Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Woodford and another £10m down the Proton Partners pan - a new valuation scandal
Published 38 days ago
No doubt Neil Woodford will be delighted that his good friends at Crystal Amber think they can realise the equivalent of 123p a share from Allied Minds (ALM). No matter it is a loss, it will be cash in the bank – much needed – IF Crystal gets control and IF the assets are worth what they think and IF they manage to sell them. Meanwhile, dear old Neil – having yet again spunked more other people’s money on Kier (KIE) which promptly fell to a new low - is now faced with a cash-call from Autolus (Nasdaq: AUTL). What will he do?
Published 39 days ago
In today's bearcast I look at Cabot Energy (CAB), Andalas Energy (ADL), Eve Sleep (EVE), Indivior (INDV) and, with Neil Woodford in mind, Allied Minds (ALM). To join the roll call of heros go HERE
Published 40 days ago
There has been lots of good news for Neil Woodford – aside from the joke listing of Proton Partners on NEX. Last night, AIM-listed investment company Crystal Amber Fund Limited (CRS) announced its monthly NAV and in it we learn that it wants to take over the running of Allied Minds with a view to winding it down. The good news is it thinks it can realise the assets at a big premium to the then current share price. The bad news…..well, the criticisms of the current arrangements are eyewatering. Was Neil really happy with this, and if not, why did he not do something about it?
Published 242 days ago
With the end-August portfolio listings coming out yesterday, it is time to update the story and it is not looking any rosier. In fact, quite the reverse. I think matters may be coming to a head here and I reckon Woodford needs a lucky break for once and pretty damn quickly.
Published 248 days ago
Following the poor trading update last week from RM2 International (RM2) that I covered HERE, its interims were issued this morning and are largely as expected but still worth a quick look and it’s time to place your bets as to whether Mr Woodford is going to throw another $17 million in to the pot.
Published 257 days ago
I smiled at yesterday’s announcement from Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) summarising the “summer of milestones” achieved across the portfolio as I imagine that is just buttering up the audience before the bevy of bad news hits. From my point of view, September is going to be a hellish month for Mr Woodford so welcome to ‘I-Spy Woodford’s September Hell’
Published 280 days ago
Allied Minds (ALM) was due to release its interims at the end of this week but put out a rather strange statement this morning delaying it until the end of September. I thought it would be helpful to offer up an explanation as the situation is more complex and worrisome that this morning’s five-line announcement might indicate.
Published 467 days ago
One wonders what Neil Woodford has been doing in the face of Cynical Bear’s onslaught against his funds. Reading Cynical’s pieces, it is clear that the Woodford house was edging ever closer to disaster. Now it seems that the effluent is indeed in collision with the air conditioning: we’ve had disasters at Purplebricks (PURP) and Capita (CPI), and there’s a stockmarket correction (at least we hope that’s all it is) underway. Oh, and we have numbers from the AA on Thursday – hardly the ideal time to take a hatchet to its dividend! So what has Mr Woodford been up to? Well, why change a winning formula!
Published 469 days ago
I note that for the first time the NAV of the Woodford Income Focus Fund (C Accumulation Units) has fallen below the 100p launch and that includes 3 reinvested dividends.
Published 472 days ago
As we have seen with the debacles at Provident Financial, Capita and elsewhere, Britain's most conceited fund manager, Neil "Nomates" Woodford likes to bet - other people's money - against the herd. A share price is tanking, the market must be wrong. The bears are adding to their shorts. They must be wrong too. Nomates always knows best, I demonstrated this with a chart looking at Capita (CPI) the other day HERE. Now I offer up three more Woodford dogs...
Published 473 days ago
My conclusion to The Big Short series over Christmas was that although it was a long-term play, Neil Woodford was only a few pieces of “bad luck” away from a speedier, more dramatic implosion. This week’s Capita (CPI) news is the second of those already and we’re only one month in. Further to the excellent pieces on Capita yesterday (HERE and HERE), a few further observations on the wider Woodford story from me.
Published 500 days ago
I’ve been smiling this week at the comments on Woodford’s website as the moderators are desperately sticking to the party line regardless of what is happening in reality or what Woodford himself is briefing to investors privately. Let me explain in the context of his Income Focus Fund.
Published 512 days ago
Er….hi, just me again! This Chapter of “The Big Short” looking at Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) wasn’t in the original draft manuscript sent to my editor but as something truly astounding was pointed out to me in the comments of my piece yesterday, I thought I’d better add to the opus. Hat tip to Robert Dwek for spotting it.
Published 557 days ago
US bear raider Kerrisdale has launched a savage attack on the largest holding in the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) the closed end fund managed by Nomates. The nature of the WPCT means that if Kerrisdale is even half right, Nomates is in big trouble.
Published 612 days ago
In today's bearcast I take a detailed look at Allied Minds (ALM) another Woodford disaster waiting to happen and then at 60% overvalued Blenheim Natural Resources (BNR). I comment on accident prone DX Group (DX.) before asking where's Debbie gone? Yes has the Milestone (MSG) boss been resigned already?
Published 799 days ago
I start with the tale of Concha (CHA) and Ve Interactive from earlier - see HERE. What does that tell us about bubbles, especially in tech. Watch out for similar catastrophes at companies such as Allied Minds (ALM) and FastForward (FFWD). I then move onto the Budget and Chancellor Hammond's betrayal of the self employed which gives a lie to the idea that this Government wants to reach out to those Just About Managing and to those who are prepared to risk all to do what this country needs and become an entrepreneur.
Published 998 days ago
Having queried earlier this week why Allied Minds (ALM) sought to open a credit facility with a US bank, I was looking forward to the release of the company’s half-year report this morning. It’s been a busy period for the company, with new rounds of capital raising and new investments across a range of subsidiaries.
Published 1001 days ago
Early-stage bioscience and technology investor Allied Minds (ALM) is scheduled to release interim results on Thursday of this week, but updates the market this morning with a twin RNS release. In a surprise move, it announces that it has secured a $20 million debt facility from a US bank. Why?
Published 1196 days ago
Just a reminder that it is Shrove Tuesday or, as younger folks might say, Pancake Day. Next up I shall be asking what you are giving up for Lent? I shall be giving up expressing my undiluted admiration for Britain's leading chanteuse Ms Cheryl Cole. Back to shares and I discuss what is real asset backing and what is it worth with relation to Allied Minds (ALM) and Cambian (CMBN) and a piss poor trading statement from Tungsten (TUNG). I express some displeasure with MX Oil (MXO), now off any buy list, and then move onto Servision (SEV) which is heading to where Motive TV (MTV) is now - off another 50% at 0.00p
Published 1225 days ago
At the 18th April 2015 UK Investor Show, the top shorts of bears Evil Knievil, Lucian Miers, Matt Earl and Kevin Ashton were announced. As noted HERE, we're monitoring progress of those also having been identified as shorts by significant investment companies...
Published 1231 days ago
Apparently when going short of Home Retail (HOME) uber-posh fund manager Crispin Odey made some fairly nasty comments about poor people (aka folks who buy shares in David Lenigas companies). Well he has been burned today and that reminds me of a classic episode of The Young Ones (see below). I reflect on why shorting is a bad risk reward play and what that means and also on the idiocy of buying by following fund managers. I mention Tungsten (TUNG) and Allied Minds (ALM) in this respect. Elsewhere I ponder Totally (TLY) and the wisdom - in this case - of Wildes and then Greka Drilling (GDL), Evocutis (EVO) and Golden Saint (GSR).
Published 1233 days ago
The share tips of the year from Joanne Hart in the Mail on Sunday Midas column are interesting. I look back on the days when I worked with Jo and then review the three tips: Allied Minds (ALM), Elegant Hotels (EHG) and Telford Homes (TEF) which I kind of think are all macro calls as much as company specific ones.
Published 1336 days ago
Our very own Janos Hipsley flagged Allied Minds (ALM) as a stonking sell at 660p back in May - HERE. The shares are now 451p down 12.7% on the day as US bear raiders Kerrisdale went on the war path. It has released a pretty damming report.
Published 1403 days ago
If you want me to analyse a stock for you just drop me a line at [email protected] - Today I look at Allied Minds (ALM), Armstrong Ventures (AVP), Savannah Petroleum (SAVP).
Published 1427 days ago
If you want me to analyse a stock for you just drop me a line at [email protected] - Today I look at Allied Minds, Jimmy Choo, Diageo.
Published 1459 days ago
If you want me to analyse a stock for you just drop me a line at [email protected] - Today I look at Allied Minds, Northern Petroleum and Plethora Solutions.
Published 1478 days ago
Allied Minds (ALM), as we have discussed previously, is an R&D-focused company with interests in “life sciences and high technology”. In its own words, “Allied Minds' core aim is to focus on early-stage disruptive technologies that it believes have significant upside potential and to realise that potential through supporting commercial development.” There are few instances of companies with almost zero revenue generation entering the FTSE-350, but this is one of them.
Published 1497 days ago
How’s this for a stonking sell? Allied Minds (ALM) is a member of the FTSE-350 index and is capitalised at £1.55 billion. This is rather impressive for a company which in the six months to June 2014 reported revenues of $2.9 million and a loss of $27.2 million.