Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: Clueless Chancellor Hammond gets it all wrong on snowflakes and the housing market
Published 17 days ago
Even large, FTSE-100 shares can go through periods where seemingly every piece of news brings about a decline in the share price, and the company seems to be hit by one negative revelation after another. But as long as there isn’t anything wrong with the underlying business, then often these are just temporary blips and can offer the sort of recovery opportunities, and potential returns, that you don’t see often with outfits of this size.
Published 39 days ago
CityFibre (CITY) is one of those companies where I really struggle to see how the market cap is justified, even allowing for future potential and growth prospects. I covered the company bearishly around a year ago when two of the directors offloaded some of their shares when the price was 63p – albeit that they didn’t hold many of them anyway.
Published 87 days ago
Unfortunately a lot of early stage media and technology companies can look to have huge potential but then fail to really live up to expectations, and I think that has definitely been the case with Gfinity (GFIN).
Published 97 days ago
There are times when a large background seller can present a good buying opportunity, and an institutional investor offloading shares isn’t always a sign that the company is failing to perform.
Published 109 days ago
Even with shares which have exhibited steady share price growth over a period of years there comes a time when you have to consider selling up and moving on, especially in cases where the market valuation looks to be ahead of the financials.
Published 111 days ago
Over the years I’ve watched the dying stages of a number of companies with interest, and in many cases you see a similar pattern in terms of share price movement.
Published 113 days ago
Luxury interior furnishings company Walker Greenbank (WGB) “is pleased to announce its pre-close trading update for the six months ended 31 July 2017” - with this commencing with that brand sales “were up 35.6% in reportable currency compared with the same period last year”. Sounds good, so why are the shares currently sliding back slightly?...
Published 130 days ago
Following the successful floatation of Fishing Republic (FISH) a couple of years back, it was only a matter of time before one of the other large fishing tackle retailers followed the same route, and we’ve just seen Angling Direct (ANG) list on the AIM market.
Published 148 days ago
Hello Share Smatterers. If anyone ever berates you for risking your money on penny shares, you might want to tell them the following tale.
Published 177 days ago
The People’s Operator (TPOP) was once a favourite with private investors but its share price has taken a tumble since the latter part of 2016. However, I believe that it is still well over-priced at its current level.
Published 213 days ago
Fishing Republic (FISH) is a company that I have been keeping a close eye on ever since it first listed on AIM back in June 2015 and, although I find it hard to see value at the current market cap, it is showing signs that it could grow into it.
Published 227 days ago
I always seem to come away from the UK Investor Show having found at least a couple of companies which I had never looked at previously piquing my interest, and this year’s event was no exception.
Published 285 days ago
Fevertree Drinks (FEVR) is a company that I have admittedly been wrong about in the past – I like the product and way the business has grown, but thought the valuation was crazy!
Published 286 days ago
A contract announcement from national financial advisory group Lighthouse (LGT) sees me catch-up on progress of this former tip – we having banked more than 50%, less than 6 month, gains on the shares at 14p following an offer approach a bit less than a year ago…
Published 290 days ago
Hello Share Punchers. I’ve just heard on the BBC more woes facing British hospitals. It does seem that most of them now have no slack and routine operations keep being put off, with nowhere to send many patients once beyond the surgeon’s knife.
Published 293 days ago
Hello Share Chuckers. While Uncle Tom has been plunged once again into another of the legal attacks he loves - and I urge you to read the latest fascinating news on that - I’ve been trying to find a publisher for my great novel.
Published 299 days ago
Whenever you get a big drop in the share price of FTSE350 companies it can represent a buying opportunity, depending of course on what caused the drop in the first place.
Published 389 days ago
So far I have been wrong about Purplebricks (PURP), but despite that I still view it as over-valued at the moment.
Published 407 days ago
Hello Share Mashers. To my cost most of the time, I am drawn to buy shares in companies which have eye-catching names. For example, I remember with regret my ill-fated investment in a cartoon maker called Sleepy Kids. Which makes me a little wary of commending to you an outfit called Jimmy Choo (CHOO.L) However it has a few points in its favour to make it worth a look on grounds other than monicker bias.
Published 437 days ago
Since previously updating on my share tips of the year last month – see HERE, both have had significant news…
Published 451 days ago
Often it can be hard to value companies in the media sector, and at times quite a lot of future revenue potential is being factored into the current share price and the rate of growth plays a big part in that.
Published 463 days ago
RedstoneConnect (REDS, formerly Coms) has announced an early lease exit, emphasising “not only does it remove the cash drain associated with this lease, it also allows us to focus entirely on our profitable RedstoneConnect business, unencumbered by legacy issues". The following updates, with the shares currently more than 8% higher, at 1.675p, in response...
Published 466 days ago
Hello Share Chimps. If you are a saver, the latest drop in interest rates is a bummer. How can you achieve anything like decent returns for your cash? Spend it on shares, of course. While you get nothing from your ordinary savings, you can still get up to 6% and even more by holding the right stock.
Published 487 days ago
Hello Share Twiners. If I am an optimistic bull as far as shares are concerned, then at least I am sometimes right. The current elevation of the Footsie, as it approaches 7,000 again, bears me out. Those who predicted a suicidal Footsie after Brexit were wrong. Many shares are simply blistering ahead, and show no reals signs of fizzling out. Yet Uncle Tom has just said in his bearcast that I am plain wrong to be so bullish.
Published 492 days ago
Last commenting on the company with the exclusive right to Domino's Pizza stores in Poland, DP Poland (DPP), I was sceptical of the valuation (and management greed). However, a “Trading Statement” announcement today sees the shares further higher. Hmmm…
Published 507 days ago
The Gym Group (GYM), the low-cost gym operator currently rolling out across the UK, has issued a strong trading update this morning which shows forward momentum continuing and providing further fuel for the growth thesis here.
Published 531 days ago
Online fashion retailer Koovs PLC (KOOV) is one of those companies where the market valuation continues to baffle me, and I can’t see any reason currently why the share price should be anywhere near as high as it is.
Published 533 days ago
Distil (DIS) was one of my tips for 2016 on ShareProphets, and the share price has performed very well so far this year, up 20% or so. The shares are now 1.15p mid. They will go far higher.
Published 545 days ago
The turnaround and growth investment company Volvere (VLE) has issued its preliminary results for the year ending December 2015, showing a huge jump in NAV per share following a successful divestment. NAV per share is up 32% to 569p, so that even after today’s share price rise it is trading at a 14% discount to NAV.
Published 548 days ago
Shares in a number of companies in the airlines sector are looking quite appealing at the current levels that they are trading at, and for me EasyJet (EZJ) falls into that category.
Published 557 days ago
Integrator of telephony systems into existing software, Synety Group (SNTY) has announced what its CEO, Simon Cleaver, considers “a resounding endorsement for our technology”. The shares have though currently responded just 1.4% higher to 72.5p. Hmmm…
Published 591 days ago
Hello Share Mongers. My house is furnished with vintage stuff. This is because my past was more enjoyable than my future. And I like to be reminded of when I was a young blade. So I feel a bit unwell whenever my wife approaches Ikea with her credit card in hand. Actually, it’s my credit card, which makes it worse.
Published 613 days ago
Banks have had a torrid time over the past few years, and few have been hit quite so hard as Standard Chartered (STAN), but this could present a longer term buying opportunity.
Published 631 days ago
With some businesses you need to include a fair bit of value for high growth rates, but in the case of Just Eat (JE.) I think it is currently over-valued.
Published 647 days ago
Yesterday I wondered why shares in fully listed Telecom Plus (TEP) had been dropping, and turned up a few nuggets in its interim statement and, of greater concern, a new £150 million loan facility on the Companies House website. Were these the cause of the drop since the turn of the year? Well perhaps not, for into my inbox has dropped an “underperform” note from top analysts RBS Capital Markets.
Published 734 days ago
The latest Financial Orbit Speaks reviews 2016 growth rates & policies, sentiment insights, the reason we need to be thankful to China and what we should think about a mega El Nino.
Published 813 days ago
Fishing Republic (FISH) is a company that I’ve been following with interest, and yesterday it announced its maiden half yearly results since listing on AIM on June 4 this year.
Published 848 days ago
Hello Share Swappers. There is a stagnant feel to the markets this happy July. Nothing seems to be moving very much, held back by the traders' summer hols, China and, to a lessening extent, Greece. But there are always some bunnies which are still running north. And if a share is sailing ahead, even in these stormy days, then it must have a lot going for it. One such perky stock is Photome (PHTM) the company which runs those little boxes that take selfies in railway and bus stations etc.
Published 1177 days ago
Shares in Goals Soccer Centres (GOAL) currently trade 4% higher today, at 221p, on the back of its results for the first half of the 2014 calendar year and with the company “confident in meeting its financial expectations for the current financial year and delivering long term value to its shareholders”. I update in the following having, at 192.5p, identified potential value in the shares early this year.
Published 1179 days ago
Over the last three weeks, the Baltic Dry Index has spiked nicely higher. Currently reading at 1,147, this is still short of the 1,600 level associated with reasonable global growth, but is a market improvement on the 750 level recorded in late July. Could this improvement be a sign of better things to come for mining stocks?
Published 1185 days ago
The post bank holiday cobwebs were well and truly blown away by this morning’s Telecity (TCY) regulatory statement innocuously titled ‘Board Change’. No third level non-executive director shuffling his range of fee paying obligations…no, this was a big one: the resignation of the CEO.
Published 1206 days ago
Over the last few days, I’ve written a series of pieces identifying potential points to go long the Dow, FTSE100 and German DAX. Further selling yesterday afternoon and evening has pulled the three indices closer to my targets. However, it is another index which is flashing a warning sign that all is not well with the story of global growth; the Baltic Dry Index.
Published 1210 days ago
Close Brothers (CBG) the small City banking, jobber (in smaller cap. shares under the Winterflood banner) and investment manager has just produced it close season trading statement, which surprised and pleased the market. In recent months the shares have been trading down; probably on the basis that that competition was increasing with the return of the poisoned legacy banks to more lending (e.g. RBS) and the growth of new lenders giving the UK banking a greater, more diverse and competitive market. The share price, last seen, was 1302p having come down from the last twelve month peak of 1503p, Over the year the share price rose 23% against the FTSE 100 Index rise of only 3.1%. After a period in the doldrums when the shares underperformed a sluggish market (up only 2% in the last six months) the share price is now perking up again.
Published 1211 days ago
Hello Share Smiths. There are a lot of dark predictions going around. Everybody seems to expect share prices to tumble. Our Uncle Tom Winnifrith is among the gloomy brigade. He thinks shares are overvalued. But I think all these dire expectations are being overdone.
Published 1214 days ago
Rapid Cloud (RCI) came to market back in 2013 and IPO'd at 54p. The business was formed back in 1999 so was hardly a start up and therefore a punt operation. Specialising in web development services, I explain below why I view this company as a speculative buy.
Published 1214 days ago
Hello Share Tweakers: According to the latest figures, growth in Britain is up by another 0.8%. It doesn't sound much, does it? But growth is so tiny usually, that the latest improvement is not minor at all. The happy fact is that Blighty's GDP is rising faster than anyone expected. It is now higher than before that infamous Credit Crunch in 2007-8. That is going some.
Published 1217 days ago
Westminster Group (WSG) is one of those companies that is yet to live up to its potential, but the right piece of news could change all of that. The company provides security services to various governments and private organisations across the world and is currently represented in 48 countries.
Published 1217 days ago
Hello Share Mashers: Inmarsat (ISAT) is a great British space-age techno company – but not as we know it, Jim. You may recall lots in the news about Inmarsat earlier this year. They were the ones who were looking for bits of wrecked plane in that big missing aircraft tragedy.
Published 1226 days ago
What we want is a lower pound dollar and Euro exchange to stimulate growth and investment. Goods and services purchased by overseas people who are not borrowing from UK Banks to finance it. But then the UK economy is a bit of a mystery at the moment. Entirely appropriate for the land that gave birth to the Arthurian legend of the Wizard Merlin
Published 1244 days ago
Hello Share Gang: The official UK growth figures are currently good. They took the government and most people in the Big City by surprise. They didn't surprise me. Growth is a snowball. Once it gets going it grows bigger faster than expected every time.
Published 1247 days ago
Hello Shares Peekers: I'm beginning to wonder if that old cliché about 'Going away in May and coming back on Leger day' is true, after all. For the last few months, we've been given a few false dawns in the long awaited bid to blast the old record of 6,900 or thereabouts. Now it seems shares are really retreating.
Published 1249 days ago
Time really does just fly past. It has been about a couple of months since my last Highlights publication – apologies for that – but the ever expanding range of activities under the Financial Orbit banner has kept me very busy. The good news is that new articles have been appearing on www.financialorbit.com every day despite the busy schedule…and the even better news is that I am looking to augment this with a restyled highlights piece each Saturday of four or five pages in length (of which this is the first one).