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Afren – 10 Red Flags to consider before piling in to the Open Offer

By Nigel Somerville, The Deputy Sheriff of AIM | Saturday 27 June 2015


Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from ShareProphets). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.


One of the things which investors should ask themselves is: who gains? And with reference to Afren (AFR) this is a pertinent question. It surely is clear as day that it is the bondholders who have been calling the shots (or shorts!) since the company essentially ran out of cash. At any moment, the bondholders could have called in their cash and Afren would have been toast. That they didn’t suggests that the current proposals on the table offer the bondholders a better deal. It surely is better for shareholders too – the alternative being a certain wipe-out, as opposed to a gamble on recovery – but should shareholders put more of their cash into Afren via the Open Offer? I have grave reservations.


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