Pharos Energy (PHAR) has been a terrible investment for anyone who has held longer term – including myself – and even more so from the days when it was called Soco International (SIA), but I still believe that it can turn things around.
Now that the acquisition of Bacanora Lithium (BCN) by Gangfeng has completed, many former shareholders will be wondering whether to keep hold of the shares they were awarded in Zinnwald Lithium (ZNWD) as part of that deal.
Hurricane Energy (HUR) is a company that I’ve been following and covering ever since the days before it drilled the Lancaster appraisal well; through the times when it looked like it could be a big AIM success story; and more recently when it was uncertain as to whether it would even survive.
Horizonte Minerals (HZM) looks as though it has defied the odds and will actually manage to bring a large project requiring significant Capex into production, whilst at the same time retaining 100% of it.
Political risk is always hard to gauge, and where it does start to become a potential issue for a company, it is rarely clear in advance just how much of a problem it could be. The political risk in Peru increased significantly earlier this year when left wing president Pedro Castilla came to power, especially for mining and oil companies as he had promised to heavily tax foreign companies operating there.
Nostra Terra Oil and Gas (NTOG) is one of those companies that has always seemed to be popular with private investors over the years, but it is hard to see why as all it has done during that time is rack up substantial losses for them.
JKX Oil and Gas (JKX) is a company that I’ve followed for a number of years but it has never quite lived up to expectations, nor performed anywhere near as well as its assets on paper suggest that it should have.
Serica Energy (SQZ) has seen a sizeable drop in its share price over the past couple of days, and the news that landed this morning suggests that some got wind of this before the official RNS announcement. TW Note. Surely you are not suggesting insider dealing on the AIM sewer, the “world’s most succesful growth market” – surely not?
Asiamet Resources (ARS) has been a very frustrating share to hold and in the past I have been less than impressed with the management, especially when it comes to the Aeturnum debacle at the start of this year.
Afentra (AET) is a company I covered a few months back as being worth a look, and it now looks as though it could finally be on the verge of securing an asset with its cash pile.
As rare as is it to see an AIM mining minnow with a large and potentially very valuable resource in the ground actually make it to the production stage whilst retaining ownership of all of the project, Horizonte Minerals (HZM) now looks on the verge of achieving that.
Sometimes I look at a company and think its shares are just too cheap at the current market cap and is pretty much being priced to fail, yet in some cases there certainly doesn’t appear to be anything fundamentally wrong that suggests that to be the situation.
Touchstone Exploration (TXP) is a company that I’ve covered here several times before and which I believe has a lot of potential, and the latest drill results certainly seem to support that still being the case.
The recent share price movement on Eurasia Mining (EUA) looks even more dodgy now in light of today’s announcement of a placing, and I would be surprised if there hasn’t been some forward selling going on.
Horizonte Minerals (HZM) is a company that I’ve written about a number of times in recent years, and is also one where I’ve been patiently holding shares myself for a long time. When it comes to AIM mining stocks it is quite a rarity that they either actually make it into production, or get taken out by a larger predator prior to that stage, and for many of them the resource in the ground sounds far better than the reality of actually extracting it commercially.
I’m surprised to see Central Asia Metals (CAML) showing some share price weakness prior to the release of its interim results next week, as I’ve no reason to suspect that they will disappoint the market – in fact I would expect them to be good!
If you want to invest in London listed precious metals producers your choice of shares is fairly limited, and has become even more so in recent years following takeovers of a couple of the popular miners.
Following a strong upwards move, platinum group metals have taken a bit of a dip recently but are still at levels that should generate plenty of free cash flow for producers, and the share price weakness that some of those have shown the past couple of weeks could present a buying opportunity.
A few weeks ago I wrote a piece here about Cairn Energy (CNE) shares being too cheap, both in terms of its producing assets and also on the basis of any resolution of its long term battle with the Indian government. Quite a bit has happened since then.
Gold and silver miners have generally performed quite poorly as of late, and certainly when you consider the prices that the metals themselves have been trading at, and Fresnillo (FRES) has certainly been no exception. That is your opportunity and here is why.
Like many oil and gas companies at the lower end of the market, San Leon Energy (SLE) has had its fair share of ups and downs over the years, but in recent times has been heading in the right direction as it builds its business producing oil in Nigeria.
Kosmos Energy (KOS) has to be one of the most under-rated oil companies listed in the UK, but I think that people that overlook it in favour of some of the more popular producers are wrong to do so.
Cairn Energy (CNE) is a company that I have followed for many years, almost for as long as its ongoing saga relating to compensation from the Indian government, but it is starting to look more likely that will actually finally be settled.
I3 Energy (I3E) has been a great example of why past failure doesn’t necessarily point to a continuation of that in the future – in the same way that past success doesn’t mean that a company or management team will manage the same again.
Oil has been on a bit of a charge recently and there aren’t any real signs of that strength coming to an end anytime soon, but quite a few of the producers haven’t responded as well as you would expect, in terms of share price movement.
Whilst I mostly stick to trading and investing in companies that are listed in the UK, in recent times I have started to look elsewhere for potential precious metal producers which look interesting.
I remember when I first covered Bushveld Minerals (BMN) as a buy back in 2016 at around the 2p level, prior to the completion of its asset acquisition, vanadium wasn’t a commodity that you heard mentioned much.
Around six weeks ago I covered the IPO of a small mining company called Caerus Mineral Resources (CMRS) and noted that it looked interesting for anyone who liked these small, speculative type of plays.
Centamin (CEY) has always been one of my favourite gold producers, and although I may not be as bullish as fellow ShareProphets writer Nigel Somerville, I still expect the metal to do well over the next few years.
Private investors are often looking to buy into companies where the share price has fallen, rather than those which are near all time highs, but in some cases that is the opposite of what they should be doing!
I often see people saying that you can’t actually invest inshares in AIM miners and the only way to play them is by trading the swings they have along the way.
Atalaya Mining (ATYM) has been a favourite of mine for a few years now, but seems to be one of those shares which you rarely see mentioned on social media and the bulletin boards. It was formerly EMED. Ring a bell?
Touchstone Exploration (TXP) has fallen out of favour with investors in recent days following testing news at one of its wells which the market took badly and caused the share price to drop by more than 30%.
The oil and gas market is quite hard to read at the moment, particularly when it comes to individual companies which are producing, as some have seen large share price rises whilst others barely seem to have moved despite the fundamentals appearing to be strong.
It’s not often that I take much notice of the smallest mining companies at the lower end of AIM, but every now and again one gets my attention as being worthy of taking a look at if you want to take a bit of a punt on shares in something more speculative than the popular producers.
Quite often ShareProphets readers contact us asking for an opinion on a particular company, and I’m always happy to take a look – although there is no guarantee that the conclusions I come to will necessarily be what they wanted to hear about the company!
Pharos Energy (PHAR) has been one of the worst stocks that I’ve been invested in – not necessarily in terms of the share price performance, although that has also been awful, but more the way the company has been managed and the amount of money that I’ve seen them waste over the years.
Petra Diamonds (PDL) is one of those mining companies which is drowning in debt and could very easily have gone bust, had it not recently announced a restructuring with its lenders.
Mining companies often operate in parts of the world that you definitely wouldn’t consider to be safe or politically stable, but despite that many of them operate fairly smoothly and rarely have major issues when it comes to their mines.
EnQuest (ENQ) is a company that I have followed for a long time and have previously been invested in myself, but over the past few years its shares have performed terribly and has never really recovered from the previous oil price slump, which bottomed out in 2016.
You might have noticed that recently I have started covering a few companies in the oil and gas sector as being worthy of a long term investment, and in case you are wondering if I’m mad to be doing so given what is going on in the world, I believe that it is the right time in the cycle to start positioning again.
People often try to tell me that it isn’t possible to make money by actually investing in AIM oil and gas companies and that they are only worth trading, but I would have to disagree based on some of those that I’ve picked out over the years as having long term potential.
As any regular readers here will know, I’ve been a fan of Serica Energy (SQZ) for many years and during that time have watched it grow into a mid-tier oil and gas producer, and I believe that now is the time to consider investing in the company once again.
This year a lot of private investors seem to have been focussing on any stocks even loosely associated with Covid, plus those in the tech sector, and more recently mining has also seen a resurgence, gold in particular, but oil and gas has very much remained unloved and out of favour. That gives you a great opportunity and this is no fisherman’s tale…
Block Energy (BLOE) is typical of so many AIM listed oil and gas companies, which sound great on paper but usually have spent years failing to live up to expectations whilst burning through considerable amounts of cash in the process.
Fully listed Egyptian gold-miner Centamin (CEY) has released the promised life of asset review this morning. In the wake of ground movement troubles, this an important step in regaining investor trust. The good news is that the shares did not fall precipitously…..
Whenever a smaller oil company is drilling a well these days you pretty much have to expect the share price to get hammered unless they announce a substantial find that exceeded market expectations, and that is exactly what hammered to Union Jack Oil (UJO) this week.
It probably shouldn’t do, but it still sometimes amazes me at just how short a term outlook some PIs seem to take these days, especially when it comes to companies in the natural resources sector.
Back in August I wrote about Shanta Gold (SHG) as being worth a look at around the 16p level, and with a chance of a good profit over the coming months.
Unexpected negative events, especially geo-political ones, can present great buying opportunities at times, as the market tends to severely over-react, even when there is no immediate specific impact on a company itself.
Currently you could easily argue that there is a longer term investment case for numerous oil and gas producers, based on the assumption that commodity prices will improve over the next few years, and could even spike in the same way that we’ve seen in the past after prolonged periods of low demand.
If there was an award for the worst performing oil and gas share listed on AIM over the past decade there wouldn’t be a lack of contenders, but Nostra Terra (NTOG) would definitely be in the running!
AIM-listed Turkish gold-producer Ariana Resources (AAU) has released its Q3 preliminary production results from Kiziltepe this morning and it seems to me that right now the company can do little wrong. The bad news (which we already knew) is that mining has shifted from the higher grade Arzu South pit to the lower grade Arzu North and Derya pits. But ore throughput at the plant hit a new record and plans to increase throughput are on the way…
It has been some time since there has been a really big exploration drill for an AIM listed company, but that is exactly what should be coming soon for Bahamas Petroleum (BPC).
Oh dear – this is not what the doctor ordered at all. Fully-listed Centamin (CEY) has announced the suspension of open pit operations at the Stage 4 West Wall of its Sukari gold mine. This follows the detection of movement in a localised area of waste material and production for Q4 will be heavily reduced to around 70,000 oz. But is it the disaster it first appears?
Greatland Gold (GGP) is a company that I’ll happily admit to having been wrong about, as were many others, and a lot has changed since I last looked at it around the time that Newmont Mining had decided to terminate its involvement. At the time, I expected that Greatland would go the way of so many other small mining companies that promised a lot and then failed to deliver, given that Newmont had decided not to exercise an option to partake in a joint venture on its Ernest Giles gold project in Australia. At the time it was extremely early days with Havieron licence area, which is now the main focus of attention and which has turned the company around…
Hurricane Energy (HUR) promised so much but it looks like it will end up joining the long list of failed companies in the natural resources sector following recent updates, including the interims today.
The level of trust that you have in the management of a company can often play a big part in your willingness to invest.
When the market cap of a company is trading at significantly below its net asset value it would suggest that there is value in buying, but usually things aren’t as clear cut as they at first appear.
When it comes to small mining companies, lots of them appear to have a great story and if you listen to those doing calculations based on resources in the ground, most are worth billions!
Gold is all the rage at the moment and looks set to remain strong, even if we do see some pullbacks or it not advancing to the price levels that some are predicting. So, it is no surprise that there is so much focus at the moment on any company operating in the gold sector, either producing or even just early stage explorers. With such a big recent rise in the gold price, many miners have followed it upwards, so if you are only just getting into gold now, the trick is to try and find value, and if something does look cheap, to understand why it might be trading at a lower market cap than you would expect. One ShareProphets reader has recently asked me to take a look at Tanzanian gold producer Shanta Gold (SHG), as to him it seemed relatively cheap and he wondered if there was a good reason for it being so…
Regular readers here will know that I’ve been a fan of Russian gold miner Highland Gold (HGM) for quite some time and it has been my share of choice for exposure to the yellow metal, and one which I hold myself. I covered it as a buy at 227p back in late February, and then again at 222p very recently as one of my tips for the MineProphets event, so I was clearly very bullish on it and especially so given the steeply rising gold price we have seen of late…
Sometimes something comes out of left field and takes you by surprise. This morning, AIM-listed Conroy Gold & Natural Resources (CGNR) announced a proposed joint venture with fellow AIM-listed Anglo Asian Mining (AAZ) aimed at bringing Conroy’s Irish gold assets to production. Anglo Asian is a serious player, so this deal is a great achievement for Conroy – even if, as things stand, it remains heavily technically insolvent.
Just because a company has traded at much higher share price levels it doesn’t mean that it will do so again, and that is particularly true of oil companies at the moment.
I had been wondering when further news would come from i3 Energy (I3E) and these week two significant RNSs dropped on the same morning, which ultimately led to shares being suspended for the foreseeable future.
So far Asiamet Resources (ARS) has been fairly typical of many small AIM resource stocks, in that it has largely failed to live up to expectations and has had to keep raising money at ever-lower prices over a number of years.
There is a lot of focus on oil companies of all sizes at the moment, with many investors speculating on their future recovery now that commodity prices have improved, but I would probably be more focussed on those which largely produce gas.
Over the past couple of months it has generally been a good idea to avoid resource stocks unless you’re either buying for the long term or are happy to try and trade high volatility, but one metal that is showing signs of strength is copper.
One aspect of the recent oil price crash which fascinates me, and which I’ve seen very little written about, is hedging. There has of course been plenty made of the fact that some companies, or even countries, have at least part of their future production hedged at much higher prices than the current level. But what I haven’t seen mentioned is the potential impact on those who are on the other side of these hedges...
Current market conditions are bad for many companies, with the oil and gas sector having been hit particularly hard as commodity prices have crashed, but this can create opportunities for some companies.
My views on Block Energy (BLOE) haven’t exactly been popular over the past year as it was a favourite with private investors, but unfortunately so far everything has played out as I feared that it would do.
At the start of this year a small AIM outift called Pembridge Resources (PERE) was getting a lot of attention and there were all sorts of predictions being made as to how high the market cap should be based on its share of a copper mining operation.
I’ve always gone on the basis that if something doesn’t feel quite right when it comes to non-binding deals being announced, then at the very least it is worth questioning the likelihood of completion. Of course, that isn’t always the case and some non-binding letters of intent, or memorandums of understanding, do in fact proceed as outlined, but my first thoughts when I saw today’s news from Zenith Energy (ZEN) was that it looked very ‘spoofy’...
As usual the bulletin boards seem to be flooded with people saying what a great deal I3 Energy (I3E) has just secured, having announced today that it had acquired Toscana Energy Income Corporation (TEIC).
I wouldn’t be rushing to buy shares in any companies at the moment, and probably even less so in anything natural resources related, unless you are prepared to take a fair amount of risk and have a very long-term time frame. The safest option is to just sit on cash and wait for not only the markets, but also the world economy, to turn around whenever we do finally see the back of this virus. You won’t get to buy in at the bottom if you wait for the trend to change, but you shouldn’t also suddenly find that the shares you bought are now another 50% lower! However...
I3 Energy (I3E) was one of the most popular oil shares on AIM last summer and autumn, but the situation is very different now after a number of failures operationally.
Gold stocks seem to be very much on the radar at the moment, with the price of the yellow metal looking very strong against a back-drop of worldwide concerns over coronavirus and investors looking for a safe haven.
Whenever you buy a share which you view as a potential recovery play, you have to accept the risk that of them will do everything but actually recover, and if the situation worsens then it is time to cut your losses and sell.
Looking at the chart for Pharos Energy (PHAR) I wouldn’t blame you for coming to the conclusion that it is best avoided as it has been on a steady downwards trajectory for several years and with little sign of any relief.
AIM-listed Turkish gold producer Ariana Resources (AAU) continues to follow the under-promise and over-deliver formula in some style. This morning saw Q4 production numbers from its joint venture Kiziltepe mine showing 7,318 ounces of gold produced to bring the total for the year to 27,985 ounces – against a forecast of just 25,000 ounces. And the good news did not stop there.
Fully-listed Egyptian gold producer Centamin (CEY) has released its FY19 production numbers – showing that the company missed the lower end by around 10,000 oz gold. Whilst a bit of a disappointment, the shares are actually up on the news as 2020 production guidance is unchanged and whilst the company had hoped to scrape in with 490,000 ounces, after a difficult year it is not entirely surprising that it didn’t quite make it...
Pembridge Resources (PERE) today issued a production update for the latest quarter up to the end of 2019, and based on the figures contained within that, many are struggling to understand why the company isn’t valued more highly.
A ShareProphets reader has requested that I take a look at Aminex (AEX), which is a bit of a blast from the past, as I can remember a time, quite a few years back, when this Tanzanian focussed company was popular with private investors and was going to be the next big thing in oil and gas.
Rockhopper Exploration (RKH) was one of the most popular shares on the AIM market at one time, but in recent years it has fallen totally out of favour and its share price has plummeted. It is nearly a decade since this oil explorer first announced a big discovery at its Sea Lion prospect in the North Falkland basin and its share price rocketed, hitting highs of in excess of 550p per share and a market cap in the hundreds of millions...
Fully listed titanium producer in Mozambique, Kenmare Resources (KMR), has announced a miss on its production guidance for the year with regard to the main product, ilmenite. Having previously offered up a target of 900-960 thousand tonnes, we are now told the actual figure could be as low as 870 thousand tonnes.
Fully-listed Egyptian gold-miner Centamin (CEY) saw its shares riding high on Tuesday in the wake of news of a potential bid from Canadian peer Endeavour Mining in the form of a proposed all-share deal which valued Centamin at around £1.5 billion. The shares, having been knocking around 110p moved up to 130p at the top – beating the intimated deal price of 126.27p – but have since dropped back and closed last week at 118.55p as the market appeared to lose interest. So is it now a buy?
Hurricane Energy (HUR) is a company that I have been bullish on ever since first covering it as a buy back in June 2014, but things haven’t worked out particularly well for anyone who has been invested since that time. This is rather unfortunate, as from an operational point of view it has performed amazingly well, better than anyone could really have hoped for, and is an example of how an AIM oil explorer can sometimes succeed and take a large discovery all the way through to production. Unfortunately for longer term holders though, that has proved costly in terms of dilution to enable to company to retain 100% of its Lancaster field...
Often pump and dumps only last a matter of a few days or even hours, but occasionally when it is more than just small private investors involved they can go on for a long period of time, and that certainly appears to have been the case with Eurasia Mining (EUA)...
Investing in any small mining company usually carries a large risk and far more fail than ever actually succeed and make it into profitable production, but there are some that appear to have more chance of making a go of it than others...
I3 Energy (I3E) has certainly had its share of ups and downs during its current drilling campaign, but I can still see the potential for shares in this to come good.
Eurasia Mining (EUA) is a company that I’ve been following for the past five years or so, but during that time, other than the occasional spike, the share price has done very little, and up until a few days ago you could have bought for around the same price as when I first covered it. The share price has more than tripled in the last few days though, to a current level of around 1.9p, following news that the company has engaged two large banks to help it assess the possibility of selling its assets and basically becoming a cash shell under AIM Rule 15...
I always find it surprising that private investors are prepared to take big risks on the drilling of oil and gas wells, yet they won’t touch certain shares due to geo political risks.
Almost a year ago I suggested that it would be a good time to consider banking at least some profit on Bushveld Minerals (BMN), but now that the share price has almost halved since then, I believe that the shares are now back in the buy zone. Here, in detail, is why...
My views on Block Energy (BLOE) in recent months haven’t exactly been popular amongst shareholders, but unfortunately much of what I feared in relation its operations is now playing out and I feel that investors have been deceived by the company. I have been utterly vindicated. It will get worse for thise who ignore my latest warning.
There seem to be a number of mid-sized oil producers which have fallen out of favour with investors for quite some time now, and I’d definitely have to include North Sea-focussed EnQuest (ENQ) high up on that list...
Any negative news on an oil drill tends to see the share price getting hammered, and that is exactly what has happened today after I3 Energy (I3E) announced that a pilot well had failed to hit the reservoir that it was targeting.
It is hard to see why the share price of Jadestone Energy (JSE) has dropped recently as there seems to be little reason for it to have done so, and on that basis it definitely deserves closer attention...
Cabot Energy (CAB) suddenly seems to have become very popular for such a small AIM oil company, and given the recent news on a forthcoming discounted fundraise, I’m surprised that people are paying a huge premium to that.
President Energy (PPC) has taken a hit recently based on the fact that the bulk of its current oil and gas production comes from Argentina – but longer term that could present a buying opportunity...
I’ve always been a fan of Parkmead Group (PMG), but after the last couple of RNSs there have been for this company, I can’t help wondering if my faith in it to succeed may have been misplaced.
Regular readers of ShareProphets will know that I’ve been a fan of Horizonte Minerals (HZM) since 2016 - as well as tipping it on the ShareProphets Podcast last week - and it is also a company where I hold some shares myself, so it is good to see that it is continuing to progress in the right direction and has had some good news today.
There was much excitement back in April when an Arab sheikh took a stake in ADM Energy (ADME), so it must have come as a big shock to investors last week when news broke that he had sold all of his shares and had resigned as the company president.
Taking risks on exploration drills is generally a mugs game and a good way to lose money quickly, but just very so often if you choose carefully, it can really pay off. That was definitely the case with Eco Atlantic Oil and Gas (ECO) this morning when it announced a “major oil discovery” at the Orinduik block in offshore Guyana, when the Jethro-1 drill found 55 meters of net high quality oil pay in the lower tertiary sandstones...
Petra Diamonds (PDL) is a company that I covered back in March and so far I have been wrong about it having potential as a speculative investment, as the share price has just taken another big drop.
Silver and gold mining giant Fresnillo (FRES) has always been a good leveraged play on commodity prices, and is a favourite amongst both investors and traders looking for exposure to precious metals.
Questions have to be asked when a company produces a headline rate from a well test; the CEO goes on an interview road trips talking about how much free cash flow will be generated; £12 million is raised via an equity issue – and then subsequently initial production rates are just a third of what investors were expecting!
It is always said that you let your winners run, but it has got to the stage with Anglo Asian Mining (AAZ) where I would be very tempted to take some money off the table and cash in if you followed my buy tip back in March...
Sound Energy (SOU) has proved to be a great example of why private investors shouldn’t get too far ahead of themselves and start ordering a new Ferrari, based purely on early results in any company drilling for oil and gas.
After pontificating on the position of Lekoil (LEK) prior to the results, it merits a review now that the results have been issued. So how did I do with my crystal ball, and where does it leave the company?
When is a net profit not really a profit? When it is being announced by Prospex Oil and Gas (PXOG) would appear to be one answer to that question!
I have followed Lekoil (LEK) for some years now, and as each year goes by, I’ve become more questioning of the investment case. Like so many Nigerian based oilers, the potential seems high but is the reality ever realised?
A lot of the time there is very little that you can do to avoid bad news coming out of the blue, and even less so where the directors of the company have previously tried to make out that the situation is far more positive than the reality. That would definitely seem to be the case with African gold miner Avesoro Resources (ASO), and if anything proves that I should stick with my gut feeling when something doesn’t quite feel right about a company...
Fertiliser producer Harvest Minerals (HMI) seems to have been getting mentioned quite a bit recently and its shares are sitting at around a 12 month low, which probably means that it is going to get pushed hard in the near future, but is it a company that you should be considering taking a position in?
Avesoro Resources (ASO) is a good example of what can happen to a share where there is a forced seller and generally low liquidity in the trading of the shares.
As long as you are prepared to accept a degree of geo-political risk, then I find it very hard not to like Genel Energy (GENL) at the current share price.
Smaller North Sea oil and gas companies seem to be out of favour, as investors go chasing big profits in riskier, less proven parts of the world, but more often than not the outcome tends to be heavy losses on these types of outfits.
AIM-listed gold-miner in Turkey, Ariana Resources (AAU), released its latest quarterly production figures from its Kiziltepe joint venture this morning. Last year the numbers were 4,866 oz against a target for the year of 20,000 oz and the company went on to deliver 27,110 ounces. Now a year later, and with all the start-up bits and pieces worked out some time ago, Ariana has delivered 7,296 oz of gold for the first quarter of this year. Great stuff!
I’ve been a fan of Central Asia Metals (CAML) for some time now, and although the share price isn’t much higher currently, I still see it ultimately growing into a bigger company.
Coro Energy (CORO) was my pick this year during the Dragon’s Den session I was involved in at the UK Investor Show, and I also hold a small position here myself from around the current share price. Like many smaller companies in the oil and gas sector, it is an investment that I class as being speculative, hence not risking huge amounts of money in it at this stage – but there is also a lot of potential upside...
Diamond miners have performed very poorly of late, but that doesn’t mean that trend will continue indefinitely - and now could be a good time to buy with a longer term view. Petra Diamonds (PDL) is definitely one in this sector which has caught my eye lately, and is one of several diamond miners which I have kept an eye on over the years...
I’m sure some investors must have wondered what the directors of AIM listed oil and gas outfit Highlands Natural Resources (HNR) had been smoking when they announced yesterday that they were diversifying into cannabis!
Gold, silver and copper are all metals that I am bullish on at the moment, so Azerbaijani miner Anglo Asian Mining (AAZ) fits the bill perfectly in covering all three of those.
If there were any prizes for being the worst performing company at the lower end of the market, then Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL) would definitely be up there as one of the contenders.
Last year AIM-listed Ariana (AAU) offered up production guidance of 20,000 ounces of gold – and delivered 27,110 ounces. Talk about under-promising and over-delivering. This morning Ariana offered guidance of 25,000 oz of gold. Under the same maths, that suggests we could see as much as (almost) 34,000 ounces. Of course, we shall have to wait and see what the real figures are, but with the end of Q1 less than three weeks away we shouldn’t have to wait long.
I believe a good buying opportunity is currently presenting itself in the shares of Avesoro Resources (ASO) and although it may go lower in the short term, I can see decent risk versus reward here for at least a medium term trade.
SDX Energy (SDX) seems to be one of those AIM natural resources companies that has largely been forgotten about by private investors, but it has an awful lot going on over the coming 12 months, and beyond, and if even some of what it has scheduled goes to plan, then I would expect the shares to trade a lot higher...
The market has been slaughtering even the larger companies over any sort of disappointing results recently, but for me that further strengthens the argument to buy shares in Centamin (CEY).
I’m always very wary of investing in small mining companies, as even when the management team and the assets look decent, it is still a bit of a lottery as to whether the company will actually make it to a stage where it is making a profit and returning money to shareholders via dividends.
Anglo African Oil and Gas (AAOG) has been hugely popular with private investors over the past few months and has seen big fluctuations in its share price as various pieces of news landed during its recent drill – including a placing to raise more money which Tom Winnifrith exclusively revealed here before it took place.
AIM-listed Ariana Resources (AAU) released Q4 gold production numbers this morning – exactly as predicted HERE yesterday. Even better the numbers were pretty much in line and the shares have responded higher – not quite a bottle of ouzo yet, but it looks to be well on the way.
Judging by the form of my buy tip for 2019 AIM-listed Ariana Resources over the past nine months, we should see the latest production numbers from its Kiziltetepe joint venture gold plant in Turkey this week. Numbers for the first three quarters have already blown the company’s annual production forecast of 20,000 oz of gold out of the water, having reached almost that figure in nine months. Meanwhile shares in Ariana have had a good run of late, moving up from a low point of almost 1.1p in October to the current 1.575p, putting the company on a market capitalisation of £16.7 million.
Over the years I’ve been a fan of Ophir Energy (OPHR), but it is one that I have got completely wrong and during that time it has done nothing other than to disappoint investors, whilst its value has steadily been eroded.
These days I tend to avoid oil companies at the bottom end of the AIM market as usually the risks aren’t worth the rewards, and the majority of them do nothing but fleece investors over a number of years without ever achieving anything of note.
Rockhopper Exploration (RKH) was one of the darlings of AIM back in 2010/11 and was a big hit with investors when it first discovered and appraised the Sealion field in the Falklands, but since then interest has waned.
Gold has been showing signs of strength of late and moving forwards into 2019 I would definitely be looking to have some in your portfolio, with an equity position in a gold producer being the best option.
Sound energy (SOU) is a company that I’ve been negative on in the past, and justifiably so considering its recent fall from grace as one of the most popular shares amongst private investors.
Premier Oil (PMO) has always been highly geared towards movements in the oil price, so it is hardly surprising that its share price has been dropping recently.
Oil prices have taken an absolute battering this week, but I suspect that what we have seen is somewhat of an over-reaction.
A lot of AIM investors seem to view main market larger companies as being boring as you aren’t ever likely to multiply your capital overnight, but conversely it is unlikely that you will ever lose the lot either. By ignoring the larger companies, especially in the mining and oil sectors, you are potentially missing out on some very good gains, and with relatively low risk to your capital as these businesses tend to be so well diversified that any single event is unlikely to cause a complete share price collapse.
On the face of it I can see why some investors have been drawn to Cradle Arc (CRA), as it is actually producing copper and has a market cap of just £2.5 million, but there could well be good reason for its shares appearing to be cheap.
Centamin (CEY) has had a bad run of form of late, but I believe that this is just a temporary blip in its fortunes and it presents a fantastic buying opportunity for the future.
A brief look at Cairn Energy (CNE) would leave many wondering how on earth the company can be worth its current market cap of more than £1.15 billion. Especially when you consider that although it is an oil producer, in H1 2018 it only averaged 14,400boepd, and there are many others on the market producing those sort of quantities with much lower market valuations. What you would be missing though is the fact that this company has huge future growth potential, both from increased production from its existing Kracken and Catcher operations in the North Sea, but far more importantly from the future development of the SNE field in Senegal and Nova in Norway.
Sometimes it is hard to fathom why a company with strong fundamentals continues to be unloved by the market, and for me that is very much the case with SOCO International (SIA) at the moment, and has been for some time now. Lately the share price has slipped and is now trading at around the 88p level, and whilst it has bounced around 10% from the recent low of 80p that we saw, it still seems incredibly cheap at a market cap of just over £300 million, especially when you consider the current strength in oil prices.
Orosur Mining (OMI) has been a big disappointment for me as it was one of the small AIM miners which I thought had a chance of actually going on to bigger things.
If AIM gave out awards for achieving little and issuing billions of shares, then Tanzanian coal miner Edenville Energy (EDL) would be high up the list to receive one!
With oil prices remaining buoyant and this trend looking likely to continue going forwards, there are still plenty of opportunities to invest in companies in this sector.
Spanish copper miner Atalya Mining (ATYM) has seen its share price drop back recently, but then the situation has been similar on most producers in this sector and has come as a result of weakness in the commodity price rather than anything company specific.
All of the focus has been on Hurricane Energy’s (HUR) Lancaster licence, and although its other assets looked very good I wasn’t expecting further progress quite so quickly.
Silver has performed very badly in recent months and has hit the lowest levels that we have seen since the start of 2016, but there are plenty of reasons why you should have some exposure to the metal in your portfolio.
AIM-listed Turkish gold producer Ariana (AAU) released the quarterly update of its Red Rabbit joint-venture at Kiziltepe a week and a half ago. We had already been told that gold production had shot the lights out, but the update filled in the detail and it was all good. Meanwhile the gold price has been sliding and Turkey is in some considerable bother which is not good. But on balance I reckon the shares are still a buy.
When you find a resources company that has plenty of growth potential and you like both the fundamentals and the management team behind it, then it often makes sense to build up a long term position in it over a period of time.
I’ve been bearish on Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL) for some time now, and recent developments have done nothing to make me change my stance on the company, particularly with regard to its operations in Nigeria.
When a sector is showing weakness it can be tempting to sell up and move into something else, but often if you are in for the longer term then this is actually the time to be adding to your investment.
Regular readers of ShareProphets will know that I am usually very wary of any natural resources company that isn’t actually producing anything, especially if they are valued in the hundreds of millions.
The only real surprise with the RNS that was issued by Nu-Oil (NUOG) this morning was that investors were actually surprised that there had been further delays to the farm-out process and completion of the work at its well in Newfoundland!
Often at the lower end of the oil and gas sector private investors get fixated with taking gambles on drills with large prospective resources and dream of untold riches if the company gets lucky with the drill bit, but the reality is that in the majority of cases this will result in a duster and substantial losses.
These days it often seems to be the case that if you are interested in a new IPO, it is better to wait until that company has listed and the dust has settled, as often you will get a chance to buy in cheaper than those taking part in the initial fundraise. Block Energy (BLOE) looks to be one such outfit and the timing of its listing looks good, with the oil sector showing strength, plus there is plenty of potential from gas as well.
Regal Petroleum (RPT) has seen a huge increase in its share price during the past year, and I know that always makes some investors wary, but a lot has changed during that time, both for the company itself and the area in which it operates.
Centamin (CEY) has taken a big hit to its share price over the past week or so and has seen getting on for £400 million wiped off of the value of the company.
When news came on Friday that trading in the shares of Weatherly International (WTI) had been suspended and that the company was being placed into administration, unfortunately it didn’t really come as much surprise to me.
Often when a smaller AIM company operating in the natural resources sector announces a placing it ends up being bad news for those currently invested, but there are also cases where the money is being sought in order to accelerate operations. Of course, the company still ultimately needs to deliver and for the work that the money is being raised for to be successful, but I would certainly rather see this than a company that is sitting around doing nothing and burning through cash whilst its directors pocket a nice salary.
I’m surprised by the seeming lack of interest amongst private investors when it comes to RockRose Energy (RRE), as even amongst those who focus on oil and gas stocks, this isn’t a company which you see being mentioned on social media and the bulletin boards.
Serica Energy (SQZ) has been one of my best performing share tips ever, but following recent developments now would seem to be a good time to bank some profit, if you haven’t already done so.
Given the rise in oil price that we’ve seen over the past week or so, and the highest levels that it has been at in quite some time, I’m a little surprised to see Savannah Petroleum (SAVP) still languishing at around the 12-month low. With a market cap of nearly £230 million it isn’t as likely to see such large movements as you get on the AIM micro caps, but it is still small enough that I would expect the higher commodity price to have had some impact, given that it produces significant amounts of oil already.
Ascent Resources (AST) has hardly exactly lived up to its name in recent times, as it has been on a steady downwards trajectory for some time now. There's now been an RNS advising of a strategic review and a formal sale process for the company being initiated. Given its situation, I certainly wasn’t expecting the market to take the news particularly well - but the share price rocketed and even as I write this, it is currently 1.1p to buy - up more than 22% on the prior close.
West African gold miner Avesoro Resources (ASO) hadn’t been performing as well as investors had hoped since it started production, but things finally seem to all be coming together now.
When it comes to anything on the operational front amongst smaller companies in the oil sector you tend to pretty much expect some delays and the directors are often over optimistic when it comes to timelines for delivering certain milestones.
Berkeley Energia (BKY) was once one of the more popular shares on AIM, and there was plenty of interest as its share price rose steadily on speculation.
Given what is going on in the markets and world in general at the moment, it would seem silly not to have gold featuring somewhere in your portfolio.
One of ShareProphets regular readers, Wildrides, has asked me to take a look at Weatherly International (WTI), and as I do follow the mining sector quite closely, I am happy to give my thoughts on the company.
Amerisur Resources (AMER) has certainly failed to live up to the expectations of its investors and the share price has been in a downward spiral for several years now.
Cairn Energy (CNE) is one of a number of oil producers which look to be unloved by the market currently, but I would expect that to change in the future. In recent years the company has had impressive amounts of reserves on its book, but has now moved to the stage where it is producing from several of those fields, and with more to come in the near future.
It isn’t often that I look at shares in a FTSE100 company and can easily see a very high chance of a 25% or more gain in share price over the coming months.
I can understand why longer term investors in Parkmead Group (PMG) may be somewhat unimpressed with the performance of the share price recently, but the company itself is continuing to make good progress. I hold shares in the company myself, and whilst the share price has generally been trading in the mid-30p to low-40p range, in spite of the strength that the oil price has been showing in recent months, I’m happy to remain invested and see how things unfold in the coming months and years.
Whenever a relatively small oil and gas company manages to raise a substantial amount of money it gets my attention, especially when you consider what the market has been like for this sector in recent times.
I can see why holders of Tri-Star Resources (TSTR) would be less than impressed with the recent open offer, especially given the huge discount to the share price prior to that. This isn’t a company which I have really followed closely in the past, but the recent large fundraising at a 92% discount to the previous share price, and subsequent approval at the general meeting this week, got my attention.
There was a time when Premier African Minerals (PREM) looked to have genuine potential, but in the few years since then it has consistently disappointed investors and is now trading at a fraction of the share price it once hit.
Given that I have closely followed the Serica Energy (SQZ) story here closely over the last few years, and in light of the news this week, I felt that I should give my current thoughts on it.
Whilst many private investors go chasing rainbows and hoping for one of their oil and gas exploration plays to hit black gold, there are actually a number of AIM listed outfits which are already producing, yet don’t seem to be as popular as they are unlikely to generate large share price rises overnight.
Hurricane Energy (HUR) remains a favourite of mine amongst the AIM listed companies which have appraised assets and booked reserves, and I think it is one of the few which will make it into production in the near future, and has the potential to grow much larger.
As an investor who has always been a big fan of oil and gas plays in general it is difficult not to focus on that particular sector at the moment, given the recovery that we have been seeing there. Some people may argue that the move has already happened and that oil prices might not go much above the $64 level that we have hit this week, and could well finish the year a fair bit lower – certainly somewhere in the high 50s wouldn’t surprise me, although a lot will revolve around the outcome of the OPEC meeting at the end of the month. Whilst that may be the case with the commodity itself, when it comes to equities many have lagged this commodity correction, and given the share price action of some of them, you could be forgiven for thinking that oil was still down in the doldrums and completely unloved.
Several of the once really popular oil and gas companies seem to have almost have been forgotten by investors, as progress has been far slower than had originally been expected and people have gone off seeking riches elsewhere.
Recent weakness in precious metal prices is creating some great opportunities in the equities which are affected by this, and has resulted in some mining shares dropping back to a share price level where they offer good risk versus reward.
I’m always wary of companies that have seen a large hike in share price, especially smaller ones in the natural resources sector, but in some cases the rise would appear to be justified by recent news.
Any new IPO in the natural resources sector tends to grab my attention, and whilst there are plenty of them where I wouldn’t even consider investing my money, occasionally one comes along which looks to have a bit more potential. That would appear to be the case with Curzon Energy (CZN).
When it comes to the AIM resources sector, any sort of delay or news which is perceived to be negative can have a negative effect on the share price which is far from justified. Of course there is a lot of junk on the market and when bad news comes and it inevitably crashes, it is of no real surprise, but there are other companies where a temporary hit to the share price can present a great buying opportunity.
Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL) is a company that I have followed for a while now and recently I have noticed it getting a fair bit of attention again – certainly as much as we’ve seen since the failed drill in Liberia back in late 2016.
Gulf Keystone Petroleum (GKP) was one of the most hyped up oil companies that I have ever seen during my time in the markets, and although that all ended in tears, I think it could be worth another look now as it has changed a lot since those days.
Ophir Energy (OPHR) has made far slower progress than many could have imagined a few years back, but the oil and gas fields which attracted many in the first place are still there, and the chances of them being developed still look very good.
There are times when a large background seller can present a good buying opportunity, and an institutional investor offloading shares isn’t always a sign that the company is failing to perform.
Kaz Minerals (KAZ) is a great example of the extent that commodity prices can effect larger miners, and the recovery in copper prices has seen the share price trading at multiples of where it was just 18 months ago.
Sylvania Platinum (SLP) is a company which I’ve followed for quite some time and hold shares in myself - and I view today’s unexpected acquisition news as being positive for the company moving forwards.
On the AIM market these days it seems as though many would far rather buy into the latest pump and dump on a piece of junk, than invest in a company that is actually running its business properly and making money. The problem with putting your money into junk is that at some point true value normally shines through and the resultant share price crashes can be spectacular.
I haven’t looked at UK Oil and Gas (UKOG), and more specifically the Horse Hill oil field, for quite a while and a lot has changed in the meantime, so I thought it about time that I revisited it.