Yesterday AIM-listed POS Inspirit Energy conceded that Chris Heminway’s call for an EGM had been successful and that a vote on whether to bring Mr Heminway and one other onto the board at the expense of an existing NED will take place on 27th November. It was also announced that Mr Heminway’s holding had again increased, now to just over 9%. But Inspirit has now played its own hand with a “Product Update”.
I note the comments from my colleagues on this site – Nigel Somerville most recently yesterday and Tom Winnifrith in bearcast yesterday on Inspirit Energy (INSP). I concur with the general thrust of the views expressed – crap management and sod all progress over many years. I also note the rebel shareholder and his background. I wish him well. But I suspect the whole idea is bonkers based on technicalities and politics…
On election results day, an intra-day (11:58am) “CemTeal Limited & associated subsidiaries Update” from CEPS plc (CEPS). Uh oh…
I have been over-bullish about gold ever since it popped its top at around $1800 per oz in the aftermath of the financial crisis and quantitative easing (ie printing money) became all the rage. But rather than sell out, I have held firm. At the time I seemed to be wrong, but with what should be a momentous week for the UK about to hit us, I see the gold price is up a tad at just shy of $1250 per oz...
July-announced results from interior decorations group Colefax (CFX) emphasised “exceptional performance from the Decorating division” and “continued growth in the core US market should underpin the group's expected performance in the current year”. Today an AGM statement commencing “since we announced our year end results in July the group's sales have performed in line with expectations”. Good news then?...
In today's bearcast I start with Argo Blockchain (ARB) and what our coverage shows again. Then it is onto Mark Carney and the Sunday Times talking Project Fear Brexit bollocks on Sterling. Finally David Lenigas, Luke Johnson and why this bubble will not be different to any other.
I travel Easyjet (EZY) often. In the winter it is Bristol to Athens and back, in the summer it is Gatwick to Kalamata and back. Usually it is no worse and no better than any other budget airline. Not that I really care but I just want to point out a quite obvious scam it inflicts on its passengers.
Do not worry it is not all macro babble in today's podcast but I reflect on why Sterling is roofing it and why this also makes the Paul Scott thesis on retailers and consumer facing stocks wrong - more of that on Saturday no doubt! I look at Amur Minerals (AMC) with the 1 question its dumb shareholders need to ask. I intrude on the private grief at Somerville towers regarding Scancell (SCLP) and suggest that there is more to come for poor Nigel. And I look at perennial dog Iofina and what it is NOT saying. If you like bearcasts then remember that at UK Investor on April 21 - THIS SATURDAY - one of many highlights will be a live bearcast with myself and Paul Scott. Make sure you book a free ticket HERE using the promotional code WINNIFRITH. ORDER NOW - LAST POSTING TODAY
I have been a bit of a fan for gold stocks – through thick and thin – for perhaps too long. In hindsight I wish I’d sold out in 2011. However, I’ve been further chewing over the podcast from Pallisade Radio with Jordan Roy-Byrne which went up on ShareProphets since last week since my observation that gold stocks appeared to offer an opportunity.
Of course the slide of Sterling - as I explained in full HERE - is nothing to do with Brexit. It started months and months before the vote when the polls showed we were certain to stay in the Evil Empire. It is, as I pointed out, to do with base rate expectations and growing fiscal imprudence in the UK. But still the BBC and other fake news outlets such as Channel 4 say that it is down to Brexit.
When the Brexit remoaners paper of choice, The Guardian, suffers an internet glitch there is always the lamentable Independent which serves up a daily diet of fake news on all matters European. Yesterday we learned that Southern Salads, a Kent firm, had gone bust and 250 ex workers could thank Brexit for it all. Well that is the Indy line, except that it is palpably false. It is just made up news. Fake news at every level.
In part one of this two part bearcast I looked at the political ramifications of last night's disaster. Now in this podcast I look at the implications for the real economy, for sterling, for the housing market and for the stockmarket from FTSE 100 stocks down to AIM.
A 10:15am “Trading Update” announcement from restaurant group Comptoir (COM), which IPO’d at 50p per share on AIM less than a year ago. An unusual time for a trading update + a restaurant group, with all the pressures facing that sector currently = I think I can guess much of how the announcement is going to go…
Dreary remoaners such as Pizza Hardman Darren Atwater and the rest of the liberal media elite keep on saying that Brexit has cased the pound to tank against the Euro. After another taunt from Darren yesterday I bring you the chart below, just to help him move out of the post fact era.
Hello Share Troopers. I’ve long been a fan of British insurance giants. They are a chance to invest in the fast-moving financial world without too much fear of heavy fines and compensation payments for mis-selling and so on. Though, of course, there is an element of that.
Bloody Theresa May. There was I off work and she has just gone and called a snap General Election for June 8th. Time for everyone to panic? Er...no.
Flowgroup (FLOW) “is pleased to announce that it expects to announce its results for the year ending 31 December 2016 during May 2017. The company expects its trading results to be in line with analysts' forecasts”. Hmmm, so why are the shares currently down a further more than 8%, below 6p, having been 25p+ less than a year ago?...
Hello Share Poppers. I am doing rather well financially at the mo. And it’s my guess you are, too. So let’s stop moaning and try to enjoy life a bit more. I’ve pushed across some of the spare dough with my brokers into my current account as I intend to spend a little more on myself.
I previously warned on rare books and collectibles group Scholium (SCHO) on the back of an October trading statement – and the shares are currently further lower, at 34p, on the back of the results announcement for the company’s half-year ended 30th September 2016…
I previously pondered (HERE) what to do with markets seemingly (in my view) overvalued and due a correction. Taking cash off the table is the easy part (once one is resolved to sell up, that is) but where to put it was a bit of a question. Government bonds and cash offered little to nothing and in the wake of the Sterling flash crash it seemed that even cash wasn’t all that safe!
Hello Share Scrapers. I'm usually ambivalent about TUI (TUI) the big British/German travel tour company. Truth is I can't see much future in an operation which helps people organise events when the computer in your front room makes this easier as time rolls on. Yet there's no denying that ever since 2011 at least TUI has bumped up profits year on year.
Hello Share Scrapers. The Dow continues to fall. The days when it topped 18500 seem long gone. Happily, the progress of America’s big indicator no longer seems to influence British shares very much. Perhaps it’s because the Brexit vote has given us more of an independent status in the eyes of big investors.
Following a February profit warning, supplier of industrial chains and related power transmission products, Renold (RNO) has updated on its six months ended 30th September and its ‘STEP 2020’ strategic plan…
Hello Share Mashers. To my cost most of the time, I am drawn to buy shares in companies which have eye-catching names. For example, I remember with regret my ill-fated investment in a cartoon maker called Sleepy Kids. Which makes me a little wary of commending to you an outfit called Jimmy Choo (CHOO.L) However it has a few points in its favour to make it worth a look on grounds other than monicker bias.
Is Sterling collapsing? Well, er... yes and no. It partly depends on where we started? If it is sliding is that down to Brexit? That is far more of a no than a yes. So are the Tories to blame? As of last week, in part yes. Is the BBC telling lies because it still can't handle the Brexit result? Of course it is. Confused? All is explained in this week's podcast. And talking of lies my podcast I mention on Syria is HERE
Malcolm Stacey kindly took the trouble to comment on my piece of Tuesday when I confessed to a bout of extreme nervousness in the wake of the FTSE100 again breaching the 7,000 mark. Answering my concerns the next day, Malcolm was still in upbeat mood. But perhaps not quite as upbeat as we might think: I sense that the ShareProphets uber-bull may be preparing the ground for a spot of nervousness himself, with his suggestion that the markets will continue to rise this side of Christmas. What comes after that?
Hello Share Grinders. The falling pound always seems like a disaster. And It is to holidaymakers and students who are studying broad, like my daughter at the moment. But there is no need to be glum if you are a shareholders. There’s no doubt in my mind that the current soaraway Footsie is because we have brilliant companies over here. Not!!
Shares in Goldplat (GDP) are currently more than 9% higher, at 6p, on the back of a “Trading update” announcement. The following reviews after previous comment from myself last month…
Flowtech Fluidpower (FLO) opens an announcement today with that it “is pleased to announce the further strengthening of its product offering in the hydraulics sector through the acquisition of Triple Six Limited, and provide an update ahead of the release of the company's half-year results”. The shares are currently 5% lower, at 105p, in response. Hmmm…
A “Pre-Close Trading Statement” from James Halstead (JHD) updates that “trading through to 30 June 2016 has been solid and profit before tax for the full year will be ahead of last year, in line with market expectations and at the highest level in the company's history”. This is despite that “during the majority of the year Sterling traded at a higher level than the prior year presenting challenges to our overseas turnover, which is in excess of 60% of total turnover”. Does opportunity now knock then here?
Hello Share Swiggers. It's not that long ago that I suggested you might take a look at FairFX (FFX). This is a firm which makes spending abroad a bit cheaper by allowing you to top up on card which you can use to collect spending money on foreign holidays and business trips. Companies also use its services - and they are growing impressively in number. The prepaid cash card I use is the Caxton card and I find it very useful. But FairFX has just put out a trading statement which should also make investors sit up.
You have to admit it is really quite amazing. Two weeks ago, Central Bankers and leading politicians were exclaiming that if Britain left the E.U. it would be a catastrophic economic event on the magnitude of a “Lehman “moment. However, despite all of the talk of gloom if you had been asleep over the last month you wouldn’t know something had happened, other than sterling collapsing.
A “Trading Update” from shipping services company Clarkson (CKN) includes notice early of “deterioration in freight rates” reflecting an “increase in global economic uncertainty and the continuing imbalance between supply and demand in shipping and offshore”. Uh oh…
Earlier, in Independence Day Bearcast part 1, I looked at how we the people had given the elites a well deserved kicking on the Brexit poll and what that says for Europe as a whole. Now I turn to the political panto but more importantly to waht happens to Sterling and the stockmarket and I mention a few stocks featuring today. Don't panic but be realistic is the message.
I do not have a scooby about forex trading I just feel happy to see the Euro go down against Sterling and look forward to a day when the drachma sinks even faster. SwissQuote was the main sponsor of UK Investor Show 2015 and held a session to explain what is happening in forex to the attendees. Watch & learn.
WPP interim results are a classic example of what the strong pound has been doing to British overseas earners. Thank God the minority of two on the Bank of England rate setting Monetary Committee did not persuade the rest to raise interest rates when the Committee met recently. Life is tough enough for companies such as WPP (WPP); most of its top line revenue comes from overseas. In the six months to June 30 this was reported up 2.7%. However, if it were not for the painfully strong Sterling exchange rate, revenue, we are told would, have risen a staggering 11.3%.
The shares of GKN (340p last seen) were as high as 468p in May having fallen back an impressive 27 %. After the drop it is worth revisiting the logic for investing here. The reason for buying the shares hitherto was twofold: first the recovery in the world automotive industry (more than 46% of GKN Group sales are accounted for as supplying the world’s auto industry) and second the management’s strategy of building up the Group’s aerospace business by acquisition, taking the company into more growth prospect and better margins; considerably higher than in vehicle manufacture. However does this logic now bear up to scrutiny in light of recent performance?
From the start of this year until early last month, shares in scientific instruments designer and manufacturer Judges Scientific (JDG) traded at above 2000p and were approaching 2400p in February, March and April. Not tha the stock has fallen to towards 1300p, following a July warning that over the first half of 2014 “the trading performance of the group's businesses during the period proved challenging”, I revisit this stock and examine if there is now value in it.
What we want is a lower pound dollar and Euro exchange to stimulate growth and investment. Goods and services purchased by overseas people who are not borrowing from UK Banks to finance it. But then the UK economy is a bit of a mystery at the moment. Entirely appropriate for the land that gave birth to the Arthurian legend of the Wizard Merlin
It was my belief some months ago, when trying to anticipate events against then current individual share valuations of dollar earners, that Sterling would be weaker against the dollar and the Euro, thus improving profits from such companies. That was in part based on my view (I have been a long term bull of the US economy) that America’s economic recovery would not only be sounder that that in the UK, but also that interest rates would, for that reason, be expected to head higher than ours. This would attract overseas institutions to the US dollar, pushing John Bull’s - no one seems to refer to him anymore so I am bucking the trend - pound lower against Uncle Sam’s dollar. How wrong I was!
The best laid plans of mice and men will often go astray. That’s another way of saying that investment portfolios need the diversity of about twenty shares to take account of the unexpected; both bearish and bullish. I note, with a heavy heart, the dismal performance of Croda International, a share that I last gazed upon in December 2013, after it had undergone a 15% decline in its share price to 2430p. To be kind to my bruised discernment, the share price did subsequently gain 7% to above 2600p by May 2014 (a decent rate of capital gain in five months), when all seemed to be going to expectations. Since then the share price has collapsed; last seen, the shares were 2106p 20% below last month’s peak and 14% below the last December price.