Results

This Week: BP Beats Estimates & an Unfortunate Week for Ocado

Published 13 days ago

BP (BP.) and Ocado (OCDO) released annual results on Tuesday this week and the market initially responded well to both: BP finished the day up +5.2%, with Ocado +4.2%. Things have taken a turn for the worse for Ocado following news of a fire at one of its fulfilment centres in Andover. Shares in the online supermarket are -14.4% since Tuesday’s close. In this week’s article we take a look at whether these events have altered broker and tipster opinion about the future of both firms.

Ocado – fire incident “now under control”, but having expanded last night

Published 15 days ago

Having announced yesterday lunchtime that “a fire started in a section of the ambient grid of our Andover CFC… The incident and the measures being taken to contain it appears to have affected a proportion of the mechanical handling equipment and some of the grid… Andover suspended operation this morning preventing further fulfilment of orders”, a further update today from Ocado (OCDO) commences; “Unfortunately the fire which started yesterday morning in a corner of the ambient grid was not contained as we believed, and last night expanded”...

REVIEWED: Performance of start of 2018 top shorted London-listed shares

Published 50 days ago

Early each year, we note the top shorted London-listed shares as at the start of the year. How did 2018's perform?...

Online Supermarket King Should See Shares Rise with Superior Selling Technology

Published 56 days ago

Hello, Share Samplers. Online shopping is likely to grow even faster in the future than it has in the recent past. A company well placed to take more than an average advantage of this fact is Ocado (OCDO). And that’s because this retailer has a super duper system for fulfilling orders that other companies will also want to use - at a price.

Stockmarket crash performance update: start of 2018 top shorted London-listed shares

Published 128 days ago

Early this year we showed the ten top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2018. After the recent market slide and compared to end-September, how's the latest performance?...

Ocado – interims argue ‘beginning to change the way the world shops’. Beginning to translate financially then?

Published 226 days ago

Ocado (OCDO) has announced results for its half year ended 3rd June 2018, with CEO Tim Steiner reckoning “the success of our technology platform continues to be demonstrated… we are beginning to fulfil our ambition to change the way the world shops”. Is this also beginning to be demonstrated financially then?...

Ocado valuation continues to reach even crazier heights

Published 278 days ago

Ocado (OCDO) has seen a significant rise in its share price in recent weeks and seems to have gained upwards momentum, but I would question how long that will last and still see it as very expensive at this point in time.

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Ocado can you smell burning bear paw?

Published 280 days ago

I suspect that Ocado (OCDO) is even more overvalued after today's share price surge on the Kroger deal - it goes to show the dangers of shorting anything other than an outright fraud in the current climate. I look at the FOBT news - Nanny State gets more and more bossy every day. I look also at Mothercare (MTC), Foxtons (FOXT) and WH Ireland (WHI)

Q1 performance update: start of 2018 top shorted London-listed shares

Published 323 days ago

Early this year we showed the ten top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2018. After the first quarter, how's performance?...

End February performance update: start of 2018 top shorted London-listed shares

Published 353 days ago

Early this year we showed the ten top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2018. After the latest month, how's performance?...

It is easy to see why Ocado is heavily shorted

Published 361 days ago

It isn’t hard to see why shopping delivery firm Ocado (OCDO) is one of the most shorted shares on the market, given its current valuation.

Top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2018

Published 413 days ago

We review the performance of the top shorted London-listed shares as at the start of each year. For 2017 that review is HERE and, from the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, we now have the ten top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2018...

Different Fortunes For the UK's Two Most Hated Stocks

Published 445 days ago

The fortunes of London’s two most shorted companies, Carillion (CLLN) and Ocado (OCDO) have differed sharply of late.

Autumn 2017 update: Top shorted London-listed shares

Published 465 days ago

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, we previously updated the top shorted London-listed shares HERE. The following is our Autumn update...

Late summer 2017 update: Top shorted London-listed shares

Published 540 days ago

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, we previously updated the top shorted London-listed shares HERE. Post Tom Winnifrith offering his top four short-able shorts in London and approaching the final third of 2017, the following updates...

Post half-year 2017 update: Top shorted London-listed shares

Published 587 days ago

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, we previously updated at Easter the top shorted London-listed shares HERE. The following updates, showing those with a current reported short position of +7% (those in bold new entrants post the Easter update)...

Tom Winnifritb Bearcast: lessons from Carillion, 88 Energy, MySQUAR and the faux political correctness of my father exposed

Published 591 days ago

Here I am in Shipston with my father who enjoys bearcasts if they mention him so just for that reason I record again. His faux political correctness is exposed by the issue of coverage of women's cricket in The Guardian - the dreadful newspaper he has delivered to try to fool my family of public sector "working" lefties that he is one of them. In terms of the market I look at Carillion (CLLN) and 88 Energy (88E). Shares in both companies are collapsing today and I look at why and at what lessons folks should be learning. You could so easily have avoided losing money on both. Please note Malcolm Stacey and other Ocado (OCDO) bulls, lesson one on Carillion is for you. I also make it clear that while he may have some of the attributes of a Bulletin Board Moron as he showed HERE, Evil Knievil is not, in fact, a BBM, I was just joshing him when I suggested otherwise. En passant I look at MySquar (MYSQ) and explain why today's exposes HERE and HERE may refer to events a long time ago but are pertinent. 

How About Ocado - if You Think On-line Shopping is Set to Get Even Stronger?

Published 595 days ago

Hello Share Smoothers. Ocado (OCDO) is one of those annoying companies which does not give you a clue as to what it does by its name. It is in fact an online supermarket. And it should have been called something like ‘The On-Line Supermarket.’ Never mind. Silly names is just one of my personal irritants in the share picking game.

Sell the Ocado Rally at 300p

Published 608 days ago

Until recently the stock market has been very kind to Ocado (OCDO), with the shares in May rising from 250p to nearly 320p valuing the enterprise at north of £2 billion. The company has though never remotely justified its market cap on fundamentals and has therefore needed to tease investors with hints of a huge, game-changing, deal.

Top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2017

Published 778 days ago

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the ten top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2017...

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: From A for Avanti to Z for Zero via F for Flea

Published 891 days ago

Still no news on Tom Jnr but I shall keep you posted. Actually the Mrs has banned the name Tom and is on a bit of a roll for cot related reasons. On the markets I look at Avanti Communications (AVN), Ocado (OCDO) and in detail Corero (CNS) and Tyratech (TYR) and cannot resist a smug mention of Wishbone Gold (WSBN) after my weekend comment HERE.

Cautious Ocado Statement sees shares slipping, shorters holding on for the win

Published 891 days ago

In my preview of Ocado’s Q3 trading statement, I suggested that the market cap was probably just too big. The statement released this morning is a win for the shorters as the shares retreat 14% to 276p.

Ocado Preview: London’s 3rd most shorted stock

Published 893 days ago

The Ocado (OCDO) share price remains volatile, as investors try to figure out whether this unusual business is headed for success or failure. Short interest remains incredibly high, and currently represents about 17.5% of shares outstanding, making it a top 3 bear target in London! Let’s take a look in advance of next Tuesday’s Q3 trading statement.

Ocado - a compelling short

Published 1028 days ago

Bears have a saying “never be short in company” but I have made an exception to this rule today and reopened a bear at 308p in Ocado (OCDO)  the second most shorted company on the market (after Carillion). 

Ocado Group – trading update reckons “steady progress”, but what about cash generation?

Published 1073 days ago

I previously updated on online retailer and technology group Ocado (OCDO), questioning whether its results for its year ended 29th November 2015 really represented “good progress in a challenging market environment” HERE. The following reviews a latest trading update – this time emphasising “we are pleased with the steady progress in our business”. Hmmm…

Ocado Group – full-year results, it reckons “good progress”. Really?

Published 1115 days ago

Online retailer and technology group Ocado (OCDO) has announced results for its year ended 29th November 2015 trumpeting “good progress in a challenging market environment”. Really?

Reviewed: Performance of the most shorted London-listed shares as at the start of 2015

Published 1134 days ago

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, we recently detailed the most shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2016 - see HERE. Is this worth paying some attention to? The following reviews the 2015 performance of the most shorted such shares as at the start of that year (those in bold also on the 2016 list), completing our review of 2015 (which has included of the ShareProphets writers share tips of the year HERE, the China AIM 'Filthy Forty' HERE, the AIM shares shorted HERE and the 2015 UK Investor Show bear calls HERE)...

The most shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2016...

Published 1137 days ago

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following details the disclosed most shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2016...

Tom Winnifrith's comments on Boohoo.com are utter nonsense

Published 1249 days ago

This article was posted as a comment on ShareProphets but after discussion with Tom Winnifrith I am happy for it to gain a wider audience and Tom is very keen that both sides of the argument be heard. Tom's articles and bearcasts on Boohoo (BOO) are utter nonsense. Let's take each point in turn;

Zak Mir's Bull Call Of The Day: Ocado - The Strongest Supermarket?

Published 1333 days ago

It is ironic that its “real” counterparts have struggled to prove themselves to the market, while with difficulty even turning a profit online grocer Ocado has been one of the more resilient plays at least in share price terms. 

The top 20 single net short positions in London - 17/04/2015

Published 1400 days ago

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following details the 20 highest single net short positions and the changes (red if short increased, green if reduced) since a previous analysis HERE.

Q1 2015 Performance Update: top 20 single net short positions in London

Published 1408 days ago

From the weekly table published on this website, the following updates how the top 20 single net short positions in London have performed (green indicates the shares were not in the last weekly table of the quarter HERE, with the noted 'closing share price' then that of the publication date of the first weekly table in which the shares no longer appeared)...

The top 20 single net short positions in London - 02/04/2015

Published 1414 days ago

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following details the 20 highest single net short positions and the changes (red if short increased, green if reduced) since a previous analysis HERE.

The top 20 single net short positions in London - 27/03/2015

Published 1423 days ago

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following details the 20 highest single net short positions and the changes (red if short increased, green if reduced) since a previous analysis HERE.

The top 20 single net short positions in London - 20/03/2015

Published 1430 days ago

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following details the 20 highest single net short positions and the changes (red if short increased, green if reduced) since a previous analysis HERE.

The top 20 single net short positions in London - 14/01/2015

Published 1494 days ago

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following details the 20 highest single net short positions and the changes (red if short increased, green if reduced) since a previous analysis HERE.

Ocado ... Obfuscation warns the Dark Destroyer

Published 1499 days ago

You can sometimes tell more from what a company doesn't tell you than what it does. Take for example, Ocado's (OCDO) -  market cap £2.4 billion -  trading update for the Christmas 2014 period, released this morning.  

List (as of 07/01/2015) & performance of most shorted shares in London

Published 1499 days ago

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following details the most shorted shares (by total net short position %), if this total position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since a previous analysis HERE and the performance in 2015 thus far...

Changes in disclosable net short positions - first week of 2015

Published 1501 days ago

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following details changes to net short positions in the last week (red if short increased, green if reduced)...

The top 20 single net short positions in London - 07/01/2015

Published 1501 days ago

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following details the 20 highest single net short positions and the changes (red if short increased, green if reduced) since a previous analysis HERE.

The most shorted London shares at the start of 2015...

Published 1507 days ago

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following details the disclosed most shorted shares at the start of 2015...

Ocado Group – is the progress and outlook sufficient to justify the £2bn+ valuation?

Published 1533 days ago

Online grocer Ocado (OCDO) has updated on the final 16 weeks of its year to 30th November 2014, including commenting that it is “pleased with the continued steady growth in our business against the backdrop of a more competitive grocery market”. Is this though enough to help justify the current more than £2 billion market cap? – with the shares, although down from more than 600p earlier this year, having recovered to a current approaching 350p after falling towards 220p in October.

Just Eat? Just short more like

Published 1539 days ago

Earlier this year, Doc Holiday made a sublime call to short Ocado (OCDO). His timing was perfect. No sooner had Doc sounded the death knell for this stock, the share price took a cliff dive. The logic of Doc’s call was deadly simple – “sell the founder”. 

Short Positions - you may want to check if you are up against these...

Published 1581 days ago

In a previous table highlighting those investment firms that had disclosed short positions in two or more of the stocks that have been covered bearishly on this website, we noted that investors may want to double check if they are on the other side of other trades of these seemingly shrewd investors. The following table offers a further indication why...

Ocado – sell into the rally

Published 1643 days ago

Shares in Ocado (OCDO) have become somewhat volatile of late. Last year this was hardly the case: the shares simply rose every day to everyone’s general bemusement and in many cases, my own included, considerable financial cost. 

Xaar plc – profit warning vindicates my earlier caution

Published 1710 days ago

Shares in digital inkjet printing technology company Xaar plc (XAR) currently trade more than 24.5% lower today, at 560p, on the back of a disappointing trading update. Having been consistenly cautious on the shares since I first covered them on this website last Summer (see HERE) and as recently as April (see HERE), the following updates.

Buy Trinity Mirror: Read All About The 150p Target

Published 2095 days ago

It is normally the case that the most spectacular rallies in stocks and markets come from so-called wall of worry plays where we see rising prices come off the back of situations as most in the market seem fearful that going long could be a recipe for disaster.

Speculative Buy Ruspetro : ONLY Above 30p Targets 50p

Published 2133 days ago

The basic charting message is never recommend a stock or market against the direction of the last gap. This lesson has been served up by such luminaries such as Centamin (CEY) and Ocado (OCDO) in the recent past, where going against their gaps higher would have led the shorts to a very sticky end. So why I am recommending Ruspetro (RPO) as a speculative buy against the direction of the unfilled February gap to the downside.

Sell ARM Holdings: New Leg Down (Pun Intended)

Published 2137 days ago

There are some stocks like Centamin (CEY) and  Ocado (OCDO) where it appears that the bear argument, whether it is fundamentally based or according to  technical analysis, fits like a glove.

Sell Ocado: Below 149p Risks A 120p Retest

Published 2138 days ago

As most of us are aware, the spirit of the age is to reward failed people, business models, banks, and countries, while holding in contempt those who are successful. In November online grocer Ocado (OCDO) was bailed out, despite having never really achieved more than a token profit over the past decade, trading on a forecast p/e of over 200 next year.

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