Hello Share Swingers. This old punter has been of the opinion for many months now that Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA) is undervalued. This is based on oil and gas prices going through the roof. Brent Crude continues to rise with more big jumps this week and I agree with Tom when he says fuel prices will continue to soar this year.
The oil price is panning out largely as I expected when I last drafted on this matter back in March. We are now at $84 as I type, compared to the $67 when I last commented. I saw a high probability of $100 by year end, and so far, I see little to change my mind. Oil and Gas equity prices lag the commodity prices, and oil lags gas. I see real opportunity here, but not without some downside risk.
Hello, Share Tweakers. You don’t have to be an Einstein to guess that share prices for oil companies should keep on rising, at least for a bit. Myself and more able analysts have commended Shell (RDSA) and BP (BP.) recently but there are other experienced producers around and Tullow Oil (TLW) looks to have been rather overlooked by the City.
Hello, Share Mashers. Gas prices rose by 37% in one session earlier this week. Imagine how that should raise the profits of BP (BP.) as it is also an explorer, producer and seller of liquid gas. And yet the price of BP shares actually dipped by 2.5% on Wednesday. They’re up again as I write, but, in the circumstances, you might think the shares would be soaring. I may be missing something, but after a great deal of searching, I can’t imagine what that might be.
I assume most readers have come across the news that gas prices have been roofing it recently, but as always I realise I probably watch gas and oil price changes closer than most so maybe not. So I thought it was worth highlighting some of my thinking on what this means for some investment cases.
Victoria Oil & Gas (VOG) delivered a fairly upbeat set of results this morning. Although the company recorded a $50.8million loss, $49.8million of this stemmed from an impairment charge relating to the company’s West Medvezhye project in Russia. The much more positive news was that operations in Cameroon delivered a profit after tax of $5.4million. Even so, the market appears to have been fairly underwhelmed by this and Victoria Oil & Gas’ share price is off 2.5% at 58p, last seen. This values the company at £64.6million. The question now is might there be a value case for buying this stock with a medium outlook?