Analyst Michael Oliver pulls no punches.
I start with a look at wider stockmarket sell offs in the UK, US and especially Germany and what we – who will all be down – should be doing about it. I warn that if you go full bear you could be burned when most shares spike or rebound as will happen at some point. I comment specifically on the frauds Chill Brands (CHLL) and Supply@ME Capital (SYME) and on Ukranian hookers and fake news and also on Ten Lifestyle (TENG). And I discuss pen Orphan (ORPH) vs Braveheart (BRH), the saintly Cathal Friel vs the spiv chancer Trevor Brown. It is all to do with returning capital or not.
Gold ended last week at $1836, up nicely from the prior week’s close at $1818 and, perhaps importantly, just above resistance at $1830-1835. Silver also did well, closing at $24.32 – close to a two month high. Meanwhile, for stockmarket bears, markets were selling off. The only ingredient now needed for Jordan Roy-Byrne’s (ahem….) golden scenario now is a Fed rate hike.
Writer Steve St. Angelo of the SRSrocco Report says that the Fed’s Treasury purchase isn’t money creation; instead, it destroys it. Therefore, QE is not inflationary as many believe. This process is supposed to lower rates and thus increase public borrowing. However, QE is destroying money velocity and gradually ruining the economy.
Asset manager Frank Holmes argues that the US the election results and a split house may be the perfect scenario for the stock market and the ideal scenario for gold. He believes that G20 Central bankers have been functioning as a cartel since 2008 by synchronizing taxation and regulation. Now they are playing with MMT, zero interest rates, and monetary stimulus. However, they have redefined the CPI, and today if you use the old model, inflation is running at close to eight percent. Smart people are buying real assets like art, gold, silver, mining equities, and bitcoin.
Kevin Smith is the founder and CIO of asset manager Crescat Capital and warns that there are asset bubbles everywhere. He flags up the enormous credit bubbles that exist in China and Hong Kong. These credit bubbles have resulted in housing bubbles with a very similar signature to the last housing bubble in the United States.
Legendary commentator Marc Faber does not mince his words. Whatever is being done to pump the stockmarket, the real economy has been crushed and will not bounce back. He states: “The economy is currently in a dead-cat bounce and that peak economic levels seen in 2018-2019 will not come back for a long-time… and by a long-time… years.”
No prize here just a chance to display your intellectual genius. Ideally the answers will be stockmarket related. I suggested to Andrew Bell that if he was a real stockmarket spiv he’d spin off the Aussie gold tenements of Red Rock Resources (RRR) via an IPO as the market is red hot. He thinks it’s a good idea but asked if that made me a spiv too for suggesting it? I replied by explaining the irregular inflection of the word stockmarket spiv:
I start with a few reflections on the widening gap between the real economy and the stockmarket. Then I ask you to consider how lucky you are as I discuss Woodlarks and what it does and why it matters. As you listen I am walking 33.3 miles to save Woodlarks. If you have donated I thank you. If not we are so close to getting the £48,000 needed to save the camp. Please, please donate HERE.
I have no guests in this week's show which is sponsored by Open Orphan PLC (ORPH). Instead it is just me discussing all things Coronavirus. My own views on the pandemic and on the Government's disastrous, GroupThink driven, response are well documented in a series of podcasts and a couple of articles on my own website HERE. my views are not the issue it is the economic and stockmarket fallout. I discuss the bubble led by stocks like Novacyt (NCYT) and why it MUST burst but also stocks to buy and why I am nervous of the market rally. If you like this podcast and can't wait seven days for more of the same and are tired of being a cheapskate you should listen to my Bearcast and enjoy our cracking writen exposes and analysis every day HERE.
Yes, after three weeks, I have shaved off a lockdown beard that was white, grey, black and brown and made me look like an elderly Big Issue seller. But having run out of foam i still have a dark moustache and so am now a throwback to the 1970s. The good old days. I discuss this and also the idea that we will see a dramatic post Coronavirus economic, stockmarket and oil price recovery. I look at Easyjet (EZJ), Angling Direct (ANG) - using it as a case study of how the economy really is snagged so badly - and at the scandal at Versarien (VRS) where lyin' Neill Ricketts now stands totally exposed with regards to his share dumping a year ago. Surely the regulators must act now. I discuss how James Hay are m aking my life a misery with their incompetence lover my SIPP transfer. Finally an appeal from Darren please send your views of your new home desks and the views from your window to email@example.com
I start with the markets, coronavirus, hapless Donald Trump and other matters. It is all a mess. Some folks are really hurting and I explain how this can affect you. Then I look at Cineworld (CINE), Mosman Oil & Gas (MSMN), Nostra Terra Oil & Gas (NTOG), Big Dish (DISH), NMC Health (NMC), Finablr (FIN) and Metro Bank (MTRO)
Don't worry the sun will still rise tomorrow and we are not ALL going to die of Coronavirus. I discuss the oil price crash and stockmarket slump and look in particular at: Tern (TERN), Carnival (CCL), Bidstack (BIDS), Versarien (VRS), the antics of market makers, Diversified Gas & Oil (DGOC), Bahamas Petroleum (BPC), BP (BP.), Shell (RDSB), Tullow (TLW), Optibiotix (OPTI) and Premier Oil (PMO)
I start with a bit about the US election this November, the Trump economic and stockmarket bubble and when it will burst. It is a when not an if and in that vein I review stocks that could be utterly cratered when the mood music changes including Petra Diamonds (PDL), De La Rue (DLAR), Versarien (VRS) and other jam tomorrow overvalued jokes and NMC Health (NMC). And I suggesy how you start to prepare for the bubble bursting.
Hat tip my esteemed stockbroker, I flag up a major red flag for global equity markets. I discuss a hot rumour of the real reason the FCA swooped to shut down broker SVS. I look at Canadian Overseas (COPL), Avanti Communications (AVN), Sound Energy (SOU), Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) and Brady (BRY).
In today's bearcast I look at FinnCrap (FCAP and two of its rotten clients: Telit (TCM) and Anglo African Oil & Gas (AAOG), at vile greed at Attis Oil & Gas (AOGL) , formerly Mayan/Northcote and at the latest FRC sanctions for shoddy audit work by Delotte and audit partner Helen George. I look at Weald Basin news from IGAS (IGAS) and what it means for Uk Oil 7 Gas (UKOG) et al and at daft Sound Energy (SOU) rumours.
And he went out from thence, and came into his own country; and his disciples follow him. And when the sabbath day was come, he began to teach in the synagogue: and many hearing him were astonished, saying, From whence hath this man these things? and what wisdom is this which is given unto him, that even such mighty works are wrought by his hands? Is not this the carpenter, the son of Mary, the brother of James, and Joses, and of Juda, and Simon? and are not his sisters here with us? And they were offended at him. But Jesus said unto them, A prophet is not without honour, but in his own country, and among his own kin, and in his own house. And this brings us to Big David Lenigas.
As you know, Jordan Roy Byrne is the only technical analyst we take seriously ( sorry Sith Lord Zak Mir). As such we note that Jordan points out that the signs are close for declaring a new bull market in gold. The indicators are all showing positive. Both GDX and GDXJ have surged in their long term moving averages. We still need to rally up to the resistance levels but we are so close and the evidence is mounting. Lastly, he is looking for the ratio of gold compared to the stock markets to rise which is a classic bull market sign. All this is explained in the latest podcast from Palisade Capital.
For some reason the old boy has not been banging on about the Santa stockmarket Rally quite as much this year as usual. In that vein, for the chance to win a semi naked photo of Britain's top share blogger (mornings only) thirsty Paul Scott, please supply suitable captions for the picture below in the comments section. The deadline for entries is midnight Sunday... do your worst.
I start with a few Greek ramblings, The Iliad and the Greek Hovel, going to a bank, etc. Then I look at the wider stockmarket woes and then onto TrakM8 (TRAK), Versarien (VRS), BlueJay (JAY), FinnCrap (FCAP) and the resigning analyst and finally I have grave questions about the statement made on November 15 by Neil Woodford dog Eve Sleep (EVE). Surely there must be a steward's?
I start by referring you to a video just up of my labour of love, the Greek Hovel, which you can see HERE. Then I take apart the bullish nonsense about the stockmarket Malcolm Stacey served up yesterday HERE. Finally I look at IPOs planned for the next few weeks such as that of Sam Smith's FinnCap and broker AJ Bell. Why oh why go now? Surely they are both either mad or desperate? I discuss in detail why both should be avoided like the plague, referring also to the Funding Circle IPO debacle.
Sprott is the world's best known resource investor. If stockmarkets wobble, precious metals usually flourish so this bearish note is "talking its own book". None the less Sprott analyst Tekoa Da Silva makes some valid points in this note just out. Over to the expert...
In this podcast I look back of the events of the past week at Tesla, what it says about the state of the stockmarket and the wider market cycle and specifically about the state of mind of Elon Musk. is he certifiable or a genius holding a hand of Aces we do not know about? Or just so desperate he will do anything to keep the show on the road for a little bit longer?
I start, as ever, in Greece and with a book written in 1951. Humour me as I travel to Monemvasia. This is is about how we humans can interpret two sets of data and arrive at a conclusion that is understandable but proves utterly wrong. And that brings me to the state of the stockmarket. I explain six reasons why, for me, a correction is a when not an if but also why it may not be the end of the world.
The great Sam is clear. The job of a fraudster is to steal as much money as possible. So rule one is never do anything which distracts you from theft. Rule two is to ignore your critics completely. Firstly because attacking them breaks rule one, it leaves less time for stealing and secondly because it only goads the critics and gives them the oxygen of publicity. That brings us to James Longley of Plutus Powergen (PPG), Fandango Holdings (FHP), Papillion Holdings (PPHP) and Stranger Holdings (STHP) who is a liar, fraudster and thief.
Feck me this is painful. I have wasted 45 minutes of my life already and £138 (inc VAT) is about to be sent to god knows who to help create more stockmarket transparency. Feck me again, I really want to give up.
It is an old stockmarket truism, just like "everything tipped by both Zak Mir and Justin the Clown will always go down". But while the latter truism bears the test of time, proving to be 100% accurate how did the former do in 2017?
In a world in which "we do these things because they're easy", the outcome will eventually be very difficult and painful. On September 12, 1962, President John F. Kennedy gave a famous speech announcing the national goal of going to the moon by the end of the decade. In a memorable line, Kennedy said we would pursue the many elements of the space program "not because they are easy, but because they are hard." Both nationally and internationally the overriding economic philosophy is currently "we do these things because they're easy" and relying on debt to pay today's expenses is at the top of the list. What's easier than using a line of credit to buy whatever you want or need? Nothing's easier than borrowing money, especially at super-low rates of interest.
In part one of this two part bearcast I looked at the political ramifications of last night's disaster. Now in this podcast I look at the implications for the real economy, for sterling, for the housing market and for the stockmarket from FTSE 100 stocks down to AIM.
Artificial political constructs never last. The EU is great for the “elites” in Brussels; not so much for the average citizen and the tragedy of monetary union is that Europe's political class has gone to extreme lengths to hold the euro together regardless of underlying economic logic. But this has only perpetuated and exacerbated the coming political crisis. "Monetary union has created a conflict between a centralised elite on the one hand, and the forces of democracy at the national level on the other. This is extraordinarily dangerous,” Mervyn King wrote in his recent book 'The End of Alchemy'.
As the Rangers (RFC) comedy show is back into town again. I could not resist it. Elewhere I discuss Challenger (CHAL), Concha (CHA), a golden stockmarket rule or two, Strategic Minerals (SML) and how its honesty on matters LOC compares to that of the liars running the fraud African Potash (AFPO), Quadrise Fuels (QFI) and then in some detail, Telit Communications (TCM)
Libertarian gold bug Peter Schiff is one of my heros and his latest podcast reminds us all why the stockmarket may be hitting recorcd highs but it is clearly way overvalued.
In today's podcast I look at the new rules Aviva is implemententing in the name of gender equality. They are not needed and are bad news for all concerned. It is yet another sign of how Britain is losing the plot on capitalism. I then offer up three clear signs that we are at a market top and why it pays to be very wary.
For almost 20 years, the spiv Darren Winters has been making a killing charging mug punters five figure sums for utterly worthless stockmarket courses. His salesman get punters to sign pieces of paper which they say do not bind them to anything then bully and threaten folks for thousands of pounds. In 2015 we started to expose this conman and Winters threatened us with legal action unless we desisted HERE. We said "see you in Court Bitchez!" and he declined that offer. We then started funding various cases of folks who Winters was trying to fleece. Winters has used google to try to stop people finding out about this (see HERE) but yesterday one case came to Court. It was a disastrous humiliation for Winters - who sent his ghastly Mrs Tatjana to represent him - and ouzo o'clock for ShareProphets & the Sheriff of AIM. Here is the story of Mr O.
This week, and for one week only, we widen the scope of this contest. As ever, to win simply post the greatest example of idiocy from the Bulletin Boards or twitter relating to shares and the stockmarket in the comments section below. But this week you can also win with comments made on social media or placards from the "wimmin's march" yesterday, from a Donald Trump hater showing the greatest lack of intellectual rigour. The deadline for entries is midnight on Sunday 29th January.
Following news of the latest investigaton into it cooking its own books, shares in Aussie law firm now trade at 29 cents down from c$8 when it blew £649 million buying 92% the assets of Quindell less than two years ago. Blowing up your balance sheet buying the biggest stockmarket fraud in 30 years is not a smart move. And as such I am delighted to see this release from the Aussie poltroons:
Those who lost money on Teathers Financial (TEA) must have assumed that there would be no stockmarket comeback for those involved in incidents such as THIS and THIS as well as the complete wipeout for shareholders. No self respecting adviser would inflict another such creation on public markets would they. But we reckoned without London's worst Nomad, the tax averse Mr Roland "Fatty" Cornish.
My day at the olive harvest was tiring and curtailed only slightly by Vreki - details HERE. But that explains the late bearcast on a day of stockmarket insanity. I discuss Santa rallies and some true indicators of the lunacy that abounds. At a company level I comment on Cloudtag (CTAG), Servision (SEV), African Potash (AFPO), Advanced Oncotherapy (Hee Hee), Metal Tiger (MTR), Amur Minerals (AMC) and Strat Aero (AERO).
The first Trump Clinton debate is tomorrow and here's hoping for a knockout for The Donald - I am just so glad that Gennifer Flowers will be in the front row as I explain HERE. But what does a Trump win or a Clinton win for that matter mean for the stockmarket? I am a market bear and selling my shares as I explained yesterday HERE. Does who wins the US General Election make any difference? I discuss this in detail.
It is the anniversary of 9/11, the Al-Qaeda attack on the twin towers in New York. I look back on that with a few thoughts notably on how we in the West have rewritten history in such an Orwellian manner as we repeat our past errors. I then look at what the market for classic cars is telling you about the stockmarket and house prices. It is not good. I've been here before and know how it will end.
I have been re-reading "Empire, how Britain Made The Modern World" by Niall Ferguson this weekend and it has some quite incredible stockmarket data and lessons for us all. It is a great read as I discuss.
Earlier this week I discussed HERE how eternity in hell might involve being lectured by a ponce from Bristol City Council on Health & Safety Rules and EU regulations on child car seats. I have another vision of hell today and it involves the Mother in law, Mothercare and discussions about prams. On other, more stockmarket related matters, I discuss, in some detail, Avanti Communications (AVN), Grafenia (GRA) and Glenwick (GWIK). I have a few more words on our devastating expose earlier today (HERE) on Strat Aero (AERO) and I offer praise up to the delightfully politically incorrect Anthony Coombs of S&U (SUS) for his trading statement today covering Brexit in which he sticks it firmly to the liberal chattering classes of doomsayers.
The worst newspaper in the world in the truth and analysis department is the Guardian and its worst columnist is the loathsome haridan Polly Toynbee. Silly Polly has today caused the stockmarket to surge as I explain. I then move onto FastJet (FJET), Teathers Financial (TEA), Tern (TERN) & Nigel's dynamite expose today and an array of AIM crack whores: Servision (SEV), Eden Research (EDEN) and Cloudtag (CTAG). Warning: this podcast contains some very bad language.
Earlier, in Independence Day Bearcast part 1, I looked at how we the people had given the elites a well deserved kicking on the Brexit poll and what that says for Europe as a whole. Now I turn to the political panto but more importantly to waht happens to Sterling and the stockmarket and I mention a few stocks featuring today. Don't panic but be realistic is the message.
I start with a look at how in stockmarket terms insanity begets insanity. No this is not how David Lenigas thinks of me and my mother but our case study here is Highland Natural Resources (HNR). I think explain why good journalism, that is to say breaking stories that are price sensitive, is not breaking the law. Finally as the polls move our way I ponder how you make money when team Brexit wins the EU referendum. One reason why I think we might win is how Labour voters are shifting and that is covered in a podcast on my own website HERE.
During every period of market nerves there are calls by the crooks and the fools to ban short selling. But does this go far enough. Back in 2009 after the last global financial crisis (which Gordon Brown managed to solve) Benjamin Dover took this matter to its logical conclusion and explained to the SEC why the answer was to ban share selling altogether. What a genius...Ben writes:
I gave this presentation in Clerkenwell last night. I am not predicting a crash but I am suggesting that the debt and QE bubble is only starting to unwind and will go much further
Tomorrow I shall be in New York with my daughter and her uber-mad lefty godparents. Yesterday I spent the day with my wife's family including her barking mad (Greek) brother in law. He has numerous good qualities and is very likeable but a couple of major blind spots. I managed to control myself as he claimed that the evil Jews were behind 9/11 and controlled global banking. Then he moved onto capitalism. He has it wrong but so does the stockmarket from the FTSE 100 down to the AIM casino. In 2016 chickens will come home to roost for both.
I am sure folks my age know who sang that classic. The year it came out I was living in Brooklyn. I'm back. Boy its changed. The corner where I used to come out of the subway and get offered drugs is now a plush little oasis. I sit in the Starbucks opposite. How things have changed. In today's bearcast I look at the real scandal and failings at HBOS, explain why flip flop's view of AIM is, like that of the Clown on ADVFN, narrow and distorted and flag up a few interesting factoids explaining my increasing bearishness about the stockmarket.
We do not normally run adverts on this website for commercial enterprises but I was just wondering where to take the Mrs on a romantic weekend when a kind shareholder in Sefton Resources (SER) sent me this archived link to a charming little B&B, sometimes described - innacurately - as a castle in the Malvern hills. Apparently it is run by an elderly couple but the young son earns a bit of pocket money doing the washing up and helping out now and again.
On the agenda: stockmarket similarities with 2011, why the Federal Reserve would be wrong to raise interest rates, fading global liquidity, when and why commodity prices will turn and which non-English speaking countries speak the language of the US, UK and others the best.
In this podcast I discuss why I welcome a market correction which I regard as inevitable. I explain why I view it as inevitable - following on from themes in this Saturday show - but say why I welcome it. I look forward to the day because a) as a long term investor it will allow me to buy great stocks at bargain prices - and yes I am looking at FTSE 100 stocks - and b) because it will force a belated clean out of the Augean stable that is the UK stockmarket today. I look back to 2003 for some inspiration.
Howdy Share Seekers. When I first started writing for the newly-formed Sharecrazy website in 2000, the world and his wife were trading shares. I could not take a taxi ride without the driver expressing an opinion on his portfolio. The secretaries at work were swapping stock market ideas. The milkman had a pretty thick portfolio of stocks.
In a few hours Mr Darren Winters will stand up as a main stage speaker at a marginal investor show in London. Most media organisations will not give him airtime but some are so devoid of principle that they will take his money to allow him to peddle his snake oil. I explained yesterday why so many of his claims are bogus HERE, now to how he gets folks to part with their cash.
Darren Winters claims to be the UK’s top financial trainer and to have assisted over 400,000 people learn about the stockmarket. Yet most reputable financial companies including ADVFN and ourselves refuse to have anything to do with him, viewing him as an utter charlatan. Having spoken at length to a former employee of his I shall over the course of two articles explain why you should have nothing to do with this man or with any media organisation that takes his cash to allow him to peddle his snake oil to its customers. Only unprincipled scumbags deal with Winters taking his cash to allow their customers to get screwed.
Stock markets moved higher on Thursday after merger and acquisition talks between US corporations kept instability in Europe at bay. Crude oil futures jumped almost 5% as news broke of escalating violence in Libya and Nigeria and this helped energy stocks continue recent advances as investors weighed up market supply constraints.
For a company which has lost 94% of its stockmarket value in six years and has chalked up a $3.3 million (£2.1 million) first-half loss, funding a $300 million project to mine a mineral whose price has dropped 50% in a year must present certain challenges. Yet Sable Mining Africa (SBLM) is exuding characteristic confidence as its directors consider the alternatives open to the AIM-quoted outfit to bring its Nimba iron ore project in Guinea, one of the West African countries in the ebola front line, to fruition.
Hello Share Muddlers. The old Stockmarket is still stodgy. But this is not the time to sell shares, in my humble opinion. As I've tried to say before recently, the reasons for the slowdown are not very good ones.
How to clean up AIM at a stroke? Shimple. Listen to my pal Sam Antar and accept that it is individuals not companies that commit or aid fraud and go after them. A simple suggestion to clean up the market at a stroke.
It was nice to see the stockmarket rally somewhat towards the end of the day on Friday. It made me think a lot of what I do now is just save up money to buy more shares. I was tempted to buy some more BP (BP.) shares when they fell to around 409p, and by the end of the day I felt that I have enough to purchase some more of any type of shares. Now obviously I am not Warren Buffet, but I think I try to emulate some of his characteristics - at least more than most people of my age. Let’s look through some of them.
ECR Minerals (ECR), an out-of-favour AIM-listed company with decidedly entrepreneurial Australian origins, is celebrating some encouraging sampling results from its Sierra de Las Minas gold project in Argentina, as it awaits developments at its flagship gold joint venture at Itogon in the northern Philippines Island of Luzon. The London-based company, which has lost more than 93% of its stockmarket value in four years and says its strategy is to delineate ‘high-grade, low-tonnage deposits’, says the Argentine sampling has yielded results including 1.6 metres with no less than 28.4 grammes of gold per tonne of ore, 0.2 metres with a bonanza 62.5 grammes a tonne and 6.1 metres with 3.77 grammes a tonne.
Even in its quietest periods there is always something happening in the stockmarket. Scandals, mergers, take-over bids (real or rumoured) and new flotations are ready to break up the tedium when shares are neither rising nor falling. And a nimble-witted investor can profit from almost any of these situations - if she jumps the right way. Here are some typical market 'stories’ with advice on how you may be able to exploit them.
After four weeks of stockmarket falls is it time to buy shares? Yes and No. In his video postcard this week Tom Winnifrith looks at earnings visibility, value investing, long term investing, Tesco (TSCO) and stocks to avoid. The Q word is not mentioned once!
The FTSE 100 is not plunging. But it will be coming off and some individual company share moves tell you an awful lot about the state of the stockmarket and I am not only talking about Quenron (QPP) which of course gets a good mention in today’s podcast.
In this week’s financial video postcard Tom Winnifrith discusses how the mood of investors is changing as the stockmarket falls to new year lows. Delusion, becomes denial becomes acceptance becomes anger.
This video is superb, In a humourous way it demonstrates why bears & short sellers provide such a valuable service to the stockmarket and it promises another major China fraud expose next week. I am almost tempted to head off to the Big Apple for the party...
You know that I am an equities bear. So too is Gerald Celente, the well-known precious metals investor. His view is that we are heading for stockmarket disaster as we pump up the biggest bubble in history. This view was clearly explained in an interview he gave to my colleagues at Palisade Capital this week.