though he had promised his Nomad which had then assured institutional investors, that he would not. Then Lord Drayson used more company funds to pay off a whistleblower. This man, enobled by the war criminal Sir Tony Blair after, in a wholly unrelated way, donating vast sums to New Labour, is a festering wart on the backside of the corporate world.  One hopes that a cash crisis will deal with this wart once and for all. Natch I have been a bear of this stock all along, unlike hedgie Matthew Scarborough of Gatemore who did his darndest to get me to pump this stock days before the scale of the current crisis started to become apparent.

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Sainsbury had a Merry Christmas and Makes Changes that could Lead to a Merrier Share Price

Hello Share Placers. I sang the praises of Tesco (TSCO) recently. But I also rate the chances of Sainsbury (SBRY) improving its share price. Like Tesco, it did well before Christmas with trading better than expected by the City. My local store has had a few gaps on the shelves caused by the general transport supply problems, but it’s not too much to worry about as customers will find alternatives.

Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - i am with my father-in-law on one point but we are dinosaurs

In today’s podcast I look once again at ADVFN (AFN) and the chances of a bid, I look at Wildcat (WCAT) and Tintra (TNT), en passant, as indicators of market madness  and finally I have a detailed look at Mercantile Ports & Logistics (MPL), a company that should have been booted of the AIM Casino a long time ago.

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EUA
EUA
PREMIUM CONTENT

Eurasia Mining - the level of delusion among shareholders is off the scale - the joke press release

This is from the private Telegram group where Zak Mir committed market abuse citing the Good German excuse. This is how shareholders in this company get their rocks off…Whatever… A shareholder list this dumb is a sure fire sell signal.

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THG
THG
PREMIUM CONTENT

The Hut Group (THG plc) – not an invitation to short but an obligation to

Shares in The Hut Group, THG plc (THG), listed at 500p in September 2020, then zoomed to 800p but now trade below 200p. Even so this business is still valued by the market at £2.2 billion.

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Clown

UPDATED: Oi Zak Mir: are you stuck in the Lift?

You may remember that, on November 23, the Sith Lord Zak Mir put out an RNS to say that he had teamed up with the scumbag spivs at Novum Securities to announce that the media company he had created, Lift Ventures, was to raise £1.7 million at 3p and to list on the Aquis lobster pot. I explained what a top of the market rum ‘n’coke this was at the time HERE. Anyhow…

QXT
QXT

Quixant – trading update, how creditable is its ‘ahead of expectations’?...

Previously writing on technology products principally for the gaming and broadcast industries company Quixant (QXT), in May with the shares rising above 150p I noted it emphasising its order intake but supply and competition risks together with an above £100 million market cap saw me avoid. What now after a full-year trading update?…

RDT
RDT
PREMIUM CONTENT

Buried right at the bottom – yet another profits warning from Rosslyn

How I miss those days when the then boss of Rossyln Data (RDT) could not remember whether or not he was a former pornographer. His replacement, Paul Watts, might not be so colourful, but, like the ex-pornographer he still has the unpleasant task of trying to polish up regular turds of profits warnings.

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Card Factory – ‘ahead of expectations for FY22’… but what were they, that year is about to end for it and what about next year?...

A trading statement announcement from greeting cards and complementary products retailer Card Factory (CARD) is headlined “Trading ahead of Board expectations for FY22”. So why have the shares currently responded to around 54p, 15% down?…

AFN
AFN
PREMIUM CONTENT

ADVFN “strategic review” and formal sale process – whatever

Now that it is cash generative, pro tem, ADVFN (AFN) reckons that its shares are undervalued. Of course Clem Chambers, the globe trotting boss of the websites group, has been saying this for years as the stock price tanked and I reckon that Cheryl Cole is missing out on a damn good time here in North Wales. We are all entitled to our opinions.

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ASC
ASC
PREMIUM CONTENT

Busy earnings season Thursday: ASOS, Wood Group and Tesco

If you are into corporate updates it is an interesting day today and loads to write about. Here is the exciting news: it is going to be like this for over the next couple of months. It has always been thus over the last twenty-five plus years I have been looking at the U.K. markets. I guess I should start with ASOS (ASC), which may have formally talked about a four month trading update to the end of December, but a second headline it gave, observing that the company ‘announces intended move to London Stock Exchange’s main market’, is kind of interesting too.

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TRR
TRR

Hope to Cash in on Mining? You might Spread the Risk by Looking Up this Umbrella Set-up

Hello Share Takers. You’ll have gleaned that shares in big miners have been rising this week, helping the Footsie to new 12 month highs. This old punter is wary of mining shares, knowing little about the game unlike my excellent colleague Gary Newman. But mining stocks can occasionally be very rewarding. So instead of putting lots of loot into individual firms, I spread it by relying on umbrella companies like Trident Royalties (TRR).

CyanConnode – “solid progress” or continuing cash burn? (And what about the borrowings?!)

CyanConnode (CYAN), which describes itself as “a world leader in Narrowband Radio Frequency Smart Mesh Networks”, states that it “is pleased to provide a trading update for the nine-month period ended 31 December 2021”. What then is it which sees the shares currently 3.5% lower below 21p?…

Haydale – Another RNS Reach SPOOOOOOOOOOOOFFF

On Monday AIM listed Haydale (HAYD) announced the appointment of new Nomad/Broker FinnCap. Yesterday there was a first RNS Reach spoof and today there is another. With cash surely inadequate to get through the auditor’s Going Concern test later this year, I ask again: when’s the placing.

Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - feeling just a bit Birthday smug

I start considering where I was ten years ago and where I am on my 54th Birthday today. Sorry if I sound a bit smug but I reckon I have every right to. Then I look at 3 stocks to own if you want to end up living in social housing: Supply@ME Capital (SYME), Bidstack (BIDS) and Frontier Developments (FDEV).

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Accrol – hopefully prior warnings here were heeded as now a further profit warning and a “strategic review”

Previously writing on “the UK’s leading independent tissue converter” Accrol (ACRL) in October with the shares falling below 40p, I concluded that the group argues the latest are “short-term external challenges”, but also raw material supply chains “further tightening in recent weeks”. As such, hopefully the prior warning was heeded and the stance remains avoid. Today a further trading update and the shares… further down to 25p. So what’s the latest?…

Just 24 hours to sack the disgraced ADM Energy Board – vote now

The GM to sack chairman Oliver Andrews and more importantly CEO Osamede Okhomina, a man who stands accused of alleged insider dealing, is on 17 January meaning that to cast a proxy vote to fire the bosses and instate Richard “nobody likes me and I don’t care” Jennings of Align Research you need to act before close of play tomorrow. I urge you do do just that and here is why.

GoldfishShark

Video: Here is why gold is heading to $3,000

Chris Rutherglen is a chartist so feel free to ignore everything he says but just to keep Nigel happy out there in freezing Montana at the log cabin with only the Unabomber on the next mountain to chat to …

WTB
WTB
PREMIUM CONTENT

I like Whitbread shares... and will soon be booking a room too

When I last looked, Whitbread (WTB) shares were in the top ten of my personal pension fund positions. I have been a fan at various levels for years, having enjoyed the share price bump after Coca-Cola purchased the company’s Costa unit at a decent multiple to take a decent profit, and then invested it back into the share when the Premier Inn owner decided to raise some money back during the 2020 COVID-19 uncertainties. I may not have made it one of my formal two tips of the year during the Christmas holidays, but I am still hopeful of a return to a c. 40 quid share price as I discussed back in June last year. So what do I make of its Q3 update today?

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Supply@Me Capital – the cash burn continues, but issuing an RNS is for “little people.”

It appears that the cash strapped fraud Supply@ME Capital (SYME) has drawn down the additional £2 million available under the Mercator loan (no sniggering at the back) facility without explicitly announcing this material new “loan” advance via an RNS.  I guess following LSE rules about material disclosures is only for “little people.”

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UK companies with a US Over the Counter Markets listing – what dubious bunch of spoofers

An issue I have raised frequently concerns poor quality companies listed on London Markets that cite listing on the US Over the Counter Markets as being a key event for their investors.  Some of the Bulletin Board Morons buy into this myth.  For instance if you look at the Tern (TERN) Bulletin Board on London South East website you can see some of the morons complain that the CEO Al Sisto hasn’t manged to list Tern implying that this failure might be depressing the share price as US investors can’t invest into Tern.

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K3C
K3C

K3 isn't a Doctor Who robot but a Fast-Growing Friend to Small and Medium Businesses

Hello Share Keepers. When I attempted to start my own business, I soon realised it takes some real professionalism to keep afloat. And I didn’t have the corporate, legal and accountancy knowhow to help me out. I should have gone to a company like K3 Capital (K3C). This is an outfit that supports small and medium businesses, helping them to make bigger profits.

Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Looking forward to a spectacular own goal from Team David Beckham

In today’s podcast I cover Chill Brands (CHLL) and Guild E-Sports (GILD) as both prepare to publish results.I look at lessons learned, or rather not learned by the Oxymorons at AIM Regulation, from Deepverge (DVRG) and I comment on Union Jack Oil (UJO), its disgraced boss David Bramhill and its inevitable cashburn. 

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Haydale – Yesterday New Broker/Nomad, Today An RNS Reach: When’s The Placing?

AIM-listed graphene play Haydale (HAYD) is up to its old tricks again with the release of an RNS Reach telling us that iCraft is using Haydale’s graphene product in a graphene-coated fabric. Yesterday we were told of the appointment of a new Nomad/Broker, today we get an RNS Reach. When’s the placing fellas?

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