Bidstack (BIDS) has surprising news today of a new investor. Well: shit always attracts flies. Why would anyone buy shares in the market when the company’s FY results out just a few weeks ago explicitly warned of a looming cash crisis and need for an urgent equity refinance? Step forward Timmy Horlick, let me explain.
In today's podcast, I discuss the FTSE 100 sliding; bitcoin's crash; Coinbase; Online Blockchain (OBC); Argo Blockchain (ARB) and 3 questions Peter Wall MUST answer; Cellular Goods (CBX), where Wall today stepped down as chair (odd timing); Verditek (VDTK); the shame of Innovate UK and ex-footballer and NFT spiv, Michael Owen; Petropavlovsk (POG); and Versarien (VRS), where a cash crisis looms. Now, to brace myself: the mother-in-law will arrive at her new home in just a few hours.
Dragon’s Den star, Sarah Willingham, cannot contain her excitement as she gushes about “further positive trading” in a Q3 statement, out today. She is, however, a bit shy on the record cashburn and looming cash crisis at Nightcap (NGHT), which means another bailout placing is imminent.
The media company beloved by cross-dressing IT consultants, Bidstack (BIDS), has published its predictably dismal results for calendar 2021, as well as a massively upbeat commentary from CEO, Lyin’ James Draper. That has seen the shares marked up by 10%, to 3.65p, with a market cap of £35 million. As ever, folks do not read the small print of the notes. Read the fecking notes, morons!
I start on the news from Twitter & Elon Musk. Then, I look at Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT); Novacyt (NCYT); Vast Resources (VAST); the stinking RNS from Nightcap (NGHT); and Versarien (VRS), where the TWO death spirals are starting to bite, as the cash crisis intensifies.
Last week, I wrote several articles about how Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL) misled investors and was facing a cash crisis. Snake oil salesman, CEO Arthur Millholland of Oilexco infamy, responded with a denial, claiming I did not know what I was talking about and was motivated by nefarious aims of self-enrichment. Well guess fucking what?
Just four days after death spiral provider Atlas converted $150,000 of debt into Vast Resources (VAST) shares at 0.86p having forward sold, it has announced the conversion of another $150,000 this time at 0.77p. In February the conversion was at 1.24p. Do you see a trend? My guess is that those shares have already been forward sold and that Atlas will now be working on dumping even more stock ahead of the next conversion. Why the panic? Two reasons:
That is Nigel’s problem. He is just too much of a nice guy as he showed with his piece earlier on the Tern/Wyld cash crisis. I am not so charitable. I am not a nice guy. The crisis is far worse than even Nigel suggests.
For most of the last year, AIM-listed jam-tomorrow IoT investment company Tern plc (TERN) has survived because its supporters were truly sold on Tern’s portfolio being worth a multiple of the official NAV per share which allowed Tern to issue more and more shares like there is no tomorrow at a huge premium to NAV per share, even if at massive discounts to the prevailing share price. Until now.
I do not go into much detail but this has not been a pleasant last 24 hours so hence the lack of output from me. Fingers crossed I am on the mend. I discuss Covid plays and false Covid recovery plays and end of covid victims including Omega Diagnostics (ODX), a mega short as the cash crisis bites, Abingdon Diagnostics (ABDX), MyHealthChecked (MHC) and – especially for listener TB – Cineworld (CINE). Then I look at more murky Trevor Brown goings on at Braveheart (BRH) and the odd world of Free Association Books and the Brown family. Finally the madness at Tintra (TNT) now – for a company with no operations – and, perhaps, £2million cash – valued at c£40 million. Insane!
He took an £850,000 bonus for staging the AIM IPO of Sensyne (SENS) even though he had promised his Nomad which had then assured institutional investors, that he would not. Then Lord Drayson used more company funds to pay off a whistleblower. This man, enobled by the war criminal Sir Tony Blair after, in a wholly unrelated way, donating vast sums to New Labour, is a festering wart on the backside of the corporate world. One hopes that a cash crisis will deal with this wart once and for all. Natch I have been a bear of this stock all along, unlike hedgie Matthew Scarborough of Gatemore who did his darndest to get me to pump this stock days before the scale of the current crisis started to become apparent.
I think that it was our reader from the Paddington Dungeon who first alerted me to the merits of checking out the website of Parsley Box (MEAL). Not to actually order any of its revolting produce which may satisfy commentator PL but would make my cats and most right thinking folk somewhat nauseous. But for the signs it offered of how bad trading had become.
Having raised £4 million gross at 18.8 pence per share on 13 July 2021, the Bulletin Board Morons, although feeling somewhat sore given that the Tern (TERN) share price was 12.5 pence bid price at the close of business yesterday, might be consoling themselves thinking that, at least, the jam tomorrow specialists, won’t be asking for any more cash for some time. Sadly, that isn’t the case and I demonstrate below why they will very shortly be asked to stump yet more cash to feed the greedy board and its portfolio of loss making and cash guzzling investments.
Oh dear, this looks like it is going to end in tears for Richard “Gollum” Gill and his colleagues at low grade crowdfunding outfit Crowd For Angels. The problem is that Verditek (VDTK) has still to announce any meaningful orders since its interims and thus is, as we speak, almost insolvent. And that would expose a black hole in Crowd’s own woeful balance sheet. The facts…
AIM-listed jam-tomorrow IoT investment company Tern plc (TERN) held its AGM yesterday and posted a bullish update – obviously containing no figures - and the BBMs went mad pushing the shares up. But for me the real news was the result of the AGM.
As we approach the end of 2020, it is time to take a look back at my Tips of the Year in the ShareProphets Christmas 2019 Tipfest. AIM-listed investment company Tern plc (TERN) was my first tip – as a sell, at 9.25p. So how have I done?
I am sorry to say that NoGold has not yet been in touch about the £50 he owes me. Shame, shame. In today's podcast I look at Bidstack (BIDS), the lies, the dire warnming it is sitting on, the role of a house broker, the looming cash crisis and the joke valuation.
Yesterday the FTSE All-Share (Neil Woodford’s benchmark for his Equity Income and Income Focus unit trusts) staged a little bit of a recovery and put on 1% - not that it helped the Woodford funds, which only put on 0.27% and 0.18% in NAV per unit respectively, according to Morningstar.
More bad news for beleaguered Neil Woodford. The benchmark for his Equity Income and Income Focus funds, the FTSE All-Share, may have been largely flat yesterday but the funds’ NAV per unit dropped like a stone by 2.06% and 1.34% respectively and the total value of Equity Income now sits at just £3.04 billion. It seems just a matter of time before the £3 billion mark is taken out.
This morning saw Woodford Patient Capital (WPCT) release its annual results for 2018. The key points seem impressive: an increase in NAV per share from 91.33p to 97.61p, more disruption tomorrow (along with the disruptive jam) and running costs are just 0.2% (only because the management bonus is triggered at 10% per year and so far NAV has declined). But they say follow the money ….. what about the cash?
I warned you all in a bearcast last week that the real threat to Motif Bio (MTFB) was that lender Hercules would start to want its money back and that the company’s cash crisis would thus soon become critical. And lo it came to pass.
An appertion came to me last night: it was the ghost of Cynical Bear, calculator in hand, telling me that the level of borrowing at WPCT has become a major problem for Neil-knows-best Woodford. And indeed it is: as at the end of December Gross Assets (ie before bank borrowings) stood at £969 million, according to Woodford. With net assets of 97.61p per share and 827 million shares that works out at net assets of £807 million and that means borrowing of a whopping £162 million, or 19.6% of NAV. Yikes!
After recent disasters such as Kier (KIE) and faced with wall to wall redemptions, funds managed by Neil “nomates” Woodford are clearly utterly desperate for cash. Today another sign of just how big is that crisis emerged. It’s a shocker.
Following a week of intense share price weakness, Audioboom (BOOM) has served up, what looks like, a panicked trading statement. It is long on blather but fails to mention the one thing that really matters: the looming cash crisis. This company could be out of money and insolvent by Christmas, indeed sooner, but free speech denying, family on the payroll poltroon of a CEO Rob Proctor fails to address that elephant in the room. I suppose that there is some good news.
Two days after MySquar (MYSQ) suspended its shares on the AIM Casino and admitted to fraud and a cash crisis its odious slug of a chairman, the well known PR spinner Mr Piers Pottinger has quit as a director and from the company. Piers may wish to distance himself from what is a very messy crime scene but it is too late. He was either involved in the fraud or enabled it by his incompetence or his silence or both. He features in a detailed dossier I am preparing for the FCA and SFO urging them to launch a formal enquiry.
Having previously calculated that AIM-listed Tern plc (TERN) will be out of cash by next June – even taking the £2.9 million placing at 26p in July into account, now the investment company has splurged another £1.1 million on its latest investment, FundamentalVR. Will Tern even make the current year-end before running out of cash?
"So who is this David Moyes?" Asked the Mrs after I said that he had been sacked. Surely not knowing who is the (now ex) manager of West Ham is grounds for divorce or at least a trip to Relate? I ponder what as a Republican I should do tomorrow before hoping that both sides lose the FA Cup Final. Then I turn to the looming cash crisis at Sound Energy (SOU) how my most excellent broker, Mr Antony Laiker, stopped me being a real tit and losing a packet on Interquest (ITQ), at Scotgold (SGZ) and at Carpetright (CPR).
Oh dear, oh dear, a bad week for devout Christian Julie Meyer is about to get worse. It is not that the communion wine was off today but the Winnileaks service has just come up trumps again. Having suffered regulatory suspension in Malta (see HERE) and facing criminal charges in the same country (see HERE) as well as an HMRC probe in the UK (see HERE) and a lawsuit from Henry Gewanter (see HERE) with more lawsuits from those to whom she owes cash to follow, now we have a devestating email sent by her Entrepreneur Country operation less than seven weeks ago which has arrived with Winnileaks. Ouch.
One is, IMHO, a fraud and the other just has a looming cash crisis. Both faced real criticism last week - I discussed how they played and what happens next.
In the UK Julie Meyer's flagship vehicle Ariadne Capital Limited went into administration before Christmas owing millions and demonstrating that its 2016 accounts were pure fiction. I can today reveal that yet, another of Praise The lord's dwindling band of UK companies, Ariadne Capital Partners Holdings Ltd has now suffered a First Gazette notice for strike off but it is in Malta where the shit is really hitting the fan for La Meyer's five companies.
AIM Cesspit listed FRAUD Eden Research (EDEN) has two massive problems. One is that with pitiful sales it is rapidly running out of cash and so must get yet another bailout placing away. The second is that it has now been fully exposed as committing a massive panama pump securities fraud HERE. Its response....
Yes, I shall be recording my first ever joint bearcast - if one excludes ones where Oakley has chipped in. The date is April 1, my opponent is Paul Scott. Will it be TrakM8 or checkmate? The venue London in a new bonus session at UK Investor Show. I explain more about this total one-off in today's podcast. It is 4 weeks to the day to UK Investor and tickets are 85% booked out so if you are not booked in book NOW! On this podcast I also look at Brave Bison (BBSN) and TrakM8 (TRAK) and how cost cutting can itself prompt a cash crisis. I look at Audioboom (BOOM) with a more generous eye. I look at Glenwick (GWIK), now booted off AIM, which stinks. And I look at the idea of investing in shite companies to make money, ref Red Leopard (RLH) and Cynical Bear. This also brings me to ECR (ECR) where we own shares and I now see arch ramper Big Gib is on board. Over to you Big Gob do not let me stop you!
ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty member MoneySwap (SWAP) issued an after-hours RNS last night which looks to suggest that the cash is fast running out. As one of my seven stocks to get suspended where shareholders could lose 100% from last November, might it be that kill number three (and F40 kill number 21) is not far off?
As a long term bear from more than 100p down I note with grim satisfaction that following its latest admissions Gulfsands Petroleum (GPX) sees its shares at just 25p. I warned you. This is a tale of disgraceful boardroom antics as well as a cash crisis. I name the guilty men and have kind advice for both the new board and those investors who ignored me and listened to others and stayed on the shareholder list.
Those following me on Twitter (through @WShak1) will have noted that I closed all of my shorts on Quindell at around 71p a few weeks ago. The trade proved to be a very profitable but, given my negative view of Quindell, it may have seemed strange that I closed at all. I hope I was clear on my reasons why, which were based primarily on the notion that I expected another "rampathon" by promoters that would allow me to re-open my short from higher levels. Aside from any argument over its merits as an investment, Quindell has proven itself to be extremely volatile and there is money to be made if one is confident enough to trade around the huge swings.
Last week I stated that Maine Finance, a Quenron subsidiary which has racked up a £5 million overdraft so that it can lend money to other Quindell operations had basically stopped paying lead suppliers because the cash has run out. Thanks to information from someone incredibly close to Maine I can now give you the full story. This is symptomatic of what is going on across the Quenron group because there is no cash.
Quindell (QPP) now exists only because its banks have not pulled the overdraft. Each week a new crisis emerges as it struggles to pay all its bills. Reports are now coming to me from all over this creaking fraud showing how desperate things are. Today: Maine Finance Ltd.
What was Quindell’s (QPP) worst investment? It is hard to know. £2.77 million for Skillwise (sept 2013), a company with no assets bought by its previous owner the day before for £68.40 including VAT is a prime contender. The £150 million spent on the cash consumptive shite that is Himex must be another. But how about a luxury executive box at the Emirates?
Quindell (QPP) denied on Friday that it had lost a contract with a leading North West based Claims Management Company. Hmmmmm. In this podcast I look at the nature of what that contract originally meant and why the contract has not been terminated (yet) but what is really going on. The reality is that the cash crisis at Quindell and the need to fiddle its stated cash position is forcing Quenron to take actions of which investors have no idea. Let me enlighten you all.
Canaccord has not only quit as broker to Quenron (QPP) but it has now withdrawn its forecsats, buy stance and target price. In a note packed with red flag alerts it says its stance is “under review”. As I explained here the other day that means SELL! The note reads:
The Sunday Times has today unearthed evidence of the cash crisis at Quindell (QPP). Listeners to bearcasts here will not be suprised by this news. So what does Quindell do now? Will the sad excuse of a Nomad that is Cenkos let it respond or must the shares be suspended at once. In an angry and hard hitting podcast I lay out what lies ahead as the shit hits the fan and the shares become worthless. 0p is in sight. Events are now moving at light speed, the word "vindication" is on my lips.
Quindell (QPP) faces a cash crisis which is forcing it to resort to quite desperate measures as I outlined HERE and HERE earlier today. Its position is dire. And now our most excellent poster has weighed in with this critical note. As you await for tomorrow’s big daddy video which explains why Quenron has committed accounting fraud, has never generated cash and is worth 0p I bring you the awesome 42 with his latest offering.
It is abundantly clear that Quenron (QPP) now faces a cash crisis of monumental proportions. I am sure that the FCA is now monitoring its Regulatory capital position with extreme concern. And if you want to know what happens when this becomes an issue have a look at Daniel Stewart HERE. I flagged up earlier today, one way in which Quenron is hiding this time bomb from investors – by delaying salary payments HERE – but the other obvious way is by not paying its bills, something you would not be able to gauge from the cobblers in its trading statement of Monday. But poster TurboMubcher has the data and puts it into context for you in an excellent post:
Who was the 41% customer of Quindell in 2011? Was it TMC which had a spare £5.5 million (more than 100% of stated PTP and cashflows) thanks to the Quindell shares it was issued with and flogged? I only ask because of a revelation regarding Quindell flogging shares it issued to itself in today’s interims. That stands out but what about those accruals? Boy oh boy.