I think that I once went to a Grosvenor Casino (spent nothing hence lost nothing) but I certainly have not been to any of the other bingo and gaming opportunities offered by Rank Group (RNK). Still, back in August, I observed I’d be having another look at the company’s shares when they are ‘back to a share price in the 150s pence level again’. You can guess where the 8% share price fall over the last six months have taken us…
It has been a little while since I last commented on Simec Atlantis Energy (SAE) and highlighted all the red flags of the investment case. Today’s news that the Uskmouth Planning application has been withdrawn is perhaps surprising at first glance, but in my view, it is fully explainable using a single word – cash. Are we final reaching the death throes of this dreadful company?
Some folks are pissed off at the share price and ask me why Open Orphan (ORPH) does not use some of its cash to buy back shares? I put this to Orphan’s boss Cathal Friel who says:
Have you been enjoying the volatile financial markets year-to-date? I have not looked but I guess the value of my pension fund has fallen slightly, even if my #1 position is my beloved Barrick Gold which unsurprisingly is up so far in 2022. I have added one new holding this week though as I did say here a couple of weeks ago about Currys (CURY) that ‘if you see the share price at or below 100p then you should buy’. We will see whether Monday’s buy was smart or not over time. Meanwhile, a couple of months ago I observed about the British multinational enterprise software company Sage Group (SGE) that I had an 800p+ share price target.
When Covid arrived I penned a piece here about the possible impacts on sub-prime lenders, given that the industry was already having issues even prior to that, and have also commented extensively on this on Twitter over the past couple of years.
I always find it hard to buy shares where I see fundamental good value and where I am intending to hold them as an actual investment rather than just a short term trade based on momentum.
Ahead of what will be dismal interims and a catastrophically bad update on current trading due within 11 days and with a bailout placing needed PDQ, shares in Chill Brands (CHLL) are again lower today at 11.8p. My target price is still 0p and still the idiots who have ignored my numerous warnings from 76p down as they know better still play the man, me, not the ball, my data and bear thesis. Meet kaka47 on the ADVFN Asylum who posts:
Each working day, Mercator, the provider of two death spirals to the fraud Supply@ME Capital (SYME) needs to offload c£20,000 worth of shares on to the muppets who think that they are going to get rich catching this particular falling knife. In a bull market when folks are prepared to overlook obvious lies and fraudulent results, that is not hard but we are not now in a bull market.
Centamin (CEY) has announced “the final quarter delivered what was a highly successful 2021” and that it is now looking forward to delivering on a clear roadmap to growing and unlocking further value from the Sukari gold mine in Egypt and its exploration portfolio. The shares have responded up to 93.425p and look to have much further to go.
Interesting to see that for the first time in over 20 years, the technology-focused NASDAQ index was up 1%+ intraday and finished down more than 1% for the second consecutive day. It may or may not happen for a third consecutive day today, but you get the general point about being deeply thoughtful about your investment choices. Frankly you should be always like this, but the last 12 years or so has favoured too many deeply-excited technology investors. On a related point, I have talked quite a few times about ESG matters.
Bodged bullshit earnings plus what? Historically EBITDAM is EBITDA but also subtracting from the “cost base” either management or management excess. But a spokesperson says that PensionBee (PBEE) views this as a key metric in today’s FY trading statement and predicts adjusted EBITDAM profitability by December 2022.
A Thursday tends to be a busy day in the financial markets…and that is certainly true today. So whilst it is nice to see the FTSE 100 still being up year-to-date, the pound performing a bit better against the dollar and (sensibly) the world’s bond investors realising that developed market interest rates and yields should be going up, what about the corporate updates of interest to me?
Tom Winnifrith covered yesterday morning’s non-news of AIM-listed URU Metals’ (URU) proposed listing of majority-owned Toronto-listed subsidiary ZEB Nickel on the joke US OTCQB market. The shares rocketed from 170p to 210p on the news, a 23.5% gain. But the bald truth is that we are talking about a joke market with little liquidity and in any case, I would have thought your average US punter would manage to get access to the Toronto Venture exchange without having to deal with a tin-pot middle man.
The last 6 months has seen a push and pull between two opposing views – the “need” for green energy and the real need for cheap energy. The former does not result in the later – far from it. Despite what the BBC and many others, would claim these are two largely incompatible objectives, unless we change the society we live in. At some point progress has to be made to reconcile the two opposing views and face the reality – we need new oil and gas UK based production of scale. I see Orcadian Energy (ORCA) leading the way in illustrating how we can achieve this outcome.
In today’s bearcast I start with Cathie Wood of Ark Invest and another sign ( hat tip FP) that she is Neil Woodford on steroids and will see a mega blow up in 2022. The onto the FCA’s plan to crack down on financial promotions. My arse it will. If it was serious on this matter Gollum Gill would be in the slammer already. Then some consolation for Gary Newman with some words on Advance Energy (AVN). I comment on URU Metals (URU) and the there is Best of the Best (BOTB). Surely there must be a Steward’s intp the £60 million share dump by directors nine months ago. But are the shares now cheap?
Advance Energy (ADV) is proving to be probably my worst tip ever, given that I only covered it yesterday and the share price is currently down around 80% following an update on drilling which appears to be bad news, and I can only apologise to anyone who bought based on my piece yesterday. At least it has given my pea brained critics on twitter a day of onanismic delight.
I see Emma Walmsley – the current (but surely not for much longer) CEO of GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) – is very excited this morning, after the company announced hiring a new Chief Scientific Officer designate who will take the full job in August. I do agree with Emma that the appointment is positive and important, but I do wonder whether there will be also be a newly announced Glaxo CEO come August, irrespective of the company’s big intellectual and R&D push over the next few years. Even if Glaxo shares are back below 17 quid, you know my continuing positive thoughts as mentioned a few days ago HERE. Meanwhile, let’s talk about Burberry (BRBY).
AIM sewer-listed Pressure Technologies (PRES) says that it has established a new executive incentive arrangement, the Pressure Technologies plc Value Creation Scheme which “provides a strong motivation to executive management to maximise the performance of the Group in a manner that is closely aligned with the interests of the Company’s shareholders.” Oh yeah. If so I am a monkey’s arse
I am trying to remember when I last went to a Hotel Chocolat (HOTC) store. I certainly bought a few Christmas presents in late 2019…and a couple of bargains in early 2020. Anyhow, whilst historically liking the products, I did pass on its 355p money raising in July last year…and that was a mistake given the share price has been at/above 500p for the last four months. So how do I feel after today’s trading update for the ‘13-week period (“Q2”) and the 26-week period (“H1”) ended 26 December 2021’?
Advance Energy (ADV) is a company which I covered last summer and suggested that although it has a very chequered history, new assets and a completely different management team made it well worth a speculative buy with a drill to come.
LBG Media (LBG),the owner of LadBible, floated on the AIM Casino on 15 December last year. Its valuation just looks bonkers. With a hat tip to reader TB…
A real buzz seems to have returned to the oil and gas sector in recent times and with commodity prices at their strongest for several years, and that even seems to be trickling down to the lower end of the market and the explorers now with some shares on a real rip.
I was already excited about the upcoming week, predominately because a bunch of interesting companies are giving us an update on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. So maybe an existing holding does well or maybe I get an opportunity to consider a new angle. One stock I am going to be watching closely on Monday morning is GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) as I read that ‘Unilever(ULVR) makes £50 billion bid for GSK’s consumer business’.
Pharos Energy (PHAR) has been a terrible investment for anyone who has held longer term – including myself – and even more so from the days when it was called Soco International (SIA), but I still believe that it can turn things around.
I start by considering events in the Ukraine where my sympathies are, naturally, with Mother Russia but what could it all lead to? Then I consider why shares in Zak Mir’s Lift Ventures might fly but why his plan is flawed. Then onto THG (THG), Deepverge (DVRG) and Union Jack (UJO) and CEOs who say the shares are too cheap too often or who “fear” a takeover at this price.
Anglo Asian Mining (AAZ) has published a fourth quarter update, including noting an underway technical study to determine the commercial viability of adding to its production from an existing underground mine, Vejnaly, in the second half of this year.
PGMs and chrome producer in South Africa Tharisa (THS) has updated on its quarter ended 31st December 2021, including that “we remain firmly on track to deliver, and hopefully exceed, our stated guidance of 165 koz to 175 koz PGMs and 1.75 Mt to 1.85 Mt of chrome concentrates in the current financial year”.
‘Smart’ buildings and commercial spaces software company SmartSpace (SMRT) states that it “is pleased to announce a trading update… the group has been progressing its objective to build a high growth SaaS business with strong recurring revenues and consequently, expects that results for the full year ending 31 January 2022 will be in line with market expectations”. At a current 75p share price, why though are the shares down from above 180p as recently as July?…
Cineworld (CINE) reckons that as the world emerges from the scamdemic its trading is improving helped by some really great movie releases. I am not quite so sure about that and today’s trading update misses out the most critical number investors need to see, the movement in the vast debts in which this company is drowning. That omission tells you all you need to know.
He took an £850,000 bonus for staging the AIM IPO of Sensyne (SENS) even though he had promised his Nomad which had then assured institutional investors, that he would not. Then Lord Drayson used more company funds to pay off a whistleblower. This man, enobled by the war criminal Sir Tony Blair after, in a wholly unrelated way, donating vast sums to New Labour, is a festering wart on the backside of the corporate world. One hopes that a cash crisis will deal with this wart once and for all. Natch I have been a bear of this stock all along, unlike hedgie Matthew Scarborough of Gatemore who did his darndest to get me to pump this stock days before the scale of the current crisis started to become apparent.
Shares in The Hut Group, THG plc (THG), listed at 500p in September 2020, then zoomed to 800p but now trade below 200p. Even so this business is still valued by the market at £2.2 billion.
You may remember that, on November 23, the Sith Lord Zak Mir put out an RNS to say that he had teamed up with the scumbag spivs at Novum Securities to announce that the media company he had created, Lift Ventures, was to raise £1.7 million at 3p and to list on the Aquis lobster pot. I explained what a top of the market rum ‘n’coke this was at the time HERE. Anyhow…
How I miss those days when the then boss of Rossyln Data (RDT) could not remember whether or not he was a former pornographer. His replacement, Paul Watts, might not be so colourful, but, like the ex-pornographer he still has the unpleasant task of trying to polish up regular turds of profits warnings.
Now that it is cash generative, pro tem, ADVFN (AFN) reckons that its shares are undervalued. Of course Clem Chambers, the globe trotting boss of the websites group, has been saying this for years as the stock price tanked and I reckon that Cheryl Cole is missing out on a damn good time here in North Wales. We are all entitled to our opinions.
When I last looked, Whitbread (WTB) shares were in the top ten of my personal pension fund positions. I have been a fan at various levels for years, having enjoyed the share price bump after Coca-Cola purchased the company’s Costa unit at a decent multiple to take a decent profit, and then invested it back into the share when the Premier Inn owner decided to raise some money back during the 2020 COVID-19 uncertainties. I may not have made it one of my formal two tips of the year during the Christmas holidays, but I am still hopeful of a return to a c. 40 quid share price as I discussed back in June last year. So what do I make of its Q3 update today?
It appears that the cash strapped fraud Supply@ME Capital (SYME) has drawn down the additional £2 million available under the Mercator loan (no sniggering at the back) facility without explicitly announcing this material new “loan” advance via an RNS. I guess following LSE rules about material disclosures is only for “little people.”
We all know that AIM-listed jam-tomorrow investment company Tern plc (TERN) needs to rattle the tin yet again and sharpish in order to hold its corner as the first round of Wyld warrants comes up for exercise. We also know that Tern’s share price has collapsed (not by enough) in the wake of bad news from its portfolio of cash-hungry investees. And that brings me to today’s flag-waving RNS.
I am a holder of shares in SIG plc (SHI), ‘a British-based international supplier of insulation, roofing, commercial interiors and specialist construction products’. Back in late September last year, I thought that ‘today’s share price of 48 pence should start with a 6 or a 7’. Following a trading update today the share price is a couple of pence lower, but do I still have the same conclusion for 2022 (and beyond)?
You do not need the brains of, the amazing, Rachel Riley to work out that Omega Diagnostics (ODX) needs to do a placing PDQ or it is in serious danger of going tits up, But for those Bulletin Board Morons who, having the brains of a park bench, are in denial here are the maths:
As I explained in detail HERE, Gerry “the arse” Brandon and Deepverge breached AIM Rule 11 ahead of last June’s bailout placing. That AIM Regulation has allowed “the arse” Brandon to keep his job shows what a joke market the Casino is. For today, six months after that bailout placing at 30p, the shares are 20.25p, sliding and still monstrously overvalued. Had the Oxymorons publicly censured this company and Gerry the arse, investors might have got out before today’s shambles.
Pot play MGC Pharmaceuticals (MXC) joined the Standard List on 9 February 2021 and has already issued more RNS releases than most companies do in a lifetime. But that is not the only red flag relating to this dual listed ASX entity now being touted by certain chatroom trolls as the next big thing. MGC is drowning in red flags and its valuation is absurd.
The elephant in the room is that Union Jack’s (UJO) disgraced boss David Bramhill has spent vast amounts of shareholders cash hiring spooks to spy on and troll shareholders, journalists and his own advisers as exposed HERE. That makes Union Jack shares toxic and today’s utterly misleading trading statement will not change that.
Tintra (TNT) has issued an RNS “Strategic Investment Under Funding Round” which saw the shares soar up over 225% at the time of writing. The whole think stinks like a rotting herring stuffed down the back of a sofa in a very warm room.
These days there seem to be very few AIM oil or gas companies drilling wells targeting significant resources, and even fewer where the outcome is a success.
Oh dear. How sad. Never Mind. The Covid testing bubble is bursting and an admission this morning from Avacta (AVCT) is even more of a disaster than a 27% share price slump suggests. This collapse is only just beginning and will spread across the sector, so completely vindicating we cynics of stocks such as Abingdon (ABDX), Omega Diagnostics (ODX) and others. As a bear, preparing to crack out a celebratory ouzo, Let me explain.
I completely agree that Barclays (BARC) is not an exciting company and I consequently have probably written about it too many times on this website. Anyhow the good news is that this is likely to be the last time I will write about it. It is time for me to sell my Barclays shares.
A RNS Reach appeared on Thursday from BlueJay Mining (JAY) titled “ Bluejay Initiation Report Released by Independent Investment Research”. How Independent is Independent?
We tipped this as our December tip of the month at a 69p offer price. The shares are now 75p offer but still offer value. We noted, a couple of weeks ago:
The RNS about today’s AGM Cellular Goods (CBX), the company that sold cheap shares to David Beckham to wallow in his *“brand glory” and ramp ahead of the IPO, said nothing other than resolutions were passed but there was a link to a shareholder Q&A and this should ring real alarm bells as the company rewrites history. Firstly let us all rewind to December 1.
As I demonstrated HERE, April Fool’s Day is too late for AIM listed, sub scale, investment company Tern (TERN)- it needs a placing before then or it will be crash landing in tits up alley. No institution will touch this POS with a bargepole so it is an inevitable trip to the bucket shops for a discounted raise. The shares are now 11.75p. The NAV is not going to be anymore than 8p and is falling so what price to you think the placing will be at?
I warned you in late September, as Tiger Royalties (TIR) published dreadful interims, that the dream team of Mr Related party Colin Bird, London’s worst Nomad Roland “Fatty” Cornish and its spivviest broker John Bellis of Novum would need to do a placing before April Fool’s day or Tiger would be a dead big cat not for bouncing. Things have got worse.
I see that Aston Martin Lagonda (AML) observed this morning that its “year-end cash balance of c.£420 million, higher than previously anticipated…”. That is no disaster for the car company but given its lack of conventional profitability, there will still be a lot to appraise at their formal numbers on the 24th February. The shares might be up 3% today but they are still down by more than 25% during the last year. Even though Formula 1 fans might regard the company as offering a lot of sales growth potential, personally I am not excited, even if it claims their DBX brand achieved ‘about 20% share of the luxury SUV market’. A company owned by the rich, for the rich is never the easiest holding, especially as it has gone bust a number of times before historically. It remains a clear avoid for me.
AIM-listed onliine women’s fashionwear purveyor Sosandar (SOS) has offered up a bullish trading update for calendar Q4 2021 (its own Q3, given accounts are to March). We are told that revenues were up some 122% year on year, that each month was EBITDA positive making for the company’s first EBITDA positive quarter. Of course, EBITDA is bullshit earnings but even so this is a positive update. However….
It was not a big Christmas shocker for Next (NXT) to declare this morning that ‘in the eight weeks to 25 December full price sales were up +20.0% versus two years ago…This was £70 million ahead of our previous guidance for the period’. That is far from a disaster, even if Next shares have fallen below the 80 quid level.
Now that the acquisition of Bacanora Lithium (BCN) by Gangfeng has completed, many former shareholders will be wondering whether to keep hold of the shares they were awarded in Zinnwald Lithium (ZNWD) as part of that deal.
I am sure that Mr. Roberts is a clean-living sort of fellow but the release to which he puts his name today appears to be written by someone who is high as a kite. It is truly bonkers. The headline is “Review of 2021” the subhead is “CATFLAP”. Roberts then goes down the white rabbit hole. It is insane.
I think that it was our reader from the Paddington Dungeon who first alerted me to the merits of checking out the website of Parsley Box (MEAL). Not to actually order any of its revolting produce which may satisfy commentator PL but would make my cats and most right thinking folk somewhat nauseous. But for the signs it offered of how bad trading had become.
My slam-dunk sells for 2021 were, at one point, looking like a barometer for how mad the market was as complete rubbish was bid up and up on the back of just hot air. But as the year drew to a close, this madness started to abate.
Hello, Share Hopers. Here are the top share shifting New Year resolutions that you won’t keep. But it may make you a lot more dosherooni in 2022 if you do.
With the ShareProphets 24 tips of the year for 2022, including two from myself, currently being published, how did my 2021 tips fare?…
Hello, Share Followers. Nobody sees the stock market as a sensible place. It’s about as logical as Chitty Chitty Bang Bang. One of the strangest mysteries is how big oil companies continue to see low share prices even though the cost of the black stuff is soaring. It had a bit of a hiccup few week back, but now it’s aiming for the stars again.
Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT) is the Standard Listed company that lied in its very first RNS exactly one year ago today. More importantly it is rapidly running out of cash, as I noted here, having failed to get anywhere close to executing an RTO as promised 12 months ago. It gets worse.
Inspirit (INSP) snuck out its piss poor results on 29 December at 5.30 pm and today sees its shares down around 14%. You don’t need to be Mystic fecking Meg to know what comes next but a detailed interrogation of those results throws up some ginormous new red flags.
Our old friends at Aquis-listed TruSpine (TSP) have been at it again, releasing interims results to September and announcing yet more delays for its Cervi-LOK product during no-one-is-watching week. Oh, and the cash is running out yet again. What’s not to like?
This is simple enough. The CEO of ADM Energy (ADME) is a lying Osa. The Winnileaks service has been provided with a copy of an email exchange between Osamede Okhomina and Richard “nobody likes me and I don’t care” Jennings of Align Research on 25 and 27 August.
The lower end of the AIM market seems to be littered with small companies that haven’t made any real progress over the years, in terms of shareholder returns, and I’m often left wondering what the point of them being listed is, given the additional costs that involves.
This time last year we were enjoying the lack of restrictions due to Covid, if only for a few days, and so much has changed over the last year. Or perhaps not. So, what has happened over the last year in the alternative energy sector. Was I right in my views that an unfrocking could occur? And what does 2022 hold for this bunch of losers?
It looks like its turkey twizzlers only for the morons owning this stock on this Christmas Eve. As I have noted many times, Dev Clever (DEV) has been monstrously overvalued on fundamentals, promoted by ramping and worse. At 30p the company is valued at £180 million which for a loss-making entity, run from a lock up on an industrial estate and with half year sales of just £2.4 million is bonkers. But at least you could trade out of you wanted. You can’t now. The company says that it has asked the FCA for the suspension of trading in its shares. Just like you used to ask the headmaster to beat you for sinning at school. Whatever…
It is nearly Christmas, thank goodness. But despite it being the day before Christmas Eve there are still a few things going on, even beyond firmer markets thanks to the German health minister this morning observing that a ‘lockdown isn’t ruled out, but it’s not needed right now’. No wonder markets across Europe are up a bit today. One story that surprised me this morning was the news that Flutter Entertainment (FLTR) – the business most of us remember as Paddy Power – ‘is pleased to announce the acquisition of Sisal, Italy’s leading online gaming operator, from CVC Capital Partners Fund VI for a consideration of €1.913bn/£1.62bn’.
I was madean insider on today’s placing a while back and I am not selling my shares in Kefi (KEFI) for reasons I explain. But I am pretty angry with Harry and understand the ire of many of you. I discuss this. Then it is onto Verditek (VDTK) which looks to owe us all a trading statement and is almost certainly bust already. The target there, at 2.9p, is 0p. I also have words for the FCA here on Financial Promotions and why it should be sending Richard “Gollum” Gill to jail. Finally I look at Eurasia Mining (EUA)
AIM-listed jam-tomorrow internet of things investment company Tern plc (TERN) has announced a fundraise at investee INVMA resulting is an upwards revaluation of its investment. Two other investors have stepped up to the plate in the form of Foresight and Mercia, stumping up £1.925 million between them (presumably of other people’s money) to add to a further investment from Tern of just £0.2 million. Good news for INVMA, as it now has cash – and good news for Tern as at least one hungry mouth to feed has been satiated for the time being.
Hurricane Energy (HUR) is a company that I’ve been following and covering ever since the days before it drilled the Lancaster appraisal well; through the times when it looked like it could be a big AIM success story; and more recently when it was uncertain as to whether it would even survive.
These days I’m generally not a fan of tiny natural resources companies and tend to avoid them as they rarely attract the positive sentiment and momentum that we have seen in the past, and most will never even come close to actually extracting anything from the ground.
Tern (TERN) is reluctant to disclose financial information about the portfolio of Tern’s investments citing commercial confidentiality. All of its portfolio investees file abbreviated accounts excluding profit and loss account and cashflow statement as they are permitted to do and Tern rarely publishes any financial information about the investee companies.
Markets might be a bit volatile today but such is life in the investment world. Anyhow, some good news for us current GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) shareholders as the company has ‘announced that Sir Dave Lewis has been appointed as Non-Executive Chair Designate of the new Consumer Healthcare company which will result from the proposed demerger from GSK in 2022…his appointment will take effect from 1st January 2022’. Good news as Dave Lewis was a legend over his time at Tesco (TSCO), a super successful turnaround he exited as CEO last year. It is always smart to exit stage left when the crowd is asking for more, and I am not surprised too he has taken a Chair role rather than a CEO one.
I have made and and I have lost money in Centrica (CNA) shares over the last twenty-five odd years. I guess – helped by the dividend flow – I am probably ahead over time, but it has only been a bit more interesting than keeping money in your bank (and let’s not even talk about the reality of underlying inflation over time for this). Unlike over thirty of its peers in the gas/electricity industry, it is highly unlikely to ever go bust though as at least it hedges its purchasing (and the benefit of being ‘British Gas’ for ever, is that you have seen almost all the possible historical challenges out there).
I trust that numerous warnings from myself and Lucian have allowed you to make good money from shorting Cineworld (CINE) all the way down. The shares have collapsed this week on news that it has lost a Canadian court case and is on the hook for C$1.23 billion but that merely accelerates the end game here. Do not even think of closing your short at 31p. My target is buttons. Post an inevitable debt for equity swap and bailout placing this is a penny share.
I have been watching Companies House with interest recently, regarding AIM-listed jam-tomorrow internet of things investment company Tern plc (TERN) and its principal investee Device Authority (DA). Following news of the bailout investment of yet more cash into DA, I have a few questions. Call be a pedant, but……
Alpha Growth (ALGW) announced today that it had appointed Arden Partners as broker to the company (replacing disgraced Pello Capital) and the Bulletin Board Morons reacted positively marking the shares up 11.5% at the time of writing to 3.35p, valuing the company at a quite ludicrous £14 million.
An update today from Simec Atlantis Energy (SEA) showed the sort of unbridled and wholly unjustifiable optimism one would associate with a Norwich City supporter discussing who his team would like to draw in next year’s Champion’s League or my own hopes of hooking up with Britain’s favourite chanteuse, Ms Cheryl Cole. Only at the end of its statement does it mention the problem that makes it uninvestable.
Those who have not been cut off from Andrew Monk’s morning email will, over the past few years have been told time and time again how cheap are shares in the bastard son of Monk & David Lenigas, that is to say Anglo African Agriculture (AAAP). Shares in the company were 12.5p when Monkey first arranged a deal to reverse a Kenyan Port into the sub scale Zim South food producer. They are now 3.75p as that deal has fallen through.
Shares in UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) now change hands at less than 0.1p. At peak Leni-ramp, less than five years ago they were just under 9p. CEO Lyin’ Steve Sanderson has trousered a total package of in excess of £3million during those five years when mug punters have lost more than 98% of their money. But I guess you have to reward talent don’t you.
Thanks to the Winnileaks service I have seen sight of a letter and thus can reveal that ADM Energy (ADME), already facing legal battles that could bankrupt it and which is set to run out of cash by the end of February even without the legals, now faces another battle. Shareholders owning more than 5% of the equity have formally called for a GM. Not, of course, that the company has bothered to admit as much via an RNS. The rebels call for:
Regular readers will know I am not a fan of Capita (CPI) which describes itself as an ‘international business process outsourcing and professional services company’. When I was growing up, it was a company that started as a small cap, quickly become a mid cap and ended up as a FTSE 100 institutional investor darling. I never purchased it myself, which initially looked stupid, but the mere 86.9% share price fall over the last five years has made me look a bit smarter.
What is a process issue when it is at home? It seems that Purplebricks (PURP) has discovered one in its lettings business which apparently has been going on for years. It refers to tenants and the deposits they must leave with landlords. The company says that “the communications process is now being corrected.” It also says that there is a financial risk.
I am not so keen on pubs these days and my feelings on my fellow residents of the rain sodden* land that is Wales fluctuate. But I have invested a modest sum as a present for my daughter in a fund raise that closes at midnight Sunday. If you like pubs or Wales or both I urge you to join me on the shareholder list. Will I make money? I doubt it so this is like most stocks on AIM but this is a good cause.
The last time I wrote about Omega Diagnostics (ODX) was back in June when I got slated for suggesting that the company had missed the boat when it came to Covid testing, and that its Department of Health and Social Care contract wasn’t worth the headline figure you so often saw people banging on about!
Iconic (ICON) shares have been suspended since 7 June 2021 due to the appointment of joint administrators by Toxic Dave Sefton on 4 June 2021 via his company Arch Capital Partners LLP which purchased debts and claims from Shard Capital.
Richard Shearer at Tintra (TNT)continues with the rapid news flow with two more RNS announcements since my last article. Let’s start with a positive from yesterday’s RNS: “Dan Pym, the Group Finance Director, will leave his job at the end of this week. The Company expects to make an announcement regarding his replacement prior to his departure.”
Whilst I do think there are some interesting travel plays, I am far away from excited by either TUI (TUI) (which reminds me of a German equivalent of Thomas Cook) or SSP Group (SSPG) (where you will not be seeing me buying something from an Upper Crust store at a railway station or an airport). I am a bit intrigued though to see that the Taylor Wimpey (TW.) CEO has decided to move on, especially as we saw last weekend rumours that private equity players may be buying a stake. I wonder if the rumours around this have had an influence, although serving as its CEO for 14 years is a decent innings. I don’t think though I have ever written about McColl’s (MCLS), the convenience shop and newsagent operator with trading names Morrisons Daily and (naturally) McColl’s.
This horrible company which, as we exposed, lied in its very first RNS on December 30th 2020 repeated that same lie today.It is shameless. Or perhaps its morally bankrupt PR dirtbags at Yellow Jersey enjoy posting serial lies? The company was going to announce its results for the year to June 30 In October, then in the week starting November 29 but finally they are out. A masterclass in pointless bullshit from scumbags who offer no explanation for the delay.
Mode Global Holdings (MODE) is typical of many small technology companies in that it burns through cash at an alarming rate whilst trying to grow its revenues to any sort of meaningful amount.
Yesterday AIM-listed jam-tomorrow IoT investment company Tern plc (TERN) announced that principal investee Device Authority (DA) had completed a fundraise involving Tern (for $1.25 million), Tern’s partners in DA, Alsop Louie and the Samenuk Trust for $0.41 million, and a new investor in the form of Venafi which had ponied up a further $1.25 million. Tom Winnifrith covered the maths on why this was a disaster for the BBMs who think Tern should be valued at a multiple of NAV but it seems to me that yesterday’s RNS was disingenuous toboot.
AIM-listed jam-tomorrow IoT Investment company Tern (TERN) has announced yet another roll-over with regard to the loan notes from principal investee Device Authority. This is a repeating pattern: every six months the maturity is pushed back another six months and the latest is that they have been pushed back to the end of March 2022. One might gently wonder if Device Authority will ever be able to pay them off or whether the conversion terms will be invoked due to lack of cash.
In today’s podcast I discuss why I worry that my wife may have become a real housewife of posh Cheshire, not the part where they play rugby league. Then I look at ADM Energy (ADME) and that RNS reach issue again, tell you about a psychic moron who owns shares in Supply@ME Capital (SYME) and then I discuss, at length, Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX) after a chat with CEO Stuart Ashman today and on the back of that I have bought more shares in the company.
I don’t expect the morons who own shares in this fraud are accounting geeks. So I shall try to make this very simple for them for Supply is finished.
Abingdon Health (ABDX) will, no doubt, claim that its up to £6 million placing, open offer and Primary Bid offer at 25p is down solely to the DHSC not paying delayed bills. But then again this was a company that was technically insolvent before it raised £20 million at is IPO a year ago so, in my view, it has always been a basket case and I have explicitly warned you many times that a bailout was looming. For the record, this will not be the last one. So, who is next? Abingdon again or the other grossly overhyped covid dog Omega (OMX). But first a covid prediction…
Today saw Tern (TERN) investee Wyld Networks publishes its 3rd quarter results and there was an English version available as well. For some reason Tern managed to not issue an RNS to refer to the results. I can’t think why.
A couple of years ago we exposed how SP Angel had been ramping the arse off Bluejay Mining (JAY) with ludicrous price targets while secretly dumping its entire holding at a fraction of the stated target. In other words it was selling its shares to the same folks who wanted to buy because of its ramping. SP Angel should have lost its license from the FCA then and the regulators should have been pressing charges against the individuals involved. The regulators did nowt and now we come to Union Jack Oil (UJO).
The last day of a month always has a bit of market excitement, typically involving investors who fiddle around with their portfolio to ensure they are not too embarrassed when their end of the month portfolio is published. But there is more to think about this end of the month, with the headlines that the ‘Moderna chief predicts existing vaccines will struggle with Omicron’ having naturally induced a bit of (negative) excitements for the markets today. Hello the FTSE 100 lurking again at the c. 7,000 index point level. And then we also had the full year latest update from easyJet (EZJ)…
AIM-listed Gold producer in Turkey Ariana Resources (AAU) has announced the second investment of its wholly-owned subsidiary, the Asgard Metals fund: it is to put £200,000 into UK-registered Pallas Resources, along with a consultancy agreement worth up to £75,000 under which Ariana will provide technical consulting services to Pallas over a two-year period.
Consistent with my musings yesterday, life in the markets remains excitable although at least today we are seeing an increase after those big losses on Friday. All good fun which any experienced investor has seen much more than once before. Nevertheless I do find it interesting that Friday was the fourth largest volatility index increase since 1990. No doubt a few of you remember all of the excitements back in February 2007, February 2018 and January last year, even before we mention July 1990 and November 1991. Stuff happens…especially on a day such as ‘Black Friday’. Live with it if you are an investor. So what about ‘Cyber Monday’ then?
I have written to the Oxymorons at AIM Regulation,led by the bogus Sheriff of AIM Marcus Stuttard, following two shock revelations on this website which should mean a 7 AM Monday Suspension of Trading in shares in ADM Energy (ADME) and a full enquiry into Nomad Cairn Financial & broker Ardern. The letter follows:
No! It is not snot gobbler Dan McCrum of the FT who tipped off the CEO allowing him to sell millions of shares in the days before the balloon went up at the Globo (GBO) fraud. McCrum still insists that he is the journalist responsible for Globo’s downfall whatever Gabriel Grego says. But it is another unsung hero who brought Globo to book. You may have thought that he was a supportive shareholder in the fraud, dissing we bears as not knowing what we were talking about. However…
I deal with the specifics of ADM Energy (ADME) shares in which must surely be suspended after my second bombshell in 24 hours, another fake sheikh exposed, but this is the AIM sewerr somaybe not.I deal with individuals who enabled this and name them and say why they should not have been in a position to enable this and have some ideas for the FCA, after its recent statement, on Quindell and other frauds.
AEX Gold (AEXG) has announced third quarter results and an update including that a Nalunaq project engineering study is on track to be completed by the end of the year and that it is extremely excited by the wider exploration potential of its assets and looks forward to also being able to demonstrate the potential value of its non-gold, strategic mineral assets in due course.
This latest expose c/o Winnileaks is why shares in ADM Energy (ADME) should be suspended first thing Monday. Not only has the company and its hapless Nomad Carin sit on news of a major legal claim against it as I revealed yesterday but it seems to have met its second fake sheikh, a letter from whom is below. And to have used this fake sheikh to ramp the shares ahead of placings.
In today’s Bearcast I refer to my earlier podcast on the Botswana variant market sell off but take that forward to specific stocks to be buying and shares to be selling as a result. Then I look at Optbiotix (OPTI) and whether Steve O’Hara has been a naughty boy, ADM Energy (ADME) and my expose of earlier HERE – you ain’t seen nothing yet - and Union Jack Oil (UJO).
During the next 24 hours I shall be publishing a number of articles showing that AIM listed ADM Energy (ADME) has consistently misled investors as to the state of its finances while raising money in new placings. I shall look at where some of that cash went and who was aware of it, including former Tory MP Sir (now Lord) Henry Bellingham of the the 3DM fraud infamy who is a NED. At the end of the series you will be in no doubt that this company’s shares are utterly worthless and that those hawk like watchdogs at AIM Regulation, the folks fomerly referred to as the Oxymorons, should be swooping to feel collars both at ADM but also acting against its advisors. I start with a letter sent to the Winnileaks service which ADM received on 9 July 2021.
Quelle surprise. Who would have guessed it? The fraud Supply@ME Capital (SYME), now almost out of cash and still burning cash, has elected to pay the remaining November amounts due under its Mercator death spiral – which at announced as being a loan - by issuing more shares rather than in cash. Calling this deal a “loan” was the least of the lies told by Supply But it was a lie. With the shares at 0.1525p Mercator will have already forward sold – see volumes in the past couple of days – the £300,000 of shares it received at 0.135p. But there is a bigger elephant in the room.
I have been a bit of a fanboy of Headlam Group (HEAD) – Europe’s leading floorcoverings distributor, providing the channel between suppliers and trade customers of floorcoverings – for a while now. So what did its ‘trading and ESG update’ say today?
Horizonte Minerals (HZM) looks as though it has defied the odds and will actually manage to bring a large project requiring significant Capex into production, whilst at the same time retaining 100% of it.
Whilst later on today I am looking forward to a capital markets event from Breedon Group (BREE), the ‘leading vertically integrated construction materials group in Great Britain and Ireland’ – which talked of ‘full year result to be slightly above top end of current market expectations’ – for now I am looking at Britvic (BVIC).
Today Tintra (TNT) announced its entry into the previously announced AI joint venture. There is nothing like announcing essentially the same deal twice to keep up the news flow. Under Richard Shearer, Tintra has turned into an RNS and share issuing machine. But these announcements are so patently bogus, how can Nomad Allenby sign off on such utter bollocks?
Political risk is always hard to gauge, and where it does start to become a potential issue for a company, it is rarely clear in advance just how much of a problem it could be. The political risk in Peru increased significantly earlier this year when left wing president Pedro Castilla came to power, especially for mining and oil companies as he had promised to heavily tax foreign companies operating there.
It is not that he is a great investor yet. But perhaps when he is a bit older he might consider this present something to treasure.
There is no word from scandal ridden AIM cash guzzler Nightcap (NGHT) on the misuse of company funds by CEO Sarah Willingham and others or the undeclared non-independence of the NED who waived such payments through. Instead Willingham’s other half Michael will get his third £100,000 bonus of 2021 for arranging another completely insane acquisition.
As we get closer to the end of 2021, we all know there has been both some good news and some less good news. Positively – thanks to the world of vaccines and related – the global economy has opened up, to the benefit of the average company and the average stock market listing. Of course – as shown by the weekend excitements in Austria and Belgium – life does not remain simple, but it certainly could be a lot worse…especially when you think about the economic realities of a bit of inflation and too much debt.
Eight Capital Partners (ECP) is blessed with having as its chairman Dominic White, one of the brains behind the Supply@ME Capital (SYME) fraud and until recently its chairman.It also has as its CEO David Bull whose accounting blunders have created a massive black hole at AIM Listed PCF (PCF) causing its shares to be suspended. Bull chairs the Audit Committee, no sniggering please, at Supply. And Eight is, via a complex structure enabling Supply boss Alessandro Zamboni to dump all his remaining shares in his Standard Listed scam. What’s not to like? Oh yes: Eight has fallen foul of the Companies Act.
Wishbone Gold (WSBN) has announced the completion of the acquisition of the Cottesloe project and that drilling preparations are underway at the Red Setter project.
Iconic (ICON) shares have been suspended since 7 June 2021 due to the appointment of joint administrators by Toxic Dave Sefton on 4 June 2021 via his company Arch Capital Partners LLP which purchased debts and claims from Shard Capital.
Hello, Share Scramblers. This ageing punter has seen it all before. When the Footsie is stuck in the mud for weeks, it’s a sign a handy jump is on the way. The typical path of shares now is three steps up and two back. This means very slow progress. So we need to be patient.
The curse of former Tory MP, Tony Baldry of 3DM infamy just will not go away. When oily Tony joins a company, he will make a packet and the shares will tank. That is one of my golden rules of investing and slimy Tony’s record in this respect is unblemished. So to the latest warning from Westminster (WSG), a turd which Tony tries, and fails, to polish.
On 4 November Metro Bank (MTRO) said it was in bid talks with private equity group Carlyle and that the private equity vultures had until December 2 to put up or shut up. Carlyle kicked a few tyres and looked under the bonnet and today it walked. Natch Metro phrased it differently:
What were the actual net proceeds of the $40 million 8.75% bond issued by Argo Blockchain (ARB)? And why does the shareholder register stink? Let us start with the bond.
Shares in the fraud Chill Brands (CHLL) have raced ahead today by 53% to 17.25p on the back of news of a new distribution deal. Yup, the market cap has gone up by c£12 million on the back of a transaction worth £275,000 or less. Insane. You bet. But of course Chill does not give any numbers in its release and morons buying this stock have not done the maths or checked out Google Earth. I have, as you can see below.
A few years ago I did own some shares in Royal Mail (RMG) on the basis that (1) it could be managed better as a private company rather than a state owned one and; (2) its property ownership in places such as the Nine Elms site in south London offered it the scope to even further improve its alright net cash position. Anyhow, I made a bit of money but lost interest in the shares at/around the 600p level in 2018. For many obvious reasons (fewer letters, worker angst and growing competition in the parcel business), the Royal Mail had a shocking couple of years after that, meaning by June last year I noted that its new chair Keith Williams had a big job going forward. And he certainly did but – as shown by the near tripling of the share price since – I doff my hat to him.
Having been falling from early this month, shares in SkinBioTherapeutics (SBTX) are currently further lower after it announced “OptiBiotix Health Plc has placed 3,636,363 ordinary shares in SkinBioTherapeutics with new and existing institutional investors at a price of 55 pence per share”. With SkinBioTherapeutics CEO Stuart Ashman though arguing “the company is going from strength to strength” and “it is important to attract new investors who are keen to come on board to support us in the next stage of the company’s development, as a commercial entity”, why the further share price fall?
As a reminder: Standard listed Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT) lied with its first RNS last December 31 about having raised money. It had not. It now has sub £200,000 left and, ceteris paribus, will go bust by Easter. Its June 30 accounts were promised for October and are still not yet out, with no explanation for the delay. Its November AGM has had to be postponed with no new date given. But in what appears to be blatant market manipulation, its shares are roofing it. Why will the FCA do nothing? Today we have news …
From memory I have never used a product from ‘British multinational enterprise software company’ Sage Group (SGE), but I know enough people who have and they are generally pretty happy with it. Over the last couple of years or so, I have been a bit more of a fan of the shares and noted back in May that the stock was worth a buy with a 800p+ share price target. Back then the shares were about 650p and – after today’s full year numbers – they are at a 750p share price. That is not too shabby then.
I start with news of two birthdays. Then I look at today’s Superdry ramp from Versarien (VRS), at Wildcat (WCAT), where the FCA has already responded to my missive, and at Nightcap (NGHT) where what I have revealed today is legal but surely stinks to high heaven making the shares utterly uninvestable.
There are naturally many different views on tobacco shares. I have never smoked and dislike even being moderately close to smokers, but Imperial Brands (IMB) is in the top half of my personal pension fund portfolio. And, as I noted back in July, it is not the only UK listed name in the global sector which is cheap. I have hardly made a fortune holding shares in Imperial Brands over the last couple of years, but I have done alright, aided by increasing my position earlier this year (and then there have been some very reasonable dividend payments too – more on this later). So what do I make of today’s full year numbers to the end of September?
I record from the Welsh Hovel which is once again a building site. Excuse any background noise. I look at Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT) and its uncorrected and untrue 4 October RNS. Then at the fraud Chill Brands (CHLL). In both cases the regulator, the hapless FCA, should be acting right now. Then it is onto Cineworld (CINE) and, with the graphic below – hat tip EB. I explain why its trading statement is so deceptive and why the shares are still a sell. Finally a few words on Optibiotix (OPTI) & Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX) and today’s confirmation of what a good journalist I am. What does it mean for both stocks?
It is a busy Monday. I will leave some other experts to comment on names such as Cineworld (CINE) – which seems excited by recent UK box office moves but did not talk even remotely sufficiently about potential profit or issues with more debt – or CMC Markets (CMCX), which talked about potentially splitting the business (but which correctly for a spreadbetting firm has a share price fall still notably down year-to-date). Instead I will talk about Serco Group (SRP), who ‘specialise in the delivery of essential public services, with over 50,000 people working in defence, transport, justice, immigration, healthcare and other citizen services across our four regions’, and which was apparently formed back in 1929.
AIM-listed Gold and Silver producer in Turkey, Ariana Resources (AAU) has announced that exploration at the Salinbas project and at the forthcoming second Gold mine at Tavsan has kicked off in a mid-winter programme which will inevitably present some challenges for the three-way joint venture in which Ariana holds 23.5% alongside Ozaltin and Proccea.
It was, of course, John Story who engaged with Seth Freedman, causing the harassment of myself, Gary, Peter, and a poor PR girl some months ago. We know he is a proven liar and also a rule breaker. So has he been dumping shares in Chill Brands and not telling anyone via TR1? You bet. And I prove it in this podcast. I also suggest what Chill, its shamed advisers Nick Harris of Allenby, and arsehole journalist smearer Henry Harrison-Topham of Buchanan as well as the FCA need to do about this mess.
Five months, ago here, I observed that the ‘British luxury clothing retail company’ Ted Baker (TED) ‘remains a sell for me’. Their shares back then were at about a 155p share price and they finished Friday at a level of 130p. So even though the shares may be slightly up over the last year, any owner since 2017-18 has seen a near 90% share price fall.
I commented earlier this week my predicted COP26 lack of meaningful outcome would have little relevance to the wider investment world. But that does not mean it has had no impact to my thinking or investment cases I consider. Unfortunately, Provident Resources (PVR) has had its investment case holed below the waterline for me by a COP26 side deal.
Nostra Terra Oil and Gas (NTOG) is one of those companies that has always seemed to be popular with private investors over the years, but it is hard to see why as all it has done during that time is rack up substantial losses for them.
Pharos Energy (PHAR) has announced that “the TGT infill development drilling programme has safely completed ahead of schedule and well within budget”, with a fourth well presently being completed before being perforated and brought onto production to add to three wells already on production.
I predicted that this was the plan and such a trade went through on the prints late on Friday. Both Optibiotix (OPTI) and Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX) have declined chances I have offered ( two for Opti) to deny the trade was as I speculate. So where does this leave shareholders in both companies and the, badly advised by scumbags Cenkos, Steve O’Hara?
On Friday afternoon fishing retailer Angling Direct (ANG) was pleased to announce that, following testing and further reassurance from its third-party cyber security advisers, its websites are back online and trading in the normal course. With their not having been doing so after unauthorised activity on its network was detected as long ago as the previous Friday, is there still to be a detrimental impact on trading?…
Hello, Share Whackers. Pessimistic views stalk the land. Though the economy has been recovering since the height of the epidemic, the doomsters among us worry that growth will soon tail off. But the optimists expect the recovery to snowball and I agree with the latter for these reasons…
TheWorks.co.uk plc (WRKS) has made a half-year trading update emphasising trading “stronger than expected, with a two-year LFL sales increase of 14.5% and total two-year sales growth of 17.9%… reflects the increasing appeal of The Works’ proposition and the strong progress in implementing our strategy” and “net cash of £17.8m at the period end, an increase of £17.0m during H1 FY22”. With the shares at 58p, is this value at a current £36.25 million market cap?…
I start with the tale of the psychic PR man and Edge VCT. Then I look at Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT), Powerhouse Energy (PHE) and Supply@ME Capital (FRAUD). We live in a world that is truly bonkers. Then I ask if Avon Protection (AVON) shares have fallen too far on today’s, admittedly bad, news
We have noted before, the inadequate and unconvincing way that Civitas Social Housing (CSH) has responded to bear dossiers published by “the dark destroyer” Matt Earl and his Shadowfall firm. Today the Regulator of Social Housing, RSH, has published a damning report into the two largest clients of Civitas. The regulator does not mince its words and following that neither has Matt.
If a company is run by Adam Wilson of Atlantic Carbon and Daniel Stewart infamy and also hires former Daniel Stewart boss Peter Shea on a chunky retainer the word that instantly spring’s to mind is sleaze. Another few words are inevitable long run value destruction. And that brings me to this morning’s announcement.
This is the second dreadful trading update from Supply@ME Capital (SYME) in the space of six weeks. It demonstrates that the company will soon run out of cash and has hoodwinked mug punters to allow industrial scale director share sales and dumping by death spiral providers. If the FCA does not act on this latest clear evidence of outright fraud, it really is admitting that it is not fit for purpose. Anyone still holding the shares is insane and here is why.
This morning Johnson Matthey (JMAT) issued just the sort of news that investors will not have wanted to see, announcing its intent to exit the battery materials sector and as a result its share price has plummeted.
I start with good news for those who like salacious financial markets sleaze.I have been doing more digging into the David Lenigas, Charlie Wood & Anthony Eastman cesspit and this will become a series. Another installment tomorrow. And as a bonus there is a new bombshell on Julie “Lingerie on Expenses” Meyer MBE on its way. Who’s been a very naughty girl then? Then the Wandisco (WAND) shocker. I explain why today’s RNS is deceitful and why this makes the company uninvestable. Then it is onto Nanosynth (NNN), Darren Winters, The High Street Grp and a £60 million FCA mini-bond failure and finally, another villain of these pages, Colin Bird and a few thoughts on why shares in African Pioneer (AFP) may be tanking. PS I see that dodgy HK360 Limited has been forced to admit its sold its Net Zero Infrastructure (NZI) shares after yesterday’s letter to the FCA from myself. Will Net Zero now force TR1s from other shareholders who have dumped or doesn’t it care about the rules?
If you are reading this and are a good day trader then I congratulate you. I reckon I am a pretty useless day trader, but fortunately that I am a little bit better when I look at prospects for a company over the next 6-24 months. And naturally that makes me all excited about earnings season, corporate updates and the like. It is a bit sad but it works for me and loads of stuff is happening today, not that you can immediately tell by the almost unchanged move of the FTSE 100 this morning.
AIM-listed gold producer in Turkey Ariana Resources (AAU) has updated the market on the proposed 50-50 joint venture between investee Venus Minerals, in which Ariana now holds 50%, and Hellenic Copper Mines involving the Apliki Project in Cyprus. If all works out successfully the plan is for Venus to pursue its own IPO, giving Ariana some additional liquidity in the form of listed shares.
JKX Oil and Gas (JKX) is a company that I’ve followed for a number of years but it has never quite lived up to expectations, nor performed anywhere near as well as its assets on paper suggest that it should have.
Almost 13 months ago I observed about Cake Box (CBOX) that ‘all I have to do to complete my due diligence is…eat one of its cakes’. For a couple of reasons it did not happen, but the shares are up 4% today and up by more than 120% during the last year. That is far from shabby! But how do I feel now about the ‘Eggfree Cake’ company, where ‘having an egg free, fresh cream, celebration cake is as easy as 1,2… that’s it’?
This is the company that lied in its very first RNS on December 30 2020, claiming to have raised £600,000 for its IPO when, in fact the money did not arrive until January when “investors” had been able to flip their shares to raise the cash for the placement. Between then and now it had boasted of utterly spurious crypto and NFT deals then, one suspects under FCA pressure, reverted to its prospectus gameplan of trying to do an RTO in oil. But now another lie.
It looks as though Asiamet Resources (ARS) has finally landed the deal for the BKM asset that investors have been patiently waiting for, but so far the market seems unimpressed and the share price is trading lower than it was before the announcement.
Asiamet Resources (ARS) has made a “Strategic Partner Secured for BKM Copper Project”-titled announcement. A good deal with the shares currently at 2.45p?
Argo Blockchain (ARB) today ‘fessed that it had briefed someone who appears to be an unemployed fund manager, Anthony Coyle, with price sensitive information some of which he misunderstood and then tweeted it all out. Argo has this morning addressed some of the errors on the, since deleted, tweets but not some that are accurate and even more damning. What on earth is a supposedly grown up company playing at? And now, we can reveal exclusively, that bear raider Boatman Capital has piled in.
Have you ever had a can of Vimto? I do now and again and you can find it in most supermarkets here. Anyhow, the company behind the soft drink is Nichols (NICL), which itself was formed back in 1908 in the Scottish town of Shortridge (although now it is based in Newton-le-Willows, Merseyside). Today, sales are around 80% in the UK with the balance in the Middle East and (growing) in Africa. It is interesting to read today that full year 2021 profits are expected to be ahead of current market expectations, which is not too shabby given that, whilst UK sales were up 4.5%, elsewhere in the world growth was up over 36%.
No doubt this will be celebrated by many a moron as well as many a fraudster. Gabriel’s latest dossier is on Cassava (SAVA) on Nasdaq. It is compelling yet he has today been flamed by the Reddit crowd and Cassava shares are roofing it. What does this all mean? Purplebricks (PURP) shows why bears are forces for good. I discuss it. Then Acceler8 (AC8), Parsley Box (MEAL) and Metro Bank (MTRO).
When I read Purplebricks (PURP) CEO Vic Darvey prattling on about a solid platform to achieve longer term targets my mind immediately switches to thoughts of Cheryl Cole. I feel that I too offer an increasingly solid platform (boom boom) and I have my targets too. Whatever … today Vic served up a ghastly profits warning and shares in Purplebricks (PURP) are in freefall. You cannot say that this site has not warned you all often enough. So what’s the story morning glory?
Back in June I observed that BT Group (BT.A) might have been floated in the 1980s but if you have been holding shares since then it has not exactly been a fantastic run. The company is having to change along with the world of telecommunications and I hold some shares because – in my opinion – the CEO Philip Jansen may have a good idea or two. The trouble is evolving a business can take time and cost a lot of money.
There are suggestions today that Chill Brands (CHLL) next bailout fundraise will be at 5p. I would suggest that this is the bull case. Rapidly running out of cash and with a business model that is a proven failure I cannot see why this business will be rescued until it is on the brink and the spivs at broker Peterhouse do a friends and family offer at 0.1p turning it into a cash shell. What is clear is that the shares will collapse as stale bulls dump and that anyone hanging on is insane. But what of the FCA?
Recommended at a 282.5p offer price in August, shares in Essentra (ESNT) are currently up to 289p on the back of a “Strategic Update and Q3 2021 Trading”-titled announcement. Good news.
I used to use Trainline (TRN) a bit in the two or three years before the world of COVID-19 emerged, probably more from a convenience perspective than potentially saving loads of money when booking a train journey. Like many people though, I have been on way less than 5% of the train journeys I historically would have been on during the last 20 months. Maybe it might be less than 10% of the 2019 journey norm next year, but suffice to say Trainline should not be getting too excited.
I have written positively a number of times about Ibstock (IBST) – a ‘leading UK manufacturer of clay bricks and a diversified range of clay and concrete products’ - most recently in August. Back then I hoped for a 250p+ share price and that still made me a strong holder, but the share has moved down since to (today) just over 200p. An opportunity or a problem?
Yesterday saw two trades of 2,005,106 and 2,550,000 Chill Brands (CHLL) shares dumped well below the offer at 14.25p. That is more than 2% of the equity. There were other big sells below the bid on Monday. Was a major shareholder at last accepting that I was right or was this just canny de-risking as today there is a trading statement which is so terrible it is hard to know where to start. No doubt the FCA will ensure there is no story of insider dealing to tell. So how bad is the statement? It is dire.
Shares in Chill Brands (CHLL) have fallen by almost 20% since the start of the week and it is not yet Tuesday Lunchtime, unless you are Roland “Fatty Cornish in which case Tuesday lunchtime started just after elevenses. In such a situation many companies would be tempted to issue a “we know of no reason for the share price move” statement. But Chill cannot and it cannot for two reasons.
There are a few things that I disagree with Comrade Malcom Stacey about: all this green shite from COP26 for starters. Just how great meat tastes is another. And whether the Guardian newspaper has any useful purpose other than to light a fire is a third. A fourth is Feedback (FDBK) which he keeps tipping and which I regard as a cash guzzling, jam tomorrow generating, worthless piece of crap which serves only to enrich City financiers and has two decades of failure to boast about. So today we have (dire) results and a £10.5 million or more fund raise. A bookbuild is underway.
Shares in Chill Brands (CHLL) have slipped again today to a new year low of 17.75p. Ouch. To think that they were 76p when I published that 60 red flags dossier but of course the bulletin board morons, Seth Freedman et al knew so much better. The question now is about the trading statement and US sales update. What statement you say? Exactly!
So who is behind the offshore (Belize) based tax dodgers at 360HK Limited which took part in the 3p per share IPO fund raise of Net Zero Infrastructure (NZI) on the Sub Standard List but has been dumping its shares into the pump ever since? It is a simple question but the company’s response will shock you? Or maybe with a patsy career politician Tory Baron and mate of Boris on board it will not.
Petrofac (PFC) shares have been good for trading over the past few years, assuming you managed to get your entries right, but the company has had too many potential issues to really have been considered an investment, unless you had a very high appetite for risk.
Hello November! The eleventh month of the year has always been an interesting one for the world’s investors with over the last 70, 20 or 10 years only April – on average – generating a similar return. Of course nothing is guaranteed but the reason why November has on average performed well is a combination of Q3 earnings updates and building hopes towards upcoming end of year brokerage updates towards the following year. It is not guaranteed, but its all good active investment fun and now for a couple of bits of excitement in today’s news.
As you may know, John Teeling of Botswana Diamonds (BOD) is the only AIM boss to have seen me with no clothes on. But it is not fond memories of Clontarf veterans rugby team that brings him to mind today. It is a $4 million black hole that his company and, more specifically, Vast Resources (VAST) need to address with an RNS first thing Monday.
Platinum group metals recovery company in South Africa, Sylvania Platinum (SLP) has announced results for the first quarter of its year, including “net profit of $8.6 million… Cash balance of $132.7 million”. Good news?
Gold closed the week – and month – at $1785, down from last week’s $1792 having again had a go at breaking through $1800. It does keep knocking at that door but so far there isn’t the buying strength to go through. I fancy that the market isn’t keen to put its money on the table ahead of next week’s central bank meetings in the UK (less so) and more importantly at the Federal Reserve. Whilst there is plenty of speculation that the UK will raise interest rates, over at the Fed the question is merely about tapering the vast quantities of new cash being printed and for Jerome Powell and his colleagues it is a tough call.
I start with the two companies beginning with V and articles on this website today: Versarien (VRS) has responded, weakly to this expose. Vast Resources (VAST) cannot respond to this bombshell which exposes the cancer at the heart of AIM Regulation again and makes the shares uninvestable at any price. Then I look at Ben’s Creek (BEN), Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX) on product launch day and at Central Copper where an IPO that should be pulled is delayed again.
Two days ago Ince (INCE) the provider of legal and other corporate services announced an all share offer for sub scale Nomad Arden (ARDN). I flagged up then that this was a sign of a top of the market and also that there were bound to be conflicts of interest which would make this deal a nightmare not a blessing. Those COIs have cropped up sooner than expected and shares in Ince were suspended yesterday.
Serica Energy (SQZ) has seen a sizeable drop in its share price over the past couple of days, and the news that landed this morning suggests that some got wind of this before the official RNS announcement. TW Note. Surely you are not suggesting insider dealing on the AIM sewer, the “world’s most succesful growth market” – surely not?
The shares are today trading at 29.5p, valuing this POS at c£58 million, but are slipping gently. The reason: Versarien (VRS) the AIM listed jam tomorrow stock run by serial ramper Neill Ricketts is, according to a City source, sounding out investors about a fund raise of £30million at 18p. The rationale?
This morning’s interim results for Tintra (TNT) record an operating loss on ongoing activities of £704,000 on revenue of £596,000. The bottom line profit is entirely generated by a £992,000 gain on the disposal of Market Access Limited for £1 to John Botros.
Oh dear, this looks like it is going to end in tears for Richard “Gollum” Gill and his colleagues at low grade crowdfunding outfit Crowd For Angels. The problem is that Verditek (VDTK) has still to announce any meaningful orders since its interims and thus is, as we speak, almost insolvent. And that would expose a black hole in Crowd’s own woeful balance sheet. The facts…
If there were not already enough Red Flags flying over sub-Standard-Listed Cloudbreak Discovery (CDL) to supply a parade in Red Square on May Day, this morning’s announcement of a delay in publishing full-year results to June 2021 must surely be the final straw for shareholders.
It was back in July 2018 that I first started to expose the murky and, at times fraudulent, world of First Derivatives (FDP) and its scandal plagued auditors at KPMG Belfast, with the shares at £46. A lot has happened since then. Fascist PR pigs FTI tried to bully me to take down my articles but I told the mothers where to stick it. I reported First to the FRC and it was forced to restate its crooked accounts signed off by KPMG. And Brian Conlon, the CEO and architect of this enterprise sadly passed away leaving his grieving widow as the largest shareholder. Today the name is now FD Technologies (FDP).And it is still a cracking short ahead of numbers next week.Let me explain.
Thursday is always a busy day for investors and this week is certainly no different. It’s all good fun! I was pleased to see a short update from one of my top five pension holdings DS Smith (SMDS) – the packaging-focused business I previously wrote on HERE and which has made me good returns over the last 18 months.
First came the insider dealing. No, surely not this is AIM! That took the shares to 4.2p in five working days. Then came the catalaogue of disasters trading statement the next working day. That took the shares to 3.5p. And today, as I predicted, three days later, there is a bailout placing at 2.5p and the shares are now 2.95p. What a shitshow. Of course it also magnifies the lies told to investors back in late April.
Not only a shit but a man who should be in jail.
AIM-listed Gold (and Silver) producer in Turkey, Ariana Resources (AAU), has had a wonderful summer in terms of its Gold exploration activities with a stack of very promising drill results from across its portfolio which suggest good news to come next year. Gold and Gold stocks may have had a torrid time, but on the exploration front Ariana hasn’t been able to disappoint and this morning saw yet more good news from investee Venus Minerals in Cyprus.
Johnson Matthey (JMAT) has seen its share price take a bit of a hit in recent months and is now trading at a similar level to where it started the year, despite the world economy looking in better shape now than it did then.
Hello, Share Scrapers. Fairly recently I commended Pets at Home (PETS) to you. Allow me to feature another company which could benefit from the current boom in pet ownership. CVS Group (CVSG) is a company which does veterinary services for creatures great and small, including horses. It also has some other interesting animal sidelines.
Like the complete weirdo I am, I do like doing a bit of sector research now and again. I do find it strange that whilst fundamental caution towards fixed income markets still makes a lot of sense, technical (rather than fundamental) bullishness for equity markets seems to have become more important. Typically active management and fundamental investment rationales are akin to one another, as is passive management and technical investment preferences. And then I read that more investors now believe that the S&P 500 – by the end of the year – will not only hit a number of all-time highs above the level achieved in 2017 (62 all-time highs) but also the all-time high of 77 achieved in 1995. No doubt too many of such people are overly excited by Tesla’s market cap reaching $1 trillion and tripling this (or more!) by the end of the decade. As if. Anyhow, back onto stocks I really care about. Three names my pension fund owns have reported today and – very nicely – all are doing rather well (and I think there is more to come).
Iconic (ICON) shares have been suspended since 7 June 2021 due to the appointment of administrators by Toxic Dave Sefton on 4 June 2021. The joint administrators have tried to hold a general meeting four times but each they have been adjourned with the latest adjournment being until 19 October 2021. There has been no announcement since that date.
I cannot help but notice that shares in AIM-listed John Zorbas vehicle URU Metals (URU) have crashed by 19% thus far today, on no news. Having called it a sell at 405p in August, a sell at 320p in September and a sell at 270p earlier this month, the stock is now down to 190p. Of course, it is still a sell but perhaps it is time for an early Ouzo as the shares have now more than halved.
AIM-listed jam-tomorrow IoT investment company Tern plc (TERN) has released a portfolio update this morning. Naturally the BBMs are pleased as punch but I fear that, once again, the company has borrowed the Adam Reynolds (who, for the avoidance of doubt, has nothing to do with Tern) keyboard, for there are no meaningful numbers to be found – and the few included are pitiful.
Tintra (TNT) continues to pump out new RNS announcements. Some are bollocks and a spoof, but one vindicates a major thrust of my attack on this POS.
Since, a few weeks ago, Matt Earl launched his first bear dossier on Civitas Social Housing (CSH) its shares have fallen by 25% to 91p. The company did issue a response to the first dossier published by the bear raider known as “the Dark Destroyer”.
Today, Vast Resources (VAST) served up its usual fare of bad news: project delays, financing set backs and death spirals ahoy. All the usual bad news but enough to send the shares crashing below 4p. And it was only two months ago when the company’s third rate joint broker Axis Capital raised it £1.76 million at 6.3p. Ouch. The shares were almost 5.5p last Monday but fell throughout the week to close Friday at 4.2p.
I remember – about 25 years ago – that my first boss told me a story concerning a previous contact of his who had bought shares in HSBC (HSBA) many years beforehand and it had provided a fantastic total return profile for the next few decades. Such is the attraction of thinking a bit like Warren Buffett and spotting an idea that is set to continue to perform well for the next thirty or forty years – and holding on. However, hindsight is easy to quote but harder to achieve. And whilst I have my own list of names I anticipate my pension fund is unlikely to sell its holding in during the rest of the 2020s, unsurprisingly this list does not include HSBC which I dumped about 4 years ago (at an akin share price I had purchased the stock at about 4 years earlier). The ‘Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited’ is a flash name, but despite the rise and rise of Asia over recent decades, any HSBC shareholder will be aware that the shares peaked in the year 2000.
Faced with a plunging share price since the “oversubscribed” placing and founder shareholder stock dump in May, what does Dragon’s Den “star” Sarah Willingham do for her NightCap (NGHT) baby. First: panic. Second put out out a rushed trading statement with old news and missing out critical numbers.