Keyword results: NAV

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Tern – ShareProphets RNS Translation Service Decodes AGM Statement As Tom Winnifrith Waits By The Phone For That Call

AIM-listed jam-tomorrow IoT investment company Tern plc (TERN) today provided an update in the form of its AGM statement. As ever, it is full of hyperbole but offers few hard numbers. The ShareProphets RNS Translation Service explains all…..

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Schroder UK Public Private Trust (Former Woodford Patient Capital) – 2021 Results And Why The Shares Have Much Further To Fall

The Schroder UK Public Private Trust (SUPP) (formerly Woodford Patient Capital Trust, WPCT) announced its full year results for calendar 2021 on Thursday. The headline was that NAV was, after the company’s three-monthly recalculation with regard to its unlisted dross, 48.08p – strongly up from 35p at FY20. So good news?

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Tern Plc – net asset value growth more than 80% down to serial mugging of its own investors

Today Tern (TERN) published its results for the year ended 31 December 2021 and they showed a profit before tax of £4,578,321 which was a good result.  Net asset value increased by 26% per share from 7.3 pence to 9.2 pence per share.  Again good. But how does Tern manage to increase its NAV?

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CNE
CNE
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Capricorn Energy is only trading at around cash in the bank and is too cheap given its producing assets - buy or hold

Capricorn Energy (CNE) has seen its share price weaken since it announced a tender offer as opposed to a special dividend, which many investors had been expecting, but remains one to hold.

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Tern – New Venture With Money It Hasn’t Got As Clock Ticks Down To Bailout Placing

AIM-listed jam-tomorrow IoT investment company Tern plc (TERN) announced yesterday that it is to participate in the Sure Valley Ventures UK Software Technology Fund, to the tune of an initial £90,000 and a total of £5 million over the next ten years. So where is the money coming from as the deadline for converting Tern’s first round of warrants in Wyld (due at the end of the month) ticks down to an inevitable discounted bucket-shop placing?

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Will less friendly real estate markets fall on SEGRO shares?

For the first time in a couple of years I might be visiting London in just under a couple of weeks time. Such excitement (not!) to see the Big Smoke.  I read the other day that “house hunters wanting to buy a property in London this year are likely to face more competitive market conditions than in 2021…Since January, 51% more buyers have entered the market and 35% more property viewings took place”.  Such is the excitement (not!) for property market thoughts for 2022, because we all know that it is easy to extrapolate any generally positive move over the last 40 years for another few years. 

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CMC Markets should be starting to benefit from increased volatility and is too cheap - recovery buy

I always find it hard to buy shares where I see fundamental good value and where I am intending to hold them as an actual investment rather than just a short term trade based on momentum.

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Tern – The stalled US OTC Listing -over to the SEC

I asked on Friday whether AIM-listed jam-tomorrow internet of things investment company Tern plc (TERN) had run into some problems with its proposed listing on the US OTCQB market. A trip to the SEC website asks more questions than it answers.

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Tern – As The Wheels Come Off This Remains A Stonking Sell

AIM-listed jam-tomorrow internet of things investment company Tern plc (TERN) has announced a fundraise at investee INVMA resulting is an upwards revaluation of its investment. Two other investors have stepped up to the plate in the form of Foresight and Mercia, stumping up £1.925 million between them (presumably of other people’s money) to add to a further investment from Tern of just £0.2 million. Good news for INVMA, as it now has cash – and good news for Tern as at least one hungry mouth to feed has been satiated for the time being.

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Tern – Call Me A Pedant, But……

I have been watching Companies House with interest recently, regarding AIM-listed jam-tomorrow internet of things investment company Tern plc (TERN) and its principal investee Device Authority (DA). Following news of the bailout investment of yet more cash into DA, I have a few questions. Call be a pedant, but……

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Another great chance to 'kick a man when he is down' – Tern

Evil Knievil: “the best time to kick a man is when he is down.” The great bear raider is correct, especially in these crazy times when so many frauds or near bankrupts seem able to defy gravity as the believers still belief and continue to BOTFD, so providing share price support. But in some cases even the believers are starting to smell the coffee.

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Tern – Device Authority Loan Notes Rolled Over Yet Again & a clear failon basic maths

AIM-listed jam-tomorrow IoT Investment company Tern (TERN) has announced yet another roll-over with regard to the loan notes from principal investee Device Authority. This is a repeating pattern: every six months the maturity is pushed back another six months and the latest is that they have been pushed back to the end of March 2022. One might gently wonder if Device Authority will ever be able to pay them off or whether the conversion terms will be invoked due to lack of cash.

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Another Good Day at BlackRock for its Greater Europe Trust and More Good Days to Come, I Fancy

Hello, Share Stashers. On the whole, this old punter prefers to make his own choices on the stock market. But occasionally I rate the chances of a share trust. My favourite is Blackrock Greater Europe Investment Trust (BRGE) and it has just released a heartening full year report (to August 31st). Net assets now stand at £651 million compared to £387 million last time. The net asset value (NAV) per share was 678.5p compared to 460p previously.

ARS
ARS
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The Asiamet deal with Delta Dunia is better than the market is valuing it at - buy

It looks as though Asiamet Resources (ARS) has finally landed the deal for the BKM asset that investors have been patiently waiting for, but so far the market seems unimpressed and the share price is trading lower than it was before the announcement.

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Edge Performance VCT – Early Fireworks This Year as EGM Requisition Arrives: Bravo Cliff Weight and ShareSoc.

The Board of Edge Performance VCT (EDGH and EDGI) may not have quite got around to updating the market on this yet, but an EGM requisition has arrived with proposals to remove the entire board (barring one who was supposed to be standing down anyway). For Edge I-shareholders, it may not give them any extra cash back on their disastrous investment, but at least they will have the chance to take some satisfaction from sacking the board. But I fancy any potential reform may not be limited to just that – probably, in my view, to the advantage of the H-shares, the other remaining class left over from the alphabet soup that was Edge Performance VCT.

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BOMBSHELL LITANY OF LIES: Tern – Shocking, Shocking, Shocking. Lucian Miers is Bang on Correct: Sell, Sell, Sell

AIM-listed jam-tomorrow IoT investment company Tern plc (TERN) has a history of not keeping its own investors abreast of what is going on going almost all the way back to when Tern was formed out of the wreckage that was Silvermere Energy back in 2013. An eight year history of deceiving investors?

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Tern stinks, AIM Regulation must act NOW!

I have identified Tern (TERN) previously as a compelling short as nothing it says makes sense, the stated NAV is about 9p at best and the shares are 19.25p. But that NAV is bogus! The main component of NAV ,just over 50% is a holding in Device Authority but there is a bombshell out there Tern is not telling folks about. Device looks to be insolvent.

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Tern – Interims and yet more Jam Tomorrow as Another Placing Comes into View

AIM-listed jam-tomorrow internet of things investment company Tern plc (TERN) announced its interims to June this morning. Tern’s motley bunch of fanatics will of course be celebrating the claimed 75% period-on-period increase in turnover amongst its cash-guzzling portfolio, but for all that, NAV per share slipped from 7.3p to 7.1p and the company burned through another mountain of cash.

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Ouzo Time! Tern Placing - Bears to the rescue?

It is time for yet another ouzo! As long suggested on this fine website, AIM-listed jam-tomorrow IoT investment company Tern plc (TERN) has done yet another discounted placing to raise c.£2 million (before expenses) at 18.8p per share – and launched a PrimaryBid offer (which you should definitely ignore) in an attempt to raise the same again. But the joke is that it seems it was the Bears to the rescue!

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Tern – BBM Turkeys vote for Christmas as GM Resolution passes

AIM-listed jam-tomorrow Iot Investment company Tern plc (TERN) held its General Meeting yesterday in a second attempt for the board to gain authorisation to roll out the confetti-printing press. It got through this time, and the announcement came at 11.23am yesterday morning.

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Tern at 30p? If that is not a sign of total market madness then I’m a Banana

With apologies to Ian Hislop, seeing shares in AIM-listed jam-tomorrow (but never delivers) IoT Investment Company Tern plc (TERN) riding high suggests that either the market is now fully set for a big tumble or I am a banana. Tom Winnifrith was struck in yesterday’s Bearcast with the stock at 25p. But by market close they were sitting at an amazing 30.25p (mid) – an incredible 44% rise in one day for a company with last stated net assets (cash plus a portfolio of illiquid unlisted cash-hungry investments) of just 7.3p!

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NEW EXPOSE: Tern - Talking Medicines, and talking distributable reserves…..

The FY20 Accounts for the latest investee of AIM-listed jam-tomorrow investment company Tern (TERN) were released by Companies House at the end of April: Talking Medicines carried on sending cash to the great central bank in the sky at an alarming rate and retained profits – or, rather, retained losses, ballooned further……which might raise an interesting question with regard to a share buy-back conducted by the company!

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Schroder UK Public Private Trust (formerly WPCT) – Annual Report: Monster write-downs but still a Bargepole

Schroder UK Public Private Trust (SUPP) – formerly Neil Woodford’s Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) has released its Annual Report for FY20 and the shocking write-downs are all too apparent, although no surprise to ShareProphets as we warned of this all along. The good news is that the gearing has been paid off and the company now finds itself with over 3% cash now that investee Kymab has been sold. But the red ink is everywhere, and led to another severe drop in NAV as write-down after write-down took their toll.

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GPM
GPM
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Golden Prospect – FY20 Numbers released: still a buy, shares will double in value

It is normally a bad sign when a company releases its FY results late in the afternoon, but yesterday’s issue of numbers from fully-listed Golden Prospect (GPM) at 4.26pm were quite reassuring. I wonder if it might have been better to wait for the following morning to avoid triggering cynics like me!

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Schroder UK Public Private Trust (Woodford’s WPCT) completes asset sale to Rosetta Capital: shareholders screwed again

Neil Woodford’s shambolic Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) – now Schroder UK Public Private Trust (SUPP) after Woodford’s disgrace – has announced the completion of an asset sale to bring in £52.9 million. In theory this is good news, but since the original sale was announced as being at a 19% discount and the vast majority of the cash is being used to part-pay the bank there really isn’t much to celebrate for shareholders.

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Another Good Day at BlackRock Greater Europe as Heartening NAV is Revealed

Hello, Share Traders. From time to time I review the progress of one of BlackRock’s most successful funds. It’s the BlackRock Greater Europe Investment Trust (BRGE). There seems to be no holding this share back. It’s now reached yet another all-time high. As dedicated share shifters you will, like myself, prefer to pick our own babies. But in this case, perhaps not. I mean who knows much about stocks in far-flung corners of the continent?…

Tern – yet another portfolio update!

I noted the old adage last week of if you don’t succeed, try and try again. Last week AIM-listed jam-tomorrow investment company Tern plc (TERN) offered up its second portfolio update of the year. This morning we were treated to a third: so is it jam-today, then? Or doth the lady protest too much?

RGO
RGO

RiverFort Global Opportunities – following recent excitement, bank gains?...

Shares in RiverFort Global Opportunities (RGO) have been rising strongly following a latest quarterly update and are now 1.20p to sell…

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Former Woodford Patient Capital Trust, now Schroder UK Public Private Trust agrees massively discounted asset sale. How can NAV be believed?

Schroder UK Public Private Trust (SUPP) – the former Woodford Patient Capital Trust has today announced the sale of seven assets for a total of £51.9 million. Well done, you might say – until you read that this represents as discount of some 19% to the forex adjusted (as at 25 January) valuations as at 30 September 2020. Not so hot, all of a sudden.

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2020 Tip Review: Tern plc (as a SELL)

As we approach the end of 2020, it is time to take a look back at my Tips of the Year in the ShareProphets Christmas 2019 Tipfest. AIM-listed investment company Tern plc (TERN) was my first tip – as a sell, at 9.25p. So how have I done?

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GPM
GPM
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Golden Prospect – Once Bitten, Twice Shy? Absolutely Not - BUY!

I messed up on the subscription shares for fully listed Golden Prospect (GPM), as discussed here. It looked a great play, the maths made sense but unfortunately the timing of the expiry and the Gold correction caught me out. But it looks as though there is a silver lining and despite large quantities of egg on my face, I firmly believe the full shares are worth a jolly good look right now.

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GPM
GPM
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Mea Culpa as my Golden Goose is almost Cooked

Gold took a bath on Monday and continued to drift on Tuesday. For all the positive signs that the correction in Gold and gold stocks was perhaps nearing its end, on Monday lunchtime the market turned against the yellow metal and my play on Golden Prospect subscription shares (GPSS) has taken a near-terminal decline. So what now?

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Tern: Device Authority accounts posted at Companies House……Yikes!

Share in AIM-listed jam-tomorrow investment company Tern plc (TERN) ended last week at 7.7p – a 10% premium to the last stated net asset value per share of 7p. It was a better week, having seen the share price hit a low point of just 6.25p at the beginning of September. Of Tern’s net assets of £20.1 million at the interim stage, its principal investee Device Authority (DA) accounts for £13.8 million – or 68.7% and last week DA’s accounts appeared at Companies House. Oh dear……

GPM
GPM
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Golden Prospect – Time to BUY?

I have no crystal ball, so shares in Malcolm Burne’s Golden Prospect (GPM) could fall further before going up again, but I am convinced that it is now an outright buy.

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Tern – Interim Results show no progress: still a sell

AIM-listed jam-tomorrow investment company Tern (TERN) has released its interim results this morning and they show no progress at all. Indeed, there are a few little  Red Flags to be spotted.

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Adamas Finance suddenly seems popular, but I can see why it trades at such a big discount to NAV: BARGEPOLE ALERT

When the market cap of a company is trading at significantly below its net asset value it would suggest that there is value in buying, but usually things aren’t as clear cut as they at first appear.

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Tern – shares now trade below NAV: are they a buy?

Of course not! The last reported NAV of AIM-listed jam-tomorrow- next year-never IoT investment company Tern (TERN) was 7.0p, as stated in its FY19 results. This followed a year during which the company raised £3.25 million at a premium to NAV, but still saw a reduction in NAV per share. I guess that is operational gearing at play!

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Doggie Corner – Tern

I just can’t help but notice that shares in AIM-listed jam-tomorrow serial non-deliverer Tern plc (TERN) seem to be sinking fast. The latest move yesterday, with the shares closing down again at 7.9p, has taken out the issue price of the subscription shares announced last Monday of 8.5p – which was already a 21% discount. It is always a very bad sign if the share price drops below the placing or subscription price. Oh dear…….and it gets worse, for it is under the curse of the Sith Lord Zak Mir who gave it the kiss of death at 10p, predicting a rise to 18p. Oops – 21% down so far on that one!

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Updated: Intu: At 7 AM Oi Fat Lady no more gargling you are almost on! No at 1.43 PM, she is on!

Almost 100 times since the comical and failed Hammerson (HMSO) bid for Intu (INTU) in December 2017 which Steve Moore described as “shopping centre madness” we have urged you to sell or short Intu. Today, if we are not at midnight on the death clock, we are at 1 second to midnight. Update. at 1.43 PM we are at midnight. It is game over.

IWG
IWG
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Why Tom Winnifrith is wrong about commercial property in general and IWG in particular

On several occasions in the last couple of months, our venerable Sheriff has explained his view that commercial property is uninvestable on either a short term or long term view and that although the share price of British Land (BLND) and Land Securities (LAND) stand at a big discount to their NAV, the real value is substantially lower. The purpose of this note is to put the alternative view. 

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SUPP (former WPCT): Former Woodford Equity Income Fund dumps entire stake

In its FY19 report and accounts, Schroder UK Public Private Trust (SUPP) – the former Woodford Patient Capital (WPCT) announced a NAV per share of 49.46p per share. With a hotchpotch of cash-guzzling investments, no income and an almighty overdraft, even before the impact of Covid-19 it was clear there would be casualties to come, and it largest holding was the joke that is Rutherford Health (RUTH) whose valuation is clearly absurd and only supported by Neil Woodford’s policy of overpaying, it was clear to us at ShareProphets that the stated NAV was a total fiction. Now the former Woodford Equity Income Fund (WEIF) has dumped its entire stake.

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Crash
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The one whole sector that looks like a nailed down short

I have written of the risks to the shorter several times here of late. Indeed, I explicitly warned against going short at what turned out to the bottom of the recent market correction. Forgive me for reminding you of that call! And given the unprecedented Government intervention in our affairs which smacks of market manipulation I am reluctant to consider new shorts. However:

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III
III
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What discount is appropriate for 3i Group?

I cannot claim any great insight on luxury watches as my trusty Seiko is certainly of a more utilitarian focus. So when Watches of Switzerland (WOSG) talks about firm online demand as demand switches from physical stores, I kind of shrug my shoulders. There will always be the rich I guess. Perhaps they believe that buying such trinkets is some kind of protective investment strategy? Give me unblemished gold any day rather than a gold watch... Anyhow, my short call of nine months ago eventually has come right and onto the main event...

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RTO
RTO
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Rentokil looked expensive even before Covid-19, and far more so now - sell

Pest control and hygiene company, Rentokil Initial (RTO), wasn’t looking particularly strong even prior to the arrival of Covid-19 and was trading at a very racey valuation, in my opinion.

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Tern Plc – at least 50% overvalued even if you believe its stated NAV ( which I don’t)

Nigel Somervile HERE and myself HERE both took apart yesterday’s ludicrous and dismal results announcement from AIM dog Tern (TERN).  Neither of us believe its NAV is real but even if you are credulous enough to swallow that canard the shares should surely be 50% lower. Here’s why.

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SUPPing at the cup of failure - former WPCT releases results

Schroder UK Public Private Trust (SUPP) - formerly disgraced Neil Woodford’s Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) - has released its FY19 numbers and the report is truly a dog’s breakfast. It is a shambles: the manager has gone but the board should be sacked at once.

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GPM
GPM
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Golden Prospect Precious Metals – a gold buy

Gold is still up from around $1,300 a year ago and current uncertainty and economic responses look to create a potential perfect storm for precious metals ahead. We believe this is a geared, but lower-risk way than most, to play it… The sell off of gold in the past week is a dash for cash to cover trading losses elsewhere. But that will not last and you MUST have gold exposure.

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RGO
RGO
PREMIUM CONTENT

RiverFort Global Opportunities – potentially significant General Meeting moves, remains a buy…

RiverFort Global Opportunities (RGO) has announced all resolutions - including for expansion of its investing policy and a capital reorganisation - have been passed at a General Meeting. So what’s the significance?...

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KERBOOM: Tern – what about that tax credit to Device Authority?

AIM-listed Tern plc (TERN) was one of my two tips of the year – as a sell – at 9.25p (mid). The shares are now just 7.25p  - down by 22% so I’m off to a very good start. But I want to ask a question of Tern regarding its ongoing loans and payments to jewel-in-the-crown investee Device Authority.

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GDP
GDP
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Goldplat – interims emphasise return to profit & reasons for further encouragement

Goldplat (GDP) has announced results for its half year ended 31st December 2019 and that “the progress made on key initiatives to increase long term visibility of earnings in the recovery businesses, specifically improved recovery on lower grade contaminated material and strengthened relationships within mining industry, are encouraging”

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BPM
BPM
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B.P. Marsh and Partners – a buy

“The latest published Net Asset Value was £130m, or 360.9p per share, as at 31 July 2019, which represented a 3% increase, or a 4.3% increase including the dividend paid in July 2019, for the six months ended on that date. From its inception in 1990 until 31 July 2019 the group has maintained an average annual compound increase in NAV of 11.7%. The group is expected to report a positive performance for the financial year ended 31 January 2020.” What price for this track-record, current performance and ‘focussed on taking actions to reduce discount to net asset value’?... Presently, a 268p offer price and thus…

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Tern – portfolio update: but what about the Elephant in the room, Device Authority?

AIM-listed jam-tomorrow (or never…) investment company Tern plc (TERN) has updated the market with a portfolio review. The news seems good (a big contract for one investee and a fair investment for another) but the elephant in the room is its investment in Device Authority Limited – on which we learn precisely nothing. Worse still, apparently Tern now has a genuinely diversified portfolio of…. companies, with each……having a disruptive technology in a global market. Oh dear: it's that word again, 'disruptive' – has the board not heard of what happened to Neil Woodford?!

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Link in the frame as the shadow of Neil Woodford still looms over his old Patient Capital fund

The shadow of disgraced fund manager Neil Woodford still overhangs the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT), now renamed Schroder UK Public Private Trust (SUPP), as a line in the sand approaches fast. Of course, the same applies to Link which still seems to be the formal fund manager which appears to have been happy to sign off on any old rubbish to bolster the fund’s official NAV.

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An activist sensibly decides not to put more good money after bad at property giant Hammerson

We are all living and learning with investment.  Actually we can pitch this more widely about life or - as Tom observed in his bearcast yesterday - into other areas such as grammar.  On the latter I am still recovering from being educated at a comprehensive school in the 1980s where clearly the general Thatcherite revolution sweeping the country at the time, failed to raise standards.  Clearly I must try harder.  

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RGO
RGO

RiverFort Global Opportunities – positive Q3 update, BUY

RiverFort Global Opportunities (RGO) “is pleased to provide a detailed quarterly update for Q3 to 30 September 2019” – with it emphasising “total income generated in Q3 of £252,000, making a total of £919,000 for the first nine months of 2019. Increase in net asset value since 30 June 2019 of around 3%, or almost 9% over the first 9 months of 2019… Net asset value - fully diluted per share… 0.116p”

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WPCT to become Schroder UK Public Private Trust as Susan Searle plays the patriotic card and Neil leaves the building

Shareholders in Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) were this morning invited to celebrate as Susan Searle announced the appointment of Schroders to replace the disgraced Neil Woodford as manager.  There will thus be no need for Neil to work out his notice period following his "trresignation" last week.

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Collapsing-Reactor

Neil Woodford Redemptions Watch: buy when there’s blood on the streets? Not here!

Yesterday Neil Woodford’s benchmark for his Equity Income and Income Focus unit trusts, the FTSE All-Share, dropped by 0.81% but his funds lost 0.89% and 1.32% in NAV per unit respectively. Oh dear – yet another day of underperformance. Equity Income fund’s assets dropped to £2.92 billion, a drop of 21% since it was gated at the beginning of June.

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Woodford Patient Capital releases Interims – and ‘fesses up that its stated NAV was a fiction

Susan Searle, Chair of Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT), really does have some explaining to do as WPCT released its half-year numbers to the market this morning – reporting deadline day. Quite apart from the shocking performance of the fund under her watch, and the total mess it is in, we have been treated to an admission that the quoted NAVs released by the company have, quite simply, been wrong - a work of fiction.

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WPCT: another writedown for Neil Woodford as Link wields the knife again

At Woodford Patient Capital (WPCT) we learn this morning of a triple valuation write-down which will cost 3.1p per share in terms of NAV. Cynical Bear wonders if two of them are Precision Biopsy (which has actually stopped operations) and SciFluor which Allied Minds (ALM) – in which Woodford has also invested – has stopped funding. The other may be Sphere Medical which went into administration. We are told:

Collapsing-Reactor
PREMIUM CONTENT

Neil Woodford Redemptions Watch: a big crunch

More bad news for beleaguered Neil Woodford. The benchmark for his Equity Income and Income Focus funds, the FTSE All-Share, may have been largely flat yesterday but the funds’ NAV per unit  dropped like a stone by 2.06% and 1.34% respectively and the total value of Equity Income now sits at just £3.04 billion. It seems just a matter of time before the £3 billion mark is taken out.

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Red Flags at Night: Woodford Patient Capital hit as Link slashes yet another valuation

Link Fund Solutions is, we are told, responsible for the valuation of Woodford Patient Capital’s (WPCT) portfolio of unlisted and other dogs, with the help of valuation firm IHS Markit. Since the gating of Neil Woodford’s Equity Income Fund (WEIF), Link has got its hatchet out several times and the official NAV per share of WPCT has dropped sharply from 89.61p as at the end of May to yesterday’s lowly figure (as at the close of play on Thursday) of just 72.85p. The last notified hacking was on 23 August (Industrial Heat) and saw 3.4p per share wiped away at the stroke of a pen. Last night at no-one-is-watching o’clock (6.20pm) another 4p disappeared from view. It is death by a thousand cuts.

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BOOM: Neil's Woodford Patient Capital Trust: Banks now calling the shots, this is grim

Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) has today issued a shocking statement “Debt facility”. It shows that its banks ae now getting nervous and pulling all the strings. Boy, Neil Woodford must be glad that he has already sold most of his shares. The news also has grim implications for the Equity Income Fund.

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Collapsing-Reactor
PREMIUM CONTENT

Neil Woodford Redemptions Watch: a modicum of outperformance……except at WPCT (ouch!)

Neil Woodford’s benchmark for his Equity Income Fund (WEIF) and Income Focus Fund (WIFF), the FTSE All-share index, dropped by 0.41% yesterday but the good news for Neil is that WEIF and WIFF posted gains in NAV per share, with WIFF up by 0.26% and WEIF up by 0.23%. Hurrah – for one day only, he’s beaten the benchmark!

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WPCT – Oopsadaisie Neil, what’s today's disaster?

Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT), which is considering Neil Woodford’s future as manager, announced its NAV as at the close of play of Friday this morning (just) at 11.57am. We had been warned that Link was marking down the value of investee Industrial Heat by the equivalent of 3.4p per WPCT share. But it seems this was not the only bad news….

Collapsing-Reactor

Redemption Watch: Neil Woodford’s Income Focus Fund heads further south as Kier nose-dives

Kier Group (KIE) fell a further 10% yesterday. Given that it was the fifth largest holding in Neil Woodford’s Income Focus Fund (WIFF) – despite offering no income – at the end of May, that’s not a good start and according to Morningstar the fund dropped 0.8% in terms of NAV per share.

It really is Bad News Day for Neil Woodford, as WPCT NAV crosses a line

It never rains when it pours, so the saying goes, and for Neil Woodford it must feel like an extended monsoon period at the moment. With his flagship equity income fund struggling against redemptions and poor stock-picks to leave it with two classes of accumulation unit now below the issue price (of five years ago, when everything else has gone up) now it is the turn of Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) to take a bow.

PREMIUM CONTENT

Intu Properties – continue to avoid after another shocker

I have been a long-term bear on Intu Properties (INTU) and have not been surprised to see over the last few months a variety of corporate challenges which have justified the continued fall of the share price. Let's face it: being the owner of shopping centres is kind of obviously not an easy business to be involved with currently…

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Tern – so much for enough cash to year-end: placing at just 8.5p and an excuse that just doesn’t wash

AIM-listed jam-tomorrow investment company Tern plc (TERN) has announced a placing to raise £1.5 million (gross) at just 8.5p. Of course, this was predicted HERE just a couple of weeks back – so much for being funded to FY19, and the excuses just don’t wash.

PREMIUM CONTENT

Verseon Placing : Neil Woodford spunks $10m investor cash (again) at wrong price – all that is rotten in his failing empire

Neil Woodford has today spunked £7.5 million more of his investors cash in a £7.7 million placing by joke company Verseon (VERS). It is a cynical and seedy waste of other folks cash which shows the moral rot that has set in at the heart of the crumbling empire of Britain’s most disliked, failing, fund manager.

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Has Neil Woodford finally lost the plot completely? Blow up FT Interview suggests he has

I see that Neil Woodford has had an interview published in the FT in which he lambasts critics determined to destroy his reputation, misinformation, lazy commentary, fake news, fake analysis which “pisses me off” and vents his frustration at the poor investment decisions of investors selling up.

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Totally & Condor balance sheets under extreme scrutiny

I start with a look at PCGE (PCGE) and what CCJs actually mean before having a look at results from Capital & Regional (CAL) and what they say about the state of retail property. Look at the gaping chasm between the share price and NAV! Then a detailed look at the balance sheets of Condor Gold (CNR) and Totally (TLY), the latter using my new interest, non debt debt. If you enjoyed this, I think, profanity free bearcast, follow a bloke from the Grim North who donated enough to buy a whole house in the welfare safari and support the Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks HERE.

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SXX
SXX
PREMIUM CONTENT

Patience will pay longer term with Sirius Minerals

When investing in a company long term it is all about getting in at a good price, rather than having to buy right at the bottom of any temporary dips along the way, as long as things go to plan for the business.

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Tern - shares now trading below 26p placing price. To head lower still?

I see that AIM-listed Tern plc (TERN) shares are now trading on a spread of 24-25p, which is below the 26p placing price of last week. As Tom Winnifrith often reminds us, shares which drop below the placing price tend to head lower still.

AIQ
AIQ

Standard-listed AIQ: interim numbers - SELL

AIQ (AIQ) joined the Standard List in early January and spent most of the first four months of its life suspended due to a disorderly market, had to correct its admission document because it had missed out some information and steps had to be taken to remove some internet references to businesses which, we are told, it had nothing to do with. It was a shambles. This morning it released its interim numbers to April.

Tern – Waseem Shakoor kicks the hornets’ nest

Great bear Waseem Shakoor has responded to AIM-listed Tern (TERN) and its £2.9 million placing at 26p by suggesting that the company took advantage of a stock shortage to get the share issue away. If he is right, the implications are shocking.

PREMIUM CONTENT

Tern – Waseem Shakoor taunts “ponzi”, shares continue to drift, still a sell

AIM-listed jam-tomorrow investment company Tern (TERN) has been an amazing ride this year. Having started the year at 3p the stock went on a run all the way up to 58p, when the board had to issue a statement reminding the market that its NAV per share was still around the 5p mark. I called the stock a sell – at 43p – and now the stock is down to 25p. But it is still a sell.

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WKP
WKP

Workspace - tapping markets whilst the window is still open!

I nearly choked on my morning breakfast cereal when I saw that Workspace (WKP) - who (as per the company blurb) 'provide inspiring, flexible work spaces with superfast technology in dynamic locations' - was raising about £180 million after announcing 'a great set of results' with NAV per share rising 8.8% year-on-year (to 1037p a share or just a little under the current 11 quid share price), trading profit up 20% and the total dividend (aka cash back to shareholders) up 30%.

PRS
PRS

Paternoster GM Notice - market has this very wrong

The first thing to note is that the NAV of Paternoster Resources (PRS) was 0.172p per share and that was 94% in cash and listed investments. One of the larger stakes was in I3 Energy (I3E), shares in which have rocketed in recent weeks - almost certainly unjustifiably but that is life. With overheads slashed by the new regime, the NAV could well be heading towards 0.2p per share. The shares are 0.08p-0.1p which makes them a cracking buy ahead of the next NAV statement.

Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Reach4Entertainment shares are a buy but I do not believe a word of today's trading statement & its PR men should be shot at dawn

I start with why this bearcast is late. I got back very late from London where I was watching my daughter play Harold Wilson in Made in Dagenham and she was brilliant. So too was the musical. Well done Olaf although you are wrong about the gender pay gap! I look at the market bounce and the shit that is leading it. I look in  real detail at the trading statement at Reach4Entertainment (R4E) where I am a shareholder, at Woodford dog RM2 (RM2) which is going on a one way trip to the vets in a fortnight and also at Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT). Post bearcast it announced its NAV at 85.93p which means gearing must surely be through the 20% barrier. I also look at Optibiotix (OPTI) and the warrant exercise issue.

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PRS
PRS

Paternoster Resources - come on chaps when is the bailout placing?

At every opportunity Paternoster Resources (PRS) reminds of the vast discount to NAV at which its shares trade. Surely in such a scenario it should sell just a few shares it owns and then do a buyback of its own shares thus increasing NAV per share even more? Er...no.

More problems for Neil "Nomates" Woodford as Kerrisdale savages biggest holding in WPCT

US bear raider Kerrisdale has launched a savage attack on the largest holding in the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) the closed end fund managed by Nomates. The nature of the WPCT means that if Kerrisdale is even half right, Nomates is in big trouble.

OPP
OPP

F40 Origo – disposals: how’s the NAV doing?

ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play Origo (OPP) has announced a couple of disposals. With the share price still languishing on a 2-2.25p spread, compared to the last quoted NAV in the FY16 accounts of 13c (US) – call that 10p per share. After a series of scandals over massive payments to the fund manager what now for the company with scheduled redeemable/convertible prefs after the dispute with Brooks MacDonald was finally resolved?

British Land Seems Undervalued and Might Be Worth Building On

Hello, Share Cinchers. It’s been a while since I last commended British Land (BLND) to you. I don’t regret that, though the share was falling at the time and has yet to really rebound. The company deals in what they are not making any more of and it owns it around the UK, including where it’s most costly: London.

IIP
IIP

Infrastructure India plc – Oink oink, corporate piggery writ large on AIM

Well this looks too good to be true and, as with the China Frauds, I fear that it probably is. AIM-listed Infrastructure India (IIP) announced a new asset manager agreement yesterday morning under which Franklin Park Management LLC will be paid a cash fee of £5.52 million a year, plus 605,716 free shares under a deal which appears to be for a minimum period of about four years. That seems quite steep for a company with a market capitalisation of just £82.5 million (source: ADVFN).

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: Ramptastic RNS from FastFoward more horse - sell, sell & sell again

There is more horseshit today in an RNS from FastForward Innovations (FFWD), The money is running our fast. CEO Lorne Abony is in full ramping mode as he know he needs to get a placing away this fall or the game is up. The shares trade at a vast premium to NAV so what to do? Ramp again of course. All is explained in this bonus podcast.

Highwayman

Core Blimey! Wednesday’s final shareholder liquidation meeting looks set to be a bun-fight

I said at the time of suggesting ordinary shares in Core VCT (CR3) as a share for 2015 that I didn’t like the management, but that fundamentals looked set to deliver a positive return at the then share price. Happily, shareholders have now had a return of cash comfortably in excess of the recommendation price. But….oh, there are plenty of buts. The shareholders’ final liquidation meeting is on Wednesday at 11am, at CCT Venues Plus, Level 32, 40 Bank St, London E14 5NR and it looks set to be a lively affair.

Here's Another Over-Sold Brexit Beauty Which Could Rally fast.

Hello Share Swashers. We all know that shares in Britain took a tumble on June 24 when the Brexit vote was announced. But then many shares recovered. Most property and building stocks, however, did not. So in my view, as the results of Brexit will become clearer later on and will be favourable, property shares are probably now one of the biggest bargains out there. Though of course, if you still fear the exit from Europe, then you won’t agree with me.

Grand Group – another AIM-China stock suspended!

AIM-China play Grand Group (GIPO) only joined the Casino in January 2015 and consequently missed inclusion in the ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty despite sporting outstanding credentials: Cayman Islands incorporated, ownership of assets through VIE arrangements. Oh and a cash-pile to die for. On listing, investors must have been sorely tempted to grab a grand. This morning the shares were suspended because it can’t get its calendar 2015 accounts out by tomorrow’s deadline. Oops.

This Building Developer Does it Differently - and Might Be a Tasty Punt.

Hello Share Followers. You probably know that despite, some opposition from my colleagues, I favour buying shares in property development companies. This is the next best thing to buying property of your own. And given that demand is high and supply is short, I think bricks and mortars are still a good place to put your cash.

Want the Security of Land Around You? - Take a Peek at Land Securities

Hello Share Pushers. I don’t think I’ve looked at Land Securities (LAND) before, but it looks like a reasonable place to put one’s hard-earned. At least the epic code is easy to remember. It goes without saying that it’s a company which owns a lot of land. And as the UK population keeps on rising that’s a nifty asset to have.

Scholium – Taking a Punt on Rare Books

Investors in collectibles have had a tough time with stamp dealer Stanley Gibbons (SGI) in recent times, those shares down by 95% over the past 12 months. Rare book minnow Scholium (SCHO), on the other hand, is looking rather cheerful.

Tern – FY Results part 2, what’s in the Annual Report but not in the Results RNS?

I indicated in part 1 of my results analysis that there were a few bits and bobs in the Tern (TERN) Annual Report which had not made in into the RNS version of the FY15 results. Often it pays, when studying a company’s numbers, to begin with the notes to the accounts and then work backwards from there. And so here are a few things which caught my eye.

Tern – FY15 Results part 1, where does the added value come from?

AIM-listed investment company Tern plc (TERN) released its results for calendar year 2015 this week. ShareProphets has been  taking an interest in the AIM investment company world so it seems a good time to take a look at what Tern had to say in its RNS….and what was saved for the Annual Report only. In this part we look at the increase in net assets and where the added value came from.

OXT
OXT

Oxford Technology VCTs - cheer amidst market gloom

I previously commented that following the disposal of Telegesis by three of the four Oxford Technology VCTs there looked to be some value to be had, and that it looked as though dividends were on the way. Yesterday evening came 3rd quarter numbers for all four funds and the news was generally good.

Ten stark warnings a hurricane is brewing against the Lenigas Cuba IPO

On Friday Lenigas Cuba released its pathfinder document, prior to its forthcoming IPO - Tom has already savaged it HERE, but it is in fact worse than even he explained. Unlike previous Lenigas debuts, this one has a number of significant cautionary indicators that all might not be well. At 5p most of Lenigas’ adoring legion of fans will ask what can go wrong? The answer is possibly quite a lot, not least because so many of them have already bought in at 2p. We will soon see whether or not the market has exhausted itself of greater fools, but those that ignore the early warning signs could find themselves caught up in a fierce stock market hurricane from 02 November.

AGP
AGP

Asian Growth Properties Ltd – ANOTHER Filthy Forty suspension, at 13.5p vs NAV 125p!

Not content with seeing Geong (GNG) suspended because its Nomad resigned on Tuesday, or that Camkids (CAMK) suffered the same fate on Monday, we find that a third ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty suspension slipped by: Asian Growth Properties (AGP) - which was suspended in an RNS released by AIM itself, “pending an announcement”. That was at 10.55am, and there has been not a dickie bird since from the company. I note carefully that the AIM RNS did not say “at the request of the Company”. Oo-er missus.

CEB
CEB

CEB Resources: why it should raise money now

Dave Whitby, CEO of CEB Resources (CEB) is in a tight spot. His share price is motoring and there is a lot of buzz surrounding his stock. Excited British private investors have been eagerly buying into Whitby’s vision, but as Tom Winnifrith pointed out in his Bearcast on Saturday, they might have overextended themselves. The question now is how can Whitby do what is best for his company and shareholders, without letting the market down?

QPP
QPP

Tom Winnifrith BearCast Special: fraudster Rob Terry and the Quob park NAV con

Nigel Somerville penned an excellent piece yesterday on Quindell founder Rob Terry's new fraud Quob Park and its confetti issues as it claims to grow its NAV. In this podcast I explore that further and have a number of questions for the fraudster Terry about how he is managing this vehicle. Needless to say its shares should not be touched with a bargepole.

Listen to the Bearcast:

Vela – Broker Note Vicarage Capital

Vela (VELA) is a stock that we have tipped on HotStockRockets and it looks an interesting play. The shares are 0.2p and I reckon that NAV could well be in excess of 0.5p. Of course most of investments are illiquid private companies so the shares will always trade at a discount to NAV but the current discount seems excessive.

Anarchy

Core VCT (CR3) Update – stance downgrade (but don’t sell!)

I see that the offer price is now up to 57p, a steady enough jump from the 51p offer at which these were first mentioned over the Christmas break. RNS announcements would have you believe that NAV is sitting at 82p.Don’t believe it - see HERE The real net asset value is  60.97 so the shares are no longer a buy – there isn’t enough upside now.

Bull

Core VCT – Tips for 2015 Update

Having originally suggested that Core VCT 3 CR3 was an arbitrage buy with a decent margin of safety over the Christmas break as my second tip of the year, at  51p offer – where they now trade once again – the article drew some comment at the time that all was not quite as it had seemed. I am particularly grateful to Tim Grattan for raising concerns about the mechanism of how value in the VCT fund is attributed to B-shares.

QPP
QPP

Podcast Special with Tom Winnifrith - what does NAV really mean and is it a buy signal

Does asset backing mean asset backing? Not always 10p can be worth 10p or 5p or 0p - wthout wishing ti sound like Rob Terry - it all depends on what the asset backing comprises. Tom explains this key metric of investment analysis looking at 4 specific companies: Golden Prospect, Naibu, Paternoster Resources and Quindell as well as Mark Slater's share purchases after the bursting of the dotcom bubble

Listen to the Bearcast:
Malcolm

What You've Always Wanted to Know About EPS – but Never Dared Ask?

Hello Share Meddlers: There are lots of little pointers we need to consider before buying or selling a share. Most of them are hard to get your head around.

SGI
SGI

Stanley Gibbons Property Sale – That is Real Asset backing: Buy & TNAV explained re Quindell

Stanley Gibbons (SGI) has announced it has exchanged contracts on a £4.5 million sale of its freehold property at Adelphi Terrace in London, with completion scheduled on or before 17th November. The company added that by this time all of its specialist collectibles trading and auctions divisions will be co-located at its Strand premises. 

SOU
SOU

Sound Oil: valuation looks stretched

Tom and I have recently published a new e-book, “The 49 Golden Rules of Making Money from Oil, Gas and Mining Stocks”. Over the last few months, Sound Oil (SOU) has provided a perfect case in point for several of our Golden Rules. Back in the spring, when the shares traded hands between roughly 4.6p and 6.9p, this could have been a wonderful stock to buy, based on the company’s success at Nervesa. Thorough research and good timing would have definitely paid off. Today, however, at 12p (last seen) and a market cap of £49.84million, the risk/reward balance appears to have tilted more towards the risk side of the equation, despite the progress the company has made. And if you don’t believe me about this

Brian Toye of Toye & Co: Crony Capitalist you have Massive Questions to answer you POS

Brian Toye runs a listed company Toye & Co (TOYE) and has now made a 35p a share offer to buy out his fellow stockholders. The offer is disgracefully low – a 30% discount to the share price and a 70% discount to the last NAV. The manner of the offer also begs a stack of questions as to whether rules have been followed. The NEDs said No. But it will go through unless regulators intervene. This is disgraceful crony capitalism and POS Brian Toye has serious questions to answer.

NCE
NCE

New City Energy – 5.5% yield 20% discount to NAV shale play: interesting?

For once commissioned researcher Edison has served up a half interesting report highlighting what looks like a good investment and a safe play on shale: New City Energy (NCE).

Port Erin – Chat with Jim Mellon

We recommended shares in Jim Mellon’s AIM listed Port Erin Biopharma (PEBI) at a 12p offer price on April 7 –and one of our writers (Tom Winnifrith) has had an amicable exchange of emails with Mellon this week.

RUR
RUR

Rurelec is 65% ahead but can double from here


I have been banging on about Rurelec Resources (RUR) since January 2012. This is a company that has a Net Asset Value of 20p a share, plus anything it gets from a tribunal hearing at the Permanent Court of Arbitration (the PCA).

Port Erin Biopharma Investments – Jim Mellon delivers the goods but…
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I was one of the founding directors of AIM listed Port Erin Biopharma (PEBI) but it was always the baby of Jim Mellon and I was happy to step down last Spring.

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