A real buzz seems to have returned to the oil and gas sector in recent times and with commodity prices at their strongest for several years, and that even seems to be trickling down to the lower end of the market and the explorers now with some shares on a real rip.
Hello, Share Followers. Nobody sees the stock market as a sensible place. It’s about as logical as Chitty Chitty Bang Bang. One of the strangest mysteries is how big oil companies continue to see low share prices even though the cost of the black stuff is soaring. It had a bit of a hiccup few week back, but now it’s aiming for the stars again.
Hello, Share Shakers. Nobody ever said the stock markets follow logical paths. And nothing demonstrates this fact more than the current share prices of the oil majors, and even the oil minors. Yes, shares in the ebony nectar rose strongly on the mounting oil price. But now, though the value of Brent crude continues to lift, many oil shares are stuck.
I am not in the slightest bit apologetic. In fact I think she is rather pathetic and she deserved exposing for raising money on a false prospectus. But I am the pantomime villain of the Holt facebook page yet again today as I explain HERE. I then discuss Roquefort Investments (ROQ) a proposterous Standard Listed shell, Kefi (KEFI), Chill Brands (CHLL), and Nanosynth (NNN)
Cairn Energy (CNE) is a company that I have followed for many years, almost for as long as its ongoing saga relating to compensation from the Indian government, but it is starting to look more likely that will actually finally be settled.
Hello, Share Seekers. I rather hesitate to raise this again. I’ve already written about it recently, but I really do think the case can be made for quite a substantial rise in the shares of oil giants like Shell (RDSA) and BP (BP.). For some reason, which escapes me, the share values of these jumbos remain low compared to a couple of years ago. And yet the price of Brent Crude, on which oilers rely for profits, continues to soar.
Hello Share Swivellers. One of the more sensible pieces of advice in the crazy shares game is ‘sell the peaks and buy the dips.’ It’s also the hardest action to get right. Will the dip fall even more or will the peak become higher?
Hello, Share Scrapers. The oil price is going through the roof. Not the $120 a barrel that it once reached, but well above the $70 mark now. That won’t please motorists, but it should certainly cheer share shifters like us. A rising oil price usually means a similarly-inclined Footsie, but for holders of big oil shares it’s even better news.
Hello Share Chums. It won’t surprise you to know I favour green shares. About a third of companies I feature in this modest column are set to take advantage of the alternative revolution. This old punter believes many share prices will rise strongly in this area.
Hello, Share Scoopers. Did you know that a fifth of the world’s oil supply comes through the Suez canal? Currently, that useful waterway is blocked by a giant freighter. You can imagine how that is going to affect the price of Brent crude. The hike has already started, but it’s going to keep on going I think.
Hello, Share Searchers. When this magnificent website became the first to predict that oil prices would slump into negative territory, I choked on my cornflakes. After all, my biggest holdings are in BP (BP.) and Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA). And scarily Shareprophets turned out to be dead right – for a brief period you couldn’t give oil away.
For the record, I do not believe management at ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play Origo Partners (OPP) have anything to do with this- indeed, my view is that head honcho John Chapman is a breath of fresh air. But shares in Origo seems to have gone stark raving bonkers – only on Wednesday they closed at 0.145p and now they are 0.275p, having peaked at over 0.4p. What’s going on?
I warned you on Friday that with the scoundrel penny share spivs at LSE Sharetalk, the house of Zak Mir, ramping away, the 3p share price of AIM shell Ridgecrest (RDGC) was insane and that even broker Peterhouse which has only last Wednesday raised £2 million (gross) at 0.6p would be vaguely embarrassed. Indeed, that seems to be the case as now the company has been forced to issue a statement.
I flagged up Hawkwing (HNG) as worth a punt last week at a 5p offer and at up to 5.5p. The shares are now 8.5p-9.5p as folks too mean and stupid to subscribe to this website pile in on the momentum.
You might have noticed that recently I have started covering a few companies in the oil and gas sector as being worthy of a long term investment, and in case you are wondering if I’m mad to be doing so given what is going on in the world, I believe that it is the right time in the cycle to start positioning again.
Hello Share Funsters, We were all cheered when vaccine news from Fizer sent shares shooting forward a few days ago. But the value of my own portfolio was disappointingly unchanged. That’s because I have a few Covid plays. And because the jab news depressed the prospects of companies which have benefitted from the epidemic, the rise in the value of my Shell (RDSA) BP. (BP.) Compass (CPG) and Whitbread (WTB) was cancelled out by my covid plays.
It was only back in July that Reabold Resources (RBD), made an initial approach to take-over Deltic Energy (DELT). I did not like this proposal at all and concluded Reabold should just sod off, which it would appear it did, at least so far. On Friday Independent Oil &Gas (IOG) confirmed it was considering a take-over approach for Deltic. Once again I find myself questioning the very idea of a takeover.
When it comes to new technology that is yet to become common place, being amongst the first to get involved doesn’t necessarily guarantee success, especially for early investors in smaller companies.
A “secured a further £1m funding for the Altalto waste-to-fuels project from British Airways PLC and Shell” announcement from Velocys (VLS) – and the shares up from around 2.5p to still well above 3p, capitalising it at well above £20 million...
I am absolutely exhausted. Recording videos is pretty draining. You have to remember not to pick your nose and to be alert at all times and right now I am recording four or five a day plus bearcast. That is all for the ShareProphets Shares Conference where, I promise, you will be dazzled by the content so BOOK YOUR TICKET NOW HERE!!! In today's podcast I discuss Big Sofa (BST), Shell (RDSB), ValiRx (VAL), Catenae (CTEA) and James "Dracula" Parsons, Cheryl Cole and Ascent Resources (AST). Suffice to say only one of that trio excites me in any way.
I take my hat off to Woodford dog, revolutionary washing machine maker (geddit?) Xeros (XSG). It closed Friday with a market capitalisation of about £6 million, according to ADVFN, and has just raised another £6 million without totally crashing the share price. In the current environment, that is quite an achievement – especially since the company has been a cash-burning dog all through its life. What might we learn?
It looks like the cash that I did not realise until a few months ago I had, will finally arrive in my SIPP this week. so where will I invest it? I discuss my outlook for equities in general, what I shall avoid and then Optibiotix (OPTI). R4E (R4E), Imperial Brands (IMB), Centamin (CEY), Tesco (TSCO), BP (BP.), Shell (RDSB), Wishbone Gold (WSBN) Red Rock (RRR) and Fox Marble (FOX).
The gist of my article a few days ago on dividend behemoths Imperial Brands (IMB) and Royal Dutch Shell (RDSB) was that if either name cut their dividend by half and the shares rose, this would be super bullish. I know that dividend cuts are naturally disliked by income-seeking investors but in a world where I see respected analysts are calculating that '35% of companies in the FTSE All-Share index have cut their dividend in the past 30 days...that’s an even faster pace than when Lehman Brothers collapsed in 2008', you have to get with the backdrop.
Excluding ShareProphets Radio 27, the most read non-Tom article this week is Imperial Brands & Royal Dutch Shell - tell us about the 'd' word (please) by Chris Bailey, at number four or number 11 including Bearcasts.
I start with a look at dividends in general and why they should be cut or axed but I discuss - as per today's most excellent article from Chris "Three Brains" Bailey - Imperial Brands (IMB) and Shell (RDSB) in particular. I am tempted to buy both because I think their shares will go up AFTER an inevitable dividend cut. I discuss what a moron Jeremy Corbyn is and my anger at an Oxford institution wanting Government cash. I look at Zenith Energy (ZEN) wondering if it has found more fake sheikhs drawn to the AIM Casino and also at AIQ (AIQ) - which continues to amuse.
I start with my family and Coronavirus as I discuss in full HERE. then should we taxpayers bail out all businesses? Even frauds? Or the Mob? I explain why folks like our in house Euro loon J Price are so badly wrong. I then look at Laura Ashley (ALY), Itaconix (ITX) and then the oil stocks. Could oil really hit $3 a barrel? Or $10? I look at Echo Energy (TOAST), Nostra Terra (TOAST), Premier Oil (PMO), Tullow Oil (TLW), BP (BP.) and Shell (RDSB)
Readers know I focus on the oily investment space and try to track the macro picture as well as the detail of specific investments cases. I thought it only appropriate with the current oil price turbulence to offer a few views on my own, which I free admit are influenced by other respected commentators. I hope this is useful in forming and reforming opinions on investment cases in the sector.
Don't worry the sun will still rise tomorrow and we are not ALL going to die of Coronavirus. I discuss the oil price crash and stockmarket slump and look in particular at: Tern (TERN), Carnival (CCL), Bidstack (BIDS), Versarien (VRS), the antics of market makers, Diversified Gas & Oil (DGOC), Bahamas Petroleum (BPC), BP (BP.), Shell (RDSB), Tullow (TLW), Optibiotix (OPTI) and Premier Oil (PMO)
Hello, Share Changers. As someone who owns shares in oil giants, like Shell (RDSB) BP (BP.) and Tullow (TLW) not to mention a few smaller plays, it hurts to write this modest article. But I really do fear that we may be looking at the beginning of the end for fossil fuels. While two economists at that huge bank J P Morgan have interesting related views on the subject.
I called ITM Power (ITM) a speculative buy in August 2019 at 38p. My best call as a buy by some margin while writing for this site. The share price advanced to 71p by the start of the year and has now almost doubled again to 140p as I type. That is a gratifying reward for anyone who read my views and was influenced to buy only some 5 months ago. But where’s the share price going now?...
Making a profit on small oil and gas exploration and appraisal companies largely comes down to timing your buys and sells correctly, rather than just holding onto your shares through the ups and downs. With many of these companies the actual risk of holding for a drill often isn’t worth it, especially with exploration plays, but good money can still be made in the lead up to drilling activity, and by leaving some profit to run in the case of some of the safer appraisals. Buying when there is a general lack of interest and no immediate operational activity, and then being patient, is often the best way to get in at a good price – even if not necessarily the lowest price, as that generally comes down to a large slice of luck...
Hello, Share Beasts. There was a drone attack on oil refineries in Saudi Arabia at the weekend. As I write this, it’s not possible to gauge the effect on the price of Brent Crude, but it's likely to send it higher. Saudi Arabia is the world’s biggest oil producer. A tenth of the world’s oil and gas comes from the kingdom...
Hardy Oil and Gas (HDY) has been getting a bit of attention recently with news of a deal to sell all of its assets, which was then followed by a higher priced bid from another party.
There’s nothing like talk of a short squeeze to get private investors predicting all sorts of crazy figures and scenarios – when the reality is that it is normally nothing more than just a rumour designed to pump the share price, and even if true it would be more likely to result in suspension of trading for a disorderly market, than a huge rise in the share price.
Hello Share Scratchers. On the heels of my last piece, in which I commended the fortunes of giant oilers, a few readers have asked me which jumbo firm do I prefer. I suppose the choice for British investors is between Shell (RDSA) and BP (BP.) I have big holdings in both outfits, but I lean towards one of them.
Hello Share Riddlers. Many of us still invest in oil giants. This is often because of the juicy dividends they pay, while staying fairly secure as reliable cash earners. I think most of us expect that Brent crude will keep rising in value. Yes, there was a nasty fall a few months ago, but the price is making what appears to be a sustained rally now. It’s the oil price which has brought the main oilers fatter profits lately.
In the old days ( i.e only three years ago) the BBC pension fund was invested, as it should have been in safe dividend plays like BP, Shell and BAT Industries. But that sort of portfolio played badly with the uber politically correct state funded broadcaster. So its all change. The new top 20 holdings as at 31 March 2018 are below.
Software business Imaginatik (IMTK) announced this morning that it had disposed of all of its assets and has sold its business, and pre-market open I saw a lot of people saying what great news it was.
Hello, Share Scrapers. Who among us isn't a bit spooked by issues affecting the global economy? But what should we do to protect ourselves - and make the most of any opportunities? Well, after doing the research and basing predictions on it, this is what I think.
Hello, Share Comrades. Having only just arrived home from my Northern offensive of Denmark, Sweden, Finland and Russia, I haven't time to research an individual share for you to consider. So allow me to explain instead that once again the quantum physics of Schrodinger's Cat has worked in my favour.
Hello Share Carpeters. The Footsie led a disappointing dance downwards last week. But will the slide continue? I don’t think so. There is still a lot of unjustified fear over Brexit. There is still overdone anxiety over trade wars. And while the City is worried stiff over these issues, the bulls among us are cheerfully listing the market’s plus points.
I first tipped Biome Technologies (BIOM) last November at about 215p and tipped it again at 260p earlier this year (HERE). With it more than doubling up from my first tip, I’ve hit my initial target and although there could well be more to come, I suggest that some form of top-slicing before the results in a couple of weeks might make sense.
Hello Share Trackers. I’ve heard on Radio Four just now that petrol stations are being urged to cut prices by two pence a litre. According to the BBC, this is because the price of Brent Crude has fallen. Talk about an exaggeration! The price has only dropped a few points after skyrocketing in the last six months.
Did you see Friday's AGM trading update from oil services company John Wood Group (WG.)? Obviously I was all over it like a rash given it was one of my two tips of the year in late December and - as I noted here - a couple of months ago or so, it had a slightly sluggish start. The better news is that after Friday's move the stock is now back to where it started the year - and I think we go higher from here.
Hello, Share Cakers. As troubles in the Middle East mount, it’s natural that oil prices will rise. And as I write, the cost of Brent crude has hit a new high. Not a record of course, as the price was once twice what it is now.
Hello, Share Dazzlers. With all the hoo-hah about trade wars, world debt and high PE’s, one positive signal is creeping up on the rails. I refer to the galloping price of oil. Brent Crude is breaking recent records. As I write, Brent is nearly $71 a barrel. Last July I recall, it was around $40.
Hello Share Shiverers. At the risk of over-simplifying matters, it’s time to winkle out companies who’ll benefit from the icy weather. Some of the choices are obvious, but that’s no reason not to remind you of a few opportunities. And you’ll be surprised how very temporary events - like the current cold snap - can influence share prices. Though the effect is usually confined to a week at the most.
Warren Buffett always tells us that his intended investment holding period is forever, that he buys stocks he would be happy to hold if the market closed down for five years. I guess, then, if you’re Warren Buffett then the market travails of the last few days won’t bother you. If you’re not Mr Buffett I offer a few thoughts.
Hello, Share Slickers. The world’s biggest oil company Exxon Mobil has posted disappointing numbers. As a result, the shares dipped 5%. Analysts were expecting profits to jump on the big rally in oil prices. But get this. The company actually announced 4th quarter net profits of £8.4 billion. Yes, $8.4 billion!
Hello Share Twiddlers. We’re still in a bull phase. And as I’ve argued recently, we could stay in this happy state for most of this year. But even when most sectors are rising, there are some that won’t fare so well. Here then is my idea of sectors which might scintillate and others that may fail.
Hello, Share Twangers. You may have your suspicions if I return again to the subject of fair payment for the huge number of well-researched articles on this unique website. But I must at least try and save you from the possibilities of losing huge dollops of money.
Hello, Share Pingers. This kind of prediction can be doomed to failure, but I rather think the Santa Rally will kick in, at last, this week. There has been a slight retrench due to a faltering oil price. But at the end of last week, the cost of Brent crude had risen again - to $62.72 a barrel.
Several of the once really popular oil and gas companies seem to have almost have been forgotten by investors, as progress has been far slower than had originally been expected and people have gone off seeking riches elsewhere.
Hello, Share Smashers. At the mo, there are some nasty threats to our shares prices. High consumer, corporate and national debt. Comparatively high PE ratios. Over-cooked company valuations, low wages, higher inflation and a bull market, past its sell-by date. But all those perils can be offset by the following massive factor…
Hello, Share Collectors. Many of us, I know, are still awash in oil stocks, both the producers and riskier explorers. I’ve been advising that we cut down, as the competition from wind, sun, waves and biomass, threatens to grow. But I think I may have been too hard on ebony nectar and here are a few reasons why.
Ophir Energy (OPHR) has made far slower progress than many could have imagined a few years back, but the oil and gas fields which attracted many in the first place are still there, and the chances of them being developed still look very good.
A couple of pieces this weekend on similar themes, namely insiders cashing in and unusual, or complete lack of, TR-1s. This first article looks at the astonishing amount of money seemingly made in no time at all by Chris Akers at Red Leopard Holdings (RLH).
Hello Share Smashers. OPEC, the cartel of 12 big oil producers led by Saudi Arabia, has let us down.
One of the most fascinating scenes I’ve seen for some time is the sight of Big Donald jigging around with some sort of weird entertainment put on by the Saudi’s for the President's visit. It almost made me forget the big benefit of this amiable state visit on share shifters like us. And that of course is that the President’s friendly reception sent the oil price up.
Hello Share Grinders. Unusually for me, I’m a little pessimistic this weekend. And the cause - a very weak oil price. This is a big disappointment, as the signs a few months ago were that the price of the ebony nectar was on the rise.
There suddenly seems to be a lot of excitement all over twitter and the bulletin boards about a tiny AIM shell called Infinity Energy SA (INFT) – but of course that wouldn’t have anything at all to do with the recent placing and placees looking to offload for a quick profit!
Saffron (SRON) has confirmed that it has completed the logistics for a tie up of its Bezzecca natural gas project outside Milan within budget and on schedule. Certificates for mechanical and instrumentation completion have been issued and safety and performance testing is underway.
Hello Share Twirlers. Though the Footsie has been striding ahead, it would have done far better if the oil price had behaved itself. We are not just talking oil shares, but the whole of the share economy. A weak oil price has a negative effect all round.
Saffron Energy (SRON) has announced the extension of the natural gas offtake contract between its Italian subsidiary Northsun and Shell. The contract has been extended to 1 October 2018, with an option to extend for a further year to 1 October 2019, and provides for offtake of gas supply for all of the Group's Italian gas fields.
Hello Share Shakers. A bit of a dilemma faces me. I have some BP (BP.) shares in my ordinary trading account. I want to switch them to my ISA. When I do that, there’ll be an interim few days when I no longer hold the stock. For BP at the moment, this is a bit dangerous.
Hello Share Masters. I’ve taken a long hard look at the budget from our point of view and found it improves the shareholder’s lot quite a bit. However, I’m no tax expert, so in case I’ve got anything wrong, please do your own research.
Hello Share Toppers. Allow me to take a tiny break from recommending stocks which could soar to another figure which is on the increase. And that’s inflation, which has risen for the fourth month in a row. How will this trend affect our shares?
Hello Share Poppers. I am doing rather well financially at the mo. And it’s my guess you are, too. So let’s stop moaning and try to enjoy life a bit more. I’ve pushed across some of the spare dough with my brokers into my current account as I intend to spend a little more on myself.
Hello Share Pagers. The results of Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA) were not too clever. Profits down by another 37% on last time. But remember how lousy the price of Brent Crude is at the moment.
Hello Share Suckers. You’ve may have noticed, but probably haven’t, that I’ve been selling shares in some companies which I am heavily invested in. This is because times are uncertain and success with a few of my favourites, have left them a little top heavy in their pricing territory.
The bulls among us are rejoicing at the beginning of the new year. But what’s causing the Footsie to beat its all-time highs?
Hello Share Pickers. I'm in the middle of one of those interminable train journeys where you pass loads of familiar town names everybody knows, but where nobody ever stops. In this case Wilmslow, Hereford, Leominster, Ludlow, Crewe, Craven Arms etc. Well, have you ever been there?
Hello Share Cybers. One does not like to preen. And to be honest I haven't had much justification lately, what with Advanced Oncotherapy's woes. But you will allow that I did see oil prices rising.
Hello Share Twangers. I was beginning to worry that my predictions that the price of Brent crude would rise steadily were not going to happen. The ebony nectar value has been falling in the last month or so (by about 10%).
Hello Share Diviners. Jim Slater's legendary book on shares, second in my view only to my own works, including the recent Share Attack, advocated investing in shares you really know something about. I seem to remember - though could be wrong - that the Zulu Principal got its name because his wife knew plenty of stuff about Zulus.
Hello Share Smackers. You may be getting a little tired of my banging on about my expected recovery in the price of Brent crude. Never my, my vicar’s sermon on Sunday was all about the importance of ‘pestering’ if we want to be heard by the Almighty. So I’ll keep pestering you about this.
Hello Share Twiggers. The price of oil continues to nudge up. As I write, it is only a whisper away from a 10 month high. I see no reason why that trend won’t continue, especially with winter drawing on and my central heating boilers going full pelt for the first time today. Another clue to rising oil prices is that big costs are returning at the petrol pumps.
In my humble view, now could be a good time to return to oil shares. I certainly hope so, as I have lost a packet since the big oil crash which began a few years ago. I’ve gradually dumped my holdings in the hopeful explorers, but I still have major holdings in the big producers, like Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA), BP (BP.) and Tullow (TLW). All of them are well shy of their previous bests.
Hello Share Scuffers. As I write the price of Brent crude is $47.62 dollars a barrel. That is lower than recent days when the price crawled back above $50. However, the trend is up and after reaching a nadir of $38 dollars a year or so ago, well the current oil price is a lot better now than it was.
Hello Share Swiggers. If you have shares in producing oil firms you might want to consider hanging onto them. And if you have spare cash you might research a few likely companies with a view to a bit more investment. The reason is that the price of Brent crude oil is going up again. It is tickling $50 a barrel as I write. It was there a few months ago when the price level caused some excitement. Quite a few oil companies nudged up on the news, including Shell (RDSA) and BP (BP.).
Hello Share Sponsors. As I write the price of Brent crude is $43 a barrel. That’s a lot worse than the $51 dollars it reached a few months ago. And the fall has been reflected in the share price of nearly all oil companies. For example, the share price of Royal Dutch Sell (RSDA) is off by about 5%.
I am often left struggling to find smaller oil companies that actually look a good investment, as opposed to just a gamble on a single big drill, or where all of the potential future value is in the ground with no actual plan or finance in place to get it out!
Hello Share Mates. My flight was about two hours late getting into Cardiff Airport after my trip to Munich. Then the plane was held for about another hour because all the lights had gone out in the terminal due to a massive power cut. So I missed the big match between Wales, where I live, and Portugal where I don't. Consequently I'm penning this in the early hours of the morning. Worse still, in a few hours' time, I will be under the surgeon's knife.
Hello Share Cats. One thing the Brexit vote hasn’t attacked so far is the oil price. Well, Brent did go down a tiny fraction, but hardly worth noticing. And that could be due to world factors, anyway. Which reminds me that Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA) has risen for the two trading days since the Big Vote result was announced. I am a giant holder of Shell oil. It is the biggest lump in my portfolio. I already held a lot of Shell shares. Then it gobbled up BG and part of that deal was its handing over even more Shell stock.
Hello Share Plungers. I’ve been teetering round some serious Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA) research for a week or two now. That’s because I - along with a goodly few other City commentators - expect the price of Brent to skid upwards. But why buy Shell shares in preference to those offered by all that competition? Because of size mainly. Shell is probably too big to fail and if that oil price keeps bubbling up, then good old Shell we will among the biggest beneficiaries.
Hello Share Poodles. As so many of us hold shares in companies involved in the ebony nectar, it’s seems a good wheeze to once again bring you bang up to date on how the price of Brent crude should fare in the next few months. Because there’s little doubt that the value of the black stuff has a huge bearing on share prices. And not just those of oil companies, but nearly every other listed firm as well. It’s a question of high oil prices raising general confidence.
Hello Share Chancers. It wasn’t so long ago that my colleague Amanda Van Dyke was getting it in the neck on this beloved website for commending us all to buy gold. Now those detractors have had to admit they were wrong. We heard at the UK Investor Show more than one expert say that gold was the thing to buy, still. But though I’m holding onto my gold miners, I am now switching my main hopes to a rally in the next business which is likely to hit back. after a very bad time.
Noyota Minerals (NYO) says that it expects by the end of this week to have paperwork in place to call an EGM in 28 days time to change the board. Of course it does not need to go through an EGM the board could just do the decent thing and quit and fuck off as it is clear that no shareholders have any faith in the current team who have been overpaid abject failures.
The weekend press is full of stories of doom and gloom and dividend cuts for BP (BP.) and Shell and clearly there are a stack of smaller companies that are totally screwed and where shareholders are likely to face total wipeout. In that vein I discuss Magnolia (MAGP), Igas (IGAS), Gulf Keystone (GKP), XCite (XEL) and, of course, LGO Energy (TOAST). But is there a case for buying oil shares as a long term invester. I look at a few cases from BP down to Union Jack Oil (UJO). Perhaps there is no rush but the time will come.
I am sorry for the delayed podcast but I am only just back from time in the Grim Northern welfare safari with the mother in law and thus can now let myself go with a volley of bad language. I end with an explanation of who benefitted from the £150 million + Himex fraud at Quindell (QPP) laid bare earlier HERE and how it also affects Watchstone (WTG). Before that I talk of my annoyance on the silly blogger spats and the explain the difference between a cash shell and an investment company and why I regard our work on exposing the latter as invaluable. In the middle segment I have more bad news for oil companies such as XCite (XEL), IGAS (IGAS), Petroceltic (PCI) & Gulf Keystone (GKP) and for the sector as a whole but also for the markets. Dont blame China, we bears are still in the driving seat.
When we are presenting our plans to fellow professionals, we often get asked, "Surely steam flooding is an EOR technique, why steam from the start?" It is a good question, as generating steam is not cheap, of course we have a good answer to the question and the more we think about it the better the answer gets (For the time-challenged: the answer's at the end in bold).
Hello Share Trudgers. Having met some successful fund managers at the fabled Gold & Bears show, I’ve decided to start my own investment fund. After all, they just seem like ordinary blokes and lasses to me.nBut my venture will be based on an almost sure recipe for big money success. While its risks will be almost non existent.
88 Energy (88E) was spawned from Tangiers Petroleum. As with many remakes they are often arguably never as good the second time around however 88 Energy appears to present some classic market mechanic traits of a firm about to do exceptionally well.
Hello share Mates. Those of us who have big holdings, or even small ones, in BG (BG.) have been on pins for most of a year now. That’s since Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA) announced it was to merge with the big oil and natural gas giant. The $70billion offer was in cash and shares and made BG shares worth about £13.
As we celebrate the Celtic New Year, ShareProphets asks the old gods to bestow a special blessing upon Globo, who allowed ShareProphets to have a record-breaking week. Manannán mac Lir is probably none too happy about being asked to give a thumbs up to a big fraud like Globo, but I imagine that work is hard to come by as a Celtic deity these days.
The man who claims that his family discovered the North Sea, who modestly describes himself as Britain's Buffett, the market abuser Chris Oil has today issued a stark warning to BP and Shell - their position is under threat...from Sefton Resources (SER) - net cash £300,000, no assets and set to be booted off AIM in less than a month. Well you heard it here first. Did his PR genius Steffi sign off on this tweet:
There are quite a few share dilemmas to be resolved as the long hot summer of not very much happening draws on. The first is what do we do about oil shares. I certainly am not going to invest any money in those companies, which put all their hopes on finding more of the black stuff. I’ve been let down too often.
Shares in Arria NLG plc (NLG) currently trade approaching 70% lower today, at 9.5p, on the back of an announcement that its “contract with Shell has been terminated by notice given by Shell in accordance with its terms”. What is the outlook from here and what can be learnt from this situation?
This is a stonker of an AIM casino disaster – a story of greed, stupidity, investors being misled and, as it’s the AIM casino, of private investors taking an almighty rogering. Meet Arria NLG.
Hello Share Pickers. The fabulous UK Investor Show is coming up. Just a few days to go, now. It will be great to meet you in the Blogger's Cafe. I did time there last year and really enjoyed it. Picked up a few tips, too – like City of London Investment Group (CLIG) and Galliford Try (GFRD). And shares on both are still doing well.
In this podcast I start with the debate between Wilderides and miserable froggie Thierry on Shell & BG Group but move to the wider issue of overconfidence ater a seven year bull market. Companies covered include Tungsten, Coms, 4D Pharma,, LGO Energy, Cyan, Plethora and Vipera
Sentiment was boosted by news that Greece made a loan repayment to the International Monetary fund and continued M&A speculation. Greece’s future is still uncertain but what could be driving the market in the short term is M&A activity.
Hello Share Tweakers. The BG (BG.) takeover story started very well with a rise of 40% on the share price of a few days earlier. That was because Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA), one of the biggest companies in the Footsie, seek a juicy merger.
Hello Share Chippers. For the last few months, I've felt a bit of a fraud. I've been telling you about some companies I thought were good investments. Some have gone onto to new all-time highs. Inmarsat (ISAT). Legal and General (LGEN) Compass (CPG) Arm Holdings (ARM) have all done really well.
I start by defending NonDoms. Do not get me wrong the owner of Chelsea FC is not my fave guy but the politics of envy is self defeating. Then to stocks - I start with the China Norfolks and then it is onto Coms, blinkx, Trinity Exploration, the BG/Shell deal and what it means for smaller oil stocks and Starcom.
We have now had the 2014 prelims for both BP (BP.A) and Shell (RDSA) which gives us the opportunity to do a bit of comparing and contrasting of these two giant, integrated, international oil and gas businesses. Basically and very simply, they have much in common as investments at this time.
It’s not been a pretty period for the oil price. On Monday (Monday 5 January) ICE Brent Crude Oil fell by a whopping 5.95% to just over 53 dollars a barrel. On Tuesday (Tuesday 6 January) it was down a further 1.05% to 52.50 dollars a barrel. The slide continued yesterday.
As the famous Dame Shirley Bassey sang, “it's all just a little bit of history repeating”.
The latest word from Sefton Resources (SER) is not good and must give rise to fears that Jimmyliar Ellerton is going to steal its last not totally worthless asset.
Paul Johnson, non-executive director of Metal Tiger (MTR), is confident the company is poised to deliver a stunning turnaround. Formerly called Brady Exploration, this was one of AIM’s many little disaster stories. However, that is in the past and with new management, a new strategy and a refinanced business, Metal Tiger could be one to watch in the coming years, as the resource sector recovers from its savage bear market.
A month ago, I wrote a critical piece about Chariot Oil & Gas (CHAR) in reaction to its £8.8million placement. The company has responded perfectly. It didn’t petulantly jump up and down, demanding a retraction, but instead approached me, asking if I’d like to talk directly with CEO Larry Bottomley. I thought this was a risky move on Chariot’s part, as our reputation here for not taking prisoners is well deserved. However, the request was courteous and seemed genuine. I was happy to take the call on the understanding everything we discussed would be on the record and I wouldn’t write a PR puff piece. Chariot agreed and Mr Bottomley was refreshingly candid in his answers. In this first piece I deal with the looming deadline for the company’s Central Block licence, offshore Namibia.
The global market for smartphones is exploding. Smartphone users worldwide are set to reach 1.75 billion this year. But there is a serious problem: battery technology is lagging behind. Which is why this opportunity is so exciting…
It’s hard to look like a genius in a bear market. This is exactly where we are today. Bear markets don’t last forever and nor, sadly, do bull markets. You look like a fool in a bear market and like a professor in a bull market, the trick is to not do too badly when markets slump and to do really well when they rally.
Hello Share Snafflers: The latest trading update by Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA) has well exceeded what City analysts had predicted. Such reports often do these days, as the 'experts' continue to under-estimate the effect of increasing growth on world economies.
My recent commentary on Xcite Energy (XEL) has put me at odds with some of my colleagues here at ShareProphets. Despite what many of our faceless critics have to say, one thing I love about working with this company is that we support genuine debate. We don’t impose myopic, rigid editorial positions and we recognise it takes opposing views to make a market. Above all, we encourage our contributors to write what they genuinely believe. In the case of Xcite, the more I read about and research the path this company is now on, the more bullish I feel about its future.
It is a strange old world and I gather that some folks reckon that there is a bid on the way for AIM listed oil exploration penny share Wessex Exploration (WSX). I bet you 5000 Albanian Lekke that there is not and as such I would rate this stock, at 7.3p, a sell. If you want exposure to Guyane (the only real asset of note in Wessex) I would obtain it by buying AIM listed Northern Petroleum (NOP) at 67.5p.