Although the S&P 500 index is still around all time highs, there have been some savage declines of late in certain names and 275 stocks are lower now than they were six months ago. This suggests to me that the health of the US markets is much more fragile and precarious than the level of the three main indices implies.
Like the complete weirdo I am, I do like doing a bit of sector research now and again. I do find it strange that whilst fundamental caution towards fixed income markets still makes a lot of sense, technical (rather than fundamental) bullishness for equity markets seems to have become more important. Typically active management and fundamental investment rationales are akin to one another, as is passive management and technical investment preferences. And then I read that more investors now believe that the S&P 500 – by the end of the year – will not only hit a number of all-time highs above the level achieved in 2017 (62 all-time highs) but also the all-time high of 77 achieved in 1995. No doubt too many of such people are overly excited by Tesla’s market cap reaching $1 trillion and tripling this (or more!) by the end of the decade. As if. Anyhow, back onto stocks I really care about. Three names my pension fund owns have reported today and – very nicely – all are doing rather well (and I think there is more to come).
Remember Drive Software? This was, according to Julie” lingerie on expenses” Meyer, going to be Tesla meets Fitbit. More like British Leyland meets Enron. Accounts for the year to March 31 2021 are out and are a car crash.
No doubt this will be deemed misogyny, but Cathie is one hell of a dumb bint. She is the fund manager who reckons, based on piss poor analysis, that Tesla (TSLA) is worth $3000 and it is by far the biggest holding in her Ark Fund which you can and should short aggressively. Her fund also holds shed loads of illiquid shit and so has the potential to be Neil Woodford on steroids. But here is a tweet which shows that Wood makes Woodford look like Einstein.
Suddenly we dinosaurs who did not understand why a worthless piece of code, which was inherently vulnerable to substitution by other worthless but cheaper pieces of code, was so valuable don’t look quite so dumb. Bitcoin is down by 18% at sub $35,000 having been $64,870 just four weeks ago. This time it is not the prick Elon Musk to blame, the bubble today is being pricked by China.
We are now well over £30,000 (with gift aid) for Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks so that is 70% of our target – if you are yet to donate, please do so HERE. In the podcast, I discuss MyHeathChecked (MHC), Zoetic (ZOE), bitcoin, Tesla (TSLA) and Argo Blockchain (ARB).
After part one of the Musk pump and dump and then volte-face on bitcoin, the great fraudster faced the problem that Tesla (TSLA) was still sitting on around half of the $1.5 billion of bitcoin it had bought to great fanfare in February. But this bitcoin is dirty and environmentally tainted said the great green auto-maker – what to do with it?
I start with the frustrations of a visit to Tesco (TSCO) Wrexham. Piss poor customer service. Then I look at Manolete (MANO) where I smell more trouble ahead. Then I move onto bull market madness and how it will end in tears for my mother-in-law, Elon Musk, Tesla, Bitcoin, Jonathan Bixby, Mike Edwards, NFT Investments, Clarify Pharma, Argo Blockchain (ARB), Novum Securities and Uncle Tom Cobley and all.
Some of us have pointed out for a good while that mining cryptocurrencies consumes enormous amounts of electricity and if you are into all of that global warming green shite, which I am not, then you should not be going near bitcoin. It seems that having ramped bitcoin and crypto, Elon Musk has finally noticed this too.
It has been an excitable week for global markets and certainly anyone (foolishly) heavily weighted in technology and related stocks has not had much fun. For example, it has been fascinating to watch the performance shocker currently being suffered by a leading female US fund manager, Cathie Wood, who a few months ago was being presented as a multi-year genius. Personally, I am still far from convinced that having Tesla as one’s biggest position by a mile is even moderately sensible. Anyhow – and certainly by late yesterday or earlier today – there were plenty of genuine panickers out there. And what do I think?
For Ms Lingerie on Expenses MBE things go from bad to worse. As the FCA Criminal Investigation into her alleged misuse of client funds cranks up, as demonstrated HERE, at Drive Software, the company she owns and claimed was Tesla meets Fitbit, it looks ever bleaker with a crash landing in tits up alley now only a matter of time.
We have seen this sort of time in history before but it is rare. Elon Musk has just filed with the SEC to change his job title to “Techno-king Tesla”. His FD is now “Master of Coin”. These guys are smoking their own bullshit. And bullshit it is because Musk is an industrial scale liar but, for now, the faithful do not care.
As ever there will be folks writing off 90 year old Warren and his 97 year old business partner Charlie Munger. Berkshire Hathaway underperformed the S&P in 2020 as it did in 2019. But since 1965 it has delivered an annual return of just over 20%, the S&P just over 10%. The man is a genius and does not hold back. His top quote this year is:
I start with Tesla (TSLA) and a mad broker target. I discuss why it is mad and look back to ARM in the year 2000. Then it is onto plans to allow companies to delay results even more. Mentioned en passant here are Pires Holdings (PIRI) and Inspirit (INSP). Finally I turn to the idea of allowing folks to delay filing tax returns and paying tax.
Today’s expose of Iconic (ICON) is shocking and shows that Dave Sefton is again getting shareholders in a PLC to takle the equity risk for his private ventures. I explain the pattern and what Damon Heath at Shard Capital needs to do about this on Monday. This has got to stop now. Then I look at the religious cult members Evil is tackling with his Tesla short and how it will play out. I start with my act of lockdown defiance today which has confifrmed to daughter Olaf what a boring old man I have become.
I refer to Elon Musk vs my friend Evil Knievil and so far, I am sad to report, the forces of light and truth, that is to say EK, are half a Bernie down and Tesla’s Elon is drowning in filthy lucre. I consider life in the year 2000 and today’s bull market madness. I look at Plutus Powergen (PPG), MyHealthChecked (MHC), Grafenia (GRA), BigDish (DISH) and Eurasia Mining (EUA asking if the regulators will ever force it to make a statement.
Phew – that was quite a week! Having posted yet another all-time high on Wednesday, the Nasdaq went into a mini-meltdown and dragged the DOW and the S&P with it, albeit to a much lesser extent. Even Bitcoin felt the wobbles as it closed the week at a shade over $10,000 having notched up almost $12,000 during the week. But as I sit here on the veranda of my log-cabin gazing out into the woods (where my secret stash of Gold is buried) it was a week of relative peace: it went up to just shy of $2,000 per oz and closed the week at $1935. Crisis? What crisis?
Cripes! This is beginning to make Tesla look like a deep down value play! There were, when I stopped counting at just before 5 yesterday, more than 150 posts on the ADVFN Bulletin Board. All ramptastic nonsense but as of now Supply@ME Capital (SYME) is the biggest riser in London at 0.315p and is valued at £69 million. It is worth NOTHING. Please remember 4 key facts:
The most read non-Tom article this week is Gold ends Q2 on a high, Centamin, Ariana and a breakout? by Nigel Somerville is at fantastic number four or number 11 including Bearcasts and Tom's new shareshow.
After wirecast who is next to topple? How about Elon Musk's Tesla?
It is self-evident that stop losses are important, particularly when it comes to short selling where potential losses are infinite but I have always set the limit high with obviously bust companies and been relatively relaxed when they have moved against me, as it is usually an opportunity to sell more...
The FCA investigation into her antics at Ariadne Capital continues but there is no stopping Julie “Lingerie on expenses” Meyer who is now seeking to dominate the world of fleet logistics. A gushing interview in that must read publication Fleet News tells her exciting story, or rather does not.
I had a long chat with Lucian Miers who is right now in Cambodia ( cue cheap Gary Glitter jokes from morons on ADVFN). We discussed coronavirus and the state of the markets. What to buy in the FTSE 100 and his shorts: De la Rue (DLAR), Versarien (VRS), Easyjet (EZJ), IQE (IQE), Apple, Tesla and Purplebricks (PURP) and also the ethics of bailouts and what Governments will be allowed to do., I also comment on Finablr (FIN) and panic selling in Big Sofa (BST)
My guest in this week's show which is sponsored by Open Orphan PLC (ORPH) is my old pal, the Dark Destroyer Matt Earl. We discuss how a bear can make money in this market, Tesla (TSLA), NMC Health (NMC), Finablr (FIN), Burford (BUR), IQE (IQE) and in real detail Mark Slater, Sam Antar and Future (FUTR) in the wake of Matt's bombshell dossier of last week. If you like this podcast and can't wait seven days for more of the same and are tired of being a cheapskate you should listen to my Bearcast every day.
Excluding ShareProphets radio 23, the most read non-Tom article this week is Hurricane Energy – More bad news by the new boy, Peter Brailey.He's on at a respectable #4 or #12 if you include Bearcasts.
In today's podcast, interrupted by the pest Lucian, I look at Chris Akers and what he knows about Dev Clever (DEV), at Versarien (VRS) and an RNS from February 2017 which I urge its hapless Nomad Bobbie Hilliam at Canaccord to consider carefully as his client runs out of money again, at Andalas (ADL), Eurasia (EUA) and Tesla (TSLA). I consider the woes of Bidstack (BIDS) and a company with even less money, the curious trading statement from Zoetic (ZOE) and then do the maths, again, on UK Oil & Gas (UKOG).
Investors love to look for signs of markets tops, a difficult task, except in hindsight. A favourite of the GFC of 2008 was the infamous comment by Citigroup’s Chuck Prince in July 2007; “As long as the music is playing you have to get up and dance." Now we have another Prince, this time Bob, co CIO of Bridgewater, who proclaimed at Davos the other day that we have seen the end of the boom bust cycle (remember the great Gordon Brown saying much the same in 2007?)...
My guest in this week's show which is sponsored by Open Orphan PLC (ORPH) is my old pal, the Godfather of my son, the Bard of the Boleyn, Mr Lucian Miers. We discuss how a bear can make money in this market, Tesla (TSLA), Versarien (VRS), NMC Health (NMC), Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks (please do sponsor us HERE), AFC Energy (AFC), Vast Resources (VAST), Finablr (FIN) and much more including a few of Lucian's top US shorts. I also have a question about those who invest in frauds and who harass me and my family. If you are such a troll maybe you can enlighten me? If you like this podcast and can't wait seven days for more of the same and are tired of being a cheapskate you should listen to my Bearcast every day.
This month has been the opposite of December 2018 which saw a steep decline on Christmas Eve which marked a year low on Wall St. Now we are seeing new all-time highs posted practically every day. Even the derided stock markets of Europe and the UK - as represented by the FTSE 250 - are at or near all-time highs…
A day of travel adventures. I recount my breakdown last night, an angelic lorry driver and how I ended up on Nigel Somerville's sofa. Meanwhile Darren Atwater is leaving the UK but not ShareProphets. Then I look at utter lunacy from a "woke" FRC and inept Business Secretary Andrea Loathsome. Then it is onto Neil's sacking from Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT), what it means for the Trust and how it will help him hide another £25 million personal windfall gain. I cover Tesla (TSLA) as the bears are squeezed by book cooking. Finally a look at the murky death spiral announced by Vast Resources (VAST).
Just one guest in this week's show, which is sponsored by Yorkville, the bear raider Lucian Miers who has been doing due diligence at the coal face on the cannabis market. We discuss pot stocks and GW Pharma (GWP) in particular, the We Work flop and its macro significance, Versarien (VRS), Sirius (SXX), Tesla (TSLA), Purplebricks (PURP) and Greggs (GRG).If you like this and can't wait seven days for more of the same you should listen to my Bearcast every day.
Right now, we're number seven by GDP in the world economy leaderboard. By 2030, we'll be far down the list and number seven will be taken by Egypt. This is a prevocative prediction for only 11 years.
I reflect on the annoversary of 9/11. I ponder points raised in today's ShareProphets radio show with Carson Block and Anthony Laiker about bull market complacency to fraud. In that vein I use Tesla (TSLA) and the legal case below as a case study. I look at Neil Woodford's latest £12.5 million woes answering reader feedback. I look at Catennae (CTEA), Riverfort Global Opportunities (RGO) and my pal Jim Mellon's Fast Forward (FFWD). I also comment on the latest Burford (BUR) news.
In this fifth edition of the ShareProphets Radio podcast sponsored by Riverfort Global Capital, this week, in order I discuss the morality of short selling or writing bearish articles, I interview a saint ( well in stockmarket terms) Malcolm Stacey who though a moral man is highly opininiated and has a tip or two, then I discuss Burford (BUR) then it is part two of the Sam Antar interview in which the king of the fraudsters looks at today's fraudsters, Elon Musk & Tesla, AliBaba, we cover Burford and useless accountants and so much more. Enjoy. If you like this and can't wait seven days for more of the same you should listen to my Bearcast every day.
Once again, please excuse my croaky voice. In this second edition of the ShareProphets Radio podcast sponsored by Riverfort Global Capital, this week, in order I discuss the cowardice of a well known AIM CEO, interview bear raider Lucian Miers on a wide range of subjects including Tesla, Neil Woodford and WPCT, IQE, Purplebricks, UK Oil & Gas, Thomas Cook and cannabis, I then interview value blue chip investor Chris Bailey on, inter alia, Tesla, EasyJet, Imperial Brands, Woodford, Burberry, Dignity, and St James Place. Enjoy. If you like this and can't wait seven days for more of the same you should listen to my Bearcast every day.
On Wednesday evening Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) passed another important milestone on the road to bankruptcy by showing that even with record deliveries of 95,000 vehicles in Q2 it is incapable of making money. Having promised in Q3 last year that the company would be profitable from now on-in and not require further funding, having raised $2.4 billion in May, it has now racked up losses of $1.3 billion in the first six months of the year. The departure of the last remaining grown up, co-founder JB Straubel, who has been selling stock all year, is also cause for grave concern...
In today's podcast I look at Dev Clever (DEV), Tesla (TSLA), Mothercare (MTC), Versarien (VRS) and Block Energy (BLOE). Enjoy.
A week ago I emerged blurry eyed at Heathrow off an overnight from San Francisco. Actually, I say overnight but in reality with the time difference it was more like I lost a full day. I guess I gained it all on the way there... Anyhow I had been lurking in Silicon Valley for a few days, meeting a few people and customers in order to try to get a handle on things. Yes, i was almost back to my old professional fund manager mindset.
I have spent much of the last few days in California, mostly in Silicon Valley, on the final part of a global research and related tour. And very interesting it was too. Another time I will maybe share a few of the individual share insights from the company level interactions I had with names such as Tesla (TSLA), Alphabet/Google (GOOGL) and Apple (AAPL), but today's missive is just me starting to tidy up a few loose ends from the UK markets from the last two or three days.
On a recent podcast, @TeslaCharts, a prominent and distinguished member of the Tesla (NASDAQ - TSLA) bear community on twitter known as $TSLAQ, described the ingredients needed for the Tesla phenomenon as the Barbershop Quartet, which I thought aptly describes not just Tesla but the investment climate which we have, until recently, taken for granted...
WARNING: Our apologies, this Bearcast has distorted sound from after ten minutes, when Tom recorded it. It is still audible. We'll try to fix it for tomorrow's Bearcast. I start with a short bit on the wild use of language and yes the trans "genocide" is my starting point. I look at IQE (IQE), Thomas Cook (TCG) and classic red flags - Eight Peaks Group (8PG), Yu (YU.), Bushveld (BMN) and Tesla (TSLA). If you have yet to donate to Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks (another announcement tomorrow), please do so HERE.
This column is being compiled in North East Scotland, where for a fine early May bank holiday, ihave brought my winter coat, long underwear, and waterproof boots. Such is spring in Aberdeenshire.
I have spoken about Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) at the last two UK Investor Shows and written about it extensively as a once in a generation short opportunity. Given that it is probably the most covered and talked about stock in the world, I do not propose to continue writing about it for a while but do make the following observations after its Q1 release on Wednesday…
The horrendous Q1 delivery numbers from Tesla (NASDAQ - TSLA) should have finally buried the growth story for all but the die hard believers and the focus now should move on to when it has to raise capital or file for bankruptcy…
Bears often pigeonhole duff companies as frauds, fads or failures as if they belong in one or other of these distinct categories. The truth is that quite often a fad resorts to fraud when it realises that it is a failure. The most obvious example of this right now is Tesla. But there are others.
I speculated previously about what might be the catalyst for the great Tesla (NASDAQ - TSLA) unravel and since then I believe we may have seen it...
The resilience of the Tesla (NASDAQ - TSLA) share price in the weeks since its Q4 earnings release is nothing short of astonishing...
The year to date has not provided a very promising backdrop for bears. I - like many others - am intensely irritated by Donald Trump’s obsession with the level of the US market and his clearly seeing it as a barometer for his own genius. When he claimed late last year that the fourth quarter sell off was a blip and a buying opportunity I waited with grim satisfaction for the rude awakening that was sure to follow...
As an, uneventful by recent standards, Tesla (NASDAQ - TSLA) quarterly earnings call came to an end last night, Elon Musk came up with the following, as if it were an afterthought; “Um yeah…the um….Deepak is going to be retiring from Tesla”...
In the old days ( i.e only three years ago) the BBC pension fund was invested, as it should have been in safe dividend plays like BP, Shell and BAT Industries. But that sort of portfolio played badly with the uber politically correct state funded broadcaster. So its all change. The new top 20 holdings as at 31 March 2018 are below.
Make sure your kids do not listen to this podcast. Today I cover the latest bonkers idea from Malcolm Stacey, NetFlix (NFLX), tesla (TSLA), IQE (IQE), Dods (DODS), Flybe (FLYB) and Totally (TLY). I also explain why I am even more of a f*cking feminist than before, as of today.
I explain the headline ion the podcast but it is all to do with Anglo African Oil & Gas (AAOG) and UK Investor Show - book your free ticket for March 30 today HERE. I explain why Old man Stacey really has lost the plot on Brexit, he needs to look at what is happening in China and that will make him truly fearful. I look at Tesla (TSLA) and UK Oil & Gas (UKOG).
Most material on twitter is unadulterated junk. But there is the odd gem. In the case of Tesla (TSLA) where the sell side analysts are all paid bulls, some of the best insight is on twitter. Like Lucian Miers, I regard this company as an accident, no an outright car crash, just waiting to happen. In that vein I bring you a most instructive series of tweets yesterday from @Polixines13 who knows his or her onions.
My 2018 bear tip at the UK investor show was Tesla so apologies for that. It is ,however, rather looking like the ten year bull market may be coming to an end and stocks that are vulnerable are over leveraged names with refinancings coming due and crazy valuations. So I am going to stick my neck out and predict that 2019 is the year that Musk finally gets his comeuppance. The shares are now $317.
I was amused to see some ShareProphets detractors on Twitter comment on Lucian Miers' correction to a detail on his Versarian (VRS) short. (Myself, I'm long with Versarian with around ten entire shares in my portfolio.)
The recent market turmoil has seen some decent gains for those who have been predominantly bearish for a while in the face of an unprecedented bull market. Buying the dips, a wildly successful strategy for the last ten years, suddenly doesn’t feel so clever. My own view as to whether this time might be different was to look at the world’s favourite stock Apple (NASDAQ - AAPL) and see if it would lose its trillion-dollar market cap and then some. That to me would be a signal that the selloff has legs. That has now happened, and I believe that the long overdue reality check has started and is by no means over.
In today's podcast I look at Purplebricks (PURP) and whether Neil Woodford is going nutso, Tesla (TSLA), RPS Group (RPS), Debenhams (DEB) and Feedback (FDBK)
I note a report in the Times which tells us that US hedgie Greenlight Capital has been building a stake in BT (BT.A) with a view to pushing for the sale of Openreach. ShareProphets readers may also be interested to note that Greenlight and its head honcho Mr David Einhorn have been in the news recently as a bear of Tesla – so since it short a stock I don’t like and long one that I do obviously I take the view that this is a genius outfit!
From military exercises to trade wars, the fury is intensifying. At the same time, global liquidity is compressing while rates are rising. Growing uncertainty, contracting liquidity & rising cost of capital will continue to place non-US assets (and in particular EMs) in the crosshairs.
US fund manager David Einhorn is having a fairly dismal 2018 but his long term record is good and his biggest short, Tesla (TSLA) is paying off. In his latest missive to investors he compared pothead liar Elon Musk's fraud to Lehman Brothers. Can you really argue with a word he says?
In today's podcast I discuss the latest news from Elon Musk and Tesla (TSLA) and why it is still a short, Theresa May trying to woo the wrong businessmen, gender pay gap bollocks in the Mail on Sunday and the theft Bulletin Board Morons approve of and ADVFN (AFN) cuts its own throat by not tackling, copyright theft.
Having demanded we bring back this contest, once again, Juicin Drumroll failed to win last week but he came second and tried very hard as you can see HERE. So he is clearly desperate to win a semi naked photo of Britain's leading share blogger before lunchtime, Thirsty Paul Scott. So we will give him a sixth and final chance. Can anyone stop Juicin from winning this week? Okay here is the challenge for you all:
I am extending the Premaitha (NIPT) session at the 16th October UK investor event in London to allow an extended Q&A as I want folks to really grill the company. I shall. You can register and please do so HERE but hurry as the event is already 70% booked out! In this podcast I look at what really happened yesterday and why it shows the City in such a dreadful light. I also look at Tesla (TSLA) and Elon Musk where things go from bad to worse and at new US data and UK house prices.
In today's bearcast I look at Brexit and house prices, a celeb tipping Tesla (TSLA) and the nonsense MP Rachael Reeves talks about executive "fat cat" pay.
In this podcast I look at the EU's shameful treatment of the wretched Theresa May, it insults her but also the UK. Do we really want to be part of such a club. I look at warrants handed out by Kefi Minerals (KEFI) as it appointed shamed and disgraced SP Angel as its joint broker and I discuss how proven liar Elon Musk will cook the Tesla (TSLA) Q3 books and how that will play out.
In today's podcast I discuss the moral bankruptcy of Naz Shah MP and her comments on Non Invasive Pregnancy Tests, yes Premaitha (NIPT). I look at Tesla (TSLA) and the lessons from women's knickers, at Kefi (KEFI), Frontera (FRR) and the credibility test vs Yorkville, Derriston (DERR) and explain to some folks, I fear it is in house BBM Wildes, what a DCF model involves and why it is used, ref RedT (RED)
Having demanded we bring back this contest, once again, Juicin Drumroll failed to win last week and so for the fourth time the semi naked photo of Britain's top share blogger before lunchtime, thirsty Paul Scott, went elsewhere. Come on Juicin this contest is for you please try harder....if you don't win this week we are dropping it.
First I look at m ore evidence of naughtiness at Tesla (TSLA) as the pithead Elon Musk struggles to make good on his pledge to be Q3 cashflow positive. Then I discuss insider dealing. I think I was an insider but am not sure but could have made a killing on one stock over the past fortnight but I sense others have been less scrupulous than I have been. I discuss how this all happens and and why it is not a victimless crime and what should be done.
In this podcast, my last from the Greek Hovel for some weeks, I discuss the delusions of David Lenigas, Tesla pot head Elon Musk and our own in-house Bulletin Board Moron Wildes in a tag team combo with the Archbishop of Canterbury. Who is most deluded? I have the answer and explain why.
Still smarting from being accused of “confirmation bias” the other week on Tesla (ie wilfully ignoring the other side of the argument), I donned my rosy tinted specs while reading the Telit (TCM) interims.
It seems that after just a month in situe the chief bean counter for the fraudsters who run Tesla (TSLA) has decided that he’d rather not earn $10 million and has quit. A great American company is in trouble and there is only one man who can save it. Today we launch a campaign to draft in Sam Antar as the new CFO of Tesla and if you are on twitter here’s how you can help.
Having demanded we bring back this contest, once again, Juicin Drumroll failed to win last week and so for the third time the semi naked photo of Britain's top share blogger before lunchtime, thirsty Paul Scott, went elsewhere. Come on Juicin this contest is for you please try harder....
I start with a few thoughts on just how wonderful it is up here at the Greek Hovel, truly it is peaceful and heavenly. Then a thank you for your kind emails and comments on poor Oakley. Then this podcast takes an in depth look at Telit (TCM), run by insider dealer Yosi Fait, after its interims yesterday and at Tesla (TSLA) run by nutso market abuser Elon Musk after his latest outburst.
Having demanded we bring back this contest, once again Juicin Drumroll fails to win with his nomination. Come on Juicin, we are doing this for you, please try harder. This week's winner of a semi naked photo of Britain's top share blogger, before lunchtime, Thirsty Paul Scott, is Daniel Victor. You can see all the entries HERE but Daniel's winning entry, from twitter, is from a Tesla loon:
It’s looking increasingly like Elon Musk’s go private “funding secured” tweet on the 7th August has backfired horribly as Tesla (NASDAQ - TSLA) now trades $40 below the prevailing price before he sent it. I was recently accused of confirmation bias on Tesla, i.e. of looking only at the bear case and ignoring the positives but it is difficult post-tweet to find any bullish case that holds water.
Natch the news came not via an official statement but via a blog post at 11 PM, no-one is watching o'clock. Musk is a slam dunk for jail, the rest of the Tesla (US:TSLA) board may join him, and Tesla is finished, it could well be a zero. All is explained in my latest podcast.
In today's podcast i look at tweets from Big Dave Lenigas which at every level would, in the US, see him heading for the cell next to the one being prepared for Tesla's Elon Musk. He just cannot substantiate what he is saying. I then look at Pantheon Resources (PANR), have a question about May 25 2019 and the Horse Hill Woodlarks walk, at Condor Gold (CNR), one of Jim Mellon's dogs, at Imaginatik (IMTK) at what price would I buy for Vin Murria? Finally there is a detailed look at Marechale Capital (MAC) a true AIM Casino POS. The goat milking video to which I refer is HERE and the latest Hovel photos are HERE
A man who slammed Elon Musk of Tesla for making irresponsible statements that he could not validate via twitter has just made the most ramptastic claim in history about the Gatwick Gusher. Step forward David Lenigas. Without extensive drilling which has yet to take place Big Dave Lenigas cannot justify this statement in any way shape or form. But apparently the Russians are quaking that little old UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) is going to transform the metrics of global oil supply... whatever...
What I am looking from you this week, dear reader, are blurbs that I can use to promote subscriptions to ShareProphets. If you have found ShareProphets valuable, would you be so kind as to write a one-liner in the comments that I can put on the subscription page to knock over those on the fence?
I don’t propose to dwell on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) today as it is in danger of becoming an obsession to me, as to many others. Suffice it to say that what was shaping up to be a pretty disastrous trade is looking a lot less serious and it is now clear that Musk’s claim to have funding secured for a take-private deal at $420 per share was wide of the mark to put it mildly.
In today's bearcast I explain a few flaws in today's article HERE by Malcolm Stacey on Brexit and shares. And why, for once, Donald Trump calls it wrong when he says companies should report less often. Then I take on Mr James Bowden of Stockemndation after his latest article HERE -why brokers and newspapers are to be ignored when they say BUY. Finally Tesla and Elon Musk, I look at the latest developments at Musk's clear mental breakdown (I should know about it, but it was six years ago for me) and at why Tesla could be a zero and far faster than folks think.
As we all know, David Lenigas is the high priest of ethical tweeting, never tweeting anything that could not be fully verified and as such he is the ideal man to call out Elon Musk for his sins. Next up, the Pope tells the BBC to get its house in order over sex abuse scandals...
Last week was not ideal for those short of Tesla (US - TSLA) after that tweet announcing the potential biggest take private deal in history. Nothing now surprises me with this company and, also having been a victim of the Autonomy-Hewlett Packard debacle seven years ago, I am wary to dismiss the possibility of a deal out of hand. But as the week closed without any further details emerging, it is looking increasingly likely to me that the funding might not be “secured” as claimed.
China has the world’s most overleveraged, fragile financial system. In 2008, China’s total debt-to-GDP was 140%. It is now roughly 300%, while GDP is slowing. The economy is held together by capital controls. If those fail, the whole system fails. The capital flight in 2015/16 cost the government $1trln in reserves, and that was with ultra-dove Yellen in charge. Imagine what would have happened with Volcker at the helm.
In this podcast I look back of the events of the past week at Tesla, what it says about the state of the stockmarket and the wider market cycle and specifically about the state of mind of Elon Musk. is he certifiable or a genius holding a hand of Aces we do not know about? Or just so desperate he will do anything to keep the show on the road for a little bit longer?
Some house business: bulletin board moron of the week has returned. We ceased this long-running column earlier in the year when we had successfully cleared all bulletiin boards of all morons. But they have oozed back and it is time for you to take out the trash.
In today's podcast I recount last night's suffering HERE but have a revenge on a millennial daughter involving Paddy Leigh Fermor planned for tonight. I look at House of Fraser going into administration, assisted by the Government, and what it means. I discuss the latest Tesla news, the issue of all sorts of market abuse and why nothing happens, Oilex (OEX) and ProPhotonix (PPIX) which really should not be on AIM at all.
In this podcast I cover Tesla (TSLA) which is curiouser and curiouser, Optibiotix (OPTI) and the parasitic vampire that is ADVFN (AFN), Great Western Mining (GWMO), Toople (TOOP), Angus Energy (ANGS), the Brockham Well, UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) anmd its latest despicable smear c/o yellow journalists at The Daily Mail and cheered on by the vermin paid share rampers of LSE Share Talk
Yesterday started badly for the bears when it emerged c/o the FT that the Saudi Sovereign Wealth Fund had built up a stake of 3-5% in Tesla (US:TSLA) via market purchases. It then got worse as CEO Elon Musk tweeted, yes tweeted rather than announcing via a formal announcement, that he was considering taking the company private at $420 a share and had funding.
On Thursday, shares in Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) rose to levels not seen since June, as the market reacted favourably to its Q2 numbers and the subsequent earnings call.
Tesla (NASDAQ - TSLA) reports Q2 numbers after the close on Wednesday and after Elon Musk’s bizarre performance on the Q1 earnings call, this one is likely to be box office. Far from learning from that meltdown back in May, his behaviour since has been even more erratic - with his spiteful reference on twitter to the British diver involved in the Thai cave rescue as “that pedo guy” and, more recently, his contacting the boss of a vociferous critic on twitter “Montana Skeptic”, with threats of legal action.
Ask a high quality fraudster like Sam Antar how to deal with critics in the media or on wall Street? It is easy. Do not give them the oxygen of publicity, ignore them and focus on what really matters: committing fraud. But Elon Musk of Tesla has a problem. To keep his cash guzzling baby Tesla going he needs to raise fresh debt and.or equity so tumbling bond and share prices matter and you can tell Elon is panicking. His latest outbursts show that. as you can see below.
The great news is that our Woodlarks walk has now reached 57% of its sponsorship target. I'll do another training walk this afternoon with Joshua so as we do a quick march how about you check out the latest incredibly generous donations here and chip in yourself? In a long bearcast I cover Tesla (US:TSLA), Fishing Republic (FISH), Kibo (KIBO), UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) as lyin' Steve does the right thing - Frontera (FRR), Conroy Gold (CGNR), TrakM8 (TRAK), Avanti (AVN) and Cabot Energy (CAB). PS Wasn't the football incredibly exciting and a source of such joy? I view myself as British, not English but go on Eng-er-land!
Two months ago at the UK Investor Show, I tipped Tesla (US - TSLA) as my top short for 2018 at $300. The shares are now 11% higher than that having touched $370 in the interim, so my timing has not been great and for that I apologise. Nevertheless, I still believe that, despite it being a crowded trade, and despite the fact that Elon Musk still enjoys unquestioning support from his cult followers, the company faces existential threats which could overwhelm it in short order and it is therefore the right thing to maintain a short position.
On my 24 mile walk with Lucian - a bit of a disaster as the last five miles were unplanned and very painful as described here - we discussed Tesla, Tern and the stockmarket bubble. I ponder that and then discuss a total Blow Job splash for Neil Woodford in the Mail on Sunday, a disgraceful day for "journalism."
I record with Argentina and Iceland in the background on mute. Hell's teeth who on earth could support the fecking Argies? I explain the sheer torture Brokerman Dan Levi has in store for me in six weeks time and give him a reason to add to that. Andalas (ADL) is utterly worthless crap and his commentary on Friday and the statement that resulted utterly stinks. Anyhow consider how he will torture me as we walk 32 miles, feel sympathy and SPONSOR ME HERE. Then I look at Paul Scott winning an award for PR and at events at Theranos and Tesla.
In these benign markets, the word “catalyst” is heard frequently among bears. They may agree that they have found a real turkey, but fret about what specific event will engender a sudden loss of confidence and resultant share price fall. I suggested recently that a cash crunch is the most reliable catalyst for a correction, but it’s not that straightforward as demonstrated by two of my favourite shorts - Tesla (NASDAQ - TSLA) and Telit (TCM), both of which have traded sideways for a while.
As I write, Tesla (US - TSLA) at $305 has regained the level at which it was trading on Thursday when Musk lost the plot on the Q1 conference call, causing the price to drop 7% in minutes.
Whilst a number of big investors see warning signs ahead for markets but are holding their positions, Egyptian billionaire Naguib Sawiris is taking action: He’s put half of his $5.7 billion net worth into gold. He said in an interview last Monday that he believes gold prices will rally further, reaching $1,800 per ounce from just above $1,300 now, while “overvalued” stock markets crash. “In the end you have China and they will not stop consuming. And people also tend to go to gold during crises and we are full of crises right now,” Sawiris said at his office in Cairo overlooking the Nile. “Look at the Middle East and the rest of the world and Mr. Trump doesn’t help.”
And the next video is the bears with myself, the Dark Destroyer Matt Earl, the Bard of the Boleyn Lucian Miers and a cameo by Nigel Somerville on Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO). On the agenda Telit (TCM), Tesla (TSLA), Mitie (MTO), IQE (IQE), RM2 (RM2),Avanti Communications (AVN), AIQ (AIQ) and a good stack more.
One is, IMHO, a fraud and the other just has a looming cash crisis. Both faced real criticism last week - I discussed how they played and what happens next.
The lawyer's letter? I must keen you in suspense as I discuss with my lawyers how to respond so you can still vote on who sent it HERE. I also chatted today to Lucian about three slam dunk shorts: Telit (TCM), Purplebricks (PURP) and Tesla (TSLA). Or are they slam dunks? Might disbelief be suspended forever.? I then look at Photonstar Led (PSL) at Conroy Gold (CGNR) and at how AIM gives capitalism a bad name by not letting bust companies such as Andalas (ADL) fail.
The behaviour of Elon Musk, cult leader of Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), is becoming more and more eccentric and, in my view, unwise.
Shareholders saw fit to reward Musk the largest CEO pay package in the history of the world. This is precisely the type of behaviour that is only seen during periods of extreme irrationality when financial markets are at their peak… and poised for a serious correction.
In January I wrote that Tesla’s luck might be running out and suggested selling at $310 with a sub $100 target by Christmas. Having traded higher for most of February the shares closed last night at $254 where it is still massively overvalued at $43 billion.
Hat tip to Andrew Monk of VSA for spotting this paper from Hult Business School. It does give you food for thought. Certainly why would anyone invested in a heavily indebted business with bigg exposure to the carrying value of cars as we known them ( Northgate or BCA Marketplace for example) or the AA? Maybe Neil Woodford should read this and ponder before he buys any more shares in the AA or BCA?
Shares in MySquar (MYSQ) recently more than doubled valuing the disreputable Myanmar (Burma) play at around £22 million, a ludicrous sum for a transparent scam that stands out even when measured by the exalted standards of AIM.
I wrote a while back that Tesla (TSLA - NASDAQ) would be a cracking short if and when its shares break down below $300. They didn’t quite make it, rebounding sharply from $308. But the rally looks like it has run out of steam and they are heading south again.
Telit (TCM) shares zoomed by 30% yesterday back to 160p, almost the level before it emerged here that its founder and CEO Oozi Cats was in fact Uzi Katz, the Boston real estate fraudster and fugitive from US justice. The latest ramp is news that it might generate some sales from AT&T. Whoopie do.
I promised last week to go in to the numerous inconsistencies in the numbers presented by Purplebricks (PURP) but that is going to have to wait as this week’s story has got to be Telit (TCM).
I am not a great fan of shorting crazy valuations on the basis that they tend to get crazier. For this reason, I have not been short the likes of Fevertree (FEVR) or Purplebricks (PURP), as calling the top is well-nigh impossible.
Over recent years Warren Buffett has been hoarding dollars at a colossal rate. This was first really noticeable in August 2014. At that time, Buffett was holding about $50 billion and he was already 83 years old. Even then his hoard of dollars was already the largest of his entire career. But over the last three years this sum has swelled to $100 billion in size.
Private investors seem to be going mad for shares in anything involving lithium at the moment, in the same way as they were for oil and gas a few years back.
Gianni Kovacevic is driving a Tesla across the US and promoting his book, ‘My Electrician Drives a Porche’. Contrary to popular belief the car only takes 30 minutes to charge, on long term trips the Tesla takes no more time than a conventional car. The age of the electric car is finally upon us.
Firstly, as it is the season of goodwill and to celebrate the fact I managed to get to December 23rd without buying anyone a present, Bacanora Minerals is my stock to revisit. This is partly a tribute to the late, great David Lenigas, formerly the King of Aim. His abdication from the throne last week
If you want me to analyse a stock for you just drop me a line at sqmir@hotmail.com - Today I look at shares in Formation Group (FRM), Kennedy Ventures (KENV), Rare Earth Minerals (REM) setting share price targets for all three stocks.
In an email he recently sent Andrew Monk wrote: Now I know the idea of a Junior Mining company isn't most people’s cup of tea right now......but you need to think about this and see them. I'm telling you (and have been for a while) the battery world is coming and this is as big a change as the Internet and mobile phones and look at the returns that were made there.
