6 tips, the one gold share that all must own, and six reasons why the stock market may crash in 2017 - The August edition of the UK Investor Show magazine is now live
New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by the AIM casino, the world's most successful growth market
Nyota – suspended with no Nomad, Peterhouse lines up £550k at just 0.005p. Anything to see here, guv?
Published 6 days ago
Having reached more than 75p in May, shares in information management technology and services company Idox (IDOX) declined below 60p early last month before recovering above 65p - then declining towards 60p again. The company is now “pleased to announce that it has acquired… Halarose, a supplier of electoral back office software and services to UK local authorities, for £5.0 million, comprising £3.5 million in cash and £1.5 million in shares” (at 61.5p)…
Published 11 days ago
After my earlier story about the covenant breach which is, I am increasingly sure, a smoking gun, I explore some trends shown by the financial statements of Telit Communications (TCM) that may have been some the red flags that resulted in hedge funds making Telit the most heavily shorted AIM company - this is all about the balance sheet. It also highlights why some type of fund raise, equity or debt, was almost inevitable in May - without it the lights would have been switched off by now.
Published 16 days ago
I have just posted my analysis of today's disastrous interims from Telit Communications (TCM). This company is just drowning in red flags and the shares have crashed from 340p on May 25 when CEO Oozi Cats flogged £24 million worth to 156p. I could see this being a zero as explained in full HERE. But perhaps Oozi can help me on a few timeline issues just to explain why he is not an insider dealer. In return I have a special musical video just for him below...
Published 16 days ago
I am not sure if Neil Woodford had a big stake or if self proclaimed tech expert Roger Lawson has bought shares and endorsed it but Telit Communications (TCM) ticked all the other red flag boxes for AIM casino disasters waiting to happen. UK Investor Show attendees know that this has been high on the bear's hit list for a while. Today the train wreck happened and as I write, shares in what was the most shorted stock on the casino, are 39% down at 156p. But a £199 million market cap is still a rum and coke. The shares could be 20p and I still would not buy. Pro tem I count this as another big win for the Sheriff of AIM.
Published 26 days ago
AIM Casino uber-ramp MySQUAR (MYSQ) 'fessed up on Friday that, as I had revealed 24 hours prior, a placing was underway but it insists that it does not need the cash. Really? I want you to consider a few numbers.
Published 26 days ago
ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play Aquatic Foods Group (AFG) has released news of its delayed FY16 numbers in an (almost) no-one is watching o’clock RNS yesterday, released at 4.26 pm – 12.26am local time in China. Goodness me, they must have been putting the wording together for hours! Needless to say, there are still no accounts. In my view the whole thing is a joke and Nomad SP Angel is being made to look foolish: take a look at the directors’ page of the company website!
Published 26 days ago
Yesterday I flagged up that, according to a reliable source, MySQUAR (MYSQ) was trying to get another bailout placing away. As ever, the Bulletin Board Morons mocked me. Well guess what happened at 7 AM today?
Published 31 days ago
ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play Aquatic Foods (AFG) shares were suspended last month because it couldn’t get its accounts out on time. We were told that this was because of difficulties getting its enormous cash-pile out of China to pay a number of parties whose assistance is required for the finalisation of the audited accounts. For that, we might presume that it includes the audit firm. We were told that the accounts were anticipated to be released in July – and here we are with 6 trading days left. Is it crunch time?
Published 41 days ago
In a brochure boasting of its (dis) services to the capital markets, auditor PKF Littlejohn proudly lists some of the clients it has helped bring to London’s capital markets (some of which it also audits). The roll call of shame includes:
Published 50 days ago
AIM ramp de jour MySquar (MYSQ) has today boasted that in the last days of June as daily sales reached $8500 "the business has reached a very significant milestone of achieving run rate operating breakeven". Er..can you smell the red herrings - they are hidden underneath the red flags.
Published 78 days ago
Though this was posted on ADVFN, the poster was Leon Boros of Sharesoc who is no moron. It raises some massive red flags about IDOX (IDOX) and having read it this I rather conclude that this is a share one does not have to own.
Published 83 days ago
If ever there was a demonstration of how price is not the same as value when it comes to shares it was Fusionex (FXI). Time and time again we pointed out the red flags yet the company maintained a market cap of up to £100 million. that was £100 million too high. Now, after five years in which £55 million has been transferred from UK Investors to Malaysia the company announced after hours on the Friday before the bank holiday weekend that it would delist. Its shares have crashed to 42.52p (the last fund raise was at 325p) but that is still way too high. And Britain's top share blogger, the fitness guru Paul Scott has weighed in and agrees with me.
Published 111 days ago
Dear Chris Akers. Excuses are like arseholes. We all have them. And no-one cares. And that brings us to today's announcement from your company Concha (CHA) regarding its disastrous investment in failed unicorn Ve Interactive.
Despite there being stacks of red flags Concha invested c £4 million in Ve in a £1 billion valuation, a decision which we pointed out at the time was completely bonkers.
Published 122 days ago
BNN Technology (BNN) published its Annual Report last week along with an update on its current cash position and the appointment of a new Non-Exec Chairman. The share price has rallied 6% but is still shy of the 80p at which broker Mirabaud recently raised £25 million - and, looking through the bluster, there are some serious issues that holders might care to consider.
Published 124 days ago
Nomad Cenkos was repeatedly warned by myself and others about the fraud at Quindell (QPP). It banked fees of more than £12 million and did nothing to stop the wrongdoing. In doing so it brought AIM into massive disrepute. Now there is evidence that it is turning a blind eye to horrific red flags at Mercantile Ports & Logistics, which at 8.5p is capitalised at £32 million. My target price is 0p but what the hell is Cenkos playing at? I break my break to deal with the errant Nomad - I have a score to settle here since some of the money it raised for the Quenron fraud was used to harass me with fascist lawyers letters..
Published 140 days ago
It seems that AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) is so desperate to get out any good news it can that it rushed out an RNS yesterday morning to notify the market of director buying and got the numbers wrong. Oops. Great work in checking and verifying there by Nomad Stockdale Securities.
Published 148 days ago
I am still working on a few details for the next part of my main article. However, as a brief interlude let’s play a little game. We will see how many red-flags we can find on JackpotJoy (JPJ).
Published 155 days ago
Telit Communications (TCM) is still the number one most shorted share on AIM, even after releasing final results last Monday that were welcomed by the market and saw the shares soar 14.6% to their peak of 360p on the day. But with 10.5% of the stock out on loan to the alleged “smartest guys in the City” you have to ask yourself “What exactly am I missing?” So began my thought process as I sat down to dissect the accounts. Here are some quick thoughts:
Published 156 days ago
ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty purveyor of all things fishy, Aquatic Foods (AFG), has updated on 2016 Q4 trading this morning. In a statement plastered with Red Flags it would appear that the company is nearing the final chapter of the China Norfolk playbook as we are warned that there has been a spot of bother getting cash out of China. Is it bye-bye to the dividend?
Published 164 days ago
Almost exactly a year ago, investment vehicle Concha (CHA) spunked £4 million on a 0.43% stake in new media darling Ve Interactive a deal and valuation that I branded as "insane". Hey ho, today's Sunday Telegraph suggests that the Sheriff of AIM is right once again.
Published 171 days ago
I answer an email from a reader who reckons the Vlachs, (world's greatest living expert, or so he says, Dr TJ Winnifrith), are really Jews and that opens up a wider issue of Jewish settlements in Greece. Then the main issue of the podcast, why Avanti Communications (AVN) will go to Zero? Quite simply its business model is flawed. There are other red flags to consider but I strike at the crux of the matter.
Published 185 days ago
In today's podcast I look at the new rules Aviva is implemententing in the name of gender equality. They are not needed and are bad news for all concerned. It is yet another sign of how Britain is losing the plot on capitalism. I then offer up three clear signs that we are at a market top and why it pays to be very wary.
Published 189 days ago
The ouzo refers to the latest crushing blow for snakeoil salesman Darren Winters. This man has claimed to have fleeced, sorry trained, 500,000 Britons yet still the deadwood press fail to report on our takedown of the charlatan. Pathetic. The bathtime refers to the CEO of Tracsis (TRCS) who claims to listen to bearcast in his bath. I comment on today's trading update. Then it is onto China fraud Jiasen (JSI) and its latest bollocks news signed off by low life Nomad Cairn Financial. And then after an en passant look at Polemos (PLMO) I take a very detailed look at Blenheim Natural Resources (BNR) which is overvalued hype with a bushel of red flags thrown in for good measure. I advise my pal Big Dave Lenigas to take profits and sell and others to do likewise.
Published 225 days ago
ShareProphets Aim-China Filthy Forty play Taihua (TAIH) is having a giraffe. The buy-back announced last August, to be paid for from an Open Offer long since completed hasn’t happened. There has been no update on the matter since the end of September. The accounting matters over related party receivables which the company, in its FY15 Annual Report promised an update on has seen no further comment. The website has disappeared, meaning that the company is in breach of AIM Rule 26 – a matter I raised with AIM Regulation on 29 December last year.
Published 229 days ago
I revealed yesterday how the ramptastic boss at uber-pump Harvest Minerals (HMI), Mr Brian McMaster, had branded Lucian Miers as an "internet troll" for having the temerity to (rightly) call the shares as a sell at 21.5p. The outrageous behaviour of this spivvy promoter makes me look at the shares, now 17.25p to sell, and I have to say that it is "red flags ahoy" - Lucian is 100% correct.
Published 229 days ago
Cynical Bear is probably onto his second bottle of ouzo by now thanks to today's news from Challenger Acquisitions (CHAL). Mr Bear has warned you time and time again about the numerous red flags associated with this company and indeed made it one of his two sells of the year with a target price of 0p HERE. And today we learned that after just 358 days with the company the chairman John Le Poidevin has resigned. It gets better if you are Mr Bear. Have another ouzo.
Published 265 days ago
In the face of relentless pressure from this website, embattled Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) yesterday put out a statement attempting to draw a line in the sand over its falling out with Sinophi, whom it had claimed was set to buy $120 million of machines from it. It has failed. the statement begs even more questions and the shares remain utterly uninvestable.
Published 271 days ago
How is that for a Thanksgiving mixed metaphor of a title? In this podcast I look at denial, red flags and bending the rules on the Casino. Among the companies covered today are: Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO), Cloudtag (CTAG), African Potash (AFPO), Fastjet (FJET) and the insider dealing, Mkango Resources (MKA), London Capital (LCG), Audioboom (BOOM), Milestone Group (MSG) and I flag up that Steve & I have a hot share tip you can access for just £5 coming up very soon HERE
Published 283 days ago
Shares in ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play Aquatic Foods (AFG) put on 35% on Friday, following release of a third quarter trading update. Drilling through some of the numbers they seem to be impressive, begging the question of why an apparently profitable and cash-generative company which is drowning in cash worth about three times its market capitalisation would be considering its dividend policy, having chopped the half-year payment by 71%.
Published 298 days ago
A slight tweak in the ShareProphets business model means that as of November 1st nearly all, of the e-books that I have penned will no longer be available for free on this website - you will have to buy them on Amazon. So you have just TODAY to get free copies of titles such as "The 49 Golden Rules of making Money from Shares" as well as the 49 Red Flags book and the book Ben Flip Flop Turney and I produced on how to value oil, gas and mining shares. The same applies to Zak Mir's crap e-book on charting.
Published 301 days ago
At risk of sounding like a broken clock, ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play Taihua (TAIH) announced a comical open offer which, apart from a bit of working capital, was to fund a share buy-back. That was back on 25 August – more than two months ago. So where is it?
Published 317 days ago
There are many smaller companies on AIM that are heading for zero as they are either almost out of (other folks) cash - Avanti Communications (AVN), IGAS (IGAS) or are plain frauds like African Potash (AFPO) nor Cloudtag (CTAG). But if you are a looking for a big company with plenty of borrow that is ripe for a share price collapse look to Israeli tech stock Telit (TCM). At 278p the market cap is a monstrous £321 million, call it $400 million. That is a rum n coke.
Published 319 days ago
Dear reader, it's one of the most important holidays on the calendar today, Thanksgiving. The real one. The Canadian one. Oh sure, next month we'll hear all about the US holiday and where to buy turkey and it's related treats, but remember who did it first.
Published 330 days ago
Well done to ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play Haike Chemical (HAIK) for being first to stick its head above the parapet this week with the release of its interims to June. One down, nine to go. The PR reads well enough: profitable for the half, lots of cash in the bank. That’s the spin – but what about the Red Flags – such as negative net current assets?
Published 339 days ago
In the curious world of ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play Taihua (TAIH) we have now had the result of the Open Offer which was announced in order to raise funds to pay for a share buy-back. I’ve got a great idea to get Jeremy Corbyn elected into Downing Street: let’s raise the basic rate of income tax in order to fund a cut in the basic rate of tax. I digress….This is, of course, all from a company which saw its Auditor issue a going concern emphasis of matter and a qualified opinion on its FY15 accounts in relation to trade receivables.
Published 357 days ago
Still no lawyers letter from African Potash (AFPO) has arrived at Sheriff Towers. It really is like waiting for Godot. But at least my mother in law has remembered that it is my wedding anniversary tomorrow. I discuss another thing happening tomorrow, that is to say African Potash which has no cash having to repay $1.1 million to its FD's Mrs, Katrina Clayton. I look at Highland Natural Resources (HNR), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Glenwick (GWIK), Opera (OPRA) and then Gable (GAH) which really has posted a most enormous red flag today. Sell - target 0p.
Published 363 days ago
Well this is a most bizarre situation. ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play Taihua (TAIH) has announced an underwritten one-for-three Open Offer at a 134% premium so that it can fund a share buy-back (and keep back a few quid for working capital). Has the company been taking too many doses of its own medicine?
Published 371 days ago
Shares in Haike Chemicals (HAIK) have more than trebled since the spring but do not get suckered in as this is almost certaintly just another common or garden AIM listed China Norfolk. I am grateful to a correspondent in China who writes:
Published 383 days ago
I noted a week ago, here, that Audioboom (BOOM) shares were weak and that since it was running out of cash I reckoned a placing was afoot. Lo and behold there is indeed a £2.55 million placing at 2.5p today but there is also a stream of other announcements which are a red flag festival. This is a horror story.
Published 392 days ago
DIRECTOR PURCHASES SHARES screams the headline – in capitals - of an RNS from AIM-listed Frontera Resources (FRR) - not to be confused with Frontier Resources - this morning. Ooooh quick, let’s all pile in – follow the money, as they say, because the insiders know what’s really going on. Er, hang on a moment….
Published 405 days ago
Insolvency, restructuring and property services group Begbies Traynor (BEG) has announced results for its year ended 30th April 2016 and that, although cautious, “the recent acquisition of the Pugh auction business, together with the Taylors valuation business, gives the opportunity for growth in earnings in the new financial year”.
Published 407 days ago
There are so many Red Flags surrounding ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty Aquatic Foods (AFG) that it is hard to know quite where to start. One could consider the discount to cash, to profits, to assets and wonder why there have been no buy-backs announced just for starters, but there are plenty more to be found HERE. So why have the shares been roofing it?
Published 418 days ago
ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play China New Energy (CNEL) has seen us hoist the Red Flag on several occasions before (see HERE) but its FT15 results, released on deadline day (Thursday) take the biscuit. The company is, quite simply, a disgrace and its advisers (Nomad Cairn and disgraced Broker Daniel Stewart) should be ashamed.
Published 429 days ago
AIM Dog with fleas Rosslyn Data (RDT) has announced a wholesale reshuffle of its boardroom which saddens me greatly as it now means that there is one less AIM CEO who had a career in porn. Farewell Charles Clark for you will be missed.
Published 429 days ago
Hats off to veteran journalist Tim Blackstone who called Circassia (CIR) as a short with a £900 million market cap on January 16 this year HERE. Today the shares have crashed by 64% to 98.5p giving it a market cap of just £261 million. Tim Blackstone dared to go up against Neil Woodford with this call as he is the largest shareholder. It looks like another biotech disaster for Woodie.
Published 430 days ago
I start with a few personal issues and then in this bearcast I explain why the mountain list of red flags at cancer play Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) matter but what will be the killer blow and when I shall deliver it.
Published 431 days ago
On 25 March 2015 Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) announced what it claimed was a major breakthrough in China, what it termed the "first major sale of a LIGHT system" in China. Well that was the headline. The customer was a firm called Sinophi. The shares zoomed on this $40 million order. Jolly good news. 37 days later the company raised £20 million in a placing at 8p. But did anyone care to look underneath the PR spin? No. Lets start with Sinophi Healthcare Limited.
Published 431 days ago
I start with a discussion on how the sad events in Yorkshire may sway the Brexit vote before turning to Gary Newman's nonsense earlier today about Brexit, house prices and Foxtons (FOXT). Then it is onto a detailed look at Strat Aero (AERO) and also Regent Pacific, the new owner of Plethora (PLE) and in both cases its red flags ahoy big time.
Published 437 days ago
Many years ago, in order to close a short position in Leeds United after it had gone bust, I bought stock for a nominal sum off Leeds City Council, and remember thinking it a little strange that it had invested tax payers hard earned cash in such a dodgy enterprise.
Published 448 days ago
We have been on the case of bargepole stock Fusionex (FXI) since the world's greatest tech analyst Kevin Ashton flagged it up as a sell at UK Investor 2015. The bear case grew with Zak Mir giving it the kiss of death with not one but two buy tips but it was the trading statement last Autumn that really woke folks up to the genius of Ashton as an analyst and of Mir as a counter-indicator. Today we have interims. Natch, the shares are down - at 158p - but the stance remains a stand out sell.
Published 456 days ago
I realise that over on the LSE Asylum criticising Highland Natural Resources (HNR) gets the sort of reaction normally reserved for those who suggest that the McCann's are not complete role models when it comes to best practice in babysitting, but a transaction announced back in 2015 looks very odd indeed to me. Any more red flags vicar?
Published 458 days ago
Both Tom and I have been critical of Boxhill Technologies in this year and the full series of articles can be seen HERE, so I felt it was appropriate to applaud a few baby steps in the right direction set out in Friday’s announcement “Corporate Update and Board Changes”.
Published 460 days ago
A Thursday 2:21pm “Trading Update”. Hmmm. “Mobile Streams plc (MOS) updates the market on its expectations for the current financial year ending 30 June 2016”. Uh oh…
Published 496 days ago
Hmmm, a Chinese company domiciled in the Cayman Islands lists on the Casino and less than sixteen months on there appears to be a bit of a procession going on, with two directors walking the plank with immediate effect in consecutive days. Sound familiar?
Published 502 days ago
As if poor shareholders in Lenigas Cuba (CUBA) did not have enough reasons to be miserable now they must cope with news that Richard "Gollum" Gill has published a buy note on the stock.
Published 511 days ago
The ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty is today officially reduced to just 20 companies remaining listed on the Casino (Auhua, ACE, being the latest dispatch following a Nomad resignation and no replacement being found). But is it a problem specific to the Casino? It seems not, according to an interesting post by Steve Dickinson in China Law Blog (see HERE), but there are some simple tests which can be applied – take note AIM Nomads – which gives a very good indication of whether you are looking at a fraud or not.
Published 517 days ago
Tom Winnifrith has already raised enough Red Flags with regard to AIM-listed Servision (SEV) to have one reaching for the longest bargepole in the boathouse. But looking through its Companies House filings it would appear that all is not well in the administrative department.
Published 524 days ago
With the interims of the leading e-sports business, Gfinity (GFIN), due by the end of the month, I thought I would put my investment analysis to the test and try my hand at an interims preview rather than the more traditional review which can often skewed by hindsight.
Published 539 days ago
ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play Aquatic Foods (AFG) released a trading statement yesterday for its full year to Dec 2015. I commented that the last trading statement had more holes than a fish-net and yesterday’s serving of fishiness lowers none of the Red Flags previously raised.
Published 543 days ago
It is hard to keep up. We called Auhua “Clean is my middle name” Energy (ACE) as the 21st AIM delisting/suspension on the ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty as its Nomad steps down effective first thing on Monday, but at no-one-is-watching o’clock last night up popped Asia Ceramics (ACHP) to say that its Nomad had resigned. So Auhua will have to settle for 22nd place.
Published 554 days ago
Following on from yesterday's piece on ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play Aquatic Foods Group (AFG) we see that the shares are still sliding. Drip, drip, drip - the Chinese water torture continues.
Published 564 days ago
Following the appearance of AIM-listed DQ Entertainment (DQE) in our Red Flags at Night series regarding the resignation of its Nomad and other matters, slipped out at no-one-is-watching o’clock on 3 Feb, we had a Director Shareholding RNS yesterday afternoon. It is a complex announcement, but it stinks. Certainly it did not give any reason to question the wisdom of the Nomad, Allenby, to step down on 22 Feb. The shares remain a big sell even after the collapse of last week.
Published 566 days ago
Update: the company re-issued the RNS of last night at 7am this morning, with the correction in the title that it's Nomad was resigning. Now it could be that someone at the company thought it a bit of an oversight, or perhaps the Nomad (Allenby) insisted on the correction. Either way it would appear that any attempt to bury the bad news has backfired in spectacular fashion: the shares are off by 45% last seen.
Published 567 days ago
Aquatic Foods (AFG) has been on the AIM Casino for exactly one year but its shares have slumped from 70p to 15p bid. The FD walked the plank today and surely Nomad SP Angel which raised £9.3 million for this POS 12 months ago must realise that the end is nigh. In this podcast I look at the numerous red flags. This one is going down.
Published 570 days ago
I indicated in part 1 of my results analysis that there were a few bits and bobs in the Tern (TERN) Annual Report which had not made in into the RNS version of the FY15 results. Often it pays, when studying a company’s numbers, to begin with the notes to the accounts and then work backwards from there. And so here are a few things which caught my eye.
Published 572 days ago
Capitalised at £70 million GTS Chemicals (GTS) has seen its shares more than double since its IPO on August 1 2014 and the stock is up 9% today. But this company is drowning in red flags. In a detailed podcast I list almost a dozen major red flags, just for starters, and explain why the shares are a sell at almost any price.
Published 577 days ago
Paul Scott insists that I must ignore the series of historic lies, woeful lack of cash generation and the rest of the Red Flags at TrakM8 (TRAK) and look forward to the jam tomorrow. I shall do exactly that on Monday and show why that jam won't arrive. But Benjamin Graham tells us that historics are often a better guide to valuation than promises of jam tomorrow and in that vein I shall now demonstrate what an overhyped dog's dinner of a cash consumer this company is.
Published 578 days ago
Nigel Somerville has today posted a pithy explanation of a Red Flags No-one is watching O'Clock RNS from Tethys Petroleum (TPL) which shows that it is toast. But there were three killer red flags here you might have noted from way back.
Published 578 days ago
Main market listed shipping company Goldenport Holdings (GPRT) has featured before in the Red Flags at Night column (see HERE) for slipping out bad news at no-one-is-watching o’clock, but yesterday’s offering, at 5pm on a Friday, looks grim. We have a trading update and the announcement that it can’t service its debts. Uh-oh.
Published 579 days ago
Britain's top share blogger Paul Scott seems to have fallen in love with TrakM8 (TRAK) and is thus blind to numerous red flags which in any other stock would be causing him to plunge the knife in. Let's start with the lie about net cash.
Published 593 days ago
I published a book last year "49 Red Flags" - there are actually 50 listed and the book explians why each is important in avoiding piss-poor investments. As a little exercise the deputy Sheriff of AIM and I have applied the check list to Inspirit Energy PLC (INSP) and the results are appalling.
Published 610 days ago
The Naibu (NBU) Neds have now admitted my fraudbusting was spot on (HERE), The FRC has thanked me for alerting it to Quindell (QPP) frauds (HERE) and so its been a good year of Red Flag spotting for me. Earlier this year I published an ebook flagging up some of what I look for in Companies that commit FRAUD - "49 Red Flags". If you would like a free copy sent to you in time for Christmas just fill in the form below.
Published 613 days ago
I am asked by a reader would I buy shares in any AIM listed company from Israel? I widen that to include Aussie, Greek, Chinese and US companies and the answer is NO! I explain why. Then I go on to thank the readers who post so many great "spots", "red flags" and technical insights in the comments section here. You make me look an awful lot smarter than I really am. I also discuss Star Wars which I shall be watching tonight and which I have looked forward to all year. Merry Christmas to you all.
Published 662 days ago
This podcast should really be a tutorial in red flag analysis. In it I endeavour to cover every single lesson you can learn from the Globo (GBO) fraud - I hope it makes you look at your portfolio of shares in other companies in a more critical manner.
Published 667 days ago
Tom has written on the shocking developments from Globo plc (GBO) today HERE and HERE. Having first been commented on HERE on this site, the following from the subsequent coverage shows some of the significant red flag warnings we highlighted and to look out for in appraising future investments…
Published 676 days ago
On reviewing the previous results from “international provider of enterprise mobility management, mobile solutions and software as a service”, Globo plc (GBO) HERE the shares were at 52.5p. They declined to below 30p last month, though, following subsequent announcements of a proposed acquisition, interim results and increased shareholdings by Forum Venture Capital GmbH and Forum European Smallcaps GmbH, have recovered to a current circa 40p. Questioning whether previously identified financial concerns remain, I’ve reviewed the recent cash flow performance HERE and the following reviews the balance sheet…
Published 683 days ago
Thanks to Paul Scott for his help on this one. I know that Gary Newman is a fan but I just do not get Fishing Republic (FISH) at all - the red flags are now highlighted. The Crony Capitalist City parasistes trousered fees of £550,000 ( two years after tax profits) from a £1.5 million fund raise at IPO (with directors pocketing £106,000) but I somehow suspect investors will not propser with this AIM casino chip.
Published 687 days ago
Oh dear. This reads badly for the LSE which reckons that Chinese stocks on the AIM Casino are as good as any other. Nomad Cairn has quit the China ReRun (CHRR) account and after less than two years on the Casino, its shares have been suspended. They will be booted off in a month when no other Nomad volunteers to take this on. No Nomad will touch this with a bargepole following this statement:
Published 689 days ago
In this webcast I cover Daniel Stewart (DAN), red flags, a closed shop that should be ended to improve AIM at a stroke and another in the legal system, Zak Mir and Jim Slater tipping Optimal Payments (OPAY) and why I disagree and also how I suffered as the lefty mates of my Mrs talked utter rot at lunchtme. I am truly traumtised. I am also handing out 20 free investor class tickets to The Gold, Bears & Traders show on November 28 and 1 person booking an investor class seta tonight using the promotional code BCGB will be upgraded to a Golden Ticket giving access to the after show party with the speakers, etc. So book now at www.GoldandBears.com using the code BCGB
Published 690 days ago
Phew, what a scorcher! The heat really was turned up on the ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty over the past two weeks. Last week we had one AIM-execution, a suspension (and subsequent restoration) as Vmoto (VMT) announced a transaction which we find less than credible (HERE) and results from Jiasen (JSI) which prompted Tom Winnifrith to present us with a choice that he was a banana or Jiasen is a fraud. And JQW (JQW) had its operations suspended by the Chinese authorities for contraventions of advertising and pyramid-selling regulations before releasing less than convincing interims. This week saw fourteen of the Filthy Forty racing to the line to get results filed by close of play Wednesday so as to avoid automatic suspension, two of which added to the overcrowding problem on AIM’s Death Row as their Nomad quit. Here is the ShareProphets round-up of AIM-China Red Flags served up this past week.
Published 698 days ago
The Bulletin Board Morons want Jiasen (JSI) to sue me for libel. Well let’s make this easy for the Fujian fraudsters. “Jiasen is a fraud and its criminal directors have produced bogus numbers today – its shares are worth 0p.” There is no ambiguity there. Sue me for libel. What is the Chinese for “See you in Court bitchez?”
Published 704 days ago
Two no-one-is-watching o’clock RNSs caught my eye last night, both after 6pm when everyone had gone home for the weekend, or perhaps were limbering up for the opening skirmishes of the Rugby World Cup. One from fully-listed Circassia Pharmaceuticals plc (CIR), and the other involved the much covered AIM-listed Plus 500 (PLUS) and its proposed takeover by fully listed Playtech (PTEC).
Published 711 days ago
Ahead of results for its year ended 31st July 2015 scheduled for the end of next month, I note recent short interest in shares of 'utility cost consultancy', Utilitywise plc (UTW) – see HERE and HERE. Are there further red flags ahoy? …
Published 726 days ago
Shares in much ramped AIM listed biotech Scancell (SCLP) now trade at 28-30.5p valuing it at a stonking £65 million. But the balance sheet is painfully thin and the word is that there is a placing on the way at a big discount.
Published 742 days ago
Yesterday we demonstrated quite clearly (HERE) why Camkids (CAMK) has committed accounting fraud and why the statement of yesterday just does not add up. We have been saying that this company is a fraud for months and months and that is now clear to all. The local auditors of Camkids and the now delisted fraud Naibu acted for three other AIM stocks, one of which is JQW (JQW). The other was Sorbic International, a now delisted fraud. JQW is also a fraud and we call for an immediate suspension of its shares as well.
Published 752 days ago
Xplorer (XPL) came in for a grizzly Bearcast savaging from Tom Winnifrith back on 1 Dec 2014 (HERE) following its Friday after-hours at no-one-is-watching o’clock interims statement. Last week saw this LSE Standard Listing company repeat the trick with its full year results to the end of March 2015 statement, released at 6pm when everyone had gone home for the weekend, or possibly for a few days’ summer holiday on Marbs with Jon Stretton-Knowles. If the Interims were a shocker, this statement was so much worse - it is hard to know where to start.
Published 754 days ago
A man known to me has recently been to China to see Jiasen (JSI). I was a bear before, having read this I am even more of a bear. Too many things just do not stack up. There clearly is a Jiasen business. But it is just nothing like what is claimed by the listed company. On the basis of this on the ground reporting by a fellow who understands industrial processes I state that beyond doubt I do not believe that its stated profits, sales and net assets are real.
Published 756 days ago
Tom Winnifrith's most recent book, 49 Red Flags is dedicated to Mr Robert Simon Terry of the fraud Quindell (QPP). With the SFO and FCA now investigating Terry and Quindell, Tom's painstaking analysis was vindicated. The expulsion of Gate, Naibu and Sorbic from AIM further vindicated Tom's analysis. His most recent book is a guide to how to avoid over-promoted and fraudulent companies on AIM and the LSE. Order it today for immediate delivery of a FREE copy of "49 Red Flags".
Published 759 days ago
AIM-listed China Companies with characteristic Red Flags seem to be coming thick and fast as featured articles here on ShareProphets. Tom Winnifrith was on record some time ago saying that any Chinese company listed on AIM was an automatic bargepole, and with good reason. We’ve had Naibu (NBU) and Sorbic International (SORB) already given their marching orders by AIM, after spending over month looking for a new Nomad. Indeed, with Naibu’s CEO jailed and evidence that the cash it claimed to have was all fiction, and Sorbic’s rather more straightforward situation that the CEO ran off with the cash and the assets (and the Chinese authorities seem reluctant to intervene) it is hard to avoid the conclusion that these were just plain, abject frauds from top to bottom.
Published 765 days ago
Shares in the biggest stockmarket fraud for 30 years, Quindell (QPP), are currently suspended at 124p valuing it at around £625 million on a fully diluted basis. But what is it actually worth? Some brokers are marking it down to 0p because of the suspension but it is probably not worth 0p – thanks to the folly of the Aussie prats at Slater & Gordon – but it might just be.
Published 770 days ago
Having posed a few questions (HERE) about AIM-Cesspit poster boy Daniel Stewart Securities plc (DAN) and its unlisted plc subsidiary Daniel Stewart & Company plc, I’ve had something else pointed out by an avid reader. I wondered how it was that the parent company had managed to produce audited FY Mar14 results (albeit months after the deadline, which saw the shares suspended) when the subsidiary accounting for the vast majority of revenues had not. Given that the two share the same financial year, this seems all rather odd. And given that the parent was audited by PWC, how on earth has PWC been able to verify what is reported with reference to the contribution to group revenues (ie almost all of it) without itself auditing the subsidiary accounts?
Published 778 days ago
In response to a rapidly falling share price, sorry “to the Situation in Greece”, Globo plc (GBO) has released an update…
Published 788 days ago
That Arricano (ARO) is a real estate developer and operator of shopping malls in Ukraine probably tells you everything you need to know about this company and its finances, with the results statement there just to quantify the disaster that was 2014. There is no point trying to hide it, yet the company released its numbers after hours on Friday (at 4.58pm), in an RNS packed with some of the most convoluted nonsense you could imagine.
Published 915 days ago
Earlier today I posted documents which raised serious red flags about the media acquisition made by the fraud Worthington (WRN) – Equity Media Partners Ltd. Oh dear Mr Doug Ware it gets worse. Guess who set this company up in the first place a year before Worthington bought it? Yes…it was the Worthington Company Secretary Richard Spurway and he was acting with Craig Whyte (of Rangers FC fame) and Whyte’s long time business partner Aiden Earley. The email from Spurway below makes that clear. Oh dear. Oh dear.
Published 921 days ago
This is the start of what will be a long series relating to the abject fraud that is Worthington (WRN). Please can the company note that The Sheriff of AIM responds to letters from bully boy lawyers not with silence but by publishing more. The first confidential letter from your two bit lawyer will be displayed in the urinals at Free Speech & Liberty Pizza as of monday. Literally, I am going to piss all over you guys.
Published 927 days ago
My recent book 49 Red Flags serves up 49 ( its actually 50) signs that you should not be owning a given share. The book is dedicated to Rob Terry of Quindell (QPP) who serves as a case study for most of the Red Flags mentioned. You can get a free copy of the book sent to you today by filling in the form HERE. As a sample here is Red Flag 26.
Published 932 days ago
Both Maribel and I are feeling a little fragile after a night of boozing at The Free Speech & Liberty Pizza House. And so life is a bit of a struggle today for both of us. Anyhow this podcast covers insider dealing, Afren, TXO, Camkids, Northbridge Industrial, profits warnings, Asian Citrus and Creston
Published 935 days ago
There was a spate of announcements at No-one is watching O'Clock yesterday. But I was watching and so this podcast covers Worthington, Speymill, Sefton & Brokerman Dan and Afren. Moving on I look at legal and other silliness by companies including TXO and the Big Dave Lenigas vs Doc Holiday Stellar Resources affair.
Published 935 days ago
It seems that I disagree with Comrade Malcolm Stacey once again as I discuss whether a stock on a PE of 22 (Diageo or JD Wetherspoon) can be desribed as cheap. I then discuss what should be in a trading statement looking at Foxtons, Blur and Outsourcery - run by the ghastly Piers Linney - and what this says about shares in all three.
Published 936 days ago
Oh dear, Oh dear, it seems as if the board as ASX listed MEO has been listening to my advice HERE and HERE as it has just now advised its shareholders to reject the all share bid from AIM casino listed Aussie based POS Mosman Oil & Gas (MSMN). The technical term for where that leaves Mosman is “fucked”.
Published 938 days ago
Over the weekend I published my latest book, 49 Red Flags, how to avoid buying shares that will plunge. As a taster here are Red Flags 2 and 3, featuring Sefton, Quindell and Tern. You can get a free copy sent to you today by filling in the form HERE
Published 939 days ago
Tom Winnifrith's new book, 49 Red Flags is dedicated to Mr Robert Simon Terry of that fine British Company Quindell (QPP) and it wa finally published on Sunday. It is a guide to how to avoid over-promoted and fraudulent companies on AIM and the LSE. Order today for immediate delivery of a FREE copy.
Published 940 days ago
In today's podcast I look at Igas (vindicated), Quindell (vindicated), Gowin New (vindicated), Cambria Africa, Flybe, Fitbug, Coms (vindicated) and prepare to have a go again at Ray Zimmerman and ZAI over its next China POS IPO
Published 941 days ago
In this podcast I look at profits warnings, earnings visibility and equity valuations. I also look specifically at oil and resource stocks explaining why there is not yet blood on the streets but there will be.
Published 941 days ago
As you know City guru 42 (I know who he is) is a famed Quenronologist and his Quindell (QPP) post on the ShareProphets comments section from this weekend merits a wider audience as it really debunks the idea that a fire-sale of QLS to Slater & Gordon will save Quenron. 42 writes:
Published 941 days ago
Those who have ordered a FREE copy of my new book, 49 Red Flags, which is dedicated to Robert Simon Terry, the founder of Quindell (QPP), will be receiving their copy today. If you want a copy simply fill in the form HERE. As a taster of what it contains I bring you Red Flag 35, a failure to have truly independent Non Execs. It reads:
Published 942 days ago
Quindell (QPP) has always been a slow payer of its bills. But we already know that it survives only thanks to bank overdraft. In today's BearCast HERE, I reveal how it has raised emergency cash to keep going with hidden asset sales. The other way of postponing administration is just to delay paying suppliers. The graphic below says it all. It is paying later and later.
Published 942 days ago
In this podcast I pose some regulatory questions for Quindell and the Ministry of Justice regarding the resigning compliance officer Mrs Helen Cutler, I explain how Quindell made money buying a POS business from a convicted Nigerian fraudster ( and other rubbish deals) and I expose what has gone on with Mobile Doctors and Speedy. This is all very shocking.
Published 957 days ago
ShareProphets Press' first book of 2015 is by Tom Winnifrith, The Man who exposed the fraud at Quindell. In it, Winnifrith demonstrates the forensic accounting techniques that he uses to expose the secrets that companies are trying to hide. No investor should be without it. The first 100 people to receive the book will be offered a free ticket to the 2015 UK Investor Show on April 18. Don't delay - this will go fast.
Published 960 days ago
The title is self-explanatory. The contents of this podcast are most serious. hapless Nomad Cenkos can verify the lot or it can just admit that it does not give a FF about its regulatory duties.
Published 969 days ago
My general view on equities is mildly bearish as I explained in my macro calls piece HERE. As such I will be serving up 5 longs and five shorts as my tips of the year. The first long was HERE and the first short HERE. Now for Number 3, Globo (GBO), the sort of flim flam that will suffer badly in a bear market.
Published 975 days ago
There is not a lot happening so I look back on a couple of golden rules, golden red flags if you like from 2014. And I have an extra special Christmas present for a chap at Quindell. When should I run it to utterly train-wreck his Christmas do you think?
Published 984 days ago
Quindell (QPP) is the biggest scandal in the history of AIM. Rob Terry has made £25 million and investors have lost 95%. Soon it will be 100%. The man who called a Quenron a fraud and worth 0p first was Tom Winnifrith. The fact that he was able to make such a call was down to his understanding of accounts and what to look for. In his best selling e-book, The 49 Golden Rules of Making Money from Shares Tom outlines some of what to look for in any company, the red flag alerts and the plus points as well.
Published 991 days ago
Another day and Quindell (QPP) sprints towards the precipice once again. The man who called a Quenron a fraud and worth 0p first was Tom Winnifrith. The fact that he was able to make such a call was down to his understanding of accounts and what to look for. In his best selling e-book, The 49 Golden Rules of Making Money from Shares Tom outlines some of what to look for in any company, the red flag alerts and the plus points as well. And we have 50 more copies of that book to give away today. To get your book sent to you today, just fill in the form below
Published 994 days ago
We are giving Bulletin Board Moron of the Week a rest for now but it will be back. And so thanks to readers Jane & Bobby Chariot we have a new contest for you all – “The 12 Days of Quissmas” – all you need to do is provide lyrics for a contemporary version. All entries must starts with “On the first day of Quissmas, Rob Terry gave to me, a stonking short on QPP”.
Published 995 days ago
Quindell is unravelling at a rate of knots. Once the biggest stock on AIM probably will not exist by the time of UK Investor on April 18 2015. And the man who exposed the lies and fraud was Tom Winnifrith. For his efforts he received bullying lawyers letters from Quindell and death threats from its shareholders. And that has spurred a special new session at UK Investor 2015.
Published 1000 days ago
RMPC is a private company and so feels no need to report bogus profits to ramp its shares like er…Quindell (QPP). It will make no difference to the fate of Quindell (insolvency) whether RMPC survives or fails. But since some utter moron (Goldust88 from the LSE Asylum) has posted highlights of our August 31st 2013 accounts raising six red flags about me, which other cretins have plastered on other asylums, I might as well respond.
Published 1008 days ago
In light of recent events we have scheduled in a new session at the UK Investor Show on April 18 2015 – Tom Winnifrith, Quindell, being the Sheriff & a Red Flags Master Class and Tom will be joined on stage by a celebrity guest. More on that later but if you book seats for the show now using the promotional code SP25 you can get a discount of 25% - this offer ends on December 1st – book HERE
Published 1035 days ago
I finally got round to reading Avanti's year end results to 30th June 2014 (released on 15th September 2014). And then I shorted some more stock.
Published 1042 days ago
The video of my presentation “Quindell, how it has committed accounting fraud, has not generated a cent of cash despite what it claims and why it is worth 0p” should now appear tomorrow. Pro tem here is part 2 of the Quindell Legal Services – More Red Flags Vicar series. QLS served up so many Red Flags it needs two articles. Part One can be found HERE. Now moving on.
Published 1042 days ago
Quindell (QPP) took on the bears and Quenron is losing. I first cited red flags about this fraud in April 2013. A year later Gotham City Research took it apart and now the shorters are upping the ante. The smell of Death is clear and now the best known US Bear Muddy Waters has also chipped in via twitter.
Published 1045 days ago
Oh dear, The Quenron (QPP) shareholder list does contain more than its fair share of complete and utter nutters. On an almost daily basis I am alerted to a post which has been made by someone who really is truly bonkers. I was entertained to see some cretin on ADVFN discuss the “TW Red Flags” on Quenron – apparently having a strong opinion which is not buy is deemed a Red Flag. However, The Bulletin Board Moron of the Day is “Mr Palmer” on the LSE Board. On a day when another Quindell nutter who boasted on twitter of having a "hitlist" which included myself and Dan Levi has been reported to the Old Bill (not by me as I regard the Met as useless), Mr Palmer takes centre stage.
Published 1045 days ago
I know who poster 42 is and he knows more about Quenron (QPP) than any analyst currently covering the stock in the City. His comment on the trading statement today is bang on the money (or rather lack of it). I shall post my own thoughts later once I have gone through a couple more bogus subsidiary accounts. 42 writes:
Published 1046 days ago
And so Quindell Legal Services, the biggest part of the Quenron Group (QPP) has filed its accounts. Also of interest is the fact that it filed two annual returns for last year. Would Quindell care to deny that it had a spot of bother with its capital adequacy forms filled in with the FCA? That might explain a few of the red flags but not all.
Published 1066 days ago
As I am currently on the east coast of the United States it was an especially early ‘silly o’clock’ awakening this morning. It was not the greatest start to the week however with Tesco (TSCO) unveiling the latest in a line of difficult market updates. Here’s the crux of what it had to say:
Published 1067 days ago
MoPowered Group (MPOW) raised a gross £3.64 million at 100p when listing on the AIM Casino on December 18 2013. The shares now stand at 20.5p valuing this POS at just over £3.2 million. And while it says that it is going ahead with a £3.5 million fund raise you’d have to be mad to subscribe as this has red flags all over it. Death is all this deserves.
Published 1073 days ago
Avanti Communications (AVN) served up full year numbers today and it all looks great. Uber-bombast CEO David Williams, who admits to misleading investors in the past, has put a great spin on what is actually a dog’s dinner. Take the four bullet points financial highlights. Three of them are a half truth, misleading or an outright lie respectively. And there are good reasons not to believe the fourth at all!
Published 1074 days ago
Avanti Communications (AVN) is a Bulletin Board darling which spews out more than its fair share of Red flag warnings. Its obsession with its share price is understandable given that it needs to get away yet another equity fundraising within 12 months. And hence I draw your attention to a release issued on Friday.
Published 1075 days ago
It was only the other day that a Bulletin Board Moron owning shares in Naibu (NBU) referred to me as Winnifraud, accusing me of making it all up. Hey presto come Friday there were dire interims and t is clear that it is not me that is the Norfolk and the moron saw his investment slump in value by another 40%. Worse is to come as I shall reveal later today. But this follows the same pattern as we have seen with Range Resources, Sefton, Vialogy, Globo, Quindell, Iofina, blinkx, Gulf Keystone, Outsourcery etc. etc. Folks like myself and Paul Scott, the great share blogger, point out obvious reasons to sell and all we get is abuse. Paul posted this on ShareProphets yesterday re Naibu
Published 1085 days ago
And so Quindell (QPP) finally came clean yesterday an announced that its telematics JV with the RAC was no more. The statement does not stack up but then nothing does at Quinnovation Group. Let’s start with a reminder of this ground-breaking deal announced on April 7 2014.
Published 1110 days ago
I gather that my first Mark Ford article HERE has had some effect round at the Country Club. Skillwise, the shelf company with no assets bought by Quindell from (I think Mark Ford) for £2.76 million in cash on August 30th 2013 has finally appointed some directors (Rob Terry and Laurence Moose). And it has extended its year end. So I guess some revenues will be put through it and it will not be struck off. But while we are on the subject of Mark Ford, let’s move onto BE Insulation Ltd.
Published 1114 days ago
Drowning in debt Avanti Communications (AVN) needs to get both another bond issue and an equity issue away in the next year to keep going. It has just issued a profits warning. Its accounts in recent years have raised almost as many red flags as Arthur Scargill and so what to do? Yes…announce another contract win.
Published 1119 days ago
It happens once a day. Some helpful fellow – who inevitably owns shares in Quindell (QPP), blinkx (BLNX) or Globo (GBO) says that I do not behave like a proper journalist and offers helpful suggestions about how to improve my zero credibility. Inevitably one of those suggestions is to write less about blinkx, Quindell and Globo but there are others. Let’s get this straight.
Published 1120 days ago
Early this month Monitise (MONI) served up a dismal profits warning. Delays in revenues were – in true Rob Terry fashion – viewed as being for good reasons but once again this company failed to hit targets. Now we see a weedy non-announcement and an Edison puffery research note all of which are Red Flags. Whatever Monitise says it is running out of cash and a placing is inevitable.
Published 1138 days ago
I note that the FT is now getting it in the neck from Bulletin Board Morons for running articles on Quindell (QPP) and other POS Aim stocks which are deemed not to be “balanced.” Welcome to the club ladies and gentlemen.
Published 1150 days ago
If I comment on Fidelity increasing its stake in Quindell (QPP) I am damned as an obsessive. If I say nothing I am damned as a coward. So I am damned either way but for what it is worth…
Published 1156 days ago
If you are a good Chinese company you list in Hong Kong or Shanghai because it is easier to raise money, here is liquidity in your shares and ratings are higher. If you are a piece of Junk (geddit?) you list on the AIM Cesspit. Time and again it is the same old story. Today’s catastrophe is Bodisen Biotech (BODI) – which Chinese POS will be next?
Published 1167 days ago
I was sitting at Real Man Pizza at noon yesterday awaiting my guest, Dave Breith of Coms (COMS). At 12.30 I tried calling to see where he was. His PA called me to say he was off sick and apologising for his second last minute let down in 3 weeks – I do want to meet the guy. As we now know Breith was not sick. That was a lie born out of apparent monumental incompetence at his firm.
Published 1174 days ago
I am tired of arguing with shareholders in Quindell (QPP) on twitter. Some folks will insist that 2 +2 equals 5 forever. And so I have recorded a video just to set the record straight.
Published 1183 days ago
There is little doubt that the two most bombastic men in the City are Avanti Communications (AVN) CEO David Williams and bear raider Evil Knievil. The battle continues as we can reveal exclusively.
Published 1199 days ago
Bear raider Matt Earl, the “dark destroyer”, has added to his Avanti short this morning. He reckons that debt today is materially higher than that stated as at 31st March and that a rescue refinancing is “a strong possibility” this year. Earl says that “Gravity may be about to kick in.”