There are no guests in this week's show which is sponsored by Open Orphan PLC (ORPH). it is just me, at the end of a momentous day in the world of financial services. First up I discuss Thomas Cook (TCG) and grandstanding by limp dick MPs, executive greed, the failings of NEDs and fund managers and the heroin that is debt. Then the vast bulk of the show is devoted to Neil Woodford. What went right and what went wrong and why? Why the FCA is cuplable and why Woodford should go to jail. What were the warning signs everyone bar this website ignored? Who else is to blame? Why Hargreaves Lansdown (HL.) must be broken up. What will happen to each of the 3 vehicles Woodford was fired from or quit yesterday and how much cash investors wil get back.If you like this and can't wait seven days for more of the same and are tired of being a cheapskate you should listen to my Bearcast every day.
Yes my good friend is going to the AIM Awards dinner now that he is an evil PR man ( for Bigdish Ventures (DISH). Elsewhere I discuss the news about the Thomas Cook (TCG) stores and the lesson for Sirius Minerals (SXX). I look at Reabold (RBD), Brady (BRY) and Iconic Labs (ICON) as it serves up a bollocks packed RNS.
In the demise of Thomas Cook (TCG) there was a degree of focus in the Press on the use on Non-GAAP metrics (“GAAP” being generally accepted accounting policies) and Ernst & Young’s role as auditor in auditing those measures. However, the Deadwood Press as usual missed the wider story.
The Financial Reporting Council has announced that it is to open an enquiry into the accounts of Thomas Cook (TCG) for the year ended 30 September 2018. Too little too late you say. Well perhaps, but what is at stake here is the poison at the heart of capitalism, the incestuous relationship between auditors and PLCs.
For those who missed out on Thomas Cook (TCG) which failed in its attempt to blag £200 million off her majesty’s government, the bonds in Sirius Minerals (SXX) - which failed in its attempt to blag $1 billion from HMG - are trading at 33 cents on the dollar.
Capitalism has got itself into a mess by becoming addicted to debt. The answer is not more debt. That is lesson one of Thomas Cook (TCG). Those who blame the Government for not bailing it out, or Sirius (SXX) or my local boozer misunderstand how capitalism works. Folks have to lose money and jobs must be lost for all of us to prosper.
The Independent Newspaper thinks that I and 17.4 million others need a better education. Does anyone read that rag anymore? In today's podcast I look at Neil Woodford's Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT), notably its holdings in Autolus and Purplebricks (PURP) in light of data out today, Eve Group (EVE), Nigel Wray's Simba, Thomas Cook (TCG), i3 Energy (i3E) and Iconic Labs (ICON).
All will be revealed soon. Meanwhile I discuss Eddie Stobart (ESL), Circassia (CIR), Thomas Cook (TCG), Amur Minerals (AMC), Neil Woodford and Watchstone Group (WTG), Quindell as was.
I start by discussing an interview with Matt Earl for the next Shareprophets Radio show. It will be up later and will knock your socks off. I look at IQE (IQE) and warn you all. I defend myself against an attack on my share tips from pompous twit NoGold. I look at Watchstone (WTG), Quindell as was in light of today's laughable news and also at Thomas Cook (TCG), which is still 80%+ overvalued.
Apologies for the background noise in the Thomas Cook (TCG) segment, a workman at the Welsh Hovel has not quite understood how I have to pay his bloated fucking wages. I also discuss Rutherford (RUTH)_and how it will destroy the reputation of Neil Woodford but not in the way Nigel suggests and Optibiotix (OPTI)
I report on what the quack told me and consider a career change. I consider mattresses Eve (EVE), Simba, Nigel Wray and Neil Woodford. I look at Clear Leisure (CLP), First Derivatives (FDP), Thomas Cook (TCG), Dev Clever (DEV) and Verseon (VERS) and I comment on my interview with Kefi (KEFI) out later this week.
In today's (long) bearcast I look at Burford (BUR) asking questions of bulls and bears, at Thomas Cook (TCG), surely a slam dunk short at 8p, at Cabot Energy (TOAST), ADM Energy (ADME) and finally at Seedrs where the PR bird is trying to bully me into publishing a falsehood. She is picking on the wrong man. maybe she confuses me with the spineless financial illiterates and PR cocksuckers at the deadwood press?
I wrote recently that, as a bear, one should not worry too much about big names appearing on the share register of a company of which one is short and have noticed that when a company is on the verge of failing, it is often the case that some bright spark decides to have a go and hoover up some equity…
In today's bearcast i shut the windows at the Greek Hovel to cut out the noise of the cricket circus. I really could stay here for good and not come back to the UK. The Mrs is not so sure but she is warming to the idea. In the podcast I look at St James House (SJH) a POS handing me a bit of a triumph as accounts restated, Big Dish (DISH) - which I expose for lying and mugging poor old Malcolm Stacey HERE - have some folks no shame? I also look at Kier (KIE) and Thomas Cook (TCG).
I suggested selling Thomas Cook (TCG) back in May at 13p and at 5p today the company is still valued at £75 million. Given Friday’s announcement of the inevitable debt for equity swap, which “is not the outcome any of us wanted for our shareholders”, this is still far too high as will become apparent when the details are released...
In today's podcast I cover Dev Clever (DEV), Yourgene (YGEN), Anglo African Oil & Gas (AAOG), Grand Vision Media (GVMH), Thomas Cook (TCG) and the bastard who sent me a lawyers letter as I carried my Uncle's Coffin.
I start with a few notes on tomorrow, logistics and the funeral of Uncle Chris Booker. Then it is onto Yourgene (YGEN), Thomas Cook (TCG), Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO), Amur Minerals (AMC), and the dog St James House (SJH) formerly known as the Boxhill hound.
#BoycottHomeDepot is trending on twitter in the US. If you are in the land of the free I urge you to do the reverse. In fact go buy an extra hammer for me today. Then I look at Thomas Cook (TCG), Sound Energy (SOU), Eve Sleep (EVE), the woes of my old friend Jim Mellon's SalvaRx (SALV), Union Jack Oil (UJO) and, in detail, at FinnCap (FCAP) whose results are out today. Mea culpa on Eve, it is actually worse...
Sorry for the late podcast but I have spent most of the day renovating another room in the Welsh Hovel. I may post some pictures later but it is far more entertaining than even writing about Neil Woodford's woes or Julie Meyer's lingerie. In today's podcast I look at Thomas Cook (TCG), Audioboom (BOOM), Kier (KIE), Staffline (STAF), Dev Clever (DEV) and the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT), where, of course, I remain a loyal shareholder. Ho. ho. ho.
A recording glitch. The hot rumour is at 20 minutes, ignore the gap beforehand. Elsewhere, I look at Neil Woodford, Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT), Eve Group (EVE), Xeros (XSG), RM2 (RM2), Hargreaves Lansdown (HL.), BlueJay (JAY), Thomas Cook (TCG) Agronomics (ANIC) and the sodomising of Mail on Sunday reader;s portfolios by prize shit Ben Harrington and at Avereso (ASO).
Obviously today's comedy regulatory news update came from Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT), but I will leave others to write on that piece of PR puffery... A couple of notches down on the regulatory news angst scale was the acknowledgement by recent dog Thomas Cook (TCG) that - as per weekend press comments - it is in takeover talks (with 18% shareholder Chinese conglomerate Fosun)…
Having sat on the fence for a while now, I have, somewhat belatedly, come off it and shorted a few Thomas Cook (TCG) at 13p. Last time I did this was in November 2011 when it was in a similar predicament but was bailed out by direct intervention from David Cameron, who effectively ordered the recently nationalised bankers not to pull the plug. Sadly, for shareholders this time round, I suspect that Theresa May has more on her plate right now than bailing out the company a second time...
In today's bearcast I look at Afriag (AFRI), Big Dave's UK pot play which - as you can see below - he is ramping shamelessly, at Management Resource Solutions (MRS), Eve Sleep (EVE), First Derivatives (FDP), Purplebricks (PURP) and Thomas Cook (TCG). Now re Rogue Bloggers we are now at almost £44,000 and heading towards our £50,000 target. If you are yet to donate please do so HERE. To all those who have donated, many, many thanks.
WARNING: Our apologies, this Bearcast has distorted sound from after ten minutes, when Tom recorded it. It is still audible. We'll try to fix it for tomorrow's Bearcast. I start with a short bit on the wild use of language and yes the trans "genocide" is my starting point. I look at IQE (IQE), Thomas Cook (TCG) and classic red flags - Eight Peaks Group (8PG), Yu (YU.), Bushveld (BMN) and Tesla (TSLA). If you have yet to donate to Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks (another announcement tomorrow), please do so HERE.
I did warn my pal Andrew Monk, as he greedily filled his boots with Thomas Cook (TCG) shares and for a time he looked smart. Now the stock has collapsed to just 10p but that still values the company at c£150 million. The bad news for Monkey and Chris “three brains “ Bailey, a fellow bull, is that this is likely to be a zero.
Like the complete investment sad-o that I am, I will be listening into today's GVC Holdings (GVC) capital markets day. You will recall I made the stock one of my two tips of the year and then the Chair and CEO stupidly dumped a bunch of stock which nobbled the share price. As discussed HERE, I decided to remain a believer and channelled my inner Peter Lynch in deciding that they were foolish but not rotten as the only real guide to director views is buying more stock with cold hard cash. Well the shares have recovered a little since and judging by the tone of today's pre-capital markets day blurb, life remains opportunistic…
As I write it is beautiful staycation weather outside which is wonderful news for many but potentially not so good for travel names such as Thomas Cook (TCG) which are focused almost exclusively on sending holidaymakers to foreign climes. Of course I have spoken about the company before - and my February call was looking downright shabby, even if there has been a touch of moving away from a Brexit cliff edge (the Halloween postponement) which has aided some of my other travel sector plays such as easyJet (EZJ) over the last week or two.
The tweet below is self explanatory. What on earth is Thomas Cook (TCG) thinking?
Travel operators TUI AG (TUI) and Thomas Cook Group (TCG) both featured in the top five most frequently tipped companies over the last seven days in a busy week for trading updates. Homebuilders Barratt Developments (BDEV) and RedRow (RDW) also received an influx of tips after both released interim results, while there was increased tip activity for GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) and Smith & Nephew (SN.).
I made a brave positive call on Thomas Cook (TCG) in late November after its share price shocker, noting that: 'The stock is cheap (less than 4 times EV/ebit) but clearly not without risk. Would I roll the dice here as a 2019 punt wrapped up in politics and climate realities? You know - rather than buying one of its holidays - just maybe I would given the range of assets'...
I imagine many readers are thinking about holidays at the moment, be it planned Christmas breaks or something in 2019. I see that TUI (TUI) shares are up 5% today as the company not only confirms a 10% rise in 2018 earnings but also gives guidance for 2019 for a similar proportional increase. Well...
Several people have asked me about Thomas Cook (TCG) recently where there is certainly an element of déjà vu from seven years ago. I was short then on the basis that the company was insolvent and was waiting patiently for the shares to go from 10p to zero...
In today's bearcast I start with an explanation about how the share price of FinnCrap (FCAP) is just articifial. I then look at ImageScan (IGE) which is not a bad company but why is it on AIM? Then onto Thomas Cook (TCG) and also Audioboom (BUST). In the case of the former my old pal Andrew Monk of VSA is just naive. I suggest he should be a spiv and sell.
I start with the news about the olive harvest. When you get the full financial report you will laugh. I almost did. I am almost tempted to get Neil Woodford to invest in it. Then I discuss Thomas Cook (TCG), Audioboom (BUST) and Tekmar (TGP), another disastrous IPO on the AIM Casino. I also discuss the battle between the metropolitan elites and the rest of us ref. France, but also the UK and Brexit.
A number of trading updates caught the eye this week, but perhaps none more so than Greggs (GRG) and Thomas Cook (TCG). In terms of market reception, the two couldn’t be more different; while shares in Greggs soared, the price of Thomas Cook shares plummeted. In this week’s issue we cover current tipster and broker sentiment towards both UK firms.
I am back at the Greek Hovel and the noise outside is quite unbelievably torrential rain. I discuss the weather and how stunning the Hovel now looks. Photos are starting to go up HERE on TomWinnifrith.com. I look at Optibiotix (OPTI) and today's stunning news. Cynical Bear needs to get ready to send me another bottle of ouzo. I look at Xeros (XSG), Thomas Cook (TCG) and Telit (TCM) where the clock is ticking ever louder. I have a few more words on the IPO of FinnCrap.
The stock market can be a cruel mistress and whilst I am enjoying a celebratory sausage roll due to the strong trading update from Greggs (GRG), Thomas Cook (TCG) has disclosed more local difficulties...with a second profits warning in about two months…
I read in the Sunday press today that Club 18-30 is to close. Even during the mooted target age range, i had zero interest in going on one of its holidays and the only reason I am talking about it now is that the brand is amazingly currently owned by the staid old travel company Thomas Cook (TCG).
There is nothing like a bunch of regulatory news statements in the morning to get your blood pumping...although I guess a profit warning or so is never good for the heart...or the bank balance. Anyhow the cardiac and fiscal resuscitation units were on standby earlier as three names that have disappointed me at various times in recent months updated the market.
After my package holiday confessional contained within my last write-up on holiday company Thomas Cook (TCG) three months ago, I am keeping up my differentiated holiday strategy by heading off to west Wales during part of the upcoming half-term holiday break at the end of the month. Suffice to say west Wales does not figure in any of Thomas Cook's advertising...
Despite the multitude of cheesy ads on the TV begging us to book a holiday I use this regular slot for yet another confession: I have never been on a package holiday. To be honest, I doubt if I ever will...but fortunately the UK economy rolls on consumption preferences far different than my own. Which brings us to the recent comments by both Thomas Cook (TCG) and TUI (TUI), both big players in the travel market.
Hello Share Crushers. I’ve long held that travel operators are not an ideal choice for investment these days. This is based on the view that as people become more internet savvy, they see the economies of arranging their own holidays - thus eliminating the middle man. This makes it very hard to attain growth, and that’s what really drives share prices. And there are now other concerns on the horizon.
I don't feel like writing today. This is what i want to be doing. But ahead of that I start by clarifying what I think of Matt Lofgran of Nostra Terra (NTOG). Then I look at what happened to Plethora (PLE) and that explains in part why shares in Port Erin (PEBI) have tanked. Then I touch on Thomas Cook (TCG) and prepare for ouzo o'clock when Environmental Recycling (ENRT) goes bust as I explained yesterday. Following that piece the shares are the biggest fallers today. Finally I have a warning for shareholders in African Potash (AFPO). Incoming! That is when I can be arsed.
Bit of a Super Thursday in terms of the magnitude of results but the one that really caught my attention was Thomas Cook (TCG). 19%+ share price falls – at the time of writing - tend to do this. Of course the reason for this plunge off the diving board is the profits woopsie slipped in a few paragraphs into today’s first half update. And the reason? In a word: ‘Turkey’.
Hello Share Swooners. I've been saying that the pre-Christmas affect on shares would influence some stocks more than others. Among the possible winners, I thought were holiday purveyors. Coming to mind were Tui (TUI), Thomas Cook (TCG) and Carnival (CCL) the big cruising firm.
Recent months have proved to be intriguing as far as Thomas Cook (TCG) shares have been concerned on many levels, the technicals, the fundamentals and as far as market sentiment have been concerned.