Keyword results: valuation

IME
IME

Immedia – having been “incredibly excited” to be working towards reverse takeover, that now terminated & worse...

In January this year audio visual communications provider to organisations, Immedia Group (IMEannounced an equity raise for “a targeted buy and build strategy focusing on compatible businesses in the content creation/distribution and data analytics spaces” and in March it was “incredibly excited to be working with Sprift towards an RTO which we believe will be transformational for Immedia’s shareholders”. Today a “Termination of talks” announcement.

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Tern – Big Crunch Looms as Market Reality Drives Coach and Horses Through Aggressive Valuations

What is AIM-listed jam-tomorrow investment company Tern plc (TERN) really worth? At the close of play on Friday the shares were down 11% at 24.5p, valuing the company at £81 million. But its last-stated NAV per share was just 7.3p, which would value the company at a far more modest £24 million. The problem is that Tern’s stated NAV per share has been shown to be (if you’ll pardon the pun) Wyldly optimistic. I believe the last stated NAV should be more like £17.4 million – and that is being generous.

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ODX
ODX
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Will Covid testing be around long enough for companies like Omega Diagnostics to justify their valuations? I doubt it!

I’ve recently found myself wondering how many of these ‘Covid stocks’ have missed the boat, as many of them still aren’t producing any significant amounts of revenue, yet often their markets caps are comparatively very high.

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SHOCKING EXPOSE Tern – Taking a walk on the Wyld side as annual report is released - massive accounting red flag

AIM-listed jam-tomorrow investment company Tern plc (TERN) has released its Annual Report for FY20, which contains a few surprises (not least of which Boardroom pay) but the shocker is the FY20 accounts which investee Wyld Networks – which Tern claimed a £2 million uplift on – has filed at Companies House. I’m no accountant, but I wonder what Tern’s Auditor, Smith & Williamson, was smoking.

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YU
YU
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Yu Group – Something does not add up here

AIM-listed alternative energy provider Yu Group (YU.) shares have been on a tear ever since it released a trading update on 26th January this year. The shares moved up from a previous close of 120p to close the day at 195p. Today, last seen, the stock is up to 355p having been as high as 370p but something just does not add up here.

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Schroder UK Public Private Trust (formerly WPCT) – IPO of Immunocore. Who's got a calculator?

It was announced on Friday afternoon by Schroder UK Public Private Trust (SUPP), the former Neil Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT), that the IPO of Immunocore on Nasdaq had gone ahead. We were offered some tasty numbers, but are they really true?

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Catenae Innovation – more ramptastic nonsense: SELL

Yesterday we saw AIM-listed Catenae Innovation (CTEA) try to dress up paying for a marketing deal in shares as a good thing when surely the truth of it was that it was out of cash, and worse still the grateful recipient of the shares has to wait for the AGM for approval of increase in headroom. In other words, Catenae is out of cash and out of share-issuance headroom. This morning we were offered a Business Update…

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Adamas Finance suddenly seems popular, but I can see why it trades at such a big discount to NAV: BARGEPOLE ALERT

When the market cap of a company is trading at significantly below its net asset value it would suggest that there is value in buying, but usually things aren’t as clear cut as they at first appear.

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CEY
CEY
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How do I value Centamin, asks Pierotlunaire. Good question – and what to do at 250p

One of the joys of writing for this very fine website is the intelligence of the readership. And that brings me to Pierotlunaire (who I’m sure won’t mind having his tummy tickled!) who asks, in relation to Egyptian gold miner Centamin (CEY) which offered up storming interims on Tuesday: What’s the fundamental basis for your 250p target? Apart from Jefferies at 240p, most brokers come up with less than 200p (although they may update following these results). There’s no point following a tip based on figures plucked from the air, even if the tip is as successful as my tip on Centamin! So it is a very good question.

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AFC
AFC

Hydrogen will play a big part in power generation but AFC Energy is still far too speculative at this price

When it comes to new technology that is yet to become common place, being amongst the first to get involved doesn’t necessarily guarantee success, especially for early investors in smaller companies.

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Explosve analysis: Tern puzzle, looking at its investment into Device Authority: is it really valued at £50 million?

Looking at the FY19 Annual Report of grossly overvalued AIM-listed Jam-tomorrow investment company Tern plc TERN) I am really puzzled by the valuation of its investment into its supposed jewel-in-the-crown, Device Authority (DA). I wonder what I am missing.

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Shares take a TERN for the worse as FY numbers are released

AIM-listed jam-tomorrow Internet of Things investment company Tern plc (TERN) finally got around to releasing its FY19 numbers this morning, at 8.15am. To me, the numbers were dire – and the market’s reaction was to mark the stock heavily down: they are off by 25% as I write.

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Tern – portfolio update: but what about the Elephant in the room, Device Authority?

AIM-listed jam-tomorrow (or never…) investment company Tern plc (TERN) has updated the market with a portfolio review. The news seems good (a big contract for one investee and a fair investment for another) but the elephant in the room is its investment in Device Authority Limited – on which we learn precisely nothing. Worse still, apparently Tern now has a genuinely diversified portfolio of…. companies, with each……having a disruptive technology in a global market. Oh dear: it's that word again, 'disruptive' – has the board not heard of what happened to Neil Woodford?!

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Reader Post of the Weekend: Woodford Dog BenevolentAI – Temasek 10, Woody “nul points”

I am indebted to Pierotlunaire for his post over the weekend on my piece Woodford Dog BenevolentAI: as predicted......but it is good news really! for the paperwork for Temasek’s investment into this cash-hungry dog has arrived at Companies House and as expected Temasek has take its pound of flesh.

The “good news” for Neil Woodford was that BenevolentAI had managed to attract an investment of $90 million from Temasek. The valuation of BenevolentAI was hit for six, dropping to around $1 billion (from $2 billion) but the other piece of good(ish) news for Neil was that this would drop his unquoted investments held in his Equity Income Fund, which was at the time well over its limit of 10% of the fund – partially because the dodgy Guernsey listings had been scrapped. But of course it also meant that book value of his investments in BenevolentAI had halved at the stroke of a pen.

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Woodford Dog BenevolentAI: as predicted......but it is good news really!

The Sunday Times carries a scoop that Neil Woodford's play on revolutionising biotech, BenevolentAI - held in both WPCT and his Equity Income Fund - is being written down because of a fundraise. Of course, ShareProphets worked it out a few days ago when WPCT announced a writedown to an un-named stock but the Sunday Times has it confirmed. 

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Are the wheels about to come off Neil Woodford’s Proton Partners valuation?

A stack of TR-1 RNSs yesterday afternoon detailed the transfer of stocks by Neil Woodford, who was sacked by the Omnis Income and Growth fund, to its new manager, Jupiter. Among them was one from Proton Partners (NEX:PPI), which Neil offered a funding commitment to in order to see its joke NEX-listing complete and now can claim an instant profit every time the company calls on him for more money. But there could be a fly in the ointment….

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Agronomics - I see no good reason for people to be paying a 50% premium to asset value

A tiny AIM investment company called Agronomics (ANIC) suddenly seems to have become very popular, but I think you’d have to be mad to be paying the current share price. If we look at it under its previous name of Port Erin Biopharma Investments (PEBI), before the recent change to Agronomics, it immediately becomes apparent that its main area of investments is in the pharmaceutical sector, with several listed and non-listed holdings...

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Chocolate-Teapot

Neil Woodford – what of the regulatory response?

With Neil Woodford’s fall from grace following the gating of his equity income fund – which came as no surprise to readers of ShareProphets following our intensive coverage of the last two years. Actually, our first piece discussing Woodford’s woes was way back on 14 April 2015. Take that, the Sunday Times, which is claiming credit for bringing down Neil Woodford because of a piece in March of this year. But now, already, there are calls for changes to the regulatory environment - new rules, new hoops to jump through to prevent this happening all over again.

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Bidstack – I can't see value at this price

I don’t generally invest in earlier stage tech companies due to the risk of failure, but I have been following the Bidstack Group (BIDS) story with interest. I’m fully aware that early stage companies in this sector often trade at a large premium to their valuation on paper, as the value is all about future potential and growth and there are examples out there of outfits that started out as small companies before seeing their technology really take off and are now worth a fortune. But this is rare and far more fail and ultimately end up worthless.

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Has Neil Woodford finally lost the plot completely? Blow up FT Interview suggests he has

I see that Neil Woodford has had an interview published in the FT in which he lambasts critics determined to destroy his reputation, misinformation, lazy commentary, fake news, fake analysis which “pisses me off” and vents his frustration at the poor investment decisions of investors selling up.

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SOS
SOS
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Sosandar – I might be in a minority of one, but….

I think we all agree that AIM-listed Sosandar (SOS) is a “good” rather than a “bad” company here on ShareProphets, it is just the valuation which some (quite understandably) question. The company filed its interims on Wednesday and I have to say that overall I was pretty pleased, although the cashburn might be a worry.

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MRS
MRS

Management Resource Solutions continues to turnaround the business

Occasionally a company which looks dead and buried does actually manage to turn things around, and I’m starting to wonder if that will be the case with Management Resource Solutions (MRS).

It is easy to see why Ocado is heavily shorted

It isn’t hard to see why shopping delivery firm Ocado (OCDO) is one of the most shorted shares on the market, given its current valuation.

IQE
IQE

Thoughts on IQE from Lucian Miers

I took a lot of abuse on twitter recently. My crime, it appears, was forwarding a negative report on IQE plc (IQE) which seemed to me to raise some important questions about the company’s accounting treatment of two joint ventures it had established.

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Woodford Patient Capital Trust: The Big Short (Appendix 2) – A look at the detail of the strange Benevolent AI transactions

I alluded to the swapping of the Benevolent AI stock between the two Woodford funds in my early chapters of The Big Short looking at Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) but there are so many odd aspects to the saga going back a few years that it merits an Appendix to itself as it raises a number of serious additional questions for the Board in my view.

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Looking for a Key Player in a Fast-Growing 2018 Market? Try the Cyber Men.

Hello, Share Tramplers. Companies, both big and small, will turn their thoughts in 2018 to protecting their customers' details. There was a lot of hacking by crooks this year and it costs firms dearly if private details are pinched. Therefore, companies which produce cyber safeguards against on-line identity theft are likely to make even better profits now.

Woodford Patient Capital Trust: The Big Short (Chapter 3) – Concerns over its aggressive valuation policy

Having looked at the unquoted risk and the level of debt and connected liquidity issues within the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT), it is time to look at the tricky topic of valuation policy as it looks to me as if Woodford is taking a particularly aggressive approach, albeit a flexible one, to the valuation of the unquoted stocks (almost all the fund!) that casts further doubts on the underlying NAV.

LSL buys into Yopa. Bad news for PurpleBricks, or bad news for traditional Estate Agents?

One RNS caught my eye amongst the plethora of after-hours announcements on Friday evening. At 6.05pm AIM-listed LSL Property (LSL) was pleased to announce (so why at 6.05pm on a Friday?) a strategic investment in an online hybrid estate agent

Accesso – why just 1.5% share price rise for profit “ahead of expectations”?

Shares in leisure industry technology provider Accesso (ACSO) are currently a further 1.5% higher, above 1550p, on the back of a trading update including that for 2016 the company “expects to be ahead of expectations with respect to profitability” and “a strong start to 2017”...

NLG
NLG

Arria NLG - little more than 3 years after listing on AIM… proposed de-listing…

5th December 2013: “Arria (NLG) is joining AIM (at 100p per share) in order to raise the company's profile and support the development of the Arria NLG brand internationally, give access to equity capital as needed, facilitate the recruitment of high calibre employees and provide liquidity in the company's shares”19th December 2016: “Proposed cancellation of trading on AIM” (with the shares at 13.25p)…

FTE
FTE

Forte Energy – mea culpa, my valuation was wrong..…it was far too high!

Two weeks ago, following the release of its admission document I wrote about the valuation of Forte Energy (FTE) HERE. It was at 0.006p at the time and I thought 0.002p was a better reflection of the value. Well the share price has dropped to 0.0035p in the meantime but the bad news for those that have stuck it out so far is that my valuation should have been lower.

DGE
DGE

The Big Drinks Firm has a Top Up as Shares Hit New All-Time High.

My esteemed colleague Graham Neary, a bloke whose analytical powers are tremendous, opined the other day that drinks firms make investors lots of money. Most of them, anyway. He was writing about Fevertree (FEVR), a company which puts a superior kind of tonic water into gin and tonics. I’ve also commended this lot on this delicious website before  now. Since then the shares have risen about 40%.

Purplebricks – now Old Mutual heading for the exit?

We spotted that that the Chief Marketing Officer of AIM-listed Purplebricks (PURP) had been beating a hasty retreat the other day, selling £341,000 worth of shares acquired from the exercise of options almost as soon as the certificate arrived. But it seems that Old Mutual had a similar idea.

Roulette

SEC - Italian PR comes to AIM

This morning sees one of the more curious notices of intention to float on AIM. SEC SpA, “the largest independent advocacy, public relations and integrated communications agency in the Italian market”, is seeking to raise €4-6 million.

Tern – a reader looks under the bonnet re Flexiant

Following on from kicking the tyres at AIM-listed investment vehicle Tern plc (TERN) which took a quizzical look at the accounts of Flexiant Corporation (and its subsidiary), we have had a note through from a reader. I wondered what a consolidated balance sheet might look like for a company which has about £12 million of current assets in the form of a loan to its subsidiary – but which the subsidiary reports as a non-current liability (for the same accounting period). Over to our reader…

Tern – kicking another tyre

AIM-listed investment company Tern currently (to my knowledge) has four investments in its portfolio. Cryptosoft gets the lion’s share of the attention, but the other three (Flexiant, Push Technology and Seal Software) perhaps merit a look. A couple of things struck me as very unusual with Flexiant (HERE) - I did not under the accounting and had difficulty with the valuation but what of the others? Let’s take a peek at Seal Software Group Limited.

Tern – kicking the tyres

Cynical Bear asked an interesting question about AIM-listed Tern (TERN) and reminded us that we’ve not looked very much at Tern’s investment portfolio beyond its Cryptosoft holding. And so Hi-ho, Hi-ho, to Comp’nies House we go to look at a company called Flexiant. Or, rather, Flexiant Corporation Limited – and its wholly owned subsidiary Flexiant Limited.  

ACT
ACT

Actual Experience plc – new order & results, valuation is the issue

Shares in Actual Experience plc (ACT) are up to a current 275p, capitalising the company at more than £100 million, on the back of announcements of “a significant order to white label the company's service for a leading, US based technology company” and results for its year ended 30th September 2015. Is the share price spike justified?

ECK
ECK

Eckoh plc – contract news sees Edison talk of upside, but would Benjamin Graham agree?

Having previously warned on shares in Eckoh plc (ECK) towards the end of last year at more than 45p (see HERE), the following updates with them currently recovering above 40p following an announcement of “a number of new contract wins for its secure payments products”

RRL
RRL

Range Resources: Puntland turns to dust, royalties leave little left to play for

After eight years, tens of millions of dollars spent, the building of an “airport”, a failed two well drill campaign, an oil to water controversy, an absurd contemplated plan to drill in pirate infested waters and one of the most hyped stock promotions in recent years Range Resources (RRL) has announced this morning that it is pulling out of Puntland. Shareholders are left with nothing, other than a greatly overvalued stock price.

JE
JE

Just Eat; beware the insider share sales!

A bunting of red warning flags is now billowing gently over the share price of Just Eat (JE.). I first identified this as a candidate to watch for an opportunity to short at the start of last December. Unfortunately I then chose shorting Just Eat as one of my tips for 2015. That decision is going to come back and bite me, but now that Just Eat is trading at 435p (last seen), and after the flurry of recent insider selling, it is time to revisit what could be a cracking trade.

JE
JE

Ben Turney’s share tip for 2015 - sell Just Eat @ 319p

I first covered Just Eat (JE.) at the start of December. Three of the company’s founding investors had just sold £139million worth of their holdings, through a discounted placement. This looked like a not so tacit admission that they saw limited further upside for the stock and were very keen to reduce their exposure.

blinkx plc – investor increases stake, but is it sound investment to follow suit?

Shares in internet media company blinkx plc (BLNX) have recovered somewhat from near 30p lows to a current 43p. Having consistently warned on the dangers of the valuation here since the shares were 93p in April 2013, I update in the following.

Tom

Weekly Financial Video Postcard #45 – reasons to be very cautious

Sitting on his newly constructed eco-loo in The Greek Hovel, Tom Winnifrith reflects on how much he is enjoying living on Greece but – sadly for Quindell (QPP) shareholders he is going to have to come back to the UK at some stage.

blinkx plc – new product announcement, but how effectively can it be monetised?

Having consistently warned on the dangers of the valuation of internet media company blinkx plc (BLNX) since April 2013, I previously updated last month following a profits warning which had seen the shares fall from 65.75p to 33.25p. I now return to this stock as it delivers a new product launch announcement today, which has caused the shares to nudge higher, although only to 31.25p (last seen).

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