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Ashtead, the Builder's Friend, May Build back its Fallen Share Price Again

Published 72 days ago

Hello Share Trouncers. About two years ago, I sold this family’s shares in Ashtead (AHT). After consulting this very website, I could not see how its meteoric rise could be sustained. We took a big profit. But then, as so often happens to shares which seem overvalued, the share price continued to soar. But while I suffered many months of kicking myself, the share price then did what it should have done all along and crashed back to 1800p - the price at which I sold the lot. Then it fell even more...

The End Of (Artificial) Stability

Published 376 days ago

There are many ways of assessing the value of the stock market. The Shiller PE (price relative to the past decade’s worth of real, average earnings) and Tobin’s Q (the value of companies’ outstanding stock and debt relative to their replacement cost) are possibly the two best. That doesn’t mean those metrics are accurate crash indicators, or that one can use them profitably as trading signals. Expensive stocks can stay expensive or get more expensive, and cheap stocks can stay cheap or get cheaper for inconveniently and expensively long periods of time. But those metrics do have a good record of forecasting future long-term (one decade or more) returns.

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