Having asked for readers tips for 2022 for the prize of 1/2 litre of Tom Winnifrith's Greek Hovel olive oil (2022 harvest) HERE, following the August bank holiday update on performance, here is the latest (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a once per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE, AIM casino or Aquis lobster pot and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2022).
Having asked for readers tips for 2022 for the prize of 1/2 litre of Tom Winnifrith's Greek Hovel olive oil (2022 harvest) HERE, the following is a, late-August, bank holiday update on performance (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a once per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE, AIM casino or Aquis lobster pot and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2022).
Having asked for readers tips for 2022 for the prize of 1/2 litre of Tom Winnifrith's Greek Hovel olive oil (2022 harvest) HERE, the following is the end-July monthly update on performance (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a once per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE, AIM casino or Aquis lobster pot and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2022).
Having asked for readers tips for 2022 for the prize of 1/2 litre of Tom Winnifrith's Greek Hovel olive oil (2022 harvest) HERE, the following is the (just after) six months update on performance (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a once per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE, AIM casino or Aquis lobster pot and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2022).
i3 Energy (I3E) has announced delivery on a farm-in by Europa Oil & Gas (EOG) to the New Serenity Block and it to “now commence the detailed planning and permitting process for the Serenity appraisal well, which we now expect to spud in late Q3”.
Having asked for readers tips for 2022 for the prize of 1/2 litre of Tom Winnifrith's Greek Hovel olive oil (2022 harvest) HERE, the following is an Easter update on performance (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a once per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE, AIM casino or Aquis lobster pot and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2022)...
i3 Energy (I3E) has announced that production from Canada is exceeding expectations, and it looks forward to updating the market with results from its active drilling program.
I3 Energy (I3E) has been a great example of why past failure doesn’t necessarily point to a continuation of that in the future – in the same way that past success doesn’t mean that a company or management team will manage the same again.
With the 2020 Vomit list throwing up 9 out of 10 sick investments, it’s time to think about next year. The oil price is looking to be on the upwards trajectory, and hence any company really needs to be a standout monument to investment stupidity to be considered for entry to this year’s bucket list.
After a rolling year of oil price movements, I find myself once again sat next to the fire at Christmas time cogitating oil company performance and prospects. Having suggested I would rather hold a bucket of Vomit than some oil shares this time last year, it’s time to review just how much money I did not lose. Yep it’s time to project the 2020 Vomit list awards to the deserving winners.
The level of trust that you have in the management of a company can often play a big part in your willingness to invest.
I had been wondering when further news would come from i3 Energy (I3E) and these week two significant RNSs dropped on the same morning, which ultimately led to shares being suspended for the foreseeable future.
This is my day of peak recordings - 7 hours of interviews and bearcast underway. I kid you not. apart from bearcast it is all great material for the Shareprophets shares show on May 9. I have just done the Jim Mellon recording which should knock your socks off. Poor man, he is trapped in lockdown in the Isle of Man but seems to be bearing up well. Anyhow, buy your ticket HERE. In this podcast I look at Eurasia Mining (EUA), Scancell (SCLP), 13 Energy (I3E), Arden Partners (ARDN), Petra Diamonds (PDL) and Intu (INTU).
In today's podcast I look at Scancell (SCLP) which really is taking the Corona piss. I comment on I3 Energy (I3E) which looks as if it may be toast, Cineworld (CINE) where I just can't get my head around its post Covid -19 plans, online shopping, and then at Lookers (LOOK) where, even without the fraud which gets ever bigger, there seem to me to be very real causes for concern. Finally, a reminder, it is just two weeks to the greatest ever British investor show. Please book your tickets now HERE
I don’t need to spell out to any reader of my recent articles on the oil price and specific oil companies, that I’m finding it difficult to see any good investments in the small cap oily space currently. Having written my Vomit list of crap oil shares at Christmas, I thought Easter would be a good time to undertake an interim review.
As usual the bulletin boards seem to be flooded with people saying what a great deal I3 Energy (I3E) has just secured, having announced today that it had acquired Toscana Energy Income Corporation (TEIC).
I commented yesterday on I3 Energy (I3E) as the subject of ramping on social media, and as expected the share price has fallen back today. One of todays ramp is Canadian Overseas Petroleum Ltd (COPL), up 40% as I type. This stock is heading for Zero in my view.
I see I3Energy (I3E) heading towards the top of the daily AIM leader board, with its shares up some 35% at 8.1p when I last checked. Now why would that be? A funding deal or just the power of social media based ramping? I think the later for good reason.
Readers know I focus on the oily investment space and try to track the macro picture as well as the detail of specific investments cases. I thought it only appropriate with the current oil price turbulence to offer a few views on my own, which I free admit are influenced by other respected commentators. I hope this is useful in forming and reforming opinions on investment cases in the sector.
I3 Energy (I3E) was one of the most popular oil shares on AIM last summer and autumn, but the situation is very different now after a number of failures operationally.
In today's podcast I look at Victoria Oil & Gas (VOG), NMC Health (NMC) & Muddy Waters, Versarien (VRS), i3 Energy (i3E) & G3 Exploration (G3E). Have a good weekend and give a few quid to a good cause HERE!
I have commented over the last 6 months about my crap quartet of oilers – the “special ones” - a group of losers not winners in my view. To follow the tradition of other oily commentators I am going to expand and re-name my Crap Quartet, as the Vomit List. I would rather hold a bucket of puke than shares in these companies.
These days on the markets there seems to be a willingness by some private investors to just believe any story that is being spun, rather than making any attempt to actually check the facts themselves.
I have now arrived at the Greek Hovel, photos here. In today's podcast I discuss the pitiful way Sam Smith of FinnCrap (FCAP) blames Neil Woodford for the state of AIM. For once I defend the disgraced fund manager. I look at Eurasia Mining (EUA), I3 Energy (I3E) and also at Fastjet (FJET), a company that uses journalist smearing Citigate to polish its turds. The Eurasia podcast I refer to which should now be looked at by AIM Regulation is HERE
So there we go, I3 Energy (I3E) has confirmed the A2 Well on the Liberator field has likely found oil, but not a fat lot from what I can see. I have been warning about the risks on Liberator drilling and the consequences of not finding oil with the drill bit for some time, most recently HERE. Looks like those risks have crystallised...
I3 Energy (I3E) is a company which I had high hopes for and have continued to keep the faith with despite being far from happy with the way that the board of directors has handled things during the current drilling campaign. Having screwed up the first Liberator pilot well, which was supposed to have determined the location for a first production well next year on its North Sea licence, and then operationally redeemed itself to some extent by striking oil during an appraisal of its nearby Serenity licence area, and proving that to be an extension of the adjacent Tain field, all eyes have been on the second Liberator pilot drill...
The photos below are from the roof of the Athens hotel in which I am holed up after a day of travel hell which I discuss and offer a warning to the trio of bearcast listeners coming to join me for the olive harvest shortly. In the bearcast I look at Inspirit (INSP), 13 Energy (E3E), Eurasia Mining (EUA) which is run by a top banana bt has a joke valuation and FinnCap (FCAP) which has a joke valuation in light of today's interims and is run by a top er... it is run by Sam Smith.
I3 Energy (I3E) has certainly had its share of ups and downs during its current drilling campaign, but I can still see the potential for shares in this to come good.
I commented on I3Energy (I3E) after the results of the Liberator LPt-02 well were released back in September. I questioned if the planed drill sequence would be changed with Serenity being drilled prior to the A3 Liberator well – subsequently it was. I questioned what, if any 3rd party certified reserves the company would have at Liberator to back the proposed RBL, and suggested it could be none. I rather think I was largely correct in that view, but the situation is now confirmed far worse in my view. Whatever the rocketing share price indicates...
The Independent Newspaper thinks that I and 17.4 million others need a better education. Does anyone read that rag anymore? In today's podcast I look at Neil Woodford's Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT), notably its holdings in Autolus and Purplebricks (PURP) in light of data out today, Eve Group (EVE), Nigel Wray's Simba, Thomas Cook (TCG), i3 Energy (i3E) and Iconic Labs (ICON).
I have commented on I3Energy (I3E) over the last few days concluding this company is uninvestable and noting the company Nomad seems to agree with me. After market close on Friday the company PR man issued an e-mail update to some shareholders. It confirms my thinking. This company is utterly uninvestable at best.
There is some macro babble focussing on the woes of the EuroZone, why Malcolm is wrong about housebuilders and other matters. I look at Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) after yesterday evening's shock news and ask when it breaches gearing limits and what happens next. I touch on i3 Energy (i3E) then look at the shock departure of Dave Sefton from Anglo African Oil & Gas (AAOG). He should have been fired sooner and what happens next? And what does this mean for Iconic (ICON) which I mistakenly refer to by its former name of Widecells and where Sefton still casts his malign influence as a director.
I3Energy (I3E) has caused Gary Newman and then I to comment. It’s also caused the Nomad and Broker WH Ireland to comment. I called for the company to clarify what the heck was going on and it looks like WH Ireland agrees with me- it seems to have no more idea than I do! How can the company’s nomad and broker decline to put any value on the equity? Perhaps fair equity value is less than the debt? What a farce!
Warning: Do not play this bearcast in front of children or folks of a sensitive disposition. In the podcast I reflect on why the Welsh Hovel is currently like Hell on Christmas Eve. I cover the exact role of the house broker on the AIM Casino, i3 Energy (i3E), Quindell (QPP), Providence Resources (PVR), RiverFort Global (RGO) and Iconic Labs (ICON).
Gary Newman is a fine chap and a fine writer who I am delighted to have as a colleague. But I must take him to task for a tweet he sent last night where he is just plain wrong. The subject is i3 Energy (i3E).
I3Energy (I3E) told us about the disappointing results from its LPt-02 well on Tuesday this week. Gary Newman commented on this and concluded the jury was out on it being a stock to buy or sell or hold. I am rather less positive for a number of reasons. I sold, and remain negative on fundamentals.
Any negative news on an oil drill tends to see the share price getting hammered, and that is exactly what has happened today after I3 Energy (I3E) announced that a pilot well had failed to hit the reservoir that it was targeting.
I3 Energy (I3E) has had a bit of a bumpy ride of late, largely thanks to some untrue rumours which were being spread by certain individuals on social media, but the uncertainty has now been resolved following the latest news from the company...
In today's bearcast I cover Diageo (DGE), Versarien (VRS), Mayan (MYN), Vela (VELA), Dev Clever (DEV) and i3 Energy (i3E). No doubt Mr Ricketts wants to be a hero and ahead of my next training walk tomorrow I beg you to be one too and get us past £20,000 raised by donating HERE
Smaller North Sea oil and gas companies seem to be out of favour, as investors go chasing big profits in riskier, less proven parts of the world, but more often than not the outcome tends to be heavy losses on these types of outfits.
In today's bearcast I discuss I3 Energy (I3E), Redde (REDD) and hapless Neil Woodford, Concepta (CPT), Optibiotix (OPTI), Yourgene (YGEN), Big Sofa (BST), Mirriad (MIRI) and Mothercare (MTC). If you enjoyed this, less than PC, bearcast, follow Jim Mellon and support the Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks HERE.
Forgive the title. It is the new song by my pal Dominic Frisby which you can see below. It covers Brexit and is, I think, rather funny, no: it is pure genius. In my podcast, I look at Red Emperor (RMP) and the other Winx plays, Mirriad (MIRI), FinnCrap (FCAP), Akers Biosciences (AKR), Independent Oil & Gas (IOG) Nautilus Marine (NAUT), a real dog, and finally I have a hot deeply discounted placing rumour on I3 Energy (I3E). If you enjoyed this bearcast, follow Jim Mellon and support the Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks HERE.
I consider what Rob Terry is doing now as I contemplate the latest threat to Watchstone Group (WTG), Quindell (QPP) as was. I look back on a few other fraud busting successes but view them as fairly irrelevant. I am more proud of my work for Woodlarks and, in that vein, again urge you to sponsor Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks HERE. I consider DeepMatter (DMTR), Audioboom (BOOM), Centamin (CEY), Yourgene (YGEN), Big Sofa (BST), I3 Energy (I3E) and Kavango (KAV)
As soon as lunch is done I am off to bed. Ahead of that I look at HMV (BUST), Vela Technologies (VELA), Regency Mines (RGM), PCG Entertainment (PCGE) and i3 Energy (I3E). Back tomorrow.
I start with the final part of my story of battles with the bastards at Barclays (BARC). Then I cover Wishbone (WSBN), shares we own, Online Blockchain (OBC), shares I'd rather eat my own toes than own, MySquar (FRAUD), Conroy Gold (CGNR), I3 Energy (I3E), Catenae (CTEA) and Oilex (OEX).
Happy Hop-tu-naa to any listeners in the Isle of Man, and happy Halloweebn to the rest of you. I start the podcast with a handy tip on dealing with the Trick or Treat menace. This afternoon I head off with Joshua to deal with the bastards at Barclays (see yesterday's bearcast) and I will report back on that tomorrow. I look at Crawshaw (CRAW), I3 Energy (I3E) doing a Cathy Newman, at Photonstar Led (PSL)) which is toast, Online Blockchain (OBC), at FastJet (FJET), lessons for Neil Woodford from GYG (GYG) and elsewhere and why Thirsty Paul Scott and others should keep December 3 free.
I have been given a massive run around by Barclays (BARC) today and I hate them with a passion. I have also had domestic issues with flooding. I explain all but am in a foul mood. Phil Hammond is not being straight with us in the Budget. He is a knobhead. I explain a few truths you will not hear from him, or indeed the other lot. At a company level I cover Warpaint London (W7L), I3 Energy (I3E) and Frontera Resources (FRR). Warning this podcast contains very bad language. The only high point of my day was a sweet email from Abbe Aronson - the girl who broke my heart 32 years ago - after this article on the US mid-terms. Abbe, thanks for brightening an otherwise shite day.
For macro musings and thoughts on stocks that really will crater in a bear market see my bonus bearcast HERE. In this podcast I discuss Versarien (VRS), First Derivatives (FDP), Sosandar (SOS), 13 Energy (I3E), UK Oil & Gas (UKOG), Chariot Oil (CHAR), Avocet Mining (AVM) and BlueJay Mining (JAY)
It has now emerged that Brokerman Dan attacked what he thought I said about Angus Energy (ANGS) without actually listening to what I actually said despite us giving him a 24 hour pass for bearcast access. He spouts an awful lot of piffle in his latest article but declines to print corrections. Poor Dan. Oddly on one major point he is almost correct. Moving on, I also look at Cenkos (CNKS), Frontera (FRR), Rosenblatt (RBGP), i3 Energy (I3E), MySquar (FRAUD), Online Blockchain (OBC) and Kellan (KLN).
The first thing to note is that the NAV of Paternoster Resources (PRS) was 0.172p per share and that was 94% in cash and listed investments. One of the larger stakes was in I3 Energy (I3E), shares in which have rocketed in recent weeks - almost certainly unjustifiably but that is life. With overheads slashed by the new regime, the NAV could well be heading towards 0.2p per share. The shares are 0.08p-0.1p which makes them a cracking buy ahead of the next NAV statement.
On 6th December I said that a token share purchase by Jim Mellon of shares on Condor Gold (CNR) was a spoof as it was so small for Jim. Moreover Condor was running out of cash and would do a placing within months. Mellon's PR man chewed my ear off. Well hey ho today there was a placing. A pattern of such spoofs and a subsequent placing has continued. Will I get an apology? I also look at lessons from Flybe (FLYB) and the non bid, at Fevertree (FEVR) director share sales, at UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) which is also spoofing, 13 Energy (13E) - "you say it best when you say nothing at all " - R Keating. Then I look at uber dog Golden Saint Resources (GSR) which is leaving AIM and says it wants to go to the Standard List. Lucky Standard List. I also mention our share purchase of more Optibiotix (OPTI). If you like bearcasts then remember that at UK Investor on April 21 one of many highlights will be a live bearcast with myself and Paul Scott. Make sure you book a free ticket HERE using the promotional code WINNIFRITH
In the excitement I forgot to mention Nomates but you can see a chart below that he'd rather you did not. It is self explanatory and my father wants to clarify that like Larry Cummins of Milestone (MSG) infamy he does not have a degree from Oxford. But unlike Lyin' Larry he has two. I discuss Milestone, Blue Prism (PRSM), AIQ (AIQ), 13 Energy (I3E) and focus on Frontera Resources (FRR) and include in my coverage the sordid role of fat bastard, that is to say Malcolm Graham Wood.
Waseem has a few wise things to say and I note why I always listen to him even if he is being beastly about a stock I own. Do you really benefit from closing your ears to a contrary viewpoint from a guy who is more often right than wrong? No. Elsewhere I look at how gravity cannot be defied forever and Inspirit (INSP), Avanti Comms (AVN), I3 Energy (I3E). Then I answer a question on Falanx (FLX) where I am long and very happy as results loom, about Snoozebox (ZZZ) which has gone tits up (Sheriff 1, Cynical Bear 0) and finally what to make of the Persimmon (PSN) statement.
No I really want to be sick. The day started so well with Joshua, myself and more fit young mums making a paper image of Colin the Dog. But then I just got sick so hence the lack of content from me today. After this podcast goes up it is back to bed. On bear cast today a demolition of minus 99.5% lifestyle company Arian Silver (AGQ), 13 Energy (i3E), today's spoof from Magnolia (MAGP), a "fucked if I know" response from me on R4E (R4E) - a share we own - and a look at today's dire news from one of Jim Mellon's many AIM dogs FastForward (FFWD).
RT may change its mind but as things stand I am about to head off to BBC Bristol to record an interview on Russian Collusion in the US Elections. I am happy to do my bit for the President (that is Trump not Putin). We all know who the real criminal is in this affair. Meanwhile I discuss On Line (ONL) but even greater madness at Intelligent Energy (IEH) where one Bulletin Board Moron is in full flow and the (worthless) shares are up by 70%. Then it is onto Tern (TERN), Servision (SEV), another few comments on Andalas (ADL), 13 Energy (I3E) and finally a detailed look at the rum and coke statement from worthless Boxhill (BOX). I hope Cynical Bear will give Boxhill an even bigger duffing up overnight.
I start with a trip down memory lane this October 13th. It's back to 1987. can you remember why? Then, if you thought punters in Cloudtag (CTAG) or MySquar (MYSQ) were bonkers ( well they are) then meet Helios & Matheson. This tale will have you in stitches. Unless you are a MySquar moron in which case you will probably see it as an investment opportunity. Then it is onto UK Oil & Gas (UKOG), the Frogs selling and the slump to 2p or less. BTW Lucian Miers is now well in the money and added to his short yesterday. I explain why i3 Energy (i3E) is doomed and will crater soon and also go into the mounting woes of Conroy Gold & Natural Resources (CGNR) after this morning's news.
Some companies are so transparent. I look at the RNS from Savannah Resources (SAV), do the maths and predict a placing within weeks. I then crow about one I called earlier, Applied Graphene Materials (AGM). Then it is onto Interquest (ITQ) which is back on the AIM casino thanks to Nomad Allenby, a firm that I take to task for being morally bankrupt. I look at Johnston Press (JPR) which is nothing to do with Luke Johnson who is also mentioned. I then look at Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) and i3 Energy (i3E) as well as the dog Haydale (HAYD)
i3 Energy (13E) floated at 55p earlier this week. Its shares now trade at just 34.5p to sell. Even by the standards of the AIM Casino this has been a god-awful IPO. But it is going to get an awful lot worse.
It was only a couple of months ago, on May 10 - 6 months behind schedule - when wannabee North Sea oil developer i3 Energy (I3E) announced it was to raise up to $50 million as it joined AIM. Since then, as we have noted before, there have been numerous false starts and it was obvious to all concerned - bar Amanda Van Dyke's related party snakefest Glenwick (GWIK) - that the fundraise was in deep merde. Oh yes. Party on bear dudes. This IPO has bombed and the business model is mega-fucked.