Hello Share Collectors. One of my previous choices with a share price that’s never really caught fire has issued some jolly results for last year. Capita (CPI) is a company that offers computer and digital services to some bumper clients, including our government. The board boasts of ‘A year of significant change with the transformation of Capita now complete: we have established a platform to drive sustainable improving financial performance whilst continuing to strengthen the balance sheet’.
After the excitement of Wednesday’s market moves comes Thursday…which unsurprisingly after the down and up volatility of the last few days is a bit more boring. We could all probably do with it, although a regular bout of volatility is the markets for you (and I would have it no other way). As for today’s corporate updates, two strike me as being particularly noteworthy, Capita (CPI) and DS Smith (SMDS)…
Gold ended the week at $1818, nicely up from last week’s drop to below $1790 and the close at $1797. The yellow metal is still not though $1830 resistance but the general direction of travel over the past month and a half has been upwards and the past four and a bit months has seen a steadily rising series of low points – even if of late there seems to be a ceiling at $1830.
Regular readers will know I am not a fan of Capita (CPI) which describes itself as an ‘international business process outsourcing and professional services company’. When I was growing up, it was a company that started as a small cap, quickly become a mid cap and ended up as a FTSE 100 institutional investor darling. I never purchased it myself, which initially looked stupid, but the mere 86.9% share price fall over the last five years has made me look a bit smarter.
It is all about inflation stupid! Analyst Peter Boockvar of the Bleakley Group kicks off with the latest CPI prints and the transportation bottlenecks. He argues that these logistics issues are likely to persist to the number of trucking and shipping companies that went out of business in recent years which is one driver of the thief in the night.
Gold closed this week at $1792 – up from last week’s $1768 and like last week it had a pop at $1800, reaching $1813 before being batted back down below $1800. Gold stocks had another good week too, as can be seen on the chart showing Gold, GDX (major producers’ ETF), GDXJ (“junior” producers) and GEOX (explorers) below.
Gold finished this week at $1768 per oz, up $11 on last week and $6 on the week before – hardly an earth-shattering move. But mid-week it hit $1800 on CPI inflation data from the US showing that prices had risen more than expected at +0.4% in September against expectations of 0.3%. Suddenly everyone was worrying about inflation – so much for the Fed’s “transitory” label: the truth is emerging that inflation is indeed a problem. What kicked Gold back down again was US retail sales for September, but there is a bit of a problem with that…..
Analyst John Feneck of Feneck Consulting, argues that FOMC Chair Powell is a former attorney and isn’t an economist. So, it’s important to listen to what the Fed chair is saying and avoid noise from others, even those at the Fed. John explains the importance of non-farm payrolls metrics but one should also watch the CPI and home prices. He cautions that a single metric should not affect the gold sector that much.
Hello, Share Screeners. When all shares are falling, it’s the ones that buck the trend that fill you with most confidence. There’s just been a big stock market fall, apparently fuelled by renewed fears about the Delta variant. Or maybe it’s just the usual trader’s trick of producing a big fall, so stock can be bought more cheaply. One share which rose despite the odds though was Capita (CPI).
What a week: last weekend Gold had dropped sharply to $1763 and dropped further overnight Sunday/Monday, posting a flash-crash low of $1680 before recovering to around $1730. It all looked so gloomy: gold stocks were struggling, Gold had broken support at around $1775 and the only way appeared to be down. But we finished the week at $1780. Should I be getting out my party hat?
I see that Malcolm mentioned the professional services company Capita (CPI), ‘Learning Curve Could Take the Share Price Higher’. Good luck with that one Malcolm because its numbers today unexcite me, especially when you factor in its significant debt and it is still an avoid for me. Another stock I have avoided for many years is London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG), which describes itself as ‘more than a diversified global financial markets infrastructure and data business’.
Hello, Share Finders. I’m a longish term holder of Capita (CPI). And so far I’ve been disappointed. Actually, a disaster. But new shareholders may now see a decent return on the shares as business picks up after the worst of Covid. Hot press: Capita has signed a ‘learning services’ contract with a big financial services client in the UK.
A couple of decades ago, many investors were amazed by the growth of Capita (CPI). As it happens – after a bit of volatility in the first few years of this century – shares in the ‘international business process outsourcing and professional services company’ peaked out in 2015…and since then have fallen a mere ninety-five percent. Still, at least Capita’s shares have risen a bit since October / November last year.
Hello, Share Miners. Though I normally ignore charts as a way of predicting the future course of shares, I do carry out the simplistic task of seeing where the trend is going – believing that the most useful market cliche is ‘the trend is your friend’. And one share which almost always seems to creep forward these days is Capita (CPI)...
Hello Share Smirkers. When Carillion hit the skids it took my shares with it. But if you take a punt on a possible rally then you can’t blame anyone if it never happens. Not even yourself - if you’ve done a bit of previous research. Which I did. I don’t think I was ever told just how serious the situation was with Carillion.
Hello, Share Snappers. Fools rush in where angels fear to tread. And I’m sure some of my colleagues will apply that to my choice for your further consideration today. Yes, it’s Capita (CPI) - a company which may send shivers up your spine. Even if most of that sensation will come from the collapse of another government contractor called Carillion.
I start by looking at Gewanter vs devout Christian Julie Meyer - please back heroic Henry HERE. Then I cover Arian Silver (AGQ), Pathfinder Minerals (PFP) and its disgraced CEO Nick Trew, Avanti Communications (AVN), Sprue Aegis (SPRP), Capita (CPI), BT (BT), Communisis (CMS) and Frontera Resources (FRR)
Shares in Provident Financial (PFG) are falling again today thanks to weekend press reports that it is sounding out investors about a £500 million rights issue. The big question is where does this leave Britain's most conceited fund manager Neil "nomates" Woodford whose funds own 23% of the equity.
As Neil Woodford is such a believer in transparency, he has pulled his monthly updates altogether so these monthly updates now take on a greater importance to provide much needed information to the long-suffering investors in the three funds. Can’t imagine why Woodford stopped them?
Loyal readers will know that I, like Mr Woodford, love a quiz and with my favourite week of the year fast approaching, I thought I’d run a (simpler) quiz with a Cheltenham-related prize. There’s only two questions, so I’m hoping for more than one entrant this time!
CityAM announced earlier this week that Woodford’s Equity Income Fund had lost a billion quid in funds since the start of the year down to £7.2 billion. This has huge consequences for all his funds and I’m not sure he has enough arms to suppress all the troublesome blind burrowing mammals raising their heads above ground. For the avoidance of doubt, I am referring to metaphorical moles at this point rather than Woodford’s investment diligence team. Let me explain.
One of Warren Buffett’s favourite maxims is to be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy.
Neil Woodford has published his thoughts on Capita (CPI) after its share price halved. To put it bluntly Neil Woodford is yanking the chain of his long suffering investors. In paragraph three he states: "Putting the share price reaction to one side for a moment, I am pleased that we have seen from the company what we thought would be coming". As a reminder, Capita has scrapped its dividend. Yet on 19 January Nomates opined:
As we have seen with the debacles at Provident Financial, Capita and elsewhere, Britain's most conceited fund manager, Neil "Nomates" Woodford likes to bet - other people's money - against the herd. A share price is tanking, the market must be wrong. The bears are adding to their shorts. They must be wrong too. Nomates always knows best, I demonstrated this with a chart looking at Capita (CPI) the other day HERE. Now I offer up three more Woodford dogs...
My conclusion to The Big Short series over Christmas was that although it was a long-term play, Neil Woodford was only a few pieces of “bad luck” away from a speedier, more dramatic implosion. This week’s Capita (CPI) news is the second of those already and we’re only one month in. Further to the excellent pieces on Capita yesterday (HERE and HERE), a few further observations on the wider Woodford story from me.
Hello, Share Tweakers. As my wise colleague Gary Newman said last year, it can be a wizard policy to invest in a big company which hits a bad patch. I think the reasoning is that the sell-off is usually overdone and that a big company has the resources and experience to rectify mistakes.
Capita (CPI) is the latest high profile catastrophe for Britain's most conceited fund manager, Neil "Nomates" Woodford. Before we go to a chart of shame, a couple of choice quotes from his December montjhy excuse-sheet, sorry fact-sheet, published on 19 January
Is it that it is the organisation that threatens poor people ( and disproportionately women) with jail if they don't pay the BBC poll tax so that very rich women can get pay rises? Or that Neil Woodford is such a big shareholder and has said so many funny things about what a great investment this is? I discuss the woes of Capita (CPI). I also look at Rosslyn Data (RDT), and its interims which are out today and show that it is 100% fecked. I discuss the Ariadne bombshell of today and the red flag lessons for those who buy shares in listed companies. And remember today is tax deadline day!
An ‘update on transformation and outlook’ announcement from outsourcing company Capita (CPI) sounds harmless enough – but then I’m reminded that Woodford Investment Management is a significant supporter and, given its recent travails, let’s take a closer look…
As I anticipated in my RM2 International (RM2) piece yesterday, the December monthly updates finally came out yesterday afternoon and I thought it appropriate to provide monthly updates on The Big Short in conjunction with those each month so here goes. Quick summary: it’s not getting any easier for Woodford.
These times are getting interesting and disjointed times. The FTSE 100 share index is now up 30% over five years, yet earnings have fallen by 80% over the same period and with U.S. unemployment at 5% and the core CPI rising 2.2% over the last year, it is difficult for the “data dependent” Fed to further rationalise emergency rates based on its official dual mandate. In addition we are living in an age when a CEO of two US public companies can give a talk about colonising Mars and shareholders don’t see it as a warning signal.