Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: So Roger Lawson & the share selling twit from Accesso, just how do you want to control me?
Tungsten – “achieved its first annual EBITDA profit”… but what about cash & the rest of the balance sheet?
Caption Contest: Neill Ricketts of Versarien seeks guidance from a strong and stable proven winner edition
As the five year launch anniversary approaches for Woodford Equity Income Fund, another line in the sand approaches as the race to the bottom accelerates
Published 110 days ago
Covering Quindell (QPP), Naibu (NBU), Patisserie Holdings (CAKE), Staffline (STAF), Sefton (SER) and more I look at the role of auditors and lawyers in enabling corporate fraud and what needs to change to stop this.
Published 113 days ago
I know that Thirsty Paul Scott was a major bull of Staffline (STAF) and a shareholder. Today's shocking news of allegations of accounting irregularities made by the company's own auditor PWC and a share suspension is enough to turn any man to drink. In this podcast I give background and explain what I think the outcome will be. It is bad but not, I suspect, a Patisserie Holdings (CAKE) but it might get very nasty.
Published 114 days ago
I am plagued today by Bulletin Board Morons reporting me to the FCA, by Roger Lawson and some ungracious comments on fraud busting at Globo (GBO), Quindell (QPP) and Patisserie Holdings (CAKE) and by our former in house Bulletin Board Loon who has returned to really rile me with some vile comments on the holocaust which expose him as the Jew hating vermin that he is - HERE. I comment on Angus Energy (ANGS), UK Oil & Gas (UKOG), Domino's Pizza (DOM), Feedback (FDBK), Photonstar Led (PSL), Starcom (STAR) and Cabot Energy (CAB). Footnote, Roger is now planning to run an amendment flagging up that I did advise folks to sell/short Patisserie warning "something's not right". Roger you are a gent.
Published 121 days ago
How I suffer for you dear listeners. All is explained. Then there is a long discussion on the administration of Patisserie Holdings (CAKE). I move on with a few more words on The Escape Group (ESC) which I covered HERE and then look at Eve Sleep (EVE) and the folly of Neil Woodford, Scancell (SCLP), Anglesey Mining (AYM), Ariana (AAU), Bluebird Merchant Ventures (BMV), Chesterfield (CHF) and Metro Bank (MTRO). Finally it is one day to ouzo time (again) on Frontera Resources (FRR).
Published 124 days ago
In this podcast I look at the utterly useless coverage of the LCF scandal provided by the Sunday Times which seeks to blame the poor old FCA for daring to trying to stop a ponzi. I then look at the bloodbath on the high street and the madness and denial of some. There is comment on Patisserie Holdings (CAKE) and Pizza Express and also on house prices in New York and what that tells us about Brexit.
Published 127 days ago
In today's bearcast recorded before my first training walk for Woodlarks I look at Sabien (SNT) and ask if CyanConnode (CYAN) misled ahead of its last bailout placing. I deal with the nature of fraud, the culpability of Luke Johnson (there is none) and Patisserie Holdings (C AKE) and then explain why I think Malcolm's stance on the bankers is bonkers
Published 127 days ago
My pal Luke Johnson used to be known as Lucky. Just like Lord Lucan. Luke does not stand accused of butchering his nanny and is not fleeing the country but there is blood on the streets round at Patisserie Holdings (CAKE) and Luke’s luck seems to have run out. Though I was a perma bear on Patisserie it gives me no pleasure to be revealed as a superb journalist once again...
Published 159 days ago
As I have noted before, it is probably a good thing that the UK economy is not based on my personal consumption habits, especially when the highlight of my annual 'pre-Christmas trip to the shops' was purchasing an advent calendar marked down from its original price by over 75%... A very cheap way to buy some good quality chocolates (and - naturally - to ascertain the quality level I had to consume days one to fifteen in one sitting).
Published 207 days ago
After everything that has happened to Patisserie Holdings (CAKE) in recent weeks, it is of little surprise that today's deadwood press includes an article about a potential bidder for the business:
Published 209 days ago
Many years ago the appearance of the company’s auditors on site would send shock-waves through the work-force. Everyone would do absolutely everything by the book and mind their Ps and Qs – and breathe a sigh of relief when the bean-counters departed the scene, according to my late mum who spent a youthful period out of school working for Guinnesses in Dublin.
Published 211 days ago
A marginally less bad day today for AIM-listed Patisserie Holdings (CAKE), owners of Patisserie Valerie in that there was good news in with the bad as announced just before 9am this morning. The good news is that a winding up petition against its main trading subsidiary, Stonebeach Ltd, has been thrown out. Good news: no trip to the insolvency shop, then. As for the bad news, it is a relatively small matter but perhaps tells us what may have been going on.
Published 219 days ago
Published 220 days ago
First things first - we have almost raised the £2,500 needed for the Woodlarks Christmas grotto. I am sure you can spare a fiver to get us over the line HERE. Secondly, I am in London tomorrow and on the warpath and hope to see many of you HERE. I was distracted today doing a radio interview with my friend and hero the great Kelvin McKenzie of "gotcha!" fame. That covered Patisserie Holdings (CAKE) and fraud and I continue with that theme. I also look at Superdry (SDRY), First Derivatives (FDP), Frontera (FRR) and Purplebricks (PURP).
Published 221 days ago
A few days ago I mused upon occurrences at Patisserie Holdings (CAKE) which I did not own shares in but intrinsically I liked...especially as a customer. It seems to me that my gut feel back then that the combination of a skilful fraudster, poor internal controls and a professional lack of duty from the auditor all contributed. As Luke Johnson - Chairman and biggest shareholder - noted in an article in lieu of his Sunday Times column this week:
Published 221 days ago
First of all please read abut the Christmas Woodlarks Santa's Grotto £2500 appeal and donate a tenner. If you like bearcast you know you can afford it. Details are HERE. This podcast covers the shameful and ignorant treatment of Luke Johnson over Patisserie Holdings (CAKE) and I stand in defence of Luke. This country needs more folks like him not fewer and much, if not all, of today's coverage is shockingly bad in every respect..
Published 223 days ago
It’s been an eventful week on AIM. Patisserie Holdings’ (CAKE) announcement of “significant, and potential fraudulent, accounting irregularities” on Wednesday blindsided the investment community. Urals Energy (UEN) is comparatively smaller, but the company’s discovery of an unauthorised loan made with its funds – meaning the firms “working capital position will be significantly constrained” – brought some more unwanted bad press; UEN shares slid 31.3% since the announcement. With AIM firms making the news, we take at the current state of broker and tipster sentiment towards AIM over the last 30 days.
Published 223 days ago
In today's podcast I start with a brief but of macro babble then look at RM2 (RM2) specifiocally but also at the wider Neil Woodford stable* of dogs. Then I discuss whether I'd buy into Patisserie Holdings (CAKE) at 50p. It is certainly not the same as Conviviality (CVR) which Thirsty Paul Scott bet heavily on the day before it went bust. There are similarities but 1 big difference.
Published 225 days ago
In today's bearcast I start with a look at Patisserie Holdings (CAKE) run by my pal Luke Johnson and I discuss the nature of fraud. I look at Sosandar (SOS) again and get really very angry (warning bad language alert), at FastJet (FJET), Telford Homes (TEF) and the folly of Government policy, Online Blockchain (OBC), and at Urals Energy (UEN) and the folly of the AIM Cesspit.
Published 226 days ago
Just when you think you have seen almost everything the market could throw at you...news today that Patisserie Holdings (CAKE) shares are suspended after 'the board of directors of the Company...has been notified of significant, and potentially fraudulent, accounting irregularities and therefore a potential material mis-statement of the Company's accounts'. Well we know what majority shareholder and Chair of the company Luke Johnson will be coordinating for the next few days, if not weeks and months…
Published 284 days ago
It has been a busy last few weeks grappling with the global results season, so i had a couple of quieter days on Friday and Saturday and, at one point, found myself at a newish shopping centre half-an-hour or so from where I live. I do not find the idea of retail therapy particularly exciting or refreshing but as I am in a minority of one on this...unto the breach and all that. It was not long before i cheered up pointing out my perceptions on which retail outlet was doing well or badly based on footflow, the look of the store etc, etc. I am not sure if my daughters were particularly interested in all this...
Published 509 days ago
The Boxing Day high street sales data was poor but what does this one set of data mean? There are bigger macro trends which should fill retailers with fear, I discuss Patisserie Valerie (CAKE), Debenhams (DEB), Mothercare (MTC) and Fishing Republic (FISH) , three of four of which will go bust.
Published 542 days ago
Luke Johnson was bang on the money at the weekend in his description of the current market madness. In that vein I discuss Milestone (MSG), On Line (ONL), Vela (VELA) and Tizania (TLS). This will end in tears. I take my hat off to Luke Johnson after today's results from Patisserie Valerie (CAKE) but still have two major concerns, a three if you include valuation. I look at Andalas (ADL) and its new death spiral funding and also cover Kefi (KEFI) and Falanx (FLX)
Published 1288 days ago
If you want me to analyse a stock for you just drop me a line at [email protected] - Today I look at shares in Kennedy Ventures, Patisserie Holdings and Strategic Minerals, setting share price targets for all three stocks.