Keyword results: GKP

ZOE
ZOE

A lesson for morons owning Zoetic, Supply@ME Capital etc - a tweet that did not last well from 2013

Folks owning shares in frauds or Bulletin Board Morons always, for a time, crow at the stupidity of ShareProphets as such stocks, like shooting stars, can rocket before the final collapse. Natch shareholders do not see this. They are convinced that ShareProphets and its writers are shorting, which we are not and that temporary share price strength is a sign that they are right. Here, for such folks, is a tweet from a moron called Spencer Freeman who used to plague me seven or eight years ago.

GKP
GKP
PREMIUM CONTENT

If Gulf Keystone can achieve its planned production expansion, longer term investors will do very well indeed here

This year a lot of private investors seem to have been focussing on any stocks even loosely associated with Covid, plus those in the tech sector, and more recently mining has also seen a resurgence, gold in particular, but oil and gas has very much remained unloved and out of favour. That gives you a great opportunity and this is no fisherman’s tale…

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GKP
GKP
PREMIUM CONTENT

Take advantage of the oil price drop - buy Gulf Keystone

Oil prices have taken an absolute battering this week, but I suspect that what we have seen is somewhat of an over-reaction.

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GKP
GKP

That's Oil in Them Thar Iraqi Hills and So Far Gulf Keystone is Selling It Profitably

Hello Share Pilers. I’m going to stick my neck into dangerous custard and suggest that you might look into a share which may have given you kittens in the past. It’s Gulf Keystone Petroleum (GKP). I have a holding which has decayed over the years to be worth a lot less now.

The stupidity of UK Oil & Gas owning David Lenigas sycophants on twitter - meet Donato Perretta

I trained as an oil analyst 27 years ago and have been writing about the sector ever since. Those morons who thought they knew better, as they filled their boots with Gulf Keystone (GKP), Xcite (XEL), Magnolia (MAGP), Andalas (ADL) and UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) always thought they had greater sector experise and on twitter came up with devestating responses to my hard analysis. Meet utter fucktard Donato Perretta, a UK Oil & Gas owning moron.

Time Running Out at UK Oil & Gas

I have to take my hat off to UK Oil & Gas (UKOG). It has kept the show on the road for far longer than is customary with these types of promotes and seems to have cemented its position as the nations’ favourite oil tiddler after the long reign of Gulf Keystone (GKP) in the good old days of "The Tod squad".

SOU
SOU

RESULTS: ShareProphets readers tips for 2016 competition

Having asked for readers tips for 2016 for the amazing prize of lunch or dinner with Tom Winnifrith (or the chance to fob it off on someone you don't like) HERE, this is the result...

SOU
SOU

ShareProphets readers tips for 2016 competition - end November update

Having asked for readers tips for 2016 for the amazing prize of lunch or dinner with Tom Winnifrith (or the chance to fob it off on someone you don't like) HERE, the following is a monthly update on performance with the competition now into its final month (to be eligible needed to have selected a buy & sell pick and those to be listed on the LSE or on the AIM Casino)...

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast Recorded from my new home - at a motorway service station

Yes, I am indeed resident at a motorway service station as I explain HERE. In today's podcast I look at ethics, Milestone (MSG), Strat Aero (AERO), SalvaRx (SALV), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Blur (BLUR) - as a long I kid you not - and Audioboom (BOOM), er..less so.

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone - kicking small shareholders in the bollocks

Say what you like about the army of lunatic small shareholders that have stuck with Gulf Keystone (GKP) through thick and think but they are loyal. Rather like a wife who keep getting beaten up by her drunken husband they just stayed on for more. It was almost touching. And now with the debt for equity complete Gulf is to kick those folks in the bollocks with a share consolidation.

SOU
SOU

ShareProphets readers tips for 2016 competition - end October update

Having asked for readers tips for 2016 for the amazing prize of lunch or dinner with Tom Winnifrith (or the chance to fob it off on someone you don't like) HERE, the following is a monthly update on performance (to be eligible needed to have selected a buy & sell pick and those to be listed on the LSE or on the AIM Casino)...

Punters Get Punished in Tern - I stay short

As a rule, as I have pointed out before, the stocks most talked about on bulletin boards make appalling investments. Gulf Keystone (GKP) is a good example of this and Tern (TERN) the pretender to the Gulf throne is also a case in point.

Igas – high noon in Oslo

At time of writing bondholders in AIM-listed over-indebted Igas Energy (IGAS) are meeting in Oslo, having been summoned by the company to consider proposals to waive certain bond covenants while a restructuring of the company’s capital is negotiated. Igas previously indicated that a bond covenant breach was anticipated to occur this very week. Will the bondholders play ball?

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: App darling Sup goes bust - you will wet your knickers this is so funny

It is red faces for Sir Richard Branson and for uber pious Richard Reed of Innocent as app firm Sup goes bust but the whole story is just so hilarious, a message on the stupidity of man and his inability to learn from his errors you will wet yourselves. The nature of the demise of this company is the highlight of my week and it will be yours too. Elsewhere I look at Telit Communications (TCM), Ambrian (AMBR), Aureus Energy (AUE) - I await your apologetic update Jo Hart - XCite (XEL) and Gulf Keystone (GKP).

GKP
GKP

Zac "The Knife" Phillips explicit warning on Gulf Keystone

The City's top oil analyst, Zac "the Knife" Phillips of SP Angel has today issued a stark warning on the risks in holding shares in Gulf Keystone (GKP). As it happens I think Zac is being rather too nice on this occassion, he misses a trick. First to Zac, with the shares now trading at 2.23p, but, he warns, worth as little as 0.65p. "The Knife" writes:

SOU
SOU

ShareProphets readers tips for 2016 competition - end September update

Having asked for readers tips for 2016 for the amazing prize of lunch or dinner with Tom Winnifrith (or the chance to fob it off on someone you don't like) HERE, the following is a monthly update on performance (to be eligible needed to have selected a buy & sell pick and those to be listed on the LSE or on the AIM Casino)...

Igas – New Year tip update: crunch time this week?

When I penned my one and only suggestion in the 2015 ShareProphets Christmas tipfest, AIM-listed Igas Energy (IGAS) shares sat at 18.5p on a market capitalisation of £55.3 million. They have been all over the place since then – up as high as 21p twice and down as low as 10p. They are currently 12p as the last bubble nonsense deflates gently but has anything really changed? Er, no. The company is still drowning in debt which it can’t repay and the lit fuse is now almost ten months shorter. Igas remains a stonking sell.

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone: the Final Chapter.

On Thursday, as expected, the bond holders in Gulf Keystone (GKP) agreed to the restructuring which will give them 85.5% of the company. All that remains is for the scheme to be sanctioned in court next Friday, a formality. Within five working days of that date just shy of 20 billion shares will be dispatched to noteholders.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Xtract Resources a non cash shell ahoy? P45s for Steve Moore & Gary Newman

Thanks to Steve Moore and Gary Newman we own shares in Xtract Resources (XTR). Both deserve P45s for that. I discuss this disaster as well as another hole in the ground in Bongo Bongo land which stinks - Armadale Capital (ACP). Then it is onto Newmark Security (NMT) - Graham Neary hang your head in shame for this exercise in nepotistic value destruction - before I look at Gulf Keystone (GKP) and the administration waiting to happen that is Avanti Communications (AVN)

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: A deluge of AIM sleaze as I prepare to assemble a cot, a task from Greek mythology

In a while I must go asremble a cot. It won't be like a cot of old but is bound to have 85 parts, six types of screw, an Allan Key and instructions designed for a Nobel Prize winner. It is like a heroic task from Greek mythology and I expect to be in a bad mood soon. So for that reason and one other I record early. On the agenda: Cloudtag (CTAG), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Pantheon Resources (PANR), 88 Energy (88E), Vipera (VIP), XCite Energy (XEL) and Strat Aero (AERO) and only en passant the fraudsters at African Potash (AFPO). This podcast is long and detailed.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Ayn Rand (genius), a bimbo on the Sun Telegraph & Gulf Keystone and a stockmarket crash looms

I refer to my 8 Reasons Donald Trump will win podcast in this bearcast - you can listen to that HERE. Elsewhere I discuss the problem of a corrupted press with reference to today's Sunday Telegraph on Gulf Keystone (GKP). I then examine why I think the stockmarket might crash this fall. Finally I offer up a quote from Ayn Rand and challenge you to disagree with how, in 1957, she describes the sad world of 2016.

SOU
SOU

ShareProphets readers tips for 2016 competition - end August update

Having asked for readers tips for 2016 for the amazing prize of lunch or dinner with Tom Winnifrith (or the chance to fob it off on someone you don't like) HERE, the following is a monthly update on performance (to be eligible needed to have selected a buy & sell pick and those to be listed on the LSE or on the AIM Casino)...

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Highland Natural Resources really is run by some well dodgy fellows

Still no lawyers letter from African Potash (AFPO) has arrived at Sheriff Towers. It really is like waiting for Godot. But at least my mother in law has remembered that it is my wedding anniversary tomorrow. I discuss another thing happening tomorrow, that is to say African Potash which has no cash having to repay $1.1 million to its FD's Mrs, Katrina Clayton. I look at Highland Natural Resources (HNR), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Glenwick (GWIK), Opera (OPRA) and then Gable (GAH) which really has posted a most enormous red flag today. Sell - target 0p. 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - in an ffing awful mood after ante-natal class

When I go to hell it will be to spend eternity in an ante-natal class such as the two hour ordeal I endured today. I am unbelievably angry at having wasted two hours of my life on this cobblers. Moving on I look at ECR Minerals (ECR), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Avanti Communications (AVN) Eden Research (FRAUD) in the wake of the demise of its sister company Environmental Recycling (see HERE), Braveheart Investments (BRH) - run by an old Sefton man, African Potash (AFPO) and its partner in slime Blenheim Natural Resources (BNR)

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone: one hurdle cleared, one more on Friday and then the shares will either crash or burn

Shares in Gulf Keystone (GKP) could be toast by Friday but I think that incredibly unlikely. That they will crash is a racing cert after today's news. Gulf tells us that the owners of 82% of each of the two classes of bonds have both agreed to support the debt for equity swap. It needed just 75% support so that is in the bag. Next up..the Bulletin Board Morons.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - Tearing Alba apart & help with my dessert gooseberries

I have a stack of dessert gooseberries. I know they should be in a fruit salad but I can't buy into that so want to put them into a crumble but with what? I seek answers from any gourmands or gourmets who are listening. Then I look at Alba (ALBA) in detail, its placing ahoy! I move through Northbridge Industrial (NBI), Gable (GAH) and the mystery of the dog that barked in the night, Gulf Keystone (GKP), Keller (KLR) and FastForward Innovations (FFWD).

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone PLC More Retail Madness - sell

When I last wrote about Gulf Keystone (GKP) I said it would be my final word on the subject but that was before Friday’s news of a $300 million bid from the Norwegian Oil company DNO, the details of which are on its website.

SOU
SOU

ShareProphets readers tips for 2016 competition - end July update

Having asked for readers tips for 2016 for the amazing prize of lunch or dinner with Tom Winnifrith (or the chance to fob it off on someone you don't like) HERE, the following is a monthly update on performance (to be eligible needed to have selected a buy & sell pick and those to be listed on the LSE or on the AIM Casino)...

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Roland "fatty" Cornish - "oops I did it again

I start with Gulf Keystone (GKP) and a share price driven by morons. talking of morons, London's most useless Nomad, Roland "fatty" Cornish has screwed up again. This time it is Nyota Minerals (NYO) although the real issue here is when is Nyota bust. I think it might be already. I look at Avanti and ask who is smarter: Tom Dobell of M&G, a Bulletin Board Moron or an institutional investor in bonds. I look at Koovs (KOOV), Essentra (ESNT) and Audiooboom (BOOM).

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone gets hostile $300 million bid from DNO - market gets it all wrong (again)

Gulf Keystone (GKP) says that it is considering a hostile bid from Norway's DNO which comprises $120 million of cash and $180 million of shares. Given that DNO will be taking on a net $100 million of debt, post the restructuring the offer is remarkably generous but not half as generous as the market implies.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - Avanti won't be playing Germany in the invasion of France role play

I am challenged to comment on Cenkos (CNKS) as an investment in light of todays news on its role in the Quindell fraud (HERE). Okay, I do my best. Then it is on to Techfinancials (TECH), Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) and some friendly advice for Malcolm Stacey, Gulf Keystone (GKP), XCite Energy (XEL) and then I end with Avanti Communications (AVN) where I hope you understand the historical analogy.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast The blessed Mel for Dad but Steve Moore & Gary Newman fired!

I had to buy a copy of the Guardian for Dad today and carry it home through the streets from the newsagent. How I am shamed in front of my neighbours. Meanwhile dad is reading books I own by Peter Hitchens, Niall Ferguson and Melanie Phillips and is loving them, as his inner reactionary is exposed. On the markets I look at Servision (SEV), Xtract Energy (XTR) - Steve Moore and Gary Newman you are FIRED! - Gulf Keystone (GKP), Taihua (FRAUD), Oxford Pharma (OXP), Judges Scientific (JDG) and another bad day for disgraced Roger "Ramper" Lawson of ShareSoc, Kennedy Ventures (KENV) and finally the poltroons stock of choice for today, Nyota (NYO).

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - I feel old after ante natal class and more Horse Hill ramping

I spent the morning at an ante natal class with the Mrs. Hell's teeth I am a feminist don't you know? But the whole experience left me feeling just rather old and I discuss why. Then it is onto today's ramptastic news from Horse Hill and I explain what it actually means. I waltz through Gulf Keystone (GKP) - bear squeeze - Stanley Gibbons (SGI) - recovery play? - and Guscio (GUSC)  - Nigel Wray play. Then it is onto Tern (TERN), Gable (GAH), IGAS (IGAS) and Golden Saint (GSR) where I discuss why today's RNS really is just bollocks and how bulk sampling really works.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - My father will need to admit to liking Theresa May

Tomorrow my father faces his interview at the Conservative Club and I have been coaching him on what he can say as a deluded lefty to get access to the cheep beer. Elsewhere I discuss how share prices can defy gravity temporarily and why with reference to Gable Holdings (GAH) and Gulf Keystone (GKP). Then I move onto Nyota (NYO), Avanti Communications (AVN), Strat Aero (AERO) and then, in some detail, the dog run by liars that is African Potash (AFPO)

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone. Lessons for Both Sides of the Trade

My feelings of satisfaction at being vindicated on Gulf Keystone (GKP) when the details of the debt for equity swap were finally published yesterday were somewhat short lived, as I was put on notice that borrow was being recalled and I had to buy back a fair chunk of the position at more than three times its worth.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Insulting Froggies on Bastille Day and Morons on Gulf Keystone day

It is of course Bastille Day and that, of course, prompts a few jokes at the expense of the Froggies. I then move into Gulf Keystone (GKP) and a spot of moron baiting and working out moron investing game theory. I then move to a detailed look at Digital Globe (DGS) before covering en passant XCite (XEL), LGO Energy (LGO), Trinity (TRIN), Circle Oil (COP), Premier Oil (PMO), IGAS (IGAS) and Nostra Terra (NTOG). I also comment on Glenwick (GWIK), 88 Energy (88E), Strat Aero (AERO) and Inspirit Energy (INSP) 

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone: shareholders lose 95.5% of the company: vindication ( again) for the Sheriff!

Its apology time. To all those morons who have berated me for being a Gulf Keystone (GKP) bear from 180p down it is time to apologise. Today, Paul Curtis and the GKP barmy army have suffered the final kick in the gonads with news of a massive debt for equity swap which sees near total equity wipeout. Its ouzo O'clock for the Sheriff of AIM who awaits the apologies.

Trinity Exploration shares suspended - Citibank finally pulls the plug

For months and months Trinity Exploration (TRIN) has been in default on loans taken out with Citibank. Investors who declined to sell the worthless shares seemed to believe the truism that "If you owe the bank $1 you are in trouble, if you owe $1 million the bank is in trouble" as Citibank - which was actually owed $13 million declined to pull the plug. Until today. Instead of the normal weekly rollover announcement we are told:

IGAS PLC Hot on the Heels of Gulf Keystone. Sell at 12.5p

As Gulf Keystone (GKP) sputters toward its inevitable fate, the hunt is on to spot the next equity wipeout in this space. There are quite a few runners and riders. I mentioned Xcite (XEL) a while back and Premier Oil (PMO) is also in the frame.  My nap however is Igas Plc (IGAS) as the next for the chop.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - Gooseberry Crumble, Avanti crumbles

I have spent the morning getting twitter grief for this article but the one polite twitter enquiry concerns BoxHill (BOX) and I answer that in this podcast as well as explaining why shares are both up and down since Brexit - it all depends how you look at it. I also cover Gulf Keystone (GKP), Bluebird Merchant Ventures (BMV), Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) and Avanti Communications (AVN), I meant to talk about Bovis (BVS) but forgot. I shall try to remember tomorrow when I am down to make a gooseberry crumble. I shall report back on that over the weekend.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Gulf Keystone toast & shagging Cheryl Cole & the entire Dallas Cowboys cheerleading squad

It looks as if shareholders will very soon hear the final grim news at Gulf Keystone (GKP). I first said sell at 180p and have been given grief all the way down. Folks can line up to apologise to me in an orderly queue. I discuss who is to blame and what happens next. Then it is onto the reason Brexit is not the real issue, there is an elephant in the room and its European but its on the other side of the channel. That takes me to the UK deficit, Cheryl and the cheerleaders and my stance on equities.

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone – Leaked Two-Phase Restructuring with Investor Wipe-out

Concrete details of the restructuring at Gulf Keystone (GKP) have apparently been leaked to the Times this weekend, confirming that the end is nigh for this once-loved and highly-debated stock.

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone Petroleum - Living On Borrowed Time

June was a quiet month for Gulf Keystone (GKP), at least in terms of news for observers. Internally, there are doubtless all manner of interesting conversations taking place. We were given a twin helping of clues on Friday as to the content and direction of these discussions. Unfortunately, there is still no reason to believe that the shares have any value. But maybe the end is nigh.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Drown all cat haters including my brother in law

I am back in from the fields where I have been labouring in 40 degree plus heat. Today I offer a few thoughts on Circassia (CIR) and the risks folks just dont seem to appreciate of a) biotech and b) backing stock selections of star fund managers, in this case Neil Woodford - who incidentally is clearly a very talented chap. I look at Gulf Keystone (GKP), XCite Energy (XEL), China Frauds and then in some detail at Blur (BLUR). For further info on its brain dead dickhead of a PR man Dominic Barretto go HERE

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - one week to Brexit?

Well fingers crossed anyway - I cannot claim to be hiding my views! The Mrs flies back to the UK today so normal full work service resumes tonight. Pro tem I have comments on Vast Resources (VAST), Highlands Natural Resources (HNR), PHSC (PHSC), XCite Energy (XEL), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Totally (TLY) and Skil Ports & Logistics (SPL).

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - Oy Oy Paul Scott - what the feck is happening at TrakM8

Why are shares in TrakM8 (TRAK) plunging. This is not a "Winni-wobble." The company needs to make a statement either officially or via its spokesman on earth, Paul Scott. Elsewhere, after a visit to Mistra which was amazing, I look at Gulf Keystone (GKP), death merely postponed, Avanti Communications (AVN ) - ditto - Edenville Energy (EDL) ditto and Cyan (CYAN) where I explain who is shafting Joe Retail: brokers and management. 

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone - Tick Tock Tick Tock it is one minute to midnight

There is massive speculation about Gulf Keystone (GKP) on the Bulletin Boards and I see that the shares are ahead at 4.2p today. But there are only two facts and I remind you of both as the clock is ticking, it is 11.59 Pm and at midnight shares in this company are likely to go pop.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: On the toast rack are CIC Gold, xCite and Gulf Keystone & what's happening at TrakM8?

There may not be a bearcast tomorrow. It is all down to the arrival of the Mrs as I explain. Meanwhile I look at Gulf Keystone (GKP) and XCite (XEL). The best time to kick a man is when he is down. So says Evil Knievil. And that applies to these two oilers where events are moving fast and the shares are near enough certs to be toast already. CIC Gold (CICG) is in an even worse state and today's RNS is a shambles. The curse of boy scout mugger Stuart Bromley strikes again. It is doomed. Then I discuss what, if anything, is wrong at TrakM8 (TRAK). Then a question raised by the share price move on Friday at ADVFN (AFN).

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone Petroleum - Revelations: The Final Judgement

And God shall wipe away all tears from their eyes; and there shall be no more death, neither sorrow, nor crying, neither shall there be any more pain: for the former things are passed away.

It is with no small sense of humility that I disclose a token short position in Gulf Keystone Petroleum.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - the facts of life for a whinger from the Liverpool welfare safaris

I start by putting one scouser straight on how things work in the real world. Then it is onto DDD Group, China Norfolk Aquatic Foods (AFG), Glenwick (GWIK), Sovereign Mines of Africa (SMA), Wishbone (WSBN), R4E (R4E) - go Dr Hon! -  and Gulf Keystone (GKP).

Toast

Reader Poll: Drowning in Debt Oil mid caps - who will admit that it is toast next?

And so today, Circle Oil (COP) has admitted what anyone with half a brain cell could have figured, that it is officially toast. The question is which of the drowning in debt oil mid caps or large E&Ps will be next to fess up? There is an RNS from Gulf Keystone (GKP) today saying its bondhoders have given it another 11 days but could it be overtaken by XCite (XEL), whose shares are sliding as the clock ticks? Other oilcos in breach of loans include Trinity Exploration (TRIN) and LGO Energy (LGO) while the yield on IGAS debt suggests it is in the merde. So who will be next to admit it's toast, to use either the word "administration" or the phrase "little or no value for shareholders". Voting deadline is midnight tonight.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - Nicotine Clean for 2 days under 3 months

Yup I am still clean and 99.9% of the time very glad to be. But I know that if I have just one fag it will be all over. So I will not. I digress. Today's podcast covers my little internet difficulties here in Kambos then goes onto Aureus Mining (AUE), Circle Oil (COP), IGAS (IGAS), LGO Energy (LGO) and Gulf Keystone (GKP). Finally I urge regular listener Marcus Stuttard, head of the oxymorons at AIM Regulation, to read the utterly shocking Phil Edmonds and Andrew Groves tale HERE as it shows what a shite job the bogus Sheriff is doing.

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone tells its shareholders it is screwed - don't these poltroons remember Afren?

Without explicitly using the words "we are 100% fucked and shareholders face either total or near wipeout" drowning in debt Gulf Keystone (GKP) has today pretty much fessed up to what a mess it is in. Not for the first time, the company is telling shareholders that the game is up. Natch they think they know better. They obviously don't remember the last days of Afren.

Tom & Lucian Miers preparing for a boozy lunch

We were meant to record a video. In fact we did record but something went wrong and the Conservative Club with its cheap beer beckoned. And thus the video short letter appears as a contemporaneous note.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 15 April - In poor Phorm after lunch with Lucian

I woke up last night panicking that after staggering home from a boozy lunch with Lucian I had written a drunken piece laughing at all sorts of folks after Phorm admitted it was bust but that I had just written it becuase I felt like it not because it was true. Imagine my relief to discover that it was in fact true and with hindsight I think I write jolly well when drunk. Perhaps we should have a writing contest myself & Paul Scott both drunk vs two boring sober bastards. I digress. I look at BP and executive pay and unable to resist poking some fun at the ghastly Nicola Horlick and dreadful Channel 4 News. I look at 21st Century Technology ( C21), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Strat Aero (AERO), Grand Group (GIPO)) and 88 Energy (88E) where Lucian is short. In a sort of flashback I recall our discussion yesterday on 88 and recount it. 

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone 0p by early May - I slash target price from 1p

I am beginning to think that my 1p target price for Gulf Keystone (GKP) is in fact far too generous. Having called this as a sell at 180p and all the way down to abuse from every moron in the land I think it is time to revise the target price. The shares are off another 9% today to just 4.675p. Okay I shall stop being a nice guy, I am cutting my target price from 1p to 0p.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 14 April: Dancing on the graves of Ruspetro & Gulf Keystone

Lucian will be here soon so I thought Id better record ahead of our trip to the Conservative Club with its tempting cheap beer. On the agenda I fail to mention that Finncap are complete and utter bastards but they are. I do, however, cover Ruspetro (RPO), Gulf Keystone (GKP), SeaEnergy (SEA), Rose Petroleum (ROSE), Sierra Rutile (SRX), Burberry (BRBY), Mothercare (MTC), a couple of Paul Scott jokes - please do not tell me he has any friends in the Mothercare management community that he thinks I may be offending - as well as a word or two on Challenger Acquisitions (CHAL) 

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone Morons: what was that you were saying about institutional backing - M&G dumps its shares

The Morons who have ignored my advice to sell Gulf Keystone (GKP) all the way down from 180p to 6.6p today have occassionally argued that I cannot be right because fund managers are long and strong and they know more than a pizza delivery boy/alcoholic etc etc etc. Today M&G has sold its 5% stake and now owns no shares at all.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 12 April - I view broker Finncap as complete & utter bastards

This concerns Premaitha (NIPT) where I feel misled and explain why I regard brokers Finncap as complete and utter bastards. Premaitha shares are a buy but it should sack Finncap now. I then move onto Gulf Keystone (GKP), Bacanora (BCN), Rare Earth Minerals (REM) and the pig Lenigas, Mariana Resources (MARL), Goldstone Resources (GRL) and Falkland Island Holdings (FKL) a company that has never recovered from being tipped by another complete and utter bastard, the uber-talentless Richard "Gollum" Gill. I am in a bad mood today and this podcast contains lots of bad langauge.

Christmas-Stripper

ShareProphets readers tips for 2016 competition - end March update

Having asked for readers tips for 2016 for the amazing prize of lunch or dinner with Tom Winnifrith (or the chance to fob it off on someone you don't like) HERE, the following is a monthly update on performance (to be eligible needed to have selected a buy & sell pick and those to be listed on the LSE or on the AIM Casino).

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith April Fool Bearcast -talking of Fools: Ascent Resources, Nighthawk and folks with MBAs

I name a few folks who fell for Nigel's April Fool today. How could you think so badly of me? Then it is onto: Ascent Resources (AST), Nighthawk (HAWK),  Digital Barriers (DGB), Jiasen (JSI), Stratmin Global (STGR), Gulf Keystone (GKP), AFC Energy (AFC), Vast Resources (VAST) and Nakama Group (NAK). I am rude about folks with MBA's today so if you have one brace yourself.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - what others dare not say about the Brussels atrocity & home truths on another mess from the ME: Gulf Keystone

I seem to have annoyed a lot of folks with an early article on the attacks in Belgium HERE but I am unrepentant and go on to point out a few other things most folks dare not say. From that mess created in the Middle East to another - Gulf Keystone (GKP) and why its RNS today is so bad and tells you 1p is the best case scenario. Then onto what was 3 Legs Resources but what is now SalvaRx (SALV) and why I find what has gone on just not acceptable. I also comment on stock manipulation, Sirius Petroleum (SRSP) and Gulfsands Petroleum (GPX) which I cover in more depth HERE

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 18 March - Sir Stelios & TW 5, Fascist PR bullies at Citigate and Fastjet 0

To the Bubble boys 5 nil, To the bubble boys 5 nil, To the bubble boys 5 nil. That great Bubble Sir Stelios has Fastjet (FJET) and its fascist bully boy PR scumbag operatives at Citigate Dewe Rogerson realing. Naturally I start with this. The heroic Sir Stelios makes me even more of an admirer of all things Greek. Well almost. I look at Hellenic Carriers (HCL) and also at Gulf Keystone (GKP) and Northern Petroleum (NOP).

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 17 March - you just cannot be Sirius

I start with two matters from yesterday's Budget which I neglected to mention in my otherwise excellent post Budget podcast HERE. The I move not to Sirius Minerals (SXX), which I shall cover in a seperate article elsewhere following a chat with Chris Frazer which left me quite impressed, but to Sirius Petroleum (SRSP) which is a dog with fleas and whose placing today stinks. Then it is onto Wandisco (WAND), Gulf Keystone (GKP) - where are my fucking apologies from the morons? - Audioboom (BOOM), Challenger Acquisitions (CHAL) and the uber perma dog Sareum (SAR) before I engage in a lengthy discussion on Fitbug (FITB) another perma dog.

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone Full Year Numbers - What you smell is Toast, 1p best case target

As a bear of Gulf Keystone (GKP) since 180p, I note that the shares are now just 11p after the publication of results which are at every level just a disaster - even today this is a storming sell. Where to start?

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone - monies received but the cash is disappearing fast - its toast!

Gulf Keystone (GKP) has announced that the $15 million gross it announced it was getting on 19 February has arrived which is good news. The bad news, and boy it really is bad news, is that cash post payment is just $56 million.

PCI
PCI

PetroCeltic - shares suspended pending clarification...oh dear, which oil junior's next?

And yet again the Bulletin Board Morons take something of a battering because they thought they knew better. This time it is - essentially bankrupt - Petroceltic (PCI), shares in which have this morning been suspended pending clarification. Ooops a daisy.

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone - Truly Disastrous News from Kurdistan

On the surface it seems like good news once again - as has been the case since September 2015 - the KRG has agreed to hand over $15 million ( $12 million net) to Gulf Keystone (GKP) in fact today's RNS is a disaster.

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone, Upstream Interview - my target price is near as damn it 0p

A candid interview with Gulf Keystone (GKP) CEO Jon Ferrier in that must read publication Upstream (HERE) makes clear that this company is very likely to see a shareholder wipeout within a year. The shares are now 14.5p my target price is , near as damn it, 0p but here are the key takeways from Upstream.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 1st Feb - Revenge is a dish best served cold

I feel let down by someone, legged over. But revenge is a dish best served cold. Last year I "dealt with" someone in print who'd cost me money 15 years previously. It was all the better for waiting. I am sure there will be a couple of listeners who will take this on board today. Was I wrong about Gulf Keystone (GKP) yesterday HERE? No the analysis still stands, today's share price spike is a selling opportunity. I also look at Kenmare (KMR), Lakehouse (LAKE), Litebulb (LBB), MX Oil (MXO - statement needed - Crossrider (CROS), Afriag (TOAST), Blenheim (BNR) and Solgold (SOLG) which gets a detailed review and sell advice.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast - My friend you are in sheer denial on Gulf Keystone, your shares are worthless

My earlier podcast on oil was I thought very balanced but one shareholder in Gulf Keystone (GKP) disagrees as you can see in the comments section beneath that excellent Bearcast HERE. My fried you are in denial just like Comrade wildes on LGO Energy (TOAST) and those who still believe in Avanti Communications (AVN). I refer to all three stocks but Gulf in particular as I examine the various facets of this common investor trait of denial. 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 31 January - Is it time to buy oil shares aggressively?

The weekend press is full of stories of doom and gloom and dividend cuts for BP (BP.) and Shell and clearly there are a stack of smaller companies that are totally screwed and where shareholders are likely to face total wipeout. In that vein I discuss Magnolia (MAGP), Igas (IGAS), Gulf Keystone (GKP), XCite (XEL) and, of course, LGO Energy (TOAST).  But is there a case for buying oil shares as a long term invester. I look at a few cases from BP down to Union Jack Oil (UJO). Perhaps there is no rush but the time will come.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 24 January: Himex this is jail for Rob Terry & bad news for Watchstone + crap AIM investment companies

I am sorry for the delayed podcast but I am only just back from time in the Grim Northern welfare safari with the mother in law and thus can now let myself go with a volley of bad language.  I end with an explanation of who benefitted from the £150 million + Himex fraud at Quindell (QPP) laid bare earlier HERE and how it also affects Watchstone (WTG). Before that I talk of my annoyance on the silly blogger spats and the explain the difference between a cash shell and an investment company and why I regard our work on exposing the latter as invaluable. In the middle segment I have more bad news for oil companies such as XCite (XEL), IGAS (IGAS), Petroceltic (PCI) & Gulf Keystone (GKP) and for the sector as a whole but also for the markets. Dont blame China, we bears are still in the driving seat.

Eleven Oil stocks heading for Zero

The weekend news from the oil sector is grim. I am not sure that folks out there in, what Malcolm Stacey might term, punterland realise just how grim it is. There is a massive PR and IR industry supporting the proposition that things can only get better. Au contraire, for the next few months at least, they are going to get a lot worse. And in that spirit I offer up a list of eleven oil E&Ps to sell now, to get out what and while you can, as they could well hit zero. 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 11 Jan - Koovs Disgusts me, Afriag - incoming!

I think that Koovs (KOOV) is a basket case anyway but the manner in which it disclosed information - or lack of it - this morning is disgusting and treats private investors with contempt. The Gulf Keystone (GKP ) RNS is a shocker & I have cut my target price to well below 10p. Some folks just don't seem to accept how the oil price has changed everything and I discuss why certain stocks are now well and truly toast notably Northern Petroleum (NOP), IGAS (IGAS) and LGO Energy (TOAST).  I am delighted to see that Cynical Bear's articles yesterday have had some impact and comment on Corero (CNS) in detail. And then Afriag (AFRI). Its my birthday tomorrow and I have a present for Yusuf Kajee to celebrate. Incoming!

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 6 January: Alibaba looks like a red flag slam dunk sell

I could not sleep last night so spent several hours looking at filings by Alibaba (US:BABA), the world's largest IPO. They seem red flag strewn and I would have this one down as a slam dunk sell for 2016. There will be more on this to follow but I am just putting a marker in the sand. Back in the UK I look at Gulf Keystone (GKP), African Potash (AFPO) and LGO Energy (LGO)

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 1st January - bonfire of the junk bond funds - disaster for Avanti, Gulf Keystone etc

In junk bond fund land the closures are accelerating. I look at what is going wrong and why it will go more wrong in 2016 and the UK PLCs which will find themselves deep in the merde as a result. I identify, Avanti Communications (AVN), Gulf Keystone (GKP) and IGas (IGAS) but I am sure you can think of others.

GKP
GKP

Zak Mir's Bulletin Board Heroes: Clontarf Energy, China Non Ferrous Gold, Gulf Keystone, Imaginatik, Reach4Entertainment

Featuring shares in Clontarf Energy (CLON), China Non Ferrous Gold (CNG), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Imaginatik (IMTK) and Reach4Entertainment (R4E) with share price targets set for all five stocks.

Bear

Video: Tom Winnifrith, Lucian Miers, Matt Earl and Graham Neary 8 stocks going to Zero from Gold & Bears

This was one of the sparkiest sessions at Gold & Bears and I loved it. Each of myself, the bard of the Boleyn (Lucian Miers), the Dark Destroyer (Matt Earl) and Baby Bear (Graham Neary) selelected two stocks we thought were going to zero and explained why. They were: Fastjet (FJET), AO World (AO), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Slater & Gordon (SGH), Avanti Communications (AVN), Plus500 (PLUS), Tungsten (TUNG) and - bugger me - I can't remember Matt's other pick. Watch the video to find out, its a stormer.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 5 December - Six oil stocks heading to zero (and there are more) post OPEC

In this podcast I discuss OPEC and the oil price. I think you should have some oil exposure via BP (BP.A) and I am intyerested in a couple of gas plays, notably Ascent (AST). But I remain uber bearish on oil juniors as I have been (correctly) for four years. Among those heading for zero which I discuss are Gulf Keystone (GKP), Xcite Energy (XEL), IGAS (IGAS), Mosman Oil & Gas (MSMN), Northern Petroleum (NOP) and LGO Energy (LGO). And there are others take may not hit zero within a year but which still face share price decimation such as Solo (SOLO) and the Horse Shite/ Horse Hill Gatwick Gusher plays.

Zak Mir's Bulletin Board Heroes: Atlas Development, Amur Minerals, Feedback, Gulf Keystone, Reach4Entertainment

Featuring shares in Atlas Development (ADSS), Amur Minerals (AMC), Feedback (FDBK, Gulf Keystone (GKP) and Reach4Entertainment (R4E) with share price targets for all five stocks

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 2 December: In the Garden of Edenville no-one's Able but plenty of snakes

It is short podcast time as I am having issued sending material back to the UK. The Albanians did not turn up today so the olive harvest is delayed by 24 hours. It may be delayed again if I have to head to Athens on Global Shorting Conspiracy business. Things are starting to get interesting as I mention briefly and this is NOT Globo (GBO). Elsewhere I cover Edenville (EDL), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Sweet Group (CSG), Atlantic Coal (ATC), Iofina (IOF) and African Potash (AFPO). Warning: this podcast contains bad language and rather too many references to Britain's most talented chanteuse Ms Cheryl Cole.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith BearCast 30 November - Producing the Oakley Christmas Card

The annual ritual is complete. The Mrs and I have photographed my morbidly obese three legged cat Oakley in his Christmas hat and even Tara played her part posing in the hat and in a stocking. And thus our rather un-Christian cards are now in production. Awway from that I have a long look at Slater & Gordon (SGH) where the management has just allowed the bears a chance to sell even more shares. Jabba The Hutt stocks Solo (SOLO) and LGO Energy (LGO) get a mention as does Aureus Mining (AUE) with its hugely discounted placing. Alba (ALBA) is clearly lining up its next confetti issue and I comment on that as well as Blur (BLUR), Outsourcery (OUT), Wandisco (WAND), Plant Health Care (PHC), Gulf Keystone (GKP) and NAHL (NAH), Finally I commend the CEO of ValiRx (VAL) who attended Gold & Bears on Saturday and was incredibly poilite. Memo to TW. I will be less beastly to her in 2016.

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone: tipped by discredited paid for rampster Malcolm Graham Wood, ignore him: this could be a zero

Malcolm Graham Wood is paid large sums of money by oil companies to write reports on their shares which - for obvious reasons - don't tend to be bearish. He does not declare if a company whose shares he is tipping has paid him to do so or not. As such his research should ALL be ignored. Commentators must be transparent in why they are writing. If they are not they are discredited and should be drummed out of town. As such I ignore this pompous lard-bucket.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 23 November - watching dying Unicorns

Greetings from Brooklyn. The podcast starts with a look at dying Groupon and LivingSocial, dying unicorns. What does this tell us about buying shares in cash burning companies – think most stocks on AIM. Then it is onto Armstrong Ventures (AVP), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Iofina (IOF), Alecto (ALO) and Cloudbuy (CBUY). Sorry this is a short issue with no swearing at all, but a busy day beckons.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 17 November - in sights: NHS, blinkx and Jabba the Hutt

In today's podcast I start with my thoughts on the NHS. Guardian readers may wish to fast forward past that.Then it is onto assisting a twitter dickead (not David Lenigas) on Reach4Entertainment (R4E) and Nigel Wray. Then it is onto CDialogues (CDOG), blinkx (BLNX) and Havelock Europa (HVE). Finally a few more words on Gulf Keystone (GKP), Alba (ALBA) and Horse Hill.

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone – Ben Turney needs to be locked away for his insanity – the shares are a sell

Ben has produced yet another truly awful piece on Gulf Keystone GKP) today, Flip Flop is a stale long and wrong bull, I have called it spot on as a sell from 180p down to today’s 25.75p. But his offering today “facts about Gulf Keystone’s debt” is not based on fact and makes assertions that are ludicrous.

GKP
GKP

Some facts about Gulf Keystone’s debt

After my Gulf Keystone (GKP) piece last week (HERE) drew the predictable furious response from Winnifrith (HERE), I’ve been looking into the company’s numbers in a bit more detail. There’s no denying that Gulf is teetering on the edge. However, it is not dead yet. Although it has little to no room for error, so long as the Kurds keep up their regular payments, it is possible that Gulf will be able to pay down its debt and refinance its balance sheet by April 2017. A broker note found its way into my inbox today, broadly supporting this view. It contained some interesting observations on Gulf’s debt position worth sharing.

Zak Mir's Bulletin Board Heroes: 88 Energy, Gulf Keystone, Metal Tiger, Sopheon, Sirius Petroleum

Featuring shares of 88 Energy (88E), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Metal Tiger (MTR), Sopheon (SPE), Sirius Petroleum (SRSP), together with some share price targets.

GKP
GKP

The naivete and arrogance of youth - flip flop talks bollocks on Gulf Keystone, its a slam dunk sell

A few minutes ago flip flop Ben Turney - who has called this stock disastrously wrong - once again put the bull case for shares in Gulf Keystone (GKP) at 27p. I've been a bear from 180p all the way down. I remain a bear. My initial target is sub 10p but this could be a zero. I explain all in another mini podcast.

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone at 27p – a risky buy, but watch the 6.25% 2017 bond price

In the next week we should find out whether or not the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) is going to make good on its summer pledges. In August and September it promised to establish a regular payment cycle to the various oil producing companies active in the country for crude exports. Share prices of Gulf Keystone (GKP), Genel (GENL) and Norwegian firm DNO (DNO) leapt on the news. Two months and two payments later, the third should be due on or around 15 November. If Gulf receives another $15million, might this help restore some faith in the company’s future?

GKP
GKP

Zak Mir's Bulletin Board Heroes - Boxhill Technologies, Empyrean Energy, Gulf Keystone, Oracle Coalfields, Vast Resources

Featuring shares in Boxhill Technologies (BOX), Empyrean Energy (EME), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Oracle Coalfields (ORCP) and Vast Resources (VAST) with share price targets for all five stocks.

SAR
SAR

Zak Mir's Bulletin Board Heroes: Arria NLG, Gulf Keystone, Mariana Resources, Pan African Resources, Pinnacle Technology, Sareum

Featuring shares in Arria NLG (NLG), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Mariana Resources (MARL), Pan African Resources (PAF), Pinnacle Technology (PINN), Sareum (SAR), together with some share price targets.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 24 October - Go Paul Scott! Globo + No-one Oclock round up Friday

In today's podcast I cheer on Paul Scott in his twitter battle with Roger Lawson (see HERE). Then it is onto Globo (GBO) and where we are now. Then I look at the companies announcing at no-one is watching O'Clock yesterday: IGAS (IGAS), EKF Diagnostics (EKF), ADVFN (AFN) and Gulf Keystone (GKP)

JLP
JLP

Zak Mir's Bulletin Board Heroes: Atlas Development, Beowulf Mining, Gulf Keystone, Jubilee Platinum, Oxus Gold, Sovereign Mines of Africa.

Featuring shares in Atlas Development (ADSS), Beowulf Mining (BEM), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Jubilee Platinum (JLP), Oxus Gold (OXS), Sovereign Mines of Africa (SMA) with share price targets for all six stocks.

NEW
NEW

Zak Mir's Bulletin Board Heroes: Afriag, Castle Street Investments, Findel, Gulf Keystone, Intelligent Energy, New World Oil & Gas, Orsu Metals

Featuring shares in Afriag (AFRI), Castle Street Investments (CSI), Findel (FDL), Gulf Keystone (GSK), Intelligent Energy (IEH), New World Oil & Gas (NEW), Orsu Metals (OSU) with share price targets for all seven stocks.

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone: positive upgrade to its numbers, but with a touch of caution

At 32p Gulf Keystone (GKP) is worth £313million. This morning, the company announced its updated Competent Persons Report (CPR) for its oil & gas interests in Kurdistan. The numbers are impressive, but the market reaction has been muted, with Gulf now trading flat on the day. When a company increases its 1P Reserves by a better than expected 55% this would normally be cause for celebration, even in today’s oil price environment. However, as we all know, Gulf’s main challenge isn’t getting oil out of the ground. It is ensuring it gets paid.

APR
APR

Zak Mir's Great Request Show: APR Energy, Gulf Keystone, Oxus Gold

If you want me to analyse a stock for you just drop me a line at sqmir@hotmail.com - Today I look at shares of APR Energy (APR), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Oxus Gold (OXS) and offer some share price targets.

GKP
GKP

Zak Mir's Bulletin Board Heroes - Armadale Capital, Clear Leisure, Gulf Keystone, Mosman Oil & Gas, Transense Technologies, Tyratech

Featuring shares in Armadale Capital (ACP), Clear Leisure (CLP), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Mosman Oil & Gas (MSMN), Transense Technologies (TRT), Tyratech (TYRU), together with some share price targets.

GKP
GKP

Zak Mir's Bulletin Board Heroes - EMED Mining, Ferrum Crescent, Falkland Oil & Gas, Gulf Keystone, Plutus Powergen

Featuring shares in EMED Mining (EMED), Ferrum Crescent (FCR), Falkland Oil & Gas (FOGL), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Plutus Powergen (PPG) with share price targets for all five

Sell Tern at 26.5p

Mug punters in search of get rich quick opportunities on the seedy AIM casino seem to have abandoned resource stocks  for the moment which is no surprise given the price of gold, oil and the general slump in commodities. China Frauds also seem to have lost their lustre.

RRL
RRL

Zak Mir's Bulletin Board Heroes - Gulf Keystone, Kibo Mining, Pathfinder Minerals, Range Resources, Reach4Entertainment, Trinity Exploration

Featuring shares of Gulf Keystone (GKP), Kibo Mining (KIBO), Pathfinder Minerals (PFP), Range Resources (RRL), Reach4Entertainment (R4E), Trinity Exploration (TRIN), together with some share price targets.

Zak Mir's Bulletin Board Heroes - Chariot Oil & Gas, Edge Resources, Gulf Keystone, Kenmare Resources, Solo Oil, W Resources

Featuring shares of Chariot Oil & Gas (CHAR), Edge Resources (EDG), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Kenmare Resources (KMR), Solo Oil (SOLO), W Resources (WRES), together with some share price targets.

Zak Mir's Bulletin Board Heroes - AMC Minerals, Falkland Oil & Gas, Gulf Keystone, Optibiotix, Rockhopper Exploration, Xtract Resources

Featuring shares in AMC Minerals (AMC), Falkland Oil & Gas (FOG), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Optibiotix (OPTI), Rockhopper Exploration (RKH), Xtract Resources (XTR) with share price targets for all

GKP
GKP

Why do some folk think that the Kurds give a FF about shareholders in Gulf Keystone?

Bombing attacks by Turkey on their kinsman, ISIS chopping off heads of their soldiers? A record heatwave in the region killing the old folk and kids? A war on three fronts? Bugger that, these are but trivial issues for the Government of Kurdistan, top of its agenda is protecting the wealth of Bulletin Board morons who own shares in Gulf Keystone Petroleum (GKP). Well that is what flip flop Ben Turney, Paul Curtis and other bulls of this stock want you to believe. They are wrong.

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone – Will the Kurds make good on their promise to start paying?

Shares in Gulf Keystone (GKP) surged yesterday from a low of 26p to a high of 36p, triggered by news of a pledge by the Kurdistan Regional Government (“KRG”) that it will start making monthly payments to its oil producers from September. This morning, Gulf’s stock has settled back to 33.5p (last seen), valuing the business at £327.6million. This is towards the bottom of the company’s trading range since the start of the year and after yesterday’s excitement the question is, is Gulf a buy?

GKP
GKP

Zak Mir's Bulletin Board Heroes - Gulf Keystone, Jubilee Platinum, Phorm Corporation, Rare Earth Minerals, Stratmin Global, Vast Resources

Featuring Gulf Keystone (GKP), Jubilee Platinum (JLP), Phorm Corporation (PHRM), Rare Earth Minerals (REM), Stratmin Global (STGR), Vast Resources (VAST)

LGO
LGO

Zak Mir's Bulletin Board Heroes - Cap-XX, Forte Energy, Gulf Keystone, Globo, Imaginatik, LGO Energy

Featuring Cap-XX (CPX), Forte Energy (FTE), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Globo (GBO), Imaginatik (IMTK), LGO Energy (LGO)

GKP
GKP

Zak Mir's Bulletin Board Heroes - Gulf Keystone, LGO Energy, Metminco, Northcote Energy, Sirius Petroleum, Vast Resources

Featuring Gulf Keystone (GKP), LGO Energy (LGO), Metminco (MNC), Northcote Energy (NCT), Sirius Petroleum (SRSP),  Vast Resources (VAST)

GKP
GKP

Zak Mir's Bulletin Board Heroes - Clontarf Energy, Edenville Energy, Gulf Keystone, Tavistock Investments

Featuring Clontarf Energy (CLON), Edenville Energy (EDL), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Tavistock Investments (TAVI)

SXX
SXX

Zak Mir's Bulletin Board Heroes - African Potash, Asian Citrus, Gulf Keystone, Iofina, Servision, Sirius Minerals

Featuring African Potash (AFPO), Asian Citrus (ACHL), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Iofina (IOF), Servision (SEV), Sirius Minerals (SXX).

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone: was that a profits warning?

This morning’s announcement from Gulf Keystone (GKP) had the decided whiff of a profits’ warning about it. It is extremely frustrating when companies dress bad news up. I appreciate the importance shoring up sentiment has, but if a company has to warn shareholders that it is going to miss its financial targets it surely must be an inviolable principle of transparent markets that it explicitly says so. Today’s example from Gulf could prove to be a perfect case in point and doesn’t bode well for new CEO Jón Ferrier’s attitude towards investor relations.

EDG
EDG

Zak Mir's Bulletin Board Heroes - Edge Resources, Ferrex, EMED Mining, Gulf Keystone, Northcote Energy, Nostra Terra Oil & Gas

Featuring Edge Resources (EDG), Ferrex (FRX), EMED Mining (EMED), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Northcote Energy (NCT) and Nostra Terra Oil & Gas (NTOG)

GKP
GKP

Zak Mir's Bulletin Board Heroes - Featuring Coal of Africa, Gulf Keystone, Kalimantan Gold, Red Emperor Resources

Featuring Coal of Africa (CZA), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Kalimantan Gold (KLG), Red Emperor Resources (RMP)

GKP
GKP

Zak Mir's Great Request Show: Globo, Gulf Keystone, Tristel

If you want me to analyse a stock for you just drop me a line at sqmir@hotmail.com - Today I look at Globo, Gulf Keystone, Tristel 

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone determined not to go the way of Afren

Gulf Keystone’s (GKP) board might not be popular among shareholders at the moment, but it’s been left with little choice. The likely trigger of the Book Equity Ratio (“BER”) Put Option, when the company announces its next set of results, is a looming disaster for the company. If activated, Gulf will be required to make an offer to repurchase all of its $250million 13% Notes, issued last April, for $252.5million plus accrued and unpaid interest, at around the end of September. Given that Gulf had cash of $86.3million prior to this morning’s placement, and appears to be burning about $4million a month, shareholders were facing an Afren’esque (AFR) wipeout. After this morning’s actions, at least there is a glimmer of hope.

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone; fighting for survival or negotiating well?

If there is one topic guaranteed to start a row at ShareProphets HQ it is Gulf Keystone Petroleum (GKP). We all know who is on which side and so far I’ve been fighting a losing battle. The collapse in the oil price has hurt this company, but possibly not as much as the specific challenges it faces in getting paid for the oil it produces (oh, and let’s not forget the rampaging nutters currently marauding through the region). On Friday, Gulf disappointed the market with news it had suspended oil exports, pending resolution of a “stable payment cycle”. The share price dropped sharply to settle just above the 52-week low, but are things as bad as the market implies?

PPC
PPC

Three oil calls revisited; Gulf Keystone, Bowleven & President Energy Part 2

In Part 1 of this pair of articles I took a look at Gulf Keystone (GKP). In Part 2 I revisit two more of my picks from the summer, Bowleven (BLVN) and President Energy (PPC). With the outlook for oil prices as bearish as it is, is there much to be positive about for either stock?

GKP
GKP

Three oil calls revisited; Gulf Keystone, Bowleven & President Energy Part 1

Two and a half years ago I wrote this article, outlining the apparent direct relationship between the movement of the price of oil and the introduction of Quantitative Easing. Even though I’ve had this at the back of my mind since, I failed utterly to anticipate the recent price collapse of the black stuff, in response to the withdrawal of QE by the Federal Reserve. This should have been an incredible trading opportunity, not least because the move appears to have wrong-footed so many in the market. In grappling for an explanation, most commentators have settled on a consensus that oil’s fall from Grace is down to fundamental reasons and the lack of global growth. Anyone who has followed the Baltic Dry Index over the last few years will know this is nonsense. Given that the outlook for the price of oil looks decidedly weak, it’s time to revisit three stocks I assessed over the summer and look for any possible signs of encouragement.

GKP
GKP

ShareProphets Exclusive; Gulf Keystone technical team returns to Kurdistan this week!

I just finished speaking with Gulf Keystone (GKP) CEO John Gerstenlauer and he has confirmed that the skilled technicians required to complete the final hook up of Shaikan 10 are flying to Kurdistan from Canada this week. In Mr Gerstenlauer’s words “we are still on track for 40,000bopd by the end of the year”. Hitting this target, by the self-imposed deadline, will be a significant milestone for Gulf. The company has been criticised in the past for slippages. In meeting the 40,000bopd goal this could go a long way to proving to the market that this business is finally on the cusp of fulfilling its vast potential. Mr Gerstenlauer is clearly confident of this being achievable subject to the security situation remaining stable.

GKP
GKP

Giving Gulf Keystone the benefit of the doubt

So much hype and hysteria surrounds Gulf Keystone (GKP) that determining a valuation can be an unnecessarily emotional affair. I’ve been increasingly bullish on the stock, since the publication of the Competent Persons Report. However, today’s numbers have given me pause for thought. At 77.5p (last seen), Gulf is valued at £688million. For a company which produced 2.2million barrels of oil in the first half, there is no escaping from the high degree of expectation priced into this stock.

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone; watch Kurdish oil sales

As Iraq adjusts to a new Prime Minister (not a military coup, Tom) and the US Air Force rains down fury on IS fighters, the Kurds have quietly continued to make progress in supplying the international market with their oil. Reuters is on top of this story and over the last few weeks I’ve had a couple of Google Alerts trigger with news of the status of different Kurdish oil shipments. Of all the reports and rumours currently circling around Gulf Keystone (GKP), this could well prove to be the most significant in the long run.

GKP
GKP

Is the dire situation in Iraq a chance to average into Kurdish oil stocks?

I’ve spent a little time this morning wondering how I could write about events in Kurdistan. It is horrible hoping to profit out of human suffering, but I’ve had to remind myself the market is amoral. It simply reflects the good and the bad of our society, for better or worse. I’ve chosen to be a market commentator and it is more than probable that if you are reading this piece you’ve chosen to buy stocks. However we might feel about what is happening in the world, in this aspect of our lives our goal is simply to grow our wealth by as much as we can. Fear often leads to the best buying opportunities. It is generally a costly mistake to ignore this. The precipitous drop in the value of the various companies with Kurdish oil ventures could prove to be a significant opportunity for anyone who believes in the long term viability of these operations.

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone; buy the new beginning

It is always extremely difficult to pass comment on companies from the outside, without really knowing what has happened behind closed boardroom doors. Even so, I am as certain as I can be that my call last month, that M&G Investment Management was preparing to dump Todd Kozel from Gulf Keystone’s (GKP) board at today’s AGM, has come to pass. We’ve just heard that Mr Kozel has withdrawn his bid for re-election to Gulf’s board, but with this announcement coming immediately before the AGM, I think we can all be fairly safe in assuming it was a case of his jumping before being pushed. Even though Mr Kozel is going to remain as an officer of the company, his departure from the board is a welcome step in the right direction and I am more bullish on Gulf’s prospects as a result.

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone; Kurds make a move for independence

It looks like little old Scotland’s referendum on independence is proving to be a catalyst for similar movements around the world. The Scottish precedent has the potential to cause a great deal of upheaval, as previously recognised international borders (often rooted in the imperialist past) melt away and fledgling nation states spring up. As a good old fashioned liberal, I view this as a good thing. Why shouldn’t people be able to vote on who governs them? I’ll admit I don’t hold too much interest in the vote for Scottish independence, other than the provocative view if they are allowed to vote on remaining part of the Union, shouldn’t we English also be granted the opportunity to decide whether or not to allow them (and their tax subsidies) to stay?!  But before I unleash another wave of Twitter abuse against our site, let’s move swiftly on to events in Kurdistan.

GKP
GKP

Is M&G preparing a not so silent boardroom assassination of Todd Kozel?

As the market works itself up into a lather about the prospect of a bid for Gulf Keystone Petroleum (GKP), the significance of Wednesday’s events appear to have been missed by most shareholders. The headline news was Todd Kozel’s retirement as CEO of the company and his plan to remain as an executive director. The assumption appears to be Mr Kozel will see his wish granted in the vote held on his reappointment, at the AGM on July 17th. I’m not so sure. The departure of three of the four non-executive directors, whom M&G Investment Mgt managed to get appointed to Gulf’s board immediately before the last AGM, surely signals an escalation in the boardroom conflict that has plagued Gulf for too long. And now M&G is no longer playing nice...

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone – botched boardroom suicide pact?

It now looks like the recent weakness in Gulf Keystone’s (GKP) share price has been caused by not one, but two civil wars. I covered events in northern Iraq a fortnight ago, yet it is boardroom infighting that is once again the greater concern. Greed does funny things to people and it is high time the directors of Gulf grew up and got their acts together. Failing that, they should just take off their shirts and go and wrestle in the car park until one side cries uncle. Anything would be better than having to watch this never-ending struggle for control of the company.

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone – a positive end to a difficult week

A difficult week for Gulf Keystone’s (GKP) shareholders finished off with what looks like a positive production update concerning the company’s prolific Shaikan license in Kurdistan. Yesterday, I spoke with the company to confirm a few facts surrounding the latest RNS. In particular I wanted to seek clarification concerning the issues I raised a month ago about the discrepancy between Gulf’s CPR production target for 2014 and the targets the company has since provided, after a few months of operations. In short there has been a reduction in expectations, but this isn’t necessarily bad news, as I explain below. The main point I took away from my conversation was that the company genuinely believes it is on course to deliver its 40,000bopd production target by the end of this year.

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone at 75p – fears of a repeat of Syria seem misplaced

I probably shouldn’t write this piece. Making personal judgement on geopolitical events inevitably results in oversimplification and, almost certainly, misunderstanding. I’ve never been to Kurdistan, so the truth is I can’t really have any real insight to what on earth is happening over there. However, my money is mine to do with as I please, and I suspect that the current pullback in Gulf Keystone (GKP) will present an excellent buying opportunity.

GKP
GKP

Gulf Keystone is another fallen favourite of AIM - time to buy?

I am trying as hard as I can to be open-minded about the prospects of Gulf Keystone (GKP). Yesterday, Tom penned another bearish piece on Gulf, in response to the morning’s Interim Management Statement. He raised some valid points, but where I felt his analysis fell short was he didn’t take into account what was promised in the recent Competent Persons Report.

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